Fuel Origin

Događaji / Porezna promjena

Njemačka: privremeno sniženje poreza na energente za motorna goriva (Tankrabatt), 2022.

Datumi
01. 06. 2022. → 31. 08. 2022.
Preciznost datuma
dan
Status
Završeno
Opseg
Njemačka

Što su naveli izvori (na engleskom)

Energiesteuersenkungsgesetz (Gesetz zur Aenderung des Energiesteuerrechts zur temporaeren Absenkung der Energiesteuer fuer Kraftstoffe) of 24 May 2022, BGBl. I 2022 p. 810. The Bundestag record of 19 May 2022 states the reduction ran from 1 June to 31 August 2022 and cut the energy-tax rate by 29.55 ct/litre on Benzin and by 14.04 ct/litre on Dieselkraftstoff. The same change is present in the primary tax series this project already holds: the tax rates taken from the European Commission Weekly Oil Bulletin duties and taxes file record German excise on Euro-super 95 petrol at 0.6545 EUR/litre before, 0.3590 EUR/litre effective 2022-06-01 and 0.6545 EUR/litre again effective 2022-08-31, and on diesel at 0.4704, then 0.3300, then 0.4704 EUR/litre on the same dates. The two records agree to the cent. This row is a timeline marker only; it makes no statement about how the change reached pump prices.

IEA, EIA, Europska komisija, Europsko vijeće i nacionalna zakonodavna tijela (navedeni za svaki redak)Službeno
Preuzeto 25. 09. 2026. 14:07 UTCRevizija 2
Izvorni dokumenti (3)
ZemljaZemljaNjemačkaFrancuskaNizozemskaPoljskaFinskaEstonijaAustrijaBelgijaBugarskaHrvatskaCiparČeškaDanskaGrčkaMađarskaIrskaItalijaLatvijaLitvaLuksemburgMaltaPortugalRumunjskaSlovačkaSlovenijaŠpanjolskaŠvedska
GorivoGorivoDizelsko gorivo (plinsko ulje za motorna vozila)Benzin (Euro-super 95)Oba goriva

Odabir goriva zadržava nizove toga goriva i kanale zajedničke svim gorivima – referentnu cijenu sirove nafte, tečaj, uvoz sirove nafte i izloženost Hormuzu. Izostavljaju se samo nizovi drugoga goriva.

Prozor događaja

Vrijednost svakog niza oko datuma događaja (pomaci u danima: od −30 do 90), koliko se razlikuje od razine istoga niza na datum događaja i kolika je ta promjena u odnosu na uobičajenu varijabilnost niza.

Irska, Benzin (Euro-super 95). Nizovi koji se mogu nacrtati: 15; nizovi koji se uopće ne vide i prikazani su niže kao označene prazne ploče: 4.

Objavljena očitanja: 195; pomaci bez objave unutar jednog razdoblja: 0; pomaci na nizovima koje uopće ne vidimo: 52. Svi su na ovoj stranici.

Europe Brent spot FOB

Jedinica: $ po bareluObjavljuje se: dnevnoIzračunanoSlužbena
T0−30T0+30+60+90132,895,82022-04-29: 108,4 $ po barelu, upotrijebljeno za pomake −302022-05-18: 110,0 $ po barelu, upotrijebljeno za pomake −142022-05-25: 116,4 $ po barelu, upotrijebljeno za pomake −72022-05-27: 121,2 $ po barelu, upotrijebljeno za pomake −32022-05-31: 125,5 $ po barelu, upotrijebljeno za pomake −1ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 — 2022-06-01, 122,2 $ po barelu, upotrijebljeno za pomake T0, +12022-06-03: 125,7 $ po barelu, upotrijebljeno za pomake +32022-06-08: 129,2 $ po barelu, upotrijebljeno za pomake +72022-06-15: 125,0 $ po barelu, upotrijebljeno za pomake +142022-07-01: 119,2 $ po barelu, upotrijebljeno za pomake +302022-07-29: 111,5 $ po barelu, upotrijebljeno za pomake +602022-08-30: 99,34 $ po barelu, upotrijebljeno za pomake +90

x: dani od datuma događaja. Svaka je oznaka na datumu kada je podatak objavljen: tako pravilo posljednje poznate vrijednosti odgovara na pomak. Barem jedna upotrijebljena vrijednost objavljena je izvan prozora od −30 do +90; os je proširena kako bi se vidjelo gdje se stvarno nalazi.

Tablica prozora – Europe Brent spot FOB. Za svaki pomak: vrijednost, promjena u odnosu na datum događaja i promjena u jedinicama volatilnosti.
PomakUpotrijebljena vrijednostVrijednostΔ aps.Δ %Jedinice volatilnosti
−302022-04-29108,4−13,840−11,33 %−2,53
−142022-05-18110,0−12,160−9,95 %−2,22
−72022-05-25116,4−5,790−4,74 %−1,06
−32022-05-27121,2−1,010−0,83 %−0,18
−12022-05-31125,5+3,330+2,73 %+0,61
T02022-06-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0122,20,0000,00 %0,00
+12022-06-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0122,20,0000,00 %0,00
+32022-06-03125,7+3,480+2,85 %+0,64
+72022-06-08129,2+7,000+5,73 %+1,28
+142022-06-15125,0+2,760+2,26 %+0,50
+302022-07-01119,2−2,990−2,45 %−0,55
+602022-07-29111,5−10,690−8,75 %−1,95
+902022-08-3099,34−22,860−18,71 %−4,18

Jedna jedinica volatilnosti za ovaj niz iznosi 4,48 %: standardna devijacija njegovih vlastitih postotnih promjena (iz dana u dan) tijekom triju godina prije događaja (broj promjena: 764). To nije test značajnosti.

reported crude oil imports, all origins

Jedinica: tObjavljuje se: mjesečnoIzračunanoSlužbena
T0−30T0+30+60+90291.594214.1032022-05-01: 242.534 t, upotrijebljeno za pomake −30, −14, −7, −3, −1ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 — 2022-06-01, 250.137 t, upotrijebljeno za pomake T0, +1, +3, +7, +142022-07-01: 221.602 t, upotrijebljeno za pomake +30, +602022-08-01: 284.095 t, upotrijebljeno za pomake +90

x: dani od datuma događaja. Svaka je oznaka na datumu kada je podatak objavljen: tako pravilo posljednje poznate vrijednosti odgovara na pomak. Barem jedna upotrijebljena vrijednost objavljena je izvan prozora od −30 do +90; os je proširena kako bi se vidjelo gdje se stvarno nalazi.

Tablica prozora – reported crude oil imports, all origins. Za svaki pomak: vrijednost, promjena u odnosu na datum događaja i promjena u jedinicama volatilnosti.
PomakUpotrijebljena vrijednostVrijednostΔ aps.Δ %Jedinice volatilnosti
−302022-05-01242.534−7.603−3,04 %−0,10
−142022-05-01242.534−7.603−3,04 %−0,10
−72022-05-01242.534−7.603−3,04 %−0,10
−32022-05-01242.534−7.603−3,04 %−0,10
−12022-05-01242.534−7.603−3,04 %−0,10
T02022-06-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0250.1370,0000,00 %0,00
+12022-06-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0250.1370,0000,00 %0,00
+32022-06-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0250.1370,0000,00 %0,00
+72022-06-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0250.1370,0000,00 %0,00
+142022-06-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0250.1370,0000,00 %0,00
+302022-07-01221.602−28.535−11,41 %−0,36
+602022-07-01221.602−28.535−11,41 %−0,36
+902022-08-01284.095+33.958+13,58 %+0,43

Jedna jedinica volatilnosti za ovaj niz iznosi 31,90 %: standardna devijacija njegovih vlastitih postotnih promjena (iz mjeseca u mjesec) tijekom triju godina prije događaja (broj promjena: 35). To nije test značajnosti.

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

Jedinica: € po litriObjavljuje se: tjednoIzračunanoSrednja
T0−30T0+30+60+901,2201,0692022-05-02: 1,083 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake −302022-05-16: 1,098 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake −142022-05-23: 1,112 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake −7, −3ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 — 2022-05-30, 1,131 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake −1, T0, +1, +32022-06-06: 1,154 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake +72022-06-13: 1,173 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake +142022-06-27: 1,205 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake +302022-07-25: 1,195 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake +602022-08-29: 1,175 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake +90

x: dani od datuma događaja. Svaka je oznaka na datumu kada je podatak objavljen: tako pravilo posljednje poznate vrijednosti odgovara na pomak.

Tablica prozora – crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since. Za svaki pomak: vrijednost, promjena u odnosu na datum događaja i promjena u jedinicama volatilnosti.
PomakUpotrijebljena vrijednostVrijednostΔ aps.Δ %Jedinice volatilnosti
−302022-05-021,083−0,048−4,21 %−2,57
−142022-05-161,098−0,033−2,95 %−1,80
−72022-05-231,112−0,019−1,70 %−1,04
−32022-05-231,112−0,019−1,70 %−1,04
−12022-05-30ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T01,1310,0000,00 %0,00
T02022-05-30ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T01,1310,0000,00 %0,00
+12022-05-30ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T01,1310,0000,00 %0,00
+32022-05-30ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T01,1310,0000,00 %0,00
+72022-06-061,154+0,023+2,00 %+1,22
+142022-06-131,173+0,042+3,75 %+2,29
+302022-06-271,205+0,074+6,57 %+4,01
+602022-07-251,195+0,064+5,66 %+3,45
+902022-08-291,175+0,044+3,89 %+2,37

Jedna jedinica volatilnosti za ovaj niz iznosi 1,64 %: standardna devijacija njegovih vlastitih postotnih promjena (iz tjedna u tjedan) tijekom triju godina prije događaja (broj promjena: 148). To nije test značajnosti.

referentni tečaj eura ESB-a

Jedinica: USD za EURObjavljuje se: dnevnoIzračunanoSlužbena
T0−30T0+30+60+901,0820,9952022-05-02: 1,052 USD za EUR, upotrijebljeno za pomake −302022-05-18: 1,052 USD za EUR, upotrijebljeno za pomake −142022-05-25: 1,066 USD za EUR, upotrijebljeno za pomake −72022-05-27: 1,072 USD za EUR, upotrijebljeno za pomake −32022-05-31: 1,071 USD za EUR, upotrijebljeno za pomake −1ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 — 2022-06-01, 1,071 USD za EUR, upotrijebljeno za pomake T02022-06-02: 1,069 USD za EUR, upotrijebljeno za pomake +12022-06-03: 1,073 USD za EUR, upotrijebljeno za pomake +32022-06-08: 1,074 USD za EUR, upotrijebljeno za pomake +72022-06-15: 1,043 USD za EUR, upotrijebljeno za pomake +142022-07-01: 1,043 USD za EUR, upotrijebljeno za pomake +302022-07-29: 1,020 USD za EUR, upotrijebljeno za pomake +602022-08-30: 1,003 USD za EUR, upotrijebljeno za pomake +90

x: dani od datuma događaja. Svaka je oznaka na datumu kada je podatak objavljen: tako pravilo posljednje poznate vrijednosti odgovara na pomak.

