Avvenimenti / Bidla fit-taxxa
Il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022
- Dati
- 01/06/2022 → 31/08/2022
- Preċiżjoni tad-data
- jum
- Status
- Intemm
- Ambitu
- Il-Ġermanja
X’qalu s-sorsi (bl-Ingliż)
Energiesteuersenkungsgesetz (Gesetz zur Aenderung des Energiesteuerrechts zur temporaeren Absenkung der Energiesteuer fuer Kraftstoffe) of 24 May 2022, BGBl. I 2022 p. 810. The Bundestag record of 19 May 2022 states the reduction ran from 1 June to 31 August 2022 and cut the energy-tax rate by 29.55 ct/litre on Benzin and by 14.04 ct/litre on Dieselkraftstoff. The same change is present in the primary tax series this project already holds: the tax rates taken from the European Commission Weekly Oil Bulletin duties and taxes file record German excise on Euro-super 95 petrol at 0.6545 EUR/litre before, 0.3590 EUR/litre effective 2022-06-01 and 0.6545 EUR/litre again effective 2022-08-31, and on diesel at 0.4704, then 0.3300, then 0.4704 EUR/litre on the same dates. The two records agree to the cent. This row is a timeline marker only; it makes no statement about how the change reached pump prices.
L-AIE, l-EIA, il-Kummissjoni Ewropea, il-Kunsill Ewropew u leġiżlaturi nazzjonali (iċċitati għal kull ringiela)Uffiċjali
Minn fejn ġejja d-data
UffiċjaliUffiċjali- Identifikatur tas-sett tad-data
- Fuel Origin: kronoloġija tal-avvenimenti, magħżula u mħejjija minna (data/reference/events.csv)events.csvreference_events_v1
- Perjodu
- mhux irreġistrat
- Miġbur
- 03/10/2026 16:51 UTC
- Tip
- Uffiċjali
- Trasformazzjoni
- xejn – maħżun eżatt kif ippubblikat
- Liċenzja
- Għal kull ringiela: kull ringiela tista’ tiġi traċċata lura għad-dokument tal-aġenzija jew leġiżlattiv imsemmi f’source_urls.
- Rekord ta’ avveniment jiddeskrivi x’ġara, mhux x’kien fl-oriġini tiegħu (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §5).
- Punti tat-tieqa b’valur osservat: 6,959 minn 10,179; il-bqija huma toqob irreġistrati, mhux żeri.
- Kanali mingħajr sors li jista’ jintuża: NO_COMPUTED_PASS_THROUGH_ESTIMATE, NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE, NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK, NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES, NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES.
Jekk tagħżel karburant, jinżammu s-serje ta’ dak il-karburant u l-kanali komuni għall-karburanti kollha – il-prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdum, ir-rata tal-kambju, l-importazzjonijiet taż-żejt mhux maħdum u l-esponiment għal Hormuz. Jitneħħew biss is-serje tal-karburant l-ieħor.
It-tieqa tal-avveniment
Kemm kienet tiswa kull serje fil-jiem madwar id-data tal-avveniment (minn -30 sa 90), kemm dan hu ’l bogħod mil-livell tal-istess serje fid-data tal-avveniment, u kemm hu kbir dak iċ-ċaqliq meta mqabbel mal-varjazzjoni normali tas-serje stess.
Il-Polonja, Petrol (Euro-super 95). Serje li jistgħu jitpinġew: 15; serje li ma jistgħu jidhru bl-ebda mod, murija hawn taħt bħala pannelli vojta b’tikketta: 4.
Qari ppubblikat: 169; punti tat-tieqa mingħajr xejn ippubblikat fi żmien perjodu wieħed: 26; punti tat-tieqa fuq serje li ma nistgħu naraw xejn minnhom: 52. Kollha jidhru f’din il-paġna.
Europe Brent spot FOB
x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.
| Punt tat-tieqa | Valur użat | Valur | Δ ass. | Δ % | Unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2022-04-29 | 108.4 | -13.840 | -11.33% | -2.53 |
| −14 | 2022-05-18 | 110.0 | -12.160 | -9.95% | -2.22 |
| −7 | 2022-05-25 | 116.4 | -5.790 | -4.74% | -1.06 |
| −3 | 2022-05-27 | 121.2 | -1.010 | -0.83% | -0.18 |
| −1 | 2022-05-31 | 125.5 | +3.330 | +2.73% | +0.61 |
| T0 | 2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 122.2 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 122.2 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +3 | 2022-06-03 | 125.7 | +3.480 | +2.85% | +0.64 |
| +7 | 2022-06-08 | 129.2 | +7.000 | +5.73% | +1.28 |
| +14 | 2022-06-15 | 125.0 | +2.760 | +2.26% | +0.50 |
| +30 | 2022-07-01 | 119.2 | -2.990 | -2.45% | -0.55 |
| +60 | 2022-07-29 | 111.5 | -10.690 | -8.75% | -1.95 |
| +90 | 2022-08-30 | 99.34 | -22.860 | -18.71% | -4.18 |
Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 4.48%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 764). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.
reported crude oil imports, all origins
x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.
| Punt tat-tieqa | Valur użat | Valur | Δ ass. | Δ % | Unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2022-05-01 | 2,394,852 | +350,210 | +17.13% | +0.89 |
| −14 | 2022-05-01 | 2,394,852 | +350,210 | +17.13% | +0.89 |
| −7 | 2022-05-01 | 2,394,852 | +350,210 | +17.13% | +0.89 |
| −3 | 2022-05-01 | 2,394,852 | +350,210 | +17.13% | +0.89 |
| −1 | 2022-05-01 | 2,394,852 | +350,210 | +17.13% | +0.89 |
| T0 | 2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 2,044,642 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 2,044,642 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +3 | 2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 2,044,642 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +7 | 2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 2,044,642 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +14 | 2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 2,044,642 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +30 | 2022-07-01 | 2,249,113 | +204,471 | +10.00% | +0.52 |
| +60 | 2022-07-01 | 2,249,113 | +204,471 | +10.00% | +0.52 |
| +90 | 2022-08-01 | 1,940,006 | -104,636 | -5.12% | -0.27 |
Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 19.25%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 36). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.
crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since
x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.
| Punt tat-tieqa | Valur użat | Valur | Δ ass. | Δ % | Unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2022-05-02 | 1.080 | -0.089 | -7.61% | -0.23 |
| −14 | 2022-05-16 | 1.120 | -0.049 | -4.16% | -0.12 |
| −7 | 2022-05-23 | 1.139 | -0.030 | -2.56% | -0.08 |
| −3 | 2022-05-23 | 1.139 | -0.030 | -2.56% | -0.08 |
| −1 | 2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 1.169 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| T0 | 2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 1.169 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 1.169 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +3 | 2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 1.169 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +7 | 2022-06-06 | 1.195 | +0.026 | +2.25% | +0.07 |
| +14 | 2022-06-13 | 1.216 | +0.047 | +4.05% | +0.12 |
| +30 | 2022-06-27 | 1.228 | +0.059 | +5.01% | +0.15 |
| +60 | 2022-07-25 | 1.264 | +0.095 | +8.11% | +0.24 |
| +90 | 2022-08-29 | 1.294 | +0.125 | +10.72% | +0.32 |
Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 33.46%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.
rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE
x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.
| Punt tat-tieqa | Valur użat | Valur | Δ ass. | Δ % | Unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2022-05-02 | 1.052 | -0.019 | -1.76% | -4.20 |
| −14 | 2022-05-18 | 1.052 | -0.019 | -1.76% | -4.23 |
| −7 | 2022-05-25 | 1.066 | -0.006 | -0.52% | -1.25 |
| −3 | 2022-05-27 | 1.072 | +0.001 | +0.09% | +0.22 |
| −1 | 2022-05-31 | 1.071 | +0.000 | +0.01% | +0.02 |
| T0 | 2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 1.071 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2022-06-02 | 1.069 | -0.002 | -0.19% | -0.45 |
| +3 | 2022-06-03 | 1.073 | +0.002 | +0.17% | +0.40 |
| +7 | 2022-06-08 | 1.074 | +0.003 | +0.25% | +0.60 |
| +14 | 2022-06-15 | 1.043 | -0.028 | -2.62% | -6.28 |
| +30 | 2022-07-01 | 1.043 | -0.029 | -2.68% | -6.42 |
| +60 | 2022-07-29 | 1.020 | -0.051 | -4.80% | -11.50 |
| +90 | 2022-08-30 | 1.003 | -0.068 | -6.33% | -15.16 |
Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 0.42%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 770). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.
esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1
x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab. Il-faxxa mdella hija l-firxa ammissibbli. Ma jitpinġa l-ebda punt tan-nofs: ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu.
