Avvenimenti / Bidla fit-taxxa

Il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022

Dati: 01/06/2022 → 31/08/2022
Preċiżjoni tad-data: jum
Status: Intemm
Ambitu: Il-Ġermanja

X’qalu s-sorsi (bl-Ingliż)

Energiesteuersenkungsgesetz (Gesetz zur Aenderung des Energiesteuerrechts zur temporaeren Absenkung der Energiesteuer fuer Kraftstoffe) of 24 May 2022, BGBl. I 2022 p. 810. The Bundestag record of 19 May 2022 states the reduction ran from 1 June to 31 August 2022 and cut the energy-tax rate by 29.55 ct/litre on Benzin and by 14.04 ct/litre on Dieselkraftstoff. The same change is present in the primary tax series this project already holds: the tax rates taken from the European Commission Weekly Oil Bulletin duties and taxes file record German excise on Euro-super 95 petrol at 0.6545 EUR/litre before, 0.3590 EUR/litre effective 2022-06-01 and 0.6545 EUR/litre again effective 2022-08-31, and on diesel at 0.4704, then 0.3300, then 0.4704 EUR/litre on the same dates. The two records agree to the cent. This row is a timeline marker only; it makes no statement about how the change reached pump prices.

L-AIE, l-EIA, il-Kummissjoni Ewropea, il-Kunsill Ewropew u leġiżlaturi nazzjonali (iċċitati għal kull ringiela)Uffiċjali

Miġbur 25/09/2026 14:07 UTCReviżjoni 2

Dokumenti tas-sors (3)

PajjiżIl-Ġermanja Franza In-Netherlands Il-Polonja Il-Finlandja L-Estonja L-Awstrija Il-Belġju Il-Bulgarija Il-Kroazja Ċipru Iċ-Ċekja Id-Danimarka Il-Greċja L-Ungerija L-Irlanda L-Italja Il-Latvja Il-Litwanja Il-Lussemburgu Malta Il-Portugall Ir-Rumanija Is-Slovakkja Is-Slovenja Spanja L-Iżvezja

KarburantDiżil (żejt tal-gass għall-vetturi)Petrol (Euro-super 95)Iż-żewġ karburanti

Jekk tagħżel karburant, jinżammu s-serje ta’ dak il-karburant u l-kanali komuni għall-karburanti kollha – il-prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdum, ir-rata tal-kambju, l-importazzjonijiet taż-żejt mhux maħdum u l-esponiment għal Hormuz. Jitneħħew biss is-serje tal-karburant l-ieħor.

It-tieqa tal-avveniment

Kemm kienet tiswa kull serje fil-jiem madwar id-data tal-avveniment (minn -30 sa 90), kemm dan hu ’l bogħod mil-livell tal-istess serje fid-data tal-avveniment, u kemm hu kbir dak iċ-ċaqliq meta mqabbel mal-varjazzjoni normali tas-serje stess.

Il-Polonja, il-karburanti kollha f’dan il-kalkolu. Serje li jistgħu jitpinġew: 22; serje li ma jistgħu jidhru bl-ebda mod, murija hawn taħt bħala pannelli vojta b’tikketta: 7.

Qari ppubblikat: 260; punti tat-tieqa mingħajr xejn ippubblikat fi żmien perjodu wieħed: 26; punti tat-tieqa fuq serje li ma nistgħu naraw xejn minnhom: 91. Kollha jidhru f’din il-paġna.

Europe Brent spot FOB

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatUffiċjali

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Europe Brent spot FOB): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-04-29	108.4	-13.840	-11.33%	-2.53
−14	2022-05-18	110.0	-12.160	-9.95%	-2.22
−7	2022-05-25	116.4	-5.790	-4.74%	-1.06
−3	2022-05-27	121.2	-1.010	-0.83%	-0.18
−1	2022-05-31	125.5	+3.330	+2.73%	+0.61
T0	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	122.2	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	122.2	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-06-03	125.7	+3.480	+2.85%	+0.64
+7	2022-06-08	129.2	+7.000	+5.73%	+1.28
+14	2022-06-15	125.0	+2.760	+2.26%	+0.50
+30	2022-07-01	119.2	-2.990	-2.45%	-0.55
+60	2022-07-29	111.5	-10.690	-8.75%	-1.95
+90	2022-08-30	99.34	-22.860	-18.71%	-4.18

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 4.48%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 764). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

reported crude oil imports, all origins

Unità: tIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali

Tabella tat-tieqa (reported crude oil imports, all origins): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-01	2,394,852	+350,210	+17.13%	+0.89
−14	2022-05-01	2,394,852	+350,210	+17.13%	+0.89
−7	2022-05-01	2,394,852	+350,210	+17.13%	+0.89
−3	2022-05-01	2,394,852	+350,210	+17.13%	+0.89
−1	2022-05-01	2,394,852	+350,210	+17.13%	+0.89
T0	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	2,044,642	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	2,044,642	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	2,044,642	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	2,044,642	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+14	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	2,044,642	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+30	2022-07-01	2,249,113	+204,471	+10.00%	+0.52
+60	2022-07-01	2,249,113	+204,471	+10.00%	+0.52
+90	2022-08-01	1,940,006	-104,636	-5.12%	-0.27

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 19.25%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 36). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-02	1.001	-0.118	-10.51%	-0.43
−14	2022-05-16	1.049	-0.069	-6.21%	-0.25
−7	2022-05-23	1.089	-0.029	-2.61%	-0.11
−3	2022-05-23	1.089	-0.029	-2.61%	-0.11
−1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.118	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.118	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.118	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.118	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-06-06	1.165	+0.046	+4.15%	+0.17
+14	2022-06-13	1.191	+0.073	+6.49%	+0.27
+30	2022-06-27	1.171	+0.053	+4.74%	+0.19
+60	2022-07-25	1.198	+0.080	+7.15%	+0.29
+90	2022-08-29	1.186	+0.067	+6.01%	+0.25

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 24.45%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-02	1.080	-0.089	-7.61%	-0.23
−14	2022-05-16	1.120	-0.049	-4.16%	-0.12
−7	2022-05-23	1.139	-0.030	-2.56%	-0.08
−3	2022-05-23	1.139	-0.030	-2.56%	-0.08
−1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.169	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.169	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.169	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.169	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-06-06	1.195	+0.026	+2.25%	+0.07
+14	2022-06-13	1.216	+0.047	+4.05%	+0.12
+30	2022-06-27	1.228	+0.059	+5.01%	+0.15
+60	2022-07-25	1.264	+0.095	+8.11%	+0.24
+90	2022-08-29	1.294	+0.125	+10.72%	+0.32

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 33.46%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE

Unità: USD għal kull EURIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatUffiċjali

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-02	1.052	-0.019	-1.76%	-4.20
−14	2022-05-18	1.052	-0.019	-1.76%	-4.23
−7	2022-05-25	1.066	-0.006	-0.52%	-1.25
−3	2022-05-27	1.072	+0.001	+0.09%	+0.22
−1	2022-05-31	1.071	+0.000	+0.01%	+0.02
T0	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.071	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-06-02	1.069	-0.002	-0.19%	-0.45
+3	2022-06-03	1.073	+0.002	+0.17%	+0.40
+7	2022-06-08	1.074	+0.003	+0.25%	+0.60
+14	2022-06-15	1.043	-0.028	-2.62%	-6.28
+30	2022-07-01	1.043	-0.029	-2.68%	-6.42
+60	2022-07-29	1.020	-0.051	-4.80%	-11.50
+90	2022-08-30	1.003	-0.068	-6.33%	-15.16

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 0.42%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 770). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1

