Fuel Origin

Teagmhais / Suaitheadh loingseoireachta

Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026)

Dátaí
28/02/2026 → níl dáta deiridh ar taifead
Beachtas an dáta
lá
Stádas
Ar siúl
Raon feidhme
Caolas Hormuz / Murascaill na Peirse

An méid a dúirt na foinsí (i mBéarla)

Onset date as published by two independent agencies. IEA, 11 March 2026: "The conflict in the Middle East that began on 28 February 2026 has impeded oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, with export volumes of crude and refined products currently at less than 10% of pre-conflict levels." EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook, April 2026: "The strait has been effectively closed to shipping traffic since military action began on February 28." EIA STEO March 2026 dates the same onset ("the onset of military action in the Middle East that began on February 28"). Reported transit volumes: EIA STEO August 2026 - "crude oil and petroleum liquids transported through the Strait of Hormuz averaged 4.9 million barrels per day (b/d) in the second quarter of 2026 (2Q26), down from an average of 21.6 million b/d in 4Q25 before the conflict began"; IEA commentary 22 June 2026 gives an average of 2.7 million b/d for March-May 2026 against "around 20 million barrels per day" before. Date disagreement recorded, not resolved: EIA Today in Energy of 15 July 2026 dates the US-Iran memorandum of understanding on resuming traffic to 17 June 2026, while the EIA press release of 7 July 2026 dates the same memorandum to 18 June 2026. No end date is recorded: EIA STEO September 2026 still describes flows through the strait as constrained and variable, and EIA STEO August 2026 records renewed attacks on tankers from 7 July 2026. This row is a timeline marker only; it makes no statement about prices.

IEA, EIA, an Coimisiún Eorpach, an Chomhairle Eorpach agus reachtais náisiúnta (foinse luaite i ngach ró)Fíoraithe
Aisghafa 23/09/2026, 07:22 UTCAthbhreithniú 1
Doiciméid foinse (7)
TírTírAn GhearmáinAn FhraincAn ÍsiltírAn PholainnAn FhionlainnAn EastóinAn OstairAn BheilgAn BhulgáirAn ChróitAn ChipirAn tSeiciaAn DanmhairgAn GhréigAn UngáirÉireAn IodáilAn LaitviaAn LiotuáinLucsamburgMáltaAn PhortaingéilAn RómáinAn tSlóvaicAn tSlóivéinAn SpáinnAn tSualainn
BreoslaBreoslaDíosal (ola dhíosail ar bhóthar)Peitreal (Euro-super 95)An dá bhreosla

Nuair a roghnaítear breosla, coinnítear sraitheanna an bhreosla sin agus na cainéil atá i gcoitinne ag gach breosla: tagarmharc na hamhola, an ráta malairte, allmhairí amhola agus nochtadh do Hormuz. Ní fhágtar ar lár ach sraitheanna an bhreosla eile.

Fuinneog an teagmhais

Luach gach sraithe idir -30 agus 90 lá timpeall ar dháta an teagmhais, an fad atá sé sin ó leibhéal na sraithe céanna ar dháta an teagmhais, agus méid na gluaiseachta sin i gcomparáid le gnáthathraitheacht na sraithe féin.

An Laitvia, Peitreal (Euro-super 95). Sraitheanna is féidir a tharraingt: 15; sraitheanna nach féidir a fheiceáil ar chor ar bith, a thaispeántar thíos mar phainéil fholmha lipéadaithe: 4.

Léamha foilsithe: 182; fritháirimh nach bhfuil aon rud foilsithe dóibh laistigh de thréimhse amháin: 13; fritháirimh ar shraitheanna nach féidir linn a fheiceáil ar chor ar bith: 52. Tá gach ceann acu ar an leathanach seo.

Europe Brent spot FOB

Aonad: $ an bairilleFoilsithe: laethúilRíofaArd
T0−30T0+30+60+90130.763.52026-01-29: 71.00 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −302026-02-13: 69.96 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −142026-02-20: 72.75 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −72026-02-25: 70.69 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −3an luach céanna agus ag T0: 2026-02-27, 71.32 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −1, T0, +12026-03-03: 83.28 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +32026-03-06: 95.74 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +72026-03-13: 103.2 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +142026-03-30: 121.9 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +302026-04-29: 124.2 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-29: 92.88 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +90

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh.

Tábla na fuinneoige (Europe Brent spot FOB): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-2971.00-0.320-0.45%-0.23
−142026-02-1369.96-1.360-1.91%-0.99
−72026-02-2072.75+1.430+2.01%+1.04
−32026-02-2570.69-0.630-0.88%-0.46
−12026-02-27an luach céanna agus ag T071.320.0000.00%0.00
T02026-02-27an luach céanna agus ag T071.320.0000.00%0.00
+12026-02-27an luach céanna agus ag T071.320.0000.00%0.00
+32026-03-0383.28+11.960+16.77%+8.68
+72026-03-0695.74+24.420+34.24%+17.72
+142026-03-13103.2+31.910+44.74%+23.16
+302026-03-30121.9+50.560+70.89%+36.70
+602026-04-29124.2+52.840+74.09%+38.35
+902026-05-2992.88+21.560+30.23%+15.65

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 1.93%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó lá go lá; líon na n-athruithe: 756) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

reported crude oil imports, all origins

Aonad: tFoilsithe: míosúilRíofaArd
T0−30T0+30+60+901.0000.0002026-01-01: 0 t, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −30an luach céanna agus ag T0: 2026-02-01, 0 t, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −14, −7, −3, −1, T02026-03-01: 0 t, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +1, +3, +7, +14, +302026-04-01: 0 t, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-01: 0 t, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +90

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.

Tábla na fuinneoige (reported crude oil imports, all origins): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-0100.000neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
−142026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T000.000neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
−72026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T000.000neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
−32026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T000.000neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
−12026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T000.000neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
T02026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T000.000neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+12026-03-0100.000neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+32026-03-0100.000neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+72026-03-0100.000neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+142026-03-0100.000neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+302026-03-0100.000neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+602026-04-0100.000neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+902026-05-0100.000neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe

Ní fhoilsítear aon ghnáthluaineacht don tsraith seo: ní chuirtear aon athrú in iúl in aonaid luaineachta. Ionchur atá ar iarraidh é sin, ní nialas.

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

Aonad: € an lítearFoilsithe: seachtainiúilRíofaMeánach
T0−30T0+30+60+900.7900.6292026-01-26: 0.6447 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −302026-02-09: 0.6458 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −142026-02-16: 0.6489 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −7an luach céanna agus ag T0: 2026-02-23, 0.6487 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −3, −1, T0, +12026-03-02: 0.6821 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +3, +72026-03-09: 0.7076 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +142026-03-30: 0.7713 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +302026-04-27: 0.7744 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-25: 0.7526 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +90

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.

Tábla na fuinneoige (crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-260.6447-0.004-0.61%-0.68
−142026-02-090.6458-0.003-0.44%-0.49
−72026-02-160.6489+0.000+0.04%+0.04
−32026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.64870.0000.00%0.00
−12026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.64870.0000.00%0.00
T02026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.64870.0000.00%0.00
+12026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.64870.0000.00%0.00
+32026-03-020.6821+0.033+5.15%+5.71
+72026-03-020.6821+0.033+5.15%+5.71
+142026-03-090.7076+0.059+9.08%+10.07
+302026-03-300.7713+0.123+18.91%+20.98
+602026-04-270.7744+0.126+19.37%+21.49
+902026-05-250.7526+0.104+16.02%+17.77

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 0.90%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó sheachtain go seachtain; líon na n-athruithe: 155) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

ráta tagartha malairte euro an BCE

Aonad: USD in aghaidh an EURFoilsithe: laethúilRíofaArd
T0−30T0+30+60+901.2031.1422026-01-29: 1.197 USD in aghaidh an EUR, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −302026-02-13: 1.186 USD in aghaidh an EUR, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −142026-02-20: 1.177 USD in aghaidh an EUR, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −72026-02-25: 1.178 USD in aghaidh an EUR, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −3an luach céanna agus ag T0: 2026-02-27, 1.181 USD in aghaidh an EUR, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −1, T0, +12026-03-03: 1.161 USD in aghaidh an EUR, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +32026-03-06: 1.156 USD in aghaidh an EUR, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +72026-03-13: 1.148 USD in aghaidh an EUR, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +142026-03-30: 1.148 USD in aghaidh an EUR, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +302026-04-29: 1.171 USD in aghaidh an EUR, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-29: 1.164 USD in aghaidh an EUR, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +90

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh.

