Avvenimenti / Projbizzjoni fuq l-importazzjoni
Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)
- Dati
- 05/02/2023 → l-ebda data tat-tmiem irreġistrata
- Preċiżjoni tad-data
- jum
- Status
- Għadu għaddej
- Ambitu
- L-Unjoni Ewropea
X’qalu s-sorsi (bl-Ingliż)
Second phase of the sixth sanctions package of 3 June 2022 (Council Regulation (EU) 2022/879 amending Regulation (EU) No 833/2014): an eight-month wind-down for refined petroleum products against six months for seaborne crude. Eurostat, 19 June 2023: "The ban on imports of seaborne crude oil entered into force on 5 December 2022, while the ban on petroleum products took effect on 5 February 2023." Recorded as a separate marker because each event on this timeline has a single start date and the two phases have different in-force dates. This row is a timeline marker only; it makes no statement about prices.
L-AIE, l-EIA, il-Kummissjoni Ewropea, il-Kunsill Ewropew u leġiżlaturi nazzjonali (iċċitati għal kull ringiela)Uffiċjali
Minn fejn ġejja d-data
UffiċjaliUffiċjali- Identifikatur tas-sett tad-data
- Fuel Origin: kronoloġija tal-avvenimenti, magħżula u mħejjija minna (data/reference/events.csv)events.csvreference_events_v1
- Perjodu
- mhux irreġistrat
- Miġbur
- 03/10/2026 19:34 UTC
- Tip
- Uffiċjali
- Trasformazzjoni
- xejn – maħżun eżatt kif ippubblikat
- Liċenzja
- Għal kull ringiela: kull ringiela tista’ tiġi traċċata lura għad-dokument tal-aġenzija jew leġiżlattiv imsemmi f’source_urls.
- Rekord ta’ avveniment jiddeskrivi x’ġara, mhux x’kien fl-oriġini tiegħu (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §5).
- Punti tat-tieqa b’valur osservat: 6,944 minn 10,179; il-bqija huma toqob irreġistrati, mhux żeri.
- Kanali mingħajr sors li jista’ jintuża: NO_COMPUTED_PASS_THROUGH_ESTIMATE, NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE, NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK, NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES, NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES.
Jekk tagħżel karburant, jinżammu s-serje ta’ dak il-karburant u l-kanali komuni għall-karburanti kollha – il-prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdum, ir-rata tal-kambju, l-importazzjonijiet taż-żejt mhux maħdum u l-esponiment għal Hormuz. Jitneħħew biss is-serje tal-karburant l-ieħor.
It-tieqa tal-avveniment
Kemm kienet tiswa kull serje fil-jiem madwar id-data tal-avveniment (minn -30 sa 90), kemm dan hu ’l bogħod mil-livell tal-istess serje fid-data tal-avveniment, u kemm hu kbir dak iċ-ċaqliq meta mqabbel mal-varjazzjoni normali tas-serje stess.
Il-Latvja, Diżil (żejt tal-gass għall-vetturi). Serje li jistgħu jitpinġew: 16; serje li ma jistgħu jidhru bl-ebda mod, murija hawn taħt bħala pannelli vojta b’tikketta: 4.
Qari ppubblikat: 195; punti tat-tieqa mingħajr xejn ippubblikat fi żmien perjodu wieħed: 13; punti tat-tieqa fuq serje li ma nistgħu naraw xejn minnhom: 52. Kollha jidhru f’din il-paġna.
Europe Brent spot FOB
x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.
| Punt tat-tieqa | Valur użat | Valur | Δ ass. | Δ % | Unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2023-01-06 | 76.41 | -2.440 | -3.09% | -0.68 |
| −14 | 2023-01-20 | 86.96 | +8.110 | +10.29% | +2.27 |
| −7 | 2023-01-27 | 85.36 | +6.510 | +8.26% | +1.82 |
| −3 | 2023-02-02 | 80.57 | +1.720 | +2.18% | +0.48 |
| −1 | 2023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 78.85 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| T0 | 2023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 78.85 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2023-02-06 | 80.48 | +1.630 | +2.07% | +0.46 |
| +3 | 2023-02-08 | 84.17 | +5.320 | +6.75% | +1.49 |
| +7 | 2023-02-10 | 85.46 | +6.610 | +8.38% | +1.85 |
| +14 | 2023-02-17 | 81.97 | +3.120 | +3.96% | +0.87 |
| +30 | 2023-03-06 | 85.86 | +7.010 | +8.89% | +1.96 |
| +60 | 2023-04-06 | 86.56 | +7.710 | +9.78% | +2.16 |
| +90 | 2023-05-05 | 75.85 | -3.000 | -3.80% | -0.84 |
Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 4.53%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 757). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.
reported crude oil imports, all origins
x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.
| Punt tat-tieqa | Valur użat | Valur | Δ ass. | Δ % | Unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2023-01-01 | 0 | 0.000 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| −14 | 2023-01-01 | 0 | 0.000 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| −7 | 2023-01-01 | 0 | 0.000 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| −3 | 2023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0 | 0.000 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| −1 | 2023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0 | 0.000 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| T0 | 2023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0 | 0.000 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +1 | 2023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0 | 0.000 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +3 | 2023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0 | 0.000 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +7 | 2023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0 | 0.000 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +14 | 2023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0 | 0.000 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +30 | 2023-03-01 | 0 | 0.000 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +60 | 2023-04-01 | 0 | 0.000 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +90 | 2023-05-01 | 0 | 0.000 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.
crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since
x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.
| Punt tat-tieqa | Valur użat | Valur | Δ ass. | Δ % | Unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2023-01-02 | 0.9417 | -0.057 | -5.69% | -0.07 |
| −14 | 2023-01-16 | 0.9591 | -0.039 | -3.95% | -0.05 |
| −7 | 2023-01-23 | 0.9832 | -0.015 | -1.53% | -0.02 |
| −3 | 2023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0.9985 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| −1 | 2023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0.9985 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| T0 | 2023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0.9985 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2023-02-06 | 1.011 | +0.012 | +1.24% | +0.02 |
| +3 | 2023-02-06 | 1.011 | +0.012 | +1.24% | +0.02 |
| +7 | 2023-02-06 | 1.011 | +0.012 | +1.24% | +0.02 |
| +14 | 2023-02-13 | 1.015 | +0.016 | +1.65% | +0.02 |
| +30 | 2023-03-06 | 1.044 | +0.045 | +4.51% | +0.06 |
| +60 | 2023-04-03 | 1.065 | +0.067 | +6.69% | +0.08 |
| +90 | 2023-05-01 | 1.136 | +0.138 | +13.81% | +0.17 |
Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 81.83%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 149). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.
rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE
x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.
| Punt tat-tieqa | Valur użat | Valur | Δ ass. | Δ % | Unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2023-01-06 | 1.050 | -0.044 | -4.00% | -7.81 |
| −14 | 2023-01-20 | 1.083 | -0.011 | -1.01% | -1.98 |
| −7 | 2023-01-27 | 1.087 | -0.007 | -0.66% | -1.29 |
| −3 | 2023-02-02 | 1.099 | +0.005 | +0.47% | +0.91 |
| −1 | 2023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 1.094 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| T0 | 2023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 1.094 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2023-02-06 | 1.078 | -0.016 | -1.47% | -2.88 |
| +3 | 2023-02-08 | 1.074 | -0.020 | -1.85% | -3.61 |
| +7 | 2023-02-10 | 1.069 | -0.025 | -2.26% | -4.41 |
| +14 | 2023-02-17 | 1.063 | -0.031 | -2.85% | -5.57 |
| +30 | 2023-03-07 | 1.067 | -0.027 | -2.49% | -4.86 |
| +60 | 2023-04-06 | 1.092 | -0.002 | -0.20% | -0.39 |
| +90 | 2023-05-05 | 1.101 | +0.008 | +0.70% | +1.38 |
Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 0.51%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 772). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.
esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1
x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Il-linja tieqaf f’dawn il-punti tat-tieqa, fejn ma ġiet ippubblikata l-ebda ċifra fi żmien perjodu wieħed: −30, −14, −7, −3, −1, T0, +1, +3, +7, +14, +30, +60, +90.
| Punt tat-tieqa | Valur użat | Valur | Δ ass. | Δ % | Unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2023-01-01 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| −14 | 2023-01-01 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| −7 | 2023-01-01 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| −3 | 2023-02-01 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| −1 | 2023-02-01 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| T0 | 2023-02-01 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +1 | 2023-02-01 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +3 | 2023-02-01 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +7 | 2023-02-01 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +14 | 2023-02-01 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +30 | 2023-03-01 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +60 | 2023-04-01 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +90 | 2023-05-01 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.
esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2
x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.
| Punt tat-tieqa | Valur użat | Valur | Δ ass. | Δ % | Unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2023-01-01 | 0 | 0.000 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| −14 | 2023-01-01 | 0 | 0.000 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| −7 | 2023-01-01 | 0 | 0.000 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| −3 | 2023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0 | 0.000 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| −1 | 2023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0 | 0.000 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| T0 | 2023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0 | 0.000 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +1 | 2023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0 | 0.000 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +3 | 2023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0 | 0.000 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +7 | 2023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0 | 0.000 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +14 | 2023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0 | 0.000 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +30 | 2023-03-01 | 0 | 0.000 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +60 | 2023-04-01 | 0 | 0.000 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +90 | 2023-05-01 | 0 | 0.000 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.
esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma
x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.
| Punt tat-tieqa | Valur użat | Valur | Δ ass. | Δ % | Unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2023-01-01 | 55.00 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| −14 | 2023-01-01 | 55.00 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| −7 | 2023-01-01 | 55.00 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| −3 | 2023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 55.00 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| −1 | 2023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 55.00 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| T0 | 2023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 55.00 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 55.00 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +3 | 2023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 55.00 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +7 | 2023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 55.00 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +14 | 2023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 55.00 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +30 | 2023-03-01 | 55.00 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +60 | 2023-04-01 | 53.00 | -2.000 | -3.64% | -0.23 |
| +90 | 2023-05-01 | 53.00 | -2.000 | -3.64% | -0.23 |
Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 15.96%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 35). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.
crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)
x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.
| Punt tat-tieqa | Valur użat | Valur | Δ ass. | Δ % | Unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2023-01-02 | 0.4598 | -0.012 | -2.58% | -0.32 |
| −14 | 2023-01-16 | 0.4913 | +0.019 | +4.09% | +0.51 |
| −7 | 2023-01-23 | 0.4969 | +0.025 | +5.28% | +0.65 |
| −3 | 2023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0.4720 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| −1 | 2023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0.4720 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| T0 | 2023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0.4720 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2023-02-06 | 0.4881 | +0.016 | +3.41% | +0.42 |
| +3 | 2023-02-06 | 0.4881 | +0.016 | +3.41% | +0.42 |
| +7 | 2023-02-06 | 0.4881 | +0.016 | +3.41% | +0.42 |
| +14 | 2023-02-13 | 0.4951 | +0.023 | +4.89% | +0.61 |
| +30 | 2023-03-06 | 0.4922 | +0.020 | +4.28% | +0.53 |
| +60 | 2023-04-03 | 0.4959 | +0.024 | +5.07% | +0.63 |
| +90 | 2023-05-01 | 0.4258 | -0.046 | -9.79% | -1.21 |
Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 8.07%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 149). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.
stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom
x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.
| Punt tat-tieqa | Valur użat | Valur | Δ ass. | Δ % | Unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2023-01-01 | 325,706 | -451.000 | -0.14% | -0.01 |
| −14 | 2023-01-01 | 325,706 | -451.000 | -0.14% | -0.01 |
| −7 | 2023-01-01 | 325,706 | -451.000 | -0.14% | -0.01 |
| −3 | 2023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 326,157 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| −1 | 2023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 326,157 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| T0 | 2023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 326,157 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 326,157 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +3 | 2023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 326,157 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +7 | 2023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 326,157 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +14 | 2023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 326,157 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +30 | 2023-03-01 | 331,742 | +5,585 | +1.71% | +0.16 |
| +60 | 2023-04-01 | 333,131 | +6,974 | +2.14% | +0.20 |
| +90 | 2023-05-01 | 351,787 | +25,630 | +7.86% | +0.72 |
Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 10.85%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 35). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.
not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed
x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.
| Punt tat-tieqa | Valur użat | Valur | Δ ass. | Δ % | Unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2023-01-02 | -0.0233 | -0.023 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| −14 | 2023-01-16 | -0.0085 | -0.008 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| −7 | 2023-01-23 | -0.0088 | -0.009 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| −3 | 2023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0 | 0.000 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| −1 | 2023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0 | 0.000 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| T0 | 2023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0 | 0.000 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +1 | 2023-02-06 | -0.0454 | -0.045 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +3 | 2023-02-06 | -0.0454 | -0.045 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +7 | 2023-02-06 | -0.0454 | -0.045 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +14 | 2023-02-13 | -0.0784 | -0.078 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +30 | 2023-03-06 | -0.1623 | -0.162 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +60 | 2023-04-03 | -0.2064 | -0.206 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +90 | 2023-05-01 | -0.3438 | -0.344 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.
Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi
x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.
| Punt tat-tieqa | Valur użat | Valur | Δ ass. | Δ % | Unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2023-01-02 | 1.658 | -0.097 | -5.52% | -2.25 |
| −14 | 2023-01-16 | 1.697 | -0.058 | -3.30% | -1.35 |
| −7 | 2023-01-23 | 1.726 | -0.029 | -1.66% | -0.68 |
| −3 | 2023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 1.755 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| −1 | 2023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 1.755 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| T0 | 2023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 1.755 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2023-02-06 | 1.715 | -0.040 | -2.28% | -0.93 |
| +3 | 2023-02-06 | 1.715 | -0.040 | -2.28% | -0.93 |
| +7 | 2023-02-06 | 1.715 | -0.040 | -2.28% | -0.93 |
| +14 | 2023-02-13 | 1.680 | -0.075 | -4.27% | -1.74 |
| +30 | 2023-03-06 | 1.613 | -0.142 | -8.08% | -3.30 |
| +60 | 2023-04-03 | 1.586 | -0.169 | -9.62% | -3.92 |
| +90 | 2023-05-01 | 1.506 | -0.249 | -14.19% | -5.79 |
Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 2.45%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 149). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.
Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi
x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.
| Punt tat-tieqa | Valur użat | Valur | Δ ass. | Δ % | Unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2023-01-02 | 0.9184 | -0.080 | -8.02% | -1.98 |
| −14 | 2023-01-16 | 0.9506 | -0.048 | -4.79% | -1.18 |
| −7 | 2023-01-23 | 0.9744 | -0.024 | -2.41% | -0.60 |
| −3 | 2023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0.9985 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| −1 | 2023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0.9985 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| T0 | 2023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0.9985 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2023-02-06 | 0.9655 | -0.033 | -3.31% | -0.82 |
| +3 | 2023-02-06 | 0.9655 | -0.033 | -3.31% | -0.82 |
| +7 | 2023-02-06 | 0.9655 | -0.033 | -3.31% | -0.82 |
| +14 | 2023-02-13 | 0.9365 | -0.062 | -6.21% | -1.53 |
| +30 | 2023-03-06 | 0.8813 | -0.117 | -11.74% | -2.90 |
| +60 | 2023-04-03 | 0.8589 | -0.140 | -13.98% | -3.45 |
| +90 | 2023-05-01 | 0.7927 | -0.206 | -20.61% | -5.09 |
Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 4.05%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 149). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.
total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes
x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.
| Punt tat-tieqa | Valur użat | Valur | Δ ass. | Δ % | Unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2023-01-02 | 0.7397 | -0.017 | -2.22% | -2.33 |
| −14 | 2023-01-16 | 0.7465 | -0.010 | -1.33% | -1.39 |
| −7 | 2023-01-23 | 0.7515 | -0.005 | -0.67% | -0.70 |
| −3 | 2023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0.7566 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| −1 | 2023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0.7566 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| T0 | 2023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0.7566 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2023-02-06 | 0.7496 | -0.007 | -0.92% | -0.96 |
| +3 | 2023-02-06 | 0.7496 | -0.007 | -0.92% | -0.96 |
| +7 | 2023-02-06 | 0.7496 | -0.007 | -0.92% | -0.96 |
| +14 | 2023-02-13 | 0.7435 | -0.013 | -1.72% | -1.80 |
| +30 | 2023-03-06 | 0.7319 | -0.025 | -3.26% | -3.40 |
| +60 | 2023-04-03 | 0.7272 | -0.029 | -3.87% | -4.05 |
| +90 | 2023-05-01 | 0.7133 | -0.043 | -5.71% | -5.97 |
Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 0.96%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 149). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.
