Fuel Origin

Teagmhais / Suaitheadh loingseoireachta

Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026)

Dátaí
28/02/2026 → níl dáta deiridh ar taifead
Beachtas an dáta
lá
Stádas
Ar siúl
Raon feidhme
Caolas Hormuz / Murascaill na Peirse

An méid a dúirt na foinsí (i mBéarla)

Onset date as published by two independent agencies. IEA, 11 March 2026: "The conflict in the Middle East that began on 28 February 2026 has impeded oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, with export volumes of crude and refined products currently at less than 10% of pre-conflict levels." EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook, April 2026: "The strait has been effectively closed to shipping traffic since military action began on February 28." EIA STEO March 2026 dates the same onset ("the onset of military action in the Middle East that began on February 28"). Reported transit volumes: EIA STEO August 2026 - "crude oil and petroleum liquids transported through the Strait of Hormuz averaged 4.9 million barrels per day (b/d) in the second quarter of 2026 (2Q26), down from an average of 21.6 million b/d in 4Q25 before the conflict began"; IEA commentary 22 June 2026 gives an average of 2.7 million b/d for March-May 2026 against "around 20 million barrels per day" before. Date disagreement recorded, not resolved: EIA Today in Energy of 15 July 2026 dates the US-Iran memorandum of understanding on resuming traffic to 17 June 2026, while the EIA press release of 7 July 2026 dates the same memorandum to 18 June 2026. No end date is recorded: EIA STEO September 2026 still describes flows through the strait as constrained and variable, and EIA STEO August 2026 records renewed attacks on tankers from 7 July 2026. This row is a timeline marker only; it makes no statement about prices.

IEA, EIA, an Coimisiún Eorpach, an Chomhairle Eorpach agus reachtais náisiúnta (foinse luaite i ngach ró)Fíoraithe
Aisghafa 23/09/2026, 07:22 UTCAthbhreithniú 1
Doiciméid foinse (7)
TírTírAn GhearmáinAn FhraincAn ÍsiltírAn PholainnAn FhionlainnAn EastóinAn OstairAn BheilgAn BhulgáirAn ChróitAn ChipirAn tSeiciaAn DanmhairgAn GhréigAn UngáirÉireAn IodáilAn LaitviaAn LiotuáinLucsamburgMáltaAn PhortaingéilAn RómáinAn tSlóvaicAn tSlóivéinAn SpáinnAn tSualainn
BreoslaBreoslaDíosal (ola dhíosail ar bhóthar)Peitreal (Euro-super 95)An dá bhreosla

Nuair a roghnaítear breosla, coinnítear sraitheanna an bhreosla sin agus na cainéil atá i gcoitinne ag gach breosla: tagarmharc na hamhola, an ráta malairte, allmhairí amhola agus nochtadh do Hormuz. Ní fhágtar ar lár ach sraitheanna an bhreosla eile.

Fuinneog an teagmhais

Luach gach sraithe idir -30 agus 90 lá timpeall ar dháta an teagmhais, an fad atá sé sin ó leibhéal na sraithe céanna ar dháta an teagmhais, agus méid na gluaiseachta sin i gcomparáid le gnáthathraitheacht na sraithe féin.

An Fhionlainn, gach breosla sa ríomh seo. Sraitheanna is féidir a tharraingt: 20; sraitheanna nach féidir a fheiceáil ar chor ar bith, a thaispeántar thíos mar phainéil fholmha lipéadaithe: 9.

Léamha foilsithe: 242; fritháirimh nach bhfuil aon rud foilsithe dóibh laistigh de thréimhse amháin: 18; fritháirimh ar shraitheanna nach féidir linn a fheiceáil ar chor ar bith: 117. Tá gach ceann acu ar an leathanach seo.

Europe Brent spot FOB

Aonad: $ an bairilleFoilsithe: laethúilRíofaArd
T0−30T0+30+60+90130.763.52026-01-29: 71.00 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −302026-02-13: 69.96 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −142026-02-20: 72.75 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −72026-02-25: 70.69 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −3an luach céanna agus ag T0: 2026-02-27, 71.32 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −1, T0, +12026-03-03: 83.28 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +32026-03-06: 95.74 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +72026-03-13: 103.2 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +142026-03-30: 121.9 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +302026-04-29: 124.2 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-29: 92.88 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +90

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh.

Tábla na fuinneoige (Europe Brent spot FOB): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-2971.00-0.320-0.45%-0.23
−142026-02-1369.96-1.360-1.91%-0.99
−72026-02-2072.75+1.430+2.01%+1.04
−32026-02-2570.69-0.630-0.88%-0.46
−12026-02-27an luach céanna agus ag T071.320.0000.00%0.00
T02026-02-27an luach céanna agus ag T071.320.0000.00%0.00
+12026-02-27an luach céanna agus ag T071.320.0000.00%0.00
+32026-03-0383.28+11.960+16.77%+8.68
+72026-03-0695.74+24.420+34.24%+17.72
+142026-03-13103.2+31.910+44.74%+23.16
+302026-03-30121.9+50.560+70.89%+36.70
+602026-04-29124.2+52.840+74.09%+38.35
+902026-05-2992.88+21.560+30.23%+15.65

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 1.93%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó lá go lá; líon na n-athruithe: 756) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

reported crude oil imports, all origins

Aonad: tFoilsithe: míosúilAnaithnidAnaithnid
T0−30T0+30+60+90903,000817,0002026-04-01: 860,000 t, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +60

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Stopann an líne ag na fritháirimh seo: −30, −14, −7, −3, −1, T0, +1, +3, +7, +14, +30, +90, nuair nár foilsíodh aon fhigiúr laistigh de thréimhse amháin ón bhfritháireamh.

Tábla na fuinneoige (reported crude oil imports, all origins): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-01neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
−142026-02-01neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
−72026-02-01neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
−32026-02-01neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
−12026-02-01neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
T02026-02-01neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+12026-03-01neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+32026-03-01neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+72026-03-01neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+142026-03-01neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+302026-03-01neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+602026-04-01860,000neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+902026-05-01neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 47.56%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó mhí go mí; líon na n-athruithe: 21) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

Aonad: € an lítearFoilsithe: seachtainiúilRíofaMeánach
T0−30T0+30+60+901.2320.5672026-01-26: 0.6310 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −302026-02-09: 0.6339 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −142026-02-16: 0.6416 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −7an luach céanna agus ag T0: 2026-02-23, 0.6422 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −3, −1, T0, +12026-03-02: 0.7256 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +3, +72026-03-09: 0.7893 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +142026-03-30: 0.9524 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +302026-04-27: 1.057 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-25: 1.168 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +90

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.

Tábla na fuinneoige (crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-260.6310-0.011-1.73%-0.02
−142026-02-090.6339-0.008-1.29%-0.01
−72026-02-160.6416-0.001-0.09%-0.00
−32026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.64220.0000.00%0.00
−12026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.64220.0000.00%0.00
T02026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.64220.0000.00%0.00
+12026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.64220.0000.00%0.00
+32026-03-020.7256+0.083+12.99%+0.15
+72026-03-020.7256+0.083+12.99%+0.15
+142026-03-090.7893+0.147+22.92%+0.26
+302026-03-300.9524+0.310+48.31%+0.55
+602026-04-271.057+0.414+64.53%+0.74
+902026-05-251.168+0.525+81.81%+0.93

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 87.78%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó sheachtain go seachtain; líon na n-athruithe: 155) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

ráta tagartha malairte euro an BCE

Aonad: USD in aghaidh an EURFoilsithe: laethúilRíofaArd
T0−30T0+30+60+901.2031.1422026-01-29: 1.197 USD in aghaidh an EUR, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −302026-02-13: 1.186 USD in aghaidh an EUR, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −142026-02-20: 1.177 USD in aghaidh an EUR, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −72026-02-25: 1.178 USD in aghaidh an EUR, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −3an luach céanna agus ag T0: 2026-02-27, 1.181 USD in aghaidh an EUR, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −1, T0, +12026-03-03: 1.161 USD in aghaidh an EUR, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +32026-03-06: 1.156 USD in aghaidh an EUR, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +72026-03-13: 1.148 USD in aghaidh an EUR, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +142026-03-30: 1.148 USD in aghaidh an EUR, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +302026-04-29: 1.171 USD in aghaidh an EUR, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-29: 1.164 USD in aghaidh an EUR, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +90

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh.

Tábla na fuinneoige (ráta tagartha malairte euro an BCE): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-291.197+0.016+1.38%+3.12
−142026-02-131.186+0.006+0.48%+1.09
−72026-02-201.177-0.004-0.32%-0.73
−32026-02-251.178-0.002-0.18%-0.40
−12026-02-27an luach céanna agus ag T01.1810.0000.00%0.00
T02026-02-27an luach céanna agus ag T01.1810.0000.00%0.00
+12026-02-27an luach céanna agus ag T01.1810.0000.00%0.00
+32026-03-031.161-0.020-1.69%-3.81
+72026-03-061.156-0.024-2.07%-4.67
+142026-03-131.148-0.033-2.79%-6.29
+302026-03-301.148-0.032-2.72%-6.14
+602026-04-291.171-0.010-0.84%-1.89
+902026-05-291.164-0.016-1.36%-3.08

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 0.44%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó lá go lá; líon na n-athruithe: 765) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

nochtadh díreach amhola do Hormuz D1

Aonad: % de na tonnaí allmhairitheFoilsithe: míosúilInfeirithe · muinín mheánachÍseal
T0−30T0+30+60+901.0000.0002026-01-01: 0 % de na tonnaí allmhairithe, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −30an luach céanna agus ag T0: 2026-02-01, 0 % de na tonnaí allmhairithe, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −14, −7, −3, −1, T02026-03-01: 0 % de na tonnaí allmhairithe, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +1, +3, +7, +14, +302026-04-01: 0 % de na tonnaí allmhairithe, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-01: 0 % de na tonnaí allmhairithe, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +90

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.