Tablica prozora – referentni tečaj eura ESB-a. Za svaki pomak: vrijednost, promjena u odnosu na datum događaja i promjena u jedinicama volatilnosti.
PomakUpotrijebljena vrijednostVrijednostΔ aps.Δ %Jedinice volatilnosti
−302022-05-021,052−0,019−1,76 %−4,20
−142022-05-181,052−0,019−1,76 %−4,23
−72022-05-251,066−0,006−0,52 %−1,25
−32022-05-271,072+0,001+0,09 %+0,22
−12022-05-311,071+0,000+0,01 %+0,02
T02022-06-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T01,0710,0000,00 %0,00
+12022-06-021,069−0,002−0,19 %−0,45
+32022-06-031,073+0,002+0,17 %+0,40
+72022-06-081,074+0,003+0,25 %+0,60
+142022-06-151,043−0,028−2,62 %−6,28
+302022-07-011,043−0,029−2,68 %−6,42
+602022-07-291,020−0,051−4,80 %−11,50
+902022-08-301,003−0,068−6,33 %−15,16

Jedna jedinica volatilnosti za ovaj niz iznosi 0,42 %: standardna devijacija njegovih vlastitih postotnih promjena (iz dana u dan) tijekom triju godina prije događaja (broj promjena: 770). To nije test značajnosti.

izravna izloženost sirove nafte Hormuzu D1

Jedinica: % uvezenih tonaObjavljuje se: mjesečnoIzračunanoNiska
T0−30T0+30+60+901,0000,0002022-05-01: 0 % uvezenih tona, upotrijebljeno za pomake −30, −14, −7, −3, −1ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 — 2022-06-01, 0 % uvezenih tona, upotrijebljeno za pomake T0, +1, +3, +7, +142022-07-01: 0 % uvezenih tona, upotrijebljeno za pomake +30, +602022-08-01: 0 % uvezenih tona, upotrijebljeno za pomake +90

x: dani od datuma događaja. Svaka je oznaka na datumu kada je podatak objavljen: tako pravilo posljednje poznate vrijednosti odgovara na pomak. Barem jedna upotrijebljena vrijednost objavljena je izvan prozora od −30 do +90; os je proširena kako bi se vidjelo gdje se stvarno nalazi.

Tablica prozora – izravna izloženost sirove nafte Hormuzu D1. Za svaki pomak: vrijednost, promjena u odnosu na datum događaja i promjena u jedinicama volatilnosti.
PomakUpotrijebljena vrijednostVrijednostΔ aps.Δ %Jedinice volatilnosti
−302022-05-0100,000neobjavljenoneobjavljeno
−142022-05-0100,000neobjavljenoneobjavljeno
−72022-05-0100,000neobjavljenoneobjavljeno
−32022-05-0100,000neobjavljenoneobjavljeno
−12022-05-0100,000neobjavljenoneobjavljeno
T02022-06-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T000,000neobjavljenoneobjavljeno
+12022-06-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T000,000neobjavljenoneobjavljeno
+32022-06-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T000,000neobjavljenoneobjavljeno
+72022-06-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T000,000neobjavljenoneobjavljeno
+142022-06-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T000,000neobjavljenoneobjavljeno
+302022-07-0100,000neobjavljenoneobjavljeno
+602022-07-0100,000neobjavljenoneobjavljeno
+902022-08-0100,000neobjavljenoneobjavljeno

Za ovaj niz nije objavljena uobičajena volatilnost: promjena se ne izražava u jedinicama volatilnosti. To je ulazni podatak koji nedostaje, a ne nula.

izravna izloženost rafiniranih naftnih derivata Hormuzu D2

Jedinica: % uvezenih tonaObjavljuje se: mjesečnoIzračunanoNiska
T0−30T0+30+60+901,0000,0002022-05-01: 0 % uvezenih tona, upotrijebljeno za pomake −30, −14, −7, −3, −1ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 — 2022-06-01, 0 % uvezenih tona, upotrijebljeno za pomake T0, +1, +3, +7, +142022-07-01: 0 % uvezenih tona, upotrijebljeno za pomake +30, +602022-08-01: 0 % uvezenih tona, upotrijebljeno za pomake +90

x: dani od datuma događaja. Svaka je oznaka na datumu kada je podatak objavljen: tako pravilo posljednje poznate vrijednosti odgovara na pomak. Barem jedna upotrijebljena vrijednost objavljena je izvan prozora od −30 do +90; os je proširena kako bi se vidjelo gdje se stvarno nalazi.

Tablica prozora – izravna izloženost rafiniranih naftnih derivata Hormuzu D2. Za svaki pomak: vrijednost, promjena u odnosu na datum događaja i promjena u jedinicama volatilnosti.
PomakUpotrijebljena vrijednostVrijednostΔ aps.Δ %Jedinice volatilnosti
−302022-05-0100,000neobjavljenoneobjavljeno
−142022-05-0100,000neobjavljenoneobjavljeno
−72022-05-0100,000neobjavljenoneobjavljeno
−32022-05-0100,000neobjavljenoneobjavljeno
−12022-05-0100,000neobjavljenoneobjavljeno
T02022-06-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T000,000neobjavljenoneobjavljeno
+12022-06-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T000,000neobjavljenoneobjavljeno
+32022-06-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T000,000neobjavljenoneobjavljeno
+72022-06-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T000,000neobjavljenoneobjavljeno
+142022-06-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T000,000neobjavljenoneobjavljeno
+302022-07-0100,000neobjavljenoneobjavljeno
+602022-07-0100,000neobjavljenoneobjavljeno
+902022-08-0100,000neobjavljenoneobjavljeno

Za ovaj niz nije objavljena uobičajena volatilnost: promjena se ne izražava u jedinicama volatilnosti. To je ulazni podatak koji nedostaje, a ne nula.

izloženost zaliha D7: objavljene obvezne zalihe u danima, prenesene

Jedinica: d (zalihe u danima)Objavljuje se: mjesečnoIzračunanoSlužbena
T0−30T0+30+60+9081,3677,642022-05-01: 80,00 d (zalihe u danima), upotrijebljeno za pomake −30, −14, −7, −3, −1ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 — 2022-06-01, 78,00 d (zalihe u danima), upotrijebljeno za pomake T0, +1, +3, +7, +142022-07-01: 79,00 d (zalihe u danima), upotrijebljeno za pomake +30, +602022-08-01: 81,00 d (zalihe u danima), upotrijebljeno za pomake +90

x: dani od datuma događaja. Svaka je oznaka na datumu kada je podatak objavljen: tako pravilo posljednje poznate vrijednosti odgovara na pomak. Barem jedna upotrijebljena vrijednost objavljena je izvan prozora od −30 do +90; os je proširena kako bi se vidjelo gdje se stvarno nalazi.

Tablica prozora – izloženost zaliha D7: objavljene obvezne zalihe u danima, prenesene. Za svaki pomak: vrijednost, promjena u odnosu na datum događaja i promjena u jedinicama volatilnosti.
PomakUpotrijebljena vrijednostVrijednostΔ aps.Δ %Jedinice volatilnosti
−302022-05-0180,00+2,000+2,56 %+0,45
−142022-05-0180,00+2,000+2,56 %+0,45
−72022-05-0180,00+2,000+2,56 %+0,45
−32022-05-0180,00+2,000+2,56 %+0,45
−12022-05-0180,00+2,000+2,56 %+0,45
T02022-06-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T078,000,0000,00 %0,00
+12022-06-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T078,000,0000,00 %0,00
+32022-06-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T078,000,0000,00 %0,00
+72022-06-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T078,000,0000,00 %0,00
+142022-06-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T078,000,0000,00 %0,00
+302022-07-0179,00+1,000+1,28 %+0,23
+602022-07-0179,00+1,000+1,28 %+0,23
+902022-08-0181,00+3,000+3,85 %+0,68

Jedna jedinica volatilnosti za ovaj niz iznosi 5,69 %: standardna devijacija njegovih vlastitih postotnih promjena (iz mjeseca u mjesec) tijekom triju godina prije događaja (broj promjena: 36). To nije test značajnosti.

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

Jedinica: € po litriObjavljuje se: tjednoIzračunanoSlužbena
T0−30T0+30+60+900,7720,5802022-05-02: 0,6576 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake −302022-05-16: 0,6754 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake −142022-05-23: 0,6922 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake −7, −3ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 — 2022-05-30, 0,7275 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake −1, T0, +1, +32022-06-06: 0,7496 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake +72022-06-13: 0,7533 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake +142022-06-27: 0,7214 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake +302022-07-25: 0,6761 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake +602022-08-29: 0,5990 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake +90

x: dani od datuma događaja. Svaka je oznaka na datumu kada je podatak objavljen: tako pravilo posljednje poznate vrijednosti odgovara na pomak.

Tablica prozora – crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled). Za svaki pomak: vrijednost, promjena u odnosu na datum događaja i promjena u jedinicama volatilnosti.
PomakUpotrijebljena vrijednostVrijednostΔ aps.Δ %Jedinice volatilnosti
−302022-05-020,6576−0,070−9,62 %−1,20
−142022-05-160,6754−0,052−7,17 %−0,90
−72022-05-230,6922−0,035−4,85 %−0,61
−32022-05-230,6922−0,035−4,85 %−0,61
−12022-05-30ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T00,72750,0000,00 %0,00
T02022-05-30ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T00,72750,0000,00 %0,00
+12022-05-30ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T00,72750,0000,00 %0,00
+32022-05-30ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T00,72750,0000,00 %0,00
+72022-06-060,7496+0,022+3,04 %+0,38
+142022-06-130,7533+0,026+3,54 %+0,44
+302022-06-270,7214−0,006−0,84 %−0,11
+602022-07-250,6761−0,051−7,07 %−0,88
+902022-08-290,5990−0,129−17,67 %−2,21

Jedna jedinica volatilnosti za ovaj niz iznosi 8,00 %: standardna devijacija njegovih vlastitih postotnih promjena (iz tjedna u tjedan) tijekom triju godina prije događaja (broj promjena: 148). To nije test značajnosti.

ukupne nacionalne zalihe nafte (Eurostat, komercijalni imatelji), uz objavljene zalihe u danima

Jedinica: tObjavljuje se: mjesečnoIzračunanoSlužbena
T0−30T0+30+60+901.837.0541.704.4962022-05-01: 1.718.373 t, upotrijebljeno za pomake −30, −14, −7, −3, −1ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 — 2022-06-01, 1.717.324 t, upotrijebljeno za pomake T0, +1, +3, +7, +142022-07-01: 1.771.248 t, upotrijebljeno za pomake +30, +602022-08-01: 1.824.226 t, upotrijebljeno za pomake +90

x: dani od datuma događaja. Svaka je oznaka na datumu kada je podatak objavljen: tako pravilo posljednje poznate vrijednosti odgovara na pomak. Barem jedna upotrijebljena vrijednost objavljena je izvan prozora od −30 do +90; os je proširena kako bi se vidjelo gdje se stvarno nalazi.

Tablica prozora – ukupne nacionalne zalihe nafte (Eurostat, komercijalni imatelji), uz objavljene zalihe u danima. Za svaki pomak: vrijednost, promjena u odnosu na datum događaja i promjena u jedinicama volatilnosti.
PomakUpotrijebljena vrijednostVrijednostΔ aps.Δ %Jedinice volatilnosti
−302022-05-011.718.373+1.049+0,06 %+0,01
−142022-05-011.718.373+1.049+0,06 %+0,01
−72022-05-011.718.373+1.049+0,06 %+0,01
−32022-05-011.718.373+1.049+0,06 %+0,01
−12022-05-011.718.373+1.049+0,06 %+0,01
T02022-06-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T01.717.3240,0000,00 %0,00
+12022-06-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T01.717.3240,0000,00 %0,00
+32022-06-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T01.717.3240,0000,00 %0,00
+72022-06-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T01.717.3240,0000,00 %0,00
+142022-06-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T01.717.3240,0000,00 %0,00
+302022-07-011.771.248+53.924+3,14 %+0,76
+602022-07-011.771.248+53.924+3,14 %+0,76
+902022-08-011.824.226+106.902+6,22 %+1,51

Jedna jedinica volatilnosti za ovaj niz iznosi 4,13 %: standardna devijacija njegovih vlastitih postotnih promjena (iz mjeseca u mjesec) tijekom triju godina prije događaja (broj promjena: 36). To nije test značajnosti.

