Fuel Origin

Flows

How oil reaches each country

Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.

In March 2024, Latvia's road diesel supply was 105 kt, all of it imported, mainly from Lithuania (64%), Finland (16%) and the United States (11%); tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from Norway (34%), Saudi Arabia (26%) and the United Kingdom (11%), and 18% cannot be traced.

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  • Reported (solid)
  • Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
  • Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
  • Cannot be traced (hatched)

Estonia → Latvia

Road diesel supplied (Mar 2024)

50 tonnes

<1% of Latvia's road diesel supply

Official

Crude behind it (estimate)

  • Smaller flows: no refinery0.1 kt (100%)

Source: Eurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis); Fuel Origin fuel-chain look-through (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md section 8), built on Eurostat nrg_ti_oilm and nrg_cb_oilm

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The numbers as a table
Reported: where Latvia's road diesel came from
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
LithuaniaLatvia: road diesel supply67,07463.6%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
FinlandLatvia: road diesel supply16,73515.9%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
United StatesLatvia: road diesel supply11,73011.1%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
ChinaLatvia: road diesel supply4,9504.7%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
BelgiumLatvia: road diesel supply2,5642.4%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
CyprusLatvia: road diesel supply1,7111.6%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
SlovakiaLatvia: road diesel supply4530.4%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
Estimate: the crude oil behind each supplier's fuel
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
Saudi ArabiaLithuania27,10940.4%EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Latvia split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2024-01 to 2024-03. Confidence: medium.
NorwayLithuania21,97432.8%EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Latvia split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2024-01 to 2024-03. Confidence: medium.
NorwayFinland13,57181.1%EstimatedEstimate: Finland's road diesel to Latvia split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2024-01 to 2024-03. Confidence: medium.
United States: no crude dataUnited States11,730100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
United KingdomLithuania8,86213.2%EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Latvia split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2024-01 to 2024-03. Confidence: medium.
United StatesLithuania6,0529.0%EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Latvia split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2024-01 to 2024-03. Confidence: medium.
China: no crude dataChina4,950100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
AlgeriaLithuania3,0774.6%EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Latvia split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2024-01 to 2024-03. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomFinland2,54615.2%EstimatedEstimate: Finland's road diesel to Latvia split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2024-01 to 2024-03. Confidence: medium.
Cyprus: no refineryCyprus1,711100.0%UnknownThe supplying country has no crude oil refinery (a cited confirmed zero), so the fuel was made elsewhere and passed through. We look back one step only.
Other crude originsBelgium74028.9%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Latvia split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-01 to 2024-03. Confidence: medium.
United StatesFinland6183.7%EstimatedEstimate: Finland's road diesel to Latvia split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2024-01 to 2024-03. Confidence: medium.
United StatesBelgium53420.8%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Latvia split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-01 to 2024-03. Confidence: medium.
RussiaSlovakia40088.3%EstimatedEstimate: Slovakia's road diesel to Latvia split by Slovakia's crude-import mix over 2024-01 to 2024-03. Confidence: medium.
NorwayBelgium38615.0%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Latvia split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-01 to 2024-03. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanBelgium29511.5%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Latvia split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-01 to 2024-03. Confidence: medium.
Saudi ArabiaBelgium27710.8%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Latvia split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-01 to 2024-03. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedBelgium1867.3%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
United KingdomBelgium1465.7%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Latvia split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-01 to 2024-03. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: no crude dataIndia102100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
Smaller flows: no refineryEstonia50100.0%UnknownThe supplying country has no crude oil refinery (a cited confirmed zero), so the fuel was made elsewhere and passed through. We look back one step only.
United KingdomSlovakia347.6%EstimatedEstimate: Slovakia's road diesel to Latvia split by Slovakia's crude-import mix over 2024-01 to 2024-03. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsSlovakia194.1%EstimatedEstimate: Slovakia's road diesel to Latvia split by Slovakia's crude-import mix over 2024-01 to 2024-03. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsGermany1224.1%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Latvia split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-01 to 2024-03. Confidence: medium.
NorwayGermany919.1%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Latvia split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-01 to 2024-03. Confidence: medium.
United StatesGermany919.0%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Latvia split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-01 to 2024-03. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanGermany612.6%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Latvia split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-01 to 2024-03. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomGermany59.8%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Latvia split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-01 to 2024-03. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedGermany48.5%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
AlgeriaGermany23.4%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Latvia split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-01 to 2024-03. Confidence: medium.
Saudi ArabiaGermany12.0%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Latvia split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-01 to 2024-03. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsGermany11.5%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.

3 flows with a share under 0.1% are not listed here. They are still counted in every total and drawn in the diagram, and the CSV under Source & method lists every flow.

Source & method
Source
EurostatInferred · medium
Period 2024-03 (month)Updated 2026-09-26 13:30 UTCConfidenceMediumMethodologyDownload CSV

Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the country’s own refineries and the countries the fuel was last shipped from, which may be a trading hub rather than where it was refined; the estimate treats each as the refiner. Right: Latvia’s supply of road diesel in 2024-03, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.

Countries without a crude refinery can appear under "Last shipped from": the importing country's statistics record where the fuel arrived from. It was refined elsewhere and either sold on or passed through that country's terminals; the statistics do not say which, or where it was refined.

Month: 2024-03 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2024-01 to 2024-03.

Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason

  • United States: no crude data (11,730 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • China: no crude data (4,950 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Cyprus: no refinery (1,711 t): The supplying country has no crude oil refinery (a cited confirmed zero), so the fuel was made elsewhere and passed through. We look back one step only.
  • Smaller flows: crude origin not reported (190 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Smaller flows: no crude data (102 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Smaller flows: no refinery (50 t): The supplying country has no crude oil refinery (a cited confirmed zero), so the fuel was made elsewhere and passed through. We look back one step only.
  • Smaller flows: crude not from imports (1 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
  • Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
  • The chain looks back one country only. Imports are counted under the country the fuel was last shipped from; where that country has refineries, fuel that only passed through it is traced as if it had been refined there.
  • Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.

Latvia: country page