Tábla na fuinneoige (nochtadh díreach amhola do Hormuz D1): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-0100.000neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
−142026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T000.000neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
−72026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T000.000neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
−32026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T000.000neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
−12026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T000.000neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
T02026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T000.000neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+12026-03-0100.000neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+32026-03-0100.000neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+72026-03-0100.000neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+142026-03-0100.000neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+302026-03-0100.000neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+602026-04-0100.000neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+902026-05-0100.000neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe

Ní fhoilsítear aon ghnáthluaineacht don tsraith seo: ní chuirtear aon athrú in iúl in aonaid luaineachta. Ionchur atá ar iarraidh é sin, ní nialas.

nochtadh díreach táirgí peitriliam do Hormuz D2

Aonad: % de na tonnaí allmhairitheFoilsithe: míosúilAnaithnidAnaithnid
T0−30T0+30+60+9014.630.002026-03-01: 0.8658 % de na tonnaí allmhairithe, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +1, +3, +7, +14, +302026-04-01: 3.136 % de na tonnaí allmhairithe, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-01: 0 % de na tonnaí allmhairithe, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +902026-02-01: 8.955 – 13.06 % de na tonnaí allmhairithe. Ní fhoilsítear aon mheastachán pointe: ní tharraingítear aon lárphointe.

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Stopann an líne ag na fritháirimh seo: −30, nuair nár foilsíodh aon fhigiúr laistigh de thréimhse amháin ón bhfritháireamh. Is é an banda scáthaithe an raon inghlactha. Ní tharraingítear aon lárphointe: ní fhoilsítear aon mheastachán pointe.

Tábla na fuinneoige (nochtadh díreach táirgí peitriliam do Hormuz D2): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-01neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
−142026-02-018.955–13.06neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
−72026-02-018.955–13.06neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
−32026-02-018.955–13.06neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
−12026-02-018.955–13.06neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
T02026-02-018.955–13.06neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+12026-03-010.8658neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+32026-03-010.8658neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+72026-03-010.8658neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+142026-03-010.8658neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+302026-03-010.8658neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+602026-04-013.136neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+902026-05-010neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 88.43%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó mhí go mí; líon na n-athruithe: 18) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

nochtadh stoc D7: laethanta cumhdaigh na gcúlstoc ola mar a foilsíodh iad, tugtha ar aghaidh gan athrú

Aonad: lá cumhdaighFoilsithe: míosúilRíofaArd
T0−30T0+30+60+90213.30.02026-01-01: 190.4 lá cumhdaigh, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −30an luach céanna agus ag T0: 2026-02-01, 190.4 lá cumhdaigh, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −14, −7, −3, −1, T02026-03-01: 190.3 lá cumhdaigh, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +1, +3, +7, +14, +302026-04-01: 181.8 lá cumhdaigh, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-01: 0 lá cumhdaigh, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +90

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.

Tábla na fuinneoige (nochtadh stoc D7: laethanta cumhdaigh na gcúlstoc ola mar a foilsíodh iad, tugtha ar aghaidh gan athrú): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-01190.40.0000.00%0.00
−142026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0190.40.0000.00%0.00
−72026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0190.40.0000.00%0.00
−32026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0190.40.0000.00%0.00
−12026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0190.40.0000.00%0.00
T02026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0190.40.0000.00%0.00
+12026-03-01190.3-0.125-0.07%-0.00
+32026-03-01190.3-0.125-0.07%-0.00
+72026-03-01190.3-0.125-0.07%-0.00
+142026-03-01190.3-0.125-0.07%-0.00
+302026-03-01190.3-0.125-0.07%-0.00
+602026-04-01181.8-8.604-4.52%-0.26
+902026-05-010-190.414-100.00%-5.69

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 17.58%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó mhí go mí; líon na n-athruithe: 33) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

Aonad: € an lítearFoilsithe: seachtainiúilRíofaArd
T0−30T0+30+60+900.7130.3352026-01-26: 0.3714 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −302026-02-09: 0.3742 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −142026-02-16: 0.3817 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −7an luach céanna agus ag T0: 2026-02-23, 0.3806 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −3, −1, T0, +12026-03-02: 0.4615 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +3, +72026-03-09: 0.5233 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +142026-03-30: 0.6763 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +302026-04-27: 0.6445 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-25: 0.5248 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +90

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.

Tábla na fuinneoige (crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-260.3714-0.009-2.40%-0.66
−142026-02-090.3742-0.006-1.68%-0.46
−72026-02-160.3817+0.001+0.29%+0.08
−32026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.38060.0000.00%0.00
−12026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.38060.0000.00%0.00
T02026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.38060.0000.00%0.00
+12026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.38060.0000.00%0.00
+32026-03-020.4615+0.081+21.26%+5.80
+72026-03-020.4615+0.081+21.26%+5.80
+142026-03-090.5233+0.143+37.50%+10.24
+302026-03-300.6763+0.296+77.69%+21.21
+602026-04-270.6445+0.264+69.35%+18.93
+902026-05-250.5248+0.144+37.88%+10.34

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 3.66%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó sheachtain go seachtain; líon na n-athruithe: 155) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

Aonad: € an lítearFoilsithe: seachtainiúilRíofaArd
T0−30T0+30+60+900.7130.3352026-01-26: 0.3714 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −302026-02-09: 0.3742 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −142026-02-16: 0.3817 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −7an luach céanna agus ag T0: 2026-02-23, 0.3806 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −3, −1, T0, +12026-03-02: 0.4615 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +3, +72026-03-09: 0.5233 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +142026-03-30: 0.6763 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +302026-04-27: 0.6445 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-25: 0.5248 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +90

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.

Tábla na fuinneoige (crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-260.3714-0.009-2.40%-0.66
−142026-02-090.3742-0.006-1.68%-0.46
−72026-02-160.3817+0.001+0.29%+0.08
−32026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.38060.0000.00%0.00
−12026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.38060.0000.00%0.00
T02026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.38060.0000.00%0.00
+12026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.38060.0000.00%0.00
+32026-03-020.4615+0.081+21.26%+5.80
+72026-03-020.4615+0.081+21.26%+5.80
+142026-03-090.5233+0.143+37.50%+10.24
+302026-03-300.6763+0.296+77.69%+21.21
+602026-04-270.6445+0.264+69.35%+18.93
+902026-05-250.5248+0.144+37.88%+10.34

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 3.66%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó sheachtain go seachtain; líon na n-athruithe: 155) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

stoic ola náisiúnta iomlána (Eurostat, sealbhóirí tráchtála), leis na laethanta cumhdaigh foilsithe in éineacht leo

Aonad: tFoilsithe: míosúilRíofaArd
T0−30T0+30+60+904,308,8003,794,2002026-01-01: 3,985,000 t, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −30an luach céanna agus ag T0: 2026-02-01, 3,882,000 t, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −14, −7, −3, −1, T02026-03-01: 3,844,000 t, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +1, +3, +7, +14, +302026-04-01: 3,976,000 t, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-01: 4,259,000 t, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +90

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.

Tábla na fuinneoige (stoic ola náisiúnta iomlána (Eurostat, sealbhóirí tráchtála), leis na laethanta cumhdaigh foilsithe in éineacht leo): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-013,985,000+103,000+2.65%+0.73
−142026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T03,882,0000.0000.00%0.00
−72026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T03,882,0000.0000.00%0.00
−32026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T03,882,0000.0000.00%0.00
−12026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T03,882,0000.0000.00%0.00
T02026-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T03,882,0000.0000.00%0.00
+12026-03-013,844,000-38,000-0.98%-0.27
+32026-03-013,844,000-38,000-0.98%-0.27
+72026-03-013,844,000-38,000-0.98%-0.27
+142026-03-013,844,000-38,000-0.98%-0.27
+302026-03-013,844,000-38,000-0.98%-0.27
+602026-04-013,976,000+94,000+2.42%+0.66
+902026-05-014,259,000+377,000+9.71%+2.66

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 3.66%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó mhí go mí; líon na n-athruithe: 35) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

Aonad: € an lítearFoilsithe: seachtainiúilRíofaMeánach
T0−30T0+30+60+900.167-0.1812026-01-26: 0.1020 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −302026-02-09: 0.0614 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −142026-02-16: 0.1330 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −7an luach céanna agus ag T0: 2026-02-23, 0 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −3, −1, T0, +12026-03-02: 0.0897 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +3, +72026-03-09: 0.0229 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +142026-03-30: -0.0422 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +302026-04-27: -0.1156 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-25: -0.1477 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +90

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.

Tábla na fuinneoige (not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-260.1020+0.102neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
−142026-02-090.0614+0.061neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
−72026-02-160.1330+0.133neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
−32026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T000.000neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
−12026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T000.000neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
T02026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T000.000neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+12026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T000.000neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+32026-03-020.0897+0.090neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+72026-03-020.0897+0.090neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+142026-03-090.0229+0.023neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+302026-03-30-0.0422-0.042neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+602026-04-27-0.1156-0.116neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe
+902026-05-25-0.1477-0.148neamhfhoilsitheneamhfhoilsithe

Ní fhoilsítear aon ghnáthluaineacht don tsraith seo: ní chuirtear aon athrú in iúl in aonaid luaineachta. Ionchur atá ar iarraidh é sin, ní nialas.

praghas le cánacha an Fheasacháin Ola Sheachtainiúil

Aonad: € an lítearFoilsithe: seachtainiúilRíofaArd
T0−30T0+30+60+902.4091.6662026-01-26: 1.848 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −302026-02-09: 1.834 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −142026-02-16: 1.919 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −7an luach céanna agus ag T0: 2026-02-23, 1.738 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −3, −1, T0, +12026-03-02: 1.951 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +3, +72026-03-09: 2.042 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +142026-03-30: 2.270 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +302026-04-27: 2.337 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-25: 2.319 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +90

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.