| Punt tat-tieqa | Valur użat | Valur | Δ ass. | Δ % | Unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2022-05-01 | 0–35.00 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| −14 | 2022-05-01 | 0–35.00 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| −7 | 2022-05-01 | 0–35.00 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| −3 | 2022-05-01 | 0–35.00 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| −1 | 2022-05-01 | 0–35.00 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| T0 | 2022-06-01 | 0–28.85 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +1 | 2022-06-01 | 0–28.85 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +3 | 2022-06-01 | 0–28.85 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +7 | 2022-06-01 | 0–28.85 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +14 | 2022-06-01 | 0–28.85 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +30 | 2022-07-01 | 0–26.02 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +60 | 2022-07-01 | 0–26.02 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +90 | 2022-08-01 | 0–17.37 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.
esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2
x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab. Il-faxxa mdella hija l-firxa ammissibbli. Ma jitpinġa l-ebda punt tan-nofs: ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu.
| Punt tat-tieqa | Valur użat | Valur | Δ ass. | Δ % | Unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2022-05-01 | 0–6.522 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| −14 | 2022-05-01 | 0–6.522 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| −7 | 2022-05-01 | 0–6.522 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| −3 | 2022-05-01 | 0–6.522 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| −1 | 2022-05-01 | 0–6.522 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| T0 | 2022-06-01 | 0–7.438 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +1 | 2022-06-01 | 0–7.438 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +3 | 2022-06-01 | 0–7.438 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +7 | 2022-06-01 | 0–7.438 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +14 | 2022-06-01 | 0–7.438 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +30 | 2022-07-01 | 0–1.772 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +60 | 2022-07-01 | 0–1.772 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +90 | 2022-08-01 | 0–4.209 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.
esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma
x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.
| Punt tat-tieqa | Valur użat | Valur | Δ ass. | Δ % | Unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2022-05-01 | 96.00 | +1.000 | +1.05% | +0.53 |
| −14 | 2022-05-01 | 96.00 | +1.000 | +1.05% | +0.53 |
| −7 | 2022-05-01 | 96.00 | +1.000 | +1.05% | +0.53 |
| −3 | 2022-05-01 | 96.00 | +1.000 | +1.05% | +0.53 |
| −1 | 2022-05-01 | 96.00 | +1.000 | +1.05% | +0.53 |
| T0 | 2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 95.00 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 95.00 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +3 | 2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 95.00 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +7 | 2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 95.00 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +14 | 2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 95.00 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +30 | 2022-07-01 | 94.00 | -1.000 | -1.05% | -0.53 |
| +60 | 2022-07-01 | 94.00 | -1.000 | -1.05% | -0.53 |
| +90 | 2022-08-01 | 93.00 | -2.000 | -2.11% | -1.07 |
Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.97%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 36). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.
crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)
x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.
| Punt tat-tieqa | Valur użat | Valur | Δ ass. | Δ % | Unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2022-05-02 | 0.6576 | -0.070 | -9.62% | -1.20 |
| −14 | 2022-05-16 | 0.6754 | -0.052 | -7.17% | -0.90 |
| −7 | 2022-05-23 | 0.6922 | -0.035 | -4.85% | -0.61 |
| −3 | 2022-05-23 | 0.6922 | -0.035 | -4.85% | -0.61 |
| −1 | 2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0.7275 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| T0 | 2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0.7275 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0.7275 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +3 | 2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0.7275 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +7 | 2022-06-06 | 0.7496 | +0.022 | +3.04% | +0.38 |
| +14 | 2022-06-13 | 0.7533 | +0.026 | +3.54% | +0.44 |
| +30 | 2022-06-27 | 0.7214 | -0.006 | -0.84% | -0.11 |
| +60 | 2022-07-25 | 0.6761 | -0.051 | -7.07% | -0.88 |
| +90 | 2022-08-29 | 0.5990 | -0.129 | -17.67% | -2.21 |
Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 8.00%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.
stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom
x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.
| Punt tat-tieqa | Valur użat | Valur | Δ ass. | Δ % | Unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2022-05-01 | 10,842,052 | +262,675 | +2.48% | +0.96 |
| −14 | 2022-05-01 | 10,842,052 | +262,675 | +2.48% | +0.96 |
| −7 | 2022-05-01 | 10,842,052 | +262,675 | +2.48% | +0.96 |
| −3 | 2022-05-01 | 10,842,052 | +262,675 | +2.48% | +0.96 |
| −1 | 2022-05-01 | 10,842,052 | +262,675 | +2.48% | +0.96 |
| T0 | 2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 10,579,377 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 10,579,377 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +3 | 2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 10,579,377 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +7 | 2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 10,579,377 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +14 | 2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 10,579,377 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +30 | 2022-07-01 | 10,534,523 | -44,854 | -0.42% | -0.16 |
| +60 | 2022-07-01 | 10,534,523 | -44,854 | -0.42% | -0.16 |
| +90 | 2022-08-01 | 10,059,096 | -520,281 | -4.92% | -1.90 |
Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 2.59%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 36). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.
not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed
x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.
| Punt tat-tieqa | Valur użat | Valur | Δ ass. | Δ % | Unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2022-05-02 | -0.0993 | -0.099 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| −14 | 2022-05-16 | -0.0338 | -0.034 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| −7 | 2022-05-23 | -0.0130 | -0.013 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| −3 | 2022-05-23 | -0.0130 | -0.013 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| −1 | 2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0 | 0.000 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| T0 | 2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0 | 0.000 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +1 | 2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0 | 0.000 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +3 | 2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0 | 0.000 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +7 | 2022-06-06 | 0.0610 | +0.061 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +14 | 2022-06-13 | 0.0239 | +0.024 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +30 | 2022-06-27 | -0.0226 | -0.023 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +60 | 2022-07-25 | -0.1662 | -0.166 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +90 | 2022-08-29 | -0.3443 | -0.344 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.
Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi
x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.
| Punt tat-tieqa | Valur użat | Valur | Δ ass. | Δ % | Unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2022-05-02 | 1.423 | -0.211 | -12.93% | -6.04 |
| −14 | 2022-05-16 | 1.539 | -0.096 | -5.85% | -2.73 |
| −7 | 2022-05-23 | 1.585 | -0.049 | -3.01% | -1.41 |
| −3 | 2022-05-23 | 1.585 | -0.049 | -3.01% | -1.41 |
| −1 | 2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 1.634 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| T0 | 2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 1.634 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 1.634 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +3 | 2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 1.634 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +7 | 2022-06-06 | 1.729 | +0.095 | +5.80% | +2.71 |
| +14 | 2022-06-13 | 1.707 | +0.073 | +4.46% | +2.08 |
| +30 | 2022-06-27 | 1.664 | +0.030 | +1.83% | +0.85 |
| +60 | 2022-07-25 | 1.547 | -0.087 | -5.31% | -2.48 |
| +90 | 2022-08-29 | 1.385 | -0.249 | -15.24% | -7.11 |
Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 2.14%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.
Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi
x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.
| Punt tat-tieqa | Valur użat | Valur | Δ ass. | Δ % | Unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2022-05-02 | 0.9807 | -0.188 | -16.11% | -5.73 |
| −14 | 2022-05-16 | 1.087 | -0.082 | -7.05% | -2.51 |
| −7 | 2022-05-23 | 1.126 | -0.043 | -3.67% | -1.30 |
| −3 | 2022-05-23 | 1.126 | -0.043 | -3.67% | -1.30 |
| −1 | 2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 1.169 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| T0 | 2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 1.169 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 1.169 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +3 | 2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 1.169 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +7 | 2022-06-06 | 1.256 | +0.087 | +7.47% | +2.66 |
| +14 | 2022-06-13 | 1.240 | +0.071 | +6.10% | +2.17 |
| +30 | 2022-06-27 | 1.205 | +0.036 | +3.08% | +1.09 |
| +60 | 2022-07-25 | 1.098 | -0.071 | -6.11% | -2.17 |
| +90 | 2022-08-29 | 0.9500 | -0.219 | -18.73% | -6.66 |
Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 2.81%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.
total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes
x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.
| Punt tat-tieqa | Valur użat | Valur | Δ ass. | Δ % | Unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2022-05-02 | 0.4423 | -0.023 | -4.94% | -1.98 |
| −14 | 2022-05-16 | 0.4521 | -0.013 | -2.82% | -1.13 |
| −7 | 2022-05-23 | 0.4589 | -0.006 | -1.35% | -0.54 |
| −3 | 2022-05-23 | 0.4589 | -0.006 | -1.35% | -0.54 |
| −1 | 2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0.4652 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| T0 | 2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0.4652 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0.4652 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +3 | 2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0.4652 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +7 | 2022-06-06 | 0.4726 | +0.007 | +1.58% | +0.63 |
| +14 | 2022-06-13 | 0.4668 | +0.002 | +0.33% | +0.13 |
| +30 | 2022-06-27 | 0.4591 | -0.006 | -1.31% | -0.53 |
| +60 | 2022-07-25 | 0.4498 | -0.015 | -3.31% | -1.33 |
| +90 | 2022-08-29 | 0.4352 | -0.030 | -6.45% | -2.59 |
Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 2.50%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.
