Fuel Origin

Teagmhais / Suaitheadh loingseoireachta

Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026)

Dátaí
28/02/2026 → níl dáta deiridh ar taifead
Beachtas an dáta
lá
Stádas
Ar siúl
Raon feidhme
Caolas Hormuz / Murascaill na Peirse

An méid a dúirt na foinsí (i mBéarla)

Onset date as published by two independent agencies. IEA, 11 March 2026: "The conflict in the Middle East that began on 28 February 2026 has impeded oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, with export volumes of crude and refined products currently at less than 10% of pre-conflict levels." EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook, April 2026: "The strait has been effectively closed to shipping traffic since military action began on February 28." EIA STEO March 2026 dates the same onset ("the onset of military action in the Middle East that began on February 28"). Reported transit volumes: EIA STEO August 2026 - "crude oil and petroleum liquids transported through the Strait of Hormuz averaged 4.9 million barrels per day (b/d) in the second quarter of 2026 (2Q26), down from an average of 21.6 million b/d in 4Q25 before the conflict began"; IEA commentary 22 June 2026 gives an average of 2.7 million b/d for March-May 2026 against "around 20 million barrels per day" before. Date disagreement recorded, not resolved: EIA Today in Energy of 15 July 2026 dates the US-Iran memorandum of understanding on resuming traffic to 17 June 2026, while the EIA press release of 7 July 2026 dates the same memorandum to 18 June 2026. No end date is recorded: EIA STEO September 2026 still describes flows through the strait as constrained and variable, and EIA STEO August 2026 records renewed attacks on tankers from 7 July 2026. This row is a timeline marker only; it makes no statement about prices.

IEA, EIA, an Coimisiún Eorpach, an Chomhairle Eorpach agus reachtais náisiúnta (foinse luaite i ngach ró)Fíoraithe
Aisghafa 23/09/2026, 07:22 UTCAthbhreithniú 1
Doiciméid foinse (7)
TírTírAn GhearmáinAn FhraincAn ÍsiltírAn PholainnAn FhionlainnAn EastóinAn OstairAn BheilgAn BhulgáirAn ChróitAn ChipirAn tSeiciaAn DanmhairgAn GhréigAn UngáirÉireAn IodáilAn LaitviaAn LiotuáinLucsamburgMáltaAn PhortaingéilAn RómáinAn tSlóvaicAn tSlóivéinAn SpáinnAn tSualainn
BreoslaBreoslaDíosal (ola dhíosail ar bhóthar)Peitreal (Euro-super 95)An dá bhreosla

Nuair a roghnaítear breosla, coinnítear sraitheanna an bhreosla sin agus na cainéil atá i gcoitinne ag gach breosla: tagarmharc na hamhola, an ráta malairte, allmhairí amhola agus nochtadh do Hormuz. Ní fhágtar ar lár ach sraitheanna an bhreosla eile.

Fuinneog an teagmhais

Luach gach sraithe idir -30 agus 90 lá timpeall ar dháta an teagmhais, an fad atá sé sin ó leibhéal na sraithe céanna ar dháta an teagmhais, agus méid na gluaiseachta sin i gcomparáid le gnáthathraitheacht na sraithe féin.

An Ghréig, Peitreal (Euro-super 95). Sraitheanna is féidir a tharraingt: 15; sraitheanna nach féidir a fheiceáil ar chor ar bith, a thaispeántar thíos mar phainéil fholmha lipéadaithe: 4.

Léamha foilsithe: 171; fritháirimh nach bhfuil aon rud foilsithe dóibh laistigh de thréimhse amháin: 24; fritháirimh ar shraitheanna nach féidir linn a fheiceáil ar chor ar bith: 52. Tá gach ceann acu ar an leathanach seo.

Europe Brent spot FOB

Aonad: $ an bairilleFoilsithe: laethúilRíofaArd
T0−30T0+30+60+90130.763.52026-01-29: 71.00 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −302026-02-13: 69.96 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −142026-02-20: 72.75 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −72026-02-25: 70.69 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −3an luach céanna agus ag T0: 2026-02-27, 71.32 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −1, T0, +12026-03-03: 83.28 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +32026-03-06: 95.74 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +72026-03-13: 103.2 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +142026-03-30: 121.9 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +302026-04-29: 124.2 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-29: 92.88 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +90

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh.

Tábla na fuinneoige (Europe Brent spot FOB): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-2971.00-0.320-0.45%-0.23
−142026-02-1369.96-1.360-1.91%-0.99
−72026-02-2072.75+1.430+2.01%+1.04
−32026-02-2570.69-0.630-0.88%-0.46
−12026-02-27an luach céanna agus ag T071.320.0000.00%0.00
T02026-02-27an luach céanna agus ag T071.320.0000.00%0.00
+12026-02-27an luach céanna agus ag T071.320.0000.00%0.00
+32026-03-0383.28+11.960+16.77%+8.68
+72026-03-0695.74+24.420+34.24%+17.72
+142026-03-13103.2+31.910+44.74%+23.16
+302026-03-30121.9+50.560+70.89%+36.70
+602026-04-29124.2+52.840+74.09%+38.35
+902026-05-2992.88+21.560+30.23%+15.65

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 1.93%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó lá go lá; líon na n-athruithe: 756) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

reported crude oil imports, all origins

Aonad: tFoilsithe: míosúilRíofaArd
T0−30T0+30+60+901,990,8091,805,9942026-01-01: 1,951,828 t, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −30an luach céanna agus ag T0: 2026-02-01, 1,948,187 t, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −14, −7, −3, −1, T02026-03-01: 1,972,924 t, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +1, +3, +7, +14, +302026-04-01: 1,823,879 t, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-01: 1,921,393 t, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +90

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.

Tábla na fuinneoige (reported crude oil imports, all origins): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-011,951,828+3,641+0.19%+0.01
−142026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T01,948,1870.0000.00%0.00
−72026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T01,948,1870.0000.00%0.00
−32026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T01,948,1870.0000.00%0.00
−12026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T01,948,1870.0000.00%0.00
T02026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T01,948,1870.0000.00%0.00
+12026-03-011,972,924+24,737+1.27%+0.07
+32026-03-011,972,924+24,737+1.27%+0.07
+72026-03-011,972,924+24,737+1.27%+0.07
+142026-03-011,972,924+24,737+1.27%+0.07
+302026-03-011,972,924+24,737+1.27%+0.07
+602026-04-011,823,879-124,308-6.38%-0.36
+902026-05-011,921,393-26,794-1.38%-0.08

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 17.66%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó mhí go mí; líon na n-athruithe: 35) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

Aonad: € an lítearFoilsithe: seachtainiúilRíofaMeánach
T0−30T0+30+60+900.9420.6422026-01-26: 0.6709 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −302026-02-09: 0.6801 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −142026-02-16: 0.6820 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −7an luach céanna agus ag T0: 2026-02-23, 0.6863 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −3, −1, T0, +12026-03-02: 0.6944 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +3, +72026-03-09: 0.7410 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +142026-03-30: 0.8830 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +302026-04-27: 0.8939 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-25: 0.9128 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +90

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.

Tábla na fuinneoige (crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-260.6709-0.015-2.24%-1.53
−142026-02-090.6801-0.006-0.90%-0.62
−72026-02-160.6820-0.004-0.62%-0.43
−32026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.68630.0000.00%0.00
−12026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.68630.0000.00%0.00
T02026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.68630.0000.00%0.00
+12026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.68630.0000.00%0.00
+32026-03-020.6944+0.008+1.18%+0.81
+72026-03-020.6944+0.008+1.18%+0.81
+142026-03-090.7410+0.055+7.98%+5.45
+302026-03-300.8830+0.197+28.66%+19.60
+602026-04-270.8939+0.208+30.25%+20.69
+902026-05-250.9128+0.227+33.01%+22.57

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 1.46%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó sheachtain go seachtain; líon na n-athruithe: 155) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

ráta tagartha malairte euro an BCE

Aonad: USD in aghaidh an EURFoilsithe: laethúilRíofaArd
T0−30T0+30+60+901.2031.1422026-01-29: 1.197 USD in aghaidh an EUR, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −302026-02-13: 1.186 USD in aghaidh an EUR, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −142026-02-20: 1.177 USD in aghaidh an EUR, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −72026-02-25: 1.178 USD in aghaidh an EUR, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −3an luach céanna agus ag T0: 2026-02-27, 1.181 USD in aghaidh an EUR, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −1, T0, +12026-03-03: 1.161 USD in aghaidh an EUR, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +32026-03-06: 1.156 USD in aghaidh an EUR, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +72026-03-13: 1.148 USD in aghaidh an EUR, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +142026-03-30: 1.148 USD in aghaidh an EUR, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +302026-04-29: 1.171 USD in aghaidh an EUR, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-29: 1.164 USD in aghaidh an EUR, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +90

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh.

