Događaji / Zabrana uvoza
Zabrana uvoza ruskih rafiniranih naftnih derivata u EU (na snazi od 5. veljače 2023.)
- Datumi
- 05. 02. 2023. → datum završetka nije zabilježen
- Preciznost datuma
- dan
- Status
- U tijeku
- Opseg
- Europska unija
Što su naveli izvori (na engleskom)
Second phase of the sixth sanctions package of 3 June 2022 (Council Regulation (EU) 2022/879 amending Regulation (EU) No 833/2014): an eight-month wind-down for refined petroleum products against six months for seaborne crude. Eurostat, 19 June 2023: "The ban on imports of seaborne crude oil entered into force on 5 December 2022, while the ban on petroleum products took effect on 5 February 2023." Recorded as a separate marker because each event on this timeline has a single start date and the two phases have different in-force dates. This row is a timeline marker only; it makes no statement about prices.
IEA, EIA, Europska komisija, Europsko vijeće i nacionalna zakonodavna tijela (navedeni za svaki redak)Službeno
Podrijetlo podatka
SlužbenoSlužbena- Oznaka skupa podataka
- Fuel Origin: kronologija događaja koju sastavljamo (data/reference/events.csv)events.csvreference_events_v1
- Razdoblje
- nije zabilježeno
- Preuzeto
- 03. 10. 2026. 19:34 UTC
- Vrsta
- Službeno
- Preobrazba
- nije primijenjena – pohranjeno točno kako je objavljeno
- Licenca
- Po retku: svaki se redak oslanja na agenciju ili zakonodavni dokument naveden u source_urls.
- Zapis o događaju opisuje što se dogodilo, a ne čega je bio uzrok (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §5).
- Opaženu vrijednost ima 6.944 od 10.179 točaka prozora; ostalo su zabilježene praznine, a ne nule.
- Kanali bez upotrebljivog izvora: NO_COMPUTED_PASS_THROUGH_ESTIMATE, NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE, NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK, NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES, NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES.
Odabir goriva zadržava nizove toga goriva i kanale zajedničke svim gorivima – referentnu cijenu sirove nafte, tečaj, uvoz sirove nafte i izloženost Hormuzu. Izostavljaju se samo nizovi drugoga goriva.
Prozor događaja
Vrijednost svakog niza oko datuma događaja (pomaci u danima: od −30 do 90), koliko se razlikuje od razine istoga niza na datum događaja i kolika je ta promjena u odnosu na uobičajenu varijabilnost niza.
Švedska, Dizelsko gorivo (plinsko ulje za motorna vozila). Nizovi koji se mogu nacrtati: 14; nizovi koji se uopće ne vide i prikazani su niže kao označene prazne ploče: 6.
Objavljena očitanja: 181; pomaci bez objave unutar jednog razdoblja: 1; pomaci na nizovima koje uopće ne vidimo: 78. Svi su na ovoj stranici.
Europe Brent spot FOB
x: dani od datuma događaja. Svaka je oznaka na datumu kada je podatak objavljen: tako pravilo posljednje poznate vrijednosti odgovara na pomak.
| Pomak | Upotrijebljena vrijednost | Vrijednost | Δ aps. | Δ % | Jedinice volatilnosti |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2023-01-06 | 76,41 | −2,440 | −3,09 % | −0,68 |
| −14 | 2023-01-20 | 86,96 | +8,110 | +10,29 % | +2,27 |
| −7 | 2023-01-27 | 85,36 | +6,510 | +8,26 % | +1,82 |
| −3 | 2023-02-02 | 80,57 | +1,720 | +2,18 % | +0,48 |
| −1 | 2023-02-03ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 78,85 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | 0,00 |
| T0 | 2023-02-03ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 78,85 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | 0,00 |
| +1 | 2023-02-06 | 80,48 | +1,630 | +2,07 % | +0,46 |
| +3 | 2023-02-08 | 84,17 | +5,320 | +6,75 % | +1,49 |
| +7 | 2023-02-10 | 85,46 | +6,610 | +8,38 % | +1,85 |
| +14 | 2023-02-17 | 81,97 | +3,120 | +3,96 % | +0,87 |
| +30 | 2023-03-06 | 85,86 | +7,010 | +8,89 % | +1,96 |
| +60 | 2023-04-06 | 86,56 | +7,710 | +9,78 % | +2,16 |
| +90 | 2023-05-05 | 75,85 | −3,000 | −3,80 % | −0,84 |
Jedna jedinica volatilnosti za ovaj niz iznosi 4,53 %: standardna devijacija njegovih vlastitih postotnih promjena (iz dana u dan) tijekom triju godina prije događaja (broj promjena: 757). To nije test značajnosti.
reported crude oil imports, all origins
x: dani od datuma događaja. Svaka je oznaka na datumu kada je podatak objavljen: tako pravilo posljednje poznate vrijednosti odgovara na pomak. Barem jedna upotrijebljena vrijednost objavljena je izvan prozora od −30 do +90; os je proširena kako bi se vidjelo gdje se stvarno nalazi.
| Pomak | Upotrijebljena vrijednost | Vrijednost | Δ aps. | Δ % | Jedinice volatilnosti |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2023-01-01 | 1.572.088 | +318.706 | +25,43 % | +1,01 |
| −14 | 2023-01-01 | 1.572.088 | +318.706 | +25,43 % | +1,01 |
| −7 | 2023-01-01 | 1.572.088 | +318.706 | +25,43 % | +1,01 |
| −3 | 2023-02-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 1.253.382 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | 0,00 |
| −1 | 2023-02-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 1.253.382 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | 0,00 |
| T0 | 2023-02-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 1.253.382 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | 0,00 |
| +1 | 2023-02-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 1.253.382 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | 0,00 |
| +3 | 2023-02-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 1.253.382 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | 0,00 |
| +7 | 2023-02-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 1.253.382 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | 0,00 |
| +14 | 2023-02-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 1.253.382 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | 0,00 |
| +30 | 2023-03-01 | 1.740.028 | +486.646 | +38,83 % | +1,54 |
| +60 | 2023-04-01 | 1.424.216 | +170.834 | +13,63 % | +0,54 |
| +90 | 2023-05-01 | 1.556.022 | +302.640 | +24,15 % | +0,96 |
Jedna jedinica volatilnosti za ovaj niz iznosi 25,26 %: standardna devijacija njegovih vlastitih postotnih promjena (iz mjeseca u mjesec) tijekom triju godina prije događaja (broj promjena: 35). To nije test značajnosti.
referentni tečaj eura ESB-a
x: dani od datuma događaja. Svaka je oznaka na datumu kada je podatak objavljen: tako pravilo posljednje poznate vrijednosti odgovara na pomak.
| Pomak | Upotrijebljena vrijednost | Vrijednost | Δ aps. | Δ % | Jedinice volatilnosti |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2023-01-06 | 1,050 | −0,044 | −4,00 % | −7,81 |
| −14 | 2023-01-20 | 1,083 | −0,011 | −1,01 % | −1,98 |
| −7 | 2023-01-27 | 1,087 | −0,007 | −0,66 % | −1,29 |
| −3 | 2023-02-02 | 1,099 | +0,005 | +0,47 % | +0,91 |
| −1 | 2023-02-03ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 1,094 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | 0,00 |
| T0 | 2023-02-03ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 1,094 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | 0,00 |
| +1 | 2023-02-06 | 1,078 | −0,016 | −1,47 % | −2,88 |
| +3 | 2023-02-08 | 1,074 | −0,020 | −1,85 % | −3,61 |
| +7 | 2023-02-10 | 1,069 | −0,025 | −2,26 % | −4,41 |
| +14 | 2023-02-17 | 1,063 | −0,031 | −2,85 % | −5,57 |
| +30 | 2023-03-07 | 1,067 | −0,027 | −2,49 % | −4,86 |
| +60 | 2023-04-06 | 1,092 | −0,002 | −0,20 % | −0,39 |
| +90 | 2023-05-05 | 1,101 | +0,008 | +0,70 % | +1,38 |
Jedna jedinica volatilnosti za ovaj niz iznosi 0,51 %: standardna devijacija njegovih vlastitih postotnih promjena (iz dana u dan) tijekom triju godina prije događaja (broj promjena: 772). To nije test značajnosti.
izravna izloženost sirove nafte Hormuzu D1
x: dani od datuma događaja. Svaka je oznaka na datumu kada je podatak objavljen: tako pravilo posljednje poznate vrijednosti odgovara na pomak. Barem jedna upotrijebljena vrijednost objavljena je izvan prozora od −30 do +90; os je proširena kako bi se vidjelo gdje se stvarno nalazi.
| Pomak | Upotrijebljena vrijednost | Vrijednost | Δ aps. | Δ % | Jedinice volatilnosti |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2023-01-01 | 0 | 0,000 | neobjavljeno | neobjavljeno |
| −14 | 2023-01-01 | 0 | 0,000 | neobjavljeno | neobjavljeno |
| −7 | 2023-01-01 | 0 | 0,000 | neobjavljeno | neobjavljeno |
| −3 | 2023-02-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 0 | 0,000 | neobjavljeno | neobjavljeno |
| −1 | 2023-02-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 0 | 0,000 | neobjavljeno | neobjavljeno |
| T0 | 2023-02-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 0 | 0,000 | neobjavljeno | neobjavljeno |
| +1 | 2023-02-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 0 | 0,000 | neobjavljeno | neobjavljeno |
| +3 | 2023-02-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 0 | 0,000 | neobjavljeno | neobjavljeno |
| +7 | 2023-02-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 0 | 0,000 | neobjavljeno | neobjavljeno |
| +14 | 2023-02-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 0 | 0,000 | neobjavljeno | neobjavljeno |
| +30 | 2023-03-01 | 0 | 0,000 | neobjavljeno | neobjavljeno |
| +60 | 2023-04-01 | 0 | 0,000 | neobjavljeno | neobjavljeno |
| +90 | 2023-05-01 | 0 | 0,000 | neobjavljeno | neobjavljeno |
Za ovaj niz nije objavljena uobičajena volatilnost: promjena se ne izražava u jedinicama volatilnosti. To je ulazni podatak koji nedostaje, a ne nula.