US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).
x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.
| Punt tat-tieqa | Valur użat | Valur | Δ ass. | Δ % | Unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2022-04-29 | 35.83 | -21.818 | -37.85% | -0.21 |
| −14 | 2022-05-18 | 48.89 | -8.756 | -15.19% | -0.08 |
| −7 | 2022-05-25 | 47.31 | -10.338 | -17.93% | -0.10 |
| −3 | 2022-05-27 | 51.09 | -6.550 | -11.36% | -0.06 |
| −1 | 2022-05-31 | 47.09 | -10.554 | -18.31% | -0.10 |
| T0 | 2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 57.64 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 57.64 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +3 | 2022-06-03 | 63.70 | +6.054 | +10.50% | +0.06 |
| +7 | 2022-06-08 | 54.93 | -2.716 | -4.71% | -0.03 |
| +14 | 2022-06-15 | 40.73 | -16.914 | -29.34% | -0.16 |
| +30 | 2022-07-01 | 40.89 | -16.750 | -29.06% | -0.16 |
| +60 | 2022-07-29 | 30.91 | -26.732 | -46.37% | -0.26 |
| +90 | 2022-08-30 | 14.86 | -42.786 | -74.22% | -0.41 |
Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 181.24%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 747). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.
US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).
x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.
| Punt tat-tieqa | Valur użat | Valur | Δ ass. | Δ % | Unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2022-04-29 | 81.86 | +38.872 | +90.43% | +0.52 |
| −14 | 2022-05-18 | 35.78 | -7.202 | -16.75% | -0.10 |
| −7 | 2022-05-25 | 40.71 | -2.274 | -5.29% | -0.03 |
| −3 | 2022-05-27 | 40.59 | -2.392 | -5.56% | -0.03 |
| −1 | 2022-05-31 | 34.70 | -8.286 | -19.28% | -0.11 |
| T0 | 2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 42.99 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 42.99 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +3 | 2022-06-03 | 46.69 | +3.702 | +8.61% | +0.05 |
| +7 | 2022-06-08 | 42.16 | -0.826 | -1.92% | -0.01 |
| +14 | 2022-06-15 | 56.44 | +13.452 | +31.29% | +0.18 |
| +30 | 2022-07-01 | 39.51 | -3.478 | -8.09% | -0.05 |
| +60 | 2022-07-29 | 31.37 | -11.612 | -27.01% | -0.15 |
| +90 | 2022-08-30 | 49.63 | +6.648 | +15.47% | +0.09 |
Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 175.17%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 747). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.
Mhux disponibbli: imblukkat mil-liċenzja
Jeżisti sors, iżda l-liċenzja tiegħu ma tippermettilniex nippubblikawh mill-ġdid. Dawn il-kanali mhumiex neqsin mid-dinja, iżda biss minn din il-paġna.
nol tat-tankers “dirty” mill-Golf Għarbi lejn il-Majjistral tal-Ewropa
In-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers (ringiela 17: BLOCKED).
Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.
prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati
Il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.
Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.
marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa
M’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.
Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.
prezz bl-ingrossa / rack
Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).
Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.
T0: 01/06/2022. Tieqa ta’ referenza: jiem -90 sa -31. Punti tat-tieqa kkalkulati: -30, -14, -7, -3, -1, 0, 1, 3, 7, 14, 30, 60, 90. Metodu: 1.0, kalkolu: event_study-1.0, ikkalkulat: 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC.
L-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”: huwa tassew ir-raġuni?
Il-mistoqsija tinqasam f’dimensjonijiet li jitkejlu separatament u qatt ma jingħaddu f’numru wieħed. Kull ringiela tgħid jekk nistgħux naraw dik id-dimensjoni, u tagħti ċifra ppubblikata waħda fejn nistgħu.
Mit-tmien kanali ta’ trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet li jirrapporta dan is-sit, kanali b’data f’dan il-kalkolu: 4 Ikkalkulat – għadd tar-ringieli ta’ hawn taħt, mhux kejl.
Metodoloġija §11.1 tippubblika l-limiti li jużaw is-sentenzi ta’ hawn taħt: it-tmien kanali kollha preżenti għall-paragun sħiħ, mill-inqas tlieta biex l-istqarrija tkun tista’ tiġi ttestjata hawn, u 2.0 unitajiet ta’ volatilità biex ċaqliq jiġi deskritt bħala barra mill-varjazzjoni normali ta’ serje. Dawn huma għażliet ta’ kliem ippubblikati, mhux testijiet statistiċi.
| Dimensjoni | Status | Ċifra ppubblikata, jew għaliex m’hemmx |
|---|---|---|
| Esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum (D1)Sehem miż-żejt mhux maħdum importat li r-rotta tiegħu teħtieġ l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz. | Firxa biss | 0–26.02 % tat-tunnellati importati punt tat-tieqa +30 d (2022-07) · l-ebda punt tan-nofs |
| Esponiment dirett tal-prodotti (D2)Sehem mill-prodotti raffinati importati li r-rotta tagħhom teħtieġ l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz. | Firxa biss | 0–1.772 % tat-tunnellati importati punt tat-tieqa +30 d (2022-07) · l-ebda punt tan-nofs |
| Kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza (D7)Il-jiem ta’ kopertura li jammontaw għalihom il-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati. Riżerva kontra interruzzjoni tal-provvista, mhux sehem mill-importazzjonijiet, u mhux kanal tal-prezz. | Osservat | 94.00 kopertura (jiem) punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-07-01)-1.05% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -0.53 unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
| Prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdumIl-prezz kwotat taż-żejt mhux maħdum li fuqu jiġu pprezzati t-tagħbijiet Ewropej. | Osservat | 119.2 $ għal kull barmil punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-07-01)-2.45% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -0.55 unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
| Prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinatiIl-prezz kwotat tal-prodotti li fuqu jipprezzaw ir-raffineriji u l-bejjiegħa bl-ingrossa. | Mhux disponibbli | Il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom. |
| Marġni tar-raffinarKemm qala’ r-raffinar ta’ barmil f’dan il-prodott. | Mhux disponibbli | M’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid. |
| NoliKemm swiet il-ġarr tal-merkanzija bil-baħar. | Mhux disponibbli | In-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers (ringiela 17: BLOCKED). |
| StokkijietL-istokkijiet miżmuma, li jassorbu jew ikabbru bidla fil-provvista. | Osservat | 10,534,523 t punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-07-01)-0.42% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -0.16 unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
| Prezzijiet bl-ingrossaIl-prezz bejn il-bieb tar-raffinerija u l-pompa tal-petrol. | Mhux disponibbli | Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). |
| Prezz fil-pompa mingħajr taxxiIl-prezz fil-pompa mingħajr id-dazju tas-sisa, il-VAT u taxxi oħra fuq il-karburant. | Osservat | 1.205 € għal kull litru punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-06-27)+3.08% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +1.09 unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
| Prezz fil-pompa bit-taxxiDak li fil-fatt ħallas sewwieq. | Osservat | 1.664 € għal kull litru punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-06-27)+1.83% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +0.85 unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
L-esponiment fiżiku (l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz) u l-esponiment tal-prezz huma mistoqsijiet differenti. Pajjiż kważi mingħajr esponiment fiżiku dirett xorta jista’ jara l-prezz fil-pompa tiegħu jiċċaqlaq: iż-żejt mhux maħdum jiġi pprezzat fuq livell globali – u serje li ċċaqilqet f’din it-tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.
X’għamel il-prezz fil-pompa madwar din id-data
Il-paġna tal-qsim tal-prezz tista’ tiġi ffissata fuq il-ġimgħat madwar id-data tal-avveniment, biex iċ-ċaqliq fil-pompa jinqasam fit-taxxa, fl-ispiża tal-input u fil-parti li l-ispiża tal-input ma tkoprix.
Qsim tal-prezz (25/05/2022 – 01/07/2022) →
It-tieqa hija madwar id-data ppubblikata tal-avveniment (jiem qabel: 7; jiem wara: 30). Hija tieqa biex wieħed iħares, mhux dikjarazzjoni li l-avveniment kien fl-oriġini ta’ dak li fiha.
Attwali kontra ż-żejt mhux maħdum biss: il-Polonja, petrol (Euro-super 95)
X’għamel il-prezz mingħajr taxxi minn erba’ ġimgħat qabel sa tlettax-il ġimgħa wara l-ġimgħa tal-avveniment, ħdejn dak li kien jagħmel li kieku segwa biss l-ispiża tal-input taż-żejt mhux maħdum bil-pass li tkejjel l-istima maħżuna tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet. Id-differenza mdella mhix spjegata miż-żejt mhux maħdum; mhix attribwita lill-avveniment jew lil xi ħaġa oħra.
- Bidla attwali mingħajr taxxi(prezzijiet uffiċjali)
- X’kien jagħmel iż-żejt mhux maħdum waħdu(ikkalkulat, bil-firxa)
- Imdellel: mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum(mhux attribwit lil ebda kawża)
Il-bidliet jitkejlu minn din il-ġimgħa tal-bullettin: 2022-05-30. Ir-reazzjoni għaż-żejt mhux maħdum hija meħuda mill-istima maħżuna tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet (tieqa: l-aktar tieqa riċenti ta’ tliet snin (2023-09-25 – 2026-09-14)). Il-faxxa ċara hija firxa konservattiva, mhux intervall ta’ 90%. Iż-żona mdella: mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum. Il-marġnijiet tar-raffinar, in-noli, il-marġnijiet tal-bejgħ bl-imnut u l-iżball tal-mudell huma kollha ġo fiha, u l-ebda wieħed minnhom ma jissemma bħala l-kawża tagħha.