Tábla na fuinneoige (ráta tagartha malairte euro an BCE): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-291.197+0.016+1.38%+3.12
−142026-02-131.186+0.006+0.48%+1.09
−72026-02-201.177-0.004-0.32%-0.73
−32026-02-251.178-0.002-0.18%-0.40
−12026-02-27an luach céanna agus ag T01.1810.0000.00%0.00
T02026-02-27an luach céanna agus ag T01.1810.0000.00%0.00
+12026-02-27an luach céanna agus ag T01.1810.0000.00%0.00
+32026-03-031.161-0.020-1.69%-3.81
+72026-03-061.156-0.024-2.07%-4.67
+142026-03-131.148-0.033-2.79%-6.29
+302026-03-301.148-0.032-2.72%-6.14
+602026-04-291.171-0.010-0.84%-1.89
+902026-05-291.164-0.016-1.36%-3.08

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 0.44%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó lá go lá; líon na n-athruithe: 765) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

nochtadh díreach amhola do Hormuz D1

Aonad: % de na tonnaí allmhairitheFoilsithe: míosúilAnaithnidAnaithnid
T0−30T0+30+60+9056.4010.562026-01-01: 44.29 – 51.97 % de na tonnaí allmhairithe. Ní fhoilsítear aon mheastachán pointe: ní tharraingítear aon lárphointe.2026-02-01: 33.60 – 41.02 % de na tonnaí allmhairithe. Ní fhoilsítear aon mheastachán pointe: ní tharraingítear aon lárphointe.2026-03-01: 29.29 – 48.80 % de na tonnaí allmhairithe. Ní fhoilsítear aon mheastachán pointe: ní tharraingítear aon lárphointe.2026-04-01: 15.14 – 28.73 % de na tonnaí allmhairithe. Ní fhoilsítear aon mheastachán pointe: ní tharraingítear aon lárphointe.2026-05-01: 15.00 – 18.78 % de na tonnaí allmhairithe. Ní fhoilsítear aon mheastachán pointe: ní tharraingítear aon lárphointe.

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre. Is é an banda scáthaithe an raon inghlactha. Ní tharraingítear aon lárphointe: ní fhoilsítear aon mheastachán pointe.

Tábla na fuinneoige (nochtadh díreach amhola do Hormuz D1): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-0144.29–51.97neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
−142026-02-0133.60–41.02neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
−72026-02-0133.60–41.02neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
−32026-02-0133.60–41.02neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
−12026-02-0133.60–41.02neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
T02026-02-0133.60–41.02neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+12026-03-0129.29–48.80neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+32026-03-0129.29–48.80neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+72026-03-0129.29–48.80neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+142026-03-0129.29–48.80neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+302026-03-0129.29–48.80neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+602026-04-0115.14–28.73neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+902026-05-0115.00–18.78neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe

Ní fhoilsítear aon ghnáthluaineacht don tsraith seo: ní chuirtear aon athrú in iúl in aonaid luaineachta. Ionchur atá ar iarraidh é sin, ní nialas.

nochtadh díreach táirgí peitriliam do Hormuz D2

Aonad: % de na tonnaí allmhairitheFoilsithe: míosúilAnaithnidAnaithnid
T0−30T0+30+60+9041.050.002026-01-01: 0 % de na tonnaí allmhairithe, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −302026-04-01: 0 % de na tonnaí allmhairithe, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-02-01: 0 – 36.65 % de na tonnaí allmhairithe. Ní fhoilsítear aon mheastachán pointe: ní tharraingítear aon lárphointe.2026-03-01: 0 – 29.22 % de na tonnaí allmhairithe. Ní fhoilsítear aon mheastachán pointe: ní tharraingítear aon lárphointe.2026-05-01: 0 – 25.95 % de na tonnaí allmhairithe. Ní fhoilsítear aon mheastachán pointe: ní tharraingítear aon lárphointe.

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre. Is é an banda scáthaithe an raon inghlactha. Ní tharraingítear aon lárphointe: ní fhoilsítear aon mheastachán pointe.

Tábla na fuinneoige (nochtadh díreach táirgí peitriliam do Hormuz D2): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-010neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
−142026-02-010–36.65neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
−72026-02-010–36.65neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
−32026-02-010–36.65neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
−12026-02-010–36.65neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
T02026-02-010–36.65neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+12026-03-010–29.22neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+32026-03-010–29.22neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+72026-03-010–29.22neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+142026-03-010–29.22neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+302026-03-010–29.22neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+602026-04-010neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+902026-05-010–25.95neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe

Ní fhoilsítear aon ghnáthluaineacht don tsraith seo: ní chuirtear aon athrú in iúl in aonaid luaineachta. Ionchur atá ar iarraidh é sin, ní nialas.

nochtadh stoc D7: laethanta cumhdaigh na gcúlstoc ola mar a foilsíodh iad, tugtha ar aghaidh gan athrú

Aonad: lá cumhdaighFoilsithe: míosúilRíofaArd
T0−30T0+30+60+90107.093.72026-01-01: 95.33 lá cumhdaigh, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −30an luach céanna agus ag T0: 2026-02-01, 102.2 lá cumhdaigh, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −14, −7, −3, −1, T02026-03-01: 105.7 lá cumhdaigh, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +1, +3, +7, +14, +302026-04-01: 99.08 lá cumhdaigh, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-01: 95.03 lá cumhdaigh, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +90

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.

Tábla na fuinneoige (nochtadh stoc D7: laethanta cumhdaigh na gcúlstoc ola mar a foilsíodh iad, tugtha ar aghaidh gan athrú): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-0195.33-6.880-6.73%-0.81
−142026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0102.20.0000.00%0.00
−72026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0102.20.0000.00%0.00
−32026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0102.20.0000.00%0.00
−12026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0102.20.0000.00%0.00
T02026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0102.20.0000.00%0.00
+12026-03-01105.7+3.521+3.44%+0.42
+32026-03-01105.7+3.521+3.44%+0.42
+72026-03-01105.7+3.521+3.44%+0.42
+142026-03-01105.7+3.521+3.44%+0.42
+302026-03-01105.7+3.521+3.44%+0.42
+602026-04-0199.08-3.131-3.06%-0.37
+902026-05-0195.03-7.184-7.03%-0.85

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 8.29%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó mhí go mí; líon na n-athruithe: 35) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

Aonad: € an lítearFoilsithe: seachtainiúilRíofaArd
T0−30T0+30+60+900.7130.3352026-01-26: 0.3714 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −302026-02-09: 0.3742 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −142026-02-16: 0.3817 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −7an luach céanna agus ag T0: 2026-02-23, 0.3806 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −3, −1, T0, +12026-03-02: 0.4615 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +3, +72026-03-09: 0.5233 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +142026-03-30: 0.6763 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +302026-04-27: 0.6445 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-25: 0.5248 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +90

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.

Tábla na fuinneoige (crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-260.3714-0.009-2.40%-0.66
−142026-02-090.3742-0.006-1.68%-0.46
−72026-02-160.3817+0.001+0.29%+0.08
−32026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.38060.0000.00%0.00
−12026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.38060.0000.00%0.00
T02026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.38060.0000.00%0.00
+12026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.38060.0000.00%0.00
+32026-03-020.4615+0.081+21.26%+5.80
+72026-03-020.4615+0.081+21.26%+5.80
+142026-03-090.5233+0.143+37.50%+10.24
+302026-03-300.6763+0.296+77.69%+21.21
+602026-04-270.6445+0.264+69.35%+18.93
+902026-05-250.5248+0.144+37.88%+10.34

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 3.66%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó sheachtain go seachtain; líon na n-athruithe: 155) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

stoic ola náisiúnta iomlána (Eurostat, sealbhóirí tráchtála), leis na laethanta cumhdaigh foilsithe in éineacht leo

Aonad: tFoilsithe: míosúilRíofaArd
T0−30T0+30+60+904,506,3303,809,8052026-01-01: 3,877,211 t, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −30an luach céanna agus ag T0: 2026-02-01, 4,202,963 t, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −14, −7, −3, −1, T02026-03-01: 4,438,924 t, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +1, +3, +7, +14, +302026-04-01: 4,296,148 t, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-01: 4,288,445 t, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +90

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.

Tábla na fuinneoige (stoic ola náisiúnta iomlána (Eurostat, sealbhóirí tráchtála), leis na laethanta cumhdaigh foilsithe in éineacht leo): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-013,877,211-325,752-7.75%-1.54
−142026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T04,202,9630.0000.00%0.00
−72026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T04,202,9630.0000.00%0.00
−32026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T04,202,9630.0000.00%0.00
−12026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T04,202,9630.0000.00%0.00
T02026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T04,202,9630.0000.00%0.00
+12026-03-014,438,924+235,961+5.61%+1.12
+32026-03-014,438,924+235,961+5.61%+1.12
+72026-03-014,438,924+235,961+5.61%+1.12
+142026-03-014,438,924+235,961+5.61%+1.12
+302026-03-014,438,924+235,961+5.61%+1.12
+602026-04-014,296,148+93,185+2.22%+0.44
+902026-05-014,288,445+85,482+2.03%+0.41

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 5.02%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó mhí go mí; líon na n-athruithe: 35) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

Aonad: € an lítearFoilsithe: seachtainiúilRíofaMeánach
T0−30T0+30+60+900.106-0.0132026-01-26: 0.0025 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −302026-02-09: -0.0011 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −142026-02-16: 0.0011 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −7an luach céanna agus ag T0: 2026-02-23, 0 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −3, −1, T0, +12026-03-02: 0.0072 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +3, +72026-03-09: 0.0372 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +142026-03-30: 0.0517 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +302026-04-27: 0.0376 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-25: 0.0945 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +90

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.