izravna izloženost rafiniranih naftnih derivata Hormuzu D2
x: dani od datuma događaja. Svaka je oznaka na datumu kada je podatak objavljen: tako pravilo posljednje poznate vrijednosti odgovara na pomak. Barem jedna upotrijebljena vrijednost objavljena je izvan prozora od −30 do +90; os je proširena kako bi se vidjelo gdje se stvarno nalazi. Osjenčani pojas dopušteni je raspon. Srednja vrijednost se ne crta: točkasta procjena ne objavljuje se.
| Pomak | Upotrijebljena vrijednost | Vrijednost | Δ aps. | Δ % | Jedinice volatilnosti |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2023-01-01 | 6,531 | −5,316 | −44,87 % | neobjavljeno |
| −14 | 2023-01-01 | 6,531 | −5,316 | −44,87 % | neobjavljeno |
| −7 | 2023-01-01 | 6,531 | −5,316 | −44,87 % | neobjavljeno |
| −3 | 2023-02-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 11,85 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | neobjavljeno |
| −1 | 2023-02-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 11,85 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | neobjavljeno |
| T0 | 2023-02-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 11,85 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | neobjavljeno |
| +1 | 2023-02-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 11,85 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | neobjavljeno |
| +3 | 2023-02-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 11,85 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | neobjavljeno |
| +7 | 2023-02-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 11,85 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | neobjavljeno |
| +14 | 2023-02-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 11,85 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | neobjavljeno |
| +30 | 2023-03-01 | 6,460 | −5,387 | −45,47 % | neobjavljeno |
| +60 | 2023-04-01 | 3,718 | −8,129 | −68,62 % | neobjavljeno |
| +90 | 2023-05-01 | 0–2,950 | neobjavljeno | neobjavljeno | neobjavljeno |
Za ovaj niz nije objavljena uobičajena volatilnost: promjena se ne izražava u jedinicama volatilnosti. To je ulazni podatak koji nedostaje, a ne nula.
izloženost zaliha D7: objavljene obvezne zalihe u danima, prenesene
x: dani od datuma događaja. Svaka je oznaka na datumu kada je podatak objavljen: tako pravilo posljednje poznate vrijednosti odgovara na pomak. Barem jedna upotrijebljena vrijednost objavljena je izvan prozora od −30 do +90; os je proširena kako bi se vidjelo gdje se stvarno nalazi.
| Pomak | Upotrijebljena vrijednost | Vrijednost | Δ aps. | Δ % | Jedinice volatilnosti |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2023-01-01 | 113,0 | +3,000 | +2,73 % | +0,57 |
| −14 | 2023-01-01 | 113,0 | +3,000 | +2,73 % | +0,57 |
| −7 | 2023-01-01 | 113,0 | +3,000 | +2,73 % | +0,57 |
| −3 | 2023-02-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 110,0 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | 0,00 |
| −1 | 2023-02-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 110,0 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | 0,00 |
| T0 | 2023-02-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 110,0 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | 0,00 |
| +1 | 2023-02-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 110,0 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | 0,00 |
| +3 | 2023-02-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 110,0 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | 0,00 |
| +7 | 2023-02-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 110,0 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | 0,00 |
| +14 | 2023-02-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 110,0 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | 0,00 |
| +30 | 2023-03-01 | 119,0 | +9,000 | +8,18 % | +1,70 |
| +60 | 2023-04-01 | 110,0 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | 0,00 |
| +90 | 2023-05-01 | 110,0 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | 0,00 |
Jedna jedinica volatilnosti za ovaj niz iznosi 4,81 %: standardna devijacija njegovih vlastitih postotnih promjena (iz mjeseca u mjesec) tijekom triju godina prije događaja (broj promjena: 35). To nije test značajnosti.
crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)
x: dani od datuma događaja. Svaka je oznaka na datumu kada je podatak objavljen: tako pravilo posljednje poznate vrijednosti odgovara na pomak. Barem jedna upotrijebljena vrijednost objavljena je izvan prozora od −30 do +90; os je proširena kako bi se vidjelo gdje se stvarno nalazi.
| Pomak | Upotrijebljena vrijednost | Vrijednost | Δ aps. | Δ % | Jedinice volatilnosti |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2023-01-02 | 0,4598 | −0,012 | −2,58 % | −0,32 |
| −14 | 2023-01-16 | 0,4913 | +0,019 | +4,09 % | +0,51 |
| −7 | 2023-01-23 | 0,4969 | +0,025 | +5,28 % | +0,65 |
| −3 | 2023-01-30ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 0,4720 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | 0,00 |
| −1 | 2023-01-30ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 0,4720 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | 0,00 |
| T0 | 2023-01-30ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 0,4720 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | 0,00 |
| +1 | 2023-02-06 | 0,4881 | +0,016 | +3,41 % | +0,42 |
| +3 | 2023-02-06 | 0,4881 | +0,016 | +3,41 % | +0,42 |
| +7 | 2023-02-06 | 0,4881 | +0,016 | +3,41 % | +0,42 |
| +14 | 2023-02-13 | 0,4951 | +0,023 | +4,89 % | +0,61 |
| +30 | 2023-03-06 | 0,4922 | +0,020 | +4,28 % | +0,53 |
| +60 | 2023-04-03 | 0,4959 | +0,024 | +5,07 % | +0,63 |
| +90 | 2023-05-01 | 0,4258 | −0,046 | −9,79 % | −1,21 |
Jedna jedinica volatilnosti za ovaj niz iznosi 8,07 %: standardna devijacija njegovih vlastitih postotnih promjena (iz tjedna u tjedan) tijekom triju godina prije događaja (broj promjena: 149). To nije test značajnosti.
ukupne nacionalne zalihe nafte (Eurostat, komercijalni imatelji), uz objavljene zalihe u danima
x: dani od datuma događaja. Svaka je oznaka na datumu kada je podatak objavljen: tako pravilo posljednje poznate vrijednosti odgovara na pomak. Barem jedna upotrijebljena vrijednost objavljena je izvan prozora od −30 do +90; os je proširena kako bi se vidjelo gdje se stvarno nalazi.
| Pomak | Upotrijebljena vrijednost | Vrijednost | Δ aps. | Δ % | Jedinice volatilnosti |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2023-01-01 | 4.683.103 | +293.026 | +6,67 % | +1,27 |
| −14 | 2023-01-01 | 4.683.103 | +293.026 | +6,67 % | +1,27 |
| −7 | 2023-01-01 | 4.683.103 | +293.026 | +6,67 % | +1,27 |
| −3 | 2023-02-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 4.390.077 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | 0,00 |
| −1 | 2023-02-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 4.390.077 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | 0,00 |
| T0 | 2023-02-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 4.390.077 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | 0,00 |
| +1 | 2023-02-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 4.390.077 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | 0,00 |
| +3 | 2023-02-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 4.390.077 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | 0,00 |
| +7 | 2023-02-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 4.390.077 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | 0,00 |
| +14 | 2023-02-01ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 4.390.077 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | 0,00 |
| +30 | 2023-03-01 | 4.598.509 | +208.432 | +4,75 % | +0,90 |
| +60 | 2023-04-01 | 4.686.319 | +296.242 | +6,75 % | +1,29 |
| +90 | 2023-05-01 | 5.044.650 | +654.573 | +14,91 % | +2,84 |
Jedna jedinica volatilnosti za ovaj niz iznosi 5,25 %: standardna devijacija njegovih vlastitih postotnih promjena (iz mjeseca u mjesec) tijekom triju godina prije događaja (broj promjena: 35). To nije test značajnosti.
cijena iz Tjednog naftnog biltena s porezima
x: dani od datuma događaja. Svaka je oznaka na datumu kada je podatak objavljen: tako pravilo posljednje poznate vrijednosti odgovara na pomak. Barem jedna upotrijebljena vrijednost objavljena je izvan prozora od −30 do +90; os je proširena kako bi se vidjelo gdje se stvarno nalazi.
| Pomak | Upotrijebljena vrijednost | Vrijednost | Δ aps. | Δ % | Jedinice volatilnosti |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2023-01-02 | 2,153 | +0,014 | +0,67 % | +0,24 |
| −14 | 2023-01-16 | 2,160 | +0,022 | +1,04 % | +0,36 |
| −7 | 2023-01-23 | 2,206 | +0,068 | +3,17 % | +1,11 |
| −3 | 2023-01-30ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 2,138 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | 0,00 |
| −1 | 2023-01-30ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 2,138 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | 0,00 |
| T0 | 2023-01-30ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 2,138 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | 0,00 |
| +1 | 2023-02-06 | 2,025 | −0,114 | −5,31 % | −1,86 |
| +3 | 2023-02-06 | 2,025 | −0,114 | −5,31 % | −1,86 |
| +7 | 2023-02-06 | 2,025 | −0,114 | −5,31 % | −1,86 |
| +14 | 2023-02-13 | 2,056 | −0,082 | −3,82 % | −1,34 |
| +30 | 2023-03-06 | 2,076 | −0,062 | −2,91 % | −1,02 |
| +60 | 2023-04-03 | 1,985 | −0,153 | −7,17 % | −2,51 |
| +90 | 2023-05-01 | 1,855 | −0,283 | −13,22 % | −4,63 |
Jedna jedinica volatilnosti za ovaj niz iznosi 2,85 %: standardna devijacija njegovih vlastitih postotnih promjena (iz tjedna u tjedan) tijekom triju godina prije događaja (broj promjena: 149). To nije test značajnosti.
cijena iz Tjednog naftnog biltena bez poreza
x: dani od datuma događaja. Svaka je oznaka na datumu kada je podatak objavljen: tako pravilo posljednje poznate vrijednosti odgovara na pomak. Barem jedna upotrijebljena vrijednost objavljena je izvan prozora od −30 do +90; os je proširena kako bi se vidjelo gdje se stvarno nalazi.