Tábla na fuinneoige (ráta tagartha malairte euro an BCE): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-291.197+0.016+1.38%+3.12
−142026-02-131.186+0.006+0.48%+1.09
−72026-02-201.177-0.004-0.32%-0.73
−32026-02-251.178-0.002-0.18%-0.40
−12026-02-27an luach céanna agus ag T01.1810.0000.00%0.00
T02026-02-27an luach céanna agus ag T01.1810.0000.00%0.00
+12026-02-27an luach céanna agus ag T01.1810.0000.00%0.00
+32026-03-031.161-0.020-1.69%-3.81
+72026-03-061.156-0.024-2.07%-4.67
+142026-03-131.148-0.033-2.79%-6.29
+302026-03-301.148-0.032-2.72%-6.14
+602026-04-291.171-0.010-0.84%-1.89
+902026-05-291.164-0.016-1.36%-3.08

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 0.44%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó lá go lá; líon na n-athruithe: 765) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

nochtadh díreach amhola do Hormuz D1

Aonad: % de na tonnaí allmhairitheFoilsithe: míosúilAnaithnidAnaithnid
T0−30T0+30+60+901.120-0.120

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Stopann an líne ag na fritháirimh seo: −30, −14, −7, −3, −1, T0, +1, +3, +7, +14, +30, +60, +90, nuair nár foilsíodh aon fhigiúr laistigh de thréimhse amháin ón bhfritháireamh.

Tábla na fuinneoige (nochtadh díreach amhola do Hormuz D1): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-01neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
−142026-02-01neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
−72026-02-01neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
−32026-02-01neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
−12026-02-01neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
T02026-02-01neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+12026-03-01neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+32026-03-01neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+72026-03-01neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+142026-03-01neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+302026-03-01neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+602026-04-01neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+902026-05-01neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe

Ní fhoilsítear aon ghnáthluaineacht don tsraith seo: ní chuirtear aon athrú in iúl in aonaid luaineachta. Ionchur atá ar iarraidh é sin, ní nialas.

nochtadh díreach táirgí peitriliam do Hormuz D2

Aonad: % de na tonnaí allmhairitheFoilsithe: míosúilRíofaÍseal
T0−30T0+30+60+903.4980.0002026-01-01: 3.124 % de na tonnaí allmhairithe, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −30an luach céanna agus ag T0: 2026-02-01, 0.4475 % de na tonnaí allmhairithe, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −14, −7, −3, −1, T02026-03-01: 0 % de na tonnaí allmhairithe, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +1, +3, +7, +14, +302026-04-01: 0 % de na tonnaí allmhairithe, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-01: 0 % de na tonnaí allmhairithe, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +90

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.

Tábla na fuinneoige (nochtadh díreach táirgí peitriliam do Hormuz D2): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-013.124+2.676+598.01%neamhfhoilsithe
−142026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T00.44750.0000.00%neamhfhoilsithe
−72026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T00.44750.0000.00%neamhfhoilsithe
−32026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T00.44750.0000.00%neamhfhoilsithe
−12026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T00.44750.0000.00%neamhfhoilsithe
T02026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T00.44750.0000.00%neamhfhoilsithe
+12026-03-010-0.448-100.00%neamhfhoilsithe
+32026-03-010-0.448-100.00%neamhfhoilsithe
+72026-03-010-0.448-100.00%neamhfhoilsithe
+142026-03-010-0.448-100.00%neamhfhoilsithe
+302026-03-010-0.448-100.00%neamhfhoilsithe
+602026-04-010-0.448-100.00%neamhfhoilsithe
+902026-05-010-0.448-100.00%neamhfhoilsithe

Ní fhoilsítear aon ghnáthluaineacht don tsraith seo: ní chuirtear aon athrú in iúl in aonaid luaineachta. Ionchur atá ar iarraidh é sin, ní nialas.

nochtadh stoc D7: laethanta cumhdaigh na gcúlstoc ola mar a foilsíodh iad, tugtha ar aghaidh gan athrú

Aonad: lá cumhdaighFoilsithe: míosúilRíofaArd
T0−30T0+30+60+9089.3874.642026-01-01: 76.07 lá cumhdaigh, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −30an luach céanna agus ag T0: 2026-02-01, 87.18 lá cumhdaigh, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −14, −7, −3, −1, T02026-03-01: 87.95 lá cumhdaigh, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +1, +3, +7, +14, +302026-04-01: 87.95 lá cumhdaigh, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-01: 87.95 lá cumhdaigh, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +90

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.

Tábla na fuinneoige (nochtadh stoc D7: laethanta cumhdaigh na gcúlstoc ola mar a foilsíodh iad, tugtha ar aghaidh gan athrú): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-0176.07-11.115-12.75%-0.66
−142026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T087.180.0000.00%0.00
−72026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T087.180.0000.00%0.00
−32026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T087.180.0000.00%0.00
−12026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T087.180.0000.00%0.00
T02026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T087.180.0000.00%0.00
+12026-03-0187.95+0.767+0.88%+0.05
+32026-03-0187.95+0.767+0.88%+0.05
+72026-03-0187.95+0.767+0.88%+0.05
+142026-03-0187.95+0.767+0.88%+0.05
+302026-03-0187.95+0.767+0.88%+0.05
+602026-04-0187.95+0.767+0.88%+0.05
+902026-05-0187.95+0.768+0.88%+0.05

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 19.42%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó mhí go mí; líon na n-athruithe: 35) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

Aonad: € an lítearFoilsithe: seachtainiúilRíofaMeánach
T0−30T0+30+60+900.7130.3352026-01-26: 0.3714 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −302026-02-09: 0.3742 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −142026-02-16: 0.3817 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −7an luach céanna agus ag T0: 2026-02-23, 0.3806 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −3, −1, T0, +12026-03-02: 0.4615 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +3, +72026-03-09: 0.5233 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +142026-03-30: 0.6763 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +302026-04-27: 0.6445 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-25: 0.5248 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +90

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.

Tábla na fuinneoige (crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-260.3714-0.009-2.40%-0.66
−142026-02-090.3742-0.006-1.68%-0.46
−72026-02-160.3817+0.001+0.29%+0.08
−32026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.38060.0000.00%0.00
−12026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.38060.0000.00%0.00
T02026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.38060.0000.00%0.00
+12026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.38060.0000.00%0.00
+32026-03-020.4615+0.081+21.26%+5.80
+72026-03-020.4615+0.081+21.26%+5.80
+142026-03-090.5233+0.143+37.50%+10.24
+302026-03-300.6763+0.296+77.69%+21.21
+602026-04-270.6445+0.264+69.35%+18.93
+902026-05-250.5248+0.144+37.88%+10.34

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 3.66%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó sheachtain go seachtain; líon na n-athruithe: 155) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

stoic ola náisiúnta iomlána (Eurostat, sealbhóirí tráchtála), leis na laethanta cumhdaigh foilsithe in éineacht leo

Aonad: tFoilsithe: míosúilRíofaArd
T0−30T0+30+60+90619,643424,4702026-01-01: 443,358 t, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −30an luach céanna agus ag T0: 2026-02-01, 528,901 t, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −14, −7, −3, −1, T02026-03-01: 600,755 t, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +1, +3, +7, +14, +302026-04-01: 487,111 t, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-01: 487,449 t, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +90

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.

Tábla na fuinneoige (stoic ola náisiúnta iomlána (Eurostat, sealbhóirí tráchtála), leis na laethanta cumhdaigh foilsithe in éineacht leo): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-01443,358-85,543-16.17%-1.41
−142026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0528,9010.0000.00%0.00
−72026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0528,9010.0000.00%0.00
−32026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0528,9010.0000.00%0.00
−12026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0528,9010.0000.00%0.00
T02026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0528,9010.0000.00%0.00
+12026-03-01600,755+71,854+13.59%+1.18
+32026-03-01600,755+71,854+13.59%+1.18
+72026-03-01600,755+71,854+13.59%+1.18
+142026-03-01600,755+71,854+13.59%+1.18
+302026-03-01600,755+71,854+13.59%+1.18
+602026-04-01487,111-41,790-7.90%-0.69
+902026-05-01487,449-41,452-7.84%-0.68

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 11.48%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó mhí go mí; líon na n-athruithe: 35) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

Aonad: € an lítearFoilsithe: seachtainiúilRíofaMeánach
T0−30T0+30+60+900.209-0.0542026-01-26: -0.0288 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −302026-02-09: -0.0041 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −142026-02-16: -0.0031 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −7an luach céanna agus ag T0: 2026-02-23, 0 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −3, −1, T0, +12026-03-02: -0.0184 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +3, +72026-03-09: 0.0248 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +142026-03-30: 0.1563 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +302026-04-27: 0.0829 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-25: 0.1832 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +90

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.

Tábla na fuinneoige (not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-26-0.0288-0.029neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
−142026-02-09-0.0041-0.004neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
−72026-02-16-0.0031-0.003neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
−32026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T000.000neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
−12026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T000.000neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
T02026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T000.000neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+12026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T000.000neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+32026-03-02-0.0184-0.018neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+72026-03-02-0.0184-0.018neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+142026-03-090.0248+0.025neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+302026-03-300.1563+0.156neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+602026-04-270.0829+0.083neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+902026-05-250.1832+0.183neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe

Ní fhoilsítear aon ghnáthluaineacht don tsraith seo: ní chuirtear aon athrú in iúl in aonaid luaineachta. Ionchur atá ar iarraidh é sin, ní nialas.

praghas le cánacha an Fheasacháin Ola Sheachtainiúil

Aonad: € an lítearFoilsithe: seachtainiúilRíofaArd
T0−30T0+30+60+901.9241.4562026-01-26: 1.501 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −302026-02-09: 1.523 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −142026-02-16: 1.528 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −7an luach céanna agus ag T0: 2026-02-23, 1.532 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −3, −1, T0, +12026-03-02: 1.550 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +3, +72026-03-09: 1.633 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +142026-03-30: 1.869 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +302026-04-27: 1.784 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-25: 1.879 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +90

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.