- Fil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, il-Polonja) b’+5.9 c/l (firxa +3.0–+8.8); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’+3.6 c/l, u jibqa’ -2.3 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.
- Fil-perjodu ta’ 13-il ġimgħa wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, il-Polonja) b’+12.5 c/l (firxa +2.5–+22.6); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’-21.9 c/l, u jibqa’ -34.4 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.
X’jappoġġaw in-numri, sentenza b’sentenza
Kull sentenza ġejja minn mudell fiss, magħżul skont limiti ppubblikati. Iftaħ “Għaliex din is-sentenza” biex tara n-numri li għażluha. L-ebda parti minn dan it-test mhi miktuba minn mudell lingwistiku, u l-ebda parti minnu ma tattribwixxi kawża.
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, il-Polonja) inbidel b’+7.5%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.7 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- value
- 1.25637
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Poland
- z_score
- 7.994734559418676
- t0_value
- 1.16902
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- 7.47207062325709
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_PL_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-06-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 2.655995925231611
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.08735000000000004
- change_pct_from_t0
- 7.47207062325709
- observation_gap_days
- 2
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.8132839181993483
- change_in_volatility_units
- 2.655995925231611
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- value
- 1.25637
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Poland
- z_score
- 7.994734559418676
- t0_value
- 1.16902
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- 7.47207062325709
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_PL_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-06-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 2.655995925231611
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.08735000000000004
- change_pct_from_t0
- 7.47207062325709
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 2
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.8132839181993483
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- 2.655995925231611
Mudell
event.price_move.outside_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identità427049f0205b8ba4b28ddc1a76baa26fed38186722c69733bad4b5f865219b26· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, il-Polonja) inbidel b’+3.1%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.1 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- value
- 1.205
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Poland
- z_score
- 6.604707288958002
- t0_value
- 1.16902
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- 3.077791654548265
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_PL_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-06-27
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 1.0940209890078267
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.03598000000000012
- change_pct_from_t0
- 3.077791654548265
- observation_gap_days
- 4
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.8132839181993483
- change_in_volatility_units
- 1.0940209890078267
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- value
- 1.205
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Poland
- z_score
- 6.604707288958002
- t0_value
- 1.16902
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- 3.077791654548265
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_PL_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-06-27
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 1.0940209890078267
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.03598000000000012
- change_pct_from_t0
- 3.077791654548265
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 4
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.8132839181993483
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- 1.0940209890078267
Mudell
event.price_move.within_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identità083431324c1a78040398b278c271f2324d210a81740058dc257a7656a79f30f2· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, il-Polonja) inbidel b’-18.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’6.7 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- value
- 0.95004
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Poland
- z_score
- -0.2942873163885861
- t0_value
- 1.16902
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- -18.73192930830952
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_PL_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-08-29
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -6.658385663505642
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.21897999999999995
- change_pct_from_t0
- -18.73192930830952
- observation_gap_days
- 1
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.8132839181993483
- change_in_volatility_units
- -6.658385663505642
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- value
- 0.95004
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Poland
- z_score
- -0.2942873163885861
- t0_value
- 1.16902
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- -18.73192930830952
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_PL_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-08-29
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -6.658385663505642
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.21897999999999995
- change_pct_from_t0
- -18.73192930830952
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 1
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.8132839181993483
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- -6.658385663505642
Mudell
event.price_move.outside_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identitàdbef68e1f2bfc848ba27f38e6f3f829f7540bd22b57836fe3012bcb4dc73f158· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, il-Polonja) inbidel b’+5.8%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.7 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- value
- 1.72895
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Poland
- z_score
- 7.309626544248142
- t0_value
- 1.6342400000000001
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- 5.795354415508117
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_PL_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-06-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 2.706030401182875
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.09470999999999985
- change_pct_from_t0
- 5.795354415508117
- observation_gap_days
- 2
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.1416442376164064
- change_in_volatility_units
- 2.706030401182875
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- value
- 1.72895
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Poland
- z_score
- 7.309626544248142
- t0_value
- 1.6342400000000001
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- 5.795354415508117
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_PL_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-06-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 2.706030401182875
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.09470999999999985
- change_pct_from_t0
- 5.795354415508117
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 2
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.1416442376164064
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- 2.706030401182875
Mudell
event.price_move.outside_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identità39e9d865d1b4ff62b135f55b60102c2bf7e4d43541bfca5546253521ad03a74c· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, il-Polonja) inbidel b’+1.8%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.9 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- value
- 1.66411
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Poland
- z_score
- 5.871577887112998
- t0_value
- 1.6342400000000001
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- 1.8277609163892599
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_PL_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-06-27
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 0.8534381594692448
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.02986999999999984
- change_pct_from_t0
- 1.8277609163892599
- observation_gap_days
- 4
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.1416442376164064
- change_in_volatility_units
- 0.8534381594692448
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- value
- 1.66411
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Poland
- z_score
- 5.871577887112998
- t0_value
- 1.6342400000000001
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- 1.8277609163892599
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_PL_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-06-27
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 0.8534381594692448
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.02986999999999984
- change_pct_from_t0
- 1.8277609163892599
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 4
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.1416442376164064
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- 0.8534381594692448
Mudell
event.price_move.within_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identità97138cfddd8023aeace38b6bda6fadd7871b5dfdcccce68775399a777b8c920d· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, il-Polonja) inbidel b’-15.2%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’7.1 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- value
- 1.38524
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Poland
- z_score
- -0.31331768684254335
- t0_value
- 1.6342400000000001
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- -15.236440180144905
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_PL_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-08-29
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -7.11436564137406
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.2490000000000001
- change_pct_from_t0
- -15.236440180144905
- observation_gap_days
- 1
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.1416442376164064
- change_in_volatility_units
- -7.11436564137406
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- value
- 1.38524
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Poland
- z_score
- -0.31331768684254335
- t0_value
- 1.6342400000000001
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- -15.236440180144905
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_PL_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-08-29
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -7.11436564137406
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.2490000000000001
- change_pct_from_t0
- -15.236440180144905
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 1
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.1416442376164064
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- -7.11436564137406
Mudell
event.price_move.outside_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identitàfe9dbd09db92e143d56d454d6118aba87e56de6beec10cd0ac7dd6693a2c59ae· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz tal-komponent tat-taxxa (petrol, il-Polonja) inbidel b’+1.6%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.6 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- value
- 0.47258
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Poland
- z_score
- 3.354953014247134
- t0_value
- 0.4652200000000001
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- 1.5820472034736084
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- TAX_COMPONENT_PL_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- tax-component
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-06-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 0.6339067329389686
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.007359999999999922
- change_pct_from_t0
- 1.5820472034736084
- observation_gap_days
- 2
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.4957097334158225
- change_in_volatility_units
- 0.6339067329389686
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- value
- 0.47258
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Poland
- z_score
- 3.354953014247134
- t0_value
- 0.4652200000000001
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- 1.5820472034736084
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- TAX_COMPONENT_PL_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- tax-component
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-06-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 0.6339067329389686
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.007359999999999922
- change_pct_from_t0
- 1.5820472034736084
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 2
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.4957097334158225
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- 0.6339067329389686
Mudell
event.price_move.within_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identità4ea4f8fe06ad30efb0c182ed63f367312a3bc834f92dba3da96f627c8904655c· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz tal-komponent tat-taxxa (petrol, il-Polonja) inbidel b’-1.3%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.5 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatMedjaGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- value
- 0.45911
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Poland
- z_score
- 2.030806845501374
- t0_value
- 0.4652200000000001
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- -1.3133571213619488