Tábla na fuinneoige (praghas le cánacha an Fheasacháin Ola Sheachtainiúil): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-261.848+0.110+6.34%+1.56
−142026-02-091.834+0.096+5.54%+1.37
−72026-02-161.919+0.181+10.44%+2.57
−32026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T01.7380.0000.00%0.00
−12026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T01.7380.0000.00%0.00
T02026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T01.7380.0000.00%0.00
+12026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T01.7380.0000.00%0.00
+32026-03-021.951+0.213+12.26%+3.02
+72026-03-021.951+0.213+12.26%+3.02
+142026-03-092.042+0.304+17.50%+4.31
+302026-03-302.270+0.532+30.64%+7.54
+602026-04-272.337+0.599+34.48%+8.49
+902026-05-252.319+0.581+33.41%+8.23

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 4.06%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó sheachtain go seachtain; líon na n-athruithe: 155) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

praghas le cánacha an Fheasacháin Ola Sheachtainiúil

Aonad: € an lítearFoilsithe: seachtainiúilRíofaArd
T0−30T0+30+60+902.2431.6562026-01-26: 1.827 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −302026-02-09: 1.779 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −142026-02-16: 1.879 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −7an luach céanna agus ag T0: 2026-02-23, 1.713 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −3, −1, T0, +12026-03-02: 1.930 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +3, +72026-03-09: 1.926 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +142026-03-30: 2.049 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +302026-04-27: 2.088 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-25: 2.187 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +90

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.

Tábla na fuinneoige (praghas le cánacha an Fheasacháin Ola Sheachtainiúil): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-261.827+0.114+6.66%+1.81
−142026-02-091.779+0.067+3.89%+1.06
−72026-02-161.879+0.166+9.71%+2.63
−32026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T01.7130.0000.00%0.00
−12026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T01.7130.0000.00%0.00
T02026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T01.7130.0000.00%0.00
+12026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T01.7130.0000.00%0.00
+32026-03-021.930+0.217+12.69%+3.44
+72026-03-021.930+0.217+12.69%+3.44
+142026-03-091.926+0.213+12.46%+3.38
+302026-03-302.049+0.336+19.65%+5.33
+602026-04-272.088+0.375+21.90%+5.94
+902026-05-252.187+0.474+27.68%+7.51

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 3.69%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó sheachtain go seachtain; líon na n-athruithe: 155) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

praghas gan chánacha an Fheasacháin Ola Sheachtainiúil

Aonad: € an lítearFoilsithe: seachtainiúilRíofaArd
T0−30T0+30+60+901.4090.8172026-01-26: 0.9621 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −302026-02-09: 0.9511 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −142026-02-16: 1.019 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −7an luach céanna agus ag T0: 2026-02-23, 0.8743 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −3, −1, T0, +12026-03-02: 1.044 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +3, +72026-03-09: 1.117 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +142026-03-30: 1.299 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +302026-04-27: 1.352 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-25: 1.337 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +90

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.

Tábla na fuinneoige (praghas gan chánacha an Fheasacháin Ola Sheachtainiúil): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-260.9621+0.088+10.05%+1.56
−142026-02-090.9511+0.077+8.78%+1.37
−72026-02-161.019+0.145+16.53%+2.57
−32026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.87430.0000.00%0.00
−12026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.87430.0000.00%0.00
T02026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.87430.0000.00%0.00
+12026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.87430.0000.00%0.00
+32026-03-021.044+0.170+19.41%+3.02
+72026-03-021.044+0.170+19.41%+3.02
+142026-03-091.117+0.242+27.71%+4.31
+302026-03-301.299+0.424+48.53%+7.55
+602026-04-271.352+0.478+54.62%+8.50
+902026-05-251.337+0.463+52.92%+8.24

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 6.43%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó sheachtain go seachtain; líon na n-athruithe: 155) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

praghas gan chánacha an Fheasacháin Ola Sheachtainiúil

Aonad: € an lítearFoilsithe: seachtainiúilRíofaArd
T0−30T0+30+60+901.0650.5972026-01-26: 0.7330 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −302026-02-09: 0.6953 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −142026-02-16: 0.7746 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −7an luach céanna agus ag T0: 2026-02-23, 0.6422 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −3, −1, T0, +12026-03-02: 0.8153 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +3, +72026-03-09: 0.8122 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +142026-03-30: 0.9103 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +302026-04-27: 0.9410 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-25: 1.020 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +90

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.

Tábla na fuinneoige (praghas gan chánacha an Fheasacháin Ola Sheachtainiúil): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-260.7330+0.091+14.15%+1.88
−142026-02-090.6953+0.053+8.27%+1.10
−72026-02-160.7746+0.132+20.62%+2.74
−32026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.64220.0000.00%0.00
−12026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.64220.0000.00%0.00
T02026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.64220.0000.00%0.00
+12026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.64220.0000.00%0.00
+32026-03-020.8153+0.173+26.96%+3.58
+72026-03-020.8153+0.173+26.96%+3.58
+142026-03-090.8122+0.170+26.49%+3.52
+302026-03-300.9103+0.268+41.75%+5.54
+602026-04-270.9410+0.299+46.53%+6.18
+902026-05-251.020+0.378+58.81%+7.81

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 7.53%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó sheachtain go seachtain; líon na n-athruithe: 155) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

Aonad: € an lítearFoilsithe: seachtainiúilRíofaArd
T0−30T0+30+60+901.0000.8492026-01-26: 0.8860 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −302026-02-09: 0.8832 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −142026-02-16: 0.9005 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −7an luach céanna agus ag T0: 2026-02-23, 0.8636 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −3, −1, T0, +12026-03-02: 0.9069 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +3, +72026-03-09: 0.9254 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +142026-03-30: 0.9718 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +302026-04-27: 0.9854 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-25: 0.9816 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +90

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.

Tábla na fuinneoige (total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-260.8860+0.022+2.59%+1.62
−142026-02-090.8832+0.020+2.27%+1.41
−72026-02-160.9005+0.037+4.27%+2.66
−32026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.86360.0000.00%0.00
−12026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.86360.0000.00%0.00
T02026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.86360.0000.00%0.00
+12026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T00.86360.0000.00%0.00
+32026-03-020.9069+0.043+5.01%+3.12
+72026-03-020.9069+0.043+5.01%+3.12
+142026-03-090.9254+0.062+7.15%+4.46
+302026-03-300.9718+0.108+12.53%+7.80
+602026-04-270.9854+0.122+14.10%+8.78
+902026-05-250.9816+0.118+13.66%+8.51

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 1.61%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó sheachtain go seachtain; líon na n-athruithe: 155) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

Aonad: € an lítearFoilsithe: seachtainiúilRíofaArd
T0−30T0+30+60+901.1781.0592026-01-26: 1.094 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −302026-02-09: 1.084 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −142026-02-16: 1.104 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −7an luach céanna agus ag T0: 2026-02-23, 1.070 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −3, −1, T0, +12026-03-02: 1.115 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +3, +72026-03-09: 1.114 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +142026-03-30: 1.139 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +302026-04-27: 1.147 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-25: 1.167 € an lítear, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +90

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.

Tábla na fuinneoige (total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-261.094+0.023+2.16%+1.83
−142026-02-091.084+0.014+1.26%+1.07
−72026-02-161.104+0.034+3.16%+2.67
−32026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T01.0700.0000.00%0.00
−12026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T01.0700.0000.00%0.00
T02026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T01.0700.0000.00%0.00
+12026-02-23an luach céanna agus ag T01.0700.0000.00%0.00
+32026-03-021.115+0.044+4.13%+3.49
+72026-03-021.115+0.044+4.13%+3.49
+142026-03-091.114+0.043+4.05%+3.43
+302026-03-301.139+0.068+6.39%+5.40
+602026-04-271.147+0.076+7.12%+6.02
+902026-05-251.167+0.096+9.00%+7.61

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 1.18%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó sheachtain go seachtain; líon na n-athruithe: 155) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Aonad: $ an bairilleFoilsithe: laethúilRíofaÍseal
T0−30T0+30+60+9071.0527.842026-01-29: 32.03 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −302026-02-13: 32.27 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −142026-02-20: 37.84 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −72026-02-25: 43.84 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −3an luach céanna agus ag T0: 2026-02-27, 41.49 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −1, T0, +12026-03-03: 52.13 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +32026-03-06: 58.90 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +72026-03-13: 66.83 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +142026-03-30: 66.87 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +302026-04-29: 54.93 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-29: 55.17 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +90

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh.

Tábla na fuinneoige (US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-2932.03-9.466-22.81%-3.77
−142026-02-1332.27-9.224-22.23%-3.68
−72026-02-2037.84-3.656-8.81%-1.46
−32026-02-2543.84+2.352+5.67%+0.94
−12026-02-27an luach céanna agus ag T041.490.0000.00%0.00
T02026-02-27an luach céanna agus ag T041.490.0000.00%0.00
+12026-02-27an luach céanna agus ag T041.490.0000.00%0.00
+32026-03-0352.13+10.636+25.63%+4.24
+72026-03-0658.90+17.412+41.96%+6.94
+142026-03-1366.83+25.336+61.06%+10.10
+302026-03-3066.87+25.376+61.16%+10.12
+602026-04-2954.93+13.436+32.38%+5.36
+902026-05-2955.17+13.678+32.97%+5.45

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 6.05%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó lá go lá; líon na n-athruithe: 733) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Aonad: $ an bairilleFoilsithe: laethúilRíofaÍseal
T0−30T0+30+60+9044.976.732026-01-29: 19.97 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −302026-02-13: 10.43 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −142026-02-20: 11.42 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −72026-02-25: 13.39 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −3an luach céanna agus ag T0: 2026-02-27, 15.87 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −1, T0, +12026-03-03: 19.87 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +32026-03-06: 20.56 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +72026-03-13: 25.33 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +142026-03-30: 21.09 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +302026-04-29: 34.94 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-29: 41.27 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +90

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh.