Tábla na fuinneoige (praghas le cánacha an Fheasacháin Ola Sheachtainiúil): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-261.501-0.030-1.98%-0.57
−142026-02-091.523-0.008-0.54%-0.16
−72026-02-161.528-0.004-0.23%-0.07
−32026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T01.5320.0000.00%0.00
−12026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T01.5320.0000.00%0.00
T02026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T01.5320.0000.00%0.00
+12026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T01.5320.0000.00%0.00
+32026-03-021.550+0.018+1.19%+0.34
+72026-03-021.550+0.018+1.19%+0.34
+142026-03-091.633+0.101+6.62%+1.91
+302026-03-301.869+0.338+22.04%+6.36
+602026-04-271.784+0.252+16.47%+4.76
+902026-05-251.879+0.347+22.68%+6.55

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 3.46%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó sheachtain go seachtain; líon na n-athruithe: 155) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

praghas gan chánacha an Fheasacháin Ola Sheachtainiúil

Aonad: € an lítearFoilsithe: seachtainiúilRíofaArd
T0−30T0+30+60+900.9740.5782026-01-26: 0.6160 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −302026-02-09: 0.6418 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −142026-02-16: 0.6458 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −7an luach céanna agus ag T0: 2026-02-23, 0.6487 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −3, −1, T0, +12026-03-02: 0.6637 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +3, +72026-03-09: 0.7324 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +142026-03-30: 0.9276 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +302026-04-27: 0.8572 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-25: 0.9357 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +90

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.

Tábla na fuinneoige (praghas gan chánacha an Fheasacháin Ola Sheachtainiúil): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-260.6160-0.033-5.04%-0.77
−142026-02-090.6418-0.007-1.06%-0.16
−72026-02-160.6458-0.003-0.45%-0.07
−32026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.64870.0000.00%0.00
−12026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.64870.0000.00%0.00
T02026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.64870.0000.00%0.00
+12026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.64870.0000.00%0.00
+32026-03-020.6637+0.015+2.31%+0.35
+72026-03-020.6637+0.015+2.31%+0.35
+142026-03-090.7324+0.084+12.91%+1.98
+302026-03-300.9276+0.279+43.00%+6.59
+602026-04-270.8572+0.209+32.15%+4.93
+902026-05-250.9357+0.287+44.25%+6.78

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 6.52%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó sheachtain go seachtain; líon na n-athruithe: 155) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

Aonad: € an lítearFoilsithe: seachtainiúilRíofaMeánach
T0−30T0+30+60+900.9510.8742026-01-26: 0.8854 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −302026-02-09: 0.8815 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −142026-02-16: 0.8824 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −7an luach céanna agus ag T0: 2026-02-23, 0.8830 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −3, −1, T0, +12026-03-02: 0.8861 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +3, +72026-03-09: 0.9006 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +142026-03-30: 0.9416 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +302026-04-27: 0.9268 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-25: 0.9433 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +90

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.

Tábla na fuinneoige (total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-260.8854+0.002+0.27%+0.23
−142026-02-090.8815-0.001-0.16%-0.14
−72026-02-160.8824-0.001-0.07%-0.06
−32026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.88300.0000.00%0.00
−12026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.88300.0000.00%0.00
T02026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.88300.0000.00%0.00
+12026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.88300.0000.00%0.00
+32026-03-020.8861+0.003+0.36%+0.30
+72026-03-020.8861+0.003+0.36%+0.30
+142026-03-090.9006+0.018+1.99%+1.68
+302026-03-300.9416+0.059+6.63%+5.60
+602026-04-270.9268+0.044+4.96%+4.19
+902026-05-250.9433+0.060+6.83%+5.76

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 1.18%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó sheachtain go seachtain; líon na n-athruithe: 155) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Aonad: $ an bairilleFoilsithe: laethúilRíofaÍseal
T0−30T0+30+60+9044.976.732026-01-29: 19.97 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −302026-02-13: 10.43 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −142026-02-20: 11.42 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −72026-02-25: 13.39 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −3an luach céanna agus ag T0: 2026-02-27, 15.87 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −1, T0, +12026-03-03: 19.87 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +32026-03-06: 20.56 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +72026-03-13: 25.33 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +142026-03-30: 21.09 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +302026-04-29: 34.94 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-29: 41.27 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +90

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh.

Tábla na fuinneoige (US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-2919.97+4.100+25.83%+0.93
−142026-02-1310.43-5.444-34.30%-1.23
−72026-02-2011.42-4.454-28.06%-1.00
−32026-02-2513.39-2.478-15.61%-0.56
−12026-02-27an luach céanna agus ag T015.870.0000.00%0.00
T02026-02-27an luach céanna agus ag T015.870.0000.00%0.00
+12026-02-27an luach céanna agus ag T015.870.0000.00%0.00
+32026-03-0319.87+4.000+25.20%+0.90
+72026-03-0620.56+4.686+29.52%+1.06
+142026-03-1325.33+9.460+59.60%+2.13
+302026-03-3021.09+5.216+32.86%+1.18
+602026-04-2934.94+19.064+120.11%+4.30
+902026-05-2941.27+25.396+160.01%+5.73

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 27.92%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó lá go lá; líon na n-athruithe: 733) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Aonad: $ an bairilleFoilsithe: laethúilRíofaÍseal
T0−30T0+30+60+9062.7117.062026-01-29: 23.42 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −302026-02-13: 21.47 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −142026-02-20: 27.04 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −72026-02-25: 33.05 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −3an luach céanna agus ag T0: 2026-02-27, 30.66 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −1, T0, +12026-03-03: 41.29 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +32026-03-06: 48.07 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +72026-03-13: 56.03 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +142026-03-30: 56.07 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +302026-04-29: 58.29 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-29: 43.07 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +90

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh.

Tábla na fuinneoige (US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-2923.42-7.240-23.62%-2.64
−142026-02-1321.47-9.182-29.95%-3.35
−72026-02-2027.04-3.614-11.79%-1.32
−32026-02-2533.05+2.394+7.81%+0.87
−12026-02-27an luach céanna agus ag T030.660.0000.00%0.00
T02026-02-27an luach céanna agus ag T030.660.0000.00%0.00
+12026-02-27an luach céanna agus ag T030.660.0000.00%0.00
+32026-03-0341.29+10.636+34.69%+3.88
+72026-03-0648.07+17.412+56.80%+6.35
+142026-03-1356.03+25.378+82.78%+9.26
+302026-03-3056.07+25.418+82.91%+9.28
+602026-04-2958.29+27.632+90.14%+10.08
+902026-05-2943.07+12.418+40.51%+4.53

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 8.94%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó lá go lá; líon na n-athruithe: 733) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

Níl sé ar fáil: bac ceadúnais

Tá foinse ann agus ní cheadaíonn a ceadúnas dúinn í a athfhoilsiú. Níl na cainéil seo ar iarraidh ón domhan, ach ón leathanach seo amháin.

ráta tancaer (dirty) ó Mhurascaill na Peirse go dtí iarthuaisceart na hEorpa

Tá ceadúnais rátaí lastais tancaer den chineál a thoirmisceann go sainráite taispeáint phoiblí, iad a chur ar aghaidh agus sonraí díorthaithe (fíoraithe focal ar fhocal), agus ní fhoilsíonn aon institiúid oscailte ráta tancaer (ró 17: BLOCKED).

Fritháirimh san fhuinneog lena mbaineann sé seo: 13.

tagarmharc táirgí peitriliam AE

Is le dílseánaigh iad tagarmharcanna táirgí peitriliam an AE (Platts / Argus) agus níl cead athdháilte leo (ró 16: BLOCKED). Ní athróga ionadacha bailí don AE iad crack spreads SAM agus ní chuirtear ina n-áit iad.

Fritháirimh san fhuinneog lena mbaineann sé seo: 13.

corrlach scaglainne iarthuaisceart na hEorpa / crack spread

Níl aon sraith foilsithe de chorrlaigh scaglainne againn, agus theastódh tagarmharcanna táirgí ceadúnaithe an AE, nach bhféadfar a athfhoilsiú, chun corrlach a ríomh muid féin.

Fritháirimh san fhuinneog lena mbaineann sé seo: 13.

praghas mórdhíola (rack)

Is le dílseánaigh iad sraitheanna praghsanna mórdhíola (rack) agus níl cead athdháilte leo (ró 16: BLOCKED).

Fritháirimh san fhuinneog lena mbaineann sé seo: 13.