| Pomak | Upotrijebljena vrijednost | Vrijednost | Δ aps. | Δ % | Jedinice volatilnosti |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2023-01-02 | 1,357 | +0,008 | +0,62 % | +0,16 |
| −14 | 2023-01-16 | 1,367 | +0,018 | +1,34 % | +0,35 |
| −7 | 2023-01-23 | 1,398 | +0,050 | +3,68 % | +0,95 |
| −3 | 2023-01-30ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 1,349 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | 0,00 |
| −1 | 2023-01-30ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 1,349 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | 0,00 |
| T0 | 2023-01-30ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 1,349 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | 0,00 |
| +1 | 2023-02-06 | 1,261 | −0,088 | −6,49 % | −1,68 |
| +3 | 2023-02-06 | 1,261 | −0,088 | −6,49 % | −1,68 |
| +7 | 2023-02-06 | 1,261 | −0,088 | −6,49 % | −1,68 |
| +14 | 2023-02-13 | 1,280 | −0,069 | −5,11 % | −1,33 |
| +30 | 2023-03-06 | 1,296 | −0,053 | −3,94 % | −1,02 |
| +60 | 2023-04-03 | 1,227 | −0,122 | −9,05 % | −2,35 |
| +90 | 2023-05-01 | 1,126 | −0,223 | −16,56 % | −4,30 |
Jedna jedinica volatilnosti za ovaj niz iznosi 3,85 %: standardna devijacija njegovih vlastitih postotnih promjena (iz tjedna u tjedan) tijekom triju godina prije događaja (broj promjena: 149). To nije test značajnosti.
total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes
x: dani od datuma događaja. Svaka je oznaka na datumu kada je podatak objavljen: tako pravilo posljednje poznate vrijednosti odgovara na pomak. Barem jedna upotrijebljena vrijednost objavljena je izvan prozora od −30 do +90; os je proširena kako bi se vidjelo gdje se stvarno nalazi.
| Pomak | Upotrijebljena vrijednost | Vrijednost | Δ aps. | Δ % | Jedinice volatilnosti |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2023-01-02 | 0,7953 | +0,006 | +0,76 % | +0,23 |
| −14 | 2023-01-16 | 0,7934 | +0,004 | +0,52 % | +0,16 |
| −7 | 2023-01-23 | 0,8075 | +0,018 | +2,31 % | +0,72 |
| −3 | 2023-01-30ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 0,7893 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | 0,00 |
| −1 | 2023-01-30ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 0,7893 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | 0,00 |
| T0 | 2023-01-30ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 0,7893 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | 0,00 |
| +1 | 2023-02-06 | 0,7633 | −0,026 | −3,29 % | −1,02 |
| +3 | 2023-02-06 | 0,7633 | −0,026 | −3,29 % | −1,02 |
| +7 | 2023-02-06 | 0,7633 | −0,026 | −3,29 % | −1,02 |
| +14 | 2023-02-13 | 0,7764 | −0,013 | −1,63 % | −0,51 |
| +30 | 2023-03-06 | 0,7802 | −0,009 | −1,16 % | −0,36 |
| +60 | 2023-04-03 | 0,7579 | −0,031 | −3,97 % | −1,23 |
| +90 | 2023-05-01 | 0,7299 | −0,059 | −7,52 % | −2,33 |
Jedna jedinica volatilnosti za ovaj niz iznosi 3,23 %: standardna devijacija njegovih vlastitih postotnih promjena (iz tjedna u tjedan) tijekom triju godina prije događaja (broj promjena: 149). To nije test značajnosti.
US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).
x: dani od datuma događaja. Svaka je oznaka na datumu kada je podatak objavljen: tako pravilo posljednje poznate vrijednosti odgovara na pomak.
| Pomak | Upotrijebljena vrijednost | Vrijednost | Δ aps. | Δ % | Jedinice volatilnosti |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2023-01-06 | 52,91 | +13,654 | +34,78 % | +3,54 |
| −14 | 2023-01-20 | 60,21 | +20,954 | +53,38 % | +5,43 |
| −7 | 2023-01-27 | 51,77 | +12,516 | +31,88 % | +3,24 |
| −3 | 2023-02-02 | 42,91 | +3,656 | +9,31 % | +0,95 |
| −1 | 2023-02-03ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 39,25 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | 0,00 |
| T0 | 2023-02-03ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 39,25 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | 0,00 |
| +1 | 2023-02-06 | 37,12 | −2,134 | −5,44 % | −0,55 |
| +3 | 2023-02-08 | 38,01 | −1,246 | −3,17 % | −0,32 |
| +7 | 2023-02-10 | 35,25 | −4,006 | −10,21 % | −1,04 |
| +14 | 2023-02-17 | 32,10 | −7,152 | −18,22 % | −1,85 |
| +30 | 2023-03-06 | 36,23 | −3,020 | −7,69 % | −0,78 |
| +60 | 2023-04-06 | 26,92 | −12,330 | −31,41 % | −3,19 |
| +90 | 2023-05-05 | 21,80 | −17,454 | −44,46 % | −4,52 |
Jedna jedinica volatilnosti za ovaj niz iznosi 9,83 %: standardna devijacija njegovih vlastitih postotnih promjena (iz dana u dan) tijekom triju godina prije događaja (broj promjena: 735). To nije test značajnosti.
US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).
x: dani od datuma događaja. Svaka je oznaka na datumu kada je podatak objavljen: tako pravilo posljednje poznate vrijednosti odgovara na pomak.
| Pomak | Upotrijebljena vrijednost | Vrijednost | Δ aps. | Δ % | Jedinice volatilnosti |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2023-01-06 | 23,63 | −0,710 | −2,92 % | −0,02 |
| −14 | 2023-01-20 | 27,78 | +3,440 | +14,13 % | +0,08 |
| −7 | 2023-01-27 | 27,70 | +3,360 | +13,80 % | +0,08 |
| −3 | 2023-02-02 | 26,70 | +2,354 | +9,67 % | +0,05 |
| −1 | 2023-02-03ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 24,34 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | 0,00 |
| T0 | 2023-02-03ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 24,34 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | 0,00 |
| +1 | 2023-02-06 | 25,32 | +0,974 | +4,00 % | +0,02 |
| +3 | 2023-02-08 | 25,07 | +0,728 | +2,99 % | +0,02 |
| +7 | 2023-02-10 | 25,04 | +0,698 | +2,87 % | +0,02 |
| +14 | 2023-02-17 | 22,90 | −1,440 | −5,92 % | −0,03 |
| +30 | 2023-03-06 | 25,19 | +0,844 | +3,47 % | +0,02 |
| +60 | 2023-04-06 | 33,98 | +9,636 | +39,58 % | +0,22 |
| +90 | 2023-05-05 | 27,39 | +3,042 | +12,50 % | +0,07 |
Jedna jedinica volatilnosti za ovaj niz iznosi 182,66 %: standardna devijacija njegovih vlastitih postotnih promjena (iz dana u dan) tijekom triju godina prije događaja (broj promjena: 735). To nije test značajnosti.
US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).
x: dani od datuma događaja. Svaka je oznaka na datumu kada je podatak objavljen: tako pravilo posljednje poznate vrijednosti odgovara na pomak.
| Pomak | Upotrijebljena vrijednost | Vrijednost | Δ aps. | Δ % | Jedinice volatilnosti |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2023-01-06 | 57,61 | +28,228 | +96,07 % | +0,54 |
| −14 | 2023-01-20 | 77,51 | +48,128 | +163,79 % | +0,93 |
| −7 | 2023-01-27 | 73,74 | +44,352 | +150,94 % | +0,85 |
| −3 | 2023-02-02 | 35,06 | +5,672 | +19,30 % | +0,11 |
| −1 | 2023-02-03ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 29,38 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | 0,00 |
| T0 | 2023-02-03ista objavljena vrijednost kao u T0 | 29,38 | 0,000 | 0,00 % | 0,00 |
| +1 | 2023-02-06 | 32,50 | +3,116 | +10,60 % | +0,06 |
| +3 | 2023-02-08 | 37,04 | +7,658 | +26,06 % | +0,15 |
| +7 | 2023-02-10 | 31,97 | +2,588 | +8,81 % | +0,05 |
| +14 | 2023-02-17 | 24,75 | −4,632 | −15,76 % | −0,09 |
| +30 | 2023-03-06 | 37,16 | +7,774 | +26,46 % | +0,15 |
| +60 | 2023-04-06 | 19,15 | −10,230 | −34,81 % | −0,20 |
| +90 | 2023-05-05 | 14,45 | −14,934 | −50,82 % | −0,29 |
Jedna jedinica volatilnosti za ovaj niz iznosi 176,64 %: standardna devijacija njegovih vlastitih postotnih promjena (iz dana u dan) tijekom triju godina prije događaja (broj promjena: 735). To nije test značajnosti.
Nije dostupno: blokirano licencom
Izvor postoji, ali njegova licenca ne dopušta da ga ponovno objavimo. Ti kanali ne nedostaju u svijetu, nego samo na ovoj stranici.
vozarina za tankere tipa „dirty” od Perzijskog zaljeva do sjeverozapadne Europe
Vozarine za tankere licencirane su uz uvjete koji izričito zabranjuju javni prikaz, prosljeđivanje i izvedene podatke, što je doslovno provjereno, a nijedna otvorena institucija ne objavljuje vozarinu za tankere (redak 17: BLOCKED).
Pogođeni pomaci u prozoru: 13.
referentna cijena rafiniranih proizvoda u EU-u
Referentne cijene rafiniranih proizvoda u EU-u (Platts / Argus) vlasnički su podaci bez dopuštenja za daljnje širenje (redak 16: BLOCKED). Američki crack spreadovi nisu valjan zamjenski pokazatelj za EU i ne upotrebljavaju se umjesto njih.
Pogođeni pomaci u prozoru: 13.
rafinerijska marža / crack spread za sjeverozapadnu Europu
Nemamo nijedan objavljeni niz rafinerijskih marži, a da bismo sami izračunali maržu, trebale bi nam licencirane referentne cijene proizvoda u EU-u, koje se ne smiju ponovno objaviti.
Pogođeni pomaci u prozoru: 13.
veleprodajna cijena (rack)
Nizovi veleprodajnih cijena (rack) vlasnički su podaci bez dopuštenja za daljnje širenje (redak 16: BLOCKED).
