Avvenimenti / Bidla fit-taxxa

Il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022

Dati: 01/06/2022 → 31/08/2022
Preċiżjoni tad-data: jum
Status: Intemm
Ambitu: Il-Ġermanja

X’qalu s-sorsi (bl-Ingliż)

Energiesteuersenkungsgesetz (Gesetz zur Aenderung des Energiesteuerrechts zur temporaeren Absenkung der Energiesteuer fuer Kraftstoffe) of 24 May 2022, BGBl. I 2022 p. 810. The Bundestag record of 19 May 2022 states the reduction ran from 1 June to 31 August 2022 and cut the energy-tax rate by 29.55 ct/litre on Benzin and by 14.04 ct/litre on Dieselkraftstoff. The same change is present in the primary tax series this project already holds: the tax rates taken from the European Commission Weekly Oil Bulletin duties and taxes file record German excise on Euro-super 95 petrol at 0.6545 EUR/litre before, 0.3590 EUR/litre effective 2022-06-01 and 0.6545 EUR/litre again effective 2022-08-31, and on diesel at 0.4704, then 0.3300, then 0.4704 EUR/litre on the same dates. The two records agree to the cent. This row is a timeline marker only; it makes no statement about how the change reached pump prices.

L-AIE, l-EIA, il-Kummissjoni Ewropea, il-Kunsill Ewropew u leġiżlaturi nazzjonali (iċċitati għal kull ringiela)Uffiċjali

Miġbur 25/09/2026 14:07 UTCReviżjoni 2

Dokumenti tas-sors (3)

PajjiżIl-Ġermanja Franza In-Netherlands Il-Polonja Il-Finlandja L-Estonja L-Awstrija Il-Belġju Il-Bulgarija Il-Kroazja Ċipru Iċ-Ċekja Id-Danimarka Il-Greċja L-Ungerija L-Irlanda L-Italja Il-Latvja Il-Litwanja Il-Lussemburgu Malta Il-Portugall Ir-Rumanija Is-Slovakkja Is-Slovenja Spanja L-Iżvezja

KarburantDiżil (żejt tal-gass għall-vetturi)Petrol (Euro-super 95)Iż-żewġ karburanti

Jekk tagħżel karburant, jinżammu s-serje ta’ dak il-karburant u l-kanali komuni għall-karburanti kollha – il-prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdum, ir-rata tal-kambju, l-importazzjonijiet taż-żejt mhux maħdum u l-esponiment għal Hormuz. Jitneħħew biss is-serje tal-karburant l-ieħor.

It-tieqa tal-avveniment

Kemm kienet tiswa kull serje fil-jiem madwar id-data tal-avveniment (minn -30 sa 90), kemm dan hu ’l bogħod mil-livell tal-istess serje fid-data tal-avveniment, u kemm hu kbir dak iċ-ċaqliq meta mqabbel mal-varjazzjoni normali tas-serje stess.

Il-Ġermanja, il-karburanti kollha f’dan il-kalkolu. Serje li jistgħu jitpinġew: 22; serje li ma jistgħu jidhru bl-ebda mod, murija hawn taħt bħala pannelli vojta b’tikketta: 7.

Qari ppubblikat: 260; punti tat-tieqa mingħajr xejn ippubblikat fi żmien perjodu wieħed: 26; punti tat-tieqa fuq serje li ma nistgħu naraw xejn minnhom: 91. Kollha jidhru f’din il-paġna.

Europe Brent spot FOB

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatUffiċjali

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Europe Brent spot FOB): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-04-29	108.4	-13.840	-11.33%	-2.53
−14	2022-05-18	110.0	-12.160	-9.95%	-2.22
−7	2022-05-25	116.4	-5.790	-4.74%	-1.06
−3	2022-05-27	121.2	-1.010	-0.83%	-0.18
−1	2022-05-31	125.5	+3.330	+2.73%	+0.61
T0	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	122.2	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	122.2	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-06-03	125.7	+3.480	+2.85%	+0.64
+7	2022-06-08	129.2	+7.000	+5.73%	+1.28
+14	2022-06-15	125.0	+2.760	+2.26%	+0.50
+30	2022-07-01	119.2	-2.990	-2.45%	-0.55
+60	2022-07-29	111.5	-10.690	-8.75%	-1.95
+90	2022-08-30	99.34	-22.860	-18.71%	-4.18

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 4.48%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 764). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

reported crude oil imports, all origins

Unità: tIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali

Tabella tat-tieqa (reported crude oil imports, all origins): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-01	7,474,961	+387,265	+5.46%	+0.62
−14	2022-05-01	7,474,961	+387,265	+5.46%	+0.62
−7	2022-05-01	7,474,961	+387,265	+5.46%	+0.62
−3	2022-05-01	7,474,961	+387,265	+5.46%	+0.62
−1	2022-05-01	7,474,961	+387,265	+5.46%	+0.62
T0	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	7,087,696	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	7,087,696	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	7,087,696	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	7,087,696	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+14	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	7,087,696	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+30	2022-07-01	6,877,203	-210,493	-2.97%	-0.34
+60	2022-07-01	6,877,203	-210,493	-2.97%	-0.34
+90	2022-08-01	6,659,426	-428,270	-6.04%	-0.69

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 8.75%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 36). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-02	1.113	-0.128	-10.34%	-0.11
−14	2022-05-16	1.164	-0.077	-6.23%	-0.06
−7	2022-05-23	1.207	-0.035	-2.80%	-0.03
−3	2022-05-23	1.207	-0.035	-2.80%	-0.03
−1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.241	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.241	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.241	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.241	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-06-06	1.291	+0.050	+3.99%	+0.04
+14	2022-06-13	1.317	+0.076	+6.13%	+0.06
+30	2022-06-27	1.294	+0.053	+4.26%	+0.04
+60	2022-07-25	1.316	+0.075	+6.02%	+0.06
+90	2022-08-29	1.294	+0.052	+4.21%	+0.04

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 98.14%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-02	1.106	-0.082	-6.91%	-2.83
−14	2022-05-16	1.136	-0.052	-4.39%	-1.80
−7	2022-05-23	1.165	-0.023	-1.95%	-0.80
−3	2022-05-23	1.165	-0.023	-1.95%	-0.80
−1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.188	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.188	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.188	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.188	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-06-06	1.222	+0.034	+2.83%	+1.16
+14	2022-06-13	1.240	+0.052	+4.36%	+1.79
+30	2022-06-27	1.205	+0.017	+1.41%	+0.58
+60	2022-07-25	1.206	+0.017	+1.45%	+0.60
+90	2022-08-29	1.152	-0.037	-3.08%	-1.26

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 2.44%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE

Unità: USD għal kull EURIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatUffiċjali

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-02	1.052	-0.019	-1.76%	-4.20
−14	2022-05-18	1.052	-0.019	-1.76%	-4.23
−7	2022-05-25	1.066	-0.006	-0.52%	-1.25
−3	2022-05-27	1.072	+0.001	+0.09%	+0.22
−1	2022-05-31	1.071	+0.000	+0.01%	+0.02
T0	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.071	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-06-02	1.069	-0.002	-0.19%	-0.45
+3	2022-06-03	1.073	+0.002	+0.17%	+0.40
+7	2022-06-08	1.074	+0.003	+0.25%	+0.60
+14	2022-06-15	1.043	-0.028	-2.62%	-6.28
+30	2022-07-01	1.043	-0.029	-2.68%	-6.42
+60	2022-07-29	1.020	-0.051	-4.80%	-11.50
+90	2022-08-30	1.003	-0.068	-6.33%	-15.16

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 0.42%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 770). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1