Unità: % tat-tunnellati importatiIppubblikat: kull xaharMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-01	0–35.00	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−14	2022-05-01	0–35.00	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−7	2022-05-01	0–35.00	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−3	2022-05-01	0–35.00	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−1	2022-05-01	0–35.00	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
T0	2022-06-01	0–28.85	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+1	2022-06-01	0–28.85	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+3	2022-06-01	0–28.85	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+7	2022-06-01	0–28.85	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+14	2022-06-01	0–28.85	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+30	2022-07-01	0–26.02	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+60	2022-07-01	0–26.02	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+90	2022-08-01	0–17.37	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2

Unità: % tat-tunnellati importatiIppubblikat: kull xaharMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-01	0–6.522	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−14	2022-05-01	0–6.522	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−7	2022-05-01	0–6.522	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−3	2022-05-01	0–6.522	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−1	2022-05-01	0–6.522	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
T0	2022-06-01	0–7.438	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+1	2022-06-01	0–7.438	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+3	2022-06-01	0–7.438	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+7	2022-06-01	0–7.438	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+14	2022-06-01	0–7.438	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+30	2022-07-01	0–1.772	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+60	2022-07-01	0–1.772	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+90	2022-08-01	0–4.209	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma

Unità: kopertura (jiem)Ippubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-01	96.00	+1.000	+1.05%	+0.53
−14	2022-05-01	96.00	+1.000	+1.05%	+0.53
−7	2022-05-01	96.00	+1.000	+1.05%	+0.53
−3	2022-05-01	96.00	+1.000	+1.05%	+0.53
−1	2022-05-01	96.00	+1.000	+1.05%	+0.53
T0	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	95.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	95.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	95.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	95.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+14	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	95.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+30	2022-07-01	94.00	-1.000	-1.05%	-0.53
+60	2022-07-01	94.00	-1.000	-1.05%	-0.53
+90	2022-08-01	93.00	-2.000	-2.11%	-1.07

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.97%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 36). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-02	0.6576	-0.070	-9.62%	-1.20
−14	2022-05-16	0.6754	-0.052	-7.17%	-0.90
−7	2022-05-23	0.6922	-0.035	-4.85%	-0.61
−3	2022-05-23	0.6922	-0.035	-4.85%	-0.61
−1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7275	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7275	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7275	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7275	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-06-06	0.7496	+0.022	+3.04%	+0.38
+14	2022-06-13	0.7533	+0.026	+3.54%	+0.44
+30	2022-06-27	0.7214	-0.006	-0.84%	-0.11
+60	2022-07-25	0.6761	-0.051	-7.07%	-0.88
+90	2022-08-29	0.5990	-0.129	-17.67%	-2.21

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 8.00%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-02	0.6576	-0.070	-9.62%	-1.20
−14	2022-05-16	0.6754	-0.052	-7.17%	-0.90
−7	2022-05-23	0.6922	-0.035	-4.85%	-0.61
−3	2022-05-23	0.6922	-0.035	-4.85%	-0.61
−1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7275	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7275	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7275	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7275	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-06-06	0.7496	+0.022	+3.04%	+0.38
+14	2022-06-13	0.7533	+0.026	+3.54%	+0.44
+30	2022-06-27	0.7214	-0.006	-0.84%	-0.11
+60	2022-07-25	0.6761	-0.051	-7.07%	-0.88
+90	2022-08-29	0.5990	-0.129	-17.67%	-2.21

stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom

Unità: tIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali

Tabella tat-tieqa (stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-01	10,842,052	+262,675	+2.48%	+0.96
−14	2022-05-01	10,842,052	+262,675	+2.48%	+0.96
−7	2022-05-01	10,842,052	+262,675	+2.48%	+0.96
−3	2022-05-01	10,842,052	+262,675	+2.48%	+0.96
−1	2022-05-01	10,842,052	+262,675	+2.48%	+0.96
T0	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	10,579,377	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	10,579,377	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	10,579,377	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	10,579,377	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+14	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	10,579,377	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+30	2022-07-01	10,534,523	-44,854	-0.42%	-0.16
+60	2022-07-01	10,534,523	-44,854	-0.42%	-0.16
+90	2022-08-01	10,059,096	-520,281	-4.92%	-1.90

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 2.59%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 36). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-02	0.1610	+0.161	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−14	2022-05-16	0.0850	+0.085	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−7	2022-05-23	0.0383	+0.038	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−3	2022-05-23	0.0383	+0.038	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
T0	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+3	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+7	2022-06-06	0.0303	+0.030	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+14	2022-06-13	0.0368	+0.037	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+30	2022-06-27	0.0772	+0.077	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+60	2022-07-25	-0.0175	-0.017	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+90	2022-08-29	-0.0040	-0.004	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-02	-0.0993	-0.099	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−14	2022-05-16	-0.0338	-0.034	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−7	2022-05-23	-0.0130	-0.013	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−3	2022-05-23	-0.0130	-0.013	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
T0	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+3	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+7	2022-06-06	0.0610	+0.061	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+14	2022-06-13	0.0239	+0.024	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+30	2022-06-27	-0.0226	-0.023	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+60	2022-07-25	-0.1662	-0.166	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+90	2022-08-29	-0.3443	-0.344	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-02	1.587	+0.040	+2.57%	+0.98
−14	2022-05-16	1.559	+0.011	+0.70%	+0.27
−7	2022-05-23	1.555	+0.007	+0.47%	+0.18
−3	2022-05-23	1.555	+0.007	+0.47%	+0.18
−1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.548	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.548	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.548	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.548	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-06-06	1.631	+0.083	+5.38%	+2.06
+14	2022-06-13	1.662	+0.114	+7.39%	+2.83
+30	2022-06-27	1.680	+0.132	+8.56%	+3.28
+60	2022-07-25	1.606	+0.059	+3.79%	+1.45
+90	2022-08-29	1.605	+0.057	+3.68%	+1.41

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 2.61%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-02	1.423	-0.211	-12.93%	-6.04
−14	2022-05-16	1.539	-0.096	-5.85%	-2.73
−7	2022-05-23	1.585	-0.049	-3.01%	-1.41
−3	2022-05-23	1.585	-0.049	-3.01%	-1.41
−1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.634	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.634	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.634	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.634	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-06-06	1.729	+0.095	+5.80%	+2.71
+14	2022-06-13	1.707	+0.073	+4.46%	+2.08
+30	2022-06-27	1.664	+0.030	+1.83%	+0.85
+60	2022-07-25	1.547	-0.087	-5.31%	-2.48
+90	2022-08-29	1.385	-0.249	-15.24%	-7.11

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 2.14%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-02	1.162	+0.043	+3.88%	+1.17
−14	2022-05-16	1.134	+0.016	+1.40%	+0.42
−7	2022-05-23	1.128	+0.009	+0.82%	+0.25
−3	2022-05-23	1.128	+0.009	+0.82%	+0.25
−1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.118	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.118	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.118	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.118	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-06-06	1.195	+0.077	+6.86%	+2.07
+14	2022-06-13	1.228	+0.109	+9.78%	+2.95
+30	2022-06-27	1.249	+0.130	+11.64%	+3.51
+60	2022-07-25	1.181	+0.063	+5.59%	+1.69
+90	2022-08-29	1.182	+0.063	+5.66%	+1.71

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 3.32%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-02	0.9807	-0.188	-16.11%	-5.73
−14	2022-05-16	1.087	-0.082	-7.05%	-2.51
−7	2022-05-23	1.126	-0.043	-3.67%	-1.30
−3	2022-05-23	1.126	-0.043	-3.67%	-1.30
−1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.169	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.169	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.169	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.169	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-06-06	1.256	+0.087	+7.47%	+2.66
+14	2022-06-13	1.240	+0.071	+6.10%	+2.17
+30	2022-06-27	1.205	+0.036	+3.08%	+1.09
+60	2022-07-25	1.098	-0.071	-6.11%	-2.17
+90	2022-08-29	0.9500	-0.219	-18.73%	-6.66