Tábla na fuinneoige (US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-2919.97+4.100+25.83%+0.93
−142026-02-1310.43-5.444-34.30%-1.23
−72026-02-2011.42-4.454-28.06%-1.00
−32026-02-2513.39-2.478-15.61%-0.56
−12026-02-27an luach céanna agus ag T015.870.0000.00%0.00
T02026-02-27an luach céanna agus ag T015.870.0000.00%0.00
+12026-02-27an luach céanna agus ag T015.870.0000.00%0.00
+32026-03-0319.87+4.000+25.20%+0.90
+72026-03-0620.56+4.686+29.52%+1.06
+142026-03-1325.33+9.460+59.60%+2.13
+302026-03-3021.09+5.216+32.86%+1.18
+602026-04-2934.94+19.064+120.11%+4.30
+902026-05-2941.27+25.396+160.01%+5.73

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 27.92%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó lá go lá; líon na n-athruithe: 733) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Aonad: $ an bairilleFoilsithe: laethúilRíofaÍseal
T0−30T0+30+60+9062.7117.062026-01-29: 23.42 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −302026-02-13: 21.47 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −142026-02-20: 27.04 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −72026-02-25: 33.05 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −3an luach céanna agus ag T0: 2026-02-27, 30.66 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh −1, T0, +12026-03-03: 41.29 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +32026-03-06: 48.07 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +72026-03-13: 56.03 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +142026-03-30: 56.07 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +302026-04-29: 58.29 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +602026-05-29: 43.07 $ an bairille, úsáidte d’fhritháirimh +90

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh.

Tábla na fuinneoige (US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
FritháireamhLuach a úsáideadhLuachΔ abs.Δ %Aonaid luaineachta
−302026-01-2923.42-7.240-23.62%-2.64
−142026-02-1321.47-9.182-29.95%-3.35
−72026-02-2027.04-3.614-11.79%-1.32
−32026-02-2533.05+2.394+7.81%+0.87
−12026-02-27an luach céanna agus ag T030.660.0000.00%0.00
T02026-02-27an luach céanna agus ag T030.660.0000.00%0.00
+12026-02-27an luach céanna agus ag T030.660.0000.00%0.00
+32026-03-0341.29+10.636+34.69%+3.88
+72026-03-0648.07+17.412+56.80%+6.35
+142026-03-1356.03+25.378+82.78%+9.26
+302026-03-3056.07+25.418+82.91%+9.28
+602026-04-2958.29+27.632+90.14%+10.08
+902026-05-2943.07+12.418+40.51%+4.53

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 8.94%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó lá go lá; líon na n-athruithe: 733) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

Níl sé ar fáil: bac ceadúnais

Tá foinse ann agus ní cheadaíonn a ceadúnas dúinn í a athfhoilsiú. Níl na cainéil seo ar iarraidh ón domhan, ach ón leathanach seo amháin.

ráta tancaer (dirty) ó Mhurascaill na Peirse go dtí iarthuaisceart na hEorpa

Tá ceadúnais rátaí lastais tancaer den chineál a thoirmisceann go sainráite taispeáint phoiblí, iad a chur ar aghaidh agus sonraí díorthaithe (fíoraithe focal ar fhocal), agus ní fhoilsíonn aon institiúid oscailte ráta tancaer (ró 17: BLOCKED).

Fritháirimh san fhuinneog lena mbaineann sé seo: 13.

tagarmharc táirgí peitriliam AE

Is le dílseánaigh iad tagarmharcanna táirgí peitriliam an AE (Platts / Argus) agus níl cead athdháilte leo (ró 16: BLOCKED). Ní athróga ionadacha bailí don AE iad crack spreads SAM agus ní chuirtear ina n-áit iad.

Fritháirimh san fhuinneog lena mbaineann sé seo: 13.

tagarmharc táirgí peitriliam AE

Is le dílseánaigh iad tagarmharcanna táirgí peitriliam an AE (Platts / Argus) agus níl cead athdháilte leo (ró 16: BLOCKED). Ní athróga ionadacha bailí don AE iad crack spreads SAM agus ní chuirtear ina n-áit iad.

Fritháirimh san fhuinneog lena mbaineann sé seo: 13.

corrlach scaglainne iarthuaisceart na hEorpa / crack spread

Níl aon sraith foilsithe de chorrlaigh scaglainne againn, agus theastódh tagarmharcanna táirgí ceadúnaithe an AE, nach bhféadfar a athfhoilsiú, chun corrlach a ríomh muid féin.

Fritháirimh san fhuinneog lena mbaineann sé seo: 13.

corrlach scaglainne iarthuaisceart na hEorpa / crack spread

Níl aon sraith foilsithe de chorrlaigh scaglainne againn, agus theastódh tagarmharcanna táirgí ceadúnaithe an AE, nach bhféadfar a athfhoilsiú, chun corrlach a ríomh muid féin.

Fritháirimh san fhuinneog lena mbaineann sé seo: 13.

praghas mórdhíola (rack)

Is le dílseánaigh iad sraitheanna praghsanna mórdhíola (rack) agus níl cead athdháilte leo (ró 16: BLOCKED).

Fritháirimh san fhuinneog lena mbaineann sé seo: 13.

praghas mórdhíola (rack)

Is le dílseánaigh iad sraitheanna praghsanna mórdhíola (rack) agus níl cead athdháilte leo (ró 16: BLOCKED).

Fritháirimh san fhuinneog lena mbaineann sé seo: 13.

Níl sé ar fáil: fáth gan aicmiú

Thug an API cód fátha nach n-aithníonn an leathanach seo. Taispeántar a abairt féin gan athrú thíos.

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

Níl meastachán RÍOFA ag an bhfuinneog trí bliana is déanaí don tarchur praghsanna ná ag an sampla iomlán don tír agus don bhreosla seo: níl aon fhreagra tomhaiste ar an amhola le teilgean. Ní úsáidtear aon rud eile ina áit, amhail tarchur iomlán.

Fritháirimh san fhuinneog lena mbaineann sé seo: 13.

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

Níl meastachán RÍOFA ag an bhfuinneog trí bliana is déanaí don tarchur praghsanna ná ag an sampla iomlán don tír agus don bhreosla seo: níl aon fhreagra tomhaiste ar an amhola le teilgean. Ní úsáidtear aon rud eile ina áit, amhail tarchur iomlán.

Fritháirimh san fhuinneog lena mbaineann sé seo: 13.

Foinse
European Commission, Directorate-General for Energy (DG ENER)Anaithnid
Tréimhse 2026-01Nuashonraithe 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTCMuinínAnaithnidModheolaíochtÍoslódáil CSV

T0: 28/02/2026. Fuinneog bhunlíne: -90 go -31 lá. Fritháirimh a ríomhadh: -30, -14, -7, -3, -1, 0, 1, 3, 7, 14, 30, 60, 90. Modh 1.0, ríomh event_study-1.0, ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC.

Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026): an é an chúis i ndáiríre?

Roinntear an cheist i ngnéithe a thomhaistear ar leithligh agus nach suimítear riamh in aon uimhir amháin. Insíonn gach ró an féidir linn an ghné sin a fheiceáil ar chor ar bith, agus tugann sé figiúr foilsithe amháin nuair is féidir.

Cainéil tarchuir praghsanna a bhfuil sonraí acu sa ríomh seo (as an ocht gcinn a thuairiscíonn an suíomh seo): 4 Ríofa. Líon na rónna thíos atá ann, ní tomhas.

Foilsíonn Modheolaíocht §11.1 na tairseacha a úsáideann na habairtí thíos: na hocht gcainéal go léir don chomparáid iomlán, trí cinn ar a laghad chun gur féidir an t-éileamh a thástáil anseo ar chor ar bith, agus tairseach (aonaid luaineachta) de 2.0 chun cur síos ar ghluaiseacht mar ghluaiseacht lasmuigh de ghnáthathraitheacht sraithe. Roghanna foclaíochta foilsithe iad sin, ní tástálacha staitistiúla.