Pogođeni pomaci u prozoru: 13.
Nije dostupno: razlog nije razvrstan
API je naveo šifru razloga koju ova stranica ne prepoznaje. Njegova se rečenica prikazuje niže bez izmjena.
crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since
Ni najnoviji trogodišnji prozor prijenosa cijena ni cijeli uzorak nemaju IZRAČUNANU procjenu za ovu zemlju i gorivo: ne postoji izmjerena reakcija na sirovu naftu koja bi se mogla projicirati. Ne upotrebljava se nikakva zamjena poput potpunog prijenosa.
Pogođeni pomaci u prozoru: 13.
not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed
Ni najnoviji trogodišnji prozor prijenosa cijena ni cijeli uzorak nemaju IZRAČUNANU procjenu za ovu zemlju i gorivo: ne postoji izmjerena reakcija na sirovu naftu koja bi se mogla projicirati. Ne upotrebljava se nikakva zamjena poput potpunog prijenosa.
Pogođeni pomaci u prozoru: 13.
T0 je 05. 02. 2023. Referentni prozor (dani): od −90 do −31. Izračunani pomaci: -30, -14, -7, -3, -1, 0, 1, 3, 7, 14, 30, 60, 90. Metoda 1.0, izračun event_study-1.0, izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC.
Je li događaj „Zabrana uvoza ruskih rafiniranih naftnih derivata u EU (na snazi od 5. veljače 2023.)” doista razlog?
Pitanje se dijeli na dimenzije koje se mjere zasebno i nikad se ne zbrajaju u jedan broj. Svaki redak navodi možemo li tu dimenziju uopće vidjeti i, gdje možemo, daje jedan objavljeni podatak.
Kanali prijenosa cijena (od osam koje ova stranica prikazuje) s podacima u ovom izračunu: 4 Izračunano – to je broj redaka u nastavku, a ne mjerenje.
Metodologija §11.1 objavljuje pragove kojima se služe rečenice u nastavku: svih osam kanala za potpunu usporedbu, najmanje tri da bi se tvrdnja ovdje uopće mogla provjeriti te 2,0 jed. volatilnosti da bi se pomak opisao kao izvan uobičajene varijabilnosti niza. To su objavljeni izbori formulacija, a ne statistički testovi.
| Dimenzija | Status | Objavljeni podatak ili razlog zašto ga nema |
|---|---|---|
| Izravna izloženost sirove nafte (D1)Udio uvezene sirove nafte čija ruta zahtijeva prolaz kroz Hormuški tjesnac. | Opaženo | 0 % uvezenih tona pri pomaku +30 d (objavljeno 2023-03-01) |
| Izravna izloženost naftnih derivata (D2)Udio uvezenih rafiniranih naftnih derivata čija ruta zahtijeva prolaz kroz Hormuški tjesnac. | Opaženo | 6,460 % uvezenih tona pri pomaku +30 d (objavljeno 2023-03-01)−45,47 % u odnosu na razinu u T0 |
| Obvezne zalihe u danima (D7)Broj dana kojem odgovaraju objavljene obvezne zalihe. Zaštita od poremećaja u opskrbi, a ne udio u uvozu i ne kanal cijena. | Opaženo | 119,0 d (zalihe u danima) pri pomaku +30 d (objavljeno 2023-03-01)+8,18 % u odnosu na razinu u T0 = +1,70 jed. volatilnosti |
| Referentna cijena sirove nafteKotirana cijena sirove nafte prema kojoj se određuje cijena tereta za Europu. | Opaženo | 85,86 $ po barelu pri pomaku +30 d (objavljeno 2023-03-06)+8,89 % u odnosu na razinu u T0 = +1,96 jed. volatilnosti |
| Referentna cijena rafiniranih proizvodaKotirana cijena proizvoda prema kojoj rafinerije i veletrgovci određuju svoje cijene. | Nije dostupno | Referentne cijene rafiniranih proizvoda u EU-u (Platts / Argus) vlasnički su podaci bez dopuštenja za daljnje širenje (redak 16: BLOCKED). Američki crack spreadovi nisu valjan zamjenski pokazatelj za EU i ne upotrebljavaju se umjesto njih. |
| Rafinerijska maržaKoliko je donijela prerada barela u ovaj proizvod. | Nije dostupno | Nemamo nijedan objavljeni niz rafinerijskih marži, a da bismo sami izračunali maržu, trebale bi nam licencirane referentne cijene proizvoda u EU-u, koje se ne smiju ponovno objaviti. |
| VozarineKoliko je stajao prijevoz tereta. | Nije dostupno | Vozarine za tankere licencirane su uz uvjete koji izričito zabranjuju javni prikaz, prosljeđivanje i izvedene podatke, što je doslovno provjereno, a nijedna otvorena institucija ne objavljuje vozarinu za tankere (redak 17: BLOCKED). |
| ZaliheZalihe koje ublažuju ili pojačavaju promjenu u opskrbi. | Opaženo | 4.598.509 t pri pomaku +30 d (objavljeno 2023-03-01)+4,75 % u odnosu na razinu u T0 = +0,90 jed. volatilnosti |
| Veleprodajne cijeneCijena između izlaza iz rafinerije i benzinske postaje. | Nije dostupno | Nizovi veleprodajnih cijena (rack) vlasnički su podaci bez dopuštenja za daljnje širenje (redak 16: BLOCKED). |
| Cijena na crpki bez porezaCijena na crpki bez trošarine, PDV-a i drugih poreza na gorivo. | Opaženo | 1,296 € po litri pri pomaku +30 d (objavljeno 2023-03-06)−3,94 % u odnosu na razinu u T0 = −1,02 jed. volatilnosti |
| Cijena na crpki s porezimaOno što je vozač stvarno platio. | Opaženo | 2,076 € po litri pri pomaku +30 d (objavljeno 2023-03-06)−2,91 % u odnosu na razinu u T0 = −1,02 jed. volatilnosti |
Fizička izloženost (Hormuški tjesnac) i cjenovna izloženost različita su pitanja. Zemlja gotovo bez izravne fizičke izloženosti i dalje može vidjeti kako se mijenja njezina cijena na crpki: cijena sirove nafte određuje se na svjetskom tržištu – a niz koji se pomaknuo u ovom prozoru možda se pomaknuo iz drugih razloga.
Kako se kretala cijena na crpki oko ovog datuma
Stranica raščlambe cijene može se ograničiti na tjedne oko datuma događaja; promjena na crpki tada se dijeli na poreze, ulazni trošak i dio koji ulazni trošak ne pokriva.
Raščlamba cijene, 29. 01. 2023. – 07. 03. 2023. →
Prozor obuhvaća razdoblje od objavljenog datuma događaja umanjenog za 7 d do datuma uvećanog za 30 d. To je prozor za promatranje, a ne tvrdnja da je događaj bio uzrok onoga što se u njemu vidi.
Stvarno i samo prema sirovoj nafti: Švedska, dizelsko gorivo (plinsko ulje za motorna vozila)
Kako se kretala cijena bez poreza od četiri tjedna prije do trinaest tjedana nakon tjedna događaja, uz ono što bi se dogodilo da je pratila samo ulazni trošak sirove nafte brzinom koju mjeri pohranjena procjena prijenosa cijena. Osjenčana razlika neobjašnjena je sirovom naftom; nije pripisana ni događaju ni ičemu drugom.
Usporedba sa samom sirovom naftom nije se mogla pročitati.
API 404 for /api/events/eu-russia-products-embargo-2023/crude-only: No stored crude-only run for 'eu-russia-products-embargo-2023' and country 'sweden'. Runs are stored for the pilot countries; available_countries lists them.
Što brojke podupiru, rečenicu po rečenicu
Svaka rečenica dolazi iz nepromjenjivog predloška, odabranog prema objavljenim pragovima. Otvorite „Zašto ova rečenica” da vidite brojke koje su je odabrale. Ništa od ovog teksta nije napisao jezični model i ništa od toga ne navodi uzrok.
7 dana nakon događaja „Zabrana uvoza ruskih rafiniranih naftnih derivata u EU (na snazi od 5. veljače 2023.)” cijena bez poreza (benzin, Švedska) promijenila se za −5,9 %, što je 1,2 jed. volatilnosti (u odnosu na njezinu uobičajenu varijabilnost iz tjedna u tjedan u prethodne tri godine) – unutar uobičajene varijabilnosti.
o zemlji: ŠvedskaIzračunanoSlužbenaZašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
Varijable
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 0.8328200000000001
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Sweden
- z_score
- -0.10091593715158638
- t0_value
- 0.88478
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- -5.872646307556669
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_SE_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- SE
- country_name
- Sweden
- country_slug
- sweden
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-02-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -1.1619367721400609
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.051959999999999895
- change_pct_from_t0
- -5.872646307556669
- observation_gap_days
- 6
- normal_volatility_pct
- 5.054187498292527
- change_in_volatility_units
- -1.1619367721400609
Pragovi
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Ulazni podaci
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 0.8328200000000001
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Sweden
- z_score
- -0.10091593715158638
- t0_value
- 0.88478
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- -5.872646307556669
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_SE_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- SE
- country_name
- Sweden
- country_slug
- sweden
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-02-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -1.1619367721400609
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.051959999999999895
- change_pct_from_t0
- -5.872646307556669
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 6
- normal_volatility_pct
- 5.054187498292527
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- -1.1619367721400609
Predložak
event.price_move.within_normalv1.2 · otisak06a769bf904d40449c3d161705e43155dee87e2cba9ebe39a55f0fd681f86364· izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC30 dana nakon događaja „Zabrana uvoza ruskih rafiniranih naftnih derivata u EU (na snazi od 5. veljače 2023.)” cijena bez poreza (benzin, Švedska) promijenila se za −2,1 %, što je 0,4 jed. volatilnosti (u odnosu na njezinu uobičajenu varijabilnost iz tjedna u tjedan u prethodne tri godine) – unutar uobičajene varijabilnosti.