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 2.81%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-02	0.4255	-0.004	-0.87%	-0.33
−14	2022-05-16	0.4245	-0.005	-1.10%	-0.42
−7	2022-05-23	0.4273	-0.002	-0.44%	-0.17
−3	2022-05-23	0.4273	-0.002	-0.44%	-0.17
−1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.4292	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.4292	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.4292	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.4292	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-06-06	0.4357	+0.006	+1.51%	+0.58
+14	2022-06-13	0.4342	+0.005	+1.16%	+0.44
+30	2022-06-27	0.4314	+0.002	+0.51%	+0.20
+60	2022-07-25	0.4254	-0.004	-0.89%	-0.34
+90	2022-08-29	0.4229	-0.006	-1.48%	-0.57

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-02	0.4423	-0.023	-4.94%	-1.98
−14	2022-05-16	0.4521	-0.013	-2.82%	-1.13
−7	2022-05-23	0.4589	-0.006	-1.35%	-0.54
−3	2022-05-23	0.4589	-0.006	-1.35%	-0.54
−1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.4652	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.4652	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.4652	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.4652	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-06-06	0.4726	+0.007	+1.58%	+0.63
+14	2022-06-13	0.4668	+0.002	+0.33%	+0.13
+30	2022-06-27	0.4591	-0.006	-1.31%	-0.53
+60	2022-07-25	0.4498	-0.015	-3.31%	-1.33
+90	2022-08-29	0.4352	-0.030	-6.45%	-2.59

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 2.50%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-04-29	85.85	+30.052	+53.86%	+5.76
−14	2022-05-18	74.63	+18.838	+33.76%	+3.61
−7	2022-05-25	54.28	-1.518	-2.72%	-0.29
−3	2022-05-27	47.73	-8.062	-14.45%	-1.55
−1	2022-05-31	42.22	-13.578	-24.34%	-2.60
T0	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	55.80	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	55.80	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-06-03	60.04	+4.248	+7.61%	+0.81
+7	2022-06-08	55.39	-0.406	-0.73%	-0.08
+14	2022-06-15	67.36	+11.562	+20.72%	+2.22
+30	2022-07-01	49.88	-5.914	-10.60%	-1.13
+60	2022-07-29	39.98	-15.812	-28.34%	-3.03
+90	2022-08-30	60.97	+5.178	+9.28%	+0.99

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 9.34%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 747). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-04-29	35.83	-21.818	-37.85%	-0.21
−14	2022-05-18	48.89	-8.756	-15.19%	-0.08
−7	2022-05-25	47.31	-10.338	-17.93%	-0.10
−3	2022-05-27	51.09	-6.550	-11.36%	-0.06
−1	2022-05-31	47.09	-10.554	-18.31%	-0.10
T0	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	57.64	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	57.64	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-06-03	63.70	+6.054	+10.50%	+0.06
+7	2022-06-08	54.93	-2.716	-4.71%	-0.03
+14	2022-06-15	40.73	-16.914	-29.34%	-0.16
+30	2022-07-01	40.89	-16.750	-29.06%	-0.16
+60	2022-07-29	30.91	-26.732	-46.37%	-0.26
+90	2022-08-30	14.86	-42.786	-74.22%	-0.41

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 181.24%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 747). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-04-29	81.86	+38.872	+90.43%	+0.52
−14	2022-05-18	35.78	-7.202	-16.75%	-0.10
−7	2022-05-25	40.71	-2.274	-5.29%	-0.03
−3	2022-05-27	40.59	-2.392	-5.56%	-0.03
−1	2022-05-31	34.70	-8.286	-19.28%	-0.11
T0	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	42.99	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	42.99	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-06-03	46.69	+3.702	+8.61%	+0.05
+7	2022-06-08	42.16	-0.826	-1.92%	-0.01
+14	2022-06-15	56.44	+13.452	+31.29%	+0.18
+30	2022-07-01	39.51	-3.478	-8.09%	-0.05
+60	2022-07-29	31.37	-11.612	-27.01%	-0.15
+90	2022-08-30	49.63	+6.648	+15.47%	+0.09

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 175.17%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 747). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Mhux disponibbli: imblukkat mil-liċenzja

Jeżisti sors, iżda l-liċenzja tiegħu ma tippermettilniex nippubblikawh mill-ġdid. Dawn il-kanali mhumiex neqsin mid-dinja, iżda biss minn din il-paġna.

nol tat-tankers “dirty” mill-Golf Għarbi lejn il-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

In-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers (ringiela 17: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

Il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

M’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

T0: 01/06/2022. Tieqa ta’ referenza: jiem -90 sa -31. Punti tat-tieqa kkalkulati: -30, -14, -7, -3, -1, 0, 1, 3, 7, 14, 30, 60, 90. Metodu: 1.0, kalkolu: event_study-1.0, ikkalkulat: 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC.

L-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”: huwa tassew ir-raġuni?

Il-mistoqsija tinqasam f’dimensjonijiet li jitkejlu separatament u qatt ma jingħaddu f’numru wieħed. Kull ringiela tgħid jekk nistgħux naraw dik id-dimensjoni, u tagħti ċifra ppubblikata waħda fejn nistgħu.

Mit-tmien kanali ta’ trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet li jirrapporta dan is-sit, kanali b’data f’dan il-kalkolu: 4 Ikkalkulat – għadd tar-ringieli ta’ hawn taħt, mhux kejl.

Metodoloġija §11.1 tippubblika l-limiti li jużaw is-sentenzi ta’ hawn taħt: it-tmien kanali kollha preżenti għall-paragun sħiħ, mill-inqas tlieta biex l-istqarrija tkun tista’ tiġi ttestjata hawn, u 2.0 unitajiet ta’ volatilità biex ċaqliq jiġi deskritt bħala barra mill-varjazzjoni normali ta’ serje. Dawn huma għażliet ta’ kliem ippubblikati, mhux testijiet statistiċi.

Dimensjonijiet tal-esponiment għall-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, kull waħda bl-istatus tagħha u ċifra ppubblikata waħda.
Dimensjoni	Status	Ċifra ppubblikata, jew għaliex m’hemmx
Esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum (D1)Sehem miż-żejt mhux maħdum importat li r-rotta tiegħu teħtieġ l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz.	Firxa biss	0–26.02 % tat-tunnellati importati punt tat-tieqa +30 d (2022-07) · l-ebda punt tan-nofs
Esponiment dirett tal-prodotti (D2)Sehem mill-prodotti raffinati importati li r-rotta tagħhom teħtieġ l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz.	Firxa biss	0–1.772 % tat-tunnellati importati punt tat-tieqa +30 d (2022-07) · l-ebda punt tan-nofs
Kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza (D7)Il-jiem ta’ kopertura li jammontaw għalihom il-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati. Riżerva kontra interruzzjoni tal-provvista, mhux sehem mill-importazzjonijiet, u mhux kanal tal-prezz.	Osservat	94.00 kopertura (jiem) punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-07-01)-1.05% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -0.53 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdumIl-prezz kwotat taż-żejt mhux maħdum li fuqu jiġu pprezzati t-tagħbijiet Ewropej.	Osservat	119.2 $ għal kull barmil punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-07-01)-2.45% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -0.55 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinatiIl-prezz kwotat tal-prodotti li fuqu jipprezzaw ir-raffineriji u l-bejjiegħa bl-ingrossa.	Mhux disponibbli	Il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.
Marġni tar-raffinarKemm qala’ r-raffinar ta’ barmil f’dan il-prodott.	Mhux disponibbli	M’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.
NoliKemm swiet il-ġarr tal-merkanzija bil-baħar.	Mhux disponibbli	In-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers (ringiela 17: BLOCKED).
StokkijietL-istokkijiet miżmuma, li jassorbu jew ikabbru bidla fil-provvista.	Osservat	10,534,523 t punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-07-01)-0.42% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -0.16 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezzijiet bl-ingrossaIl-prezz bejn il-bieb tar-raffinerija u l-pompa tal-petrol.	Mhux disponibbli	Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).
Prezz fil-pompa mingħajr taxxiIl-prezz fil-pompa mingħajr id-dazju tas-sisa, il-VAT u taxxi oħra fuq il-karburant.	Osservat	1.249 € għal kull litru punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-06-27)+11.64% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +3.51 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz fil-pompa bit-taxxiDak li fil-fatt ħallas sewwieq.	Osservat	1.680 € għal kull litru punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-06-27)+8.56% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +3.28 unitajiet ta’ volatilità

L-esponiment fiżiku (l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz) u l-esponiment tal-prezz huma mistoqsijiet differenti. Pajjiż kważi mingħajr esponiment fiżiku dirett xorta jista’ jara l-prezz fil-pompa tiegħu jiċċaqlaq: iż-żejt mhux maħdum jiġi pprezzat fuq livell globali – u serje li ċċaqilqet f’din it-tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.