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- TAX_COMPONENT_PL_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- tax-component
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-06-27
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -0.526245942697986
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.00611000000000006
- change_pct_from_t0
- -1.3133571213619488
- observation_gap_days
- 4
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.4957097334158225
- change_in_volatility_units
- -0.526245942697986
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- value
- 0.45911
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Poland
- z_score
- 2.030806845501374
- t0_value
- 0.4652200000000001
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- -1.3133571213619488
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- TAX_COMPONENT_PL_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- tax-component
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-06-27
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -0.526245942697986
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.00611000000000006
- change_pct_from_t0
- -1.3133571213619488
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 4
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.4957097334158225
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- -0.526245942697986
Mudell
event.price_move.within_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identità77bff0910e15cf88b392e4f19bdcf2ef0ddbf29020a0813d0e30670a0dcc922c· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz tal-komponent tat-taxxa (petrol, il-Polonja) inbidel b’-6.5%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.6 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatMedjaGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- value
- 0.4352
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Poland
- z_score
- -0.31962633153732173
- t0_value
- 0.4652200000000001
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- -6.452861011994346
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- TAX_COMPONENT_PL_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- tax-component
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-08-29
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -2.5855815384277316
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.030020000000000102
- change_pct_from_t0
- -6.452861011994346
- observation_gap_days
- 1
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.4957097334158225
- change_in_volatility_units
- -2.5855815384277316
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- value
- 0.4352
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Poland
- z_score
- -0.31962633153732173
- t0_value
- 0.4652200000000001
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- -6.452861011994346
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- TAX_COMPONENT_PL_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- tax-component
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-08-29
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -2.5855815384277316
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.030020000000000102
- change_pct_from_t0
- -6.452861011994346
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 1
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.4957097334158225
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- -2.5855815384277316
Mudell
event.price_move.outside_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identitàf518c67367833003f5816a52c1f4fe7cfa63f77344dd599ce5e77adb9980df3a· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, il-Polonja) inbidel b’+6.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.1 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- value
- 1.19513
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Poland
- z_score
- 0.8152428705026381
- t0_value
- 1.11843
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- 6.857827490321252
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_PL_DIESEL
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-06-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 2.0683995735776923
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.07669999999999999
- change_pct_from_t0
- 6.857827490321252
- observation_gap_days
- 2
- normal_volatility_pct
- 3.3155235467677695
- change_in_volatility_units
- 2.0683995735776923
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- value
- 1.19513
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Poland
- z_score
- 0.8152428705026381
- t0_value
- 1.11843
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- 6.857827490321252
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_PL_DIESEL
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-06-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 2.0683995735776923
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.07669999999999999
- change_pct_from_t0
- 6.857827490321252
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 2
- normal_volatility_pct
- 3.3155235467677695
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- 2.0683995735776923
Mudell
event.price_move.outside_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identitàc80ca77a45e3b02668de6888089cb12487f616c7f2ea1385c9b4547b7ad352d9· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, il-Polonja) inbidel b’+11.6%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’3.5 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- value
- 1.24866
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Poland
- z_score
- 1.5826254468843797
- t0_value
- 1.11843
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- 11.64400096563934
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_PL_DIESEL
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-06-27
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 3.5119644910954766
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.13023000000000007
- change_pct_from_t0
- 11.64400096563934
- observation_gap_days
- 4
- normal_volatility_pct
- 3.3155235467677695
- change_in_volatility_units
- 3.5119644910954766
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- value
- 1.24866
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Poland
- z_score
- 1.5826254468843797
- t0_value
- 1.11843
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- 11.64400096563934
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_PL_DIESEL
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-06-27
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 3.5119644910954766
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.13023000000000007
- change_pct_from_t0
- 11.64400096563934
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 4
- normal_volatility_pct
- 3.3155235467677695
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- 3.5119644910954766
Mudell
event.price_move.outside_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identitàa9f35bcf3aa20c9ba3c12290ac101fcf914c4546d9f21d4f3a69e894c2ccc2f3· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, il-Polonja) inbidel b’+5.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.7 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- value
- 1.18168
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Poland
- z_score
- 0.6224295760446823
- t0_value
- 1.11843
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- 5.6552488756560555
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_PL_DIESEL
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-08-29
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 1.7056880447038998
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.06325000000000003
- change_pct_from_t0
- 5.6552488756560555
- observation_gap_days
- 1
- normal_volatility_pct
- 3.3155235467677695
- change_in_volatility_units
- 1.7056880447038998
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- value
- 1.18168
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Poland
- z_score
- 0.6224295760446823
- t0_value
- 1.11843
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- 5.6552488756560555
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_PL_DIESEL
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-08-29
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 1.7056880447038998
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.06325000000000003
- change_pct_from_t0
- 5.6552488756560555
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 1
- normal_volatility_pct
- 3.3155235467677695
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- 1.7056880447038998
Mudell
event.price_move.within_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identità8303deec154da7a6879eb48081303f1747dc9893c6f74e6a305ed02f86ce9865· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, il-Polonja) inbidel b’+5.4%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.1 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- value
- 1.63085
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Poland
- z_score
- 0.8868699621311442
- t0_value
- 1.5476500000000002
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- 5.375892482150338
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_PL_DIESEL
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-06-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 2.0625754858957412
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.08319999999999972
- change_pct_from_t0
- 5.375892482150338
- observation_gap_days
- 2
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.6063979325419355
- change_in_volatility_units
- 2.0625754858957412
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- value
- 1.63085
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Poland
- z_score
- 0.8868699621311442
- t0_value
- 1.5476500000000002
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- 5.375892482150338
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_PL_DIESEL
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-06-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 2.0625754858957412
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.08319999999999972
- change_pct_from_t0
- 5.375892482150338
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 2
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.6063979325419355
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- 2.0625754858957412
Mudell
event.price_move.outside_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identità8bb9a8ae9acfc5ed619cb3a731d553c4d5bfbdef48949c5ce01d9a952dd3fbb0· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, il-Polonja) inbidel b’+8.6%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’3.3 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- value
- 1.6800899999999999
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Poland
- z_score
- 1.5017721779446391
- t0_value
- 1.5476500000000002
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- 8.557490388653743
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_PL_DIESEL
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-06-27
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 3.2832631893273105
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.13243999999999967
- change_pct_from_t0
- 8.557490388653743
- observation_gap_days
- 4
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.6063979325419355
- change_in_volatility_units
- 3.2832631893273105
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- value
- 1.6800899999999999
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Poland
- z_score
- 1.5017721779446391
- t0_value
- 1.5476500000000002
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- 8.557490388653743
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_PL_DIESEL
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-06-27
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 3.2832631893273105
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.13243999999999967
- change_pct_from_t0
- 8.557490388653743
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 4
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.6063979325419355
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- 3.2832631893273105
Mudell
event.price_move.outside_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identitàb8fa6865338b82154f08030622e7db74f6ad7870b8f84dc2869ddbac1e01c4b6· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, il-Polonja) inbidel b’+3.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.4 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- value
- 1.60455
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Poland
- z_score
- 0.5584392497855933
- t0_value
- 1.5476500000000002
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- 3.676541853778291
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_PL_DIESEL
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-08-29
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 1.4105834753301383
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.05689999999999973
- change_pct_from_t0
- 3.676541853778291
- observation_gap_days
- 1
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.6063979325419355
- change_in_volatility_units
- 1.4105834753301383
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- value
- 1.60455
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Poland
- z_score
- 0.5584392497855933
- t0_value
- 1.5476500000000002
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- 3.676541853778291
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_PL_DIESEL
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-08-29
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 1.4105834753301383
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.05689999999999973
- change_pct_from_t0
- 3.676541853778291