US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).
x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.
| Punt tat-tieqa | Valur użat | Valur | Δ ass. | Δ % | Unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2023-01-06 | 52.91 | +13.654 | +34.78% | +3.54 |
| −14 | 2023-01-20 | 60.21 | +20.954 | +53.38% | +5.43 |
| −7 | 2023-01-27 | 51.77 | +12.516 | +31.88% | +3.24 |
| −3 | 2023-02-02 | 42.91 | +3.656 | +9.31% | +0.95 |
| −1 | 2023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 39.25 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| T0 | 2023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 39.25 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2023-02-06 | 37.12 | -2.134 | -5.44% | -0.55 |
| +3 | 2023-02-08 | 38.01 | -1.246 | -3.17% | -0.32 |
| +7 | 2023-02-10 | 35.25 | -4.006 | -10.21% | -1.04 |
| +14 | 2023-02-17 | 32.10 | -7.152 | -18.22% | -1.85 |
| +30 | 2023-03-06 | 36.23 | -3.020 | -7.69% | -0.78 |
| +60 | 2023-04-06 | 26.92 | -12.330 | -31.41% | -3.19 |
| +90 | 2023-05-05 | 21.80 | -17.454 | -44.46% | -4.52 |
Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 9.83%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 735). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.
US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).
x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.
| Punt tat-tieqa | Valur użat | Valur | Δ ass. | Δ % | Unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2023-01-06 | 23.63 | -0.710 | -2.92% | -0.02 |
| −14 | 2023-01-20 | 27.78 | +3.440 | +14.13% | +0.08 |
| −7 | 2023-01-27 | 27.70 | +3.360 | +13.80% | +0.08 |
| −3 | 2023-02-02 | 26.70 | +2.354 | +9.67% | +0.05 |
| −1 | 2023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 24.34 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| T0 | 2023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 24.34 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2023-02-06 | 25.32 | +0.974 | +4.00% | +0.02 |
| +3 | 2023-02-08 | 25.07 | +0.728 | +2.99% | +0.02 |
| +7 | 2023-02-10 | 25.04 | +0.698 | +2.87% | +0.02 |
| +14 | 2023-02-17 | 22.90 | -1.440 | -5.92% | -0.03 |
| +30 | 2023-03-06 | 25.19 | +0.844 | +3.47% | +0.02 |
| +60 | 2023-04-06 | 33.98 | +9.636 | +39.58% | +0.22 |
| +90 | 2023-05-05 | 27.39 | +3.042 | +12.50% | +0.07 |
Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 182.66%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 735). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.
US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).
x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.
| Punt tat-tieqa | Valur użat | Valur | Δ ass. | Δ % | Unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2023-01-06 | 57.61 | +28.228 | +96.07% | +0.54 |
| −14 | 2023-01-20 | 77.51 | +48.128 | +163.79% | +0.93 |
| −7 | 2023-01-27 | 73.74 | +44.352 | +150.94% | +0.85 |
| −3 | 2023-02-02 | 35.06 | +5.672 | +19.30% | +0.11 |
| −1 | 2023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 29.38 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| T0 | 2023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 29.38 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2023-02-06 | 32.50 | +3.116 | +10.60% | +0.06 |
| +3 | 2023-02-08 | 37.04 | +7.658 | +26.06% | +0.15 |
| +7 | 2023-02-10 | 31.97 | +2.588 | +8.81% | +0.05 |
| +14 | 2023-02-17 | 24.75 | -4.632 | -15.76% | -0.09 |
| +30 | 2023-03-06 | 37.16 | +7.774 | +26.46% | +0.15 |
| +60 | 2023-04-06 | 19.15 | -10.230 | -34.81% | -0.20 |
| +90 | 2023-05-05 | 14.45 | -14.934 | -50.82% | -0.29 |
Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 176.64%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 735). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.
Mhux disponibbli: imblukkat mil-liċenzja
Jeżisti sors, iżda l-liċenzja tiegħu ma tippermettilniex nippubblikawh mill-ġdid. Dawn il-kanali mhumiex neqsin mid-dinja, iżda biss minn din il-paġna.
nol tat-tankers “dirty” mill-Golf Għarbi lejn il-Majjistral tal-Ewropa
In-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers (ringiela 17: BLOCKED).
Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.
prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati
Il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.
Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.
marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa
M’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.
Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.
prezz bl-ingrossa / rack
Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).
Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.
T0: 05/02/2023. Tieqa ta’ referenza: jiem -90 sa -31. Punti tat-tieqa kkalkulati: -30, -14, -7, -3, -1, 0, 1, 3, 7, 14, 30, 60, 90. Metodu: 1.0, kalkolu: event_study-1.0, ikkalkulat: 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC.
L-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”: huwa tassew ir-raġuni?
Il-mistoqsija tinqasam f’dimensjonijiet li jitkejlu separatament u qatt ma jingħaddu f’numru wieħed. Kull ringiela tgħid jekk nistgħux naraw dik id-dimensjoni, u tagħti ċifra ppubblikata waħda fejn nistgħu.
Mit-tmien kanali ta’ trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet li jirrapporta dan is-sit, kanali b’data f’dan il-kalkolu: 4 Ikkalkulat – għadd tar-ringieli ta’ hawn taħt, mhux kejl.
Metodoloġija §11.1 tippubblika l-limiti li jużaw is-sentenzi ta’ hawn taħt: it-tmien kanali kollha preżenti għall-paragun sħiħ, mill-inqas tlieta biex l-istqarrija tkun tista’ tiġi ttestjata hawn, u 2.0 unitajiet ta’ volatilità biex ċaqliq jiġi deskritt bħala barra mill-varjazzjoni normali ta’ serje. Dawn huma għażliet ta’ kliem ippubblikati, mhux testijiet statistiċi.
| Dimensjoni | Status | Ċifra ppubblikata, jew għaliex m’hemmx |
|---|---|---|
| Esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum (D1)Sehem miż-żejt mhux maħdum importat li r-rotta tiegħu teħtieġ l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz. | Xejn ippubblikat fit-tieqa | mhux ippubblikat |
| Esponiment dirett tal-prodotti (D2)Sehem mill-prodotti raffinati importati li r-rotta tagħhom teħtieġ l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz. | Osservat | 0 % tat-tunnellati importati punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-03-01) |
| Kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza (D7)Il-jiem ta’ kopertura li jammontaw għalihom il-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati. Riżerva kontra interruzzjoni tal-provvista, mhux sehem mill-importazzjonijiet, u mhux kanal tal-prezz. | Osservat | 55.00 kopertura (jiem) punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-03-01)0.00% mil-livell ta’ T0 = 0.00 unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
| Prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdumIl-prezz kwotat taż-żejt mhux maħdum li fuqu jiġu pprezzati t-tagħbijiet Ewropej. | Osservat | 85.86 $ għal kull barmil punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-03-06)+8.89% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +1.96 unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
| Prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinatiIl-prezz kwotat tal-prodotti li fuqu jipprezzaw ir-raffineriji u l-bejjiegħa bl-ingrossa. | Mhux disponibbli | Il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom. |
| Marġni tar-raffinarKemm qala’ r-raffinar ta’ barmil f’dan il-prodott. | Mhux disponibbli | M’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid. |
| NoliKemm swiet il-ġarr tal-merkanzija bil-baħar. | Mhux disponibbli | In-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers (ringiela 17: BLOCKED). |
| StokkijietL-istokkijiet miżmuma, li jassorbu jew ikabbru bidla fil-provvista. | Osservat | 331,742 t punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-03-01)+1.71% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +0.16 unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
| Prezzijiet bl-ingrossaIl-prezz bejn il-bieb tar-raffinerija u l-pompa tal-petrol. | Mhux disponibbli | Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). |
| Prezz fil-pompa mingħajr taxxiIl-prezz fil-pompa mingħajr id-dazju tas-sisa, il-VAT u taxxi oħra fuq il-karburant. | Osservat | 0.8813 € għal kull litru punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-03-06)-11.74% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -2.90 unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
| Prezz fil-pompa bit-taxxiDak li fil-fatt ħallas sewwieq. | Osservat | 1.613 € għal kull litru punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-03-06)-8.08% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -3.30 unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
L-esponiment fiżiku (l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz) u l-esponiment tal-prezz huma mistoqsijiet differenti. Pajjiż kważi mingħajr esponiment fiżiku dirett xorta jista’ jara l-prezz fil-pompa tiegħu jiċċaqlaq: iż-żejt mhux maħdum jiġi pprezzat fuq livell globali – u serje li ċċaqilqet f’din it-tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.