Tábla na fuinneoige (not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-260.0025+0.002neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
−142026-02-09-0.0011-0.001neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
−72026-02-160.0011+0.001neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
−32026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T000.000neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
−12026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T000.000neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
T02026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T000.000neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+12026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T000.000neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+32026-03-020.0072+0.007neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+72026-03-020.0072+0.007neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+142026-03-090.0372+0.037neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+302026-03-300.0517+0.052neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+602026-04-270.0376+0.038neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+902026-05-250.0945+0.094neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe

Ní fhoilsítear aon ghnáthluaineacht don tsraith seo: ní chuirtear aon athrú in iúl in aonaid luaineachta. Ionchur atá ar iarraidh é sin, ní nialas.

praghas le cánacha an Fheasacháin Ola Sheachtainiúil

Aonad: € an lítearFoilsithe: seachtainiúilRíofaArd
T0−30T0+30+60+902.1861.6722026-01-26: 1.722 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −302026-02-09: 1.729 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −142026-02-16: 1.734 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −7an luach céanna agus ag T0: 2026-02-23, 1.738 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −3, −1, T0, +12026-03-02: 1.757 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +3, +72026-03-09: 1.852 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +142026-03-30: 2.046 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +302026-04-27: 2.042 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-25: 2.136 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +90

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.

Tábla na fuinneoige (praghas le cánacha an Fheasacháin Ola Sheachtainiúil): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-261.722-0.016-0.92%-1.04
−142026-02-091.729-0.009-0.52%-0.58
−72026-02-161.734-0.004-0.23%-0.26
−32026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T01.7380.0000.00%0.00
−12026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T01.7380.0000.00%0.00
T02026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T01.7380.0000.00%0.00
+12026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T01.7380.0000.00%0.00
+32026-03-021.757+0.019+1.09%+1.23
+72026-03-021.757+0.019+1.09%+1.23
+142026-03-091.852+0.114+6.56%+7.37
+302026-03-302.046+0.308+17.72%+19.92
+602026-04-272.042+0.304+17.49%+19.67
+902026-05-252.136+0.398+22.90%+25.75

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 0.89%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó sheachtain go seachtain; líon na n-athruithe: 155) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

praghas gan chánacha an Fheasacháin Ola Sheachtainiúil

Aonad: € an lítearFoilsithe: seachtainiúilRíofaArd
T0−30T0+30+60+901.0470.6332026-01-26: 0.6734 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −302026-02-09: 0.6790 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −142026-02-16: 0.6830 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −7an luach céanna agus ag T0: 2026-02-23, 0.6863 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −3, −1, T0, +12026-03-02: 0.7016 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +3, +72026-03-09: 0.7782 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +142026-03-30: 0.9347 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +302026-04-27: 0.9314 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-25: 1.007 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +90

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.

Tábla na fuinneoige (praghas gan chánacha an Fheasacháin Ola Sheachtainiúil): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-260.6734-0.013-1.88%-1.11
−142026-02-090.6790-0.007-1.06%-0.62
−72026-02-160.6830-0.003-0.47%-0.28
−32026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.68630.0000.00%0.00
−12026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.68630.0000.00%0.00
T02026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.68630.0000.00%0.00
+12026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.68630.0000.00%0.00
+32026-03-020.7016+0.015+2.23%+1.31
+72026-03-020.7016+0.015+2.23%+1.31
+142026-03-090.7782+0.092+13.40%+7.89
+302026-03-300.9347+0.248+36.19%+21.31
+602026-04-270.9314+0.245+35.72%+21.03
+902026-05-251.007+0.321+46.77%+27.53

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 1.70%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó sheachtain go seachtain; líon na n-athruithe: 155) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

Aonad: € an lítearFoilsithe: seachtainiúilRíofaArd
T0−30T0+30+60+901.1381.0392026-01-26: 1.049 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −302026-02-09: 1.050 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −142026-02-16: 1.051 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −7an luach céanna agus ag T0: 2026-02-23, 1.052 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −3, −1, T0, +12026-03-02: 1.055 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +3, +72026-03-09: 1.074 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +142026-03-30: 1.111 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +302026-04-27: 1.111 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-25: 1.129 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +90

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.

Tábla na fuinneoige (total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-261.049-0.003-0.29%-0.98
−142026-02-091.050-0.002-0.17%-0.55
−72026-02-161.051-0.001-0.07%-0.25
−32026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T01.0520.0000.00%0.00
−12026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T01.0520.0000.00%0.00
T02026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T01.0520.0000.00%0.00
+12026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T01.0520.0000.00%0.00
+32026-03-021.055+0.004+0.35%+1.17
+72026-03-021.055+0.004+0.35%+1.17
+142026-03-091.074+0.022+2.10%+7.02
+302026-03-301.111+0.060+5.67%+18.96
+602026-04-271.111+0.059+5.59%+18.71
+902026-05-251.129+0.077+7.32%+24.50

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 0.30%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó sheachtain go seachtain; líon na n-athruithe: 155) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Aonad: $ an bairilleFoilsithe: laethúilRíofaÍseal
T0−30T0+30+60+9044.976.732026-01-29: 19.97 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −302026-02-13: 10.43 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −142026-02-20: 11.42 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −72026-02-25: 13.39 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −3an luach céanna agus ag T0: 2026-02-27, 15.87 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −1, T0, +12026-03-03: 19.87 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +32026-03-06: 20.56 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +72026-03-13: 25.33 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +142026-03-30: 21.09 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +302026-04-29: 34.94 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-29: 41.27 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +90

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh.

Tábla na fuinneoige (US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-2919.97+4.100+25.83%+0.93
−142026-02-1310.43-5.444-34.30%-1.23
−72026-02-2011.42-4.454-28.06%-1.00
−32026-02-2513.39-2.478-15.61%-0.56
−12026-02-27an luach céanna agus ag T015.870.0000.00%0.00
T02026-02-27an luach céanna agus ag T015.870.0000.00%0.00
+12026-02-27an luach céanna agus ag T015.870.0000.00%0.00
+32026-03-0319.87+4.000+25.20%+0.90
+72026-03-0620.56+4.686+29.52%+1.06
+142026-03-1325.33+9.460+59.60%+2.13
+302026-03-3021.09+5.216+32.86%+1.18
+602026-04-2934.94+19.064+120.11%+4.30
+902026-05-2941.27+25.396+160.01%+5.73

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 27.92%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó lá go lá; líon na n-athruithe: 733) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Aonad: $ an bairilleFoilsithe: laethúilRíofaÍseal
T0−30T0+30+60+9062.7117.062026-01-29: 23.42 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −302026-02-13: 21.47 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −142026-02-20: 27.04 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −72026-02-25: 33.05 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −3an luach céanna agus ag T0: 2026-02-27, 30.66 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −1, T0, +12026-03-03: 41.29 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +32026-03-06: 48.07 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +72026-03-13: 56.03 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +142026-03-30: 56.07 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +302026-04-29: 58.29 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-29: 43.07 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +90

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh.

Tábla na fuinneoige (US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-2923.42-7.240-23.62%-2.64
−142026-02-1321.47-9.182-29.95%-3.35
−72026-02-2027.04-3.614-11.79%-1.32
−32026-02-2533.05+2.394+7.81%+0.87
−12026-02-27an luach céanna agus ag T030.660.0000.00%0.00
T02026-02-27an luach céanna agus ag T030.660.0000.00%0.00
+12026-02-27an luach céanna agus ag T030.660.0000.00%0.00
+32026-03-0341.29+10.636+34.69%+3.88
+72026-03-0648.07+17.412+56.80%+6.35
+142026-03-1356.03+25.378+82.78%+9.26
+302026-03-3056.07+25.418+82.91%+9.28
+602026-04-2958.29+27.632+90.14%+10.08
+902026-05-2943.07+12.418+40.51%+4.53

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 8.94%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó lá go lá; líon na n-athruithe: 733) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

Níl sé ar fáil: bac ceadúnais

Tá foinse ann agus ní cheadaíonn a ceadúnas dúinn í a athfhoilsiú. Níl na cainéil seo ar iarraidh ón domhan, ach ón leathanach seo amháin.

ráta tancaer (dirty) ó Mhurascaill na Peirse go dtí iarthuaisceart na hEorpa

Tá ceadúnais rátaí lastais tancaer den chineál a thoirmisceann go sainráite taispeáint phoiblí, iad a chur ar aghaidh agus sonraí díorthaithe (fíoraithe focal ar fhocal), agus ní fhoilsíonn aon institiúid oscailte ráta tancaer (ró 17: BLOCKED).

Fritháirimh san fhuinneog lena mbaineann sé seo: 13.

tagarmharc táirgí peitriliam AE

Is le dílseánaigh iad tagarmharcanna táirgí peitriliam an AE (Platts / Argus) agus níl cead athdháilte leo (ró 16: BLOCKED). Ní athróga ionadacha bailí don AE iad crack spreads SAM agus ní chuirtear ina n-áit iad.