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 1
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.6063979325419355
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- 1.4105834753301383
Mudell
event.price_move.within_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identità89609d4adc0cb0242970a6d1ba15e219b42d9348d04668409111ed9ee32fd65d· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz tal-komponent tat-taxxa (diżil, il-Polonja) inbidel b’+1.5%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.6 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- value
- 0.43572
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Poland
- z_score
- 1.2060139933165765
- t0_value
- 0.4292200000000002
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- 1.5143749126321655
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- TAX_COMPONENT_PL_DIESEL
- series_kind
- tax-component
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-06-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 0.5810026645611985
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.006499999999999784
- change_pct_from_t0
- 1.5143749126321655
- observation_gap_days
- 2
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.606485314100745
- change_in_volatility_units
- 0.5810026645611985
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- value
- 0.43572
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Poland
- z_score
- 1.2060139933165765
- t0_value
- 0.4292200000000002
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- 1.5143749126321655
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- TAX_COMPONENT_PL_DIESEL
- series_kind
- tax-component
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-06-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 0.5810026645611985
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.006499999999999784
- change_pct_from_t0
- 1.5143749126321655
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 2
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.606485314100745
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- 0.5810026645611985
Mudell
event.price_move.within_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identitàd5b836d94b6d96b706ec72f6dccd16336dd8d519c08e9babcfdd401fbdf11760· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz tal-komponent tat-taxxa (diżil, il-Polonja) inbidel b’+0.5%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.2 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- value
- 0.4314299999999999
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Poland
- z_score
- 0.840374415130838
- t0_value
- 0.4292200000000002
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- 0.5148874702948864
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- TAX_COMPONENT_PL_DIESEL
- series_kind
- tax-component
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-06-27
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 0.19754090595078835
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.002209999999999712
- change_pct_from_t0
- 0.5148874702948864
- observation_gap_days
- 4
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.606485314100745
- change_in_volatility_units
- 0.19754090595078835
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- value
- 0.4314299999999999
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Poland
- z_score
- 0.840374415130838
- t0_value
- 0.4292200000000002
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- 0.5148874702948864
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- TAX_COMPONENT_PL_DIESEL
- series_kind
- tax-component
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-06-27
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 0.19754090595078835
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.002209999999999712
- change_pct_from_t0
- 0.5148874702948864
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 4
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.606485314100745
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- 0.19754090595078835
Mudell
event.price_move.within_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identitàa8be3f6a50953a3312dca3a41cbf8e6a2c8568f9e4246d61960f7930ac0750a9· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz tal-komponent tat-taxxa (diżil, il-Polonja) inbidel b’-1.5%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.6 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatMedjaGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- value
- 0.42287
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Poland
- z_score
- 0.11079987217749669
- t0_value
- 0.4292200000000002
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- -1.479427799263824
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- TAX_COMPONENT_PL_DIESEL
- series_kind
- tax-component
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-08-29
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -0.5675949107636682
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.006350000000000189
- change_pct_from_t0
- -1.479427799263824
- observation_gap_days
- 1
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.606485314100745
- change_in_volatility_units
- -0.5675949107636682
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- value
- 0.42287
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Poland
- z_score
- 0.11079987217749669
- t0_value
- 0.4292200000000002
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- -1.479427799263824
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- TAX_COMPONENT_PL_DIESEL
- series_kind
- tax-component
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-08-29
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -0.5675949107636682
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.006350000000000189
- change_pct_from_t0
- -1.479427799263824
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 1
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.606485314100745
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- -0.5675949107636682
Mudell
event.price_move.within_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identitàfc037bda3470373f284a040b938552a48381384f8d8a887a1fa32c77a23c2b8a· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, il-Polonja) b’+5.9 c/l (firxa +3.0–+8.8); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’+3.6 c/l, u jibqa’ -2.3 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatMedjaGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- weeks
- 4
- status
- COMPUTED
- country
- Poland
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- gap_label
- NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- series_code
- CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_PL_EURO_SUPER_95
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- offset_weeks
- 4
- proxy_product
- GASOLINE
- proxy_to_date
- 2022-06-27
- pass_through_k
- 2
- proxy_from_date
- 2022-05-27
- observation_date
- 2022-06-27
- gap_eur_per_litre
- -0.02261326928156234
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
- anchor_period_start
- 2022-05-30
- actual_eur_per_litre
- 0.03598000000000012
- expected_eur_per_litre
- 0.058593269281562464
- proxy_volatility_units
- -0.0631714707771465
- pass_through_sample_end
- 2026-09-14
- proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
- -5.850000000000001
- pass_through_sample_start
- 2023-09-25
- pass_through_window_label
- ROLLING_156W
- expected_low_eur_per_litre
- 0.029583599210064735
- expected_high_eur_per_litre
- 0.08760293935305932
- proxy_normal_volatility_pct
- 181.24455741814873
Limiti
- source
- docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
- proxy_rule
- the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
- confidence_cap
- MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
- statement_weeks
- [4,13]
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- weeks
- 4
- status
- COMPUTED
- country
- Poland
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- gap_label
- NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- series_code
- CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_PL_EURO_SUPER_95
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- offset_weeks
- 4
- proxy_product
- GASOLINE
- proxy_to_date
- 2022-06-27
- pass_through_k
- 2
- proxy_from_date
- 2022-05-27
- statement_topic
- event
- observation_date
- 2022-06-27
- gap_eur_per_litre
- -0.02261326928156234
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
- anchor_period_start
- 2022-05-30
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- actual_eur_per_litre
- 0.03598000000000012
- expected_eur_per_litre
- 0.058593269281562464
- proxy_volatility_units
- -0.0631714707771465
- pass_through_sample_end
- 2026-09-14
- proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
- -5.850000000000001
- pass_through_sample_start
- 2023-09-25
- pass_through_window_label
- ROLLING_156W
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- expected_low_eur_per_litre
- 0.029583599210064735
- expected_high_eur_per_litre
- 0.08760293935305932
- proxy_normal_volatility_pct
- 181.24455741814873
Mudell
event.crude_only.computedv1.2 · Marka tal-identitàc305743896a2917c9d99c082be2443c8be29146e1c6dd4f29816b182455f6264· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 13-il ġimgħa wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, il-Polonja) b’+12.5 c/l (firxa +2.5–+22.6); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’-21.9 c/l, u jibqa’ -34.4 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatMedjaGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- weeks
- 13
- status
- COMPUTED
- country
- Poland
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- gap_label
- NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- series_code
- CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_PL_EURO_SUPER_95
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- offset_weeks
- 13
- proxy_product
- GASOLINE
- proxy_to_date
- 2022-08-26
- pass_through_k
- 2
- proxy_from_date
- 2022-05-27
- observation_date
- 2022-08-29
- gap_eur_per_litre
- -0.3443024011349482
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
- anchor_period_start
- 2022-05-30
- actual_eur_per_litre
- -0.21897999999999995
- expected_eur_per_litre
- 0.12532240113494825
- proxy_volatility_units
- -0.3403268500876152
- pass_through_sample_end
- 2026-09-14
- proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
- -31.516000000000002
- pass_through_sample_start
- 2023-09-25
- pass_through_window_label
- ROLLING_156W
- expected_low_eur_per_litre
- 0.024589544335536905
- expected_high_eur_per_litre
- 0.22605525793435916
- proxy_normal_volatility_pct
- 181.24455741814873
Limiti
- source
- docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
- proxy_rule
- the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
- confidence_cap
- MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
- statement_weeks
- [4,13]
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- weeks
- 13
- status
- COMPUTED
- country
- Poland
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- gap_label
- NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- series_code
- CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_PL_EURO_SUPER_95
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- offset_weeks
- 13
- proxy_product
- GASOLINE
- proxy_to_date
- 2022-08-26
- pass_through_k
- 2
- proxy_from_date
- 2022-05-27
- statement_topic
- event
- observation_date
- 2022-08-29
- gap_eur_per_litre
- -0.3443024011349482
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
- anchor_period_start
- 2022-05-30
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- actual_eur_per_litre
- -0.21897999999999995
- expected_eur_per_litre
- 0.12532240113494825
- proxy_volatility_units
- -0.3403268500876152
- pass_through_sample_end
- 2026-09-14
- proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
- -31.516000000000002
- pass_through_sample_start
- 2023-09-25
- pass_through_window_label
- ROLLING_156W
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- expected_low_eur_per_litre
- 0.024589544335536905
- expected_high_eur_per_litre
- 0.22605525793435916
- proxy_normal_volatility_pct
- 181.24455741814873
Mudell
event.crude_only.computedv1.2 · Marka tal-identità40fca9911a2e6535f93a7aab55e4c230cd80364b894f1754013d9a90321f04b0· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, il-Polonja) b’+5.3 c/l (firxa -0.3–+10.9); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’+13.0 c/l, u jibqa’ +7.7 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum. Fl-istess perjodu, il-crack spread tal-Istati Uniti (diżil), indikatur tas-suq tal-prodotti tal-Atlantiku u mhux marġni Ewropew, kiber b’11.5 $/bbl.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatMedjaGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- weeks
- 4
- status
- COMPUTED
- country
- Poland
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- gap_label
- NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- series_code
- CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_PL_DIESEL
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- offset_weeks
- 4
- proxy_product
- DIESEL
- proxy_to_date
- 2022-06-27
- pass_through_k
- 1
- proxy_from_date
- 2022-05-27
- observation_date
- 2022-06-27
- gap_eur_per_litre
- 0.07723215221250646
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
- anchor_period_start
- 2022-05-30
- actual_eur_per_litre
- 0.13023000000000007
- expected_eur_per_litre
- 0.052997847787493606
- proxy_volatility_units
- 2.587160761067042
- pass_through_sample_end
- 2026-09-14
- proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
- 11.537999999999997
- pass_through_sample_start
- 2023-09-25
- pass_through_window_label
- ROLLING_156W
- expected_low_eur_per_litre
- -0.00275097078733981