Gnéithe den nochtadh (teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026)), gach ceann lena stádas agus le figiúr foilsithe amháin.
GnéStádasFigiúr foilsithe, nó an fáth nach bhfuil ceann ann
Nochtadh díreach amhola (D1)An sciar den amhola allmhairithe a gcaithfidh a bealach dul trí Chaolas Hormuz.Breathnaithe
0 % de na tonnaí allmhairithe fritháireamh: +30 d (foilsithe: 2026-03-01)
Nochtadh díreach táirgí (D2)An sciar de na táirgí peitriliam allmhairithe a gcaithfidh a mbealach dul trí Chaolas Hormuz.Breathnaithe
0.8658 % de na tonnaí allmhairithe fritháireamh: +30 d (foilsithe: 2026-03-01)
Laethanta cumhdaigh na gcúlstoc ola (D7)Líon na laethanta cumhdaigh atá sna cúlstoic ola foilsithe. Maolán i gcoinne suaitheadh soláthair, ní sciar d’allmhairí, agus ní cainéal praghais.Breathnaithe
190.3 lá cumhdaigh fritháireamh: +30 d (foilsithe: 2026-03-01)-0.07% i gcomparáid leis an leibhéal ag T0 = -0.00 aonaid luaineachta
Tagarmharc amholaAn praghas amhola luaite a mbunaítear praghas lastas Eorpach air.Breathnaithe
121.9 $ an bairille fritháireamh: +30 d (foilsithe: 2026-03-30)+70.89% i gcomparáid leis an leibhéal ag T0 = +36.70 aonaid luaineachta
Tagarmharc táirgí peitriliamAn praghas táirge luaite a mbunaíonn scaglanna agus mórdhíoltóirí a bpraghsanna air.Níl sé ar fáilIs le dílseánaigh iad tagarmharcanna táirgí peitriliam an AE (Platts / Argus) agus níl cead athdháilte leo (ró 16: BLOCKED). Ní athróga ionadacha bailí don AE iad crack spreads SAM agus ní chuirtear ina n-áit iad.
Corrlach scaglainneAn méid a tuilleadh as bairille a scagadh chun an táirge seo a dhéanamh.Níl sé ar fáilNíl aon sraith foilsithe de chorrlaigh scaglainne againn, agus theastódh tagarmharcanna táirgí ceadúnaithe an AE, nach bhféadfar a athfhoilsiú, chun corrlach a ríomh muid féin.
Rátaí lastaisCé mhéad a chosain sé an lasta a sheoladh.Níl sé ar fáilTá ceadúnais rátaí lastais tancaer den chineál a thoirmisceann go sainráite taispeáint phoiblí, iad a chur ar aghaidh agus sonraí díorthaithe (fíoraithe focal ar fhocal), agus ní fhoilsíonn aon institiúid oscailte ráta tancaer (ró 17: BLOCKED).
StoicStoic a choinnítear, a mhaolaíonn nó a mhéadaíonn athrú soláthair.Breathnaithe
3,844,000 t fritháireamh: +30 d (foilsithe: 2026-03-01)-0.98% i gcomparáid leis an leibhéal ag T0 = -0.27 aonaid luaineachta
Praghsanna mórdhíolaAn praghas idir geata na scaglainne agus an stáisiún peitril.Níl sé ar fáilIs le dílseánaigh iad sraitheanna praghsanna mórdhíola (rack) agus níl cead athdháilte leo (ró 16: BLOCKED).
Praghas ag an gcaidéal gan chánachaAn praghas ag an gcaidéal agus an dleacht mháil, an CBL agus cánacha eile ar bhreosla bainte de.Breathnaithe
1.299 € an lítear fritháireamh: +30 d (foilsithe: 2026-03-30)+48.53% i gcomparáid leis an leibhéal ag T0 = +7.55 aonaid luaineachta
Praghas ag an gcaidéal le cáinAn méid a d’íoc tiománaí i ndáiríre.Breathnaithe
2.270 € an lítear fritháireamh: +30 d (foilsithe: 2026-03-30)+30.64% i gcomparáid leis an leibhéal ag T0 = +7.54 aonaid luaineachta

Is ceisteanna éagsúla iad nochtadh fisiceach (Caolas Hormuz) agus nochtadh praghais. Is féidir le praghas ag an gcaidéal bogadh fiú i dtír nach bhfuil mórán nochta fhisicigh dhírigh aici: praghsáiltear amhola go domhanda, agus d’fhéadfadh sraith a bhog san fhuinneog seo bogadh ar chúiseanna eile.

Cad a rinne an praghas ag an gcaidéal thart ar an dáta seo

Is féidir leathanach an mhiondealaithe a shocrú ar na seachtainí thart ar dháta an teagmhais, ionas gur féidir an ghluaiseacht ag an gcaidéal a roinnt ina cáin, ina costas ionchuir agus sa chuid nach gclúdaíonn an costas ionchuir.

Miondealú an phraghais, 21/02/2026 – 30/03/2026 →

Is í an fhuinneog dáta foilsithe an teagmhais lúide 7 lá go dtí móide 30 lá. Fuinneog le breathnú tríthi atá ann, ní éileamh gurbh é an teagmhas bunús an ruda atá inti.

An t-athrú iarbhír agus an t-athrú ón amhola amháin: an Fhionlainn, peitreal (Euro-super 95)

Cad a rinne an praghas gan chánacha ó cheithre seachtaine roimh sheachtain an teagmhais go dtí trí seachtaine déag ina diaidh, taobh leis an méid a dhéanfadh sé dá leanfadh sé costas ionchuir na hamhola amháin ar an luas a thomhaiseann an meastachán stóráilte ar an tarchur praghsanna. Níl an difríocht scáthaithe mínithe ag an amhola; ní shanntar don teagmhas ná d’aon rud eile í. Níl aon bhreosla roghnaithe: taispeántar peitreal.

2026-03-232026-05-25-250255075100c/l ón tseachtain tagartha
  • An t-athrú iarbhír gan chánacha(praghsanna oifigiúla)
  • An méid a dhéanfadh an amhola amháin(ríofa, le raon)
  • Scáthaithe: gan mhíniú ag an amhola(gan sannadh d’aon chúis)

Tomhaistear na hathruithe ón tseachtain feasacháin seo: 2026-02-23. Freagra na hamhola tógtha ón meastachán tarchuir praghsanna atá stóráilte; bunús an mheastacháin: an fhuinneog trí bliana is déanaí (2023-09-25 – 2026-09-14). Is raon coimeádach é an banda éadrom, ní eatramh 90%. An limistéar scáthaithe: gan mhíniú ag an amhola. Tá corrlaigh scaglainne, lastas, corrlaigh mhiondíola agus earráid na samhla ar fad ann, agus ní ainmnítear aon cheann acu mar an chúis.

  • Pointe tagartha: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026). Laistigh den fhad ón bpointe sin (4 seachtaine), d’athródh costais na hamhola amháin an praghas gan chánacha (peitreal, an Fhionlainn) +23.7 c/l (raon +11.5–+35.8); d’athraigh sé +32.1 c/l i ndáiríre, agus tá +8.4 c/l fágtha gan mhíniú ag an amhola. Thar an tréimhse chéanna, leathnaigh crack spread SAM (gásailín), athróg ionadach do mhargadh táirgí an Atlantaigh agus ní corrlach Eorpach, 9.9 $/bbl.
  • Pointe tagartha: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026). Laistigh den fhad ón bpointe sin (seachtainí: 13), d’athródh costais na hamhola amháin an praghas gan chánacha (peitreal, an Fhionlainn) +52.5 c/l (raon +16.9–+88.2); d’athraigh sé +37.8 c/l i ndáiríre, agus tá -14.8 c/l fágtha gan mhíniú ag an amhola. Thar an tréimhse chéanna, leathnaigh crack spread SAM (gásailín), athróg ionadach do mhargadh táirgí an Atlantaigh agus ní corrlach Eorpach, 27.0 $/bbl.

An méid a dtacaíonn na huimhreacha leis, abairt ar abairt

Tagann gach abairt ó theimpléad seasta, arna roghnú de réir tairseach foilsithe. Oscail “Cén fáth an abairt seo” chun na huimhreacha a roghnaigh í a fheiceáil. Níor scríobh múnla teanga aon chuid den téacs seo, agus ní shanntar cúis in aon áit ann.

  1. Teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026); 7 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (gan chánacha, peitreal, an Fhionlainn) +27.0%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 3.6, lasmuigh den raon sin.

    tír: an FhionlainnRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    0.8153151936653386
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    1.9778651883897702
    t0_value
    0.6421641614306407
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    26.963671072665374
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_FI_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    3.579262379859465
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.17315103223469785
    change_pct_from_t0
    26.963671072665374
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    7.533303851762906
    change_in_volatility_units
    3.579262379859465
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    0.8153151936653386
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    1.9778651883897702
    t0_value
    0.6421641614306407
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    26.963671072665374
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_FI_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    3.579262379859465
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.17315103223469785
    change_pct_from_t0
    26.963671072665374
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    7.533303851762906
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    3.579262379859465

    Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 05b46169d712ae15575f0629d72f80958445a16c8c10f30cf82b9cf3008c6e40 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  2. Teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026); 30 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (gan chánacha, peitreal, an Fhionlainn) +41.7%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 5.5, lasmuigh den raon sin.

    tír: an FhionlainnRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    0.9102554327091636
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    3.448909074460552
    t0_value
    0.6421641614306407
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    41.74808987802399
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_FI_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-30
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    5.54180352996837
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.26809127127852295
    change_pct_from_t0
    41.74808987802399
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    7.533303851762906
    change_in_volatility_units
    5.54180352996837
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    0.9102554327091636
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    3.448909074460552
    t0_value
    0.6421641614306407
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    41.74808987802399
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_FI_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-30
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    5.54180352996837
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.26809127127852295
    change_pct_from_t0
    41.74808987802399
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    7.533303851762906
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    5.54180352996837

    Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 432dce0ab908ae5d6852de4dd81aa219741beb3ac7b632d3619b350ed82ff03a · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  3. Teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026); 90 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (gan chánacha, peitreal, an Fhionlainn) +58.8%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 7.8, lasmuigh den raon sin.

    tír: an FhionlainnRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    1.0198171856972111
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    5.14650483052208
    t0_value
    0.6421641614306407
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    58.809420853574096
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_FI_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-05-25
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    7.8065908412564315
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.37765302426657044
    change_pct_from_t0
    58.809420853574096
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    7.533303851762906
    change_in_volatility_units
    7.8065908412564315
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    1.0198171856972111
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    5.14650483052208
    t0_value
    0.6421641614306407
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    58.809420853574096
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_FI_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-05-25
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    7.8065908412564315
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.37765302426657044
    change_pct_from_t0
    58.809420853574096
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    7.533303851762906
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    7.8065908412564315

    Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 6c80699a599620b2233964b6394bb2fb87e06d8a54680c791dfb8d0702a6e7c2 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  4. Teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026); 7 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (le cáin, peitreal, an Fhionlainn) +12.7%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 3.4, lasmuigh den raon sin.

    tír: an FhionlainnRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    1.9298499999999998
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    2.0969326688790657
    t0_value
    1.7125454545454544
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    12.68897972183884
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_FI_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    3.44244240942622
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.21730454545454547
    change_pct_from_t0
    12.68897972183884
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.6860397975267265
    change_in_volatility_units
    3.44244240942622
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    1.9298499999999998
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    2.0969326688790657
    t0_value
    1.7125454545454544
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    12.68897972183884
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_FI_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    3.44244240942622
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.21730454545454547
    change_pct_from_t0
    12.68897972183884
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.6860397975267265
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    3.44244240942622

    Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 3f91bc9981b14a6a75b3b40a5db65be32b63e2d274e1555ced810226b2ae721c · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  5. Teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026); 30 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (le cáin, peitreal, an Fhionlainn) +19.6%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 5.3, lasmuigh den raon sin.

    tír: an FhionlainnRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    2.0490000000000004
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    3.5310272977915975
    t0_value
    1.7125454545454544
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    19.64645928442513
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_FI_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-30
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    5.329963962301109
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.336454545454546
    change_pct_from_t0
    19.64645928442513
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.6860397975267265
    change_in_volatility_units
    5.329963962301109
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    2.0490000000000004
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    3.5310272977915975
    t0_value
    1.7125454545454544
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    19.64645928442513
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_FI_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-30
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    5.329963962301109
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.336454545454546
    change_pct_from_t0
    19.64645928442513
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.6860397975267265
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    5.329963962301109

    Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 200931884eb2d7fba401826feb68a7d5b4c13ce994facd02527c065f2505f843 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  6. Teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026); 90 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (le cáin, peitreal, an Fhionlainn) +27.7%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 7.5, lasmuigh den raon sin.

    tír: an FhionlainnRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    2.1865
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    5.185983331996145
    t0_value
    1.7125454545454544
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    27.675443252999276
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_FI_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-05-25
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    7.508178091720294
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.47395454545454574
    change_pct_from_t0
    27.675443252999276
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.6860397975267265
    change_in_volatility_units
    7.508178091720294
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    2.1865
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    5.185983331996145
    t0_value
    1.7125454545454544
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    27.675443252999276
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_FI_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-05-25
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    7.508178091720294
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.47395454545454574
    change_pct_from_t0
    27.675443252999276
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.6860397975267265
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    7.508178091720294

    Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 91423005cb620ff63b58882940f7e553c73e5749e0d96a34e1597458943f791b · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  7. Teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026); 7 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (gan chánacha, díosal, an Fhionlainn) +19.4%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 3.0, lasmuigh den raon sin.

    tír: an FhionlainnRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    1.0439844320318725
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    1.9042533927646383
    t0_value
    0.8742705602462872
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    19.412053831227702
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_FI_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    3.021265042141774
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.16971387178558528
    change_pct_from_t0
    19.412053831227702
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    6.425140979179536
    change_in_volatility_units
    3.021265042141774
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    1.0439844320318725
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    1.9042533927646383
    t0_value
    0.8742705602462872
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    19.412053831227702
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_FI_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    3.021265042141774
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.16971387178558528
    change_pct_from_t0
    19.412053831227702
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    6.425140979179536
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    3.021265042141774

    Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 5f582a29072c2b094f5d30380d4b687b7029cfd742955ae3f7f67a31c38ad0c3 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  8. Teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026); 30 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (gan chánacha, díosal, an Fhionlainn) +48.5%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 7.6, lasmuigh den raon sin.

    tír: an FhionlainnRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    1.2985262647011948
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    5.32484328006132
    t0_value
    0.8742705602462872
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    48.526820385601475
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_FI_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-30
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    7.552646789051179
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.42425570445490757
    change_pct_from_t0
    48.526820385601475
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    6.425140979179536
    change_in_volatility_units
    7.552646789051179
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    1.2985262647011948
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    5.32484328006132
    t0_value
    0.8742705602462872
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    48.526820385601475
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_FI_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-30
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    7.552646789051179
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.42425570445490757
    change_pct_from_t0
    48.526820385601475
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    6.425140979179536
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    7.552646789051179

    Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 162497ab0af00d22f44f4e8e140f1294ac33eeb285312bd402fbea87feed36c4 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  9. Teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026); 90 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (gan chánacha, díosal, an Fhionlainn) +52.9%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 8.2, lasmuigh den raon sin.

    tír: an FhionlainnRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    1.336892798565737
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    5.8404213144120405
    t0_value
    0.8742705602462872
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    52.915225486847724
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_FI_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-05-25
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    8.235652051576427
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.4626222383194498
    change_pct_from_t0
    52.915225486847724
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    6.425140979179536
    change_in_volatility_units
    8.235652051576427
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    1.336892798565737
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    5.8404213144120405
    t0_value
    0.8742705602462872
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    52.915225486847724
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_FI_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-05-25
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    8.235652051576427
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.4626222383194498
    change_pct_from_t0
    52.915225486847724
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    6.425140979179536
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    8.235652051576427

    Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 58970a04f1497f263cc7b24af9717efc63f1689514828140ba80d7d24a0f7a43 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  10. Teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026); 7 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (le cáin, díosal, an Fhionlainn) +12.3%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 3.0, lasmuigh den raon sin.

    tír: an FhionlainnRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    1.9509
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    1.9938963012057103
    t0_value
    1.7379090909090906
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    12.255584035151982
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_FI_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    3.0176196318205806
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.21299090909090945
    change_pct_from_t0
    12.255584035151982
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.0613415640320385
    change_in_volatility_units
    3.0176196318205806
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    1.9509
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    1.9938963012057103
    t0_value
    1.7379090909090906
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    12.255584035151982
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_FI_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    3.0176196318205806
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.21299090909090945
    change_pct_from_t0
    12.255584035151982
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.0613415640320385
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    3.0176196318205806

    Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg d9a462f09e1a1e7892d9a18345b8261e6b1daf9f21b4af139b1a4be3b69fd605 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  11. Teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026); 30 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (le cáin, díosal, an Fhionlainn) +30.6%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 7.5, lasmuigh den raon sin.

    tír: an FhionlainnRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    2.2703499999999996
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    5.314272087831578
    t0_value
    1.7379090909090906
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    30.636867709368623
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_FI_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-30
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    7.543533885623942
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.532440909090909
    change_pct_from_t0
    30.636867709368623
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.0613415640320385
    change_in_volatility_units
    7.543533885623942
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    2.2703499999999996
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    5.314272087831578
    t0_value
    1.7379090909090906
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    30.636867709368623
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_FI_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-03-30
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    7.543533885623942
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.532440909090909
    change_pct_from_t0
    30.636867709368623
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.0613415640320385
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    7.543533885623942

    Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg f8ba0d98888c33f755fcb84940b5aa7540cc34541a6b2b4de21e44aa2be4da63 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  12. Teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026); 90 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (le cáin, díosal, an Fhionlainn) +33.4%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 8.2, lasmuigh den raon sin.

    tír: an FhionlainnRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    2.3185000000000002
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    5.8147450699134
    t0_value
    1.7379090909090906
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    33.40743840560761
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_FI_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-05-25
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    8.225715044868378
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.5805909090909096
    change_pct_from_t0
    33.40743840560761
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.0613415640320385
    change_in_volatility_units
    8.225715044868378
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    2.3185000000000002
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    5.8147450699134
    t0_value
    1.7379090909090906
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    33.40743840560761
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_FI_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2026-05-25
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    8.225715044868378
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.5805909090909096
    change_pct_from_t0
    33.40743840560761
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.0613415640320385
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    8.225715044868378

    Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg e634c693dc399a8b171167c576409ac815fe82f13747ab3d715d0c61e023ad38 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  13. Pointe tagartha: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026). Laistigh den fhad ón bpointe sin (4 seachtaine), d’athródh costais na hamhola amháin an praghas gan chánacha (peitreal, an Fhionlainn) +23.7 c/l (raon +11.5–+35.8); d’athraigh sé +32.1 c/l i ndáiríre, agus tá +8.4 c/l fágtha gan mhíniú ag an amhola. Thar an tréimhse chéanna, leathnaigh crack spread SAM (gásailín), athróg ionadach do mhargadh táirgí an Atlantaigh agus ní corrlach Eorpach, 9.9 $/bbl.

    tír: an FhionlainnRíofaMeánach
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    weeks
    4
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Finland
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_FI_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    offset_weeks
    4
    proxy_product
    GASOLINE
    proxy_to_date
    2026-03-23
    pass_through_k
    0
    proxy_from_date
    2026-02-23
    observation_date
    2026-03-23
    gap_eur_per_litre
    0.08371371140777029
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2026-02-23
    actual_eur_per_litre
    0.32068091271278554
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.23696720130501525
    proxy_volatility_units
    2.8999750350600633
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    9.9
    pass_through_sample_start
    2023-09-25
    pass_through_window_label
    ROLLING_156W
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    0.1154666675695677
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.3584677350404597
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    27.922644296421584
    Tairseacha
    source
    docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
    proxy_rule
    the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
    confidence_cap
    MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
    statement_weeks
    [4,13]
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    weeks
    4
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Finland
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_FI_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    offset_weeks
    4
    proxy_product
    GASOLINE
    proxy_to_date
    2026-03-23
    pass_through_k
    0
    proxy_from_date
    2026-02-23
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2026-03-23
    gap_eur_per_litre
    0.08371371140777029
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2026-02-23
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    actual_eur_per_litre
    0.32068091271278554
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.23696720130501525
    proxy_volatility_units
    2.8999750350600633
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    9.9
    pass_through_sample_start
    2023-09-25
    pass_through_window_label
    ROLLING_156W
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    0.1154666675695677
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.3584677350404597
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    27.922644296421584