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

Jedinica: € po litriObjavljuje se: tjednoIzračunanoSrednja
T0−30T0+30+60+900,135−0,1892022-05-02: −0,0906 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake −302022-05-16: −0,0723 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake −142022-05-23: −0,0210 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake −7, −3ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 — 2022-05-30, 0 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake −1, T0, +1, +32022-06-06: 0,0261 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake +72022-06-13: 0,1039 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake +142022-06-27: 0,0720 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake +302022-07-25: −0,0396 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake +602022-08-29: −0,1578 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake +90

x: dani od datuma događaja. Svaka je oznaka na datumu kada je podatak objavljen: tako pravilo posljednje poznate vrijednosti odgovara na pomak.

Tablica prozora – not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed. Za svaki pomak: vrijednost, promjena u odnosu na datum događaja i promjena u jedinicama volatilnosti.
PomakUpotrijebljena vrijednostVrijednostΔ aps.Δ %Jedinice volatilnosti
−302022-05-02−0,0906−0,091neobjavljenoneobjavljeno
−142022-05-16−0,0723−0,072neobjavljenoneobjavljeno
−72022-05-23−0,0210−0,021neobjavljenoneobjavljeno
−32022-05-23−0,0210−0,021neobjavljenoneobjavljeno
−12022-05-30ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T000,000neobjavljenoneobjavljeno
T02022-05-30ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T000,000neobjavljenoneobjavljeno
+12022-05-30ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T000,000neobjavljenoneobjavljeno
+32022-05-30ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T000,000neobjavljenoneobjavljeno
+72022-06-060,0261+0,026neobjavljenoneobjavljeno
+142022-06-130,1039+0,104neobjavljenoneobjavljeno
+302022-06-270,0720+0,072neobjavljenoneobjavljeno
+602022-07-25−0,0396−0,040neobjavljenoneobjavljeno
+902022-08-29−0,1578−0,158neobjavljenoneobjavljeno

Za ovaj niz nije objavljena uobičajena volatilnost: promjena se ne izražava u jedinicama volatilnosti. To je ulazni podatak koji nedostaje, a ne nula.

cijena iz Tjednog naftnog biltena s porezima

Jedinica: € po litriObjavljuje se: tjednoIzračunanoSlužbena
T0−30T0+30+60+902,2111,7772022-05-02: 1,819 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake −302022-05-16: 1,859 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake −142022-05-23: 1,940 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake −7, −3ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 — 2022-05-30, 1,989 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake −1, T0, +1, +32022-06-06: 2,049 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake +72022-06-13: 2,169 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake +142022-06-27: 2,169 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake +302022-07-25: 2,019 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake +602022-08-29: 1,849 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake +90

x: dani od datuma događaja. Svaka je oznaka na datumu kada je podatak objavljen: tako pravilo posljednje poznate vrijednosti odgovara na pomak.

Tablica prozora – cijena iz Tjednog naftnog biltena s porezima. Za svaki pomak: vrijednost, promjena u odnosu na datum događaja i promjena u jedinicama volatilnosti.
PomakUpotrijebljena vrijednostVrijednostΔ aps.Δ %Jedinice volatilnosti
−302022-05-021,819−0,170−8,55 %−6,64
−142022-05-161,859−0,130−6,54 %−5,07
−72022-05-231,940−0,050−2,49 %−1,93
−32022-05-231,940−0,050−2,49 %−1,93
−12022-05-30ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T01,9890,0000,00 %0,00
T02022-05-30ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T01,9890,0000,00 %0,00
+12022-05-30ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T01,9890,0000,00 %0,00
+32022-05-30ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T01,9890,0000,00 %0,00
+72022-06-062,049+0,060+3,02 %+2,34
+142022-06-132,169+0,180+9,05 %+7,03
+302022-06-272,169+0,180+9,05 %+7,03
+602022-07-252,019+0,030+1,51 %+1,17
+902022-08-291,849−0,140−7,04 %−5,46

Jedna jedinica volatilnosti za ovaj niz iznosi 1,29 %: standardna devijacija njegovih vlastitih postotnih promjena (iz tjedna u tjedan) tijekom triju godina prije događaja (broj promjena: 148). To nije test značajnosti.

cijena iz Tjednog naftnog biltena bez poreza

Jedinica: € po litriObjavljuje se: tjednoIzračunanoSlužbena
T0−30T0+30+60+901,3120,9592022-05-02: 0,9929 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake −302022-05-16: 1,025 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake −142022-05-23: 1,091 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake −7, −3ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 — 2022-05-30, 1,131 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake −1, T0, +1, +32022-06-06: 1,180 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake +72022-06-13: 1,277 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake +142022-06-27: 1,277 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake +302022-07-25: 1,155 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake +602022-08-29: 1,017 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake +90

x: dani od datuma događaja. Svaka je oznaka na datumu kada je podatak objavljen: tako pravilo posljednje poznate vrijednosti odgovara na pomak.

Tablica prozora – cijena iz Tjednog naftnog biltena bez poreza. Za svaki pomak: vrijednost, promjena u odnosu na datum događaja i promjena u jedinicama volatilnosti.
PomakUpotrijebljena vrijednostVrijednostΔ aps.Δ %Jedinice volatilnosti
−302022-05-020,9929−0,138−12,22 %−4,37
−142022-05-161,025−0,106−9,34 %−3,34
−72022-05-231,091−0,040−3,56 %−1,27
−32022-05-231,091−0,040−3,56 %−1,27
−12022-05-30ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T01,1310,0000,00 %0,00
T02022-05-30ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T01,1310,0000,00 %0,00
+12022-05-30ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T01,1310,0000,00 %0,00
+32022-05-30ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T01,1310,0000,00 %0,00
+72022-06-061,180+0,049+4,31 %+1,54
+142022-06-131,277+0,146+12,94 %+4,63
+302022-06-271,277+0,146+12,94 %+4,63
+602022-07-251,155+0,024+2,16 %+0,77
+902022-08-291,017−0,114−10,06 %−3,60

Jedna jedinica volatilnosti za ovaj niz iznosi 2,79 %: standardna devijacija njegovih vlastitih postotnih promjena (iz tjedna u tjedan) tijekom triju godina prije događaja (broj promjena: 148). To nije test značajnosti.

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

Jedinica: € po litriObjavljuje se: tjednoIzračunanoSlužbena
T0−30T0+30+60+900,8990,8182022-05-02: 0,8261 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake −302022-05-16: 0,8336 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake −142022-05-23: 0,8487 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake −7, −3ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 — 2022-05-30, 0,8579 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake −1, T0, +1, +32022-06-06: 0,8691 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake +72022-06-13: 0,8916 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake +142022-06-27: 0,8916 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake +302022-07-25: 0,8635 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake +602022-08-29: 0,8317 € po litri, upotrijebljeno za pomake +90

x: dani od datuma događaja. Svaka je oznaka na datumu kada je podatak objavljen: tako pravilo posljednje poznate vrijednosti odgovara na pomak.

Tablica prozora – total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes. Za svaki pomak: vrijednost, promjena u odnosu na datum događaja i promjena u jedinicama volatilnosti.
PomakUpotrijebljena vrijednostVrijednostΔ aps.Δ %Jedinice volatilnosti
−302022-05-020,8261−0,032−3,71 %−2,45
−142022-05-160,8336−0,024−2,83 %−1,88
−72022-05-230,8487−0,009−1,08 %−0,71
−32022-05-230,8487−0,009−1,08 %−0,71
−12022-05-30ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T00,85790,0000,00 %0,00
T02022-05-30ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T00,85790,0000,00 %0,00
+12022-05-30ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T00,85790,0000,00 %0,00
+32022-05-30ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T00,85790,0000,00 %0,00
+72022-06-060,8691+0,011+1,31 %+0,87
+142022-06-130,8916+0,034+3,92 %+2,60
+302022-06-270,8916+0,034+3,92 %+2,60
+602022-07-250,8635+0,006+0,65 %+0,43
+902022-08-290,8317−0,026−3,05 %−2,02

Jedna jedinica volatilnosti za ovaj niz iznosi 1,51 %: standardna devijacija njegovih vlastitih postotnih promjena (iz tjedna u tjedan) tijekom triju godina prije događaja (broj promjena: 148). To nije test značajnosti.

US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Jedinica: $ po bareluObjavljuje se: dnevnoIzračunanoNiska
T0−30T0+30+60+9069,569,002022-04-29: 35,83 $ po barelu, upotrijebljeno za pomake −302022-05-18: 48,89 $ po barelu, upotrijebljeno za pomake −142022-05-25: 47,31 $ po barelu, upotrijebljeno za pomake −72022-05-27: 51,09 $ po barelu, upotrijebljeno za pomake −32022-05-31: 47,09 $ po barelu, upotrijebljeno za pomake −1ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 — 2022-06-01, 57,64 $ po barelu, upotrijebljeno za pomake T0, +12022-06-03: 63,70 $ po barelu, upotrijebljeno za pomake +32022-06-08: 54,93 $ po barelu, upotrijebljeno za pomake +72022-06-15: 40,73 $ po barelu, upotrijebljeno za pomake +142022-07-01: 40,89 $ po barelu, upotrijebljeno za pomake +302022-07-29: 30,91 $ po barelu, upotrijebljeno za pomake +602022-08-30: 14,86 $ po barelu, upotrijebljeno za pomake +90

x: dani od datuma događaja. Svaka je oznaka na datumu kada je podatak objavljen: tako pravilo posljednje poznate vrijednosti odgovara na pomak. Barem jedna upotrijebljena vrijednost objavljena je izvan prozora od −30 do +90; os je proširena kako bi se vidjelo gdje se stvarno nalazi.

Tablica prozora – US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H). Za svaki pomak: vrijednost, promjena u odnosu na datum događaja i promjena u jedinicama volatilnosti.
PomakUpotrijebljena vrijednostVrijednostΔ aps.Δ %Jedinice volatilnosti
−302022-04-2935,83−21,818−37,85 %−0,21
−142022-05-1848,89−8,756−15,19 %−0,08
−72022-05-2547,31−10,338−17,93 %−0,10
−32022-05-2751,09−6,550−11,36 %−0,06
−12022-05-3147,09−10,554−18,31 %−0,10
T02022-06-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T057,640,0000,00 %0,00
+12022-06-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T057,640,0000,00 %0,00
+32022-06-0363,70+6,054+10,50 %+0,06
+72022-06-0854,93−2,716−4,71 %−0,03
+142022-06-1540,73−16,914−29,34 %−0,16
+302022-07-0140,89−16,750−29,06 %−0,16
+602022-07-2930,91−26,732−46,37 %−0,26
+902022-08-3014,86−42,786−74,22 %−0,41

Jedna jedinica volatilnosti za ovaj niz iznosi 181,24 %: standardna devijacija njegovih vlastitih postotnih promjena (iz dana u dan) tijekom triju godina prije događaja (broj promjena: 747). To nije test značajnosti.