Fritháirimh san fhuinneog lena mbaineann sé seo: 13.

corrlach scaglainne iarthuaisceart na hEorpa / crack spread

Níl aon sraith foilsithe de chorrlaigh scaglainne againn, agus theastódh tagarmharcanna táirgí ceadúnaithe an AE, nach bhféadfar a athfhoilsiú, chun corrlach a ríomh muid féin.

Fritháirimh san fhuinneog lena mbaineann sé seo: 13.

praghas mórdhíola (rack)

Is le dílseánaigh iad sraitheanna praghsanna mórdhíola (rack) agus níl cead athdháilte leo (ró 16: BLOCKED).

Fritháirimh san fhuinneog lena mbaineann sé seo: 13.

Foinse
European Commission, Directorate-General for Energy (DG ENER)Anaithnid
Tréimhse 2026-01Nuashonraithe 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTCMuinínAnaithnidModheolaíochtÍoslódáil CSV

T0: 28/02/2026. Fuinneog bhunlíne: -90 go -31 lá. Fritháirimh a ríomhadh: -30, -14, -7, -3, -1, 0, 1, 3, 7, 14, 30, 60, 90. Modh 1.0, ríomh event_study-1.0, ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC.

Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026): an é an chúis i ndáiríre?

Roinntear an cheist i ngnéithe a thomhaistear ar leithligh agus nach suimítear riamh in aon uimhir amháin. Insíonn gach ró an féidir linn an ghné sin a fheiceáil ar chor ar bith, agus tugann sé figiúr foilsithe amháin nuair is féidir.

Cainéil tarchuir praghsanna a bhfuil sonraí acu sa ríomh seo (as an ocht gcinn a thuairiscíonn an suíomh seo): 4 Ríofa. Líon na rónna thíos atá ann, ní tomhas.

Foilsíonn Modheolaíocht §11.1 na tairseacha a úsáideann na habairtí thíos: na hocht gcainéal go léir don chomparáid iomlán, trí cinn ar a laghad chun gur féidir an t-éileamh a thástáil anseo ar chor ar bith, agus tairseach (aonaid luaineachta) de 2.0 chun cur síos ar ghluaiseacht mar ghluaiseacht lasmuigh de ghnáthathraitheacht sraithe. Roghanna foclaíochta foilsithe iad sin, ní tástálacha staitistiúla.

Gnéithe den nochtadh (teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026)), gach ceann lena stádas agus le figiúr foilsithe amháin.
GnéStádasFigiúr foilsithe, nó an fáth nach bhfuil ceann ann
Nochtadh díreach amhola (D1)An sciar den amhola allmhairithe a gcaithfidh a bealach dul trí Chaolas Hormuz.Raon amháin
29.29–48.80 % de na tonnaí allmhairithe fritháireamh: +30 d (2026-03) · gan lárphointe
Nochtadh díreach táirgí (D2)An sciar de na táirgí peitriliam allmhairithe a gcaithfidh a mbealach dul trí Chaolas Hormuz.Raon amháin
0–29.22 % de na tonnaí allmhairithe fritháireamh: +30 d (2026-03) · gan lárphointe
Laethanta cumhdaigh na gcúlstoc ola (D7)Líon na laethanta cumhdaigh atá sna cúlstoic ola foilsithe. Maolán i gcoinne suaitheadh soláthair, ní sciar d’allmhairí, agus ní cainéal praghais.Breathnaithe
105.7 lá cumhdaigh fritháireamh: +30 d (foilsithe: 2026-03-01)+3.44% i gcomparáid leis an leibhéal ag T0 = +0.42 aonaid luaineachta
Tagarmharc amholaAn praghas amhola luaite a mbunaítear praghas lastas Eorpach air.Breathnaithe
121.9 $ an bairille fritháireamh: +30 d (foilsithe: 2026-03-30)+70.89% i gcomparáid leis an leibhéal ag T0 = +36.70 aonaid luaineachta
Tagarmharc táirgí peitriliamAn praghas táirge luaite a mbunaíonn scaglanna agus mórdhíoltóirí a bpraghsanna air.Níl sé ar fáilIs le dílseánaigh iad tagarmharcanna táirgí peitriliam an AE (Platts / Argus) agus níl cead athdháilte leo (ró 16: BLOCKED). Ní athróga ionadacha bailí don AE iad crack spreads SAM agus ní chuirtear ina n-áit iad.
Corrlach scaglainneAn méid a tuilleadh as bairille a scagadh chun an táirge seo a dhéanamh.Níl sé ar fáilNíl aon sraith foilsithe de chorrlaigh scaglainne againn, agus theastódh tagarmharcanna táirgí ceadúnaithe an AE, nach bhféadfar a athfhoilsiú, chun corrlach a ríomh muid féin.
Rátaí lastaisCé mhéad a chosain sé an lasta a sheoladh.Níl sé ar fáilTá ceadúnais rátaí lastais tancaer den chineál a thoirmisceann go sainráite taispeáint phoiblí, iad a chur ar aghaidh agus sonraí díorthaithe (fíoraithe focal ar fhocal), agus ní fhoilsíonn aon institiúid oscailte ráta tancaer (ró 17: BLOCKED).
StoicStoic a choinnítear, a mhaolaíonn nó a mhéadaíonn athrú soláthair.Breathnaithe
4,438,924 t fritháireamh: +30 d (foilsithe: 2026-03-01)+5.61% i gcomparáid leis an leibhéal ag T0 = +1.12 aonaid luaineachta
Praghsanna mórdhíolaAn praghas idir geata na scaglainne agus an stáisiún peitril.Níl sé ar fáilIs le dílseánaigh iad sraitheanna praghsanna mórdhíola (rack) agus níl cead athdháilte leo (ró 16: BLOCKED).
Praghas ag an gcaidéal gan chánachaAn praghas ag an gcaidéal agus an dleacht mháil, an CBL agus cánacha eile ar bhreosla bainte de.Breathnaithe
0.9347 € an lítear fritháireamh: +30 d (foilsithe: 2026-03-30)+36.19% i gcomparáid leis an leibhéal ag T0 = +21.31 aonaid luaineachta
Praghas ag an gcaidéal le cáinAn méid a d’íoc tiománaí i ndáiríre.Breathnaithe
2.046 € an lítear fritháireamh: +30 d (foilsithe: 2026-03-30)+17.72% i gcomparáid leis an leibhéal ag T0 = +19.92 aonaid luaineachta

Is ceisteanna éagsúla iad nochtadh fisiceach (Caolas Hormuz) agus nochtadh praghais. Is féidir le praghas ag an gcaidéal bogadh fiú i dtír nach bhfuil mórán nochta fhisicigh dhírigh aici: praghsáiltear amhola go domhanda, agus d’fhéadfadh sraith a bhog san fhuinneog seo bogadh ar chúiseanna eile.

Cad a rinne an praghas ag an gcaidéal thart ar an dáta seo

Is féidir leathanach an mhiondealaithe a shocrú ar na seachtainí thart ar dháta an teagmhais, ionas gur féidir an ghluaiseacht ag an gcaidéal a roinnt ina cáin, ina costas ionchuir agus sa chuid nach gclúdaíonn an costas ionchuir.

Miondealú an phraghais, 21/02/2026 – 30/03/2026 →

Is í an fhuinneog dáta foilsithe an teagmhais lúide 7 lá go dtí móide 30 lá. Fuinneog le breathnú tríthi atá ann, ní éileamh gurbh é an teagmhas bunús an ruda atá inti.

An t-athrú iarbhír agus an t-athrú ón amhola amháin: an Ghréig, peitreal (Euro-super 95)

Cad a rinne an praghas gan chánacha ó cheithre seachtaine roimh sheachtain an teagmhais go dtí trí seachtaine déag ina diaidh, taobh leis an méid a dhéanfadh sé dá leanfadh sé costas ionchuir na hamhola amháin ar an luas a thomhaiseann an meastachán stóráilte ar an tarchur praghsanna. Níl an difríocht scáthaithe mínithe ag an amhola; ní shanntar don teagmhas ná d’aon rud eile í.

Níorbh fhéidir an chomparáid leis an amhola amháin a léamh.

API 404 for /api/events/hormuz-2026/crude-only: No stored crude-only run for 'hormuz-2026' and country 'greece'. Runs are stored for the pilot countries; available_countries lists them.

An méid a dtacaíonn na huimhreacha leis, abairt ar abairt

Tagann gach abairt ó theimpléad seasta, arna roghnú de réir tairseach foilsithe. Oscail “Cén fáth an abairt seo” chun na huimhreacha a roghnaigh í a fheiceáil. Níor scríobh múnla teanga aon chuid den téacs seo, agus ní shanntar cúis in aon áit ann.