Unità: % tat-tunnellati importatiIppubblikat: kull xaharMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-01	4.387–5.627	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−14	2022-05-01	4.387–5.627	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−7	2022-05-01	4.387–5.627	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−3	2022-05-01	4.387–5.627	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−1	2022-05-01	4.387–5.627	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
T0	2022-06-01	4.832–6.083	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+1	2022-06-01	4.832–6.083	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+3	2022-06-01	4.832–6.083	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+7	2022-06-01	4.832–6.083	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+14	2022-06-01	4.832–6.083	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+30	2022-07-01	4.238–8.849	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+60	2022-07-01	4.238–8.849	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+90	2022-08-01	7.009–12.06	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2

Unità: % tat-tunnellati importatiIppubblikat: kull xaharMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-01	0–0.0506	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−14	2022-05-01	0–0.0506	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−7	2022-05-01	0–0.0506	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−3	2022-05-01	0–0.0506	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−1	2022-05-01	0–0.0506	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
T0	2022-06-01	0–0.1028	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+1	2022-06-01	0–0.1028	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+3	2022-06-01	0–0.1028	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+7	2022-06-01	0–0.1028	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+14	2022-06-01	0–0.1028	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+30	2022-07-01	0–0.0981	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+60	2022-07-01	0–0.0981	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+90	2022-08-01	0–0.0359	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma

Unità: kopertura (jiem)Ippubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-01	99.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−14	2022-05-01	99.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−7	2022-05-01	99.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−3	2022-05-01	99.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-05-01	99.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	99.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	99.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	99.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	99.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+14	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	99.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+30	2022-07-01	103.0	+4.000	+4.04%	+1.60
+60	2022-07-01	103.0	+4.000	+4.04%	+1.60
+90	2022-08-01	103.0	+4.000	+4.04%	+1.60

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 2.52%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 36). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-02	0.6576	-0.070	-9.62%	-1.20
−14	2022-05-16	0.6754	-0.052	-7.17%	-0.90
−7	2022-05-23	0.6922	-0.035	-4.85%	-0.61
−3	2022-05-23	0.6922	-0.035	-4.85%	-0.61
−1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7275	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7275	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7275	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7275	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-06-06	0.7496	+0.022	+3.04%	+0.38
+14	2022-06-13	0.7533	+0.026	+3.54%	+0.44
+30	2022-06-27	0.7214	-0.006	-0.84%	-0.11
+60	2022-07-25	0.6761	-0.051	-7.07%	-0.88
+90	2022-08-29	0.5990	-0.129	-17.67%	-2.21

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 8.00%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-02	0.6576	-0.070	-9.62%	-1.20
−14	2022-05-16	0.6754	-0.052	-7.17%	-0.90
−7	2022-05-23	0.6922	-0.035	-4.85%	-0.61
−3	2022-05-23	0.6922	-0.035	-4.85%	-0.61
−1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7275	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7275	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7275	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7275	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-06-06	0.7496	+0.022	+3.04%	+0.38
+14	2022-06-13	0.7533	+0.026	+3.54%	+0.44
+30	2022-06-27	0.7214	-0.006	-0.84%	-0.11
+60	2022-07-25	0.6761	-0.051	-7.07%	-0.88
+90	2022-08-29	0.5990	-0.129	-17.67%	-2.21

stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom

Unità: tIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali

Tabella tat-tieqa (stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-01	32,775,362	+425,591	+1.32%	+0.97
−14	2022-05-01	32,775,362	+425,591	+1.32%	+0.97
−7	2022-05-01	32,775,362	+425,591	+1.32%	+0.97
−3	2022-05-01	32,775,362	+425,591	+1.32%	+0.97
−1	2022-05-01	32,775,362	+425,591	+1.32%	+0.97
T0	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	32,349,771	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	32,349,771	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	32,349,771	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	32,349,771	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+14	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	32,349,771	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+30	2022-07-01	31,994,294	-355,477	-1.10%	-0.81
+60	2022-07-01	31,994,294	-355,477	-1.10%	-0.81
+90	2022-08-01	31,864,748	-485,023	-1.50%	-1.10

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.36%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 36). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-02	0.1602	+0.160	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−14	2022-05-16	0.0790	+0.079	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−7	2022-05-23	0.0121	+0.012	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−3	2022-05-23	0.0121	+0.012	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
T0	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+3	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+7	2022-06-06	0.0430	+0.043	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+14	2022-06-13	0.0677	+0.068	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+30	2022-06-27	0.0968	+0.097	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+60	2022-07-25	-0.0167	-0.017	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+90	2022-08-29	0.1217	+0.122	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-02	-0.0305	-0.031	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−14	2022-05-16	0.0001	+0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−7	2022-05-23	-0.0096	-0.010	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−3	2022-05-23	-0.0096	-0.010	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
T0	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+3	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+7	2022-06-06	0.0988	+0.099	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+14	2022-06-13	0.0874	+0.087	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+30	2022-06-27	0.0569	+0.057	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+60	2022-07-25	-0.0378	-0.038	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+90	2022-08-29	0.0321	+0.032	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-02	2.075	+0.038	+1.87%	+0.76
−14	2022-05-16	2.039	+0.002	+0.10%	+0.04
−7	2022-05-23	2.010	-0.027	-1.33%	-0.54
−3	2022-05-23	2.010	-0.027	-1.33%	-0.54
−1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	2.037	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	2.037	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	2.037	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	2.037	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-06-06	1.980	-0.057	-2.80%	-1.14
+14	2022-06-13	2.041	+0.004	+0.20%	+0.08
+30	2022-06-27	2.048	+0.011	+0.54%	+0.22
+60	2022-07-25	1.939	-0.098	-4.81%	-1.95
+90	2022-08-29	2.077	+0.040	+1.96%	+0.80

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 2.46%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-02	2.059	-0.134	-6.11%	-3.21
−14	2022-05-16	2.131	-0.062	-2.83%	-1.49
−7	2022-05-23	2.154	-0.039	-1.78%	-0.94
−3	2022-05-23	2.154	-0.039	-1.78%	-0.94
−1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	2.193	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	2.193	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	2.193	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	2.193	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-06-06	1.999	-0.194	-8.85%	-4.65
+14	2022-06-13	2.007	-0.186	-8.48%	-4.46
+30	2022-06-27	1.929	-0.264	-12.04%	-6.33
+60	2022-07-25	1.817	-0.376	-17.15%	-9.02
+90	2022-08-29	1.836	-0.357	-16.28%	-8.56

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.90%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-02	1.273	+0.032	+2.57%	+0.68
−14	2022-05-16	1.243	+0.002	+0.14%	+0.04
−7	2022-05-23	1.219	-0.023	-1.83%	-0.48
−3	2022-05-23	1.219	-0.023	-1.83%	-0.48
−1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.241	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.241	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.241	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.241	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-06-06	1.334	+0.093	+7.45%	+1.97
+14	2022-06-13	1.385	+0.144	+11.58%	+3.07
+30	2022-06-27	1.391	+0.150	+12.06%	+3.19
+60	2022-07-25	1.299	+0.058	+4.68%	+1.24
+90	2022-08-29	1.415	+0.174	+14.02%	+3.71

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 3.77%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-02	1.076	-0.113	-9.48%	-2.58
−14	2022-05-16	1.136	-0.052	-4.38%	-1.20
−7	2022-05-23	1.156	-0.033	-2.76%	-0.75
−3	2022-05-23	1.156	-0.033	-2.76%	-0.75
−1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.188	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.188	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.188	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.188	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-06-06	1.321	+0.132	+11.15%	+3.04
+14	2022-06-13	1.328	+0.139	+11.71%	+3.19
+30	2022-06-27	1.262	+0.074	+6.20%	+1.69
+60	2022-07-25	1.168	-0.020	-1.72%	-0.47
+90	2022-08-29	1.184	-0.004	-0.38%	-0.10