- expected_high_eur_per_litre
- 0.10874666636232688
- proxy_normal_volatility_pct
- 9.342848145796136
Limiti
- source
- docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
- proxy_rule
- the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
- confidence_cap
- MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
- statement_weeks
- [4,13]
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- weeks
- 4
- status
- COMPUTED
- country
- Poland
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- gap_label
- NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- series_code
- CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_PL_DIESEL
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- offset_weeks
- 4
- proxy_product
- DIESEL
- proxy_to_date
- 2022-06-27
- pass_through_k
- 1
- proxy_from_date
- 2022-05-27
- statement_topic
- event
- observation_date
- 2022-06-27
- gap_eur_per_litre
- 0.07723215221250646
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
- anchor_period_start
- 2022-05-30
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- actual_eur_per_litre
- 0.13023000000000007
- expected_eur_per_litre
- 0.052997847787493606
- proxy_volatility_units
- 2.587160761067042
- pass_through_sample_end
- 2026-09-14
- proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
- 11.537999999999997
- pass_through_sample_start
- 2023-09-25
- pass_through_window_label
- ROLLING_156W
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- expected_low_eur_per_litre
- -0.00275097078733981
- expected_high_eur_per_litre
- 0.10874666636232688
- proxy_normal_volatility_pct
- 9.342848145796136
Mudell
event.crude_only.computed_with_proxyv1.2 · Marka tal-identitàcf052def3935c42b331e7befa503153947d509def4c875aa6d76aa7306bf9ee2· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 13-il ġimgħa wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, il-Polonja) b’+6.7 c/l (firxa -9.2–+22.7); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’+6.3 c/l, u jibqa’ -0.4 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum. Fl-istess perjodu, il-crack spread tal-Istati Uniti (diżil), indikatur tas-suq tal-prodotti tal-Atlantiku u mhux marġni Ewropew, kiber b’19.3 $/bbl.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatMedjaGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- weeks
- 13
- status
- COMPUTED
- country
- Poland
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- gap_label
- NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- series_code
- CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_PL_DIESEL
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- offset_weeks
- 13
- proxy_product
- DIESEL
- proxy_to_date
- 2022-08-26
- pass_through_k
- 1
- proxy_from_date
- 2022-05-27
- observation_date
- 2022-08-29
- gap_eur_per_litre
- -0.004006059344539681
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
- anchor_period_start
- 2022-05-30
- actual_eur_per_litre
- 0.06325000000000003
- expected_eur_per_litre
- 0.06725605934453971
- proxy_volatility_units
- 4.337945231721529
- pass_through_sample_end
- 2026-09-14
- proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
- 19.345999999999997
- pass_through_sample_start
- 2023-09-25
- pass_through_window_label
- ROLLING_156W
- expected_low_eur_per_litre
- -0.09245646751360874
- expected_high_eur_per_litre
- 0.22696858620269217
- proxy_normal_volatility_pct
- 9.342848145796136
Limiti
- source
- docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
- proxy_rule
- the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
- confidence_cap
- MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
- statement_weeks
- [4,13]
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- weeks
- 13
- status
- COMPUTED
- country
- Poland
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- gap_label
- NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- series_code
- CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_PL_DIESEL
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- offset_weeks
- 13
- proxy_product
- DIESEL
- proxy_to_date
- 2022-08-26
- pass_through_k
- 1
- proxy_from_date
- 2022-05-27
- statement_topic
- event
- observation_date
- 2022-08-29
- gap_eur_per_litre
- -0.004006059344539681
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
- anchor_period_start
- 2022-05-30
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- actual_eur_per_litre
- 0.06325000000000003
- expected_eur_per_litre
- 0.06725605934453971
- proxy_volatility_units
- 4.337945231721529
- pass_through_sample_end
- 2026-09-14
- proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
- 19.345999999999997
- pass_through_sample_start
- 2023-09-25
- pass_through_window_label
- ROLLING_156W
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- expected_low_eur_per_litre
- -0.09245646751360874
- expected_high_eur_per_litre
- 0.22696858620269217
- proxy_normal_volatility_pct
- 9.342848145796136
Mudell
event.crude_only.computed_with_proxyv1.2 · Marka tal-identità43f35777560dc42efee99e8836573c32943837e2ff46ee41a554b778670d6e59· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCIl-Polonja, Ġunju 2022: id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (żejt mhux maħdum) kienet moderata (0%–29%). Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: il-pajjiżi sħab ikkonċernati jesportaw kemm minn ġewwa kif ukoll minn barra l-Golf Persjan, u l-qsim għal kull perjodu mhux pubbliku.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatMedjaGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- band
- moderate
- unit
- % of imported tonnes
- period
- 2022-06
- status
- NO_OBSERVATION
- country
- Poland
- commodity
- crude
- dimension
- DIRECT_CRUDE
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- value_max_pct
- 28.8456727387973
- value_min_pct
- 0
- exposure_status
- RANGE_ONLY
- value_point_pct
- null
- observation_date
- 2022-06-01
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
- band_applied_to
- upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
- dependence_limited_max_pct
- 10
- dependence_moderate_max_pct
- 33
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- band
- moderate
- unit
- % of imported tonnes
- period
- 2022-06
- status
- NO_OBSERVATION
- country
- Poland
- commodity
- crude
- dimension
- DIRECT_CRUDE
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- value_max_pct
- 28.8456727387973
- value_min_pct
- 0
- exposure_status
- RANGE_ONLY
- statement_topic
- hormuz
- value_point_pct
- null
- observation_date
- 2022-06-01
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
Mudell
event.dependence.rangev1.2 · Marka tal-identitàfa172667071714d90c11c706dc5496f23b7c345660bd7f6268390f42e77c3a30· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCIl-Polonja, Ġunju 2022: id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (prodott raffinat) kienet limitata (0%–7%). Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: il-pajjiżi sħab ikkonċernati jesportaw kemm minn ġewwa kif ukoll minn barra l-Golf Persjan, u l-qsim għal kull perjodu mhux pubbliku.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatMedjaGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- band
- limited
- unit
- % of imported tonnes
- period
- 2022-06
- status
- NO_OBSERVATION
- country
- Poland
- commodity
- refined product
- dimension
- DIRECT_PRODUCT
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- value_max_pct
- 7.43831977040719
- value_min_pct
- 0
- exposure_status
- RANGE_ONLY
- value_point_pct
- null
- observation_date
- 2022-06-01
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
- band_applied_to
- upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
- dependence_limited_max_pct
- 10
- dependence_moderate_max_pct
- 33
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- band
- limited
- unit
- % of imported tonnes
- period
- 2022-06
- status
- NO_OBSERVATION
- country
- Poland
- commodity
- refined product
- dimension
- DIRECT_PRODUCT
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- value_max_pct
- 7.43831977040719
- value_min_pct
- 0
- exposure_status
- RANGE_ONLY
- statement_topic
- hormuz
- value_point_pct
- null
- observation_date
- 2022-06-01
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
Mudell
event.dependence.rangev1.2 · Marka tal-identità24355e302c971cb418f72acf8ae880d17d9fde69f63b1ba7fbed7cb667ce4cd3· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCL-evidenza disponibbli ma turix tnaqqis fiżiku fil-provvista: l-importazzjonijiet irrappurtati taż-żejt mhux maħdum (il-Polonja, Ġunju 2022) meta mqabbla mal-medja tax-xhur ta’ qabel (12): -5.1%.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- tonnes
- month
- 2022-06
- country
- Poland
- change_pct
- -5.091931889101045
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- value_tonnes
- 2044642
- baseline_months
- 12
- observation_date
- 2022-06-01
- series_source_ids
- ["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
- crude_imports_rule
- crude_imports_total-1.1
- baseline_mean_tonnes
- 2154339.5
- baseline_window_months
- 12
- value_not_published_code
- null
- baseline_not_published_months
- 0
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no cut-off
- min_baseline_months
- 6
- baseline_months_used
- 12
- supply_reduction_pct
- -10
- supply_baseline_months
- 12
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- tonnes
- month
- 2022-06
- country
- Poland
- change_pct
- -5.091931889101045
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- value_tonnes
- 2044642
- baseline_months
- 12
- statement_topic
- event
- observation_date
- 2022-06-01
- series_source_ids
- ["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
- crude_imports_rule
- crude_imports_total-1.1
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- baseline_mean_tonnes
- 2154339.5
- baseline_window_months
- 12
- value_not_published_code
- null
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- baseline_not_published_months
- 0
Mudell
event.supply.no_reductionv1.2 · Marka tal-identità9074efaea0206bddbf0818de831c376ceb72f4d97ee3e18cef087d24f9509f7d· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCĠunju 2022: l-istokkijiet taż-żejt (il-Polonja) kienu 0.6% ogħla meta mqabbla mal-medja mobbli tagħhom (xhur: 12) — ġewwa l-faxxa ta’ 5% fuq kull naħa li dan is-sit jaqra bħala konformi magħha, jiem ta’ kopertura: 95.0 (kif ippubblikati).
pajjiż: il-PolonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- tonnes
- month
- 2022-06
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Poland
- direction
- above
- siec_code
- O4000
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- holder_type
- STK_CL
- series_code
- INVENTORY_PL
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- days_of_cover
- 95
- metric_status
- COMPUTED
- mom_change_pct
- -2.4227424845407493
- observation_date
- 2022-06-01
- series_source_ids
- ["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
- total_stock_tonnes
- 10579377
- days_of_cover_basis
- as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
- observation_gap_days
- 0
- trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
- 10514708.666666666
- level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
- 0.6150273429671185
- trailing_12m_observations
- 12
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no band
- band_applied_to
- the rounded figure printed in the sentence
- days_of_cover_basis
- as published (Eurostat nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); never stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
- trailing_window_months
- 12
- level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_raw
- 0.6150273429671185
- level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_shown
- 0.6
- inventory_material_deviation_pct
- 5
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- tonnes
- month
- 2022-06
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Poland
- direction
- above
- siec_code
- O4000
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- holder_type
- STK_CL
- series_code
- INVENTORY_PL
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- days_of_cover
- 95
- metric_status
- COMPUTED
- mom_change_pct
- -2.4227424845407493
- statement_topic
- event
- observation_date
- 2022-06-01
- series_source_ids
- ["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
- total_stock_tonnes
- 10579377
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- days_of_cover_basis
- as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 0
- trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
- 10514708.666666666
- level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
- 0.6150273429671185
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- trailing_12m_observations
- 12
Mudell
event.inventory_level.in_linev1.2 · Marka tal-identità9e50b8c46c3efdf4f23b8a010d23acdbb7202b78ec211e1c1726357e93d2eba6· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCSommarju ta’ x’jista’ jiġi vverifikat hawn
Parti biss mill-katina tista’ tiġi vverifikata għal dan il-pajjiż (il-Polonja) madwar l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”: serje disponibbli: 4 minn 8 (prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdum, stokkijiet, prezz fil-pompa mingħajr taxxi u prezz fil-pompa bit-taxxi); mhux disponibbli: prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinati, marġni tar-raffinar, noli u prezzijiet bl-ingrossa. Kull dikjarazzjoni bbażata fuq ir-rabtiet neqsin ma tistax tiġi ttestjata hawn. Id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (żejt mhux maħdum) kienet moderata (0–29%) matul il-perjodu kopert. Din il-paġna tiddeskrivi x’għamlet kull serje madwar id-data tal-avveniment. Mhijiex sejba dwar kawża: l-ebda disinn kawżali mhu ppubblikat għal dan is-sit, u serje li ċċaqilqet fl-istess tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.