  1. Teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026); 7 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (gan chánacha, peitreal, an Ghréig) +2.2%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 1.3, laistigh den raon sin.

    tír: an GhréigRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    0.7015954838709678
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Greece
    z_score
    1.1802399073958523
    t0_value
    0.6862729032258064
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    2.232724120847275
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_GR_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    GR
    country_name
    Greece
    country_slug
    greece
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    1.3143411309834614
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.015322580645161454
    change_pct_from_t0
    2.232724120847275
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.698740203904773
    change_in_volatility_units
    1.3143411309834614
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    0.7015954838709678
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Greece
    z_score
    1.1802399073958523
    t0_value
    0.6862729032258064
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    2.232724120847275
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_GR_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    GR
    country_name
    Greece
    country_slug
    greece
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    1.3143411309834614
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.015322580645161454
    change_pct_from_t0
    2.232724120847275
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.698740203904773
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    1.3143411309834614

    Teimpléad event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 0cc7ac3c2402ac4d13ffe735b8ef3d41acb72a59cb9e3153f44d1783dd4b5c8d · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  2. Teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026); 30 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (gan chánacha, peitreal, an Ghréig) +36.2%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 21.3, lasmuigh den raon sin.

    tír: an GhréigRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    0.9346599999999999
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Greece
    z_score
    14.585497545546872
    t0_value
    0.6862729032258064
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    36.19363311689228
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_GR_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    GR
    country_name
    Greece
    country_slug
    greece
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-30
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    21.30616149173167
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.24838709677419357
    change_pct_from_t0
    36.19363311689228
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.698740203904773
    change_in_volatility_units
    21.30616149173167
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    0.9346599999999999
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Greece
    z_score
    14.585497545546872
    t0_value
    0.6862729032258064
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    36.19363311689228
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_GR_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    GR
    country_name
    Greece
    country_slug
    greece
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-30
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    21.30616149173167
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.24838709677419357
    change_pct_from_t0
    36.19363311689228
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.698740203904773
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    21.30616149173167

    Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg ef8fabd8ad90a17510ce52a89cbab0883386f4f0f1d31e21d166ad5b97f7dc36 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  3. Teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026); 90 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (gan chánacha, peitreal, an Ghréig) +46.8%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 27.5, lasmuigh den raon sin.

    tír: an GhréigRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    1.0072406451612903
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Greece
    z_score
    18.760145252929547
    t0_value
    0.6862729032258064
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    46.76969474195821
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_GR_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    GR
    country_name
    Greece
    country_slug
    greece
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-05-25
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    27.531987901653267
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.32096774193548394
    change_pct_from_t0
    46.76969474195821
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.698740203904773
    change_in_volatility_units
    27.531987901653267
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    1.0072406451612903
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Greece
    z_score
    18.760145252929547
    t0_value
    0.6862729032258064
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    46.76969474195821
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_GR_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    GR
    country_name
    Greece
    country_slug
    greece
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-05-25
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    27.531987901653267
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.32096774193548394
    change_pct_from_t0
    46.76969474195821
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.698740203904773
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    27.531987901653267

    Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg b601a1ca17b791dc23117af11f6590e76310b8d581bea8bbfa009ce88fb6f7c9 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  4. Teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026); 7 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (le cáin, peitreal, an Ghréig) +1.1%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 1.2, laistigh den raon sin.

    tír: an GhréigRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    1.7570000000000001
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Greece
    z_score
    1.1802399073958496
    t0_value
    1.738
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    1.0932105868814803
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_GR_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    GR
    country_name
    Greece
    country_slug
    greece
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    1.2291124560024265
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.019000000000000128
    change_pct_from_t0
    1.0932105868814803
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    0.8894308910000357
    change_in_volatility_units
    1.2291124560024265
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    1.7570000000000001
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Greece
    z_score
    1.1802399073958496
    t0_value
    1.738
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    1.0932105868814803
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_GR_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    GR
    country_name
    Greece
    country_slug
    greece
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    1.2291124560024265
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.019000000000000128
    change_pct_from_t0
    1.0932105868814803
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    0.8894308910000357
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    1.2291124560024265

    Teimpléad event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 3e9961a1d8ee7e0ce82a139d0480cb84c0c4d5a0b547f55fe859b62944acdaee · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  5. Teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026); 30 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (le cáin, peitreal, an Ghréig) +17.7%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 19.9, lasmuigh den raon sin.

    tír: an GhréigRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    2.0460000000000003
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Greece
    z_score
    14.585497545546884
    t0_value
    1.738
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    17.72151898734179
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_GR_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    GR
    country_name
    Greece
    country_slug
    greece
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-30
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    19.92455981309185
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.3080000000000003
    change_pct_from_t0
    17.72151898734179
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    0.8894308910000357
    change_in_volatility_units
    19.92455981309185
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    2.0460000000000003
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Greece
    z_score
    14.585497545546884
    t0_value
    1.738
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    17.72151898734179
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_GR_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    GR
    country_name
    Greece
    country_slug
    greece
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-30
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    19.92455981309185
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.3080000000000003
    change_pct_from_t0
    17.72151898734179
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    0.8894308910000357
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    19.92455981309185

    Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 9dca48b5d64ec5137d2760992254e150a03ed7c2119f18b286614306aea70889 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  6. Teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026); 90 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (le cáin, peitreal, an Ghréig) +22.9%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 25.7, lasmuigh den raon sin.

    tír: an GhréigRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    2.136
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Greece
    z_score
    18.76014525292955
    t0_value
    1.738
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    22.899884925201388
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_GR_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    GR
    country_name
    Greece
    country_slug
    greece
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-05-25
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    25.746671446787502
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.39800000000000013
    change_pct_from_t0
    22.899884925201388
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    0.8894308910000357
    change_in_volatility_units
    25.746671446787502
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    2.136
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Greece
    z_score
    18.76014525292955
    t0_value
    1.738
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    22.899884925201388
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_GR_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    GR
    country_name
    Greece
    country_slug
    greece
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-05-25
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    25.746671446787502
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.39800000000000013
    change_pct_from_t0
    22.899884925201388
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    0.8894308910000357
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    25.746671446787502

    Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg c99da52a7945d5435d3a60b6171fb457658442895db87f38b2cb6ce536f4b7d2 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  7. Teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026); 7 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (gan chánacha, díosal, an Ghréig) +2.5%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 1.6, laistigh den raon sin.

    tír: an GhréigRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    0.8450248387096774
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Greece
    z_score
    1.1863217033128732
    t0_value
    0.8240570967741937
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    2.5444525649451704
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_GR_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    GR
    country_name
    Greece
    country_slug
    greece
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    1.6061679039888994
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.020967741935483675
    change_pct_from_t0
    2.5444525649451704
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.5841759498655477
    change_in_volatility_units
    1.6061679039888994
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    0.8450248387096774
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Greece
    z_score
    1.1863217033128732
    t0_value
    0.8240570967741937
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    2.5444525649451704
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_GR_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    GR
    country_name
    Greece
    country_slug
    greece
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    1.6061679039888994
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.020967741935483675
    change_pct_from_t0
    2.5444525649451704
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.5841759498655477
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    1.6061679039888994

    Teimpléad event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg f2aedbf0bdc8d75ad1a5baf44770e0b1272d6b123b0e6e777d2a08d04313b027 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  8. Teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026); 30 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (gan chánacha, díosal, an Ghréig) +55.8%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 35.2, lasmuigh den raon sin.

    tír: an GhréigRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    1.2837345161290323
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Greece
    z_score
    20.292344925088667
    t0_value
    0.8240570967741937
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    55.78222930841386
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_GR_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    GR
    country_name
    Greece
    country_slug
    greece
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-30
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    35.21214251052619
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.45967741935483863
    change_pct_from_t0
    55.78222930841386
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.5841759498655477
    change_in_volatility_units
    35.21214251052619
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    1.2837345161290323
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Greece
    z_score
    20.292344925088667
    t0_value
    0.8240570967741937
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    55.78222930841386
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_GR_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    GR
    country_name
    Greece
    country_slug
    greece
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-30
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    35.21214251052619
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.45967741935483863
    change_pct_from_t0
    55.78222930841386
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.5841759498655477
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    35.21214251052619

    Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 26c05287ad2681df2e361d9b001f7afef46c8edf838f058f4ad28827b29b4edd · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  9. Teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026); 90 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (gan chánacha, díosal, an Ghréig) +26.1%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 16.5, lasmuigh den raon sin.

    tír: an GhréigRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    1.0393796774193549
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Greece
    z_score
    9.650570961489283
    t0_value
    0.8240570967741937
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    26.129570570783326
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_GR_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    GR
    country_name
    Greece
    country_slug
    greece
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-05-25
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    16.494108860193844
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.2153225806451612
    change_pct_from_t0
    26.129570570783326
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.5841759498655477
    change_in_volatility_units
    16.494108860193844
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    1.0393796774193549
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Greece
    z_score
    9.650570961489283
    t0_value
    0.8240570967741937
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    26.129570570783326
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_GR_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    GR
    country_name
    Greece
    country_slug
    greece
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-05-25
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    16.494108860193844
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.2153225806451612
    change_pct_from_t0
    26.129570570783326
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.5841759498655477
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    16.494108860193844

    Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 962eaa8e9563b19e0048835b16d9050e1741520bfbf2a6a52171178036f5588e · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  10. Teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026); 7 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (le cáin, díosal, an Ghréig) +1.7%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 1.6, laistigh den raon sin.

    tír: an GhréigRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    1.574
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Greece
    z_score
    1.1863217033128837
    t0_value
    1.548
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    1.679586563307495
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_GR_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    GR
    country_name
    Greece
    country_slug
    greece
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    1.5736956668870277
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.026000000000000023
    change_pct_from_t0
    1.679586563307495
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.0672880396436073
    change_in_volatility_units
    1.5736956668870277
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    1.574
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Greece
    z_score
    1.1863217033128837
    t0_value
    1.548
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    1.679586563307495
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_GR_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    GR
    country_name
    Greece
    country_slug
    greece
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    1.5736956668870277
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.026000000000000023
    change_pct_from_t0
    1.679586563307495
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.0672880396436073
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    1.5736956668870277