Foinse
European Commission, Directorate-General for Energy (DG ENER)Anaithnid
Tréimhse 2026-01Nuashonraithe 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTCMuinínAnaithnidModheolaíochtÍoslódáil CSV

T0: 28/02/2026. Fuinneog bhunlíne: -90 go -31 lá. Fritháirimh a ríomhadh: -30, -14, -7, -3, -1, 0, 1, 3, 7, 14, 30, 60, 90. Modh 1.0, ríomh event_study-1.0, ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC.

Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026): an é an chúis i ndáiríre?

Roinntear an cheist i ngnéithe a thomhaistear ar leithligh agus nach suimítear riamh in aon uimhir amháin. Insíonn gach ró an féidir linn an ghné sin a fheiceáil ar chor ar bith, agus tugann sé figiúr foilsithe amháin nuair is féidir.

Cainéil tarchuir praghsanna a bhfuil sonraí acu sa ríomh seo (as an ocht gcinn a thuairiscíonn an suíomh seo): 4 Ríofa. Líon na rónna thíos atá ann, ní tomhas.

Foilsíonn Modheolaíocht §11.1 na tairseacha a úsáideann na habairtí thíos: na hocht gcainéal go léir don chomparáid iomlán, trí cinn ar a laghad chun gur féidir an t-éileamh a thástáil anseo ar chor ar bith, agus tairseach (aonaid luaineachta) de 2.0 chun cur síos ar ghluaiseacht mar ghluaiseacht lasmuigh de ghnáthathraitheacht sraithe. Roghanna foclaíochta foilsithe iad sin, ní tástálacha staitistiúla.

Gnéithe den nochtadh (teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026)), gach ceann lena stádas agus le figiúr foilsithe amháin.
GnéStádasFigiúr foilsithe, nó an fáth nach bhfuil ceann ann
Nochtadh díreach amhola (D1)An sciar den amhola allmhairithe a gcaithfidh a bealach dul trí Chaolas Hormuz.Níor foilsíodh aon rud san fhuinneog
neamhfhoilsithe
Nochtadh díreach táirgí (D2)An sciar de na táirgí peitriliam allmhairithe a gcaithfidh a mbealach dul trí Chaolas Hormuz.Breathnaithe
0 % de na tonnaí allmhairithe fritháireamh: +30 d (foilsithe: 2026-03-01)-100.00% i gcomparáid leis an leibhéal ag T0
Laethanta cumhdaigh na gcúlstoc ola (D7)Líon na laethanta cumhdaigh atá sna cúlstoic ola foilsithe. Maolán i gcoinne suaitheadh soláthair, ní sciar d’allmhairí, agus ní cainéal praghais.Breathnaithe
87.95 lá cumhdaigh fritháireamh: +30 d (foilsithe: 2026-03-01)+0.88% i gcomparáid leis an leibhéal ag T0 = +0.05 aonaid luaineachta
Tagarmharc amholaAn praghas amhola luaite a mbunaítear praghas lastas Eorpach air.Breathnaithe
121.9 $ an bairille fritháireamh: +30 d (foilsithe: 2026-03-30)+70.89% i gcomparáid leis an leibhéal ag T0 = +36.70 aonaid luaineachta
Tagarmharc táirgí peitriliamAn praghas táirge luaite a mbunaíonn scaglanna agus mórdhíoltóirí a bpraghsanna air.Níl sé ar fáilIs le dílseánaigh iad tagarmharcanna táirgí peitriliam an AE (Platts / Argus) agus níl cead athdháilte leo (ró 16: BLOCKED). Ní athróga ionadacha bailí don AE iad crack spreads SAM agus ní chuirtear ina n-áit iad.
Corrlach scaglainneAn méid a tuilleadh as bairille a scagadh chun an táirge seo a dhéanamh.Níl sé ar fáilNíl aon sraith foilsithe de chorrlaigh scaglainne againn, agus theastódh tagarmharcanna táirgí ceadúnaithe an AE, nach bhféadfar a athfhoilsiú, chun corrlach a ríomh muid féin.
Rátaí lastaisCé mhéad a chosain sé an lasta a sheoladh.Níl sé ar fáilTá ceadúnais rátaí lastais tancaer den chineál a thoirmisceann go sainráite taispeáint phoiblí, iad a chur ar aghaidh agus sonraí díorthaithe (fíoraithe focal ar fhocal), agus ní fhoilsíonn aon institiúid oscailte ráta tancaer (ró 17: BLOCKED).
StoicStoic a choinnítear, a mhaolaíonn nó a mhéadaíonn athrú soláthair.Breathnaithe
600,755 t fritháireamh: +30 d (foilsithe: 2026-03-01)+13.59% i gcomparáid leis an leibhéal ag T0 = +1.18 aonaid luaineachta
Praghsanna mórdhíolaAn praghas idir geata na scaglainne agus an stáisiún peitril.Níl sé ar fáilIs le dílseánaigh iad sraitheanna praghsanna mórdhíola (rack) agus níl cead athdháilte leo (ró 16: BLOCKED).
Praghas ag an gcaidéal gan chánachaAn praghas ag an gcaidéal agus an dleacht mháil, an CBL agus cánacha eile ar bhreosla bainte de.Breathnaithe
0.9276 € an lítear fritháireamh: +30 d (foilsithe: 2026-03-30)+43.00% i gcomparáid leis an leibhéal ag T0 = +6.59 aonaid luaineachta
Praghas ag an gcaidéal le cáinAn méid a d’íoc tiománaí i ndáiríre.Breathnaithe
1.869 € an lítear fritháireamh: +30 d (foilsithe: 2026-03-30)+22.04% i gcomparáid leis an leibhéal ag T0 = +6.36 aonaid luaineachta

Is ceisteanna éagsúla iad nochtadh fisiceach (Caolas Hormuz) agus nochtadh praghais. Is féidir le praghas ag an gcaidéal bogadh fiú i dtír nach bhfuil mórán nochta fhisicigh dhírigh aici: praghsáiltear amhola go domhanda, agus d’fhéadfadh sraith a bhog san fhuinneog seo bogadh ar chúiseanna eile.

Cad a rinne an praghas ag an gcaidéal thart ar an dáta seo

Is féidir leathanach an mhiondealaithe a shocrú ar na seachtainí thart ar dháta an teagmhais, ionas gur féidir an ghluaiseacht ag an gcaidéal a roinnt ina cáin, ina costas ionchuir agus sa chuid nach gclúdaíonn an costas ionchuir.

Miondealú an phraghais, 21/02/2026 – 30/03/2026 →

Is í an fhuinneog dáta foilsithe an teagmhais lúide 7 lá go dtí móide 30 lá. Fuinneog le breathnú tríthi atá ann, ní éileamh gurbh é an teagmhas bunús an ruda atá inti.

An t-athrú iarbhír agus an t-athrú ón amhola amháin: an Laitvia, peitreal (Euro-super 95)

Cad a rinne an praghas gan chánacha ó cheithre seachtaine roimh sheachtain an teagmhais go dtí trí seachtaine déag ina diaidh, taobh leis an méid a dhéanfadh sé dá leanfadh sé costas ionchuir na hamhola amháin ar an luas a thomhaiseann an meastachán stóráilte ar an tarchur praghsanna. Níl an difríocht scáthaithe mínithe ag an amhola; ní shanntar don teagmhas ná d’aon rud eile í.

Níorbh fhéidir an chomparáid leis an amhola amháin a léamh.

API 404 for /api/events/hormuz-2026/crude-only: No stored crude-only run for 'hormuz-2026' and country 'latvia'. Runs are stored for the pilot countries; available_countries lists them.

An méid a dtacaíonn na huimhreacha leis, abairt ar abairt

Tagann gach abairt ó theimpléad seasta, arna roghnú de réir tairseach foilsithe. Oscail “Cén fáth an abairt seo” chun na huimhreacha a roghnaigh í a fheiceáil. Níor scríobh múnla teanga aon chuid den téacs seo, agus ní shanntar cúis in aon áit ann.