US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Jedinica: $ po bareluObjavljuje se: dnevnoIzračunanoNiska
T0−30T0+30+60+9087,9225,322022-04-29: 81,86 $ po barelu, upotrijebljeno za pomake −302022-05-18: 35,78 $ po barelu, upotrijebljeno za pomake −142022-05-25: 40,71 $ po barelu, upotrijebljeno za pomake −72022-05-27: 40,59 $ po barelu, upotrijebljeno za pomake −32022-05-31: 34,70 $ po barelu, upotrijebljeno za pomake −1ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 — 2022-06-01, 42,99 $ po barelu, upotrijebljeno za pomake T0, +12022-06-03: 46,69 $ po barelu, upotrijebljeno za pomake +32022-06-08: 42,16 $ po barelu, upotrijebljeno za pomake +72022-06-15: 56,44 $ po barelu, upotrijebljeno za pomake +142022-07-01: 39,51 $ po barelu, upotrijebljeno za pomake +302022-07-29: 31,37 $ po barelu, upotrijebljeno za pomake +602022-08-30: 49,63 $ po barelu, upotrijebljeno za pomake +90

x: dani od datuma događaja. Svaka je oznaka na datumu kada je podatak objavljen: tako pravilo posljednje poznate vrijednosti odgovara na pomak. Barem jedna upotrijebljena vrijednost objavljena je izvan prozora od −30 do +90; os je proširena kako bi se vidjelo gdje se stvarno nalazi.

Tablica prozora – US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H). Za svaki pomak: vrijednost, promjena u odnosu na datum događaja i promjena u jedinicama volatilnosti.
PomakUpotrijebljena vrijednostVrijednostΔ aps.Δ %Jedinice volatilnosti
−302022-04-2981,86+38,872+90,43 %+0,52
−142022-05-1835,78−7,202−16,75 %−0,10
−72022-05-2540,71−2,274−5,29 %−0,03
−32022-05-2740,59−2,392−5,56 %−0,03
−12022-05-3134,70−8,286−19,28 %−0,11
T02022-06-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T042,990,0000,00 %0,00
+12022-06-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T042,990,0000,00 %0,00
+32022-06-0346,69+3,702+8,61 %+0,05
+72022-06-0842,16−0,826−1,92 %−0,01
+142022-06-1556,44+13,452+31,29 %+0,18
+302022-07-0139,51−3,478−8,09 %−0,05
+602022-07-2931,37−11,612−27,01 %−0,15
+902022-08-3049,63+6,648+15,47 %+0,09

Jedna jedinica volatilnosti za ovaj niz iznosi 175,17 %: standardna devijacija njegovih vlastitih postotnih promjena (iz dana u dan) tijekom triju godina prije događaja (broj promjena: 747). To nije test značajnosti.

Nije dostupno: blokirano licencom

Izvor postoji, ali njegova licenca ne dopušta da ga ponovno objavimo. Ti kanali ne nedostaju u svijetu, nego samo na ovoj stranici.

vozarina za tankere tipa „dirty” od Perzijskog zaljeva do sjeverozapadne Europe

Vozarine za tankere licencirane su uz uvjete koji izričito zabranjuju javni prikaz, prosljeđivanje i izvedene podatke, što je doslovno provjereno, a nijedna otvorena institucija ne objavljuje vozarinu za tankere (redak 17: BLOCKED).

Pogođeni pomaci u prozoru: 13.

referentna cijena rafiniranih proizvoda u EU-u

Referentne cijene rafiniranih proizvoda u EU-u (Platts / Argus) vlasnički su podaci bez dopuštenja za daljnje širenje (redak 16: BLOCKED). Američki crack spreadovi nisu valjan zamjenski pokazatelj za EU i ne upotrebljavaju se umjesto njih.

Pogođeni pomaci u prozoru: 13.

rafinerijska marža / crack spread za sjeverozapadnu Europu

Nemamo nijedan objavljeni niz rafinerijskih marži, a da bismo sami izračunali maržu, trebale bi nam licencirane referentne cijene proizvoda u EU-u, koje se ne smiju ponovno objaviti.

Pogođeni pomaci u prozoru: 13.

veleprodajna cijena (rack)

Nizovi veleprodajnih cijena (rack) vlasnički su podaci bez dopuštenja za daljnje širenje (redak 16: BLOCKED).

Pogođeni pomaci u prozoru: 13.

Izvor
European Commission, Directorate-General for Energy (DG ENER)Nepoznato
Razdoblje 2022-04-29Ažurirano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTCPouzdanostNepoznataMetodologijaPreuzmi CSV

T0 je 01. 06. 2022. Referentni prozor (dani): od −90 do −31. Izračunani pomaci: -30, -14, -7, -3, -1, 0, 1, 3, 7, 14, 30, 60, 90. Metoda 1.0, izračun event_study-1.0, izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC.

Je li događaj „Njemačka: privremeno sniženje poreza na energente za motorna goriva (Tankrabatt), 2022.” doista razlog?

Pitanje se dijeli na dimenzije koje se mjere zasebno i nikad se ne zbrajaju u jedan broj. Svaki redak navodi možemo li tu dimenziju uopće vidjeti i, gdje možemo, daje jedan objavljeni podatak.

Kanali prijenosa cijena (od osam koje ova stranica prikazuje) s podacima u ovom izračunu: 4 Izračunano – to je broj redaka u nastavku, a ne mjerenje.

Metodologija §11.1 objavljuje pragove kojima se služe rečenice u nastavku: svih osam kanala za potpunu usporedbu, najmanje tri da bi se tvrdnja ovdje uopće mogla provjeriti te 2,0 jed. volatilnosti da bi se pomak opisao kao izvan uobičajene varijabilnosti niza. To su objavljeni izbori formulacija, a ne statistički testovi.

Dimenzije izloženosti događaju „Njemačka: privremeno sniženje poreza na energente za motorna goriva (Tankrabatt), 2022.”, svaka sa statusom i jednim objavljenim podatkom.
DimenzijaStatusObjavljeni podatak ili razlog zašto ga nema
Izravna izloženost sirove nafte (D1)Udio uvezene sirove nafte čija ruta zahtijeva prolaz kroz Hormuški tjesnac.Opaženo
0 % uvezenih tona pri pomaku +30 d (objavljeno 2022-07-01)
Izravna izloženost naftnih derivata (D2)Udio uvezenih rafiniranih naftnih derivata čija ruta zahtijeva prolaz kroz Hormuški tjesnac.Opaženo
0 % uvezenih tona pri pomaku +30 d (objavljeno 2022-07-01)
Obvezne zalihe u danima (D7)Broj dana kojem odgovaraju objavljene obvezne zalihe. Zaštita od poremećaja u opskrbi, a ne udio u uvozu i ne kanal cijena.Opaženo
79,00 d (zalihe u danima) pri pomaku +30 d (objavljeno 2022-07-01)+1,28 % u odnosu na razinu u T0 = +0,23 jed. volatilnosti
Referentna cijena sirove nafteKotirana cijena sirove nafte prema kojoj se određuje cijena tereta za Europu.Opaženo
119,2 $ po barelu pri pomaku +30 d (objavljeno 2022-07-01)−2,45 % u odnosu na razinu u T0 = −0,55 jed. volatilnosti
Referentna cijena rafiniranih proizvodaKotirana cijena proizvoda prema kojoj rafinerije i veletrgovci određuju svoje cijene.Nije dostupnoReferentne cijene rafiniranih proizvoda u EU-u (Platts / Argus) vlasnički su podaci bez dopuštenja za daljnje širenje (redak 16: BLOCKED). Američki crack spreadovi nisu valjan zamjenski pokazatelj za EU i ne upotrebljavaju se umjesto njih.
Rafinerijska maržaKoliko je donijela prerada barela u ovaj proizvod.Nije dostupnoNemamo nijedan objavljeni niz rafinerijskih marži, a da bismo sami izračunali maržu, trebale bi nam licencirane referentne cijene proizvoda u EU-u, koje se ne smiju ponovno objaviti.
VozarineKoliko je stajao prijevoz tereta.Nije dostupnoVozarine za tankere licencirane su uz uvjete koji izričito zabranjuju javni prikaz, prosljeđivanje i izvedene podatke, što je doslovno provjereno, a nijedna otvorena institucija ne objavljuje vozarinu za tankere (redak 17: BLOCKED).
ZaliheZalihe koje ublažuju ili pojačavaju promjenu u opskrbi.Opaženo
1.771.248 t pri pomaku +30 d (objavljeno 2022-07-01)+3,14 % u odnosu na razinu u T0 = +0,76 jed. volatilnosti
Veleprodajne cijeneCijena između izlaza iz rafinerije i benzinske postaje.Nije dostupnoNizovi veleprodajnih cijena (rack) vlasnički su podaci bez dopuštenja za daljnje širenje (redak 16: BLOCKED).
Cijena na crpki bez porezaCijena na crpki bez trošarine, PDV-a i drugih poreza na gorivo.Opaženo
1,277 € po litri pri pomaku +30 d (objavljeno 2022-06-27)+12,94 % u odnosu na razinu u T0 = +4,63 jed. volatilnosti
Cijena na crpki s porezimaOno što je vozač stvarno platio.Opaženo
2,169 € po litri pri pomaku +30 d (objavljeno 2022-06-27)+9,05 % u odnosu na razinu u T0 = +7,03 jed. volatilnosti

Fizička izloženost (Hormuški tjesnac) i cjenovna izloženost različita su pitanja. Zemlja gotovo bez izravne fizičke izloženosti i dalje može vidjeti kako se mijenja njezina cijena na crpki: cijena sirove nafte određuje se na svjetskom tržištu – a niz koji se pomaknuo u ovom prozoru možda se pomaknuo iz drugih razloga.

Kako se kretala cijena na crpki oko ovog datuma

Stranica raščlambe cijene može se ograničiti na tjedne oko datuma događaja; promjena na crpki tada se dijeli na poreze, ulazni trošak i dio koji ulazni trošak ne pokriva.

Raščlamba cijene, 25. 05. 2022. – 01. 07. 2022. →

Prozor obuhvaća razdoblje od objavljenog datuma događaja umanjenog za 7 d do datuma uvećanog za 30 d. To je prozor za promatranje, a ne tvrdnja da je događaj bio uzrok onoga što se u njemu vidi.

Stvarno i samo prema sirovoj nafti: Irska, benzin (Euro-super 95)

Kako se kretala cijena bez poreza od četiri tjedna prije do trinaest tjedana nakon tjedna događaja, uz ono što bi se dogodilo da je pratila samo ulazni trošak sirove nafte brzinom koju mjeri pohranjena procjena prijenosa cijena. Osjenčana razlika neobjašnjena je sirovom naftom; nije pripisana ni događaju ni ičemu drugom.

Usporedba sa samom sirovom naftom nije se mogla pročitati.

API 404 for /api/events/de-tankrabatt-2022/crude-only: No stored crude-only run for 'de-tankrabatt-2022' and country 'ireland'. Runs are stored for the pilot countries; available_countries lists them.

Što brojke podupiru, rečenicu po rečenicu

Svaka rečenica dolazi iz nepromjenjivog predloška, odabranog prema objavljenim pragovima. Otvorite „Zašto ova rečenica” da vidite brojke koje su je odabrale. Ništa od ovog teksta nije napisao jezični model i ništa od toga ne navodi uzrok.