X’għamel il-prezz fil-pompa madwar din id-data

Il-paġna tal-qsim tal-prezz tista’ tiġi ffissata fuq il-ġimgħat madwar id-data tal-avveniment, biex iċ-ċaqliq fil-pompa jinqasam fit-taxxa, fl-ispiża tal-input u fil-parti li l-ispiża tal-input ma tkoprix.

Qsim tal-prezz (25/05/2022 – 01/07/2022) →

It-tieqa hija madwar id-data ppubblikata tal-avveniment (jiem qabel: 7; jiem wara: 30). Hija tieqa biex wieħed iħares, mhux dikjarazzjoni li l-avveniment kien fl-oriġini ta’ dak li fiha.

Attwali kontra ż-żejt mhux maħdum biss: il-Polonja, petrol (Euro-super 95)

X’għamel il-prezz mingħajr taxxi minn erba’ ġimgħat qabel sa tlettax-il ġimgħa wara l-ġimgħa tal-avveniment, ħdejn dak li kien jagħmel li kieku segwa biss l-ispiża tal-input taż-żejt mhux maħdum bil-pass li tkejjel l-istima maħżuna tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet. Id-differenza mdella mhix spjegata miż-żejt mhux maħdum; mhix attribwita lill-avveniment jew lil xi ħaġa oħra. L-ebda karburant mhu magħżul: jintwera l-petrol.

Bidla attwali mingħajr taxxi(prezzijiet uffiċjali)
X’kien jagħmel iż-żejt mhux maħdum waħdu(ikkalkulat, bil-firxa)
Imdellel: mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum(mhux attribwit lil ebda kawża)

Il-bidliet jitkejlu minn din il-ġimgħa tal-bullettin: 2022-05-30. Ir-reazzjoni għaż-żejt mhux maħdum hija meħuda mill-istima maħżuna tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet (tieqa: l-aktar tieqa riċenti ta’ tliet snin (2023-09-25 – 2026-09-14)). Il-faxxa ċara hija firxa konservattiva, mhux intervall ta’ 90%. Iż-żona mdella: mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum. Il-marġnijiet tar-raffinar, in-noli, il-marġnijiet tal-bejgħ bl-imnut u l-iżball tal-mudell huma kollha ġo fiha, u l-ebda wieħed minnhom ma jissemma bħala l-kawża tagħha.

Fil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, il-Polonja) b’+5.9 c/l (firxa +3.0–+8.8); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’+3.6 c/l, u jibqa’ -2.3 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.
Fil-perjodu ta’ 13-il ġimgħa wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, il-Polonja) b’+12.5 c/l (firxa +2.5–+22.6); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’-21.9 c/l, u jibqa’ -34.4 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.

X’jappoġġaw in-numri, sentenza b’sentenza

Kull sentenza ġejja minn mudell fiss, magħżul skont limiti ppubblikati. Iftaħ “Għaliex din is-sentenza” biex tara n-numri li għażluha. L-ebda parti minn dan it-test mhi miktuba minn mudell lingwistiku, u l-ebda parti minnu ma tattribwixxi kawża.

Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, il-Polonja) inbidel b’+7.5%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.7 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.25637
status
OBSERVED
country
Poland
z_score
7.994734559418676
t0_value
1.16902
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
7.47207062325709
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_PL_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
2.655995925231611
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.08735000000000004
change_pct_from_t0
7.47207062325709
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
2.8132839181993483
change_in_volatility_units
2.655995925231611
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.25637
status
OBSERVED
country
Poland
z_score
7.994734559418676
t0_value
1.16902
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
7.47207062325709
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_PL_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
2.655995925231611
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.08735000000000004
change_pct_from_t0
7.47207062325709
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
2.8132839181993483
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
2.655995925231611
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 427049f0205b8ba4b28ddc1a76baa26fed38186722c69733bad4b5f865219b26 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, il-Polonja) inbidel b’+3.1%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.1 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.205
status
OBSERVED
country
Poland
z_score
6.604707288958002
t0_value
1.16902
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
3.077791654548265
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_PL_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.0940209890078267
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.03598000000000012
change_pct_from_t0
3.077791654548265
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
2.8132839181993483
change_in_volatility_units
1.0940209890078267
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.205
status
OBSERVED
country
Poland
z_score
6.604707288958002
t0_value
1.16902
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
3.077791654548265
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_PL_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.0940209890078267
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.03598000000000012
change_pct_from_t0
3.077791654548265
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
2.8132839181993483
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
1.0940209890078267
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 083431324c1a78040398b278c271f2324d210a81740058dc257a7656a79f30f2 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, il-Polonja) inbidel b’-18.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’6.7 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.95004
status
OBSERVED
country
Poland
z_score
-0.2942873163885861
t0_value
1.16902
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-18.73192930830952
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_PL_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-6.658385663505642
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.21897999999999995
change_pct_from_t0
-18.73192930830952
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
2.8132839181993483
change_in_volatility_units
-6.658385663505642
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.95004
status
OBSERVED
country
Poland
z_score
-0.2942873163885861
t0_value
1.16902
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-18.73192930830952
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_PL_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-6.658385663505642
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.21897999999999995
change_pct_from_t0
-18.73192930830952
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
2.8132839181993483
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-6.658385663505642
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità dbef68e1f2bfc848ba27f38e6f3f829f7540bd22b57836fe3012bcb4dc73f158 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, il-Polonja) inbidel b’+5.8%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.7 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.72895
status
OBSERVED
country
Poland
z_score
7.309626544248142
t0_value
1.6342400000000001
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
5.795354415508117
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_PL_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
2.706030401182875
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.09470999999999985
change_pct_from_t0
5.795354415508117
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
2.1416442376164064
change_in_volatility_units
2.706030401182875
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.72895
status
OBSERVED
country
Poland
z_score
7.309626544248142
t0_value
1.6342400000000001
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
5.795354415508117
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_PL_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
2.706030401182875
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.09470999999999985
change_pct_from_t0
5.795354415508117
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
2.1416442376164064
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
2.706030401182875
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 39e9d865d1b4ff62b135f55b60102c2bf7e4d43541bfca5546253521ad03a74c · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, il-Polonja) inbidel b’+1.8%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.9 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.66411
status
OBSERVED
country
Poland
z_score
5.871577887112998
t0_value
1.6342400000000001
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
1.8277609163892599
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_PL_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.8534381594692448
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.02986999999999984
change_pct_from_t0
1.8277609163892599
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
2.1416442376164064
change_in_volatility_units
0.8534381594692448
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.66411
status
OBSERVED
country
Poland
z_score
5.871577887112998
t0_value
1.6342400000000001
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
1.8277609163892599
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_PL_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.8534381594692448
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.02986999999999984
change_pct_from_t0
1.8277609163892599
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
2.1416442376164064
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
0.8534381594692448
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 97138cfddd8023aeace38b6bda6fadd7871b5dfdcccce68775399a777b8c920d · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, il-Polonja) inbidel b’-15.2%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’7.1 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.38524
status
OBSERVED
country
Poland
z_score
-0.31331768684254335
t0_value
1.6342400000000001
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-15.236440180144905
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_PL_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-7.11436564137406
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.2490000000000001
change_pct_from_t0
-15.236440180144905
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
2.1416442376164064
change_in_volatility_units
-7.11436564137406
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.38524
status
OBSERVED
country
Poland
z_score
-0.31331768684254335
t0_value
1.6342400000000001
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-15.236440180144905
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_PL_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-7.11436564137406
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.2490000000000001
change_pct_from_t0
-15.236440180144905
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
2.1416442376164064
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-7.11436564137406
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità fe9dbd09db92e143d56d454d6118aba87e56de6beec10cd0ac7dd6693a2c59ae · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz tal-komponent tat-taxxa (petrol, il-Polonja) inbidel b’+1.6%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.6 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.47258
status
OBSERVED
country
Poland
z_score
3.354953014247134
t0_value
0.4652200000000001
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
1.5820472034736084
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
7
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_PL_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.6339067329389686
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.007359999999999922
change_pct_from_t0
1.5820472034736084
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
2.4957097334158225
change_in_volatility_units
0.6339067329389686
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.47258
status
OBSERVED
country
Poland
z_score
3.354953014247134
t0_value
0.4652200000000001
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
1.5820472034736084
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_PL_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.6339067329389686
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.007359999999999922
change_pct_from_t0
1.5820472034736084
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
2.4957097334158225
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
0.6339067329389686
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 4ea4f8fe06ad30efb0c182ed63f367312a3bc834f92dba3da96f627c8904655c · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz tal-komponent tat-taxxa (petrol, il-Polonja) inbidel b’-1.3%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.5 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.45911
status
OBSERVED
country
Poland
z_score
2.030806845501374
t0_value
0.4652200000000001
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-1.3133571213619488
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
30
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_PL_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-0.526245942697986
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.00611000000000006
change_pct_from_t0
-1.3133571213619488
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
2.4957097334158225
change_in_volatility_units
-0.526245942697986
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.45911
status
OBSERVED
country
Poland
z_score
2.030806845501374
t0_value
0.4652200000000001
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-1.3133571213619488
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_PL_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-0.526245942697986
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.00611000000000006
change_pct_from_t0
-1.3133571213619488
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
2.4957097334158225
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-0.526245942697986
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 77bff0910e15cf88b392e4f19bdcf2ef0ddbf29020a0813d0e30670a0dcc922c · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz tal-komponent tat-taxxa (petrol, il-Polonja) inbidel b’-6.5%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.6 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.4352
status
OBSERVED
country
Poland
z_score
-0.31962633153732173
t0_value
0.4652200000000001
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-6.452861011994346
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
90
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_PL_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-2.5855815384277316
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.030020000000000102
change_pct_from_t0
-6.452861011994346
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
2.4957097334158225
change_in_volatility_units
-2.5855815384277316
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.4352
status
OBSERVED
country
Poland
z_score
-0.31962633153732173
t0_value
0.4652200000000001
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-6.452861011994346
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_PL_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-2.5855815384277316
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.030020000000000102
change_pct_from_t0
-6.452861011994346
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
2.4957097334158225
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-2.5855815384277316
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità f518c67367833003f5816a52c1f4fe7cfa63f77344dd599ce5e77adb9980df3a · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, il-Polonja) inbidel b’+6.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.1 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.19513
status
OBSERVED
country
Poland
z_score
0.8152428705026381
t0_value
1.11843
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
6.857827490321252
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_PL_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
2.0683995735776923
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.07669999999999999
change_pct_from_t0
6.857827490321252
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
3.3155235467677695
change_in_volatility_units
2.0683995735776923
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.19513
status
OBSERVED
country
Poland
z_score
0.8152428705026381
t0_value
1.11843
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
6.857827490321252
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_PL_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
2.0683995735776923
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.07669999999999999
change_pct_from_t0
6.857827490321252
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
3.3155235467677695
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
2.0683995735776923
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità c80ca77a45e3b02668de6888089cb12487f616c7f2ea1385c9b4547b7ad352d9 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, il-Polonja) inbidel b’+11.6%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’3.5 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.24866
status
OBSERVED
country
Poland
z_score
1.5826254468843797
t0_value
1.11843
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
11.64400096563934
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_PL_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
3.5119644910954766
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.13023000000000007
change_pct_from_t0
11.64400096563934
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
3.3155235467677695
change_in_volatility_units
3.5119644910954766
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.24866
status
OBSERVED
country
Poland
z_score
1.5826254468843797
t0_value
1.11843
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
11.64400096563934
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_PL_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
3.5119644910954766
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.13023000000000007
change_pct_from_t0
11.64400096563934
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
3.3155235467677695
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
3.5119644910954766
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità a9f35bcf3aa20c9ba3c12290ac101fcf914c4546d9f21d4f3a69e894c2ccc2f3 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, il-Polonja) inbidel b’+5.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.7 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.18168
status
OBSERVED
country
Poland
z_score
0.6224295760446823
t0_value
1.11843
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
5.6552488756560555
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_PL_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.7056880447038998
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.06325000000000003
change_pct_from_t0
5.6552488756560555
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
3.3155235467677695
change_in_volatility_units
1.7056880447038998
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.18168
status
OBSERVED
country
Poland
z_score
0.6224295760446823
t0_value
1.11843
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
5.6552488756560555
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_PL_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.7056880447038998
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.06325000000000003
change_pct_from_t0
5.6552488756560555
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
3.3155235467677695
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
1.7056880447038998
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 8303deec154da7a6879eb48081303f1747dc9893c6f74e6a305ed02f86ce9865 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, il-Polonja) inbidel b’+5.4%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.1 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.63085
status
OBSERVED
country
Poland
z_score
0.8868699621311442
t0_value
1.5476500000000002
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