  1. Teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026); 7 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (gan chánacha, peitreal, an Laitvia) +2.3%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 0.4, laistigh den raon sin.

    tír: an LaitviaRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    0.6636912396694216
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Latvia
    z_score
    0.8688897602859436
    t0_value
    0.6486829752066117
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    2.3136516659820803
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_LV_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    LV
    country_name
    Latvia
    country_slug
    latvia
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.3547256176087153
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.015008264462809895
    change_pct_from_t0
    2.3136516659820803
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    6.522369829331537
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.3547256176087153
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    0.6636912396694216
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Latvia
    z_score
    0.8688897602859436
    t0_value
    0.6486829752066117
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    2.3136516659820803
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_LV_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    LV
    country_name
    Latvia
    country_slug
    latvia
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.3547256176087153
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.015008264462809895
    change_pct_from_t0
    2.3136516659820803
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    6.522369829331537
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.3547256176087153

    Teimpléad event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg a440d7ec52f43f72a8d69d5f4c9e8a217481b41dd4e7102dab68caa5bfced8c6 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  2. Teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026); 30 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (gan chánacha, peitreal, an Laitvia) +43.0%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 6.6, lasmuigh den raon sin.

    tír: an LaitviaRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    0.9276333884297522
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Latvia
    z_score
    10.273506463131826
    t0_value
    0.6486829752066117
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    43.00257967064607
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_LV_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    LV
    country_name
    Latvia
    country_slug
    latvia
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-30
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    6.593091283671246
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.2789504132231405
    change_pct_from_t0
    43.00257967064607
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    6.522369829331537
    change_in_volatility_units
    6.593091283671246
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    0.9276333884297522
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Latvia
    z_score
    10.273506463131826
    t0_value
    0.6486829752066117
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    43.00257967064607
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_LV_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    LV
    country_name
    Latvia
    country_slug
    latvia
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-30
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    6.593091283671246
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.2789504132231405
    change_pct_from_t0
    43.00257967064607
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    6.522369829331537
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    6.593091283671246

    Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 7920bb760da14558e7f36b28be866f4035d21dab80aa4180bd00faa0192dce77 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  3. Teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026); 90 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (gan chánacha, peitreal, an Laitvia) +44.3%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 6.8, lasmuigh den raon sin.

    tír: an LaitviaRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    0.9357325619834711
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Latvia
    z_score
    10.562091000464351
    t0_value
    0.6486829752066117
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    44.25113618642935
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_LV_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    LV
    country_name
    Latvia
    country_slug
    latvia
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-05-25
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    6.784518103746434
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.28704958677685943
    change_pct_from_t0
    44.25113618642935
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    6.522369829331537
    change_in_volatility_units
    6.784518103746434
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    0.9357325619834711
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Latvia
    z_score
    10.562091000464351
    t0_value
    0.6486829752066117
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    44.25113618642935
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_LV_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    LV
    country_name
    Latvia
    country_slug
    latvia
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-05-25
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    6.784518103746434
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.28704958677685943
    change_pct_from_t0
    44.25113618642935
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    6.522369829331537
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    6.784518103746434

    Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 1a483f14228f08eff299e7bccda2ecce05ee82c174b7f26fae24457532ab6c7c · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  4. Teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026); 7 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (le cáin, peitreal, an Laitvia) +1.2%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 0.3, laistigh den raon sin.

    tír: an LaitviaRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    1.54983
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Latvia
    z_score
    1.4669083097992408
    t0_value
    1.53167
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    1.1856339812100487
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_LV_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    LV
    country_name
    Latvia
    country_slug
    latvia
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.34233196895436907
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.018159999999999954
    change_pct_from_t0
    1.1856339812100487
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.4634042062489554
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.34233196895436907
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    1.54983
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Latvia
    z_score
    1.4669083097992408
    t0_value
    1.53167
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    1.1856339812100487
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_LV_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    LV
    country_name
    Latvia
    country_slug
    latvia
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.34233196895436907
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.018159999999999954
    change_pct_from_t0
    1.1856339812100487
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.4634042062489554
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.34233196895436907

    Teimpléad event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 4d05a9953ad2c9f42a2c9ab8e14ad57c49ac435929a11512f6eedc77b7589f22 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  5. Teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026); 30 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (le cáin, peitreal, an Laitvia) +22.0%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 6.4, lasmuigh den raon sin.

    tír: an LaitviaRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    1.8692000000000002
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Latvia
    z_score
    14.585696617531779
    t0_value
    1.53167
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    22.036731149660184
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_LV_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    LV
    country_name
    Latvia
    country_slug
    latvia
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-30
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    6.3627373062317485
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.3375300000000001
    change_pct_from_t0
    22.036731149660184
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.4634042062489554
    change_in_volatility_units
    6.3627373062317485
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    1.8692000000000002
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Latvia
    z_score
    14.585696617531779
    t0_value
    1.53167
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    22.036731149660184
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_LV_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    LV
    country_name
    Latvia
    country_slug
    latvia
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-30
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    6.3627373062317485
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.3375300000000001
    change_pct_from_t0
    22.036731149660184
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.4634042062489554
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    6.3627373062317485

    Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 437f6a9cb29149dea61fa24495a61711982bc89a1a11ef100eeb35b09a728aad · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  6. Teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026); 90 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (le cáin, peitreal, an Laitvia) +22.7%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 6.5, lasmuigh den raon sin.

    tír: an LaitviaRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    1.879
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Latvia
    z_score
    14.98825204044494
    t0_value
    1.53167
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    22.67655565493872
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_LV_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    LV
    country_name
    Latvia
    country_slug
    latvia
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-05-25
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    6.547475923839278
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.3473299999999999
    change_pct_from_t0
    22.67655565493872
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.4634042062489554
    change_in_volatility_units
    6.547475923839278
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    1.879
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Latvia
    z_score
    14.98825204044494
    t0_value
    1.53167
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    22.67655565493872
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_LV_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    LV
    country_name
    Latvia
    country_slug
    latvia
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-05-25
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    6.547475923839278
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.3473299999999999
    change_pct_from_t0
    22.67655565493872
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.4634042062489554
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    6.547475923839278

    Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 528c5fd415212c0f0b7fe7be10114a7c2fea2e2cfb2c2eb6f79135f18f623701 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  7. Teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026); 7 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (gan chánacha, díosal, an Laitvia) +2.3%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 0.4, laistigh den raon sin.

    tír: an LaitviaRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    0.7447615702479339
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Latvia
    z_score
    1.2546212964987946
    t0_value
    0.7279599173553719
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    2.3080464311278583
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_LV_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    LV
    country_name
    Latvia
    country_slug
    latvia
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.38112208387859287
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.01680165289256197
    change_pct_from_t0
    2.3080464311278583
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    6.055924148082405
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.38112208387859287
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    0.7447615702479339
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Latvia
    z_score
    1.2546212964987946
    t0_value
    0.7279599173553719
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    2.3080464311278583
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_LV_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    LV
    country_name
    Latvia
    country_slug
    latvia
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.38112208387859287
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.01680165289256197
    change_pct_from_t0
    2.3080464311278583
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    6.055924148082405
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.38112208387859287

    Teimpléad event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg b6c924fa1c9a62c3a2e4086e3cb5aee53c0a2ce9092ea3db3a211ec286c810c4 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  8. Teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026); 30 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (gan chánacha, díosal, an Laitvia) +59.0%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 9.7, lasmuigh den raon sin.

    tír: an LaitviaRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    1.1577119834710743
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Latvia
    z_score
    15.709735566569263
    t0_value
    0.7279599173553719
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    59.03512760386065
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_LV_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    LV
    country_name
    Latvia
    country_slug
    latvia
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-30
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    9.748326788827763
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.4297520661157024
    change_pct_from_t0
    59.03512760386065
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    6.055924148082405
    change_in_volatility_units
    9.748326788827763
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    1.1577119834710743
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Latvia
    z_score
    15.709735566569263
    t0_value
    0.7279599173553719
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    59.03512760386065
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_LV_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    LV
    country_name
    Latvia
    country_slug
    latvia
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-30
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    9.748326788827763
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.4297520661157024
    change_pct_from_t0
    59.03512760386065
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    6.055924148082405
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    9.748326788827763

    Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 89dacb9bee91c66f6c885d69e0f184740af79bd2f20838c932fd1096b3d705ad · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  9. Teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026); 90 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (gan chánacha, díosal, an Laitvia) +51.1%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 8.4, lasmuigh den raon sin.

    tír: an LaitviaRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    1.1000590909090908
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Latvia
    z_score
    13.69162607134218
    t0_value
    0.7279599173553719
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    51.115338177619655
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_LV_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    LV
    country_name
    Latvia
    country_slug
    latvia
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-05-25
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    8.440551256541946
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.3720991735537189
    change_pct_from_t0
    51.115338177619655
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    6.055924148082405
    change_in_volatility_units
    8.440551256541946
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    1.1000590909090908
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Latvia
    z_score
    13.69162607134218
    t0_value
    0.7279599173553719
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    51.115338177619655
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_LV_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    LV
    country_name
    Latvia
    country_slug
    latvia
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-05-25
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    8.440551256541946
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.3720991735537189
    change_pct_from_t0
    51.115338177619655
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    6.055924148082405
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    8.440551256541946

    Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 2274f64bb416352b219532edcfcf5655b830853ba2f35639d9989fd664d067f0 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  10. Teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026); 7 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (le cáin, díosal, an Laitvia) +1.3%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 0.4, laistigh den raon sin.

    tír: an LaitviaRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    1.54833
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Latvia
    z_score
    2.137218688511324
    t0_value
    1.528
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    1.33049738219895
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_LV_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    LV
    country_name
    Latvia
    country_slug
    latvia
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.36797623415429
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.02032999999999996
    change_pct_from_t0
    1.33049738219895
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.6157155237397247
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.36797623415429
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    1.54833
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Latvia
    z_score
    2.137218688511324
    t0_value
    1.528
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    1.33049738219895
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_LV_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    LV
    country_name
    Latvia
    country_slug
    latvia
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.36797623415429
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.02032999999999996
    change_pct_from_t0
    1.33049738219895
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.6157155237397247
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.36797623415429