  1. 7 dana nakon događaja „Njemačka: privremeno sniženje poreza na energente za motorna goriva (Tankrabatt), 2022.” cijena bez poreza (benzin, Irska) promijenila se za +4,3 %, što je 1,5 jed. volatilnosti (u odnosu na njezinu uobičajenu varijabilnost iz tjedna u tjedan u prethodne tri godine) – unutar uobičajene varijabilnosti.

    o zemlji: IrskaIzračunanoSlužbena
    Zašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
    Varijable
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    1.17987
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    4.497353318381156
    t0_value
    1.13109
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    4.312654165451029
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    1.5437043758660844
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.048780000000000046
    change_pct_from_t0
    4.312654165451029
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.7937046968798316
    change_in_volatility_units
    1.5437043758660844
    Pragovi
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ulazni podaci
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    1.17987
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    4.497353318381156
    t0_value
    1.13109
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    4.312654165451029
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    1.5437043758660844
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.048780000000000046
    change_pct_from_t0
    4.312654165451029
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.7937046968798316
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    1.5437043758660844

    Predložak event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · otisak c58b753767c54d7bf06b21e656ea7b4c85963070307c7da59d415e59f46edfc0 · izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC

  2. 30 dana nakon događaja „Njemačka: privremeno sniženje poreza na energente za motorna goriva (Tankrabatt), 2022.” cijena bez poreza (benzin, Irska) promijenila se za +12,9 %, što je 4,6 jed. volatilnosti (u odnosu na njezinu uobičajenu varijabilnost iz tjedna u tjedan u prethodne tri godine) – izvan uobičajene varijabilnosti.

    o zemlji: IrskaIzračunanoSlužbena
    Zašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
    Varijable
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    1.27743
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    6.8395755027864835
    t0_value
    1.13109
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    12.937962496353089
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    4.631113127598254
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.14634000000000014
    change_pct_from_t0
    12.937962496353089
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.7937046968798316
    change_in_volatility_units
    4.631113127598254
    Pragovi
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ulazni podaci
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    1.27743
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    6.8395755027864835
    t0_value
    1.13109
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    12.937962496353089
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    4.631113127598254
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.14634000000000014
    change_pct_from_t0
    12.937962496353089
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.7937046968798316
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    4.631113127598254

    Predložak event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · otisak 57e3611f9ac404c4c192862aa9da921748d415a7f434a41c721a2f739147305c · izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC

  3. 90 dana nakon događaja „Njemačka: privremeno sniženje poreza na energente za motorna goriva (Tankrabatt), 2022.” cijena bez poreza (benzin, Irska) promijenila se za −10,1 %, što je 3,6 jed. volatilnosti (u odnosu na njezinu uobičajenu varijabilnost iz tjedna u tjedan u prethodne tri godine) – izvan uobičajene varijabilnosti.

    o zemlji: IrskaIzračunanoSlužbena
    Zašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
    Varijable
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    1.01727
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    0.5936496777056107
    t0_value
    1.13109
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -10.06285971938573
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-08-29
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -3.601976877020862
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.11382000000000003
    change_pct_from_t0
    -10.06285971938573
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.7937046968798316
    change_in_volatility_units
    -3.601976877020862
    Pragovi
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ulazni podaci
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    1.01727
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    0.5936496777056107
    t0_value
    1.13109
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -10.06285971938573
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-08-29
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -3.601976877020862
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.11382000000000003
    change_pct_from_t0
    -10.06285971938573
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.7937046968798316
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -3.601976877020862

    Predložak event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · otisak 39ccbed6b38dbeb6890441d211c0f7bd93e9e0d0408cb195bf8f1f1e50701d7c · izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC

  4. 7 dana nakon događaja „Njemačka: privremeno sniženje poreza na energente za motorna goriva (Tankrabatt), 2022.” cijena s porezima (benzin, Irska) promijenila se za +3,0 %, što je 2,3 jed. volatilnosti (u odnosu na njezinu uobičajenu varijabilnost iz tjedna u tjedan u prethodne tri godine) – izvan uobičajene varijabilnosti.

    o zemlji: IrskaIzračunanoSlužbena
    Zašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
    Varijable
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    2.049
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    5.571284874345398
    t0_value
    1.989
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    3.016591251885361
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    2.3418073183581583
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.05999999999999983
    change_pct_from_t0
    3.016591251885361
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.2881466499132364
    change_in_volatility_units
    2.3418073183581583
    Pragovi
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ulazni podaci
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    2.049
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    5.571284874345398
    t0_value
    1.989
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    3.016591251885361
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    2.3418073183581583
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.05999999999999983
    change_pct_from_t0
    3.016591251885361
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.2881466499132364
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    2.3418073183581583

    Predložak event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · otisak 6c339c9ca408943c1f69ba3d08858275cba2a668f3eef852cd20fce1ec167b61 · izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC

  5. 30 dana nakon događaja „Njemačka: privremeno sniženje poreza na energente za motorna goriva (Tankrabatt), 2022.” cijena s porezima (benzin, Irska) promijenila se za +9,0 %, što je 7,0 jed. volatilnosti (u odnosu na njezinu uobičajenu varijabilnost iz tjedna u tjedan u prethodne tri godine) – izvan uobičajene varijabilnosti.

    o zemlji: IrskaIzračunanoSlužbena
    Zašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
    Varijable
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    2.169
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    9.005050590428853
    t0_value
    1.989
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    9.049773755656105
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    7.025421955074491
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.17999999999999994
    change_pct_from_t0
    9.049773755656105
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.2881466499132364
    change_in_volatility_units
    7.025421955074491
    Pragovi
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ulazni podaci
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    2.169
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    9.005050590428853
    t0_value
    1.989
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    9.049773755656105
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    7.025421955074491
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.17999999999999994
    change_pct_from_t0
    9.049773755656105
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.2881466499132364
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    7.025421955074491

    Predložak event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · otisak 20419373ce65d7083433fdf68fa1623e25d35119ea00670e33a45768ca3e32f5 · izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC

  6. 90 dana nakon događaja „Njemačka: privremeno sniženje poreza na energente za motorna goriva (Tankrabatt), 2022.” cijena s porezima (benzin, Irska) promijenila se za −7,0 %, što je 5,5 jed. volatilnosti (u odnosu na njezinu uobičajenu varijabilnost iz tjedna u tjedan u prethodne tri godine) – izvan uobičajene varijabilnosti.

    o zemlji: IrskaIzračunanoSlužbena
    Zašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
    Varijable
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    1.849
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -0.1516579857936882
    t0_value
    1.989
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -7.038712921065868
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-08-29
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -5.464217076169056
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.14000000000000012
    change_pct_from_t0
    -7.038712921065868
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.2881466499132364
    change_in_volatility_units
    -5.464217076169056
    Pragovi
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ulazni podaci
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    1.849
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -0.1516579857936882
    t0_value
    1.989
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -7.038712921065868
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-08-29
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -5.464217076169056
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.14000000000000012
    change_pct_from_t0
    -7.038712921065868
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.2881466499132364
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -5.464217076169056

    Predložak event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · otisak eb4151c581c662f72199f09d745dc1e83118fd3284873ddbd3cfd1233bac1ed0 · izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC

  7. 7 dana nakon događaja „Njemačka: privremeno sniženje poreza na energente za motorna goriva (Tankrabatt), 2022.” cijena porezne sastavnice (benzin, Irska) promijenila se za +1,3 %, što je 0,9 jed. volatilnosti (u odnosu na njezinu uobičajenu varijabilnost iz tjedna u tjedan u prethodne tri godine) – unutar uobičajene varijabilnosti.

    o zemlji: IrskaIzračunanoSlužbena
    Zašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
    Varijable
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    0.86913
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    0.10812985247066227
    t0_value
    0.85791
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    1.3078294926041203
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    TAX_COMPONENT_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-component
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.8654063779335859
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.011220000000000008
    change_pct_from_t0
    1.3078294926041203
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.5112316316953323
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.8654063779335859
    Pragovi
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ulazni podaci
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    0.86913
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    0.10812985247066227
    t0_value
    0.85791
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    1.3078294926041203
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    TAX_COMPONENT_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-component
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.8654063779335859
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.011220000000000008
    change_pct_from_t0
    1.3078294926041203
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.5112316316953323
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.8654063779335859

    Predložak event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · otisak df3c323808bdfa1a2915389be05d8ff751e96e303462e05c8eeba500da41a829 · izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC

  8. 30 dana nakon događaja „Njemačka: privremeno sniženje poreza na energente za motorna goriva (Tankrabatt), 2022.” cijena porezne sastavnice (benzin, Irska) promijenila se za +3,9 %, što je 2,6 jed. volatilnosti (u odnosu na njezinu uobičajenu varijabilnost iz tjedna u tjedan u prethodne tri godine) – izvan uobičajene varijabilnosti.

    o zemlji: IrskaIzračunanoSlužbena
    Zašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
    Varijable
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    0.89157
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    0.4372334608041598
    t0_value
    0.85791
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    3.9234884778123607
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    TAX_COMPONENT_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-component
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    2.596219133800757
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.03366000000000002
    change_pct_from_t0
    3.9234884778123607
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.5112316316953323
    change_in_volatility_units
    2.596219133800757
    Pragovi
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ulazni podaci
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    0.89157
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    0.4372334608041598
    t0_value
    0.85791
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    3.9234884778123607
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    TAX_COMPONENT_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-component
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    2.596219133800757
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.03366000000000002
    change_pct_from_t0
    3.9234884778123607
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.5112316316953323
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    2.596219133800757

    Predložak event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · otisak 20963a0279751b970e592818930b497059efcecee5cacfc282db43191bdfd515 · izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC

  9. 90 dana nakon događaja „Njemačka: privremeno sniženje poreza na energente za motorna goriva (Tankrabatt), 2022.” cijena porezne sastavnice (benzin, Irska) promijenila se za −3,1 %, što je 2,0 jed. volatilnosti (u odnosu na njezinu uobičajenu varijabilnost iz tjedna u tjedan u prethodne tri godine) – izvan uobičajene varijabilnosti.

    o zemlji: IrskaIzračunanoSlužbena
    Zašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
    Varijable
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    0.83173
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -0.4403761614184998
    t0_value
    0.85791
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -3.0516021494096095
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    TAX_COMPONENT_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-component
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-08-29
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -2.0192815485116973
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.02617999999999998
    change_pct_from_t0
    -3.0516021494096095
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.5112316316953323
    change_in_volatility_units
    -2.0192815485116973
    Pragovi
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ulazni podaci
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    0.83173
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -0.4403761614184998
    t0_value
    0.85791
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -3.0516021494096095
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    TAX_COMPONENT_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-component
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-08-29
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -2.0192815485116973
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.02617999999999998
    change_pct_from_t0
    -3.0516021494096095
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.5112316316953323
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -2.0192815485116973

    Predložak event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · otisak 8762dcd495e9ba7c7b654fb0976e62cd81771cd3b72d55273a398037ae3a5a4f · izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC

  10. 7 dana nakon događaja „Njemačka: privremeno sniženje poreza na energente za motorna goriva (Tankrabatt), 2022.” cijena bez poreza (dizelsko gorivo, Irska) promijenila se za +2,8 %, što je 1,0 jed. volatilnosti (u odnosu na njezinu uobičajenu varijabilnost iz tjedna u tjedan u prethodne tri godine) – unutar uobičajene varijabilnosti.

    o zemlji: IrskaIzračunanoSlužbena
    Zašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
    Varijable
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    1.1754300000000002
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    1.1407431580042857
    t0_value
    1.14291
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    2.8453684017114296
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_IE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.971762683288909
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.032520000000000104
    change_pct_from_t0
    2.8453684017114296
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.9280486384611355
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.971762683288909
    Pragovi
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ulazni podaci
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    1.1754300000000002
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    1.1407431580042857
    t0_value
    1.14291
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    2.8453684017114296
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_IE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.971762683288909
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.032520000000000104
    change_pct_from_t0
    2.8453684017114296
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.9280486384611355
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.971762683288909

