Fuel Origin

Flows

How oil reaches each country

Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.

In February 2025, Italy's road diesel supply was 2,116 kt: 82% from its own refineries, with imports mainly from Saudi Arabia (7%); tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from Libya (20%), Kazakhstan (11%) and Azerbaijan (10%), and 19% cannot be traced.

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  • Reported (solid)
  • Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
  • Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
  • Cannot be traced (hatched)

Egypt: no crude data → Italy

Crude behind this road diesel, an estimate (Feb 2025)

93.1 thousand tonnes

4% of Italy's road diesel supply

Unknown

Last shipped from

  • Egypt93 kt (100%)

Source: Fuel Origin fuel-chain look-through (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md section 8), built on Eurostat nrg_ti_oilm and nrg_cb_oilm

The numbers as a table
Reported: where Italy's road diesel came from
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
Italy (own refineries)Italy: road diesel supply1,735,19182.0%ReportedEurostat nrg_cb_oilm (refinery output)
Saudi ArabiaItaly: road diesel supply151,7877.2%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
EgyptItaly: road diesel supply93,0564.4%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
GreeceItaly: road diesel supply64,5873.1%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
TürkiyeItaly: road diesel supply32,9791.6%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
IsraelItaly: road diesel supply32,8911.6%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
FranceItaly: road diesel supply4,9650.2%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
Estimate: the crude oil behind each supplier's fuel
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
LibyaItaly (own refineries)403,62823.3%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Italy split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsItaly (own refineries)343,79119.8%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Italy split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
AzerbaijanItaly (own refineries)216,10312.5%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Italy split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanItaly (own refineries)209,50812.1%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Italy split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
Saudi Arabia: no crude dataSaudi Arabia151,787100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
IraqItaly (own refineries)131,9677.6%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Italy split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
Saudi ArabiaItaly (own refineries)131,2917.6%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Italy split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
United StatesItaly (own refineries)109,5006.3%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Italy split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaItaly (own refineries)100,8365.8%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Italy split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
Egypt: no crude dataEgypt93,056100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
Italy: crude not from importsItaly (own refineries)88,5665.1%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Türkiye: no crude dataTürkiye32,979100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
Israel: no crude dataIsrael32,891100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
IraqGreece19,72430.5%EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Italy split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanGreece18,72129.0%EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Italy split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
LibyaGreece13,80821.4%EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Italy split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
Saudi ArabiaGreece5,5428.6%EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Italy split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsGreece3,6945.7%EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Italy split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedGreece1,8662.9%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
Other crude originsFrance1,43728.9%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Italy split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
United StatesFrance1,28825.9%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Italy split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
AzerbaijanGreece1,2321.9%EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Italy split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaFrance60812.2%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Italy split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanFrance58311.7%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Italy split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
IraqFrance3978.0%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Italy split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
LibyaFrance3597.2%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Italy split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsBelgium22350.1%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Italy split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsFrance1633.3%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
United StatesBelgium8519.2%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Italy split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: no crude dataOther suppliers74100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
Other crude originsSlovakia7289.8%EstimatedEstimate: Slovakia's road diesel to Italy split by Slovakia's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedFrance591.2%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
KazakhstanBelgium4810.8%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Italy split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
AzerbaijanFrance380.8%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Italy split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
Saudi ArabiaFrance350.7%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Italy split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsNetherlands2938.7%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Italy split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
IraqBelgium276.2%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Italy split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedBelgium224.8%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
Other crude originsOther suppliers2138.2%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Italy split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
United StatesNetherlands2026.2%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Italy split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
LibyaBelgium153.5%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Italy split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaBelgium153.3%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Italy split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanNetherlands911.7%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Italy split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
United StatesOther suppliers915.9%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Italy split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedOther suppliers712.7%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
LibyaOther suppliers611.9%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Italy split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanOther suppliers611.9%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Italy split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
Saudi ArabiaBelgium61.2%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Italy split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
IraqNetherlands67.2%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Italy split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedNetherlands56.1%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
Saudi ArabiaSlovakia55.7%EstimatedEstimate: Slovakia's road diesel to Italy split by Slovakia's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
AzerbaijanBelgium40.9%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Italy split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
LibyaNetherlands44.7%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Italy split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsSlovakia33.1%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
NigeriaNetherlands23.3%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Italy split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
AzerbaijanOther suppliers23.8%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Italy split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaOther suppliers23.0%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Italy split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
Saudi ArabiaNetherlands12.0%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Italy split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
AzerbaijanSlovakia11.4%EstimatedEstimate: Slovakia's road diesel to Italy split by Slovakia's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
IraqOther suppliers11.6%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Italy split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
Saudi ArabiaOther suppliers00.6%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Italy split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2024-12 to 2025-02. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsOther suppliers00.4%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsNetherlands00.1%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.

5 flows with a share under 0.1% are not listed here. They are still counted in every total and drawn in the diagram, and the CSV under Source & method lists every flow.

Source & method
Source
EurostatInferred · medium
Period 2025-02 (month)Updated 2026-09-26 13:30 UTCConfidenceMediumMethodologyDownload CSV

Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the country’s own refineries and the countries the fuel was last shipped from, which may be a trading hub rather than where it was refined; the estimate treats each as the refiner. Right: Italy’s supply of road diesel in 2025-02, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.

Month: 2025-02 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2024-12 to 2025-02.

Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason

  • Saudi Arabia: no crude data (151,787 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Egypt: no crude data (93,056 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Italy: crude not from imports (88,566 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Türkiye: no crude data (32,979 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Israel: no crude data (32,891 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Smaller flows: crude origin not reported (1,958 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Smaller flows: crude not from imports (166 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Smaller flows: no crude data (74 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
  • Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
  • The chain looks back one country only. Imports are counted under the country the fuel was last shipped from; where that country has refineries, fuel that only passed through it is traced as if it had been refined there.
  • Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.

Italy: country page