pajjiż: il-PolonjaMhux magħrufMhux magħrufaGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- country
- Poland
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- dependence_band
- moderate
- dependence_range
- 0–29%
- channels_available
- ["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
- supply_template_id
- event.supply.no_reduction
- channels_unavailable
- ["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; the channel list is docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.3
- channels_total
- 8
- channels_available
- 4
- verdict_partial_min_channels
- 3
- verdict_assessable_min_channels
- 8
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- country
- Poland
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- country_iso2
- PL
- country_name
- Poland
- country_slug
- poland
- dependence_band
- moderate
- statement_topic
- event
- dependence_range
- 0–29%
- channels_available
- ["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
- supply_template_id
- event.supply.no_reduction
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- channels_unavailable
- ["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
Mudell
event.verdict.partialv1.2 · Marka tal-identitàfabca0a8bc56869569c4ab1381a4b72071a8dbdee71c81b7c6d48a143a0d61da· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’+5.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.3 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- $/BBL
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- value
- 129.2
- status
- OBSERVED
- z_score
- 2.0172282715868546
- t0_value
- 122.2
- benchmark
- Brent crude
- change_pct
- 5.7283142389525255
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- BRENT
- variation_label
- day-to-day
- observation_date
- 2022-06-08
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 1.2799598046880034
- series_source_ids
- ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 6.999999999999986
- change_pct_from_t0
- 5.7283142389525255
- observation_gap_days
- 0
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.4753860378832995
- change_in_volatility_units
- 1.2799598046880034
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- $/BBL
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- value
- 129.2
- status
- OBSERVED
- z_score
- 2.0172282715868546
- t0_value
- 122.2
- benchmark
- Brent crude
- change_pct
- 5.7283142389525255
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- BRENT
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- day-to-day
- observation_date
- 2022-06-08
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 1.2799598046880034
- series_source_ids
- ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 6.999999999999986
- change_pct_from_t0
- 5.7283142389525255
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 0
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.4753860378832995
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- 1.2799598046880034
Mudell
event.benchmark_move.within_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identitàf87dd225bc59dba803e038025a29e47ed148997fb21d856c0cd78839753ee67a· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’-2.4%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.5 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- $/BBL
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- value
- 119.21
- status
- OBSERVED
- z_score
- 0.8887326572425913
- t0_value
- 122.2
- benchmark
- Brent crude
- change_pct
- -2.4468085106383053
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- BRENT
- variation_label
- day-to-day
- observation_date
- 2022-07-01
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -0.5467256880024499
- series_source_ids
- ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -2.990000000000009
- change_pct_from_t0
- -2.4468085106383053
- observation_gap_days
- 0
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.4753860378832995
- change_in_volatility_units
- -0.5467256880024499
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- $/BBL
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- value
- 119.21
- status
- OBSERVED
- z_score
- 0.8887326572425913
- t0_value
- 122.2
- benchmark
- Brent crude
- change_pct
- -2.4468085106383053
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- BRENT
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- day-to-day
- observation_date
- 2022-07-01
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -0.5467256880024499
- series_source_ids
- ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -2.990000000000009
- change_pct_from_t0
- -2.4468085106383053
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 0
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.4753860378832995
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- -0.5467256880024499
Mudell
event.benchmark_move.within_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identitàfad3fa12c4cda01a6223521c8666f80ff0cc67ef8185a2d6e383ba814fecdcc1· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’-18.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’4.2 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- $/BBL
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- value
- 99.34
- status
- OBSERVED
- z_score
- -1.355832693810513
- t0_value
- 122.2
- benchmark
- Brent crude
- change_pct
- -18.707037643207855
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- BRENT
- variation_label
- day-to-day
- observation_date
- 2022-08-30
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -4.179983019309688
- series_source_ids
- ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -22.86
- change_pct_from_t0
- -18.707037643207855
- observation_gap_days
- 0
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.4753860378832995
- change_in_volatility_units
- -4.179983019309688
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- $/BBL
- event
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- value
- 99.34
- status
- OBSERVED
- z_score
- -1.355832693810513
- t0_value
- 122.2
- benchmark
- Brent crude
- change_pct
- -18.707037643207855
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- BRENT
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- day-to-day
- observation_date
- 2022-08-30
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -4.179983019309688
- series_source_ids
- ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -22.86
- change_pct_from_t0
- -18.707037643207855
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 0
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.4753860378832995
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- -4.179983019309688
Mudell
event.benchmark_move.outside_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identità3c93fc5aedb651c26598bd6d9310189a42a1c8df629f57a43bf0be16cf35bb23· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCNoli – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: in-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufaGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- channels
- ["freight rates"]
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- reason_code
- NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
Limiti
- source
- CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
- any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
- true
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- channels
- ["freight rates"]
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- reason_code
- NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
- statement_topic
- event
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
Mudell
event.channel.unavailablev1.2 · Marka tal-identità5682d55cccd2b29a396302436312a88aeeb0ee29362398f48b45370bc339e780· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCPrezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinati – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni. Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufaGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- channels
- ["refined-product benchmark"]
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- reason_code
- NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
Limiti
- source
- CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
- any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
- true
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- channels
- ["refined-product benchmark"]
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- reason_code
- NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
- statement_topic
- event
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
Mudell
event.channel.unavailablev1.2 · Marka tal-identità9f428e998d4f8e3f0b62ce0e589b72e73c5860218140f2727aa93741661c7d36· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCPrezzijiet bl-ingrossa – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufaGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- channels
- ["wholesale prices"]
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- reason_code
- NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
Limiti
- source
- CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
- any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
- true
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- channels
- ["wholesale prices"]
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- reason_code
- NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
- statement_topic
- event
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
Mudell
event.channel.unavailablev1.2 · Marka tal-identità56fb16ffc2601451cfda44b453655b8c4394e0f659ccd04a0f7a8a13e347bf80· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCMarġni tar-raffinar – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: m’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufaGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- channels
- ["refining margin"]
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- reason_code
- NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
Limiti
- source
- CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
- any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
- true
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
- channels
- ["refining margin"]
- event_name
- Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
- event_slug
- de-tankrabatt-2022
- event_type
- TAX_CHANGE
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- reason_code
- NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
- statement_topic
- event
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
Mudell
event.channel.unavailablev1.2 · Marka tal-identità98f34b162486945bf201f66ee3c233374109d50156f5d4ec98817b088ac4af77· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
X’ma jurix dan
- Ma jurix li l-avveniment kien fl-oriġini ta’ xi ħaġa. L-ebda disinn kawżali mhu ppubblikat għal dan is-sit, u serje li ċċaqilqet f’din it-tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.
- Bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza, u lanqas punteġġ z ma hu. Ikejlu affarijiet differenti u mhumiex interkambjabbli.
- Il-kanali mingħajr sors b’liċenzja għall-użu jew diġà mtella’ jintwerew bħala pannelli vojta, mhux bħala linji ċatti. “Ma nistgħux naraw dan” ma jfissirx “dan ma ċċaqlaqx”.
- Xejn ma jiġi interpolat. Fejn diversi punti tat-tieqa jaqgħu fuq ċifra ppubblikata waħda, dak hu li stampa l-pubblikatur, u l-bidla meta mqabbla mad-data tal-avveniment hija żero: huwa l-istess numru.
Kif jinqraw it-tikketti
- UffiċjaliIrrappurtat direttament minn awtorità uffiċjali.
- IvverifikatIrrappurtat minn parti terza u vverifikat minna ma’ rekord primarju.
- IkkalkulatIkkalkulat minna minn inputs irrappurtati. Il-metodu huwa ppubblikat fil-paġna tal-metodoloġija.
- Inferit · kunfidenza għoljaMhux irrappurtat. Inferit minn mill-inqas żewġ rekords fiżiċi indipendenti.
- Inferit · kunfidenza medjaMhux irrappurtat. Inferit minn evidenza indiretta qawwija, mingħajr konferma espliċita.
- Inferit · kunfidenza baxxaMhux irrappurtat. Plawżibbli biss minn data dwar l-infrastruttura jew il-movimenti. Taqrahx bħala fatt.
- Mhux magħrufL-ebda evidenza pubblika difendibbli ma tistabbilixxi dan. Ma nagħmlux suppożizzjonijiet, u dan mhuwiex kejl ta’ żero.