o zemlji: ŠvedskaIzračunanoSlužbenaZašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
Varijable
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 0.86599
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Sweden
- z_score
- 0.3225650119328001
- t0_value
- 0.88478
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- -2.123691765184563
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_SE_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- SE
- country_name
- Sweden
- country_slug
- sweden
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-03-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -0.42018460255026485
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.018789999999999973
- change_pct_from_t0
- -2.123691765184563
- observation_gap_days
- 1
- normal_volatility_pct
- 5.054187498292527
- change_in_volatility_units
- -0.42018460255026485
Pragovi
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Ulazni podaci
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 0.86599
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Sweden
- z_score
- 0.3225650119328001
- t0_value
- 0.88478
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- -2.123691765184563
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_SE_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- SE
- country_name
- Sweden
- country_slug
- sweden
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-03-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -0.42018460255026485
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.018789999999999973
- change_pct_from_t0
- -2.123691765184563
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 1
- normal_volatility_pct
- 5.054187498292527
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- -0.42018460255026485
Predložak
event.price_move.within_normalv1.2 · otisak1d8bbd6fda8db63921a3f69479a941708a945ccf36f6c3d5713c9c6fde6bc976· izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC90 dana nakon događaja „Zabrana uvoza ruskih rafiniranih naftnih derivata u EU (na snazi od 5. veljače 2023.)” cijena bez poreza (benzin, Švedska) promijenila se za −6,0 %, što je 1,2 jed. volatilnosti (u odnosu na njezinu uobičajenu varijabilnost iz tjedna u tjedan u prethodne tri godine) – unutar uobičajene varijabilnosti.
o zemlji: ŠvedskaIzračunanoSlužbenaZašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
Varijable
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 0.83143
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Sweden
- z_score
- -0.11866204867487087
- t0_value
- 0.88478
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- -6.029747507855061
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_SE_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- SE
- country_name
- Sweden
- country_slug
- sweden
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-05-01
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -1.1930201461445802
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.05335000000000001
- change_pct_from_t0
- -6.029747507855061
- observation_gap_days
- 5
- normal_volatility_pct
- 5.054187498292527
- change_in_volatility_units
- -1.1930201461445802
Pragovi
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Ulazni podaci
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 0.83143
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Sweden
- z_score
- -0.11866204867487087
- t0_value
- 0.88478
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- -6.029747507855061
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_SE_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- SE
- country_name
- Sweden
- country_slug
- sweden
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-05-01
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -1.1930201461445802
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.05335000000000001
- change_pct_from_t0
- -6.029747507855061
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 5
- normal_volatility_pct
- 5.054187498292527
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- -1.1930201461445802
Predložak
event.price_move.within_normalv1.2 · otisakdec2061546535d1970943ed926462414cab79a7b43454650c4619e42fa32322d· izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC7 dana nakon događaja „Zabrana uvoza ruskih rafiniranih naftnih derivata u EU (na snazi od 5. veljače 2023.)” cijena s porezima (benzin, Švedska) promijenila se za −3,9 %, što je 1,3 jed. volatilnosti (u odnosu na njezinu uobičajenu varijabilnost iz tjedna u tjedan u prethodne tri godine) – unutar uobičajene varijabilnosti.
o zemlji: ŠvedskaIzračunanoSlužbenaZašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
Varijable
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 1.73503
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Sweden
- z_score
- -0.47344384696131586
- t0_value
- 1.80634
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- -3.947761772423795
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_SE_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- SE
- country_name
- Sweden
- country_slug
- sweden
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-02-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -1.328106849366702
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.07130999999999998
- change_pct_from_t0
- -3.947761772423795
- observation_gap_days
- 6
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.9724730162383066
- change_in_volatility_units
- -1.328106849366702
Pragovi
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Ulazni podaci
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 1.73503
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Sweden
- z_score
- -0.47344384696131586
- t0_value
- 1.80634
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- -3.947761772423795
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_SE_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- SE
- country_name
- Sweden
- country_slug
- sweden
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-02-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -1.328106849366702
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.07130999999999998
- change_pct_from_t0
- -3.947761772423795
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 6
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.9724730162383066
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- -1.328106849366702
Predložak
event.price_move.within_normalv1.2 · otisak45a00631119127713e9891d6ffa0d1977072f885873b6f2f491ea071d5371faa· izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC30 dana nakon događaja „Zabrana uvoza ruskih rafiniranih naftnih derivata u EU (na snazi od 5. veljače 2023.)” cijena s porezima (benzin, Švedska) promijenila se za −0,9 %, što je 0,3 jed. volatilnosti (u odnosu na njezinu uobičajenu varijabilnost iz tjedna u tjedan u prethodne tri godine) – unutar uobičajene varijabilnosti.
o zemlji: ŠvedskaIzračunanoSlužbenaZašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
Varijable
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 1.78932
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Sweden
- z_score
- 0.05468134838083383
- t0_value
- 1.80634
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- -0.9422367882015587
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_SE_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- SE
- country_name
- Sweden
- country_slug
- sweden
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-03-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -0.316987499315963
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.017020000000000035
- change_pct_from_t0
- -0.9422367882015587
- observation_gap_days
- 1
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.9724730162383066
- change_in_volatility_units
- -0.316987499315963
Pragovi
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Ulazni podaci
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 1.78932
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Sweden
- z_score
- 0.05468134838083383
- t0_value
- 1.80634
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- -0.9422367882015587
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_SE_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- SE
- country_name
- Sweden
- country_slug
- sweden
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-03-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -0.316987499315963
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.017020000000000035
- change_pct_from_t0
- -0.9422367882015587
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 1
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.9724730162383066
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- -0.316987499315963
Predložak
event.price_move.within_normalv1.2 · otisake621b5e337318ed934349bc654efb69fe056e330291988be7686c80650bec6ad· izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC90 dana nakon događaja „Zabrana uvoza ruskih rafiniranih naftnih derivata u EU (na snazi od 5. veljače 2023.)” cijena s porezima (benzin, Švedska) promijenila se za −4,0 %, što je 1,3 jed. volatilnosti (u odnosu na njezinu uobičajenu varijabilnost iz tjedna u tjedan u prethodne tri godine) – unutar uobičajene varijabilnosti.
o zemlji: ŠvedskaIzračunanoSlužbenaZašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
Varijable
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 1.7341300000000002
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Sweden
- z_score
- -0.48219891558920097
- t0_value
- 1.80634
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- -3.9975862794379733
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_SE_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- SE
- country_name
- Sweden
- country_slug
- sweden
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-05-01
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -1.3448688205408699
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.07220999999999989
- change_pct_from_t0
- -3.9975862794379733
- observation_gap_days
- 5
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.9724730162383066
- change_in_volatility_units
- -1.3448688205408699
Pragovi
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Ulazni podaci
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 1.7341300000000002
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Sweden
- z_score
- -0.48219891558920097
- t0_value
- 1.80634
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- -3.9975862794379733
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_SE_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- SE
- country_name
- Sweden
- country_slug
- sweden
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-05-01
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -1.3448688205408699
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.07220999999999989
- change_pct_from_t0
- -3.9975862794379733
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 5
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.9724730162383066
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- -1.3448688205408699
Predložak
event.price_move.within_normalv1.2 · otisak62a875d0e68712624cc1cb4ed39e4e2789fcbdabf74c5d934e60f591ce016399· izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC7 dana nakon događaja „Zabrana uvoza ruskih rafiniranih naftnih derivata u EU (na snazi od 5. veljače 2023.)” cijena bez poreza (dizelsko gorivo, Švedska) promijenila se za −6,5 %, što je 1,7 jed. volatilnosti (u odnosu na njezinu uobičajenu varijabilnost iz tjedna u tjedan u prethodne tri godine) – unutar uobičajene varijabilnosti.
o zemlji: ŠvedskaIzračunanoSlužbenaZašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
Varijable
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 1.26131
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Sweden
- z_score
- -1.2034063748625565
- t0_value
- 1.34887
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- -6.491359434193071
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_SE_DIESEL
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- SE
- country_name
- Sweden
- country_slug
- sweden
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-02-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -1.6844237999529346
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.08756000000000008
- change_pct_from_t0
- -6.491359434193071
- observation_gap_days
- 6
- normal_volatility_pct
- 3.853756658137014
- change_in_volatility_units
- -1.6844237999529346
Pragovi
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Ulazni podaci
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 1.26131
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Sweden
- z_score
- -1.2034063748625565
- t0_value
- 1.34887
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- -6.491359434193071
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_SE_DIESEL
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- SE
- country_name
- Sweden
- country_slug
- sweden
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-02-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -1.6844237999529346
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.08756000000000008
- change_pct_from_t0
- -6.491359434193071
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 6
- normal_volatility_pct
- 3.853756658137014
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- -1.6844237999529346
Predložak
event.price_move.within_normalv1.2 · otisak5e61cb35c7b665ca7315c549a940398977ef586f51cf56e275624b76c7670610· izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC30 dana nakon događaja „Zabrana uvoza ruskih rafiniranih naftnih derivata u EU (na snazi od 5. veljače 2023.)” cijena bez poreza (dizelsko gorivo, Švedska) promijenila se za −3,9 %, što je 1,0 jed. volatilnosti (u odnosu na njezinu uobičajenu varijabilnost iz tjedna u tjedan u prethodne tri godine) – unutar uobičajene varijabilnosti.
o zemlji: ŠvedskaIzračunanoSlužbenaZašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
Varijable
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 1.29573
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Sweden
- z_score
- -0.8689624845238667
- t0_value
- 1.34887
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- -3.939593882286652
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_SE_DIESEL
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- SE
- country_name
- Sweden
- country_slug
- sweden
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-03-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -1.0222736492633486
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.053139999999999965
- change_pct_from_t0
- -3.939593882286652
- observation_gap_days
- 1
- normal_volatility_pct
- 3.853756658137014
- change_in_volatility_units
- -1.0222736492633486
Pragovi
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Ulazni podaci
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 1.29573
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Sweden
- z_score
- -0.8689624845238667
- t0_value
- 1.34887
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- -3.939593882286652
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_SE_DIESEL
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- SE
- country_name
- Sweden
- country_slug
- sweden
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-03-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -1.0222736492633486
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.053139999999999965
- change_pct_from_t0
- -3.939593882286652
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 1
- normal_volatility_pct
- 3.853756658137014
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- -1.0222736492633486
Predložak
event.price_move.within_normalv1.2 · otisakbcb08cb4bdba3caf797adcd046a642dfdca9a242315175e40ce62aa7adc5ef13· izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC90 dana nakon događaja „Zabrana uvoza ruskih rafiniranih naftnih derivata u EU (na snazi od 5. veljače 2023.)” cijena bez poreza (dizelsko gorivo, Švedska) promijenila se za −16,6 %, što je 4,3 jed. volatilnosti (u odnosu na njezinu uobičajenu varijabilnost iz tjedna u tjedan u prethodne tri godine) – izvan uobičajene varijabilnosti.