    Teimpléad event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 9a5c4e210d6d1e2516741ecc4f846aed1a22ad813531fbfe230659709abb8812 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  11. Teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026); 30 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (le cáin, díosal, an Laitvia) +34.0%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 9.4, lasmuigh den raon sin.

    tír: an LaitviaRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    2.048
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Latvia
    z_score
    23.04417428833747
    t0_value
    1.528
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    34.031413612565444
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_LV_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    LV
    country_name
    Latvia
    country_slug
    latvia
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-30
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    9.412082723080728
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.52
    change_pct_from_t0
    34.031413612565444
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.6157155237397247
    change_in_volatility_units
    9.412082723080728
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    2.048
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Latvia
    z_score
    23.04417428833747
    t0_value
    1.528
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    34.031413612565444
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_LV_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    LV
    country_name
    Latvia
    country_slug
    latvia
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-30
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    9.412082723080728
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.52
    change_pct_from_t0
    34.031413612565444
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.6157155237397247
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    9.412082723080728

    Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 322fcd9fdb9a759e5b6c9822293a9249b1a53e15dc8e6590bf6cc5002a8001f4 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  12. Teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026); 90 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (le cáin, díosal, an Laitvia) +23.8%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 6.6, lasmuigh den raon sin.

    tír: an LaitviaRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    1.89233
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Latvia
    z_score
    16.530703841392615
    t0_value
    1.528
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    23.84358638743456
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_LV_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    LV
    country_name
    Latvia
    country_slug
    latvia
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-05-25
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    6.59443095865385
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.36433000000000004
    change_pct_from_t0
    23.84358638743456
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.6157155237397247
    change_in_volatility_units
    6.59443095865385
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    1.89233
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Latvia
    z_score
    16.530703841392615
    t0_value
    1.528
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    23.84358638743456
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_LV_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    LV
    country_name
    Latvia
    country_slug
    latvia
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-05-25
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    6.59443095865385
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.36433000000000004
    change_pct_from_t0
    23.84358638743456
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.6157155237397247
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    6.59443095865385

    Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg ac306fb4b13169532b4193fb0f65e51209de79904a9916948908c816a711b017 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  13. Pointe tagartha: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026). Laistigh den fhad ón bpointe sin (4 seachtaine), d’athródh costais na hamhola amháin an praghas gan chánacha (peitreal, an Laitvia) +9.3 c/l (raon +0.8–+17.9); d’athraigh sé +21.5 c/l i ndáiríre, agus tá +12.1 c/l fágtha gan mhíniú ag an amhola. Thar an tréimhse chéanna, leathnaigh crack spread SAM (gásailín), athróg ionadach do mhargadh táirgí an Atlantaigh agus ní corrlach Eorpach, 9.9 $/bbl.

    tír: an LaitviaRíofaMeánach
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    weeks
    4
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Latvia
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_LV_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    LV
    country_name
    Latvia
    country_slug
    latvia
    offset_weeks
    4
    proxy_product
    GASOLINE
    proxy_to_date
    2026-03-23
    pass_through_k
    0
    proxy_from_date
    2026-02-23
    observation_date
    2026-03-23
    gap_eur_per_litre
    0.12134103987676825
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2026-02-23
    actual_eur_per_litre
    0.2146528925619835
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.09331185268521525
    proxy_volatility_units
    2.8999750350600633
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    9.9
    pass_through_sample_start
    2023-09-25
    pass_through_window_label
    ROLLING_156W
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    0.007723495382637502
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.178900209987793
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    27.922644296421584
    Tairseacha
    source
    docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
    proxy_rule
    the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
    confidence_cap
    MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
    statement_weeks
    [4,13]
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    weeks
    4
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Latvia
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_LV_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    LV
    country_name
    Latvia
    country_slug
    latvia
    offset_weeks
    4
    proxy_product
    GASOLINE
    proxy_to_date
    2026-03-23
    pass_through_k
    0
    proxy_from_date
    2026-02-23
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2026-03-23
    gap_eur_per_litre
    0.12134103987676825
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2026-02-23
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    actual_eur_per_litre
    0.2146528925619835
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.09331185268521525
    proxy_volatility_units
    2.8999750350600633
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    9.9
    pass_through_sample_start
    2023-09-25
    pass_through_window_label
    ROLLING_156W
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    0.007723495382637502
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.178900209987793
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    27.922644296421584

    Teimpléad event.crude_only.computed_with_proxy v1.2 · Méarlorg f21fdb59e7e2c5f88cdcc33a30922e400369439a4178f30a23b9273d2cdb223b · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  14. Pointe tagartha: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026). Laistigh den fhad ón bpointe sin (seachtainí: 13), d’athródh costais na hamhola amháin an praghas gan chánacha (peitreal, an Laitvia) +10.4 c/l (raon -14.6–+35.3); d’athraigh sé +28.7 c/l i ndáiríre, agus tá +18.3 c/l fágtha gan mhíniú ag an amhola. Thar an tréimhse chéanna, leathnaigh crack spread SAM (gásailín), athróg ionadach do mhargadh táirgí an Atlantaigh agus ní corrlach Eorpach, 27.0 $/bbl.

    tír: an LaitviaRíofaMeánach
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    weeks
    13
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Latvia
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_LV_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    LV
    country_name
    Latvia
    country_slug
    latvia
    offset_weeks
    13
    proxy_product
    GASOLINE
    proxy_to_date
    2026-05-22
    pass_through_k
    0
    proxy_from_date
    2026-02-23
    observation_date
    2026-05-25
    gap_eur_per_litre
    0.18315954672247226
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2026-02-23
    actual_eur_per_litre
    0.28704958677685943
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.10389004005438718
    proxy_volatility_units
    7.918982333112501
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    27.034
    pass_through_sample_start
    2023-09-25
    pass_through_window_label
    ROLLING_156W
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    -0.14562483965157513
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.35340491976034905
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    27.922644296421584
    Tairseacha
    source
    docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
    proxy_rule
    the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
    confidence_cap
    MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
    statement_weeks
    [4,13]
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    weeks
    13
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Latvia
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_LV_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    LV
    country_name
    Latvia
    country_slug
    latvia
    offset_weeks
    13
    proxy_product
    GASOLINE
    proxy_to_date
    2026-05-22
    pass_through_k
    0
    proxy_from_date
    2026-02-23
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2026-05-25
    gap_eur_per_litre
    0.18315954672247226
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2026-02-23
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    actual_eur_per_litre
    0.28704958677685943
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.10389004005438718
    proxy_volatility_units
    7.918982333112501
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    27.034
    pass_through_sample_start
    2023-09-25
    pass_through_window_label
    ROLLING_156W
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    -0.14562483965157513
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.35340491976034905
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    27.922644296421584

    Teimpléad event.crude_only.computed_with_proxy v1.2 · Méarlorg edc8457dc122fd38fc83bd090ee1b056ce1ec4a07d95e22558b8e8b87cf6abbb · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  15. Pointe tagartha: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026). Laistigh den fhad ón bpointe sin (4 seachtaine), d’athródh costais na hamhola amháin an praghas gan chánacha (díosal, an Laitvia) +36.0 c/l (raon +23.9–+48.1); d’athraigh sé +40.9 c/l i ndáiríre, agus tá +4.9 c/l fágtha gan mhíniú ag an amhola. Thar an tréimhse chéanna, leathnaigh crack spread SAM (díosal), athróg ionadach do mhargadh táirgí an Atlantaigh agus ní corrlach Eorpach, 28.8 $/bbl.

    tír: an LaitviaRíofaMeánach
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    weeks
    4
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Latvia
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_LV_DIESEL
    country_iso2
    LV
    country_name
    Latvia
    country_slug
    latvia
    offset_weeks
    4
    proxy_product
    DIESEL
    proxy_to_date
    2026-03-23
    pass_through_k
    2
    proxy_from_date
    2026-02-23
    observation_date
    2026-03-23
    gap_eur_per_litre
    0.04927436724690992
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2026-02-23
    actual_eur_per_litre
    0.40909090909090917
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.35981654184399925
    proxy_volatility_units
    10.98407307729496
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    28.757999999999996
    pass_through_sample_start
    2023-09-25
    pass_through_window_label
    ROLLING_156W
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    0.23909139938083623
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.48054168430716376
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    6.045708372099533
    Tairseacha
    source
    docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
    proxy_rule
    the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
    confidence_cap
    MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
    statement_weeks
    [4,13]
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    weeks
    4
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Latvia
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_LV_DIESEL
    country_iso2
    LV
    country_name
    Latvia
    country_slug
    latvia
    offset_weeks
    4
    proxy_product
    DIESEL
    proxy_to_date
    2026-03-23
    pass_through_k
    2
    proxy_from_date
    2026-02-23
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2026-03-23
    gap_eur_per_litre
    0.04927436724690992
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2026-02-23
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    actual_eur_per_litre
    0.40909090909090917
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.35981654184399925
    proxy_volatility_units
    10.98407307729496
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    28.757999999999996
    pass_through_sample_start
    2023-09-25
    pass_through_window_label
    ROLLING_156W
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    0.23909139938083623
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.48054168430716376
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    6.045708372099533

