L-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)

Dati: 24/02/2022 → l-ebda data tat-tmiem irreġistrata
Preċiżjoni tad-data: jum
Status: Għadu għaddej
Ambitu: L-Ukrajna

X’qalu s-sorsi (bl-Ingliż)

European Council, special meeting of 24 February 2022, document EUCO 18/22: "European Council conclusions on Russia's unprovoked and unjustified military aggression against Ukraine"; "The European Council condemns in the strongest possible terms the Russian Federation's unprovoked and unjustified military aggression against Ukraine." The conclusions are dated and headed 24 February 2022, which is the date recorded here. This row is a timeline marker only; it makes no statement about prices.

L-AIE, l-EIA, il-Kummissjoni Ewropea, il-Kunsill Ewropew u leġiżlaturi nazzjonali (iċċitati għal kull ringiela)Uffiċjali

Miġbur 23/09/2026 07:22 UTCReviżjoni 1

Dokumenti tas-sors (2)

PajjiżIl-Ġermanja Franza In-Netherlands Il-Polonja Il-Finlandja L-Estonja L-Awstrija Il-Belġju Il-Bulgarija Il-Kroazja Ċipru Iċ-Ċekja Id-Danimarka Il-Greċja L-Ungerija L-Irlanda L-Italja Il-Latvja Il-Litwanja Il-Lussemburgu Malta Il-Portugall Ir-Rumanija Is-Slovakkja Is-Slovenja Spanja L-Iżvezja

KarburantDiżil (żejt tal-gass għall-vetturi)Petrol (Euro-super 95)Iż-żewġ karburanti

Jekk tagħżel karburant, jinżammu s-serje ta’ dak il-karburant u l-kanali komuni għall-karburanti kollha – il-prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdum, ir-rata tal-kambju, l-importazzjonijiet taż-żejt mhux maħdum u l-esponiment għal Hormuz. Jitneħħew biss is-serje tal-karburant l-ieħor.

It-tieqa tal-avveniment

Kemm kienet tiswa kull serje fil-jiem madwar id-data tal-avveniment (minn -30 sa 90), kemm dan hu ’l bogħod mil-livell tal-istess serje fid-data tal-avveniment, u kemm hu kbir dak iċ-ċaqliq meta mqabbel mal-varjazzjoni normali tas-serje stess.

Il-Kroazja, il-karburanti kollha f’dan il-kalkolu. Serje li jistgħu jitpinġew: 22; serje li ma jistgħu jidhru bl-ebda mod, murija hawn taħt bħala pannelli vojta b’tikketta: 7.

Qari ppubblikat: 277; punti tat-tieqa mingħajr xejn ippubblikat fi żmien perjodu wieħed: 9; punti tat-tieqa fuq serje li ma nistgħu naraw xejn minnhom: 91. Kollha jidhru f’din il-paġna.

Europe Brent spot FOB

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatUffiċjali

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Europe Brent spot FOB): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-25	89.49	-11.800	-11.65%	-2.69
−14	2022-02-10	96.37	-4.920	-4.86%	-1.12
−7	2022-02-17	95.28	-6.010	-5.93%	-1.37
−3	2022-02-21	98.95	-2.340	-2.31%	-0.53
−1	2022-02-23	99.29	-2.000	-1.97%	-0.46
T0	2022-02-24l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	101.3	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-25	98.56	-2.730	-2.70%	-0.62
+3	2022-02-25	98.56	-2.730	-2.70%	-0.62
+7	2022-03-03	115.4	+14.070	+13.89%	+3.20
+14	2022-03-10	114.5	+13.250	+13.08%	+3.02
+30	2022-03-25	122.7	+21.380	+21.11%	+4.87
+60	2022-04-25	99.27	-2.020	-1.99%	-0.46
+90	2022-05-25	116.4	+15.120	+14.93%	+3.44