o zemlji: ŠvedskaIzračunanoSlužbenaZašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
Varijable
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 1.12554
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Sweden
- z_score
- -2.522623312436169
- t0_value
- 1.34887
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- -16.556821635887818
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_SE_DIESEL
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- SE
- country_name
- Sweden
- country_slug
- sweden
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-05-01
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -4.2962810329315735
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.22333000000000003
- change_pct_from_t0
- -16.556821635887818
- observation_gap_days
- 5
- normal_volatility_pct
- 3.853756658137014
- change_in_volatility_units
- -4.2962810329315735
Pragovi
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Ulazni podaci
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 1.12554
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Sweden
- z_score
- -2.522623312436169
- t0_value
- 1.34887
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- -16.556821635887818
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_SE_DIESEL
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- SE
- country_name
- Sweden
- country_slug
- sweden
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-05-01
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -4.2962810329315735
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.22333000000000003
- change_pct_from_t0
- -16.556821635887818
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 5
- normal_volatility_pct
- 3.853756658137014
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- -4.2962810329315735
Predložak
event.price_move.outside_normalv1.2 · otisak3cd22ab06bff027b02e1aaea19e67826c117462f322e872744374659f8c84fc3· izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC7 dana nakon događaja „Zabrana uvoza ruskih rafiniranih naftnih derivata u EU (na snazi od 5. veljače 2023.)” cijena s porezima (dizelsko gorivo, Švedska) promijenila se za −5,3 %, što je 1,9 jed. volatilnosti (u odnosu na njezinu uobičajenu varijabilnost iz tjedna u tjedan u prethodne tri godine) – unutar uobičajene varijabilnosti.
o zemlji: ŠvedskaIzračunanoSlužbenaZašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
Varijable
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 2.0246
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Sweden
- z_score
- -1.5344987105141485
- t0_value
- 2.13816
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- -5.3111086167545976
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_SE_DIESEL
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- SE
- country_name
- Sweden
- country_slug
- sweden
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-02-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -1.8613789834345729
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.1135600000000001
- change_pct_from_t0
- -5.3111086167545976
- observation_gap_days
- 6
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.853319320794449
- change_in_volatility_units
- -1.8613789834345729
Pragovi
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Ulazni podaci
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 2.0246
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Sweden
- z_score
- -1.5344987105141485
- t0_value
- 2.13816
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- -5.3111086167545976
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_SE_DIESEL
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- SE
- country_name
- Sweden
- country_slug
- sweden
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-02-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -1.8613789834345729
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.1135600000000001
- change_pct_from_t0
- -5.3111086167545976
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 6
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.853319320794449
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- -1.8613789834345729
Predložak
event.price_move.within_normalv1.2 · otisak9e73dcc41329bc370692c52a22169c9bdc4285e8a15990a2f4367b2e8379ad94· izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC30 dana nakon događaja „Zabrana uvoza ruskih rafiniranih naftnih derivata u EU (na snazi od 5. veljače 2023.)” cijena s porezima (dizelsko gorivo, Švedska) promijenila se za −2,9 %, što je 1,0 jed. volatilnosti (u odnosu na njezinu uobičajenu varijabilnost iz tjedna u tjedan u prethodne tri godine) – unutar uobičajene varijabilnosti.
o zemlji: ŠvedskaIzračunanoSlužbenaZašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
Varijable
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 2.0759000000000003
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Sweden
- z_score
- -1.152670700315017
- t0_value
- 2.13816
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- -2.9118494406405393
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_SE_DIESEL
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- SE
- country_name
- Sweden
- country_slug
- sweden
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-03-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -1.0205129932074317
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.06225999999999976
- change_pct_from_t0
- -2.9118494406405393
- observation_gap_days
- 1
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.853319320794449
- change_in_volatility_units
- -1.0205129932074317
Pragovi
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Ulazni podaci
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 2.0759000000000003
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Sweden
- z_score
- -1.152670700315017
- t0_value
- 2.13816
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- -2.9118494406405393
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_SE_DIESEL
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- SE
- country_name
- Sweden
- country_slug
- sweden
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-03-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -1.0205129932074317
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.06225999999999976
- change_pct_from_t0
- -2.9118494406405393
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 1
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.853319320794449
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- -1.0205129932074317
Predložak
event.price_move.within_normalv1.2 · otisakd8a1d1baa0dc1de82022bad9e30b520bae7b93c4af3c8b09a92f4e9de395556f· izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC90 dana nakon događaja „Zabrana uvoza ruskih rafiniranih naftnih derivata u EU (na snazi od 5. veljače 2023.)” cijena s porezima (dizelsko gorivo, Švedska) promijenila se za −13,2 %, što je 4,6 jed. volatilnosti (u odnosu na njezinu uobičajenu varijabilnost iz tjedna u tjedan u prethodne tri godine) – izvan uobičajene varijabilnosti.
o zemlji: ŠvedskaIzračunanoSlužbenaZašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
Varijable
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 1.8554400000000002
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Sweden
- z_score
- -2.793563548823789
- t0_value
- 2.13816
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- -13.222583903917378
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_SE_DIESEL
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- SE
- country_name
- Sweden
- country_slug
- sweden
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-05-01
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -4.63410590169621
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.28271999999999986
- change_pct_from_t0
- -13.222583903917378
- observation_gap_days
- 5
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.853319320794449
- change_in_volatility_units
- -4.63410590169621
Pragovi
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Ulazni podaci
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 1.8554400000000002
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Sweden
- z_score
- -2.793563548823789
- t0_value
- 2.13816
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- -13.222583903917378
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_SE_DIESEL
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- SE
- country_name
- Sweden
- country_slug
- sweden
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-05-01
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -4.63410590169621
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.28271999999999986
- change_pct_from_t0
- -13.222583903917378
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 5
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.853319320794449
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- -4.63410590169621
Predložak
event.price_move.outside_normalv1.2 · otisaka9502b5d38366e6865e25945a74fa2036a2f4d29bc598d136fbc0d42ba168fac· izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTCReferentna točka: Zabrana uvoza ruskih rafiniranih naftnih derivata u EU (na snazi od 5. veljače 2023.). Što bi sami troškovi sirove nafte učinili s cijenom bez poreza (benzin, Švedska; horizont: 4 tjedna), NEPOZNATO je: ni najnoviji trogodišnji prozor prijenosa cijena ni cijeli uzorak nemaju IZRAČUNANU procjenu za ovu zemlju i gorivo (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §4.5): ne postoji izmjerena reakcija na sirovu naftu koja bi se mogla projicirati. Ne upotrebljava se nikakva zamjena poput potpunog prijenosa (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.2).
o zemlji: ŠvedskaNepoznatoNepoznataZašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
Varijable
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- weeks
- 4
- status
- UNKNOWN
- country
- Sweden
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- gap_label
- NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- reason_code
- NO_COMPUTED_PASS_THROUGH_ESTIMATE
- series_code
- CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_SE_EURO_SUPER_95
- country_iso2
- SE
- country_name
- Sweden
- country_slug
- sweden
- proxy_product
- null
- gap_eur_per_litre
- null
- actual_eur_per_litre
- null
- expected_eur_per_litre
- null
- proxy_volatility_units
- null
- proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
- null
- pass_through_window_label
- null
- expected_low_eur_per_litre
- null
- expected_high_eur_per_litre
- null
Pragovi
- source
- docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
- proxy_rule
- the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
- confidence_cap
- MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
- statement_weeks
- [4,13]
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Ulazni podaci
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- weeks
- 4
- status
- UNKNOWN
- country
- Sweden
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- gap_label
- NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- reason_code
- NO_COMPUTED_PASS_THROUGH_ESTIMATE
- series_code
- CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_SE_EURO_SUPER_95
- country_iso2
- SE
- country_name
- Sweden
- country_slug
- sweden
- proxy_product
- null
- statement_topic
- event
- gap_eur_per_litre
- null
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- actual_eur_per_litre
- null
- expected_eur_per_litre
- null
- proxy_volatility_units
- null
- proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
- null
- pass_through_window_label
- null
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- expected_low_eur_per_litre
- null
- expected_high_eur_per_litre
- null
Predložak
event.crude_only.unknownv1.2 · otisakc5e8c7ccd15945c6811025cfe267f539b16e3bd2174529f078cc7d535e1ef08c· izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTCReferentna točka: Zabrana uvoza ruskih rafiniranih naftnih derivata u EU (na snazi od 5. veljače 2023.). Što bi sami troškovi sirove nafte učinili s cijenom bez poreza (dizelsko gorivo, Švedska; horizont: 4 tjedna), NEPOZNATO je: ni najnoviji trogodišnji prozor prijenosa cijena ni cijeli uzorak nemaju IZRAČUNANU procjenu za ovu zemlju i gorivo (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §4.5): ne postoji izmjerena reakcija na sirovu naftu koja bi se mogla projicirati. Ne upotrebljava se nikakva zamjena poput potpunog prijenosa (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.2).