X’għamel il-prezz fil-pompa madwar din id-data
Il-paġna tal-qsim tal-prezz tista’ tiġi ffissata fuq il-ġimgħat madwar id-data tal-avveniment, biex iċ-ċaqliq fil-pompa jinqasam fit-taxxa, fl-ispiża tal-input u fil-parti li l-ispiża tal-input ma tkoprix.
Qsim tal-prezz (29/01/2023 – 07/03/2023) →
It-tieqa hija madwar id-data ppubblikata tal-avveniment (jiem qabel: 7; jiem wara: 30). Hija tieqa biex wieħed iħares, mhux dikjarazzjoni li l-avveniment kien fl-oriġini ta’ dak li fiha.
Attwali kontra ż-żejt mhux maħdum biss: il-Latvja, diżil (żejt tal-gass għall-vetturi)
X’għamel il-prezz mingħajr taxxi minn erba’ ġimgħat qabel sa tlettax-il ġimgħa wara l-ġimgħa tal-avveniment, ħdejn dak li kien jagħmel li kieku segwa biss l-ispiża tal-input taż-żejt mhux maħdum bil-pass li tkejjel l-istima maħżuna tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet. Id-differenza mdella mhix spjegata miż-żejt mhux maħdum; mhix attribwita lill-avveniment jew lil xi ħaġa oħra.
Il-paragun maż-żejt mhux maħdum biss ma setax jinqara.
API 404 for /api/events/eu-russia-products-embargo-2023/crude-only: No stored crude-only run for 'eu-russia-products-embargo-2023' and country 'latvia'. Runs are stored for the pilot countries; available_countries lists them.
X’jappoġġaw in-numri, sentenza b’sentenza
Kull sentenza ġejja minn mudell fiss, magħżul skont limiti ppubblikati. Iftaħ “Għaliex din is-sentenza” biex tara n-numri li għażluha. L-ebda parti minn dan it-test mhi miktuba minn mudell lingwistiku, u l-ebda parti minnu ma tattribwixxi kawża.
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, il-Latvja) inbidel b’+0.2%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.0 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-LatvjaIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 0.8259700000000001
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Latvia
- z_score
- -0.6571242559743923
- t0_value
- 0.8247300000000001
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- 0.15035223648952006
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_LV_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- LV
- country_name
- Latvia
- country_slug
- latvia
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-02-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 0.037968091103143614
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.0012400000000000189
- change_pct_from_t0
- 0.15035223648952006
- observation_gap_days
- 6
- normal_volatility_pct
- 3.9599630142341145
- change_in_volatility_units
- 0.037968091103143614
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 0.8259700000000001
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Latvia
- z_score
- -0.6571242559743923
- t0_value
- 0.8247300000000001
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- 0.15035223648952006
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_LV_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- LV
- country_name
- Latvia
- country_slug
- latvia
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-02-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 0.037968091103143614
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.0012400000000000189
- change_pct_from_t0
- 0.15035223648952006
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 6
- normal_volatility_pct
- 3.9599630142341145
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- 0.037968091103143614
Mudell
event.price_move.within_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identitàbc351abbf0474d3d5b0ace1e9680de385a4baf816d58dd4a4bb05b9c862a1278· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, il-Latvja) inbidel b’-3.0%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.7 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-LatvjaIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 0.80026
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Latvia
- z_score
- -1.0353347914814823
- t0_value
- 0.8247300000000001
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- -2.967031634595577
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_LV_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- LV
- country_name
- Latvia
- country_slug
- latvia
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-03-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -0.7492574107208985
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.024470000000000103
- change_pct_from_t0
- -2.967031634595577
- observation_gap_days
- 1
- normal_volatility_pct
- 3.9599630142341145
- change_in_volatility_units
- -0.7492574107208985
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 0.80026
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Latvia
- z_score
- -1.0353347914814823
- t0_value
- 0.8247300000000001
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- -2.967031634595577
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_LV_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- LV
- country_name
- Latvia
- country_slug
- latvia
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-03-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -0.7492574107208985
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.024470000000000103
- change_pct_from_t0
- -2.967031634595577
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 1
- normal_volatility_pct
- 3.9599630142341145
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- -0.7492574107208985
Mudell
event.price_move.within_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identità73cc43dd2aea786c096d9662d3718a7c697914c6deff49f91f0fa94e13e5cac7· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, il-Latvja) inbidel b’-2.8%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.7 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-LatvjaIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 0.80168
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Latvia
- z_score
- -1.0144456837249651
- t0_value
- 0.8247300000000001
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- -2.7948540734543577
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_LV_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- LV
- country_name
- Latvia
- country_slug
- latvia
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-05-01
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -0.7057778225221385
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.023050000000000126
- change_pct_from_t0
- -2.7948540734543577
- observation_gap_days
- 5
- normal_volatility_pct
- 3.9599630142341145
- change_in_volatility_units
- -0.7057778225221385
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 0.80168
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Latvia
- z_score
- -1.0144456837249651
- t0_value
- 0.8247300000000001
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- -2.7948540734543577
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_LV_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- LV
- country_name
- Latvia
- country_slug
- latvia
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-05-01
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -0.7057778225221385
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.023050000000000126
- change_pct_from_t0
- -2.7948540734543577
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 5
- normal_volatility_pct
- 3.9599630142341145
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- -0.7057778225221385
Mudell
event.price_move.within_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identità6d409eddb9003a684d2afaa3bee2600516ad2573bf88f676871a1440d7d37246· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, il-Latvja) inbidel b’+0.1%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.0 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-LatvjaIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 1.65738
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Latvia
- z_score
- -0.4123449356298911
- t0_value
- 1.6558800000000002
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- 0.09058627436769781
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_LV_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- LV
- country_name
- Latvia
- country_slug
- latvia
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-02-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 0.04422552618582833
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.0014999999999998348
- change_pct_from_t0
- 0.09058627436769781
- observation_gap_days
- 6
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.048280307329059
- change_in_volatility_units
- 0.04422552618582833
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 1.65738
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Latvia
- z_score
- -0.4123449356298911
- t0_value
- 1.6558800000000002
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- 0.09058627436769781
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_LV_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- LV
- country_name
- Latvia
- country_slug
- latvia
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-02-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 0.04422552618582833
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.0014999999999998348
- change_pct_from_t0
- 0.09058627436769781
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 6
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.048280307329059
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- 0.04422552618582833
Mudell
event.price_move.within_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identitàe48441ce3d82d6675da7f63488e4090a7899d4cbb9530f994d7f31df285fb150· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, il-Latvja) inbidel b’-1.8%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.9 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-LatvjaIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 1.62628
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Latvia
- z_score
- -0.8065230349564181
- t0_value
- 1.6558800000000002
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- -1.7875691475227848
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_LV_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- LV
- country_name
- Latvia
- country_slug
- latvia
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-03-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -0.8727170500671172
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.029600000000000293
- change_pct_from_t0
- -1.7875691475227848
- observation_gap_days
- 1
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.048280307329059
- change_in_volatility_units
- -0.8727170500671172
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 1.62628
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Latvia
- z_score
- -0.8065230349564181
- t0_value
- 1.6558800000000002
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- -1.7875691475227848
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_LV_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- LV
- country_name
- Latvia
- country_slug
- latvia
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-03-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -0.8727170500671172
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.029600000000000293
- change_pct_from_t0
- -1.7875691475227848
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 1
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.048280307329059
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- -0.8727170500671172
Mudell
event.price_move.within_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identità7fe58da52ef4a99fa16e9e6ed34602c2f7ffa3331db43777a1463188b8713190· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, il-Latvja) inbidel b’-1.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.8 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-LatvjaIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 1.6280000000000001
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Latvia
- z_score
- -0.7847228313923766
- t0_value
- 1.6558800000000002
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- -1.6836968862478032
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_LV_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- LV
- country_name
- Latvia
- country_slug
- latvia
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-05-01
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -0.8220051133740236
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.027880000000000127
- change_pct_from_t0
- -1.6836968862478032
- observation_gap_days
- 5
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.048280307329059
- change_in_volatility_units
- -0.8220051133740236
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 1.6280000000000001
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Latvia
- z_score
- -0.7847228313923766
- t0_value
- 1.6558800000000002
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- -1.6836968862478032
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_LV_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- LV
- country_name
- Latvia
- country_slug
- latvia
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-05-01
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -0.8220051133740236
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.027880000000000127
- change_pct_from_t0
- -1.6836968862478032
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 5
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.048280307329059
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- -0.8220051133740236
Mudell
event.price_move.within_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identità81d846b6b2ec5e0de0abb0c401f8f29119c5b338bd9c0aa6a91853898dde6ea5· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, il-Latvja) inbidel b’-3.3%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.8 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-LatvjaIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 0.96545
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Latvia
- z_score
- -0.6700776271753222
- t0_value
- 0.9985
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- -3.309964947421134
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_LV_DIESEL
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- LV
- country_name
- Latvia
- country_slug
- latvia
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-02-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -0.8167361474437235
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.033050000000000024
- change_pct_from_t0
- -3.309964947421134
- observation_gap_days
- 6
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.052673507571433