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 3.67%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-02	0.8017	+0.006	+0.76%	+0.71
−14	2022-05-16	0.7960	+0.000	+0.04%	+0.04
−7	2022-05-23	0.7913	-0.004	-0.54%	-0.51
−3	2022-05-23	0.7913	-0.004	-0.54%	-0.51
−1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7956	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7956	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7956	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7956	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-06-06	0.6461	-0.150	-18.79%	-17.55
+14	2022-06-13	0.6559	-0.140	-17.57%	-16.41
+30	2022-06-27	0.6570	-0.139	-17.43%	-16.28
+60	2022-07-25	0.6396	-0.156	-19.61%	-18.32
+90	2022-08-29	0.6616	-0.134	-16.84%	-15.73

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.07%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-02	0.9833	-0.021	-2.13%	-2.85
−14	2022-05-16	0.9947	-0.010	-0.99%	-1.32
−7	2022-05-23	0.9984	-0.006	-0.62%	-0.83
−3	2022-05-23	0.9984	-0.006	-0.62%	-0.83
−1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.005	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.005	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.005	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.005	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-06-06	0.6782	-0.326	-32.50%	-43.46
+14	2022-06-13	0.6795	-0.325	-32.37%	-43.29
+30	2022-06-27	0.6670	-0.338	-33.61%	-44.95
+60	2022-07-25	0.6491	-0.356	-35.39%	-47.33
+90	2022-08-29	0.6521	-0.353	-35.09%	-46.93

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 0.75%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-04-29	85.85	+30.052	+53.86%	+5.76
−14	2022-05-18	74.63	+18.838	+33.76%	+3.61
−7	2022-05-25	54.28	-1.518	-2.72%	-0.29
−3	2022-05-27	47.73	-8.062	-14.45%	-1.55
−1	2022-05-31	42.22	-13.578	-24.34%	-2.60
T0	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	55.80	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	55.80	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-06-03	60.04	+4.248	+7.61%	+0.81
+7	2022-06-08	55.39	-0.406	-0.73%	-0.08
+14	2022-06-15	67.36	+11.562	+20.72%	+2.22
+30	2022-07-01	49.88	-5.914	-10.60%	-1.13
+60	2022-07-29	39.98	-15.812	-28.34%	-3.03
+90	2022-08-30	60.97	+5.178	+9.28%	+0.99

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 9.34%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 747). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-04-29	35.83	-21.818	-37.85%	-0.21
−14	2022-05-18	48.89	-8.756	-15.19%	-0.08
−7	2022-05-25	47.31	-10.338	-17.93%	-0.10
−3	2022-05-27	51.09	-6.550	-11.36%	-0.06
−1	2022-05-31	47.09	-10.554	-18.31%	-0.10
T0	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	57.64	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	57.64	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-06-03	63.70	+6.054	+10.50%	+0.06
+7	2022-06-08	54.93	-2.716	-4.71%	-0.03
+14	2022-06-15	40.73	-16.914	-29.34%	-0.16
+30	2022-07-01	40.89	-16.750	-29.06%	-0.16
+60	2022-07-29	30.91	-26.732	-46.37%	-0.26
+90	2022-08-30	14.86	-42.786	-74.22%	-0.41

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 181.24%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 747). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-04-29	81.86	+38.872	+90.43%	+0.52
−14	2022-05-18	35.78	-7.202	-16.75%	-0.10
−7	2022-05-25	40.71	-2.274	-5.29%	-0.03
−3	2022-05-27	40.59	-2.392	-5.56%	-0.03
−1	2022-05-31	34.70	-8.286	-19.28%	-0.11
T0	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	42.99	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	42.99	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-06-03	46.69	+3.702	+8.61%	+0.05
+7	2022-06-08	42.16	-0.826	-1.92%	-0.01
+14	2022-06-15	56.44	+13.452	+31.29%	+0.18
+30	2022-07-01	39.51	-3.478	-8.09%	-0.05
+60	2022-07-29	31.37	-11.612	-27.01%	-0.15
+90	2022-08-30	49.63	+6.648	+15.47%	+0.09

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 175.17%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 747). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Mhux disponibbli: imblukkat mil-liċenzja

Jeżisti sors, iżda l-liċenzja tiegħu ma tippermettilniex nippubblikawh mill-ġdid. Dawn il-kanali mhumiex neqsin mid-dinja, iżda biss minn din il-paġna.

nol tat-tankers “dirty” mill-Golf Għarbi lejn il-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

In-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers (ringiela 17: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

Il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

M’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

T0: 01/06/2022. Tieqa ta’ referenza: jiem -90 sa -31. Punti tat-tieqa kkalkulati: -30, -14, -7, -3, -1, 0, 1, 3, 7, 14, 30, 60, 90. Metodu: 1.0, kalkolu: event_study-1.0, ikkalkulat: 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC.

L-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”: huwa tassew ir-raġuni?

Il-mistoqsija tinqasam f’dimensjonijiet li jitkejlu separatament u qatt ma jingħaddu f’numru wieħed. Kull ringiela tgħid jekk nistgħux naraw dik id-dimensjoni, u tagħti ċifra ppubblikata waħda fejn nistgħu.

Mit-tmien kanali ta’ trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet li jirrapporta dan is-sit, kanali b’data f’dan il-kalkolu: 4 Ikkalkulat – għadd tar-ringieli ta’ hawn taħt, mhux kejl.

Metodoloġija §11.1 tippubblika l-limiti li jużaw is-sentenzi ta’ hawn taħt: it-tmien kanali kollha preżenti għall-paragun sħiħ, mill-inqas tlieta biex l-istqarrija tkun tista’ tiġi ttestjata hawn, u 2.0 unitajiet ta’ volatilità biex ċaqliq jiġi deskritt bħala barra mill-varjazzjoni normali ta’ serje. Dawn huma għażliet ta’ kliem ippubblikati, mhux testijiet statistiċi.

Dimensjonijiet tal-esponiment għall-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, kull waħda bl-istatus tagħha u ċifra ppubblikata waħda.
Dimensjoni	Status	Ċifra ppubblikata, jew għaliex m’hemmx
Esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum (D1)Sehem miż-żejt mhux maħdum importat li r-rotta tiegħu teħtieġ l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz.	Firxa biss	4.238–8.849 % tat-tunnellati importati punt tat-tieqa +30 d (2022-07) · l-ebda punt tan-nofs
Esponiment dirett tal-prodotti (D2)Sehem mill-prodotti raffinati importati li r-rotta tagħhom teħtieġ l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz.	Firxa biss	0–0.0981 % tat-tunnellati importati punt tat-tieqa +30 d (2022-07) · l-ebda punt tan-nofs
Kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza (D7)Il-jiem ta’ kopertura li jammontaw għalihom il-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati. Riżerva kontra interruzzjoni tal-provvista, mhux sehem mill-importazzjonijiet, u mhux kanal tal-prezz.	Osservat	103.0 kopertura (jiem) punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-07-01)+4.04% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +1.60 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdumIl-prezz kwotat taż-żejt mhux maħdum li fuqu jiġu pprezzati t-tagħbijiet Ewropej.	Osservat	119.2 $ għal kull barmil punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-07-01)-2.45% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -0.55 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinatiIl-prezz kwotat tal-prodotti li fuqu jipprezzaw ir-raffineriji u l-bejjiegħa bl-ingrossa.	Mhux disponibbli	Il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.
Marġni tar-raffinarKemm qala’ r-raffinar ta’ barmil f’dan il-prodott.	Mhux disponibbli	M’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.
NoliKemm swiet il-ġarr tal-merkanzija bil-baħar.	Mhux disponibbli	In-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers (ringiela 17: BLOCKED).
StokkijietL-istokkijiet miżmuma, li jassorbu jew ikabbru bidla fil-provvista.	Osservat	31,994,294 t punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-07-01)-1.10% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -0.81 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezzijiet bl-ingrossaIl-prezz bejn il-bieb tar-raffinerija u l-pompa tal-petrol.	Mhux disponibbli	Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).
Prezz fil-pompa mingħajr taxxiIl-prezz fil-pompa mingħajr id-dazju tas-sisa, il-VAT u taxxi oħra fuq il-karburant.	Osservat	1.391 € għal kull litru punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-06-27)+12.06% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +3.19 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz fil-pompa bit-taxxiDak li fil-fatt ħallas sewwieq.	Osservat	2.048 € għal kull litru punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-06-27)+0.54% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +0.22 unitajiet ta’ volatilità

L-esponiment fiżiku (l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz) u l-esponiment tal-prezz huma mistoqsijiet differenti. Pajjiż kważi mingħajr esponiment fiżiku dirett xorta jista’ jara l-prezz fil-pompa tiegħu jiċċaqlaq: iż-żejt mhux maħdum jiġi pprezzat fuq livell globali – u serje li ċċaqilqet f’din it-tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.