o zemlji: ŠvedskaNepoznatoNepoznataZašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
Varijable
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- weeks
- 4
- status
- UNKNOWN
- country
- Sweden
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- gap_label
- NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- reason_code
- NO_COMPUTED_PASS_THROUGH_ESTIMATE
- series_code
- CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_SE_DIESEL
- country_iso2
- SE
- country_name
- Sweden
- country_slug
- sweden
- proxy_product
- null
- gap_eur_per_litre
- null
- actual_eur_per_litre
- null
- expected_eur_per_litre
- null
- proxy_volatility_units
- null
- proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
- null
- pass_through_window_label
- null
- expected_low_eur_per_litre
- null
- expected_high_eur_per_litre
- null
Pragovi
- source
- docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
- proxy_rule
- the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
- confidence_cap
- MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
- statement_weeks
- [4,13]
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Ulazni podaci
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- weeks
- 4
- status
- UNKNOWN
- country
- Sweden
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- gap_label
- NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- reason_code
- NO_COMPUTED_PASS_THROUGH_ESTIMATE
- series_code
- CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_SE_DIESEL
- country_iso2
- SE
- country_name
- Sweden
- country_slug
- sweden
- proxy_product
- null
- statement_topic
- event
- gap_eur_per_litre
- null
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- actual_eur_per_litre
- null
- expected_eur_per_litre
- null
- proxy_volatility_units
- null
- proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
- null
- pass_through_window_label
- null
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- expected_low_eur_per_litre
- null
- expected_high_eur_per_litre
- null
Predložak
event.crude_only.unknownv1.2 · otisak1999d7c7b805fb71f8afcf0ef1048fa5cc539d795b66807fc859d0bcc96960ff· izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTCŠvedska, veljača 2023.: izravna fizička ovisnost o Hormuzu (sirova nafta) bila je ograničena (0 %).
o zemlji: ŠvedskaIzračunanoNiskaZašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
Varijable
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- band
- limited
- unit
- % of imported tonnes
- period
- 2023-02
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Sweden
- commodity
- crude
- dimension
- DIRECT_CRUDE
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- country_iso2
- SE
- country_name
- Sweden
- country_slug
- sweden
- value_max_pct
- 0
- value_min_pct
- 0
- exposure_status
- COMPUTED
- value_point_pct
- 0
- observation_date
- 2023-02-01
Pragovi
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
- band_applied_to
- upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
- dependence_limited_max_pct
- 10
- dependence_moderate_max_pct
- 33
Ulazni podaci
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- band
- limited
- unit
- % of imported tonnes
- period
- 2023-02
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Sweden
- commodity
- crude
- dimension
- DIRECT_CRUDE
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- country_iso2
- SE
- country_name
- Sweden
- country_slug
- sweden
- value_max_pct
- 0
- value_min_pct
- 0
- exposure_status
- COMPUTED
- statement_topic
- hormuz
- value_point_pct
- 0
- observation_date
- 2023-02-01
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
Predložak
event.dependence.pointv1.2 · otisak9730c926d1a41c44fb7b3dcfc248714824c9ed0dd9045982cd1364c68a527528· izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTCŠvedska, veljača 2023.: izravna fizička ovisnost o Hormuzu (rafinirani naftni derivati) bila je umjerena (12 %).
o zemlji: ŠvedskaIzračunanoNiskaZašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
Varijable
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- band
- moderate
- unit
- % of imported tonnes
- period
- 2023-02
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Sweden
- commodity
- refined product
- dimension
- DIRECT_PRODUCT
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- country_iso2
- SE
- country_name
- Sweden
- country_slug
- sweden
- value_max_pct
- 11.8471833040158
- value_min_pct
- 11.8471833040158
- exposure_status
- COMPUTED
- value_point_pct
- 11.8471833040158
- observation_date
- 2023-02-01
Pragovi
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
- band_applied_to
- upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
- dependence_limited_max_pct
- 10
- dependence_moderate_max_pct
- 33
Ulazni podaci
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- band
- moderate
- unit
- % of imported tonnes
- period
- 2023-02
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Sweden
- commodity
- refined product
- dimension
- DIRECT_PRODUCT
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- country_iso2
- SE
- country_name
- Sweden
- country_slug
- sweden
- value_max_pct
- 11.8471833040158
- value_min_pct
- 11.8471833040158
- exposure_status
- COMPUTED
- statement_topic
- hormuz
- value_point_pct
- 11.8471833040158
- observation_date
- 2023-02-01
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
Predložak
event.dependence.pointv1.2 · otisake609c3bdea696e19d396eee5d8fbd35753337047290b40ab8589952e7f580b79· izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTCDostupni dokazi pokazuju fizičko smanjenje opskrbe: prijavljeni uvoz sirove nafte (Švedska, veljača 2023.) u odnosu na prosjek prethodnih mjeseci (12): −20,0 %.
o zemlji: ŠvedskaIzračunanoSlužbenaZašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
Varijable
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- tonnes
- month
- 2023-02
- country
- Sweden
- change_pct
- -20.000089358132556
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- country_iso2
- SE
- country_name
- Sweden
- country_slug
- sweden
- value_tonnes
- 1253382
- baseline_months
- 12
- observation_date
- 2023-02-01
- series_source_ids
- ["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
- crude_imports_rule
- crude_imports_total-1.1
- baseline_mean_tonnes
- 1566729.25
- baseline_window_months
- 12
- value_not_published_code
- null
- baseline_not_published_months
- 0
Pragovi
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no cut-off
- min_baseline_months
- 6
- baseline_months_used
- 12
- supply_reduction_pct
- -10
- supply_baseline_months
- 12
Ulazni podaci
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- tonnes
- month
- 2023-02
- country
- Sweden
- change_pct
- -20.000089358132556
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- country_iso2
- SE
- country_name
- Sweden
- country_slug
- sweden
- value_tonnes
- 1253382
- baseline_months
- 12
- statement_topic
- event
- observation_date
- 2023-02-01
- series_source_ids
- ["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
- crude_imports_rule
- crude_imports_total-1.1
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- baseline_mean_tonnes
- 1566729.25
- baseline_window_months
- 12
- value_not_published_code
- null
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- baseline_not_published_months
- 0
Predložak
event.supply.reductionv1.2 · otisakd7a48aeb517ff454f025816349bc2e7220ade4853b4f341dc7766de4da4be51c· izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTCŠvedska, veljača 2023.: zalihe nafte bile su 1,2 % iznad svojeg 12-mjesečnog prosjeka – unutar raspona od ±5 % koji ova stranica smatra usklađenim s prosjekom, zalihe u danima: 110,0 (kako je objavljeno).
o zemlji: ŠvedskaIzračunanoSlužbenaZašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
Varijable
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- tonnes
- month
- 2023-02
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Sweden
- direction
- above
- siec_code
- O4000
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- holder_type
- STK_CL
- series_code
- INVENTORY_SE
- country_iso2
- SE
- country_name
- Sweden
- country_slug
- sweden
- days_of_cover
- 110
- metric_status
- COMPUTED
- mom_change_pct
- -6.2570906512199285
- observation_date
- 2023-02-01
- series_source_ids
- ["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
- total_stock_tonnes
- 4390077
- days_of_cover_basis
- as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
- observation_gap_days
- 4
- trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
- 4336897.666666667
- level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
- 1.2262067823750817
- trailing_12m_observations
- 12
Pragovi
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no band
- band_applied_to
- the rounded figure printed in the sentence
- days_of_cover_basis
- as published (Eurostat nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); never stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
- trailing_window_months
- 12
- level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_raw
- 1.2262067823750817
- level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_shown
- 1.2
- inventory_material_deviation_pct
- 5
Ulazni podaci
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- tonnes
- month
- 2023-02
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Sweden
- direction
- above
- siec_code
- O4000
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- holder_type
- STK_CL
- series_code
- INVENTORY_SE
- country_iso2
- SE
- country_name
- Sweden
- country_slug
- sweden
- days_of_cover
- 110
- metric_status
- COMPUTED
- mom_change_pct
- -6.2570906512199285
- statement_topic
- event
- observation_date
- 2023-02-01
- series_source_ids
- ["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
- total_stock_tonnes
- 4390077
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- days_of_cover_basis
- as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 4
- trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
- 4336897.666666667
- level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
- 1.2262067823750817
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- trailing_12m_observations
- 12
Predložak
event.inventory_level.in_linev1.2 · otisak7034a60e028e49c2e99fd92c1a8fe836c5e5720fe03176f6fdd62621b1582eb5· izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTCSažetak onoga što se ovdje može provjeriti
Za zemlju (Švedska) oko događaja „Zabrana uvoza ruskih rafiniranih naftnih derivata u EU (na snazi od 5. veljače 2023.)” može se provjeriti samo dio lanca: dostupno je 4 od 8 nizova koje metoda uspoređuje (referentna cijena sirove nafte, zalihe, cijena na crpki bez poreza i cijena na crpki s porezima), a nisu dostupni ovi: referentna cijena rafiniranih proizvoda, rafinerijska marža, vozarine i veleprodajne cijene. Nijedna tvrdnja koja se oslanja na veze koje nedostaju ovdje se ne može testirati. Izravna fizička ovisnost o sirovoj nafti povezanoj s Hormuzom bila je ograničena (0–0 %) u obuhvaćenom razdoblju. Ova stranica opisuje kako se svaki niz kretao oko datuma događaja. To nije nalaz o uzroku: za ovu stranicu nije objavljen nijedan uzročni dizajn, a niz koji se kretao u istom prozoru možda se kretao iz drugih razloga.
o zemlji: ŠvedskaNepoznatoNepoznataZašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
Varijable
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- country
- Sweden
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- country_iso2
- SE
- country_name
- Sweden
- country_slug
- sweden
- dependence_band
- limited
- dependence_range
- 0–0%
- channels_available
- ["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
- supply_template_id
- event.supply.reduction
- channels_unavailable
- ["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
Pragovi
- source
- v1 choice of this module; the channel list is docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.3
- channels_total
- 8
- channels_available
- 4
- verdict_partial_min_channels
- 3
- verdict_assessable_min_channels
- 8
Ulazni podaci
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- country
- Sweden
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- country_iso2
- SE
- country_name
- Sweden
- country_slug
- sweden
- dependence_band
- limited
- statement_topic
- event
- dependence_range
- 0–0%
- channels_available
- ["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
- supply_template_id
- event.supply.reduction
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- channels_unavailable
- ["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
Predložak
event.verdict.partialv1.2 · otisak2446108c0817af033caada3e34401b5d8ac3608821b4c500790ab650a42f4ffd· izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC7 dana nakon događaja „Zabrana uvoza ruskih rafiniranih naftnih derivata u EU (na snazi od 5. veljače 2023.)” referentna cijena (sirova nafta Brent) promijenila se za +8,4 %, što je 1,8 jed. volatilnosti (u odnosu na njezinu uobičajenu varijabilnost iz dana u dan u prethodne tri godine) – unutar uobičajene varijabilnosti.