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 4.34%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 767). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

reported crude oil imports, all origins

Unità: tIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (reported crude oil imports, all origins): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-01	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−14	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−7	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−3	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−1	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
T0	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+1	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+3	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+7	2022-03-01	225,084	+225,084	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+14	2022-03-01	225,084	+225,084	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+30	2022-03-01	225,084	+225,084	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+60	2022-04-01	90,218	+90,218	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+90	2022-05-01	185,510	+185,510	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 77.46%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 27). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-24	0.7166	-0.112	-13.54%	-0.52
−14	2022-02-07	0.7851	-0.044	-5.28%	-0.20
−7	2022-02-14	0.8045	-0.024	-2.94%	-0.11
−3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.8289	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.8289	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.8289	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.8289	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.8289	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-02-28	0.8985	+0.070	+8.40%	+0.32
+14	2022-03-07	0.9080	+0.079	+9.55%	+0.37
+30	2022-03-21	1.142	+0.313	+37.76%	+1.45
+60	2022-04-25	1.142	+0.313	+37.81%	+1.46
+90	2022-05-23	1.250	+0.421	+50.76%	+1.95

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 25.96%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-24	0.6528	-0.058	-8.16%	-0.41
−14	2022-02-07	0.6891	-0.022	-3.06%	-0.15
−7	2022-02-14	0.6985	-0.012	-1.74%	-0.09
−3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7108	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7108	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7108	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7108	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7108	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-02-28	0.7540	+0.043	+6.07%	+0.31
+14	2022-03-07	0.7506	+0.040	+5.60%	+0.28
+30	2022-03-21	0.8864	+0.176	+24.70%	+1.25
+60	2022-04-25	0.9093	+0.198	+27.92%	+1.41
+90	2022-05-23	0.9654	+0.255	+35.81%	+1.81

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 19.76%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE

Unità: USD għal kull EURIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatUffiċjali

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-25	1.127	+0.011	+0.94%	+2.37
−14	2022-02-10	1.144	+0.028	+2.47%	+6.23
−7	2022-02-17	1.137	+0.021	+1.85%	+4.67
−3	2022-02-21	1.134	+0.017	+1.57%	+3.95
−1	2022-02-23	1.134	+0.018	+1.62%	+4.09
T0	2022-02-24l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.116	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-25	1.122	+0.005	+0.47%	+1.20
+3	2022-02-25	1.122	+0.005	+0.47%	+1.20
+7	2022-03-03	1.108	-0.009	-0.78%	-1.96
+14	2022-03-10	1.108	-0.008	-0.71%	-1.78
+30	2022-03-25	1.100	-0.016	-1.44%	-3.64
+60	2022-04-25	1.075	-0.042	-3.74%	-9.42
+90	2022-05-25	1.066	-0.051	-4.54%	-11.45

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 0.40%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 770). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1

Unità: % tat-tunnellati importatiIppubblikat: kull xaharMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Il-linja tieqaf f’dawn il-punti tat-tieqa, fejn ma ġiet ippubblikata l-ebda ċifra fi żmien perjodu wieħed: −30, −14, −7, −3, −1, T0, +1, +3.

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-01	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−14	2022-02-01	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−7	2022-02-01	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−3	2022-02-01	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−1	2022-02-01	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
T0	2022-02-01	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+1	2022-02-01	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+3	2022-02-01	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+7	2022-03-01	0	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+14	2022-03-01	0	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+30	2022-03-01	0	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+60	2022-04-01	0	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+90	2022-05-01	0	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2

Unità: % tat-tunnellati importatiIppubblikat: kull xaharMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-01	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−14	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−7	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−3	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−1	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
T0	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+1	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+3	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+7	2022-03-01	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+14	2022-03-01	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+30	2022-03-01	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+60	2022-04-01	0–0.0020	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+90	2022-05-01	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma

Unità: kopertura (jiem)Ippubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-01	99.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−14	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	99.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−7	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	99.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−3	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	99.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	99.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	99.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	99.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	99.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-03-01	94.00	-5.000	-5.05%	-1.57
+14	2022-03-01	94.00	-5.000	-5.05%	-1.57
+30	2022-03-01	94.00	-5.000	-5.05%	-1.57
+60	2022-04-01	92.00	-7.000	-7.07%	-2.19
+90	2022-05-01	87.00	-12.000	-12.12%	-3.76

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 3.22%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 35). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-24	0.5049	-0.049	-8.88%	-1.15
−14	2022-02-07	0.5307	-0.023	-4.22%	-0.55
−7	2022-02-14	0.5419	-0.012	-2.19%	-0.29
−3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.5541	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.5541	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.5541	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.5541	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.5541	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-02-28	0.6491	+0.095	+17.15%	+2.23
+14	2022-03-07	0.7014	+0.147	+26.58%	+3.45
+30	2022-03-21	0.7064	+0.152	+27.49%	+3.57
+60	2022-04-25	0.6165	+0.062	+11.26%	+1.46
+90	2022-05-23	0.6922	+0.138	+24.93%	+3.24