    Teimpléad event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 842b3c431457fcca786ba2ef7a5f4ae0dd2c009da98c12562725f484b048418d · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  11. Teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026); 30 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (le cáin, díosal, an Ghréig) +36.8%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 34.5, lasmuigh den raon sin.

    tír: an GhréigRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    2.118
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Greece
    z_score
    20.292344925088724
    t0_value
    1.548
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    36.82170542635658
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_GR_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    GR
    country_name
    Greece
    country_slug
    greece
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-30
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    34.50025115867711
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.5699999999999998
    change_pct_from_t0
    36.82170542635658
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.0672880396436073
    change_in_volatility_units
    34.50025115867711
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    2.118
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Greece
    z_score
    20.292344925088724
    t0_value
    1.548
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    36.82170542635658
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_GR_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    GR
    country_name
    Greece
    country_slug
    greece
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-30
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    34.50025115867711
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.5699999999999998
    change_pct_from_t0
    36.82170542635658
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.0672880396436073
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    34.50025115867711

    Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg d0c6d1db3372102e064ab203dd57232e232642ab93a7cb42b1ab18996e6efe5d · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  12. Teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026); 90 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (le cáin, díosal, an Ghréig) +17.2%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 16.2, lasmuigh den raon sin.

    tír: an GhréigRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    1.815
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Greece
    z_score
    9.650570961489311
    t0_value
    1.548
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    17.24806201550387
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_GR_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    GR
    country_name
    Greece
    country_slug
    greece
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-05-25
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    16.16064396380138
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.2669999999999999
    change_pct_from_t0
    17.24806201550387
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.0672880396436073
    change_in_volatility_units
    16.16064396380138
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    1.815
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Greece
    z_score
    9.650570961489311
    t0_value
    1.548
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    17.24806201550387
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_GR_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    GR
    country_name
    Greece
    country_slug
    greece
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-05-25
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    16.16064396380138
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.2669999999999999
    change_pct_from_t0
    17.24806201550387
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.0672880396436073
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    16.16064396380138

    Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg e4ef76509a1d175536f27b3bb4f0cfc5be9d7b2166aad36e8b55984b164c3dc5 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  13. Pointe tagartha: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026). Laistigh den fhad ón bpointe sin (4 seachtaine), d’athródh costais na hamhola amháin an praghas gan chánacha (peitreal, an Ghréig) +17.2 c/l (raon +12.4–+21.9); d’athraigh sé +24.1 c/l i ndáiríre, agus tá +7.0 c/l fágtha gan mhíniú ag an amhola. Thar an tréimhse chéanna, leathnaigh crack spread SAM (gásailín), athróg ionadach do mhargadh táirgí an Atlantaigh agus ní corrlach Eorpach, 9.9 $/bbl.

    tír: an GhréigRíofaMeánach
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    weeks
    4
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Greece
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_GR_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    GR
    country_name
    Greece
    country_slug
    greece
    offset_weeks
    4
    proxy_product
    GASOLINE
    proxy_to_date
    2026-03-23
    pass_through_k
    2
    proxy_from_date
    2026-02-23
    observation_date
    2026-03-23
    gap_eur_per_litre
    0.06957307051704384
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2026-02-23
    actual_eur_per_litre
    0.2411290322580646
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.17155596174102075
    proxy_volatility_units
    2.8999750350600633
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    9.9
    pass_through_sample_start
    2023-09-25
    pass_through_window_label
    ROLLING_156W
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    0.12394061628240238
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.2191713071996393
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    27.922644296421584
    Tairseacha
    source
    docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
    proxy_rule
    the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
    confidence_cap
    MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
    statement_weeks
    [4,13]
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    weeks
    4
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Greece
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_GR_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    GR
    country_name
    Greece
    country_slug
    greece
    offset_weeks
    4
    proxy_product
    GASOLINE
    proxy_to_date
    2026-03-23
    pass_through_k
    2
    proxy_from_date
    2026-02-23
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2026-03-23
    gap_eur_per_litre
    0.06957307051704384
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2026-02-23
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    actual_eur_per_litre
    0.2411290322580646
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.17155596174102075
    proxy_volatility_units
    2.8999750350600633
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    9.9
    pass_through_sample_start
    2023-09-25
    pass_through_window_label
    ROLLING_156W
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    0.12394061628240238
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.2191713071996393
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    27.922644296421584

    Teimpléad event.crude_only.computed_with_proxy v1.2 · Méarlorg 9a0463a9563298758cc244e35219880b6e57ff1c58710784b37d27fc7c2e748c · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  14. Pointe tagartha: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026). Laistigh den fhad ón bpointe sin (seachtainí: 13), d’athródh costais na hamhola amháin an praghas gan chánacha (peitreal, an Ghréig) +22.7 c/l (raon +8.5–+36.8); d’athraigh sé +32.1 c/l i ndáiríre, agus tá +9.4 c/l fágtha gan mhíniú ag an amhola. Thar an tréimhse chéanna, leathnaigh crack spread SAM (gásailín), athróg ionadach do mhargadh táirgí an Atlantaigh agus ní corrlach Eorpach, 27.0 $/bbl.

    tír: an GhréigRíofaMeánach
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    weeks
    13
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Greece
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_GR_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    GR
    country_name
    Greece
    country_slug
    greece
    offset_weeks
    13
    proxy_product
    GASOLINE
    proxy_to_date
    2026-05-22
    pass_through_k
    2
    proxy_from_date
    2026-02-23
    observation_date
    2026-05-25
    gap_eur_per_litre
    0.09446012515545424
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2026-02-23
    actual_eur_per_litre
    0.32096774193548394
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.2265076167800297
    proxy_volatility_units
    7.918982333112501
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    27.034
    pass_through_sample_start
    2023-09-25
    pass_through_window_label
    ROLLING_156W
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    0.08497241419909017
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.3680428193609684
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    27.922644296421584
    Tairseacha
    source
    docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
    proxy_rule
    the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
    confidence_cap
    MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
    statement_weeks
    [4,13]
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    weeks
    13
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Greece
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_GR_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    GR
    country_name
    Greece
    country_slug
    greece
    offset_weeks
    13
    proxy_product
    GASOLINE
    proxy_to_date
    2026-05-22
    pass_through_k
    2
    proxy_from_date
    2026-02-23
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2026-05-25
    gap_eur_per_litre
    0.09446012515545424
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2026-02-23
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    actual_eur_per_litre
    0.32096774193548394
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.2265076167800297
    proxy_volatility_units
    7.918982333112501
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    27.034
    pass_through_sample_start
    2023-09-25
    pass_through_window_label
    ROLLING_156W
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    0.08497241419909017
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.3680428193609684
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    27.922644296421584

    Teimpléad event.crude_only.computed_with_proxy v1.2 · Méarlorg d57bf5e48e1e377078ac5416206bf2593718b6cbef9173be9e5bf7311b270519 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  15. Pointe tagartha: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026). Laistigh den fhad ón bpointe sin (4 seachtaine), d’athródh costais na hamhola amháin an praghas gan chánacha (díosal, an Ghréig) +29.1 c/l (raon +18.3–+39.9); d’athraigh sé +40.9 c/l i ndáiríre, agus tá +11.8 c/l fágtha gan mhíniú ag an amhola. Thar an tréimhse chéanna, leathnaigh crack spread SAM (díosal), athróg ionadach do mhargadh táirgí an Atlantaigh agus ní corrlach Eorpach, 28.8 $/bbl.

    tír: an GhréigRíofaMeánach
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    weeks
    4
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Greece
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_GR_DIESEL
    country_iso2
    GR
    country_name
    Greece
    country_slug
    greece
    offset_weeks
    4
    proxy_product
    DIESEL
    proxy_to_date
    2026-03-23
    pass_through_k
    2
    proxy_from_date
    2026-02-23
    observation_date
    2026-03-23
    gap_eur_per_litre
    0.11810921933314578
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2026-02-23
    actual_eur_per_litre
    0.40887096774193543
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.29076174840878966
    proxy_volatility_units
    10.98407307729496
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    28.757999999999996
    pass_through_sample_start
    2023-09-25
    pass_through_window_label
    ROLLING_156W
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    0.18274970394063797
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.39877379287694037
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    6.045708372099533
    Tairseacha
    source
    docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
    proxy_rule
    the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
    confidence_cap
    MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
    statement_weeks
    [4,13]
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    weeks
    4
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Greece
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_GR_DIESEL
    country_iso2
    GR
    country_name
    Greece
    country_slug
    greece
    offset_weeks
    4
    proxy_product
    DIESEL
    proxy_to_date
    2026-03-23
    pass_through_k
    2
    proxy_from_date
    2026-02-23
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2026-03-23
    gap_eur_per_litre
    0.11810921933314578
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2026-02-23
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    actual_eur_per_litre
    0.40887096774193543
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.29076174840878966
    proxy_volatility_units
    10.98407307729496
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    28.757999999999996
    pass_through_sample_start
    2023-09-25
    pass_through_window_label
    ROLLING_156W
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    0.18274970394063797
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.39877379287694037
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    6.045708372099533