o događaju u cjeliniIzračunanoSlužbenaZašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
Varijable
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- $/BBL
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 85.46
- status
- OBSERVED
- z_score
- 0.08812991325524933
- t0_value
- 78.85
- benchmark
- Brent crude
- change_pct
- 8.383005707038683
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- BRENT
- variation_label
- day-to-day
- observation_date
- 2023-02-10
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 1.8495435613044966
- series_source_ids
- ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 6.609999999999999
- change_pct_from_t0
- 8.383005707038683
- observation_gap_days
- 2
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.532472704306617
- change_in_volatility_units
- 1.8495435613044966
Pragovi
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Ulazni podaci
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- $/BBL
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 85.46
- status
- OBSERVED
- z_score
- 0.08812991325524933
- t0_value
- 78.85
- benchmark
- Brent crude
- change_pct
- 8.383005707038683
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- BRENT
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- day-to-day
- observation_date
- 2023-02-10
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 1.8495435613044966
- series_source_ids
- ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 6.609999999999999
- change_pct_from_t0
- 8.383005707038683
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 2
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.532472704306617
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- 1.8495435613044966
Predložak
event.benchmark_move.within_normalv1.2 · otisak38adc5dea4321bbd49653a24f7c0174373d8aa5326085a6d6dbe425d5975e73b· izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC30 dana nakon događaja „Zabrana uvoza ruskih rafiniranih naftnih derivata u EU (na snazi od 5. veljače 2023.)” referentna cijena (sirova nafta Brent) promijenila se za +8,9 %, što je 2,0 jed. volatilnosti (u odnosu na njezinu uobičajenu varijabilnost iz dana u dan u prethodne tri godine) – unutar uobičajene varijabilnosti.
o događaju u cjeliniIzračunanoSlužbenaZašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
Varijable
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- $/BBL
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 85.86
- status
- OBSERVED
- z_score
- 0.1507166248435324
- t0_value
- 78.85
- benchmark
- Brent crude
- change_pct
- 8.890298034242239
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- BRENT
- variation_label
- day-to-day
- observation_date
- 2023-03-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 1.9614675287056775
- series_source_ids
- ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 7.010000000000005
- change_pct_from_t0
- 8.890298034242239
- observation_gap_days
- 1
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.532472704306617
- change_in_volatility_units
- 1.9614675287056775
Pragovi
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Ulazni podaci
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- $/BBL
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 85.86
- status
- OBSERVED
- z_score
- 0.1507166248435324
- t0_value
- 78.85
- benchmark
- Brent crude
- change_pct
- 8.890298034242239
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- BRENT
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- day-to-day
- observation_date
- 2023-03-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 1.9614675287056775
- series_source_ids
- ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 7.010000000000005
- change_pct_from_t0
- 8.890298034242239
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 1
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.532472704306617
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- 1.9614675287056775
Predložak
event.benchmark_move.within_normalv1.2 · otisak0da9031a475f48ba9492ce0f26d02ef4b075756fb5a3ed508e2b5f1ea86c489b· izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC90 dana nakon događaja „Zabrana uvoza ruskih rafiniranih naftnih derivata u EU (na snazi od 5. veljače 2023.)” referentna cijena (sirova nafta Brent) promijenila se za −3,8 %, što je 0,8 jed. volatilnosti (u odnosu na njezinu uobičajenu varijabilnost iz dana u dan u prethodne tri godine) – unutar uobičajene varijabilnosti.
o događaju u cjeliniIzračunanoSlužbenaZašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
Varijable
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- $/BBL
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 75.85
- status
- OBSERVED
- z_score
- -1.4155158326532304
- t0_value
- 78.85
- benchmark
- Brent crude
- change_pct
- -3.804692454026633
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- BRENT
- variation_label
- day-to-day
- observation_date
- 2023-05-05
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -0.8394297555088486
- series_source_ids
- ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -3
- change_pct_from_t0
- -3.804692454026633
- observation_gap_days
- 1
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.532472704306617
- change_in_volatility_units
- -0.8394297555088486
Pragovi
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Ulazni podaci
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- $/BBL
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 75.85
- status
- OBSERVED
- z_score
- -1.4155158326532304
- t0_value
- 78.85
- benchmark
- Brent crude
- change_pct
- -3.804692454026633
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- BRENT
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- day-to-day
- observation_date
- 2023-05-05
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -0.8394297555088486
- series_source_ids
- ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -3
- change_pct_from_t0
- -3.804692454026633
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 1
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.532472704306617
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- -0.8394297555088486
Predložak
event.benchmark_move.within_normalv1.2 · otisak956c15054a5318a99cfc9c833555e8d3f8ac980a1c014dbf655e5357d300335e· izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTCVozarine – reakcija: ne može se ocijeniti. Razlog: vozarine za tankere licencirane su uz uvjete koji izričito zabranjuju javni prikaz, prosljeđivanje i izvedene podatke, što je doslovno provjereno, a nijedna otvorena institucija ne objavljuje vozarinu za tankere.
o događaju u cjeliniNepoznatoNepoznataZašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
Varijable
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- channels
- ["freight rates"]
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- reason_code
- NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
Pragovi
- source
- CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
- any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
- true
Ulazni podaci
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- channels
- ["freight rates"]
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- reason_code
- NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
- statement_topic
- event
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
Predložak
event.channel.unavailablev1.2 · otisak298ab38a71e7fa1e827846158174e16f115ed958766d0a18618b16aa877096e8· izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTCReferentna cijena rafiniranih proizvoda – reakcija: ne može se ocijeniti. Razlog: referentne cijene rafiniranih proizvoda u EU-u (Platts / Argus) vlasnički su podaci bez dopuštenja za daljnje širenje. Američki crack spreadovi nisu valjan zamjenski pokazatelj za EU i ne upotrebljavaju se umjesto njih.
o događaju u cjeliniNepoznatoNepoznataZašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
Varijable
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- channels
- ["refined-product benchmark"]
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- reason_code
- NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
Pragovi
- source
- CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
- any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
- true
Ulazni podaci
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- channels
- ["refined-product benchmark"]
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- reason_code
- NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
- statement_topic
- event
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
Predložak
event.channel.unavailablev1.2 · otisak0a3ee8f8627510915169cd9a2eaa4452fa0806bd90c55f8208323cb6b271bea9· izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTCVeleprodajne cijene – reakcija: ne može se ocijeniti. Razlog: nizovi veleprodajnih cijena (rack) vlasnički su podaci bez dopuštenja za daljnje širenje.
o događaju u cjeliniNepoznatoNepoznataZašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
Varijable
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- channels
- ["wholesale prices"]
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- reason_code
- NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
Pragovi
- source
- CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
- any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
- true
Ulazni podaci
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- channels
- ["wholesale prices"]
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- reason_code
- NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
- statement_topic
- event
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
Predložak
event.channel.unavailablev1.2 · otisakb5b761de3451d820e679168f99a9b0a6cadccd3d87b852d57da6f18bc2de3e6c· izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTCRafinerijska marža – reakcija: ne može se ocijeniti. Razlog: nemamo nijedan objavljeni niz rafinerijskih marži, a da bismo sami izračunali maržu, trebale bi nam licencirane referentne cijene proizvoda u EU-u, koje se ne smiju ponovno objaviti.
o događaju u cjeliniNepoznatoNepoznataZašto ova rečenica (na engleskom)
Varijable
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- channels
- ["refining margin"]
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- reason_code
- NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
Pragovi
- source
- CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
- any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
- true
Ulazni podaci
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- channels
- ["refining margin"]
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- reason_code
- NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
- statement_topic
- event
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
Predložak
event.channel.unavailablev1.2 · otisake9796ff5d8838330a75be8298f9f4cd8c4fea863574dbd933141d0a1f568d3c6· izračun event_statements-1.0 · izračunano 03. 10. 2026. 17:47 UTC
Što ovo ne pokazuje
- Ne pokazuje da je događaj bio uzrok ičega. Za ovu stranicu nije objavljen nijedan uzročni dizajn, a niz koji se pomaknuo u ovom prozoru možda se pomaknuo iz drugih razloga.
- Promjena u jedinicama volatilnosti nije test značajnosti, a ni z-vrijednost nije test značajnosti. One mjere različite stvari i nisu međusobno zamjenjive.
- Kanali bez izvora za koji imamo licencu ili koji je već učitan prikazuju se kao prazne ploče, a ne kao ravne linije. „Ovo ne možemo vidjeti” ne znači „ovo se nije pomaknulo”.
- Ništa se ne interpolira. Kada se više pomaka svodi na isti objavljeni podatak, to je ono što je izdavač objavio, a promjena u odnosu na datum događaja jednaka je nuli: riječ je o istom broju.
Kako čitati oznake
- SlužbenoIzravno prijavilo službeno tijelo.
- ProvjerenoPrijavila treća strana; provjerili smo to prema primarnom zapisu.
- IzračunanoNaš izračun iz prijavljenih ulaznih podataka. Metoda je objavljena na stranici metodologije.
- Izvedeno · visoka pouzdanostNije prijavljeno. Izvedeno iz najmanje dvaju neovisnih fizičkih zapisa.
- Izvedeno · srednja pouzdanostNije prijavljeno. Izvedeno iz jakih neizravnih dokaza, bez izričite potvrde.
- Izvedeno · niska pouzdanostNije prijavljeno. Moguće samo na temelju podataka o infrastrukturi ili o kretanjima. Ne čitati kao činjenicu.
- NepoznatoNijedan obranjiv javni dokaz to ne utvrđuje. Ne nagađamo, a to nije izmjerena nula.