    Teimpléad event.crude_only.computed_with_proxy v1.2 · Méarlorg 710a03d18082190b1c5d8418b4d937ac74f63d955472e8a6ec50f25beb310c49 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  14. Pointe tagartha: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026). Laistigh den fhad ón bpointe sin (seachtainí: 13), d’athródh costais na hamhola amháin an praghas gan chánacha (peitreal, an Fhionlainn) +52.5 c/l (raon +16.9–+88.2); d’athraigh sé +37.8 c/l i ndáiríre, agus tá -14.8 c/l fágtha gan mhíniú ag an amhola. Thar an tréimhse chéanna, leathnaigh crack spread SAM (gásailín), athróg ionadach do mhargadh táirgí an Atlantaigh agus ní corrlach Eorpach, 27.0 $/bbl.

    tír: an FhionlainnRíofaMeánach
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    weeks
    13
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Finland
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_FI_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    offset_weeks
    13
    proxy_product
    GASOLINE
    proxy_to_date
    2026-05-22
    pass_through_k
    0
    proxy_from_date
    2026-02-23
    observation_date
    2026-05-25
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.1476935508416385
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2026-02-23
    actual_eur_per_litre
    0.37765302426657044
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.5253465751082089
    proxy_volatility_units
    7.918982333112501
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    27.034
    pass_through_sample_start
    2023-09-25
    pass_through_window_label
    ROLLING_156W
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    0.16872408077814738
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.8819690694382594
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    27.922644296421584
    Tairseacha
    source
    docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
    proxy_rule
    the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
    confidence_cap
    MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
    statement_weeks
    [4,13]
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    weeks
    13
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Finland
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_FI_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    offset_weeks
    13
    proxy_product
    GASOLINE
    proxy_to_date
    2026-05-22
    pass_through_k
    0
    proxy_from_date
    2026-02-23
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2026-05-25
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.1476935508416385
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2026-02-23
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    actual_eur_per_litre
    0.37765302426657044
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.5253465751082089
    proxy_volatility_units
    7.918982333112501
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    27.034
    pass_through_sample_start
    2023-09-25
    pass_through_window_label
    ROLLING_156W
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    0.16872408077814738
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.8819690694382594
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    27.922644296421584

    Teimpléad event.crude_only.computed_with_proxy v1.2 · Méarlorg 4061673ad0df3d7904c4525c066c8826ff4b681db36bab2a123c713f4e025bf5 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  15. Pointe tagartha: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026). Is ANAITHNID cad a dhéanfadh costais na hamhola amháin don phraghas gan chánacha (díosal, an Fhionlainn; fad ón bpointe sin: 4 seachtaine): Níl meastachán RÍOFA ag an bhfuinneog trí bliana is déanaí don tarchur praghsanna ná ag an sampla iomlán don tír agus don bhreosla seo (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §4.5): níl aon fhreagra tomhaiste ar an amhola le teilgean. Ní úsáidtear aon rud eile ina áit, amhail tarchur iomlán (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.2).

    tír: an FhionlainnAnaithnidAnaithnid
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    weeks
    4
    status
    UNKNOWN
    country
    Finland
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    reason_code
    NO_COMPUTED_PASS_THROUGH_ESTIMATE
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_FI_DIESEL
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    proxy_product
    null
    gap_eur_per_litre
    null
    actual_eur_per_litre
    null
    expected_eur_per_litre
    null
    proxy_volatility_units
    null
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    null
    pass_through_window_label
    null
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    null
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    null
    Tairseacha
    source
    docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
    proxy_rule
    the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
    confidence_cap
    MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
    statement_weeks
    [4,13]
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    weeks
    4
    status
    UNKNOWN
    country
    Finland
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_COMPUTED_PASS_THROUGH_ESTIMATE
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_FI_DIESEL
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    proxy_product
    null
    statement_topic
    event
    gap_eur_per_litre
    null
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    actual_eur_per_litre
    null
    expected_eur_per_litre
    null
    proxy_volatility_units
    null
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    null
    pass_through_window_label
    null
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    null
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    null

    Teimpléad event.crude_only.unknown v1.2 · Méarlorg d4657c94b4114259a30e46efb2bdc6b12f4aaff524dfd295e7b7fa48ed301324 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  16. Spleáchas fisiceach díreach ar Hormuz (amhola, an Fhionlainn, Feabhra 2026): teoranta (0%).

    tír: an FhionlainnInfeirithe · muinín mheánachÍseal
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    limited
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2026-02
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    commodity
    crude
    dimension
    DIRECT_CRUDE
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    value_max_pct
    0
    value_min_pct
    0
    exposure_status
    COMPUTED
    value_point_pct
    0
    observation_date
    2026-02-01
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
    band_applied_to
    upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
    dependence_limited_max_pct
    10
    dependence_moderate_max_pct
    33
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    limited
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2026-02
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    commodity
    crude
    dimension
    DIRECT_CRUDE
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    value_max_pct
    0
    value_min_pct
    0
    exposure_status
    COMPUTED
    statement_topic
    hormuz
    value_point_pct
    0
    observation_date
    2026-02-01
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Teimpléad event.dependence.point v1.2 · Méarlorg f6fe7e45d4a731f42d520dc6000d7146784051ed847bf576c9e6979b620ef569 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  17. Spleáchas fisiceach díreach ar Hormuz (táirgí peitriliam, an Fhionlainn, Feabhra 2026): measartha (9%–13%). Ní fhoilsítear aon mheastachán pointe: onnmhairíonn na tíortha comhpháirtíochta i gceist ó laistigh agus ó lasmuigh de Mhurascaill na Peirse araon, agus níl an roinnt in aghaidh na tréimhse poiblí.

    tír: an FhionlainnRíofaMeánach
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    moderate
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2026-02
    status
    NO_OBSERVATION
    country
    Finland
    commodity
    refined product
    dimension
    DIRECT_PRODUCT
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    value_max_pct
    13.0597014925373
    value_min_pct
    8.95522388059701
    exposure_status
    PARTIAL
    value_point_pct
    null
    observation_date
    2026-02-01
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
    band_applied_to
    upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
    dependence_limited_max_pct
    10
    dependence_moderate_max_pct
    33
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    moderate
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2026-02
    status
    NO_OBSERVATION
    country
    Finland
    commodity
    refined product
    dimension
    DIRECT_PRODUCT
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    value_max_pct
    13.0597014925373
    value_min_pct
    8.95522388059701
    exposure_status
    PARTIAL
    statement_topic
    hormuz
    value_point_pct
    null
    observation_date
    2026-02-01
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Teimpléad event.dependence.range v1.2 · Méarlorg 6706da7abcbea6e0a865446edffcea90585bd6a24c83a7163aef83dcaf875071 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  18. Is ANAITHNID ar laghdaíodh soláthar amhola go fisiciúil (an Fhionlainn, Feabhra 2026): níl an nialas a tuairiscíodh don mhí sin foilsithe (tá taifid eile ag teacht salach air).

    tír: an FhionlainnAnaithnidAnaithnid
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2026-02
    country
    Finland
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    value_tonnes
    null
    missing_reason
    zero_contradicted
    baseline_months
    1
    observation_date
    2026-02-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
    crude_imports_rule
    crude_imports_total-1.1
    baseline_mean_tonnes
    607000
    baseline_window_months
    12
    value_not_published_code
    REPORTED_ZERO_CONTRADICTED
    baseline_not_published_months
    11
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no cut-off
    min_baseline_months
    6
    baseline_months_used
    1
    supply_reduction_pct
    -10
    supply_baseline_months
    12
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2026-02
    country
    Finland
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    value_tonnes
    null
    missing_reason
    zero_contradicted
    baseline_months
    1
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2026-02-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
    crude_imports_rule
    crude_imports_total-1.1
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    baseline_mean_tonnes
    607000
    baseline_window_months
    12
    value_not_published_code
    REPORTED_ZERO_CONTRADICTED
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    baseline_not_published_months
    11

    Teimpléad event.supply.unknown v1.2 · Méarlorg e75190d9955a9a564761f8b64795d4e8e237e9be7140e32525b387955b3a9527 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  19. Stoic ola (an Fhionlainn, Feabhra 2026): 3.3% faoi bhun a meáin thar na míonna roimhe sin (12), laistigh den bhanda ±5% a mheasann an suíomh seo a bheith ag teacht leis an meán, le 190.4 lá cumhdaigh (mar a foilsíodh).

    tír: an FhionlainnRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2026-02
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    direction
    below
    siec_code
    O4000
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    holder_type
    STK_CL
    series_code
    INVENTORY_FI
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    days_of_cover
    190.414
    metric_status
    COMPUTED
    mom_change_pct
    -2.584692597239649
    observation_date
    2026-02-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
    total_stock_tonnes
    3882000
    days_of_cover_basis
    as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
    observation_gap_days
    27
    trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
    4015250
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
    -3.3185978457132186
    trailing_12m_observations
    12
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no band
    band_applied_to
    the rounded figure printed in the sentence
    days_of_cover_basis
    as published (Eurostat nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); never stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
    trailing_window_months
    12
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_raw
    -3.3185978457132186
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_shown
    -3.3
    inventory_material_deviation_pct
    5
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2026-02
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    direction
    below
    siec_code
    O4000
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    holder_type
    STK_CL
    series_code
    INVENTORY_FI
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    days_of_cover
    190.414
    metric_status
    COMPUTED
    mom_change_pct
    -2.584692597239649
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2026-02-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
    total_stock_tonnes
    3882000
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    days_of_cover_basis
    as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    27
    trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
    4015250
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
    -3.3185978457132186
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    trailing_12m_observations
    12