5.375892482150338
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_PL_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
2.0625754858957412
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.08319999999999972
change_pct_from_t0
5.375892482150338
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
2.6063979325419355
change_in_volatility_units
2.0625754858957412
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.63085
status
OBSERVED
country
Poland
z_score
0.8868699621311442
t0_value
1.5476500000000002
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
5.375892482150338
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_PL_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
2.0625754858957412
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.08319999999999972
change_pct_from_t0
5.375892482150338
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
2.6063979325419355
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
2.0625754858957412
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 8bb9a8ae9acfc5ed619cb3a731d553c4d5bfbdef48949c5ce01d9a952dd3fbb0 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, il-Polonja) inbidel b’+8.6%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’3.3 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.6800899999999999
status
OBSERVED
country
Poland
z_score
1.5017721779446391
t0_value
1.5476500000000002
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
8.557490388653743
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_PL_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
3.2832631893273105
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.13243999999999967
change_pct_from_t0
8.557490388653743
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
2.6063979325419355
change_in_volatility_units
3.2832631893273105
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.6800899999999999
status
OBSERVED
country
Poland
z_score
1.5017721779446391
t0_value
1.5476500000000002
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
8.557490388653743
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_PL_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
3.2832631893273105
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.13243999999999967
change_pct_from_t0
8.557490388653743
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
2.6063979325419355
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
3.2832631893273105
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità b8fa6865338b82154f08030622e7db74f6ad7870b8f84dc2869ddbac1e01c4b6 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, il-Polonja) inbidel b’+3.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.4 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.60455
status
OBSERVED
country
Poland
z_score
0.5584392497855933
t0_value
1.5476500000000002
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
3.676541853778291
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_PL_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.4105834753301383
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.05689999999999973
change_pct_from_t0
3.676541853778291
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
2.6063979325419355
change_in_volatility_units
1.4105834753301383
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.60455
status
OBSERVED
country
Poland
z_score
0.5584392497855933
t0_value
1.5476500000000002
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
3.676541853778291
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_PL_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.4105834753301383
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.05689999999999973
change_pct_from_t0
3.676541853778291
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
2.6063979325419355
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
1.4105834753301383
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 89609d4adc0cb0242970a6d1ba15e219b42d9348d04668409111ed9ee32fd65d · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz tal-komponent tat-taxxa (diżil, il-Polonja) inbidel b’+1.5%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.6 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.43572
status
OBSERVED
country
Poland
z_score
1.2060139933165765
t0_value
0.4292200000000002
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
1.5143749126321655
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
7
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_PL_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.5810026645611985
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.006499999999999784
change_pct_from_t0
1.5143749126321655
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
2.606485314100745
change_in_volatility_units
0.5810026645611985
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.43572
status
OBSERVED
country
Poland
z_score
1.2060139933165765
t0_value
0.4292200000000002
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
1.5143749126321655
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_PL_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.5810026645611985
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.006499999999999784
change_pct_from_t0
1.5143749126321655
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
2.606485314100745
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
0.5810026645611985
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità d5b836d94b6d96b706ec72f6dccd16336dd8d519c08e9babcfdd401fbdf11760 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz tal-komponent tat-taxxa (diżil, il-Polonja) inbidel b’+0.5%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.2 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.4314299999999999
status
OBSERVED
country
Poland
z_score
0.840374415130838
t0_value
0.4292200000000002
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
0.5148874702948864
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
30
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_PL_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.19754090595078835
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.002209999999999712
change_pct_from_t0
0.5148874702948864
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
2.606485314100745
change_in_volatility_units
0.19754090595078835
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.4314299999999999
status
OBSERVED
country
Poland
z_score
0.840374415130838
t0_value
0.4292200000000002
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
0.5148874702948864
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_PL_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.19754090595078835
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.002209999999999712
change_pct_from_t0
0.5148874702948864
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
2.606485314100745
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
0.19754090595078835
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità a8be3f6a50953a3312dca3a41cbf8e6a2c8568f9e4246d61960f7930ac0750a9 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz tal-komponent tat-taxxa (diżil, il-Polonja) inbidel b’-1.5%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.6 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.42287
status
OBSERVED
country
Poland
z_score
0.11079987217749669
t0_value
0.4292200000000002
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
-1.479427799263824
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
90
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_PL_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-0.5675949107636682
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.006350000000000189
change_pct_from_t0
-1.479427799263824
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
2.606485314100745
change_in_volatility_units
-0.5675949107636682
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.42287
status
OBSERVED
country
Poland
z_score
0.11079987217749669
t0_value
0.4292200000000002
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
-1.479427799263824
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_PL_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-0.5675949107636682
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.006350000000000189
change_pct_from_t0
-1.479427799263824
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
2.606485314100745
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-0.5675949107636682
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità fc037bda3470373f284a040b938552a48381384f8d8a887a1fa32c77a23c2b8a · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, il-Polonja) b’+5.9 c/l (firxa +3.0–+8.8); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’+3.6 c/l, u jibqa’ -2.3 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
weeks
4
status
COMPUTED
country
Poland
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_PL_EURO_SUPER_95
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
offset_weeks
4
proxy_product
GASOLINE
proxy_to_date
2022-06-27
pass_through_k
2
proxy_from_date
2022-05-27
observation_date
2022-06-27
gap_eur_per_litre
-0.02261326928156234
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-05-30
actual_eur_per_litre
0.03598000000000012
expected_eur_per_litre
0.058593269281562464
proxy_volatility_units
-0.0631714707771465
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
-5.850000000000001
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
expected_low_eur_per_litre
0.029583599210064735
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.08760293935305932
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
181.24455741814873
Limiti
source
docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
proxy_rule
the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
confidence_cap
MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
statement_weeks
[4,13]
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
weeks
4
status
COMPUTED
country
Poland
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_PL_EURO_SUPER_95
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
offset_weeks
4
proxy_product
GASOLINE
proxy_to_date
2022-06-27
pass_through_k
2
proxy_from_date
2022-05-27
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-06-27
gap_eur_per_litre
-0.02261326928156234
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-05-30
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
actual_eur_per_litre
0.03598000000000012
expected_eur_per_litre
0.058593269281562464
proxy_volatility_units
-0.0631714707771465
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
-5.850000000000001
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
expected_low_eur_per_litre
0.029583599210064735
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.08760293935305932
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
181.24455741814873
Mudell event.crude_only.computed v1.2 · Marka tal-identità c305743896a2917c9d99c082be2443c8be29146e1c6dd4f29816b182455f6264 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 13-il ġimgħa wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, il-Polonja) b’+12.5 c/l (firxa +2.5–+22.6); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’-21.9 c/l, u jibqa’ -34.4 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
weeks
13
status
COMPUTED
country
Poland
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_PL_EURO_SUPER_95
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
offset_weeks
13
proxy_product
GASOLINE
proxy_to_date
2022-08-26
pass_through_k
2
proxy_from_date
2022-05-27
observation_date
2022-08-29
gap_eur_per_litre
-0.3443024011349482
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-05-30
actual_eur_per_litre
-0.21897999999999995
expected_eur_per_litre
0.12532240113494825
proxy_volatility_units
-0.3403268500876152
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
-31.516000000000002
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
expected_low_eur_per_litre
0.024589544335536905
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.22605525793435916
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
181.24455741814873
Limiti
source
docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
proxy_rule
the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
confidence_cap
MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
statement_weeks
[4,13]
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
weeks
13
status
COMPUTED
country
Poland
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_PL_EURO_SUPER_95
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
offset_weeks
13
proxy_product
GASOLINE
proxy_to_date
2022-08-26
pass_through_k
2
proxy_from_date
2022-05-27
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-08-29
gap_eur_per_litre
-0.3443024011349482
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-05-30
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
actual_eur_per_litre
-0.21897999999999995
expected_eur_per_litre
0.12532240113494825
proxy_volatility_units
-0.3403268500876152
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
-31.516000000000002
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
expected_low_eur_per_litre
0.024589544335536905
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.22605525793435916
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
181.24455741814873
Mudell event.crude_only.computed v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 40fca9911a2e6535f93a7aab55e4c230cd80364b894f1754013d9a90321f04b0 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, il-Polonja) b’+5.3 c/l (firxa -0.3–+10.9); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’+13.0 c/l, u jibqa’ +7.7 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum. Fl-istess perjodu, il-crack spread tal-Istati Uniti (diżil), indikatur tas-suq tal-prodotti tal-Atlantiku u mhux marġni Ewropew, kiber b’11.5 $/bbl.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
weeks
4
status
COMPUTED
country
Poland
fuel_type
DIESEL
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_PL_DIESEL
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
offset_weeks
4
proxy_product
DIESEL
proxy_to_date
2022-06-27
pass_through_k
1
proxy_from_date
2022-05-27
observation_date
2022-06-27
gap_eur_per_litre
0.07723215221250646
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-05-30
actual_eur_per_litre
0.13023000000000007
expected_eur_per_litre
0.052997847787493606
proxy_volatility_units
2.587160761067042
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
11.537999999999997
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
expected_low_eur_per_litre
-0.00275097078733981
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.10874666636232688
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
9.342848145796136
Limiti
source
docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
proxy_rule
the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
confidence_cap
MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
statement_weeks
[4,13]
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
weeks
4
status
COMPUTED
country
Poland
fuel_type
DIESEL
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_PL_DIESEL
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
offset_weeks
4
proxy_product
DIESEL
proxy_to_date
2022-06-27
pass_through_k
1
proxy_from_date
2022-05-27
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-06-27
gap_eur_per_litre
0.07723215221250646
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-05-30
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
actual_eur_per_litre
0.13023000000000007
expected_eur_per_litre
0.052997847787493606
proxy_volatility_units
2.587160761067042
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
11.537999999999997
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
expected_low_eur_per_litre
-0.00275097078733981
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.10874666636232688
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
9.342848145796136
Mudell event.crude_only.computed_with_proxy v1.2 · Marka tal-identità cf052def3935c42b331e7befa503153947d509def4c875aa6d76aa7306bf9ee2 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 13-il ġimgħa wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, il-Polonja) b’+6.7 c/l (firxa -9.2–+22.7); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’+6.3 c/l, u jibqa’ -0.4 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum. Fl-istess perjodu, il-crack spread tal-Istati Uniti (diżil), indikatur tas-suq tal-prodotti tal-Atlantiku u mhux marġni Ewropew, kiber b’19.3 $/bbl.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
weeks
13
status
COMPUTED
country
Poland
fuel_type
DIESEL
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_PL_DIESEL
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
offset_weeks
13
proxy_product
DIESEL
proxy_to_date
2022-08-26
pass_through_k
1
proxy_from_date
2022-05-27
observation_date
2022-08-29
gap_eur_per_litre
-0.004006059344539681
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-05-30
actual_eur_per_litre
0.06325000000000003
expected_eur_per_litre
0.06725605934453971
proxy_volatility_units
4.337945231721529
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
19.345999999999997
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
expected_low_eur_per_litre
-0.09245646751360874
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.22696858620269217
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
9.342848145796136
Limiti
source
docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
proxy_rule
the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