    Teimpléad event.crude_only.computed_with_proxy v1.2 · Méarlorg e3e94b1273010a63fb53a25703bde46555481fc84edf3134fdfb8e08c941114a · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  16. Pointe tagartha: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026). Laistigh den fhad ón bpointe sin (seachtainí: 13), d’athródh costais na hamhola amháin an praghas gan chánacha (díosal, an Laitvia) +62.5 c/l (raon +25.6–+99.5); d’athraigh sé +37.2 c/l i ndáiríre, agus tá -25.3 c/l fágtha gan mhíniú ag an amhola. Thar an tréimhse chéanna, leathnaigh crack spread SAM (díosal), athróg ionadach do mhargadh táirgí an Atlantaigh agus ní corrlach Eorpach, 16.0 $/bbl.

    tír: an LaitviaRíofaMeánach
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    weeks
    13
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Latvia
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_LV_DIESEL
    country_iso2
    LV
    country_name
    Latvia
    country_slug
    latvia
    offset_weeks
    13
    proxy_product
    DIESEL
    proxy_to_date
    2026-05-22
    pass_through_k
    2
    proxy_from_date
    2026-02-23
    observation_date
    2026-05-25
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.2533814971351436
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2026-02-23
    actual_eur_per_litre
    0.3720991735537189
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.6254806706888625
    proxy_volatility_units
    6.106591569642946
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    15.988
    pass_through_sample_start
    2023-09-25
    pass_through_window_label
    ROLLING_156W
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    0.25580179814200765
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.9951595432357158
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    6.045708372099533
    Tairseacha
    source
    docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
    proxy_rule
    the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
    confidence_cap
    MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
    statement_weeks
    [4,13]
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    weeks
    13
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Latvia
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_LV_DIESEL
    country_iso2
    LV
    country_name
    Latvia
    country_slug
    latvia
    offset_weeks
    13
    proxy_product
    DIESEL
    proxy_to_date
    2026-05-22
    pass_through_k
    2
    proxy_from_date
    2026-02-23
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2026-05-25
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.2533814971351436
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2026-02-23
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    actual_eur_per_litre
    0.3720991735537189
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.6254806706888625
    proxy_volatility_units
    6.106591569642946
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    15.988
    pass_through_sample_start
    2023-09-25
    pass_through_window_label
    ROLLING_156W
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    0.25580179814200765
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.9951595432357158
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    6.045708372099533

    Teimpléad event.crude_only.computed_with_proxy v1.2 · Méarlorg da937c2317737d42c3e9b6605651e6213e0dcdd47abae3350cdaa112ca0cd504 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  17. Spleáchas fisiceach díreach ar Hormuz (amhola, an Laitvia, Feabhra 2026): ANAITHNID: tuairiscíonn an fhoinse nialas allmhairí don tréimhse seo: níl aon mhéid ann ar féidir sciar de a ríomh; nialas tuairiscithe é seo, ní sonraí ar iarraidh.

    tír: an LaitviaAnaithnidAnaithnid
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2026-02
    status
    NO_OBSERVATION
    country
    Latvia
    commodity
    crude
    dimension
    DIRECT_CRUDE
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    country_iso2
    LV
    country_name
    Latvia
    country_slug
    latvia
    value_max_pct
    null
    value_min_pct
    null
    exposure_status
    UNKNOWN
    value_point_pct
    null
    observation_date
    2026-02-01
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
    band_applied_to
    upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
    dependence_limited_max_pct
    10
    dependence_moderate_max_pct
    33
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2026-02
    status
    NO_OBSERVATION
    country
    Latvia
    commodity
    crude
    dimension
    DIRECT_CRUDE
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    LV
    country_name
    Latvia
    country_slug
    latvia
    value_max_pct
    null
    value_min_pct
    null
    exposure_status
    UNKNOWN
    statement_topic
    hormuz
    value_point_pct
    null
    observation_date
    2026-02-01
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Teimpléad event.dependence.unknown v1.2 · Méarlorg e949e8876739424dbe474f31815ae9bbc02464e041a3b9ee96a6cb18d55c4dfb · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  18. Spleáchas fisiceach díreach ar Hormuz (táirgí peitriliam, an Laitvia, Feabhra 2026): teoranta (0%).

    tír: an LaitviaRíofaÍseal
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    limited
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2026-02
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Latvia
    commodity
    refined product
    dimension
    DIRECT_PRODUCT
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    country_iso2
    LV
    country_name
    Latvia
    country_slug
    latvia
    value_max_pct
    0.44750504140387
    value_min_pct
    0.44750504140387
    exposure_status
    COMPUTED
    value_point_pct
    0.44750504140387
    observation_date
    2026-02-01
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
    band_applied_to
    upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
    dependence_limited_max_pct
    10
    dependence_moderate_max_pct
    33
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    limited
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2026-02
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Latvia
    commodity
    refined product
    dimension
    DIRECT_PRODUCT
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    LV
    country_name
    Latvia
    country_slug
    latvia
    value_max_pct
    0.44750504140387
    value_min_pct
    0.44750504140387
    exposure_status
    COMPUTED
    statement_topic
    hormuz
    value_point_pct
    0.44750504140387
    observation_date
    2026-02-01
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Teimpléad event.dependence.point v1.2 · Méarlorg 7a28220d3f0ffaaff478745a88d0171f9df483fa437934eeed5d04de2b5edd51 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  19. Is ANAITHNID ar laghdaíodh soláthar amhola go fisiciúil (an Laitvia, Feabhra 2026): nialas allmhairí amhola tuairiscithe sna míonna roimhe sin (12); ní féidir athrú céatadáin a ríomh.

    tír: an LaitviaAnaithnidAnaithnid
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2026-02
    country
    Latvia
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    country_iso2
    LV
    country_name
    Latvia
    country_slug
    latvia
    value_tonnes
    0
    missing_reason
    zero_baseline
    baseline_months
    12
    observation_date
    2026-02-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
    crude_imports_rule
    crude_imports_total-1.1
    baseline_mean_tonnes
    0
    baseline_window_months
    12
    value_not_published_code
    null
    baseline_not_published_months
    0
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no cut-off
    min_baseline_months
    6
    baseline_months_used
    12
    supply_reduction_pct
    -10
    supply_baseline_months
    12
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2026-02
    country
    Latvia
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    LV
    country_name
    Latvia
    country_slug
    latvia
    value_tonnes
    0
    missing_reason
    zero_baseline
    baseline_months
    12
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2026-02-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
    crude_imports_rule
    crude_imports_total-1.1
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    baseline_mean_tonnes
    0
    baseline_window_months
    12
    value_not_published_code
    null
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    baseline_not_published_months
    0

    Teimpléad event.supply.unknown v1.2 · Méarlorg 6d440f22c27cffe339cc2690eb959d22bbac1662bc5d4d5e3c6c4569d79f1518 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  20. Stoic ola (an Laitvia, Feabhra 2026): 3.1% os cionn a meáin thar na míonna roimhe sin (12), laistigh den bhanda ±5% a mheasann an suíomh seo a bheith ag teacht leis an meán, le 87.2 lá cumhdaigh (mar a foilsíodh).

    tír: an LaitviaRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2026-02
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Latvia
    direction
    above
    siec_code
    O4000
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    holder_type
    STK_CL
    series_code
    INVENTORY_LV
    country_iso2
    LV
    country_name
    Latvia
    country_slug
    latvia
    days_of_cover
    87.184
    metric_status
    COMPUTED
    mom_change_pct
    19.294340014164625
    observation_date
    2026-02-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
    total_stock_tonnes
    528901
    days_of_cover_basis
    as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
    observation_gap_days
    27
    trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
    512975.75
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
    3.104483983892027
    trailing_12m_observations
    12
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no band
    band_applied_to
    the rounded figure printed in the sentence
    days_of_cover_basis
    as published (Eurostat nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); never stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
    trailing_window_months
    12
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_raw
    3.104483983892027
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_shown
    3.1
    inventory_material_deviation_pct
    5
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2026-02
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Latvia
    direction
    above
    siec_code
    O4000
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    holder_type
    STK_CL
    series_code
    INVENTORY_LV
    country_iso2
    LV
    country_name
    Latvia
    country_slug
    latvia
    days_of_cover
    87.184
    metric_status
    COMPUTED
    mom_change_pct
    19.294340014164625
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2026-02-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
    total_stock_tonnes
    528901
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    days_of_cover_basis
    as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    27
    trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
    512975.75
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
    3.104483983892027
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    trailing_12m_observations
    12

    Teimpléad event.inventory_level.in_line v1.2 · Méarlorg ae1392a141925af8adf818eb96bf12c2279e5808eb614da24dd4fc1c85333d92 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  21. Achoimre ar a bhféadfar a sheiceáil anseo