X’għamel il-prezz fil-pompa madwar din id-data

Il-paġna tal-qsim tal-prezz tista’ tiġi ffissata fuq il-ġimgħat madwar id-data tal-avveniment, biex iċ-ċaqliq fil-pompa jinqasam fit-taxxa, fl-ispiża tal-input u fil-parti li l-ispiża tal-input ma tkoprix.

Qsim tal-prezz (25/05/2022 – 01/07/2022) →

It-tieqa hija madwar id-data ppubblikata tal-avveniment (jiem qabel: 7; jiem wara: 30). Hija tieqa biex wieħed iħares, mhux dikjarazzjoni li l-avveniment kien fl-oriġini ta’ dak li fiha.

Attwali kontra ż-żejt mhux maħdum biss: il-Ġermanja, petrol (Euro-super 95)

X’għamel il-prezz mingħajr taxxi minn erba’ ġimgħat qabel sa tlettax-il ġimgħa wara l-ġimgħa tal-avveniment, ħdejn dak li kien jagħmel li kieku segwa biss l-ispiża tal-input taż-żejt mhux maħdum bil-pass li tkejjel l-istima maħżuna tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet. Id-differenza mdella mhix spjegata miż-żejt mhux maħdum; mhix attribwita lill-avveniment jew lil xi ħaġa oħra. L-ebda karburant mhu magħżul: jintwera l-petrol.

Bidla attwali mingħajr taxxi(prezzijiet uffiċjali)
X’kien jagħmel iż-żejt mhux maħdum waħdu(ikkalkulat, bil-firxa)
Imdellel: mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum(mhux attribwit lil ebda kawża)

Il-bidliet jitkejlu minn din il-ġimgħa tal-bullettin: 2022-05-30. Ir-reazzjoni għaż-żejt mhux maħdum hija meħuda mill-istima maħżuna tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet (tieqa: il-kampjun kollu (2005-01-03 – 2026-09-14)). Il-faxxa ċara hija firxa konservattiva, mhux intervall ta’ 90%. Iż-żona mdella: mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum. Il-marġnijiet tar-raffinar, in-noli, il-marġnijiet tal-bejgħ bl-imnut u l-iżball tal-mudell huma kollha ġo fiha, u l-ebda wieħed minnhom ma jissemma bħala l-kawża tagħha.

Fil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, il-Ġermanja) b’+1.7 c/l (firxa -0.6–+3.9); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’+7.4 c/l, u jibqa’ +5.7 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.
Fil-perjodu ta’ 13-il ġimgħa wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, il-Ġermanja) b’-3.7 c/l (firxa -10.2–+2.9); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’-0.4 c/l, u jibqa’ +3.2 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.

X’jappoġġaw in-numri, sentenza b’sentenza

Kull sentenza ġejja minn mudell fiss, magħżul skont limiti ppubblikati. Iftaħ “Għaliex din is-sentenza” biex tara n-numri li għażluha. L-ebda parti minn dan it-test mhi miktuba minn mudell lingwistiku, u l-ebda parti minnu ma tattribwixxi kawża.

Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, il-Ġermanja) inbidel b’+11.1%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’3.0 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-ĠermanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.32083
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
3.004322778909476
t0_value
1.1883599999999999
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
11.147295432360572
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_DE_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
3.0384615524693883
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.1324700000000001
change_pct_from_t0
11.147295432360572
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
3.668730125382384
change_in_volatility_units
3.0384615524693883
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.32083
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
3.004322778909476
t0_value
1.1883599999999999
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
11.147295432360572
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_DE_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
3.0384615524693883
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.1324700000000001
change_pct_from_t0
11.147295432360572
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
3.668730125382384
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
3.0384615524693883
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità f7fd488aa782da4980e46a8e06b5f1ed2ec3cbeea83b8e4915699d067a6b8b81 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, il-Ġermanja) inbidel b’+6.2%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.7 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-ĠermanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.26201
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
2.1619667278449985
t0_value
1.1883599999999999
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
6.197616883772613
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_DE_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.6893084724040988
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.07365000000000022
change_pct_from_t0
6.197616883772613
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
3.668730125382384
change_in_volatility_units
1.6893084724040988
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.26201
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
2.1619667278449985
t0_value
1.1883599999999999
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
6.197616883772613
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_DE_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.6893084724040988
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.07365000000000022
change_pct_from_t0
6.197616883772613
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
3.668730125382384
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
1.6893084724040988
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 909ae6aabe2a8d924b488747855b14c0fc65d3431bf02bba20345e0d1b2dff8b · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, il-Ġermanja) inbidel b’-0.4%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.1 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-ĠermanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.18386
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
1.0427874454463382
t0_value
1.1883599999999999
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-0.3786731293547367
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_DE_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-0.10321640360921025
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.0044999999999999485
change_pct_from_t0
-0.3786731293547367
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
3.668730125382384
change_in_volatility_units
-0.10321640360921025
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.18386
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
1.0427874454463382
t0_value
1.1883599999999999
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-0.3786731293547367
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_DE_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-0.10321640360921025
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.0044999999999999485
change_pct_from_t0
-0.3786731293547367
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
3.668730125382384
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-0.10321640360921025
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 50ea3e1399028a449059dc118c5ccf375e9d812019eaf316212568f7eade4c32 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, il-Ġermanja) inbidel b’-8.8%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’4.7 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-ĠermanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.999
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
-1.2275206680301745
t0_value
2.193
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-8.846329229366162
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_DE_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-4.6534816002375
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.19399999999999995
change_pct_from_t0
-8.846329229366162
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
1.9010130455688643
change_in_volatility_units
-4.6534816002375
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.999
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
-1.2275206680301745
t0_value
2.193
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-8.846329229366162
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_DE_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-4.6534816002375
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.19399999999999995
change_pct_from_t0
-8.846329229366162
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
1.9010130455688643
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-4.6534816002375
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità ccd9c1a6287a82ae2c6721de2f4e470f912c9e9a4cb4f058dba8ee9927e4c2a8 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, il-Ġermanja) inbidel b’-12.0%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’6.3 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-ĠermanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.929
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
-2.0699368127567666
t0_value
2.193
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-12.038303693570452
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_DE_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-6.33257289929227
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.264
change_pct_from_t0
-12.038303693570452
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
1.9010130455688643
change_in_volatility_units
-6.33257289929227
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.929
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
-2.0699368127567666
t0_value
2.193
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-12.038303693570452
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_DE_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-6.33257289929227
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.264
change_pct_from_t0
-12.038303693570452
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
1.9010130455688643
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-6.33257289929227
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità bb7b8f70f9dc306067a1f8d97520d3440833160f648a5243e91bda5b2bcd631d · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, il-Ġermanja) inbidel b’-16.3%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’8.6 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-ĠermanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.836
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
-3.1891468336078095
t0_value
2.193
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-16.279069767441857
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_DE_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-8.563365625179319
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.357
change_pct_from_t0
-16.279069767441857
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
1.9010130455688643
change_in_volatility_units
-8.563365625179319
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.836
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
-3.1891468336078095
t0_value
2.193
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-16.279069767441857
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_DE_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-8.563365625179319
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.357
change_pct_from_t0
-16.279069767441857
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
1.9010130455688643
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-8.563365625179319
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità f2138f79f3c507c8735f07dbd9cb9c7b95d14571c52c1a351dbd8b4a13f48c8f · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz tal-komponent tat-taxxa (petrol, il-Ġermanja) inbidel b’-32.5%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’43.5 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-ĠermanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.67817
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
-23.50196203581737
t0_value
1.0046400000000002
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-32.49621755056538
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
7
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_DE_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-43.463648213946946
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.32647000000000015
change_pct_from_t0
-32.49621755056538
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
0.7476642869601027
change_in_volatility_units
-43.463648213946946
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.67817
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
-23.50196203581737
t0_value
1.0046400000000002
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-32.49621755056538
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_DE_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-43.463648213946946
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.32647000000000015
change_pct_from_t0
-32.49621755056538
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
0.7476642869601027
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-43.463648213946946
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 39614584e0fc23cf325f5c1f2b1da73e4b303e31eaa5442807a67173621d676b · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz tal-komponent tat-taxxa (petrol, il-Ġermanja) inbidel b’-33.6%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’45.0 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-ĠermanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.66699
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
-24.344694475186483
t0_value
1.0046400000000002
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-33.609053989488785
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
30
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_DE_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-44.95206548668848
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.3376500000000002
change_pct_from_t0
-33.609053989488785
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
0.7476642869601027
change_in_volatility_units
-44.95206548668848
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.66699
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
-24.344694475186483
t0_value
1.0046400000000002
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-33.609053989488785
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_DE_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-44.95206548668848
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.3376500000000002
change_pct_from_t0
-33.609053989488785
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
0.7476642869601027
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-44.95206548668848
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 5a2f45ec8c6d8f62a6cf4f4c9fec50ce22e26d3409ab49e8fdc15d392ed18653 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz tal-komponent tat-taxxa (petrol, il-Ġermanja) inbidel b’-35.1%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’46.9 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-ĠermanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.65214
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
-25.46406627524293
t0_value
1.0046400000000002
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-35.08719541328238
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
90
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_DE_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-46.92907769600974
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.35250000000000015
change_pct_from_t0
-35.08719541328238
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
0.7476642869601027
change_in_volatility_units
-46.92907769600974
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.65214
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
-25.46406627524293
t0_value
1.0046400000000002
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-35.08719541328238
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_DE_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-46.92907769600974
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.35250000000000015
change_pct_from_t0
-35.08719541328238
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
0.7476642869601027
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-46.92907769600974
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 99be20fac620cf99c2177b99a561b77b6ac41c3e0bc33c2a299fd58c24ad6620 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, il-Ġermanja) inbidel b’+7.5%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.0 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-ĠermanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.33387
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
0.3023182859354713
t0_value
1.24136
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
7.4523103692724
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_DE_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.9748932579018799
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.09250999999999987
change_pct_from_t0
7.4523103692724
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
3.7735256523128293
change_in_volatility_units
1.9748932579018799
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.33387
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
0.3023182859354713
t0_value
1.24136
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
7.4523103692724
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_DE_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.9748932579018799
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.09250999999999987
change_pct_from_t0
7.4523103692724
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
3.7735256523128293
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
1.9748932579018799
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 11547fb0e7581ba6c7d7bb8d48239f54ed9b8de70332c2f59825a836a3ade8f2 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, il-Ġermanja) inbidel b’+12.1%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’3.2 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-ĠermanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.39101
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
0.9080148798468701
t0_value
1.24136
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
12.055326416188702
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_DE_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
3.1947116640905513
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.14965000000000006
change_pct_from_t0
12.055326416188702
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
3.7735256523128293
change_in_volatility_units
3.1947116640905513
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.39101
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
0.9080148798468701
t0_value
1.24136
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
12.055326416188702
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_DE_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
3.1947116640905513
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.14965000000000006
change_pct_from_t0
12.055326416188702
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
3.7735256523128293
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
3.1947116640905513
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità c9ec395f2083f740af67ddeb94d3d454e159be5ba3e9b0462be1f1c0157f5a46 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, il-Ġermanja) inbidel b’+14.0%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’3.7 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-ĠermanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.41538
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
1.166342251103796
t0_value
1.24136
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
14.01849584326868
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_DE_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
3.7149597312732223
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.17402000000000006
change_pct_from_t0
14.01849584326868
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
3.7735256523128293
change_in_volatility_units
3.7149597312732223
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.41538
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
1.166342251103796
t0_value
1.24136
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
14.01849584326868
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_DE_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
3.7149597312732223
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.17402000000000006
change_pct_from_t0
14.01849584326868
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
3.7735256523128293
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
3.7149597312732223
