Fuel Origin

Flows

How oil reaches each country

Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.

In October 2024, Slovenia's road diesel supply was 243 kt, all of it imported, mainly from Saudi Arabia (47%), Italy (38%) and Israel (14%); tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from Azerbaijan (6%), Libya (5%) and Kazakhstan (5%), and 64% cannot be traced.

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  • Reported (solid)
  • Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
  • Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
  • Cannot be traced (hatched)

Smaller flows: crude not from imports → Slovenia

Crude behind this road diesel, an estimate (Oct 2024)

438 tonnes

<1% of Slovenia's road diesel supply

Unknown

Last shipped from

  • Hungary0.4 kt (100%)

Source: Fuel Origin fuel-chain look-through (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md section 8), built on Eurostat nrg_ti_oilm and nrg_cb_oilm

The numbers as a table
Reported: where Slovenia's road diesel came from
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
Saudi ArabiaSlovenia: road diesel supply114,00046.9%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
ItalySlovenia: road diesel supply93,00038.3%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
IsraelSlovenia: road diesel supply33,00013.6%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
HungarySlovenia: road diesel supply3,0001.2%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
Estimate: the crude oil behind each supplier's fuel
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
Saudi Arabia: no crude dataSaudi Arabia114,000100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
Israel: no crude dataIsrael33,000100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
Other crude originsItaly15,98117.2%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Slovenia split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2024-08 to 2024-10. Confidence: medium.
AzerbaijanItaly14,45715.5%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Slovenia split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2024-08 to 2024-10. Confidence: medium.
LibyaItaly12,92413.9%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Slovenia split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2024-08 to 2024-10. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanItaly12,35313.3%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Slovenia split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2024-08 to 2024-10. Confidence: medium.
IraqItaly8,7269.4%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Slovenia split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2024-08 to 2024-10. Confidence: medium.
Italy: crude not from importsItaly8,0408.6%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
NigeriaItaly7,8798.5%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Slovenia split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2024-08 to 2024-10. Confidence: medium.
United StatesItaly6,4146.9%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Slovenia split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2024-08 to 2024-10. Confidence: medium.
Saudi ArabiaItaly5,3315.7%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Slovenia split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2024-08 to 2024-10. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsHungary2,50383.4%EstimatedEstimate: Hungary's road diesel to Slovenia split by Hungary's crude-import mix over 2024-08 to 2024-10. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedItaly8941.0%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsHungary43814.6%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
KazakhstanHungary592.0%EstimatedEstimate: Hungary's road diesel to Slovenia split by Hungary's crude-import mix over 2024-08 to 2024-10. Confidence: medium.
Source & method
Source
EurostatInferred · medium
Period 2024-10 (month)Updated 2026-09-26 13:30 UTCConfidenceMediumMethodologyDownload CSV

Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the country’s own refineries and the countries the fuel was last shipped from, which may be a trading hub rather than where it was refined; the estimate treats each as the refiner. Right: Slovenia’s supply of road diesel in 2024-10, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.

Month: 2024-10 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2024-08 to 2024-10.

Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason

  • Saudi Arabia: no crude data (114,000 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Israel: no crude data (33,000 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Italy: crude not from imports (8,040 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Smaller flows: crude origin not reported (894 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Smaller flows: crude not from imports (438 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
  • Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
  • The chain looks back one country only. Imports are counted under the country the fuel was last shipped from; where that country has refineries, fuel that only passed through it is traced as if it had been refined there.
  • Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.

Slovenia: country page