    Teimpléad event.crude_only.computed_with_proxy v1.2 · Méarlorg a500e0087ff783dcc4dcf1fd0334e26e3ded2da4f02462a3b5bd7abe4749b2b7 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  16. Pointe tagartha: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026). Laistigh den fhad ón bpointe sin (seachtainí: 13), d’athródh costais na hamhola amháin an praghas gan chánacha (díosal, an Ghréig) +41.3 c/l (raon +11.3–+71.2); d’athraigh sé +21.5 c/l i ndáiríre, agus tá -19.7 c/l fágtha gan mhíniú ag an amhola. Thar an tréimhse chéanna, leathnaigh crack spread SAM (díosal), athróg ionadach do mhargadh táirgí an Atlantaigh agus ní corrlach Eorpach, 16.0 $/bbl.

    tír: an GhréigRíofaMeánach
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    weeks
    13
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Greece
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_GR_DIESEL
    country_iso2
    GR
    country_name
    Greece
    country_slug
    greece
    offset_weeks
    13
    proxy_product
    DIESEL
    proxy_to_date
    2026-05-22
    pass_through_k
    2
    proxy_from_date
    2026-02-23
    observation_date
    2026-05-25
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.19732976895554094
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2026-02-23
    actual_eur_per_litre
    0.2153225806451612
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.41265234960070213
    proxy_volatility_units
    6.106591569642946
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    15.988
    pass_through_sample_start
    2023-09-25
    pass_through_window_label
    ROLLING_156W
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    0.11331982308685998
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.711984876114543
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    6.045708372099533
    Tairseacha
    source
    docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
    proxy_rule
    the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
    confidence_cap
    MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
    statement_weeks
    [4,13]
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    weeks
    13
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Greece
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_GR_DIESEL
    country_iso2
    GR
    country_name
    Greece
    country_slug
    greece
    offset_weeks
    13
    proxy_product
    DIESEL
    proxy_to_date
    2026-05-22
    pass_through_k
    2
    proxy_from_date
    2026-02-23
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2026-05-25
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.19732976895554094
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2026-02-23
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    actual_eur_per_litre
    0.2153225806451612
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.41265234960070213
    proxy_volatility_units
    6.106591569642946
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    15.988
    pass_through_sample_start
    2023-09-25
    pass_through_window_label
    ROLLING_156W
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    0.11331982308685998
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.711984876114543
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    6.045708372099533

    Teimpléad event.crude_only.computed_with_proxy v1.2 · Méarlorg 8cecbed9bd7e22bf916c48641f419763575a63b392197ef55eeb2048c1fb07d0 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  17. Spleáchas fisiceach díreach ar Hormuz (amhola, an Ghréig, Feabhra 2026): suntasach (34%–41%). Ní fhoilsítear aon mheastachán pointe: onnmhairíonn na tíortha comhpháirtíochta i gceist ó laistigh agus ó lasmuigh de Mhurascaill na Peirse araon, agus níl an roinnt in aghaidh na tréimhse poiblí.

    tír: an GhréigRíofaMeánach
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    significant
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2026-02
    status
    NO_OBSERVATION
    country
    Greece
    commodity
    crude
    dimension
    DIRECT_CRUDE
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    country_iso2
    GR
    country_name
    Greece
    country_slug
    greece
    value_max_pct
    41.0198271521163
    value_min_pct
    33.5994847517204
    exposure_status
    RANGE_ONLY
    value_point_pct
    null
    observation_date
    2026-02-01
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
    band_applied_to
    upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
    dependence_limited_max_pct
    10
    dependence_moderate_max_pct
    33
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    significant
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2026-02
    status
    NO_OBSERVATION
    country
    Greece
    commodity
    crude
    dimension
    DIRECT_CRUDE
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    GR
    country_name
    Greece
    country_slug
    greece
    value_max_pct
    41.0198271521163
    value_min_pct
    33.5994847517204
    exposure_status
    RANGE_ONLY
    statement_topic
    hormuz
    value_point_pct
    null
    observation_date
    2026-02-01
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Teimpléad event.dependence.range v1.2 · Méarlorg f87a089a1f617bd8f7d11bf751c54f6784cd27f9becfbb32a0ba81ad6eedd6ed · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  18. Spleáchas fisiceach díreach ar Hormuz (táirgí peitriliam, an Ghréig, Feabhra 2026): suntasach (0%–37%). Ní fhoilsítear aon mheastachán pointe: onnmhairíonn na tíortha comhpháirtíochta i gceist ó laistigh agus ó lasmuigh de Mhurascaill na Peirse araon, agus níl an roinnt in aghaidh na tréimhse poiblí.

    tír: an GhréigRíofaMeánach
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    significant
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2026-02
    status
    NO_OBSERVATION
    country
    Greece
    commodity
    refined product
    dimension
    DIRECT_PRODUCT
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    country_iso2
    GR
    country_name
    Greece
    country_slug
    greece
    value_max_pct
    36.6486799969742
    value_min_pct
    0
    exposure_status
    PARTIAL
    value_point_pct
    null
    observation_date
    2026-02-01
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
    band_applied_to
    upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
    dependence_limited_max_pct
    10
    dependence_moderate_max_pct
    33
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    significant
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2026-02
    status
    NO_OBSERVATION
    country
    Greece
    commodity
    refined product
    dimension
    DIRECT_PRODUCT
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    GR
    country_name
    Greece
    country_slug
    greece
    value_max_pct
    36.6486799969742
    value_min_pct
    0
    exposure_status
    PARTIAL
    statement_topic
    hormuz
    value_point_pct
    null
    observation_date
    2026-02-01
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Teimpléad event.dependence.range v1.2 · Méarlorg c309f21384182ebc68453e271f9e5f327bd6ab2bcc4f1505e79e9b26ee8673ce · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  19. Ní léiríonn an fhianaise atá ar fáil laghdú fisiceach soláthair: allmhairí amhola tuairiscithe (an Ghréig, Feabhra 2026) i gcomparáid le meán na míonna roimhe sin (12): +10.1%.

    tír: an GhréigRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2026-02
    country
    Greece
    change_pct
    10.077779700961463
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    country_iso2
    GR
    country_name
    Greece
    country_slug
    greece
    value_tonnes
    1948187
    baseline_months
    12
    observation_date
    2026-02-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
    crude_imports_rule
    crude_imports_total-1.1
    baseline_mean_tonnes
    1769827.6666666667
    baseline_window_months
    12
    value_not_published_code
    null
    baseline_not_published_months
    0
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no cut-off
    min_baseline_months
    6
    baseline_months_used
    12
    supply_reduction_pct
    -10
    supply_baseline_months
    12
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2026-02
    country
    Greece
    change_pct
    10.077779700961463
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    GR
    country_name
    Greece
    country_slug
    greece
    value_tonnes
    1948187
    baseline_months
    12
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2026-02-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
    crude_imports_rule
    crude_imports_total-1.1
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    baseline_mean_tonnes
    1769827.6666666667
    baseline_window_months
    12
    value_not_published_code
    null
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    baseline_not_published_months
    0

    Teimpléad event.supply.no_reduction v1.2 · Méarlorg ae564d43fdb8d54fbed1754e8dc4d2e75ab4f5cb879f76976bc9db40c462e97f · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  20. Stoic ola (an Ghréig, Feabhra 2026): 1.8% os cionn a meáin thar na míonna roimhe sin (12), laistigh den bhanda ±5% a mheasann an suíomh seo a bheith ag teacht leis an meán, le 102.2 lá cumhdaigh (mar a foilsíodh).

    tír: an GhréigRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2026-02
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Greece
    direction
    above
    siec_code
    O4000
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    holder_type
    STK_CL
    series_code
    INVENTORY_GR
    country_iso2
    GR
    country_name
    Greece
    country_slug
    greece
    days_of_cover
    102.212
    metric_status
    COMPUTED
    mom_change_pct
    8.401709373051919
    observation_date
    2026-02-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
    total_stock_tonnes
    4202963
    days_of_cover_basis
    as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
    observation_gap_days
    27
    trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
    4128319.75
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
    1.808078213902884
    trailing_12m_observations
    12
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no band
    band_applied_to
    the rounded figure printed in the sentence
    days_of_cover_basis
    as published (Eurostat nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); never stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
    trailing_window_months
    12
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_raw
    1.808078213902884
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_shown
    1.8
    inventory_material_deviation_pct
    5
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2026-02
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Greece
    direction
    above
    siec_code
    O4000
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    holder_type
    STK_CL
    series_code
    INVENTORY_GR
    country_iso2
    GR
    country_name
    Greece
    country_slug
    greece
    days_of_cover
    102.212
    metric_status
    COMPUTED
    mom_change_pct
    8.401709373051919
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2026-02-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
    total_stock_tonnes
    4202963
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    days_of_cover_basis
    as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    27
    trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
    4128319.75
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
    1.808078213902884
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    trailing_12m_observations
    12

    Teimpléad event.inventory_level.in_line v1.2 · Méarlorg 0d65819cc6e69f06948bf3d015cf17fb91dea50fa22ff9ec944c1f60ca4a3f87 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  21. Achoimre ar a bhféadfar a sheiceáil anseo