- change_in_volatility_units
- -0.8167361474437235
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 0.96545
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Latvia
- z_score
- -0.6700776271753222
- t0_value
- 0.9985
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- -3.309964947421134
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_LV_DIESEL
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- LV
- country_name
- Latvia
- country_slug
- latvia
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-02-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -0.8167361474437235
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.033050000000000024
- change_pct_from_t0
- -3.309964947421134
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 6
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.052673507571433
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- -0.8167361474437235
Mudell
event.price_move.within_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identità9b5ab60aad8cb975ac10d69b24cb3f870c93bf7a532264ff84a20c8e1970f3de· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, il-Latvja) inbidel b’-11.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.9 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-LatvjaIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 0.88126
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Latvia
- z_score
- -1.4718154349175727
- t0_value
- 0.9985
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- -11.741612418627941
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_LV_DIESEL
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- LV
- country_name
- Latvia
- country_slug
- latvia
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-03-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -2.8972510113858414
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.11724000000000001
- change_pct_from_t0
- -11.741612418627941
- observation_gap_days
- 1
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.052673507571433
- change_in_volatility_units
- -2.8972510113858414
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 0.88126
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Latvia
- z_score
- -1.4718154349175727
- t0_value
- 0.9985
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- -11.741612418627941
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_LV_DIESEL
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- LV
- country_name
- Latvia
- country_slug
- latvia
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-03-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -2.8972510113858414
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.11724000000000001
- change_pct_from_t0
- -11.741612418627941
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 1
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.052673507571433
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- -2.8972510113858414
Mudell
event.price_move.outside_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identità92c23552751dd1ff23afeeac71c2afb4c336aaf4560747da91291e6f239fe453· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, il-Latvja) inbidel b’-20.6%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’5.1 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-LatvjaIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 0.7926799999999999
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Latvia
- z_score
- -2.3153590269095985
- t0_value
- 0.9985
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- -20.612919379068614
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_LV_DIESEL
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- LV
- country_name
- Latvia
- country_slug
- latvia
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-05-01
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -5.086252159360579
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.20582000000000011
- change_pct_from_t0
- -20.612919379068614
- observation_gap_days
- 5
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.052673507571433
- change_in_volatility_units
- -5.086252159360579
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 0.7926799999999999
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Latvia
- z_score
- -2.3153590269095985
- t0_value
- 0.9985
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- -20.612919379068614
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_LV_DIESEL
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- LV
- country_name
- Latvia
- country_slug
- latvia
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-05-01
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -5.086252159360579
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.20582000000000011
- change_pct_from_t0
- -20.612919379068614
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 5
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.052673507571433
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- -5.086252159360579
Mudell
event.price_move.outside_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identitàd5aacc61b6fe232ad93e49906054555dbf7de4f82ac77e1b48deef7c8d28ce00· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, il-Latvja) inbidel b’-2.3%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.9 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-LatvjaIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 1.71505
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Latvia
- z_score
- -0.49881007886891754
- t0_value
- 1.75505
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- -2.2791373465143465
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_LV_DIESEL
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- LV
- country_name
- Latvia
- country_slug
- latvia
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-02-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -0.9296425269687189
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.040000000000000036
- change_pct_from_t0
- -2.2791373465143465
- observation_gap_days
- 6
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.451627674506156
- change_in_volatility_units
- -0.9296425269687189
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 1.71505
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Latvia
- z_score
- -0.49881007886891754
- t0_value
- 1.75505
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- -2.2791373465143465
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_LV_DIESEL
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- LV
- country_name
- Latvia
- country_slug
- latvia
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-02-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -0.9296425269687189
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.040000000000000036
- change_pct_from_t0
- -2.2791373465143465
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 6
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.451627674506156
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- -0.9296425269687189
Mudell
event.price_move.within_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identità35b742bf7f6986d8f7df52df2d2e982ead19aea8994869e3161724a34244ca9a· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, il-Latvja) inbidel b’-8.1%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’3.3 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-LatvjaIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 1.61318
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Latvia
- z_score
- -1.3228173664534044
- t0_value
- 1.75505
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- -8.083530383749748
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_LV_DIESEL
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- LV
- country_name
- Latvia
- country_slug
- latvia
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-03-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -3.297209632526299
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.14186999999999994
- change_pct_from_t0
- -8.083530383749748
- observation_gap_days
- 1
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.451627674506156
- change_in_volatility_units
- -3.297209632526299
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 1.61318
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Latvia
- z_score
- -1.3228173664534044
- t0_value
- 1.75505
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- -8.083530383749748
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_LV_DIESEL
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- LV
- country_name
- Latvia
- country_slug
- latvia
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-03-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -3.297209632526299
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.14186999999999994
- change_pct_from_t0
- -8.083530383749748
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 1
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.451627674506156
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- -3.297209632526299
Mudell
event.price_move.outside_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identità7b0af31de8dd8e6870e21ae8704e654e926211431af74528ccb6383e90059805· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, il-Latvja) inbidel b’-14.2%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’5.8 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-LatvjaIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 1.506
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Latvia
- z_score
- -2.189776246234551
- t0_value
- 1.75505
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- -14.190478903734936
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_LV_DIESEL
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- LV
- country_name
- Latvia
- country_slug
- latvia
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-05-01
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -5.78818678353898
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.24905
- change_pct_from_t0
- -14.190478903734936
- observation_gap_days
- 5
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.451627674506156
- change_in_volatility_units
- -5.78818678353898
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 1.506
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Latvia
- z_score
- -2.189776246234551
- t0_value
- 1.75505
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- -14.190478903734936
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_LV_DIESEL
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- LV
- country_name
- Latvia
- country_slug
- latvia
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-05-01
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -5.78818678353898
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.24905
- change_pct_from_t0
- -14.190478903734936
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 5
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.451627674506156
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- -5.78818678353898
Mudell
event.price_move.outside_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identità57069236b7dc8c7d365dc6d6eb6e3c945e10d06c2bb0eb85b0b3a156eea71b23· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, il-Latvja) b’+1.2 c/l (firxa -0.6–+2.9); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’-4.2 c/l, u jibqa’ -5.4 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.
pajjiż: il-LatvjaIkkalkulatMedjaGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- weeks
- 4
- status
- COMPUTED
- country
- Latvia
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- gap_label
- NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- series_code
- CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_LV_EURO_SUPER_95
- country_iso2
- LV
- country_name
- Latvia
- country_slug
- latvia
- offset_weeks
- 4
- proxy_product
- GASOLINE
- proxy_to_date
- 2023-02-27
- pass_through_k
- 0
- proxy_from_date
- 2023-01-30
- observation_date
- 2023-02-27
- gap_eur_per_litre
- -0.05357822600827444
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
- anchor_period_start
- 2023-01-30
- actual_eur_per_litre
- -0.041870000000000074
- expected_eur_per_litre
- 0.01170822600827437
- proxy_volatility_units
- -0.06928868336620317
- pass_through_sample_end
- 2026-09-14
- proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
- -3.1020000000000003
- pass_through_sample_start
- 2023-09-25
- pass_through_window_label
- ROLLING_156W
- expected_low_eur_per_litre
- -0.00604755505001453
- expected_high_eur_per_litre
- 0.02946400706656238
- proxy_normal_volatility_pct
- 182.6569381415496
Limiti
- source
- docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
- proxy_rule
- the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
- confidence_cap
- MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
- statement_weeks
- [4,13]
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- weeks
- 4
- status
- COMPUTED
- country
- Latvia
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- gap_label
- NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- series_code
- CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_LV_EURO_SUPER_95
- country_iso2
- LV
- country_name
- Latvia
- country_slug
- latvia
- offset_weeks
- 4
- proxy_product
- GASOLINE
- proxy_to_date
- 2023-02-27
- pass_through_k
- 0
- proxy_from_date
- 2023-01-30
- statement_topic
- event
- observation_date
- 2023-02-27
- gap_eur_per_litre
- -0.05357822600827444
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
- anchor_period_start
- 2023-01-30
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- actual_eur_per_litre
- -0.041870000000000074
- expected_eur_per_litre
- 0.01170822600827437
- proxy_volatility_units
- -0.06928868336620317
- pass_through_sample_end
- 2026-09-14
- proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
- -3.1020000000000003
- pass_through_sample_start
- 2023-09-25
- pass_through_window_label
- ROLLING_156W
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- expected_low_eur_per_litre
- -0.00604755505001453
- expected_high_eur_per_litre
- 0.02946400706656238
- proxy_normal_volatility_pct
- 182.6569381415496
Mudell
event.crude_only.computedv1.2 · Marka tal-identitàac16ac1eff817c9ac9accb262671ac50bbafa56f91271a63a0e491934b3292f2· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 13-il ġimgħa wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, il-Latvja) b’+0.8 c/l (firxa -9.5–+11.1); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’-2.3 c/l, u jibqa’ -3.1 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.
pajjiż: il-LatvjaIkkalkulatMedjaGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- weeks
- 13
- status
- COMPUTED
- country
- Latvia
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- gap_label
- NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- series_code
- CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_LV_EURO_SUPER_95
- country_iso2
- LV
- country_name
- Latvia
- country_slug
- latvia
- offset_weeks
- 13
- proxy_product
- GASOLINE
- proxy_to_date
- 2023-04-28
- pass_through_k
- 0
- proxy_from_date
- 2023-01-30
- observation_date
- 2023-05-01
- gap_eur_per_litre
- -0.031021731765530913
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
- anchor_period_start
- 2023-01-30
- actual_eur_per_litre
- -0.023050000000000126
- expected_eur_per_litre
- 0.007971731765530787
- proxy_volatility_units
- 0.11373887030970548
- pass_through_sample_end
- 2026-09-14
- proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
- 5.091999999999999
- pass_through_sample_start
- 2023-09-25
- pass_through_window_label
- ROLLING_156W
- expected_low_eur_per_litre
- -0.09460360011671831
- expected_high_eur_per_litre
- 0.110547063647779
- proxy_normal_volatility_pct
- 182.6569381415496
Limiti
- source
- docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
- proxy_rule
- the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
- confidence_cap
- MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
- statement_weeks
- [4,13]
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- weeks
- 13
- status
- COMPUTED
- country
- Latvia
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- gap_label
- NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- series_code
- CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_LV_EURO_SUPER_95
- country_iso2
- LV
- country_name
- Latvia
- country_slug
- latvia
- offset_weeks
- 13
- proxy_product
- GASOLINE
- proxy_to_date
- 2023-04-28
- pass_through_k
- 0
- proxy_from_date
- 2023-01-30
- statement_topic
- event
- observation_date
- 2023-05-01
- gap_eur_per_litre
- -0.031021731765530913
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
- anchor_period_start
- 2023-01-30
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- actual_eur_per_litre
- -0.023050000000000126
- expected_eur_per_litre
- 0.007971731765530787
- proxy_volatility_units
- 0.11373887030970548
- pass_through_sample_end
- 2026-09-14
- proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
- 5.091999999999999
- pass_through_sample_start
- 2023-09-25
- pass_through_window_label
- ROLLING_156W
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- expected_low_eur_per_litre
- -0.09460360011671831
- expected_high_eur_per_litre
- 0.110547063647779
- proxy_normal_volatility_pct
- 182.6569381415496
Mudell
event.crude_only.computedv1.2 · Marka tal-identità06fd1ff0cea595eb7648bc3c1f8beff6168b44c374165f2a8ae38b27a862939c· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, il-Latvja) b’+4.2 c/l (firxa +1.0–+7.4); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’-11.4 c/l, u jibqa’ -15.6 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.
pajjiż: il-LatvjaIkkalkulatMedjaGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- weeks
- 4
- status
- COMPUTED
- country
- Latvia
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- gap_label
- NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- series_code
- CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_LV_DIESEL
- country_iso2
- LV
- country_name
- Latvia
- country_slug
- latvia
- offset_weeks
- 4
- proxy_product
- DIESEL
- proxy_to_date
- 2023-02-27
- pass_through_k
- 2
- proxy_from_date
- 2023-01-30
- observation_date
- 2023-02-27
- gap_eur_per_litre
- -0.155953322922849
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
- anchor_period_start
- 2023-01-30
- actual_eur_per_litre
- -0.11402999999999996
- expected_eur_per_litre
- 0.04192332292284904
- proxy_volatility_units
- -1.9939207000691863
- pass_through_sample_end
- 2026-09-14
- proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
- -8.939999999999998
- pass_through_sample_start
- 2023-09-25
- pass_through_window_label
- ROLLING_156W
- expected_low_eur_per_litre
- 0.010049533569274925
- expected_high_eur_per_litre
- 0.07379711227642327
- proxy_normal_volatility_pct
- 9.833812917722621
Limiti
- source
- docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
- proxy_rule
- the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
- confidence_cap
- MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
- statement_weeks
- [4,13]
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- weeks
- 4
- status
- COMPUTED
- country
- Latvia
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- gap_label
- NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- series_code
- CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_LV_DIESEL
- country_iso2
- LV
- country_name
- Latvia
- country_slug
- latvia
- offset_weeks
- 4
- proxy_product
- DIESEL
- proxy_to_date
- 2023-02-27
- pass_through_k
- 2
- proxy_from_date
- 2023-01-30
- statement_topic
- event
- observation_date
- 2023-02-27
- gap_eur_per_litre
- -0.155953322922849
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
- anchor_period_start
- 2023-01-30
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- actual_eur_per_litre
- -0.11402999999999996
- expected_eur_per_litre
- 0.04192332292284904
- proxy_volatility_units
- -1.9939207000691863
- pass_through_sample_end
- 2026-09-14
- proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
- -8.939999999999998
- pass_through_sample_start
- 2023-09-25
- pass_through_window_label
- ROLLING_156W
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- expected_low_eur_per_litre
- 0.010049533569274925
- expected_high_eur_per_litre
- 0.07379711227642327
- proxy_normal_volatility_pct
- 9.833812917722621
Mudell
event.crude_only.computedv1.2 · Marka tal-identitàc63e0fe1ccd0bd271e8344197a99d88c9b2de63994addb145ab1251d3b29d908· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 13-il ġimgħa wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, il-Latvja) b’+13.8 c/l (firxa -3.0–+30.6); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’-20.6 c/l, u jibqa’ -34.4 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum. Fl-istess perjodu, il-crack spread tal-Istati Uniti (diżil), indikatur tas-suq tal-prodotti tal-Atlantiku u mhux marġni Ewropew, naqas b’27.3 $/bbl.
pajjiż: il-LatvjaIkkalkulatMedjaGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- weeks
- 13
- status
- COMPUTED
- country
- Latvia
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- gap_label
- NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- series_code
- CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_LV_DIESEL
- country_iso2
- LV
- country_name
- Latvia
- country_slug
- latvia
- offset_weeks
- 13
- proxy_product
- DIESEL
- proxy_to_date
- 2023-04-28
- pass_through_k
- 2
- proxy_from_date
- 2023-01-30
- observation_date
- 2023-05-01
- gap_eur_per_litre
- -0.3437622442380943
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
- anchor_period_start
- 2023-01-30
- actual_eur_per_litre
- -0.20582000000000011
- expected_eur_per_litre
- 0.1379422442380942
- proxy_volatility_units
- -6.086587908824174
- pass_through_sample_end
- 2026-09-14
- proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
- -27.290000000000003
- pass_through_sample_start
- 2023-09-25
- pass_through_window_label
- ROLLING_156W
- expected_low_eur_per_litre
- -0.02966858782224222
- expected_high_eur_per_litre
- 0.3055530762984292
- proxy_normal_volatility_pct
- 9.833812917722621
Limiti
- source
- docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
- proxy_rule
- the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
- confidence_cap
- MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
- statement_weeks
- [4,13]
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- weeks
- 13
- status
- COMPUTED
- country
- Latvia
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- gap_label
- NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- series_code
- CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_LV_DIESEL
- country_iso2
- LV
- country_name
- Latvia
- country_slug
- latvia
- offset_weeks
- 13
- proxy_product
- DIESEL
- proxy_to_date
- 2023-04-28
- pass_through_k
- 2
- proxy_from_date
- 2023-01-30
- statement_topic
- event
- observation_date
- 2023-05-01
- gap_eur_per_litre
- -0.3437622442380943
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
- anchor_period_start
- 2023-01-30
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- actual_eur_per_litre
- -0.20582000000000011
- expected_eur_per_litre
- 0.1379422442380942
- proxy_volatility_units
- -6.086587908824174
- pass_through_sample_end
- 2026-09-14
- proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
- -27.290000000000003
- pass_through_sample_start
- 2023-09-25
- pass_through_window_label
- ROLLING_156W
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- expected_low_eur_per_litre
- -0.02966858782224222
- expected_high_eur_per_litre
- 0.3055530762984292
- proxy_normal_volatility_pct
- 9.833812917722621
Mudell
event.crude_only.computed_with_proxyv1.2 · Marka tal-identità5ac31993e2320be08bc9639e6830d43a0b0dc302c449f65e84a11638cd76f89a· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCIl-Latvja, Frar 2023: id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (żejt mhux maħdum) hija MHUX MAGĦRUFA: is-sors jirrapporta żero importazzjonijiet għal dan il-perjodu: m’hemm l-ebda volum li minnu jittieħed sehem – dan huwa żero rrappurtat, mhux data nieqsa.