    Predložak event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · otisak 8d7899b1321040a48b3a7a5d34e3385c479b4aaa163925d5346da818a6bf51bf · izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC

  11. 30 dana nakon događaja „Njemačka: privremeno sniženje poreza na energente za motorna goriva (Tankrabatt), 2022.” cijena bez poreza (dizelsko gorivo, Irska) promijenila se za +15,6 %, što je 5,3 jed. volatilnosti (u odnosu na njezinu uobičajenu varijabilnost iz tjedna u tjedan u prethodne tri godine) – izvan uobičajene varijabilnosti.

    o zemlji: IrskaIzračunanoSlužbena
    Zašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
    Varijable
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    1.3217700000000001
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    3.3760987249880414
    t0_value
    1.14291
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    15.649526209412816
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_IE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    5.344694758088983
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.17886000000000002
    change_pct_from_t0
    15.649526209412816
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.9280486384611355
    change_in_volatility_units
    5.344694758088983
    Pragovi
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ulazni podaci
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    1.3217700000000001
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    3.3760987249880414
    t0_value
    1.14291
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    15.649526209412816
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_IE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    5.344694758088983
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.17886000000000002
    change_pct_from_t0
    15.649526209412816
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.9280486384611355
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    5.344694758088983

    Predložak event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · otisak b079c5afa9b29baea67f64dd84033e58ac49698c07b6845f31721f1cc3e1afeb · izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC

  12. 90 dana nakon događaja „Njemačka: privremeno sniženje poreza na energente za motorna goriva (Tankrabatt), 2022.” cijena bez poreza (dizelsko gorivo, Irska) promijenila se za −2,1 %, što je 0,7 jed. volatilnosti (u odnosu na njezinu uobičajenu varijabilnost iz tjedna u tjedan u prethodne tri godine) – unutar uobičajene varijabilnosti.

    o zemlji: IrskaIzračunanoSlužbena
    Zašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
    Varijable
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    1.11852
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    0.27143821528837647
    t0_value
    1.14291
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -2.134026301283577
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_IE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-08-29
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.7288220124666834
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.024390000000000134
    change_pct_from_t0
    -2.134026301283577
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.9280486384611355
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.7288220124666834
    Pragovi
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ulazni podaci
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    1.11852
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    0.27143821528837647
    t0_value
    1.14291
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -2.134026301283577
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_IE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-08-29
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.7288220124666834
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.024390000000000134
    change_pct_from_t0
    -2.134026301283577
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.9280486384611355
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.7288220124666834

    Predložak event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · otisak cb8d05d293633c7def3239a01e56cd2338da721f8b4cad8cf7b84d6c648d6738 · izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC

  13. 7 dana nakon događaja „Njemačka: privremeno sniženje poreza na energente za motorna goriva (Tankrabatt), 2022.” cijena s porezima (dizelsko gorivo, Irska) promijenila se za +2,1 %, što je 1,5 jed. volatilnosti (u odnosu na njezinu uobičajenu varijabilnost iz tjedna u tjedan u prethodne tri godine) – unutar uobičajene varijabilnosti.

    o zemlji: IrskaIzračunanoSlužbena
    Zašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
    Varijable
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    1.969
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    2.2531670806366284
    t0_value
    1.929
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    2.073613271124937
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_IE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    1.4593285545112875
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.040000000000000036
    change_pct_from_t0
    2.073613271124937
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.4209365428468346
    change_in_volatility_units
    1.4593285545112875
    Pragovi
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ulazni podaci
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    1.969
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    2.2531670806366284
    t0_value
    1.929
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    2.073613271124937
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_IE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    1.4593285545112875
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.040000000000000036
    change_pct_from_t0
    2.073613271124937
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.4209365428468346
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    1.4593285545112875

    Predložak event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · otisak 29f1c9211d6ee61afbcf4edf4ec28f6821cb7e71a0ccac6e8a3a54fcc76ccd21 · izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC

  14. 30 dana nakon događaja „Njemačka: privremeno sniženje poreza na energente za motorna goriva (Tankrabatt), 2022.” cijena s porezima (dizelsko gorivo, Irska) promijenila se za +11,4 %, što je 8,0 jed. volatilnosti (u odnosu na njezinu uobičajenu varijabilnost iz tjedna u tjedan u prethodne tri godine) – izvan uobičajene varijabilnosti.

    o zemlji: IrskaIzračunanoSlužbena
    Zašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
    Varijable
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    2.149
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    8.661723562808517
    t0_value
    1.929
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    11.404872991187142
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_IE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    8.026307049812072
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.21999999999999997
    change_pct_from_t0
    11.404872991187142
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.4209365428468346
    change_in_volatility_units
    8.026307049812072
    Pragovi
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ulazni podaci
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    2.149
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    8.661723562808517
    t0_value
    1.929
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    11.404872991187142
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_IE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    8.026307049812072
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.21999999999999997
    change_pct_from_t0
    11.404872991187142
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.4209365428468346
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    8.026307049812072

    Predložak event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · otisak 6c233de290a0f7ad99eb6f997341f797c5a3ed2515930b1a20441a21891658ad · izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC

  15. 90 dana nakon događaja „Njemačka: privremeno sniženje poreza na energente za motorna goriva (Tankrabatt), 2022.” cijena s porezima (dizelsko gorivo, Irska) promijenila se za −1,6 %, što je 1,1 jed. volatilnosti (u odnosu na njezinu uobičajenu varijabilnost iz tjedna u tjedan u prethodne tri godine) – unutar uobičajene varijabilnosti.

    o zemlji: IrskaIzračunanoSlužbena
    Zašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
    Varijable
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    1.899
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -0.23904932909688648
    t0_value
    1.929
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -1.5552099533437027
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_IE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-08-29
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.0944964158834656
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.030000000000000027
    change_pct_from_t0
    -1.5552099533437027
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.4209365428468346
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.0944964158834656
    Pragovi
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ulazni podaci
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    1.899
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -0.23904932909688648
    t0_value
    1.929
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -1.5552099533437027
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_IE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-08-29
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.0944964158834656
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.030000000000000027
    change_pct_from_t0
    -1.5552099533437027
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.4209365428468346
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.0944964158834656

    Predložak event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · otisak ed665e930d9f3f83c3813d3f4656c3b111cc5fdbb74330fb835b3e92ee677162 · izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC

  16. 7 dana nakon događaja „Njemačka: privremeno sniženje poreza na energente za motorna goriva (Tankrabatt), 2022.” cijena porezne sastavnice (dizelsko gorivo, Irska) promijenila se za +1,0 %, što je 0,8 jed. volatilnosti (u odnosu na njezinu uobičajenu varijabilnost iz tjedna u tjedan u prethodne tri godine) – unutar uobičajene varijabilnosti.

    o zemlji: IrskaIzračunanoSlužbena
    Zašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
    Varijable
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    0.7935699999999998
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -0.2606875479468334
    t0_value
    0.78609
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    0.9515449884873005
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    TAX_COMPONENT_IE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-component
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.7806756782265226
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.00747999999999982
    change_pct_from_t0
    0.9515449884873005
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.2188736181059787
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.7806756782265226
    Pragovi
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ulazni podaci
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    0.7935699999999998
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -0.2606875479468334
    t0_value
    0.78609
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    0.9515449884873005
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    TAX_COMPONENT_IE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-component
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.7806756782265226
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.00747999999999982
    change_pct_from_t0
    0.9515449884873005
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.2188736181059787
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.7806756782265226

    Predložak event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · otisak 088f9d15569aa3a383b1d68bfacc7bb796114ed6cc89047598c4b96f0a2eaf90 · izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC

  17. 30 dana nakon događaja „Njemačka: privremeno sniženje poreza na energente za motorna goriva (Tankrabatt), 2022.” cijena porezne sastavnice (dizelsko gorivo, Irska) promijenila se za +5,2 %, što je 4,3 jed. volatilnosti (u odnosu na njezinu uobičajenu varijabilnost iz tjedna u tjedan u prethodne tri godine) – izvan uobičajene varijabilnosti.

    o zemlji: IrskaIzračunanoSlužbena
    Zašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
    Varijable
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    0.8272299999999999
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    0.509412753548052
    t0_value
    0.78609
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    5.233497436680273
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    TAX_COMPONENT_IE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-component
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    4.293716230245973
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.041139999999999954
    change_pct_from_t0
    5.233497436680273
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.2188736181059787
    change_in_volatility_units
    4.293716230245973
    Pragovi
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ulazni podaci
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    0.8272299999999999
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    0.509412753548052
    t0_value
    0.78609
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    5.233497436680273
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    TAX_COMPONENT_IE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-component
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    4.293716230245973
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.041139999999999954
    change_pct_from_t0
    5.233497436680273
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.2188736181059787
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    4.293716230245973

    Predložak event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · otisak 3d2c19c5fef9d44321934c3a4754e98c1516479f571867bfdb4ce1a1a3ef55b0 · izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC

  18. 90 dana nakon događaja „Njemačka: privremeno sniženje poreza na energente za motorna goriva (Tankrabatt), 2022.” cijena porezne sastavnice (dizelsko gorivo, Irska) promijenila se za −0,7 %, što je 0,6 jed. volatilnosti (u odnosu na njezinu uobičajenu varijabilnost iz tjedna u tjedan u prethodne tri godine) – unutar uobičajene varijabilnosti.

    o zemlji: IrskaIzračunanoSlužbena
    Zašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
    Varijable
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    0.78048
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -0.5601709985281725
    t0_value
    0.78609
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -0.713658741365493
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    TAX_COMPONENT_IE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-component
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-08-29
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.5855067586699064
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.005610000000000004
    change_pct_from_t0
    -0.713658741365493
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.2188736181059787
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.5855067586699064
    Pragovi
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ulazni podaci
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    0.78048
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -0.5601709985281725
    t0_value
    0.78609
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -0.713658741365493
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    TAX_COMPONENT_IE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-component
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-08-29
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.5855067586699064
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.005610000000000004
    change_pct_from_t0
    -0.713658741365493
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.2188736181059787
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.5855067586699064

    Predložak event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · otisak 764c3b2c8c8060039421603879fbffd275ee79d58a167efcad118be6d4a4b4e7 · izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC

  19. Referentna točka: Njemačka: privremeno sniženje poreza na energente za motorna goriva (Tankrabatt), 2022. U razdoblju nakon nje (horizont: 4 tjedna) sami bi troškovi sirove nafte promijenili cijenu bez poreza (benzin, Irska) za +7,4 c/l (raspon +5,1 – +9,8); stvarna promjena iznosila je +14,6 c/l, a +7,2 c/l ostaje neobjašnjeno sirovom naftom.

    o zemlji: IrskaIzračunanoSrednja
    Zašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
    Varijable
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    weeks
    4
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Ireland
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    offset_weeks
    4
    proxy_product
    GASOLINE
    proxy_to_date
    2022-06-27
    pass_through_k
    5
    proxy_from_date
    2022-05-27
    observation_date
    2022-06-27
    gap_eur_per_litre
    0.07199986507437853
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2022-05-30
    actual_eur_per_litre
    0.14634000000000014
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.07434013492562161
    proxy_volatility_units
    -0.0631714707771465
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    -5.850000000000001
    pass_through_sample_start
    2005-01-03
    pass_through_window_label
    FULL_SAMPLE
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    0.050684067823920854
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.09799620202732257
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    181.24455741814873
    Pragovi
    source
    docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
    proxy_rule
    the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
    confidence_cap
    MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
    statement_weeks
    [4,13]
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ulazni podaci
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    weeks
    4
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Ireland
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    offset_weeks
    4
    proxy_product
    GASOLINE
    proxy_to_date
    2022-06-27
    pass_through_k
    5
    proxy_from_date
    2022-05-27
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2022-06-27
    gap_eur_per_litre
    0.07199986507437853
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2022-05-30
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    actual_eur_per_litre
    0.14634000000000014
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.07434013492562161
    proxy_volatility_units
    -0.0631714707771465
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    -5.850000000000001
    pass_through_sample_start
    2005-01-03
    pass_through_window_label
    FULL_SAMPLE
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    0.050684067823920854
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.09799620202732257
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    181.24455741814873