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità dd6da96b9b3da04e43ba31e163c0ccbe9489a9ffb85fc2c3b9af83d2e876e682 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, il-Ġermanja) inbidel b’-2.8%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.1 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-ĠermanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.98
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
-1.1860143112070007
t0_value
2.037
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
-2.798232695139909
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_DE_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-1.1368598826945364
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.05699999999999994
change_pct_from_t0
-2.798232695139909
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
2.461369899435327
change_in_volatility_units
-1.1368598826945364
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.98
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
-1.1860143112070007
t0_value
2.037
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
-2.798232695139909
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_DE_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-1.1368598826945364
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.05699999999999994
change_pct_from_t0
-2.798232695139909
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
2.461369899435327
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-1.1368598826945364
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità aee0065ae9e283baa627b0c2acb533793e2378213dc720b097dc8fbd9f925e55 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, il-Ġermanja) inbidel b’+0.5%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.2 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-ĠermanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
2.048
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
-0.5802816801613639
t0_value
2.037
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
0.5400098183603398
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_DE_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.21939401244982545
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.01100000000000012
change_pct_from_t0
0.5400098183603398
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
2.461369899435327
change_in_volatility_units
0.21939401244982545
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
2.048
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
-0.5802816801613639
t0_value
2.037
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
0.5400098183603398
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_DE_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.21939401244982545
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.01100000000000012
change_pct_from_t0
0.5400098183603398
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
2.461369899435327
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
0.21939401244982545
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 9b73ddbe986d3d9169569072f35af7929feed4012a97cca6a5e1ffba37fa1629 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, il-Ġermanja) inbidel b’+2.0%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.8 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-ĠermanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
2.077
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
-0.3219545286860199
t0_value
2.037
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
1.9636720667648522
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_DE_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.7977964089084482
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.040000000000000036
change_pct_from_t0
1.9636720667648522
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
2.461369899435327
change_in_volatility_units
0.7977964089084482
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
2.077
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
-0.3219545286860199
t0_value
2.037
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
1.9636720667648522
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_DE_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.7977964089084482
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.040000000000000036
change_pct_from_t0
1.9636720667648522
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
2.461369899435327
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
0.7977964089084482
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 45e0c09394f34966be5b438c3da3ba4e14ae588eb1f91a277027de94cb745c53 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz tal-komponent tat-taxxa (diżil, il-Ġermanja) inbidel b’-18.8%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’17.6 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-ĠermanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.64613
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
-9.019809454782958
t0_value
0.79564
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
-18.79116183198432
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
7
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_DE_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-17.552841198037175
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.14951000000000003
change_pct_from_t0
-18.79116183198432
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
1.070548159125693
change_in_volatility_units
-17.552841198037175
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.64613
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
-9.019809454782958
t0_value
0.79564
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
-18.79116183198432
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_DE_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-17.552841198037175
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.14951000000000003
change_pct_from_t0
-18.79116183198432
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
1.070548159125693
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-17.552841198037175
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 8a3b96b6c5459c34714be61855ff7a4acfa1ae63a6e8831219a2748c96777ab6 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz tal-komponent tat-taxxa (diżil, il-Ġermanja) inbidel b’-17.4%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’16.3 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-ĠermanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.65699
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
-8.413887151972347
t0_value
0.79564
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
-17.426222914886136
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
30
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_DE_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-16.27785052576988
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.13865000000000005
change_pct_from_t0
-17.426222914886136
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
1.070548159125693
change_in_volatility_units
-16.27785052576988
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.65699
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
-8.413887151972347
t0_value
0.79564
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
-17.426222914886136
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_DE_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-16.27785052576988
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.13865000000000005
change_pct_from_t0
-17.426222914886136
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
1.070548159125693
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-16.27785052576988
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità d2a9912e8c8c0ec1c5db6f86c62f600f2570d9250e93ef9c457a24833f00d981 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz tal-komponent tat-taxxa (diżil, il-Ġermanja) inbidel b’-16.8%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’15.7 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-ĠermanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.66162
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
-8.155561160995077
t0_value
0.79564
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
-16.84430144286361
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
90
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_DE_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-15.73427715444413
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.13402000000000003
change_pct_from_t0
-16.84430144286361
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
1.070548159125693
change_in_volatility_units
-15.73427715444413
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.66162
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
-8.155561160995077
t0_value
0.79564
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
-16.84430144286361
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_DE_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-15.73427715444413
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.13402000000000003
change_pct_from_t0
-16.84430144286361
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
1.070548159125693
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-15.73427715444413
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 85261cb673ffeafdee75546ec31ebd66e0d14ccd9be9baf03c1ef3071b79e1f4 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, il-Ġermanja) b’+1.7 c/l (firxa -0.6–+3.9); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’+7.4 c/l, u jibqa’ +5.7 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.
pajjiż: il-ĠermanjaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
weeks
4
status
COMPUTED
country
Germany
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_DE_EURO_SUPER_95
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
offset_weeks
4
proxy_product
GASOLINE
proxy_to_date
2022-06-27
pass_through_k
1
proxy_from_date
2022-05-27
observation_date
2022-06-27
gap_eur_per_litre
0.0569134172547411
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-05-30
actual_eur_per_litre
0.07365000000000022
expected_eur_per_litre
0.016736582745259118
proxy_volatility_units
-0.0631714707771465
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
-5.850000000000001
pass_through_sample_start
2005-01-03
pass_through_window_label
FULL_SAMPLE
expected_low_eur_per_litre
-0.005879996018821346
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.039353161509339527
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
181.24455741814873
Limiti
source
docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
proxy_rule
the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
confidence_cap
MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
statement_weeks
[4,13]
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
weeks
4
status
COMPUTED
country
Germany
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_DE_EURO_SUPER_95
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
offset_weeks
4
proxy_product
GASOLINE
proxy_to_date
2022-06-27
pass_through_k
1
proxy_from_date
2022-05-27
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-06-27
gap_eur_per_litre
0.0569134172547411
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-05-30
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
actual_eur_per_litre
0.07365000000000022
expected_eur_per_litre
0.016736582745259118
proxy_volatility_units
-0.0631714707771465
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
-5.850000000000001
pass_through_sample_start
2005-01-03
pass_through_window_label
FULL_SAMPLE
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
expected_low_eur_per_litre
-0.005879996018821346
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.039353161509339527
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
181.24455741814873
Mudell event.crude_only.computed v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 198ea6ce20ca1b3414b02b3b18ca101b104de729d1ae57ce337d0152420face4 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 13-il ġimgħa wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, il-Ġermanja) b’-3.7 c/l (firxa -10.2–+2.9); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’-0.4 c/l, u jibqa’ +3.2 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.
pajjiż: il-ĠermanjaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
weeks
13
status
COMPUTED
country
Germany
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_DE_EURO_SUPER_95
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
offset_weeks
13
proxy_product
GASOLINE
proxy_to_date
2022-08-26
pass_through_k
1
proxy_from_date
2022-05-27
observation_date
2022-08-29
gap_eur_per_litre
0.03206462593133223
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-05-30
actual_eur_per_litre
-0.0044999999999999485
expected_eur_per_litre
-0.03656462593133218
proxy_volatility_units
-0.3403268500876152
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
-31.516000000000002
pass_through_sample_start
2005-01-03
pass_through_window_label
FULL_SAMPLE
expected_low_eur_per_litre
-0.10209882445862038
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.028969572595956027
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
181.24455741814873
Limiti
source
docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
proxy_rule
the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
confidence_cap
MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
statement_weeks
[4,13]
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
weeks
13
status
COMPUTED
country
Germany
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_DE_EURO_SUPER_95
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
offset_weeks
13
proxy_product
GASOLINE
proxy_to_date
2022-08-26
pass_through_k
1
proxy_from_date
2022-05-27
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-08-29
gap_eur_per_litre
0.03206462593133223
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-05-30
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
actual_eur_per_litre
-0.0044999999999999485
expected_eur_per_litre
-0.03656462593133218
proxy_volatility_units
-0.3403268500876152
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
-31.516000000000002
pass_through_sample_start
2005-01-03
pass_through_window_label
FULL_SAMPLE
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
expected_low_eur_per_litre
-0.10209882445862038
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.028969572595956027
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
181.24455741814873
Mudell event.crude_only.computed v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 2d0b33c368eeb54dee86253c798891608190d269d95eefbd5a3a7ddd604e32eb · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, il-Ġermanja) b’+5.3 c/l (firxa +1.8–+8.8); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’+15.0 c/l, u jibqa’ +9.7 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum. Fl-istess perjodu, il-crack spread tal-Istati Uniti (diżil), indikatur tas-suq tal-prodotti tal-Atlantiku u mhux marġni Ewropew, kiber b’11.5 $/bbl.
pajjiż: il-ĠermanjaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
weeks
4
status
COMPUTED
country
Germany
fuel_type
DIESEL
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_DE_DIESEL
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
offset_weeks
4
proxy_product
DIESEL
proxy_to_date
2022-06-27
pass_through_k
1
proxy_from_date
2022-05-27
observation_date
2022-06-27
gap_eur_per_litre
0.0968133550096332
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-05-30
actual_eur_per_litre
0.14965000000000006
expected_eur_per_litre
0.05283664499036686
proxy_volatility_units
2.587160761067042
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
11.537999999999997
pass_through_sample_start
2005-01-03
pass_through_window_label
FULL_SAMPLE
expected_low_eur_per_litre
0.017962813488907506
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.08771047649182599
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
9.342848145796136
Limiti
source
docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
proxy_rule
the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
confidence_cap
MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
statement_weeks
[4,13]
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
weeks
4
status
COMPUTED
country
Germany
fuel_type
DIESEL
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_DE_DIESEL
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
offset_weeks
4
proxy_product
DIESEL
proxy_to_date
2022-06-27
pass_through_k
1
proxy_from_date
2022-05-27
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-06-27
gap_eur_per_litre
0.0968133550096332
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-05-30
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
actual_eur_per_litre
0.14965000000000006
expected_eur_per_litre
0.05283664499036686
proxy_volatility_units
2.587160761067042
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
11.537999999999997
pass_through_sample_start
2005-01-03
pass_through_window_label
FULL_SAMPLE
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
expected_low_eur_per_litre
0.017962813488907506
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.08771047649182599
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
9.342848145796136
Mudell event.crude_only.computed_with_proxy v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 43c9c53d1ebdb5829dde8f3c4bcf4ed62a9904fbf0d89fa69dbbe7a08c145d67 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 13-il ġimgħa wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, il-Ġermanja) b’+5.2 c/l (firxa -4.6–+15.1); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’+17.4 c/l, u jibqa’ +12.2 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum. Fl-istess perjodu, il-crack spread tal-Istati Uniti (diżil), indikatur tas-suq tal-prodotti tal-Atlantiku u mhux marġni Ewropew, kiber b’19.3 $/bbl.
pajjiż: il-ĠermanjaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
weeks
13
status
COMPUTED
country
Germany
fuel_type
DIESEL
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_DE_DIESEL
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
offset_weeks
13
proxy_product
DIESEL
proxy_to_date
2022-08-26
pass_through_k
1
proxy_from_date
2022-05-27
observation_date
2022-08-29
gap_eur_per_litre
0.12170231311844174