    An Laitvia, teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026). Ní féidir ach cuid den slabhra a sheiceáil. Sraitheanna a chuireann an modh i gcomparáid atá ar fáil: 4 as 8 (tagarmharc amhola, stoic, praghas ag an gcaidéal gan chánacha agus praghas ag an gcaidéal le cáin); nach bhfuil ar fáil: tagarmharc táirgí peitriliam, corrlach scaglainne, rátaí lastais agus praghsanna mórdhíola. Ní féidir aon éileamh atá bunaithe ar na naisc atá ar iarraidh a thástáil anseo. Déanann an leathanach seo cur síos ar cad a rinne gach sraith thart ar dháta an teagmhais. Ní fionnachtain faoi chúis é: níl aon dearadh cúiseach foilsithe don suíomh seo, agus d’fhéadfadh sraith a bhog san fhuinneog chéanna bogadh ar chúiseanna eile.

    tír: an LaitviaAnaithnidAnaithnid
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    country
    Latvia
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    country_iso2
    LV
    country_name
    Latvia
    country_slug
    latvia
    dependence_band
    null
    dependence_range
    null
    channels_available
    ["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
    supply_template_id
    event.supply.unknown
    channels_unavailable
    ["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; the channel list is docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.3
    channels_total
    8
    channels_available
    4
    verdict_partial_min_channels
    3
    verdict_assessable_min_channels
    8
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    country
    Latvia
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    LV
    country_name
    Latvia
    country_slug
    latvia
    dependence_band
    null
    statement_topic
    event
    dependence_range
    null
    channels_available
    ["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
    supply_template_id
    event.supply.unknown
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    channels_unavailable
    ["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Teimpléad event.verdict.partial v1.2 · Méarlorg 09c1babb1f7cbc4a6da33c57d8d08b883a4a3ee5f784d1e4fd72578abb846690 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  22. Teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026); 7 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an tagarmharc (amhola Brent) +34.2%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó lá go lá sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 17.7, lasmuigh den raon sin.

    faoin teagmhas ina iomláineRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    95.74
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    11.429511613277612
    t0_value
    71.32
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    34.24004486819967
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    BRENT
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2026-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    17.72499106459417
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    24.42
    change_pct_from_t0
    34.24004486819967
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.9317383429656259
    change_in_volatility_units
    17.72499106459417
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    95.74
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    11.429511613277612
    t0_value
    71.32
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    34.24004486819967
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    BRENT
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2026-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    17.72499106459417
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    24.42
    change_pct_from_t0
    34.24004486819967
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.9317383429656259
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    17.72499106459417

    Teimpléad event.benchmark_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 4ea435198e2ad85179076b27dc38a89512f04178c41f341853cd2dbe9edcddb3 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  23. Teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026); 30 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an tagarmharc (amhola Brent) +70.9%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó lá go lá sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 36.7, lasmuigh den raon sin.

    faoin teagmhas ina iomláineRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    121.88
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    20.908399390463835
    t0_value
    71.32
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    70.89175546831184
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    BRENT
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2026-03-30
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    36.69842539827523
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    50.56
    change_pct_from_t0
    70.89175546831184
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.9317383429656259
    change_in_volatility_units
    36.69842539827523
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    121.88
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    20.908399390463835
    t0_value
    71.32
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    70.89175546831184
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    BRENT
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2026-03-30
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    36.69842539827523
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    50.56
    change_pct_from_t0
    70.89175546831184
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.9317383429656259
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    36.69842539827523

    Teimpléad event.benchmark_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 29bbc9c1226a318de551eedf873f282db221eb9ec716b009f1161b898b5d397c · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  24. Teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026); 90 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an tagarmharc (amhola Brent) +30.2%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó lá go lá sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 15.6, lasmuigh den raon sin.

    faoin teagmhas ina iomláineRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    92.88
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    10.392418306362824
    t0_value
    71.32
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    30.22994952327538
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    BRENT
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2026-05-29
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    15.64909121018224
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    21.560000000000002
    change_pct_from_t0
    30.22994952327538
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.9317383429656259
    change_in_volatility_units
    15.64909121018224
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    92.88
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    10.392418306362824
    t0_value
    71.32
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    30.22994952327538
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    BRENT
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2026-05-29
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    15.64909121018224
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    21.560000000000002
    change_pct_from_t0
    30.22994952327538
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.9317383429656259
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    15.64909121018224

    Teimpléad event.benchmark_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg da6e291650428ea4feda72840b110dea4b3e2942f69e01f932de816d3716527d · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  25. Rátaí lastais – freagra: ní féidir a mheas. Fáth: tá ceadúnais rátaí lastais tancaer den chineál a thoirmisceann go sainráite taispeáint phoiblí, iad a chur ar aghaidh agus sonraí díorthaithe (fíoraithe focal ar fhocal), agus ní fhoilsíonn aon institiúid oscailte ráta tancaer.

    faoin teagmhas ina iomláineAnaithnidAnaithnid
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["freight rates"]
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
    Tairseacha
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["freight rates"]
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Teimpléad event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Méarlorg cbf9fd2371d9caad14a75cea5013e1be30bd2eb2033908f832c88c88067f87e7 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  26. Tagarmharc táirgí peitriliam – freagra: ní féidir a mheas. Fáth: is le dílseánaigh iad tagarmharcanna táirgí peitriliam an AE (Platts / Argus) agus níl cead athdháilte leo. Ní athróga ionadacha bailí don AE iad crack spreads SAM agus ní chuirtear ina n-áit iad.

    faoin teagmhas ina iomláineAnaithnidAnaithnid
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refined-product benchmark"]
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
    Tairseacha
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refined-product benchmark"]
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Teimpléad event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Méarlorg 8af490b1ea34e00f40494098d666c15e05cfca35931abd7a50a334f8e61f0d3e · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  27. Praghsanna mórdhíola – freagra: ní féidir a mheas. Fáth: is le dílseánaigh iad sraitheanna praghsanna mórdhíola (rack) agus níl cead athdháilte leo.

    faoin teagmhas ina iomláineAnaithnidAnaithnid
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["wholesale prices"]
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
    Tairseacha
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["wholesale prices"]
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Teimpléad event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Méarlorg cb537d4c961760559b281257dfa2ff078da30874030ebc0d45438e5b240ce371 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  28. Corrlach scaglainne – freagra: ní féidir a mheas. Fáth: níl aon sraith foilsithe de chorrlaigh scaglainne againn, agus theastódh tagarmharcanna táirgí ceadúnaithe an AE, nach bhféadfar a athfhoilsiú, chun corrlach a ríomh muid féin.

    faoin teagmhas ina iomláineAnaithnidAnaithnid
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refining margin"]
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    reason_code
    NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
    Tairseacha
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refining margin"]
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Teimpléad event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Méarlorg c3272c131b1b047dc850145474462c0a9daea21ea6429e3edc6c8e07abc867e8 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

An méid nach dtaispeánann sé seo

  • Ní thaispeánann sé gurbh é an teagmhas bunús aon ruda. Níl aon dearadh cúiseach foilsithe don suíomh seo, agus d’fhéadfadh sraith a bhog san fhuinneog seo bogadh ar chúiseanna eile.
  • Ní tástáil suntasachta é athrú in aonaid luaineachta, agus ní tástáil suntasachta é scór z ach an oiread. Tomhaiseann siad rudaí éagsúla agus ní féidir ceann a chur in áit an chinn eile.
  • Taispeántar cainéil nach bhfuil foinse acu a bhfuil ceadúnas againn chun í a úsáid, nó foinse lódáilte, mar phainéil fholmha, ní mar línte cothroma. Ní hionann “Ní féidir linn é seo a fheiceáil” agus “Níor bhog sé seo”.
  • Ní idirshuitear aon rud. Nuair a thagann roinnt fritháireamh ar an bhfigiúr foilsithe céanna, is é sin a phriontáil an foilsitheoir, agus is nialas an t-athrú i gcoinne dháta an teagmhais: is í an uimhir chéanna í.

An Laitvia: soláthar, scaglanna agus praghsanna ag an gcaidéal →

Conas na lipéid a léamh

  • OifigiúilTuairiscithe go díreach ag údarás oifigiúil.
  • FíoraitheTuairiscithe ag tríú páirtí agus fíoraithe againn i gcoinne taifid phríomhúil.
  • RíofaRíofa againn ó ionchuir thuairiscithe. Tá an modh foilsithe ar leathanach na modheolaíochta.
  • Infeirithe · muinín ardNíor tuairiscíodh. Infeirithe ó dhá thaifead fhisiceacha neamhspleácha ar a laghad.
  • Infeirithe · muinín mheánachNíor tuairiscíodh. Infeirithe ó fhianaise láidir indíreach, gan deimhniú follasach.
  • Infeirithe · muinín ísealNíor tuairiscíodh. Sochreidte ó shonraí bonneagair nó gluaiseachta amháin. Ná léigh mar fhíric é.
  • AnaithnidNí chruthaíonn aon fhianaise phoiblí inchosanta é seo. Ní thugaimid buille faoi thuairim, agus ní tomhas nialais é seo.