    Predložak event.crude_only.computed v1.2 · otisak ea7b06a1efcef6b0ceea66ee2e50b58d93c1e8f88675c7ffc57e27241caa200c · izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC

  20. Referentna točka: Njemačka: privremeno sniženje poreza na energente za motorna goriva (Tankrabatt), 2022. U razdoblju nakon nje (horizont: 13 tjedana) sami bi troškovi sirove nafte promijenili cijenu bez poreza (benzin, Irska) za +4,4 c/l (raspon −2,4 – +11,2); stvarna promjena iznosila je −11,4 c/l, a −15,8 c/l ostaje neobjašnjeno sirovom naftom.

    o zemlji: IrskaIzračunanoSrednja
    Zašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
    Varijable
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    weeks
    13
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Ireland
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    offset_weeks
    13
    proxy_product
    GASOLINE
    proxy_to_date
    2022-08-26
    pass_through_k
    5
    proxy_from_date
    2022-05-27
    observation_date
    2022-08-29
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.15779623890538869
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2022-05-30
    actual_eur_per_litre
    -0.11382000000000003
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.04397623890538864
    proxy_volatility_units
    -0.3403268500876152
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    -31.516000000000002
    pass_through_sample_start
    2005-01-03
    pass_through_window_label
    FULL_SAMPLE
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    -0.024277919179445016
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.11223039699022327
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    181.24455741814873
    Pragovi
    source
    docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
    proxy_rule
    the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
    confidence_cap
    MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
    statement_weeks
    [4,13]
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ulazni podaci
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    weeks
    13
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Ireland
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    offset_weeks
    13
    proxy_product
    GASOLINE
    proxy_to_date
    2022-08-26
    pass_through_k
    5
    proxy_from_date
    2022-05-27
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2022-08-29
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.15779623890538869
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2022-05-30
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    actual_eur_per_litre
    -0.11382000000000003
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.04397623890538864
    proxy_volatility_units
    -0.3403268500876152
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    -31.516000000000002
    pass_through_sample_start
    2005-01-03
    pass_through_window_label
    FULL_SAMPLE
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    -0.024277919179445016
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.11223039699022327
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    181.24455741814873

    Predložak event.crude_only.computed v1.2 · otisak 08945f07d209185921d00919b1cf38f7b08f625d52109700b62fc7f834848649 · izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC

  21. Referentna točka: Njemačka: privremeno sniženje poreza na energente za motorna goriva (Tankrabatt), 2022. U razdoblju nakon nje (horizont: 4 tjedna) sami bi troškovi sirove nafte promijenili cijenu bez poreza (dizelsko gorivo, Irska) za +10,9 c/l (raspon +6,8 – +14,9); stvarna promjena iznosila je +17,9 c/l, a +7,0 c/l ostaje neobjašnjeno sirovom naftom. U istom se razdoblju američki crack spread (dizelsko gorivo), zamjenski pokazatelj atlantskog tržišta proizvoda, a ne europska marža, povećao za 11,5 $/bbl.

    o zemlji: IrskaIzračunanoSrednja
    Zašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
    Varijable
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    weeks
    4
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Ireland
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_IE_DIESEL
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    offset_weeks
    4
    proxy_product
    DIESEL
    proxy_to_date
    2022-06-27
    pass_through_k
    4
    proxy_from_date
    2022-05-27
    observation_date
    2022-06-27
    gap_eur_per_litre
    0.07035193237351123
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2022-05-30
    actual_eur_per_litre
    0.17886000000000002
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.10850806762648879
    proxy_volatility_units
    2.587160761067042
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    11.537999999999997
    pass_through_sample_start
    2005-01-03
    pass_through_window_label
    FULL_SAMPLE
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    0.06802856008268113
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.1489875751702958
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    9.342848145796136
    Pragovi
    source
    docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
    proxy_rule
    the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
    confidence_cap
    MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
    statement_weeks
    [4,13]
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ulazni podaci
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    weeks
    4
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Ireland
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_IE_DIESEL
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    offset_weeks
    4
    proxy_product
    DIESEL
    proxy_to_date
    2022-06-27
    pass_through_k
    4
    proxy_from_date
    2022-05-27
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2022-06-27
    gap_eur_per_litre
    0.07035193237351123
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2022-05-30
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    actual_eur_per_litre
    0.17886000000000002
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.10850806762648879
    proxy_volatility_units
    2.587160761067042
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    11.537999999999997
    pass_through_sample_start
    2005-01-03
    pass_through_window_label
    FULL_SAMPLE
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    0.06802856008268113
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.1489875751702958
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    9.342848145796136

    Predložak event.crude_only.computed_with_proxy v1.2 · otisak e428f8cee8ba292085c3e94cbbfa92aa629a9b25a839f69437e2ccac4acedcfa · izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC

  22. Referentna točka: Njemačka: privremeno sniženje poreza na energente za motorna goriva (Tankrabatt), 2022. U razdoblju nakon nje (horizont: 13 tjedana) sami bi troškovi sirove nafte promijenili cijenu bez poreza (dizelsko gorivo, Irska) za +11,3 c/l (raspon +0,8 – +21,7); stvarna promjena iznosila je −2,4 c/l, a −13,7 c/l ostaje neobjašnjeno sirovom naftom. U istom se razdoblju američki crack spread (dizelsko gorivo), zamjenski pokazatelj atlantskog tržišta proizvoda, a ne europska marža, povećao za 19,3 $/bbl.

    o zemlji: IrskaIzračunanoSrednja
    Zašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
    Varijable
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    weeks
    13
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Ireland
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_IE_DIESEL
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    offset_weeks
    13
    proxy_product
    DIESEL
    proxy_to_date
    2022-08-26
    pass_through_k
    4
    proxy_from_date
    2022-05-27
    observation_date
    2022-08-29
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.13696299424739447
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2022-05-30
    actual_eur_per_litre
    -0.024390000000000134
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.11257299424739434
    proxy_volatility_units
    4.337945231721529
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    19.345999999999997
    pass_through_sample_start
    2005-01-03
    pass_through_window_label
    FULL_SAMPLE
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    0.007984941507029178
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.21716104698775968
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    9.342848145796136
    Pragovi
    source
    docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
    proxy_rule
    the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
    confidence_cap
    MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
    statement_weeks
    [4,13]
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ulazni podaci
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    weeks
    13
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Ireland
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_IE_DIESEL
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    offset_weeks
    13
    proxy_product
    DIESEL
    proxy_to_date
    2022-08-26
    pass_through_k
    4
    proxy_from_date
    2022-05-27
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2022-08-29
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.13696299424739447
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2022-05-30
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    actual_eur_per_litre
    -0.024390000000000134
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.11257299424739434
    proxy_volatility_units
    4.337945231721529
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    19.345999999999997
    pass_through_sample_start
    2005-01-03
    pass_through_window_label
    FULL_SAMPLE
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    0.007984941507029178
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.21716104698775968
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    9.342848145796136

    Predložak event.crude_only.computed_with_proxy v1.2 · otisak 314cf9c115bb427f77b514d273976276153ffaaafe7b5f372902bf88e1dec9ab · izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC

  23. Irska, lipanj 2022.: izravna fizička ovisnost o Hormuzu (sirova nafta) bila je ograničena (0 %).

    o zemlji: IrskaIzračunanoNiska
    Zašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
    Varijable
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    limited
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2022-06
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    commodity
    crude
    dimension
    DIRECT_CRUDE
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    value_max_pct
    0
    value_min_pct
    0
    exposure_status
    COMPUTED
    value_point_pct
    0
    observation_date
    2022-06-01
    Pragovi
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
    band_applied_to
    upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
    dependence_limited_max_pct
    10
    dependence_moderate_max_pct
    33
    Ulazni podaci
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    limited
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2022-06
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    commodity
    crude
    dimension
    DIRECT_CRUDE
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    value_max_pct
    0
    value_min_pct
    0
    exposure_status
    COMPUTED
    statement_topic
    hormuz
    value_point_pct
    0
    observation_date
    2022-06-01
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Predložak event.dependence.point v1.2 · otisak 6aed0642fced2cf2de8d7fb06226d6b61b35585ab9c2c278012ec7edf1ebe26d · izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC

  24. Irska, lipanj 2022.: izravna fizička ovisnost o Hormuzu (rafinirani naftni derivati) bila je ograničena (0 %).

    o zemlji: IrskaIzračunanoNiska
    Zašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
    Varijable
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    limited
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2022-06
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    commodity
    refined product
    dimension
    DIRECT_PRODUCT
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    value_max_pct
    0
    value_min_pct
    0
    exposure_status
    COMPUTED
    value_point_pct
    0
    observation_date
    2022-06-01
    Pragovi
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
    band_applied_to
    upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
    dependence_limited_max_pct
    10
    dependence_moderate_max_pct
    33
    Ulazni podaci
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    limited
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2022-06
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    commodity
    refined product
    dimension
    DIRECT_PRODUCT
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    value_max_pct
    0
    value_min_pct
    0
    exposure_status
    COMPUTED
    statement_topic
    hormuz
    value_point_pct
    0
    observation_date
    2022-06-01
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Predložak event.dependence.point v1.2 · otisak 30ada8a32a2698b0a311d40dba0e7aaeaf885798a9ff8a15609c371f7162d318 · izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC

  25. Dostupni dokazi ne pokazuju fizičko smanjenje opskrbe: prijavljeni uvoz sirove nafte (Irska, lipanj 2022.) u odnosu na prosjek prethodnih mjeseci (12): +1,2 %.

    o zemlji: IrskaIzračunanoSlužbena
    Zašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
    Varijable
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2022-06
    country
    Ireland
    change_pct
    1.2423388877064974
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    value_tonnes
    250137
    baseline_months
    12
    observation_date
    2022-06-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
    crude_imports_rule
    crude_imports_total-1.1
    baseline_mean_tonnes
    247067.58333333334
    baseline_window_months
    12
    value_not_published_code
    null
    baseline_not_published_months
    0
    Pragovi
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no cut-off
    min_baseline_months
    6
    baseline_months_used
    12
    supply_reduction_pct
    -10
    supply_baseline_months
    12
    Ulazni podaci
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2022-06
    country
    Ireland
    change_pct
    1.2423388877064974
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    value_tonnes
    250137
    baseline_months
    12
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2022-06-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
    crude_imports_rule
    crude_imports_total-1.1
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    baseline_mean_tonnes
    247067.58333333334
    baseline_window_months
    12
    value_not_published_code
    null
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    baseline_not_published_months
    0

    Predložak event.supply.no_reduction v1.2 · otisak 0eb4c600ae3df3a0f139467733be541688602aaac82df3faf92c69c72c1e11de · izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC

  26. Irska, lipanj 2022.: zalihe nafte bile su 10,5 % ispod svojeg 12-mjesečnog prosjeka, zalihe u danima: 78,0 (kako je objavljeno).