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-05-30
actual_eur_per_litre
0.17402000000000006
expected_eur_per_litre
0.05231768688155832
proxy_volatility_units
4.337945231721529
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
19.345999999999997
pass_through_sample_start
2005-01-03
pass_through_window_label
FULL_SAMPLE
expected_low_eur_per_litre
-0.04601097158605926
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.15064634534917548
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
9.342848145796136
Limiti
source
docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
proxy_rule
the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
confidence_cap
MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
statement_weeks
[4,13]
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
weeks
13
status
COMPUTED
country
Germany
fuel_type
DIESEL
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_DE_DIESEL
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
offset_weeks
13
proxy_product
DIESEL
proxy_to_date
2022-08-26
pass_through_k
1
proxy_from_date
2022-05-27
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-08-29
gap_eur_per_litre
0.12170231311844174
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-05-30
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
actual_eur_per_litre
0.17402000000000006
expected_eur_per_litre
0.05231768688155832
proxy_volatility_units
4.337945231721529
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
19.345999999999997
pass_through_sample_start
2005-01-03
pass_through_window_label
FULL_SAMPLE
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
expected_low_eur_per_litre
-0.04601097158605926
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.15064634534917548
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
9.342848145796136
Mudell event.crude_only.computed_with_proxy v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 1da4447c8399b3b2aaa2b4b3633d61c1dc26087ba4a71dd4f00d11f0f801ae9f · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Il-Ġermanja, Ġunju 2022: id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (żejt mhux maħdum) kienet limitata (5%–6%). Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: il-pajjiżi sħab ikkonċernati jesportaw kemm minn ġewwa kif ukoll minn barra l-Golf Persjan, u l-qsim għal kull perjodu mhux pubbliku.
pajjiż: il-ĠermanjaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
band
limited
unit
% of imported tonnes
period
2022-06
status
NO_OBSERVATION
country
Germany
commodity
crude
dimension
DIRECT_CRUDE
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
value_max_pct
6.08330323422449
value_min_pct
4.83176504748511
exposure_status
RANGE_ONLY
value_point_pct
null
observation_date
2022-06-01
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
band_applied_to
upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
dependence_limited_max_pct
10
dependence_moderate_max_pct
33
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
band
limited
unit
% of imported tonnes
period
2022-06
status
NO_OBSERVATION
country
Germany
commodity
crude
dimension
DIRECT_CRUDE
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
value_max_pct
6.08330323422449
value_min_pct
4.83176504748511
exposure_status
RANGE_ONLY
statement_topic
hormuz
value_point_pct
null
observation_date
2022-06-01
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.dependence.range v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 9d3818342fd5383177acc642fd85892a149943d754d1320550e1c1e4ebde8863 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Il-Ġermanja, Ġunju 2022: id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (prodott raffinat) kienet limitata (0%–0%). Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: il-pajjiżi sħab ikkonċernati jesportaw kemm minn ġewwa kif ukoll minn barra l-Golf Persjan, u l-qsim għal kull perjodu mhux pubbliku.
pajjiż: il-ĠermanjaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
band
limited
unit
% of imported tonnes
period
2022-06
status
NO_OBSERVATION
country
Germany
commodity
refined product
dimension
DIRECT_PRODUCT
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
value_max_pct
0.102773204772625
value_min_pct
0
exposure_status
PARTIAL
value_point_pct
null
observation_date
2022-06-01
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
band_applied_to
upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
dependence_limited_max_pct
10
dependence_moderate_max_pct
33
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
band
limited
unit
% of imported tonnes
period
2022-06
status
NO_OBSERVATION
country
Germany
commodity
refined product
dimension
DIRECT_PRODUCT
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
value_max_pct
0.102773204772625
value_min_pct
0
exposure_status
PARTIAL
statement_topic
hormuz
value_point_pct
null
observation_date
2022-06-01
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.dependence.range v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 947af1f39e75ef368ee7664769f2718d254e13fe4ba4162490983458faa87339 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
L-evidenza disponibbli ma turix tnaqqis fiżiku fil-provvista: l-importazzjonijiet irrappurtati taż-żejt mhux maħdum (il-Ġermanja, Ġunju 2022) meta mqabbla mal-medja tax-xhur ta’ qabel (12): +0.7%.
pajjiż: il-ĠermanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
unit
tonnes
month
2022-06
country
Germany
change_pct
0.6909683705325212
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
partner_role
ORIGIN
value_tonnes
7087696
baseline_months
12
observation_date
2022-06-01
series_source_ids
["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
baseline_mean_tonnes
7039058.333333333
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no cut-off
min_baseline_months
6
baseline_months_used
12
supply_reduction_pct
-10
supply_baseline_months
12
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
unit
tonnes
month
2022-06
country
Germany
change_pct
0.6909683705325212
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
partner_role
ORIGIN
value_tonnes
7087696
baseline_months
12
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-06-01
series_source_ids
["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
baseline_mean_tonnes
7039058.333333333
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.supply.no_reduction v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 8f56a3c35737c2f4c3e331750c2be1a4edfa01d60ab14903d156789e798c326d · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Ġunju 2022: l-istokkijiet taż-żejt (il-Ġermanja) kienu 1.0% aktar baxxi meta mqabbla mal-medja mobbli tagħhom (xhur: 12) — ġewwa l-faxxa ta’ 5% fuq kull naħa li dan is-sit jaqra bħala konformi magħha, jiem ta’ kopertura: 99.0 (kif ippubblikati).
pajjiż: il-ĠermanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
unit
tonnes
month
2022-06
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
direction
below
siec_code
O4000
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
holder_type
STK_CL
series_code
INVENTORY_DE
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
days_of_cover
99
metric_status
COMPUTED
mom_change_pct
-1.2985089226474447
observation_date
2022-06-01
series_source_ids
["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
total_stock_tonnes
32349771
days_of_cover_basis
as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
observation_gap_days
0
trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
32660308.5
level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
-0.9508100635362952
trailing_12m_observations
12
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no band
band_applied_to
the rounded figure printed in the sentence
days_of_cover_basis
as published (Eurostat nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); never stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
trailing_window_months
12
level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_raw
-0.9508100635362952
level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_shown
-1
inventory_material_deviation_pct
5
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
unit
tonnes
month
2022-06
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
direction
below
siec_code
O4000
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
holder_type
STK_CL
series_code
INVENTORY_DE
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
days_of_cover
99
metric_status
COMPUTED
mom_change_pct
-1.2985089226474447
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-06-01
series_source_ids
["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
total_stock_tonnes
32349771
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
days_of_cover_basis
as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
0
trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
32660308.5
level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
-0.9508100635362952
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
trailing_12m_observations
12
Mudell event.inventory_level.in_line v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 3114d1ed966c84e1e13a7c611de4fb68d1868c52d902816bd6f00e34996dbfae · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Sommarju ta’ x’jista’ jiġi vverifikat hawn
Parti biss mill-katina tista’ tiġi vverifikata għal dan il-pajjiż (il-Ġermanja) madwar l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”: serje disponibbli: 4 minn 8 (prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdum, stokkijiet, prezz fil-pompa mingħajr taxxi u prezz fil-pompa bit-taxxi); mhux disponibbli: prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinati, marġni tar-raffinar, noli u prezzijiet bl-ingrossa. Kull dikjarazzjoni bbażata fuq ir-rabtiet neqsin ma tistax tiġi ttestjata hawn. Id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (żejt mhux maħdum) kienet limitata (5–6%) matul il-perjodu kopert. Din il-paġna tiddeskrivi x’għamlet kull serje madwar id-data tal-avveniment. Mhijiex sejba dwar kawża: l-ebda disinn kawżali mhu ppubblikat għal dan is-sit, u serje li ċċaqilqet fl-istess tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.
pajjiż: il-ĠermanjaMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
country
Germany
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
dependence_band
limited
dependence_range
5–6%
channels_available
["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
supply_template_id
event.supply.no_reduction
channels_unavailable
["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; the channel list is docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.3
channels_total
8
channels_available
4
verdict_partial_min_channels
3
verdict_assessable_min_channels
8
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
country
Germany
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
dependence_band
limited
statement_topic
event
dependence_range
5–6%
channels_available
["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
supply_template_id
event.supply.no_reduction
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
channels_unavailable
["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.verdict.partial v1.1 · Marka tal-identità f5e8c2c4a7469d99c58b0095a4a3603bb3813de540c4949a9d6fe13c126bd536 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’+5.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.3 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
129.2
status
OBSERVED
z_score
2.0172282715868546
t0_value
122.2
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
5.7283142389525255
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
7
series_code
BRENT
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-06-08
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.2799598046880034
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
6.999999999999986
change_pct_from_t0
5.7283142389525255
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.4753860378832995
change_in_volatility_units
1.2799598046880034
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
129.2
status
OBSERVED
z_score
2.0172282715868546
t0_value
122.2
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
5.7283142389525255
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
BRENT
statement_topic
event
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-06-08
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.2799598046880034
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
6.999999999999986
change_pct_from_t0
5.7283142389525255
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.4753860378832995
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
1.2799598046880034
Mudell event.benchmark_move.within_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità f87dd225bc59dba803e038025a29e47ed148997fb21d856c0cd78839753ee67a · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’-2.4%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.5 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
119.21
status
OBSERVED
z_score
0.8887326572425913
t0_value
122.2
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
-2.4468085106383053
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
30
series_code
BRENT
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-07-01
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-0.5467256880024499
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
-2.990000000000009
change_pct_from_t0
-2.4468085106383053
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.4753860378832995
change_in_volatility_units
-0.5467256880024499
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
119.21
status
OBSERVED
z_score
0.8887326572425913
t0_value
122.2
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
-2.4468085106383053
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
BRENT
statement_topic
event
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-07-01
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-0.5467256880024499
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
-2.990000000000009
change_pct_from_t0
-2.4468085106383053
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.4753860378832995
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-0.5467256880024499
Mudell event.benchmark_move.within_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità fad3fa12c4cda01a6223521c8666f80ff0cc67ef8185a2d6e383ba814fecdcc1 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’-18.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’4.2 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
99.34
status
OBSERVED
z_score
-1.355832693810513
t0_value
122.2
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
-18.707037643207855
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
90
series_code
BRENT
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-08-30
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-4.179983019309688
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
-22.86
change_pct_from_t0
-18.707037643207855
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.4753860378832995
change_in_volatility_units
-4.179983019309688
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
99.34
status
OBSERVED
z_score
-1.355832693810513
t0_value
122.2
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
-18.707037643207855
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
BRENT
statement_topic
event
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-08-30
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-4.179983019309688
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
-22.86
change_pct_from_t0
-18.707037643207855
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.4753860378832995
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-4.179983019309688
Mudell event.benchmark_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 3c93fc5aedb651c26598bd6d9310189a42a1c8df629f57a43bf0be16cf35bb23 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Noli – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: in-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["freight rates"]
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
Limiti
source
CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
true
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["freight rates"]
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
statement_topic
event
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 5682d55cccd2b29a396302436312a88aeeb0ee29362398f48b45370bc339e780 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinati – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni. Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["refined-product benchmark"]
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
Limiti
source
CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
true
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["refined-product benchmark"]
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
statement_topic
event
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 9f428e998d4f8e3f0b62ce0e589b72e73c5860218140f2727aa93741661c7d36 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Prezzijiet bl-ingrossa – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["wholesale prices"]
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
Limiti
source
CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
true
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["wholesale prices"]
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
statement_topic
event
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 56fb16ffc2601451cfda44b453655b8c4394e0f659ccd04a0f7a8a13e347bf80 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Marġni tar-raffinar – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: m’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["refining margin"]
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
reason_code
NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
Limiti
source
CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
true
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["refining margin"]
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
statement_topic
event
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 98f34b162486945bf201f66ee3c233374109d50156f5d4ec98817b088ac4af77 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