pajjiż: il-LatvjaMhux magħrufMhux magħrufaGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- % of imported tonnes
- period
- 2023-02
- status
- NO_OBSERVATION
- country
- Latvia
- commodity
- crude
- dimension
- DIRECT_CRUDE
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- country_iso2
- LV
- country_name
- Latvia
- country_slug
- latvia
- value_max_pct
- null
- value_min_pct
- null
- exposure_status
- UNKNOWN
- value_point_pct
- null
- observation_date
- 2023-02-01
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
- band_applied_to
- upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
- dependence_limited_max_pct
- 10
- dependence_moderate_max_pct
- 33
Inputs
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- % of imported tonnes
- period
- 2023-02
- status
- NO_OBSERVATION
- country
- Latvia
- commodity
- crude
- dimension
- DIRECT_CRUDE
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- country_iso2
- LV
- country_name
- Latvia
- country_slug
- latvia
- value_max_pct
- null
- value_min_pct
- null
- exposure_status
- UNKNOWN
- statement_topic
- hormuz
- value_point_pct
- null
- observation_date
- 2023-02-01
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
Mudell
event.dependence.unknownv1.2 · Marka tal-identità9f3f084f4d852aebca0789d2fa09a4325dccaa5907713022647ce8d92ec8ecbf· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCIl-Latvja, Frar 2023: id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (prodott raffinat) kienet limitata (0%).
pajjiż: il-LatvjaIkkalkulatBaxxaGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- band
- limited
- unit
- % of imported tonnes
- period
- 2023-02
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Latvia
- commodity
- refined product
- dimension
- DIRECT_PRODUCT
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- country_iso2
- LV
- country_name
- Latvia
- country_slug
- latvia
- value_max_pct
- 0
- value_min_pct
- 0
- exposure_status
- COMPUTED
- value_point_pct
- 0
- observation_date
- 2023-02-01
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
- band_applied_to
- upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
- dependence_limited_max_pct
- 10
- dependence_moderate_max_pct
- 33
Inputs
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- band
- limited
- unit
- % of imported tonnes
- period
- 2023-02
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Latvia
- commodity
- refined product
- dimension
- DIRECT_PRODUCT
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- country_iso2
- LV
- country_name
- Latvia
- country_slug
- latvia
- value_max_pct
- 0
- value_min_pct
- 0
- exposure_status
- COMPUTED
- statement_topic
- hormuz
- value_point_pct
- 0
- observation_date
- 2023-02-01
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
Mudell
event.dependence.pointv1.2 · Marka tal-identità34ae68ff13539cf032cd8b31c2d25d555d62974cc2d4097b6003e229a222a6e0· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCJekk il-provvista taż-żejt mhux maħdum (il-Latvja, Frar 2023) naqset fiżikament huwa MHUX MAGĦRUF: importazzjonijiet irrappurtati taż-żejt mhux maħdum fix-xhur ta’ qabel (12) ugwali għal żero; ma tistax tiġi kkalkulata bidla perċentwali.
pajjiż: il-LatvjaMhux magħrufMhux magħrufaGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- tonnes
- month
- 2023-02
- country
- Latvia
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- country_iso2
- LV
- country_name
- Latvia
- country_slug
- latvia
- value_tonnes
- 0
- missing_reason
- zero_baseline
- baseline_months
- 12
- observation_date
- 2023-02-01
- series_source_ids
- ["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
- crude_imports_rule
- crude_imports_total-1.1
- baseline_mean_tonnes
- 0
- baseline_window_months
- 12
- value_not_published_code
- null
- baseline_not_published_months
- 0
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no cut-off
- min_baseline_months
- 6
- baseline_months_used
- 12
- supply_reduction_pct
- -10
- supply_baseline_months
- 12
Inputs
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- tonnes
- month
- 2023-02
- country
- Latvia
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- country_iso2
- LV
- country_name
- Latvia
- country_slug
- latvia
- value_tonnes
- 0
- missing_reason
- zero_baseline
- baseline_months
- 12
- statement_topic
- event
- observation_date
- 2023-02-01
- series_source_ids
- ["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
- crude_imports_rule
- crude_imports_total-1.1
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- baseline_mean_tonnes
- 0
- baseline_window_months
- 12
- value_not_published_code
- null
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- baseline_not_published_months
- 0
Mudell
event.supply.unknownv1.2 · Marka tal-identità71e1e9cdbb24db52edcdd58c575e452eb7825f90b04c4d2016cf6e5da044ed54· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFrar 2023: l-istokkijiet taż-żejt (il-Latvja) kienu 20.4% aktar baxxi meta mqabbla mal-medja mobbli tagħhom (xhur: 12), jiem ta’ kopertura: 55.0 (kif ippubblikati).
pajjiż: il-LatvjaIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- tonnes
- month
- 2023-02
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Latvia
- direction
- below
- siec_code
- O4000
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- holder_type
- STK_CL
- series_code
- INVENTORY_LV
- country_iso2
- LV
- country_name
- Latvia
- country_slug
- latvia
- days_of_cover
- 55
- metric_status
- COMPUTED
- mom_change_pct
- 0.13846843472333945
- observation_date
- 2023-02-01
- series_source_ids
- ["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
- total_stock_tonnes
- 326157
- days_of_cover_basis
- as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
- observation_gap_days
- 4
- trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
- 409793.0833333333
- level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
- -20.409344797384534
- trailing_12m_observations
- 12
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no band
- band_applied_to
- the rounded figure printed in the sentence
- days_of_cover_basis
- as published (Eurostat nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); never stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
- trailing_window_months
- 12
- level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_raw
- -20.409344797384534
- level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_shown
- -20.4
- inventory_material_deviation_pct
- 5
Inputs
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- tonnes
- month
- 2023-02
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Latvia
- direction
- below
- siec_code
- O4000
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- holder_type
- STK_CL
- series_code
- INVENTORY_LV
- country_iso2
- LV
- country_name
- Latvia
- country_slug
- latvia
- days_of_cover
- 55
- metric_status
- COMPUTED
- mom_change_pct
- 0.13846843472333945
- statement_topic
- event
- observation_date
- 2023-02-01
- series_source_ids
- ["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
- total_stock_tonnes
- 326157
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- days_of_cover_basis
- as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 4
- trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
- 409793.0833333333
- level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
- -20.409344797384534
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- trailing_12m_observations
- 12
Mudell
event.inventory_level.belowv1.2 · Marka tal-identità2592f2ec222bba372e0ac17df7f58c1e6c3667aaaa5495c3a6145bed38ca3bd0· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCSommarju ta’ x’jista’ jiġi vverifikat hawn
Parti biss mill-katina tista’ tiġi vverifikata għal dan il-pajjiż (il-Latvja) madwar l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”: serje disponibbli: 4 minn 8 (prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdum, stokkijiet, prezz fil-pompa mingħajr taxxi u prezz fil-pompa bit-taxxi); mhux disponibbli: prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinati, marġni tar-raffinar, noli u prezzijiet bl-ingrossa. Kull dikjarazzjoni bbażata fuq ir-rabtiet neqsin ma tistax tiġi ttestjata hawn. Din il-paġna tiddeskrivi x’għamlet kull serje madwar id-data tal-avveniment. Mhijiex sejba dwar kawża: l-ebda disinn kawżali mhu ppubblikat għal dan is-sit, u serje li ċċaqilqet fl-istess tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.