confidence_cap
MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
statement_weeks
[4,13]
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
weeks
13
status
COMPUTED
country
Poland
fuel_type
DIESEL
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_PL_DIESEL
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
offset_weeks
13
proxy_product
DIESEL
proxy_to_date
2022-08-26
pass_through_k
1
proxy_from_date
2022-05-27
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-08-29
gap_eur_per_litre
-0.004006059344539681
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-05-30
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
actual_eur_per_litre
0.06325000000000003
expected_eur_per_litre
0.06725605934453971
proxy_volatility_units
4.337945231721529
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
19.345999999999997
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
expected_low_eur_per_litre
-0.09245646751360874
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.22696858620269217
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
9.342848145796136
Mudell event.crude_only.computed_with_proxy v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 43f35777560dc42efee99e8836573c32943837e2ff46ee41a554b778670d6e59 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Il-Polonja, Ġunju 2022: id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (żejt mhux maħdum) kienet moderata (0%–29%). Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: il-pajjiżi sħab ikkonċernati jesportaw kemm minn ġewwa kif ukoll minn barra l-Golf Persjan, u l-qsim għal kull perjodu mhux pubbliku.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
band
moderate
unit
% of imported tonnes
period
2022-06
status
NO_OBSERVATION
country
Poland
commodity
crude
dimension
DIRECT_CRUDE
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
value_max_pct
28.8456727387973
value_min_pct
0
exposure_status
RANGE_ONLY
value_point_pct
null
observation_date
2022-06-01
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
band_applied_to
upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
dependence_limited_max_pct
10
dependence_moderate_max_pct
33
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
band
moderate
unit
% of imported tonnes
period
2022-06
status
NO_OBSERVATION
country
Poland
commodity
crude
dimension
DIRECT_CRUDE
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
value_max_pct
28.8456727387973
value_min_pct
0
exposure_status
RANGE_ONLY
statement_topic
hormuz
value_point_pct
null
observation_date
2022-06-01
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.dependence.range v1.2 · Marka tal-identità fa172667071714d90c11c706dc5496f23b7c345660bd7f6268390f42e77c3a30 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Il-Polonja, Ġunju 2022: id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (prodott raffinat) kienet limitata (0%–7%). Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: il-pajjiżi sħab ikkonċernati jesportaw kemm minn ġewwa kif ukoll minn barra l-Golf Persjan, u l-qsim għal kull perjodu mhux pubbliku.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
band
limited
unit
% of imported tonnes
period
2022-06
status
NO_OBSERVATION
country
Poland
commodity
refined product
dimension
DIRECT_PRODUCT
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
value_max_pct
7.43831977040719
value_min_pct
0
exposure_status
RANGE_ONLY
value_point_pct
null
observation_date
2022-06-01
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
band_applied_to
upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
dependence_limited_max_pct
10
dependence_moderate_max_pct
33
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
band
limited
unit
% of imported tonnes
period
2022-06
status
NO_OBSERVATION
country
Poland
commodity
refined product
dimension
DIRECT_PRODUCT
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
value_max_pct
7.43831977040719
value_min_pct
0
exposure_status
RANGE_ONLY
statement_topic
hormuz
value_point_pct
null
observation_date
2022-06-01
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.dependence.range v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 24355e302c971cb418f72acf8ae880d17d9fde69f63b1ba7fbed7cb667ce4cd3 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
L-evidenza disponibbli ma turix tnaqqis fiżiku fil-provvista: l-importazzjonijiet irrappurtati taż-żejt mhux maħdum (il-Polonja, Ġunju 2022) meta mqabbla mal-medja tax-xhur ta’ qabel (12): -5.1%.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
unit
tonnes
month
2022-06
country
Poland
change_pct
-5.091931889101045
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
value_tonnes
2044642
baseline_months
12
observation_date
2022-06-01
series_source_ids
["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
crude_imports_rule
crude_imports_total-1.1
baseline_mean_tonnes
2154339.5
baseline_window_months
12
value_not_published_code
null
baseline_not_published_months
0
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no cut-off
min_baseline_months
6
baseline_months_used
12
supply_reduction_pct
-10
supply_baseline_months
12
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
unit
tonnes
month
2022-06
country
Poland
change_pct
-5.091931889101045
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
value_tonnes
2044642
baseline_months
12
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-06-01
series_source_ids
["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
crude_imports_rule
crude_imports_total-1.1
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
baseline_mean_tonnes
2154339.5
baseline_window_months
12
value_not_published_code
null
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
baseline_not_published_months
0
Mudell event.supply.no_reduction v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 9074efaea0206bddbf0818de831c376ceb72f4d97ee3e18cef087d24f9509f7d · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Ġunju 2022: l-istokkijiet taż-żejt (il-Polonja) kienu 0.6% ogħla meta mqabbla mal-medja mobbli tagħhom (xhur: 12) — ġewwa l-faxxa ta’ 5% fuq kull naħa li dan is-sit jaqra bħala konformi magħha, jiem ta’ kopertura: 95.0 (kif ippubblikati).
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
unit
tonnes
month
2022-06
status
OBSERVED
country
Poland
direction
above
siec_code
O4000
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
holder_type
STK_CL
series_code
INVENTORY_PL
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
days_of_cover
95
metric_status
COMPUTED
mom_change_pct
-2.4227424845407493
observation_date
2022-06-01
series_source_ids
["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
total_stock_tonnes
10579377
days_of_cover_basis
as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
observation_gap_days
0
trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
10514708.666666666
level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
0.6150273429671185
trailing_12m_observations
12
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no band
band_applied_to
the rounded figure printed in the sentence
days_of_cover_basis
as published (Eurostat nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); never stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
trailing_window_months
12
level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_raw
0.6150273429671185
level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_shown
0.6
inventory_material_deviation_pct
5
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
unit
tonnes
month
2022-06
status
OBSERVED
country
Poland
direction
above
siec_code
O4000
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
holder_type
STK_CL
series_code
INVENTORY_PL
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
days_of_cover
95
metric_status
COMPUTED
mom_change_pct
-2.4227424845407493
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-06-01
series_source_ids
["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
total_stock_tonnes
10579377
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
days_of_cover_basis
as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
0
trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
10514708.666666666
level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
0.6150273429671185
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
trailing_12m_observations
12
Mudell event.inventory_level.in_line v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 9e50b8c46c3efdf4f23b8a010d23acdbb7202b78ec211e1c1726357e93d2eba6 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Sommarju ta’ x’jista’ jiġi vverifikat hawn
Parti biss mill-katina tista’ tiġi vverifikata għal dan il-pajjiż (il-Polonja) madwar l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”: serje disponibbli: 4 minn 8 (prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdum, stokkijiet, prezz fil-pompa mingħajr taxxi u prezz fil-pompa bit-taxxi); mhux disponibbli: prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinati, marġni tar-raffinar, noli u prezzijiet bl-ingrossa. Kull dikjarazzjoni bbażata fuq ir-rabtiet neqsin ma tistax tiġi ttestjata hawn. Id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (żejt mhux maħdum) kienet moderata (0–29%) matul il-perjodu kopert. Din il-paġna tiddeskrivi x’għamlet kull serje madwar id-data tal-avveniment. Mhijiex sejba dwar kawża: l-ebda disinn kawżali mhu ppubblikat għal dan is-sit, u serje li ċċaqilqet fl-istess tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
country
Poland
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
dependence_band
moderate
dependence_range
0–29%
channels_available
["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
supply_template_id
event.supply.no_reduction
channels_unavailable
["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; the channel list is docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.3
channels_total
8
channels_available
4
verdict_partial_min_channels
3
verdict_assessable_min_channels
8
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
country
Poland
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
country_iso2
PL
country_name
Poland
country_slug
poland
dependence_band
moderate
statement_topic
event
dependence_range
0–29%
channels_available
["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
supply_template_id
event.supply.no_reduction
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
channels_unavailable
["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.verdict.partial v1.2 · Marka tal-identità fabca0a8bc56869569c4ab1381a4b72071a8dbdee71c81b7c6d48a143a0d61da · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’+5.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.3 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
129.2
status
OBSERVED
z_score
2.0172282715868546
t0_value
122.2
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
5.7283142389525255
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
7
series_code
BRENT
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-06-08
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.2799598046880034
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
6.999999999999986
change_pct_from_t0
5.7283142389525255
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.4753860378832995
change_in_volatility_units
1.2799598046880034
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
129.2
status
OBSERVED
z_score
2.0172282715868546
t0_value
122.2
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
5.7283142389525255
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
BRENT
statement_topic
event
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-06-08
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.2799598046880034
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
6.999999999999986
change_pct_from_t0
5.7283142389525255
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.4753860378832995
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
1.2799598046880034
Mudell event.benchmark_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità f87dd225bc59dba803e038025a29e47ed148997fb21d856c0cd78839753ee67a · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’-2.4%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.5 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
119.21
status
OBSERVED
z_score
0.8887326572425913
t0_value
122.2
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
-2.4468085106383053
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
30
series_code
BRENT
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-07-01
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-0.5467256880024499
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
-2.990000000000009
change_pct_from_t0
-2.4468085106383053
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.4753860378832995
change_in_volatility_units
-0.5467256880024499
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
119.21
status
OBSERVED
z_score
0.8887326572425913
t0_value
122.2
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
-2.4468085106383053
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
BRENT
statement_topic
event
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-07-01
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-0.5467256880024499
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
-2.990000000000009
change_pct_from_t0
-2.4468085106383053
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.4753860378832995
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-0.5467256880024499
Mudell event.benchmark_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità fad3fa12c4cda01a6223521c8666f80ff0cc67ef8185a2d6e383ba814fecdcc1 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’-18.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’4.2 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
99.34
status
OBSERVED
z_score
-1.355832693810513
t0_value
122.2
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
-18.707037643207855
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
90
series_code
BRENT
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-08-30
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-4.179983019309688
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
-22.86
change_pct_from_t0
-18.707037643207855
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.4753860378832995
change_in_volatility_units
-4.179983019309688
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
99.34
status
OBSERVED
z_score
-1.355832693810513
t0_value
122.2
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
-18.707037643207855
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
BRENT
statement_topic
event
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-08-30
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-4.179983019309688
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
-22.86
change_pct_from_t0
-18.707037643207855
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.4753860378832995
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-4.179983019309688
Mudell event.benchmark_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 3c93fc5aedb651c26598bd6d9310189a42a1c8df629f57a43bf0be16cf35bb23 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Noli – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: in-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["freight rates"]
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
Limiti
source
CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
true
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["freight rates"]
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
statement_topic
event
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 5682d55cccd2b29a396302436312a88aeeb0ee29362398f48b45370bc339e780 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinati – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni. Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["refined-product benchmark"]
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
Limiti
source
CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
true
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["refined-product benchmark"]
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
statement_topic
event
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 9f428e998d4f8e3f0b62ce0e589b72e73c5860218140f2727aa93741661c7d36 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Prezzijiet bl-ingrossa – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["wholesale prices"]
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
Limiti
source
CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
true
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["wholesale prices"]
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
statement_topic
event
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 56fb16ffc2601451cfda44b453655b8c4394e0f659ccd04a0f7a8a13e347bf80 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Marġni tar-raffinar – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: m’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["refining margin"]
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
reason_code
NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
Limiti
source
CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
true
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["refining margin"]
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
statement_topic
event
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 98f34b162486945bf201f66ee3c233374109d50156f5d4ec98817b088ac4af77 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