X’ma jurix dan

Ma jurix li l-avveniment kien fl-oriġini ta’ xi ħaġa. L-ebda disinn kawżali mhu ppubblikat għal dan is-sit, u serje li ċċaqilqet f’din it-tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.
Bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza, u lanqas punteġġ z ma hu. Ikejlu affarijiet differenti u mhumiex interkambjabbli.
Il-kanali mingħajr sors b’liċenzja għall-użu jew diġà mtella’ jintwerew bħala pannelli vojta, mhux bħala linji ċatti. “Ma nistgħux naraw dan” ma jfissirx “dan ma ċċaqlaqx”.
Xejn ma jiġi interpolat. Fejn diversi punti tat-tieqa jaqgħu fuq ċifra ppubblikata waħda, dak hu li stampa l-pubblikatur, u l-bidla meta mqabbla mad-data tal-avveniment hija żero: huwa l-istess numru.

Il-Ġermanja: provvista, raffineriji u prezzijiet fil-pompa →

Kif jinqraw it-tikketti

UffiċjaliIrrappurtat direttament minn awtorità uffiċjali.
IvverifikatIrrappurtat minn parti terza u vverifikat minna ma’ rekord primarju.
IkkalkulatIkkalkulat minna minn inputs irrappurtati. Il-metodu huwa ppubblikat fil-paġna tal-metodoloġija.
Inferit · kunfidenza għoljaMhux irrappurtat. Inferit minn mill-inqas żewġ rekords fiżiċi indipendenti.
Inferit · kunfidenza medjaMhux irrappurtat. Inferit minn evidenza indiretta qawwija, mingħajr konferma espliċita.
Inferit · kunfidenza baxxaMhux irrappurtat. Plawżibbli biss minn data dwar l-infrastruttura jew il-movimenti. Taqrahx bħala fatt.
Mhux magħrufL-ebda evidenza pubblika difendibbli ma tistabbilixxi dan. Ma nagħmlux suppożizzjonijiet, u dan mhuwiex kejl ta’ żero.

Europe Brent spot FOB

reported crude oil imports, all origins

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE

esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1

esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2

esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Mhux disponibbli: imblukkat mil-liċenzja

nol tat-tankers “dirty” mill-Golf Għarbi lejn il-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

L-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”: huwa tassew ir-raġuni?

X’għamel il-prezz fil-pompa madwar din id-data

Attwali kontra ż-żejt mhux maħdum biss: il-Ġermanja, petrol (Euro-super 95)

X’jappoġġaw in-numri, sentenza b’sentenza

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