pajjiż: il-LatvjaMhux magħrufMhux magħrufaGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- country
- Latvia
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- country_iso2
- LV
- country_name
- Latvia
- country_slug
- latvia
- dependence_band
- null
- dependence_range
- null
- channels_available
- ["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
- supply_template_id
- event.supply.unknown
- channels_unavailable
- ["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; the channel list is docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.3
- channels_total
- 8
- channels_available
- 4
- verdict_partial_min_channels
- 3
- verdict_assessable_min_channels
- 8
Inputs
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- country
- Latvia
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- country_iso2
- LV
- country_name
- Latvia
- country_slug
- latvia
- dependence_band
- null
- statement_topic
- event
- dependence_range
- null
- channels_available
- ["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
- supply_template_id
- event.supply.unknown
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- channels_unavailable
- ["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
Mudell
event.verdict.partialv1.2 · Marka tal-identitàcec9561b9b1ea7b5af91812cd759feb4fd428027260426597b56c00949e0cf92· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’+8.4%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.8 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- $/BBL
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 85.46
- status
- OBSERVED
- z_score
- 0.08812991325524933
- t0_value
- 78.85
- benchmark
- Brent crude
- change_pct
- 8.383005707038683
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- BRENT
- variation_label
- day-to-day
- observation_date
- 2023-02-10
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 1.8495435613044966
- series_source_ids
- ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 6.609999999999999
- change_pct_from_t0
- 8.383005707038683
- observation_gap_days
- 2
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.532472704306617
- change_in_volatility_units
- 1.8495435613044966
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- $/BBL
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 85.46
- status
- OBSERVED
- z_score
- 0.08812991325524933
- t0_value
- 78.85
- benchmark
- Brent crude
- change_pct
- 8.383005707038683
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- BRENT
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- day-to-day
- observation_date
- 2023-02-10
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 1.8495435613044966
- series_source_ids
- ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 6.609999999999999
- change_pct_from_t0
- 8.383005707038683
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 2
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.532472704306617
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- 1.8495435613044966
Mudell
event.benchmark_move.within_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identità38adc5dea4321bbd49653a24f7c0174373d8aa5326085a6d6dbe425d5975e73b· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’+8.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.0 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- $/BBL
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 85.86
- status
- OBSERVED
- z_score
- 0.1507166248435324
- t0_value
- 78.85
- benchmark
- Brent crude
- change_pct
- 8.890298034242239
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- BRENT
- variation_label
- day-to-day
- observation_date
- 2023-03-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 1.9614675287056775
- series_source_ids
- ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 7.010000000000005
- change_pct_from_t0
- 8.890298034242239
- observation_gap_days
- 1
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.532472704306617
- change_in_volatility_units
- 1.9614675287056775
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- $/BBL
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 85.86
- status
- OBSERVED
- z_score
- 0.1507166248435324
- t0_value
- 78.85
- benchmark
- Brent crude
- change_pct
- 8.890298034242239
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- BRENT
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- day-to-day
- observation_date
- 2023-03-06
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 1.9614675287056775
- series_source_ids
- ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 7.010000000000005
- change_pct_from_t0
- 8.890298034242239
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 1
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.532472704306617
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- 1.9614675287056775
Mudell
event.benchmark_move.within_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identità0da9031a475f48ba9492ce0f26d02ef4b075756fb5a3ed508e2b5f1ea86c489b· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’-3.8%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.8 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- $/BBL
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 75.85
- status
- OBSERVED
- z_score
- -1.4155158326532304
- t0_value
- 78.85
- benchmark
- Brent crude
- change_pct
- -3.804692454026633
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- BRENT
- variation_label
- day-to-day
- observation_date
- 2023-05-05
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -0.8394297555088486
- series_source_ids
- ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -3
- change_pct_from_t0
- -3.804692454026633
- observation_gap_days
- 1
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.532472704306617
- change_in_volatility_units
- -0.8394297555088486
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- $/BBL
- event
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- value
- 75.85
- status
- OBSERVED
- z_score
- -1.4155158326532304
- t0_value
- 78.85
- benchmark
- Brent crude
- change_pct
- -3.804692454026633
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- BRENT
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- day-to-day
- observation_date
- 2023-05-05
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -0.8394297555088486
- series_source_ids
- ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -3
- change_pct_from_t0
- -3.804692454026633
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 1
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.532472704306617
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- -0.8394297555088486
Mudell
event.benchmark_move.within_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identità956c15054a5318a99cfc9c833555e8d3f8ac980a1c014dbf655e5357d300335e· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCNoli – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: in-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufaGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- channels
- ["freight rates"]
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- reason_code
- NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
Limiti
- source
- CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
- any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
- true
Inputs
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- channels
- ["freight rates"]
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- reason_code
- NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
- statement_topic
- event
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
Mudell
event.channel.unavailablev1.2 · Marka tal-identità298ab38a71e7fa1e827846158174e16f115ed958766d0a18618b16aa877096e8· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCPrezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinati – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni. Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufaGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- channels
- ["refined-product benchmark"]
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- reason_code
- NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
Limiti
- source
- CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
- any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
- true
Inputs
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- channels
- ["refined-product benchmark"]
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- reason_code
- NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
- statement_topic
- event
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
Mudell
event.channel.unavailablev1.2 · Marka tal-identità0a3ee8f8627510915169cd9a2eaa4452fa0806bd90c55f8208323cb6b271bea9· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCPrezzijiet bl-ingrossa – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufaGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- channels
- ["wholesale prices"]
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- reason_code
- NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
Limiti
- source
- CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
- any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
- true
Inputs
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- channels
- ["wholesale prices"]
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- reason_code
- NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
- statement_topic
- event
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
Mudell
event.channel.unavailablev1.2 · Marka tal-identitàb5b761de3451d820e679168f99a9b0a6cadccd3d87b852d57da6f18bc2de3e6c· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCMarġni tar-raffinar – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: m’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufaGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- channels
- ["refining margin"]
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- reason_code
- NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
Limiti
- source
- CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
- any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
- true
Inputs
- t0
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
- channels
- ["refining margin"]
- event_name
- EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- reason_code
- NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
- statement_topic
- event
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
Mudell
event.channel.unavailablev1.2 · Marka tal-identitàe9796ff5d8838330a75be8298f9f4cd8c4fea863574dbd933141d0a1f568d3c6· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
X’ma jurix dan
- Ma jurix li l-avveniment kien fl-oriġini ta’ xi ħaġa. L-ebda disinn kawżali mhu ppubblikat għal dan is-sit, u serje li ċċaqilqet f’din it-tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.
- Bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza, u lanqas punteġġ z ma hu. Ikejlu affarijiet differenti u mhumiex interkambjabbli.
- Il-kanali mingħajr sors b’liċenzja għall-użu jew diġà mtella’ jintwerew bħala pannelli vojta, mhux bħala linji ċatti. “Ma nistgħux naraw dan” ma jfissirx “dan ma ċċaqlaqx”.
- Xejn ma jiġi interpolat. Fejn diversi punti tat-tieqa jaqgħu fuq ċifra ppubblikata waħda, dak hu li stampa l-pubblikatur, u l-bidla meta mqabbla mad-data tal-avveniment hija żero: huwa l-istess numru.
Kif jinqraw it-tikketti
- UffiċjaliIrrappurtat direttament minn awtorità uffiċjali.
- IvverifikatIrrappurtat minn parti terza u vverifikat minna ma’ rekord primarju.
- IkkalkulatIkkalkulat minna minn inputs irrappurtati. Il-metodu huwa ppubblikat fil-paġna tal-metodoloġija.
- Inferit · kunfidenza għoljaMhux irrappurtat. Inferit minn mill-inqas żewġ rekords fiżiċi indipendenti.
- Inferit · kunfidenza medjaMhux irrappurtat. Inferit minn evidenza indiretta qawwija, mingħajr konferma espliċita.
- Inferit · kunfidenza baxxaMhux irrappurtat. Plawżibbli biss minn data dwar l-infrastruttura jew il-movimenti. Taqrahx bħala fatt.
- Mhux magħrufL-ebda evidenza pubblika difendibbli ma tistabbilixxi dan. Ma nagħmlux suppożizzjonijiet, u dan mhuwiex kejl ta’ żero.