Fuel Origin

Flows

How oil reaches each country

Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.

In March 2026, Latvia's road diesel supply was 108 kt, all of it imported, mainly from Lithuania (56%), Finland (24%) and Norway (8%); tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from Norway (38%), Saudi Arabia (29%) and the United Kingdom (5%), and 18% cannot be traced.

The numbers as a table
Reported: where Latvia's road diesel came from
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
LithuaniaLatvia: road diesel supply60,17555.9%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
FinlandLatvia: road diesel supply25,44823.6%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
NorwayLatvia: road diesel supply9,0208.4%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
United StatesLatvia: road diesel supply8,4007.8%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
SwedenLatvia: road diesel supply3,8723.6%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
EstoniaLatvia: road diesel supply6750.6%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
Estimate: the crude oil behind each supplier's fuel
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
Saudi ArabiaLithuania31,55852.4%EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Latvia split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
NorwayFinland21,14483.1%EstimatedPartly estimated from published euro value. Estimate: Finland's road diesel to Latvia split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Finland did not publish its crude imports for part of that window; those months use crude imports estimated from the euro values it did publish (customs basis).
NorwayLithuania17,95429.8%EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Latvia split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
Norway: no crude dataNorway9,020100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
United States: no crude dataUnited States8,400100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
United KingdomLithuania5,1488.6%EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Latvia split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
AlgeriaLithuania4,5737.6%EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Latvia split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
DenmarkFinland2,4419.6%EstimatedPartly estimated from published euro value. Estimate: Finland's road diesel to Latvia split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Finland did not publish its crude imports for part of that window; those months use crude imports estimated from the euro values it did publish (customs basis).
NorwaySweden1,93149.9%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Latvia split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
United StatesSweden1,19230.8%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Latvia split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
GuyanaFinland1,0594.2%EstimatedPartly estimated from published euro value. Estimate: Finland's road diesel to Latvia split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Finland did not publish its crude imports for part of that window; those months use crude imports estimated from the euro values it did publish (customs basis).
Smaller flows: crude not from importsLithuania9411.6%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
United StatesFinland8043.2%EstimatedPartly estimated from published euro value. Estimate: Finland's road diesel to Latvia split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Finland did not publish its crude imports for part of that window; those months use crude imports estimated from the euro values it did publish (customs basis).
Smaller flows: no refineryEstonia675100.0%UnknownThe supplying country has no crude oil refinery (a cited confirmed zero), so the fuel was made elsewhere and passed through. We look back one step only.
United KingdomSweden51913.4%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Latvia split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaSweden1163.0%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Latvia split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
GuyanaSweden1142.9%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Latvia split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedBulgaria76100.0%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.

2 flows with a share under 0.1% are not listed here. They are still counted in every total and drawn in the diagram, and the CSV under Source & method lists every flow.

Source & method
Source
EurostatInferred · medium
Period 2026-03 (month)Updated 2026-09-26 13:30 UTCConfidenceMediumMethodologyDownload CSV

Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the country’s own refineries and the countries the fuel was last shipped from, which may be a trading hub rather than where it was refined; the estimate treats each as the refiner. Right: Latvia’s supply of road diesel in 2026-03, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.

Countries without a crude refinery can appear under "Last shipped from": the importing country's statistics record where the fuel arrived from. It was refined elsewhere and either sold on or passed through that country's terminals; the statistics do not say which, or where it was refined.

Dashed crude links rest partly on crude imports estimated from published euro values: a supplier did not publish its crude imports for some months of the window (docs/METHODOLOGY.md section 6.1). Customs basis, INFERRED. Method

Month: 2026-03 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2026-01 to 2026-03.

Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason

  • Norway: no crude data (9,020 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • United States: no crude data (8,400 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Smaller flows: crude not from imports (941 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Smaller flows: no refinery (675 t): The supplying country has no crude oil refinery (a cited confirmed zero), so the fuel was made elsewhere and passed through. We look back one step only.
  • Smaller flows: crude origin not reported (76 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
  • Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
  • The chain looks back one country only. Imports are counted under the country the fuel was last shipped from; where that country has refineries, fuel that only passed through it is traced as if it had been refined there.
  • Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.

Latvia: country page