Fuel Origin

Flows

How oil reaches each country

Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.

In December 2024, Italy's road diesel supply was 2,600 kt: 88% from its own refineries; tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from Libya (17%), Azerbaijan (14%) and Kazakhstan (12%), and 15% cannot be traced.

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  • Reported (solid)
  • Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
  • Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
  • Cannot be traced (hatched)

Other suppliers → Italy

Road diesel supplied (Dec 2024)

104 tonnes

<1% of Italy's road diesel supply

Calculated

Crude behind it (estimate)

  • Smaller flows: no crude data0.1 kt (50%)
  • Other crude originsless than 0.1 kt (est. 20%)
  • United Statesless than 0.1 kt (est. 15%)

and 6 more in the table above

Source: Eurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis); Fuel Origin fuel-chain look-through (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md section 8), built on Eurostat nrg_ti_oilm and nrg_cb_oilm

The numbers as a table
Reported: where Italy's road diesel came from
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
Italy (own refineries)Italy: road diesel supply2,294,59588.2%ReportedEurostat nrg_cb_oilm (refinery output)
TürkiyeItaly: road diesel supply77,8513.0%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
KuwaitItaly: road diesel supply68,3162.6%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
Saudi ArabiaItaly: road diesel supply65,6032.5%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
MaltaItaly: road diesel supply31,8351.2%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
SpainItaly: road diesel supply19,9510.8%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
EgyptItaly: road diesel supply17,5390.7%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
BelgiumItaly: road diesel supply14,0990.5%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
FranceItaly: road diesel supply10,2040.4%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
Estimate: the crude oil behind each supplier's fuel
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
LibyaItaly (own refineries)431,11018.8%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Italy split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsItaly (own refineries)414,90518.1%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Italy split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: medium.
AzerbaijanItaly (own refineries)353,86215.4%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Italy split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanItaly (own refineries)309,95813.5%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Italy split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: medium.
IraqItaly (own refineries)195,3858.5%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Italy split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: medium.
Saudi ArabiaItaly (own refineries)182,3567.9%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Italy split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: medium.
United StatesItaly (own refineries)149,2176.5%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Italy split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaItaly (own refineries)128,7495.6%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Italy split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: medium.
Italy: crude not from importsItaly (own refineries)107,7124.7%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Türkiye: no crude dataTürkiye77,851100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
Kuwait: no crude dataKuwait68,316100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
Saudi Arabia: no crude dataSaudi Arabia65,603100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
Malta: no refineryMalta31,835100.0%UnknownThe supplying country has no crude oil refinery (a cited confirmed zero), so the fuel was made elsewhere and passed through. We look back one step only.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedItaly (own refineries)21,3410.9%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
Smaller flows: no crude dataEgypt17,539100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
Other crude originsSpain10,37952.0%EstimatedEstimate: Spain's road diesel to Italy split by Spain's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsBelgium7,31451.9%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Italy split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsFrance2,94428.9%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Italy split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: medium.
United StatesSpain2,93114.7%EstimatedEstimate: Spain's road diesel to Italy split by Spain's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: medium.
United StatesBelgium2,87320.4%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Italy split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: medium.
United StatesFrance2,70626.5%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Italy split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaSpain2,03710.2%EstimatedEstimate: Spain's road diesel to Italy split by Spain's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedBelgium1,2909.2%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
LibyaSpain1,2466.2%EstimatedEstimate: Spain's road diesel to Italy split by Spain's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanBelgium1,1728.3%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Italy split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaFrance1,10410.8%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Italy split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanFrance1,06810.5%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Italy split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: medium.
IraqFrance9299.1%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Italy split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: medium.
Saudi ArabiaSpain8884.5%EstimatedEstimate: Spain's road diesel to Italy split by Spain's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanSpain8784.4%EstimatedEstimate: Spain's road diesel to Italy split by Spain's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedSpain8584.3%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
LibyaFrance7827.7%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Italy split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: medium.
IraqSpain6253.1%EstimatedEstimate: Spain's road diesel to Italy split by Spain's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: medium.
IraqBelgium6224.4%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Italy split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: medium.
LibyaBelgium5113.6%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Italy split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: medium.
Saudi ArabiaFrance3693.6%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Italy split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedFrance2182.1%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
Other crude originsSlovakia21681.5%EstimatedEstimate: Slovakia's road diesel to Italy split by Slovakia's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaBelgium2051.5%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Italy split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsBelgium1100.8%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
AzerbaijanSpain1080.5%EstimatedEstimate: Spain's road diesel to Italy split by Spain's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: medium.
AzerbaijanFrance740.7%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Italy split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: no crude dataOther suppliers52100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
AzerbaijanSlovakia3412.8%EstimatedEstimate: Slovakia's road diesel to Italy split by Slovakia's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsOther suppliers2140.3%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Italy split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsSlovakia155.8%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
United StatesOther suppliers1529.3%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Italy split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsFrance110.1%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
IraqOther suppliers510.5%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Italy split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanOther suppliers47.6%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Italy split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedOther suppliers36.2%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
LibyaOther suppliers23.3%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Italy split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: medium.
Saudi ArabiaOther suppliers11.5%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Italy split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaOther suppliers11.3%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Italy split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: medium.

2 flows with a share under 0.1% are not listed here. They are still counted in every total and drawn in the diagram, and the CSV under Source & method lists every flow.

Source & method
Source
EurostatInferred · medium
Period 2024-12 (month)Updated 2026-09-26 13:30 UTCConfidenceMediumMethodologyDownload CSV

Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the country’s own refineries and the countries the fuel was last shipped from, which may be a trading hub rather than where it was refined; the estimate treats each as the refiner. Right: Italy’s supply of road diesel in 2024-12, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.

Countries without a crude refinery can appear under "Last shipped from": the importing country's statistics record where the fuel arrived from. It was refined elsewhere and either sold on or passed through that country's terminals; the statistics do not say which, or where it was refined.

Month: 2024-12 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2024-10 to 2024-12.

Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason

  • Italy: crude not from imports (107,712 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Türkiye: no crude data (77,851 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Kuwait: no crude data (68,316 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Saudi Arabia: no crude data (65,603 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Malta: no refinery (31,835 t): The supplying country has no crude oil refinery (a cited confirmed zero), so the fuel was made elsewhere and passed through. We look back one step only.
  • Smaller flows: crude origin not reported (23,711 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Smaller flows: no crude data (17,591 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Smaller flows: crude not from imports (136 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
  • Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
  • The chain looks back one country only. Imports are counted under the country the fuel was last shipped from; where that country has refineries, fuel that only passed through it is traced as if it had been refined there.
  • Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.

Italy: country page