    Teimpléad event.inventory_level.in_line v1.2 · Méarlorg 7545ad456fed6df356a821e950d73a9536b3fb86230347a0c9688f3a95bda0c1 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  20. Achoimre ar a bhféadfar a sheiceáil anseo

    An Fhionlainn, teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026). Ní féidir ach cuid den slabhra a sheiceáil. Sraitheanna a chuireann an modh i gcomparáid atá ar fáil: 4 as 8 (tagarmharc amhola, stoic, praghas ag an gcaidéal gan chánacha agus praghas ag an gcaidéal le cáin); nach bhfuil ar fáil: tagarmharc táirgí peitriliam, corrlach scaglainne, rátaí lastais agus praghsanna mórdhíola. Ní féidir aon éileamh atá bunaithe ar na naisc atá ar iarraidh a thástáil anseo. Spleáchas fisiceach díreach ar amhola a bhaineann le Hormuz sa tréimhse a chlúdaítear: teoranta (0–0%). Déanann an leathanach seo cur síos ar cad a rinne gach sraith thart ar dháta an teagmhais. Ní fionnachtain faoi chúis é: níl aon dearadh cúiseach foilsithe don suíomh seo, agus d’fhéadfadh sraith a bhog san fhuinneog chéanna bogadh ar chúiseanna eile.

    tír: an FhionlainnAnaithnidAnaithnid
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    country
    Finland
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    dependence_band
    limited
    dependence_range
    0–0%
    channels_available
    ["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
    supply_template_id
    event.supply.unknown
    channels_unavailable
    ["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; the channel list is docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.3
    channels_total
    8
    channels_available
    4
    verdict_partial_min_channels
    3
    verdict_assessable_min_channels
    8
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    country
    Finland
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    dependence_band
    limited
    statement_topic
    event
    dependence_range
    0–0%
    channels_available
    ["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
    supply_template_id
    event.supply.unknown
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    channels_unavailable
    ["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Teimpléad event.verdict.partial v1.2 · Méarlorg 02e1e09d291e0a145550a7b091058ccdc147fe2d4b87d97fb713807c1f439957 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  21. Teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026); 7 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an tagarmharc (amhola Brent) +34.2%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó lá go lá sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 17.7, lasmuigh den raon sin.

    faoin teagmhas ina iomláineRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    95.74
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    11.429511613277612
    t0_value
    71.32
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    34.24004486819967
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    BRENT
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2026-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    17.72499106459417
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    24.42
    change_pct_from_t0
    34.24004486819967
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.9317383429656259
    change_in_volatility_units
    17.72499106459417
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    95.74
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    11.429511613277612
    t0_value
    71.32
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    34.24004486819967
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    BRENT
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2026-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    17.72499106459417
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    24.42
    change_pct_from_t0
    34.24004486819967
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.9317383429656259
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    17.72499106459417

    Teimpléad event.benchmark_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 4ea435198e2ad85179076b27dc38a89512f04178c41f341853cd2dbe9edcddb3 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  22. Teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026); 30 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an tagarmharc (amhola Brent) +70.9%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó lá go lá sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 36.7, lasmuigh den raon sin.

    faoin teagmhas ina iomláineRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    121.88
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    20.908399390463835
    t0_value
    71.32
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    70.89175546831184
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    BRENT
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2026-03-30
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    36.69842539827523
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    50.56
    change_pct_from_t0
    70.89175546831184
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.9317383429656259
    change_in_volatility_units
    36.69842539827523
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    121.88
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    20.908399390463835
    t0_value
    71.32
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    70.89175546831184
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    BRENT
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2026-03-30
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    36.69842539827523
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    50.56
    change_pct_from_t0
    70.89175546831184
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.9317383429656259
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    36.69842539827523

    Teimpléad event.benchmark_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 29bbc9c1226a318de551eedf873f282db221eb9ec716b009f1161b898b5d397c · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  23. Teagmhas: Suaitheadh loingseoireachta i gCaolas Hormuz (2026); 90 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an tagarmharc (amhola Brent) +30.2%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó lá go lá sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 15.6, lasmuigh den raon sin.

    faoin teagmhas ina iomláineRíofaArd
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    92.88
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    10.392418306362824
    t0_value
    71.32
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    30.22994952327538
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    BRENT
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2026-05-29
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    15.64909121018224
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    21.560000000000002
    change_pct_from_t0
    30.22994952327538
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.9317383429656259
    change_in_volatility_units
    15.64909121018224
    Tairseacha
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    value
    92.88
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    10.392418306362824
    t0_value
    71.32
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    30.22994952327538
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    BRENT
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2026-05-29
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    15.64909121018224
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    21.560000000000002
    change_pct_from_t0
    30.22994952327538
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.9317383429656259
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    15.64909121018224

    Teimpléad event.benchmark_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg da6e291650428ea4feda72840b110dea4b3e2942f69e01f932de816d3716527d · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  24. Rátaí lastais – freagra: ní féidir a mheas. Fáth: tá ceadúnais rátaí lastais tancaer den chineál a thoirmisceann go sainráite taispeáint phoiblí, iad a chur ar aghaidh agus sonraí díorthaithe (fíoraithe focal ar fhocal), agus ní fhoilsíonn aon institiúid oscailte ráta tancaer.

    faoin teagmhas ina iomláineAnaithnidAnaithnid
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["freight rates"]
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
    Tairseacha
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["freight rates"]
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Teimpléad event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Méarlorg cbf9fd2371d9caad14a75cea5013e1be30bd2eb2033908f832c88c88067f87e7 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  25. Tagarmharc táirgí peitriliam – freagra: ní féidir a mheas. Fáth: is le dílseánaigh iad tagarmharcanna táirgí peitriliam an AE (Platts / Argus) agus níl cead athdháilte leo. Ní athróga ionadacha bailí don AE iad crack spreads SAM agus ní chuirtear ina n-áit iad.

    faoin teagmhas ina iomláineAnaithnidAnaithnid
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refined-product benchmark"]
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
    Tairseacha
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refined-product benchmark"]
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Teimpléad event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Méarlorg 8af490b1ea34e00f40494098d666c15e05cfca35931abd7a50a334f8e61f0d3e · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  26. Praghsanna mórdhíola – freagra: ní féidir a mheas. Fáth: is le dílseánaigh iad sraitheanna praghsanna mórdhíola (rack) agus níl cead athdháilte leo.

    faoin teagmhas ina iomláineAnaithnidAnaithnid
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["wholesale prices"]
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
    Tairseacha
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["wholesale prices"]
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Teimpléad event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Méarlorg cb537d4c961760559b281257dfa2ff078da30874030ebc0d45438e5b240ce371 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

  27. Corrlach scaglainne – freagra: ní féidir a mheas. Fáth: níl aon sraith foilsithe de chorrlaigh scaglainne againn, agus theastódh tagarmharcanna táirgí ceadúnaithe an AE, nach bhféadfar a athfhoilsiú, chun corrlach a ríomh muid féin.

    faoin teagmhas ina iomláineAnaithnidAnaithnid
    Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
    Athróga
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refining margin"]
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    reason_code
    NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
    Tairseacha
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Ionchuir
    t0
    2026-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refining margin"]
    event_name
    Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)
    event_slug
    hormuz-2026
    event_type
    HORMUZ_DISRUPTION
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Teimpléad event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Méarlorg c3272c131b1b047dc850145474462c0a9daea21ea6429e3edc6c8e07abc867e8 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

An méid nach dtaispeánann sé seo

  • Ní thaispeánann sé gurbh é an teagmhas bunús aon ruda. Níl aon dearadh cúiseach foilsithe don suíomh seo, agus d’fhéadfadh sraith a bhog san fhuinneog seo bogadh ar chúiseanna eile.
  • Ní tástáil suntasachta é athrú in aonaid luaineachta, agus ní tástáil suntasachta é scór z ach an oiread. Tomhaiseann siad rudaí éagsúla agus ní féidir ceann a chur in áit an chinn eile.
  • Taispeántar cainéil nach bhfuil foinse acu a bhfuil ceadúnas againn chun í a úsáid, nó foinse lódáilte, mar phainéil fholmha, ní mar línte cothroma. Ní hionann “Ní féidir linn é seo a fheiceáil” agus “Níor bhog sé seo”.
  • Ní idirshuitear aon rud. Nuair a thagann roinnt fritháireamh ar an bhfigiúr foilsithe céanna, is é sin a phriontáil an foilsitheoir, agus is nialas an t-athrú i gcoinne dháta an teagmhais: is í an uimhir chéanna í.

An Fhionlainn: soláthar, scaglanna agus praghsanna ag an gcaidéal →

Conas na lipéid a léamh

  • OifigiúilTuairiscithe go díreach ag údarás oifigiúil.
  • FíoraitheTuairiscithe ag tríú páirtí agus fíoraithe againn i gcoinne taifid phríomhúil.
  • RíofaRíofa againn ó ionchuir thuairiscithe. Tá an modh foilsithe ar leathanach na modheolaíochta.
  • Infeirithe · muinín ardNíor tuairiscíodh. Infeirithe ó dhá thaifead fhisiceacha neamhspleácha ar a laghad.
  • Infeirithe · muinín mheánachNíor tuairiscíodh. Infeirithe ó fhianaise láidir indíreach, gan deimhniú follasach.
  • Infeirithe · muinín ísealNíor tuairiscíodh. Sochreidte ó shonraí bonneagair nó gluaiseachta amháin. Ná léigh mar fhíric é.
  • AnaithnidNí chruthaíonn aon fhianaise phoiblí inchosanta é seo. Ní thugaimid buille faoi thuairim, agus ní tomhas nialais é seo.