    o zemlji: IrskaIzračunanoSlužbena
    Zašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
    Varijable
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2022-06
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    direction
    below
    siec_code
    O4000
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    holder_type
    STK_CL
    series_code
    INVENTORY_IE
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    days_of_cover
    78
    metric_status
    COMPUTED
    mom_change_pct
    -0.061046117461110015
    observation_date
    2022-06-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
    total_stock_tonnes
    1717324
    days_of_cover_basis
    as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
    observation_gap_days
    0
    trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
    1918264.5833333333
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
    -10.475123456857164
    trailing_12m_observations
    12
    Pragovi
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no band
    band_applied_to
    the rounded figure printed in the sentence
    days_of_cover_basis
    as published (Eurostat nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); never stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
    trailing_window_months
    12
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_raw
    -10.475123456857164
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_shown
    -10.5
    inventory_material_deviation_pct
    5
    Ulazni podaci
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2022-06
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    direction
    below
    siec_code
    O4000
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    holder_type
    STK_CL
    series_code
    INVENTORY_IE
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    days_of_cover
    78
    metric_status
    COMPUTED
    mom_change_pct
    -0.061046117461110015
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2022-06-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
    total_stock_tonnes
    1717324
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    days_of_cover_basis
    as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
    1918264.5833333333
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
    -10.475123456857164
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    trailing_12m_observations
    12

    Predložak event.inventory_level.below v1.2 · otisak 7ca8734e42aad16c27e4eb37f08b058b22ead83f4370b3ff287a2e46bf2c8c4b · izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC

  27. Sažetak onoga što se ovdje može provjeriti

    Za zemlju (Irska) oko događaja „Njemačka: privremeno sniženje poreza na energente za motorna goriva (Tankrabatt), 2022.” može se provjeriti samo dio lanca: dostupno je 4 od 8 nizova koje metoda uspoređuje (referentna cijena sirove nafte, zalihe, cijena na crpki bez poreza i cijena na crpki s porezima), a nisu dostupni ovi: referentna cijena rafiniranih proizvoda, rafinerijska marža, vozarine i veleprodajne cijene. Nijedna tvrdnja koja se oslanja na veze koje nedostaju ovdje se ne može testirati. Izravna fizička ovisnost o sirovoj nafti povezanoj s Hormuzom bila je ograničena (0–0 %) u obuhvaćenom razdoblju. Ova stranica opisuje kako se svaki niz kretao oko datuma događaja. To nije nalaz o uzroku: za ovu stranicu nije objavljen nijedan uzročni dizajn, a niz koji se kretao u istom prozoru možda se kretao iz drugih razloga.

    o zemlji: IrskaNepoznatoNepoznata
    Zašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
    Varijable
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    country
    Ireland
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    dependence_band
    limited
    dependence_range
    0–0%
    channels_available
    ["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
    supply_template_id
    event.supply.no_reduction
    channels_unavailable
    ["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
    Pragovi
    source
    v1 choice of this module; the channel list is docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.3
    channels_total
    8
    channels_available
    4
    verdict_partial_min_channels
    3
    verdict_assessable_min_channels
    8
    Ulazni podaci
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    country
    Ireland
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    dependence_band
    limited
    statement_topic
    event
    dependence_range
    0–0%
    channels_available
    ["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
    supply_template_id
    event.supply.no_reduction
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    channels_unavailable
    ["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Predložak event.verdict.partial v1.2 · otisak 9342a730535eebdb244c59561b0622b98434f4bb75f6c66910b8d61759bbd288 · izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC

  28. 7 dana nakon događaja „Njemačka: privremeno sniženje poreza na energente za motorna goriva (Tankrabatt), 2022.” referentna cijena (sirova nafta Brent) promijenila se za +5,7 %, što je 1,3 jed. volatilnosti (u odnosu na njezinu uobičajenu varijabilnost iz dana u dan u prethodne tri godine) – unutar uobičajene varijabilnosti.

    o događaju u cjeliniIzračunanoSlužbena
    Zašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
    Varijable
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    129.2
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    2.0172282715868546
    t0_value
    122.2
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    5.7283142389525255
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    BRENT
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2022-06-08
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    1.2799598046880034
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    6.999999999999986
    change_pct_from_t0
    5.7283142389525255
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.4753860378832995
    change_in_volatility_units
    1.2799598046880034
    Pragovi
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ulazni podaci
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    129.2
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    2.0172282715868546
    t0_value
    122.2
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    5.7283142389525255
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    BRENT
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2022-06-08
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    1.2799598046880034
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    6.999999999999986
    change_pct_from_t0
    5.7283142389525255
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.4753860378832995
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    1.2799598046880034

    Predložak event.benchmark_move.within_normal v1.2 · otisak f87dd225bc59dba803e038025a29e47ed148997fb21d856c0cd78839753ee67a · izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC

  29. 30 dana nakon događaja „Njemačka: privremeno sniženje poreza na energente za motorna goriva (Tankrabatt), 2022.” referentna cijena (sirova nafta Brent) promijenila se za −2,4 %, što je 0,5 jed. volatilnosti (u odnosu na njezinu uobičajenu varijabilnost iz dana u dan u prethodne tri godine) – unutar uobičajene varijabilnosti.

    o događaju u cjeliniIzračunanoSlužbena
    Zašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
    Varijable
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    119.21
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    0.8887326572425913
    t0_value
    122.2
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    -2.4468085106383053
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    BRENT
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2022-07-01
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.5467256880024499
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -2.990000000000009
    change_pct_from_t0
    -2.4468085106383053
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.4753860378832995
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.5467256880024499
    Pragovi
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ulazni podaci
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    119.21
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    0.8887326572425913
    t0_value
    122.2
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    -2.4468085106383053
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    BRENT
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2022-07-01
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.5467256880024499
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -2.990000000000009
    change_pct_from_t0
    -2.4468085106383053
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.4753860378832995
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.5467256880024499

    Predložak event.benchmark_move.within_normal v1.2 · otisak fad3fa12c4cda01a6223521c8666f80ff0cc67ef8185a2d6e383ba814fecdcc1 · izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC

  30. 90 dana nakon događaja „Njemačka: privremeno sniženje poreza na energente za motorna goriva (Tankrabatt), 2022.” referentna cijena (sirova nafta Brent) promijenila se za −18,7 %, što je 4,2 jed. volatilnosti (u odnosu na njezinu uobičajenu varijabilnost iz dana u dan u prethodne tri godine) – izvan uobičajene varijabilnosti.

    o događaju u cjeliniIzračunanoSlužbena
    Zašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
    Varijable
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    99.34
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    -1.355832693810513
    t0_value
    122.2
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    -18.707037643207855
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    BRENT
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2022-08-30
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -4.179983019309688
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -22.86
    change_pct_from_t0
    -18.707037643207855
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.4753860378832995
    change_in_volatility_units
    -4.179983019309688
    Pragovi
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ulazni podaci
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    99.34
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    -1.355832693810513
    t0_value
    122.2
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    -18.707037643207855
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    BRENT
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2022-08-30
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -4.179983019309688
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -22.86
    change_pct_from_t0
    -18.707037643207855
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.4753860378832995
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -4.179983019309688

    Predložak event.benchmark_move.outside_normal v1.2 · otisak 3c93fc5aedb651c26598bd6d9310189a42a1c8df629f57a43bf0be16cf35bb23 · izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC

  31. Vozarine – reakcija: ne može se ocijeniti. Razlog: vozarine za tankere licencirane su uz uvjete koji izričito zabranjuju javni prikaz, prosljeđivanje i izvedene podatke, što je doslovno provjereno, a nijedna otvorena institucija ne objavljuje vozarinu za tankere.

    o događaju u cjeliniNepoznatoNepoznata
    Zašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
    Varijable
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["freight rates"]
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
    Pragovi
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Ulazni podaci
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["freight rates"]
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Predložak event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · otisak 5682d55cccd2b29a396302436312a88aeeb0ee29362398f48b45370bc339e780 · izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC

  32. Referentna cijena rafiniranih proizvoda – reakcija: ne može se ocijeniti. Razlog: referentne cijene rafiniranih proizvoda u EU-u (Platts / Argus) vlasnički su podaci bez dopuštenja za daljnje širenje. Američki crack spreadovi nisu valjan zamjenski pokazatelj za EU i ne upotrebljavaju se umjesto njih.

    o događaju u cjeliniNepoznatoNepoznata
    Zašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
    Varijable
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refined-product benchmark"]
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
    Pragovi
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Ulazni podaci
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refined-product benchmark"]
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Predložak event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · otisak 9f428e998d4f8e3f0b62ce0e589b72e73c5860218140f2727aa93741661c7d36 · izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC

  33. Veleprodajne cijene – reakcija: ne može se ocijeniti. Razlog: nizovi veleprodajnih cijena (rack) vlasnički su podaci bez dopuštenja za daljnje širenje.

    o događaju u cjeliniNepoznatoNepoznata
    Zašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
    Varijable
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["wholesale prices"]
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
    Pragovi
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Ulazni podaci
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["wholesale prices"]
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Predložak event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · otisak 56fb16ffc2601451cfda44b453655b8c4394e0f659ccd04a0f7a8a13e347bf80 · izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC

  34. Rafinerijska marža – reakcija: ne može se ocijeniti. Razlog: nemamo nijedan objavljeni niz rafinerijskih marži, a da bismo sami izračunali maržu, trebale bi nam licencirane referentne cijene proizvoda u EU-u, koje se ne smiju ponovno objaviti.

    o događaju u cjeliniNepoznatoNepoznata
    Zašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
    Varijable
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refining margin"]
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    reason_code
    NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
    Pragovi
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Ulazni podaci
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refining margin"]
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Predložak event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · otisak 98f34b162486945bf201f66ee3c233374109d50156f5d4ec98817b088ac4af77 · izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC

Što ovo ne pokazuje

  • Ne pokazuje da je događaj bio uzrok ičega. Za ovu stranicu nije objavljen nijedan uzročni dizajn, a niz koji se pomaknuo u ovom prozoru možda se pomaknuo iz drugih razloga.
  • Promjena u jedinicama volatilnosti nije test značajnosti, a ni z-vrijednost nije test značajnosti. One mjere različite stvari i nisu međusobno zamjenjive.
  • Kanali bez izvora za koji imamo licencu ili koji je već učitan prikazuju se kao prazne ploče, a ne kao ravne linije. „Ovo ne možemo vidjeti” ne znači „ovo se nije pomaknulo”.
  • Ništa se ne interpolira. Kada se više pomaka svodi na isti objavljeni podatak, to je ono što je izdavač objavio, a promjena u odnosu na datum događaja jednaka je nuli: riječ je o istom broju.

Irska: opskrba, rafinerije i cijene na crpki →

Kako čitati oznake

  • SlužbenoIzravno prijavilo službeno tijelo.
  • ProvjerenoPrijavila treća strana; provjerili smo to prema primarnom zapisu.
  • IzračunanoNaš izračun iz prijavljenih ulaznih podataka. Metoda je objavljena na stranici metodologije.
  • Izvedeno · visoka pouzdanostNije prijavljeno. Izvedeno iz najmanje dvaju neovisnih fizičkih zapisa.
  • Izvedeno · srednja pouzdanostNije prijavljeno. Izvedeno iz jakih neizravnih dokaza, bez izričite potvrde.
  • Izvedeno · niska pouzdanostNije prijavljeno. Moguće samo na temelju podataka o infrastrukturi ili o kretanjima. Ne čitati kao činjenicu.
  • NepoznatoNijedan obranjiv javni dokaz to ne utvrđuje. Ne nagađamo, a to nije izmjerena nula.