    An Ghréig, teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026). Ní féidir ach cuid den slabhra a sheiceáil. Sraitheanna a chuireann an modh i gcomparáid atá ar fáil: 4 as 8 (tagarmharc amhola, stoic, praghas ag an gcaidéal gan chánacha agus praghas ag an gcaidéal le cáin); nach bhfuil ar fáil: tagarmharc táirgí peitriliam, corrlach scaglainne, rátaí lastais agus praghsanna mórdhíola. Ní féidir aon éileamh atá bunaithe ar na naisc atá ar iarraidh a thástáil anseo. Spleáchas fisiceach díreach ar amhola a bhaineann le Hormuz sa tréimhse a chlúdaítear: suntasach (34–41%). Déanann an leathanach seo cur síos ar cad a rinne gach sraith thart ar dháta an teagmhais. Ní fionnachtain faoi chúis é: níl aon dearadh cúiseach foilsithe don suíomh seo, agus d’fhéadfadh sraith a bhog san fhuinneog chéanna bogadh ar chúiseanna eile.

    tír: an GhréigAnaithnidAnaithnid
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    country
    Greece
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    country_iso2
    GR
    country_name
    Greece
    country_slug
    greece
    dependence_band
    significant
    dependence_range
    34–41%
    channels_available
    ["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
    supply_template_id
    event.supply.no_reduction
    channels_unavailable
    ["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; the channel list is docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.3
    channels_total
    8
    channels_available
    4
    verdict_partial_min_channels
    3
    verdict_assessable_min_channels
    8
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    country
    Greece
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    GR
    country_name
    Greece
    country_slug
    greece
    dependence_band
    significant
    statement_topic
    event
    dependence_range
    34–41%
    channels_available
    ["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
    supply_template_id
    event.supply.no_reduction
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    channels_unavailable
    ["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Teimpléad event.verdict.partial v1.2 · Méarlorg 1f8d66591bab12a716633befd8014e4d75950c43c0e26dad7682bf26b5135bbe · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  22. Teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026); 7 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an tagarmharc (amhola Brent) +34.2%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó lá go lá sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 17.7, lasmuigh den raon sin.

    faoin teagmhas ina iomláineRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    95.74
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    11.429511613277612
    t0_value
    71.32
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    34.24004486819967
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    BRENT
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2026-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    17.72499106459417
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    24.42
    change_pct_from_t0
    34.24004486819967
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.9317383429656259
    change_in_volatility_units
    17.72499106459417
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    95.74
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    11.429511613277612
    t0_value
    71.32
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    34.24004486819967
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    BRENT
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2026-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    17.72499106459417
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    24.42
    change_pct_from_t0
    34.24004486819967
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.9317383429656259
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    17.72499106459417

    Teimpléad event.benchmark_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 4ea435198e2ad85179076b27dc38a89512f04178c41f341853cd2dbe9edcddb3 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  23. Teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026); 30 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an tagarmharc (amhola Brent) +70.9%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó lá go lá sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 36.7, lasmuigh den raon sin.

    faoin teagmhas ina iomláineRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    121.88
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    20.908399390463835
    t0_value
    71.32
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    70.89175546831184
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    BRENT
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2026-03-30
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    36.69842539827523
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    50.56
    change_pct_from_t0
    70.89175546831184
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.9317383429656259
    change_in_volatility_units
    36.69842539827523
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    121.88
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    20.908399390463835
    t0_value
    71.32
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    70.89175546831184
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    BRENT
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2026-03-30
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    36.69842539827523
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    50.56
    change_pct_from_t0
    70.89175546831184
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.9317383429656259
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    36.69842539827523

    Teimpléad event.benchmark_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 29bbc9c1226a318de551eedf873f282db221eb9ec716b009f1161b898b5d397c · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  24. Teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026); 90 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an tagarmharc (amhola Brent) +30.2%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó lá go lá sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 15.6, lasmuigh den raon sin.

    faoin teagmhas ina iomláineRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    92.88
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    10.392418306362824
    t0_value
    71.32
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    30.22994952327538
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    BRENT
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2026-05-29
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    15.64909121018224
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    21.560000000000002
    change_pct_from_t0
    30.22994952327538
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.9317383429656259
    change_in_volatility_units
    15.64909121018224
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    92.88
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    10.392418306362824
    t0_value
    71.32
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    30.22994952327538
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    BRENT
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2026-05-29
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    15.64909121018224
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    21.560000000000002
    change_pct_from_t0
    30.22994952327538
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.9317383429656259
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    15.64909121018224

    Teimpléad event.benchmark_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg da6e291650428ea4feda72840b110dea4b3e2942f69e01f932de816d3716527d · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  25. Rátaí lastais – freagra: ní féidir a mheas. Fáth: tá ceadúnais rátaí lastais tancaer den chineál a thoirmisceann go sainráite taispeáint phoiblí, iad a chur ar aghaidh agus sonraí díorthaithe (fíoraithe focal ar fhocal), agus ní fhoilsíonn aon institiúid oscailte ráta tancaer.

    faoin teagmhas ina iomláineAnaithnidAnaithnid
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["freight rates"]
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
    Tairseacha
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["freight rates"]
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Teimpléad event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Méarlorg cbf9fd2371d9caad14a75cea5013e1be30bd2eb2033908f832c88c88067f87e7 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  26. Tagarmharc táirgí peitriliam – freagra: ní féidir a mheas. Fáth: is le dílseánaigh iad tagarmharcanna táirgí peitriliam an AE (Platts / Argus) agus níl cead athdháilte leo. Ní athróga ionadacha bailí don AE iad crack spreads SAM agus ní chuirtear ina n-áit iad.

    faoin teagmhas ina iomláineAnaithnidAnaithnid
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refined-product benchmark"]
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
    Tairseacha
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refined-product benchmark"]
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Teimpléad event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Méarlorg 8af490b1ea34e00f40494098d666c15e05cfca35931abd7a50a334f8e61f0d3e · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  27. Praghsanna mórdhíola – freagra: ní féidir a mheas. Fáth: is le dílseánaigh iad sraitheanna praghsanna mórdhíola (rack) agus níl cead athdháilte leo.

    faoin teagmhas ina iomláineAnaithnidAnaithnid
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["wholesale prices"]
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
    Tairseacha
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["wholesale prices"]
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Teimpléad event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Méarlorg cb537d4c961760559b281257dfa2ff078da30874030ebc0d45438e5b240ce371 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  28. Corrlach scaglainne – freagra: ní féidir a mheas. Fáth: níl aon sraith foilsithe de chorrlaigh scaglainne againn, agus theastódh tagarmharcanna táirgí ceadúnaithe an AE, nach bhféadfar a athfhoilsiú, chun corrlach a ríomh muid féin.

    faoin teagmhas ina iomláineAnaithnidAnaithnid
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refining margin"]
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    reason_code
    NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
    Tairseacha
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refining margin"]
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Teimpléad event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Méarlorg c3272c131b1b047dc850145474462c0a9daea21ea6429e3edc6c8e07abc867e8 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

An méid nach dtaispeánann sé seo

  • Ní thaispeánann sé gurbh é an teagmhas bunús aon ruda. Níl aon dearadh cúiseach foilsithe don suíomh seo, agus d’fhéadfadh sraith a bhog san fhuinneog seo bogadh ar chúiseanna eile.
  • Ní tástáil suntasachta é athrú in aonaid luaineachta, agus ní tástáil suntasachta é scór z ach an oiread. Tomhaiseann siad rudaí éagsúla agus ní féidir ceann a chur in áit an chinn eile.
  • Taispeántar cainéil nach bhfuil foinse acu a bhfuil ceadúnas againn chun í a úsáid, nó foinse lódáilte, mar phainéil fholmha, ní mar línte cothroma. Ní hionann “Ní féidir linn é seo a fheiceáil” agus “Níor bhog sé seo”.
  • Ní idirshuitear aon rud. Nuair a thagann roinnt fritháireamh ar an bhfigiúr foilsithe céanna, is é sin a phriontáil an foilsitheoir, agus is nialas an t-athrú i gcoinne dháta an teagmhais: is í an uimhir chéanna í.

An Ghréig: soláthar, scaglanna agus praghsanna ag an gcaidéal →

Conas na lipéid a léamh

  • OifigiúilTuairiscithe go díreach ag údarás oifigiúil.
  • FíoraitheTuairiscithe ag tríú páirtí agus fíoraithe againn i gcoinne taifid phríomhúil.
  • RíofaRíofa againn ó ionchuir thuairiscithe. Tá an modh foilsithe ar leathanach na modheolaíochta.
  • Infeirithe · muinín ardNíor tuairiscíodh. Infeirithe ó dhá thaifead fhisiceacha neamhspleácha ar a laghad.
  • Infeirithe · muinín mheánachNíor tuairiscíodh. Infeirithe ó fhianaise láidir indíreach, gan deimhniú follasach.
  • Infeirithe · muinín ísealNíor tuairiscíodh. Sochreidte ó shonraí bonneagair nó gluaiseachta amháin. Ná léigh mar fhíric é.
  • AnaithnidNí chruthaíonn aon fhianaise phoiblí inchosanta é seo. Ní thugaimid buille faoi thuairim, agus ní tomhas nialais é seo.