X’ma jurix dan

Ma jurix li l-avveniment kien fl-oriġini ta’ xi ħaġa. L-ebda disinn kawżali mhu ppubblikat għal dan is-sit, u serje li ċċaqilqet f’din it-tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.
Bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza, u lanqas punteġġ z ma hu. Ikejlu affarijiet differenti u mhumiex interkambjabbli.
Il-kanali mingħajr sors b’liċenzja għall-użu jew diġà mtella’ jintwerew bħala pannelli vojta, mhux bħala linji ċatti. “Ma nistgħux naraw dan” ma jfissirx “dan ma ċċaqlaqx”.
Xejn ma jiġi interpolat. Fejn diversi punti tat-tieqa jaqgħu fuq ċifra ppubblikata waħda, dak hu li stampa l-pubblikatur, u l-bidla meta mqabbla mad-data tal-avveniment hija żero: huwa l-istess numru.

Il-Polonja: provvista, raffineriji u prezzijiet fil-pompa →

Kif jinqraw it-tikketti

UffiċjaliIrrappurtat direttament minn awtorità uffiċjali.
IvverifikatIrrappurtat minn parti terza u vverifikat minna ma’ rekord primarju.
IkkalkulatIkkalkulat minna minn inputs irrappurtati. Il-metodu huwa ppubblikat fil-paġna tal-metodoloġija.
Inferit · kunfidenza għoljaMhux irrappurtat. Inferit minn mill-inqas żewġ rekords fiżiċi indipendenti.
Inferit · kunfidenza medjaMhux irrappurtat. Inferit minn evidenza indiretta qawwija, mingħajr konferma espliċita.
Inferit · kunfidenza baxxaMhux irrappurtat. Plawżibbli biss minn data dwar l-infrastruttura jew il-movimenti. Taqrahx bħala fatt.
Mhux magħrufL-ebda evidenza pubblika difendibbli ma tistabbilixxi dan. Ma nagħmlux suppożizzjonijiet, u dan mhuwiex kejl ta’ żero.

Europe Brent spot FOB

reported crude oil imports, all origins

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE

esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1

esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2

esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Mhux disponibbli: imblukkat mil-liċenzja

nol tat-tankers “dirty” mill-Golf Għarbi lejn il-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

L-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”: huwa tassew ir-raġuni?

X’għamel il-prezz fil-pompa madwar din id-data

Attwali kontra ż-żejt mhux maħdum biss: il-Polonja, petrol (Euro-super 95)

X’jappoġġaw in-numri, sentenza b’sentenza

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