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 7.69%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-24	0.5049	-0.049	-8.88%	-1.15
−14	2022-02-07	0.5307	-0.023	-4.22%	-0.55
−7	2022-02-14	0.5419	-0.012	-2.19%	-0.29
−3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.5541	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.5541	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.5541	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.5541	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.5541	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-02-28	0.6491	+0.095	+17.15%	+2.23
+14	2022-03-07	0.7014	+0.147	+26.58%	+3.45
+30	2022-03-21	0.7064	+0.152	+27.49%	+3.57
+60	2022-04-25	0.6165	+0.062	+11.26%	+1.46
+90	2022-05-23	0.6922	+0.138	+24.93%	+3.24

stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom

Unità: tIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali

Tabella tat-tieqa (stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-01	1,097,391	-14,766	-1.33%	-0.16
−14	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1,112,157	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−7	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1,112,157	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−3	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1,112,157	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1,112,157	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1,112,157	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1,112,157	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1,112,157	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-03-01	1,338,808	+226,651	+20.38%	+2.41
+14	2022-03-01	1,338,808	+226,651	+20.38%	+2.41
+30	2022-03-01	1,338,808	+226,651	+20.38%	+2.41
+60	2022-04-01	1,403,613	+291,456	+26.21%	+3.10
+90	2022-05-01	1,410,425	+298,268	+26.82%	+3.17

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 8.45%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 35). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

Tabella tat-tieqa (not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-24	0.0930	+0.093	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−14	2022-02-07	0.0302	+0.030	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−7	2022-02-14	0.0188	+0.019	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
T0	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+7	2022-02-28	-0.0658	-0.066	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+14	2022-03-07	-0.0589	-0.059	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+30	2022-03-21	-0.0154	-0.015	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+60	2022-04-25	-0.1069	-0.107	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+90	2022-05-23	-0.1725	-0.172	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

Tabella tat-tieqa (not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-24	0.0540	+0.054	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−14	2022-02-07	0.0266	+0.027	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−7	2022-02-14	0.0115	+0.012	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
T0	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+7	2022-02-28	-0.0430	-0.043	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+14	2022-03-07	-0.0316	-0.032	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+30	2022-03-21	-0.0059	-0.006	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+60	2022-04-25	-0.0526	-0.053	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+90	2022-05-23	0.0207	+0.021	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-24	1.520	-0.024	-1.53%	-1.13
−14	2022-02-07	1.528	-0.016	-1.03%	-0.76
−7	2022-02-14	1.537	-0.007	-0.43%	-0.32
−3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.544	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.544	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.544	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.544	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.544	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-02-28	1.546	+0.003	+0.18%	+0.14
+14	2022-03-07	1.567	+0.024	+1.53%	+1.13
+30	2022-03-21	1.913	+0.370	+23.94%	+17.64
+60	2022-04-25	1.767	+0.223	+14.46%	+10.65
+90	2022-05-23	1.821	+0.278	+17.99%	+13.25

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.36%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-24	1.524	-0.004	-0.29%	-0.19
−14	2022-02-07	1.536	+0.008	+0.49%	+0.33
−7	2022-02-14	1.528	-0.000	-0.03%	-0.02
−3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.529	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.529	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.529	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.529	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.529	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-02-28	1.527	-0.002	-0.15%	-0.10
+14	2022-03-07	1.537	+0.008	+0.54%	+0.36
+30	2022-03-21	1.738	+0.209	+13.67%	+9.19
+60	2022-04-25	1.643	+0.114	+7.46%	+5.01
+90	2022-05-23	1.807	+0.278	+18.20%	+12.23

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.49%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-24	0.8096	-0.019	-2.33%	-1.00
−14	2022-02-07	0.8153	-0.014	-1.63%	-0.70
−7	2022-02-14	0.8232	-0.006	-0.68%	-0.29
−3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.8289	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.8289	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.8289	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.8289	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.8289	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-02-28	0.8327	+0.004	+0.47%	+0.20
+14	2022-03-07	0.8491	+0.020	+2.44%	+1.05
+30	2022-03-21	1.126	+0.298	+35.91%	+15.48
+60	2022-04-25	1.035	+0.206	+24.90%	+10.74
+90	2022-05-23	1.077	+0.248	+29.95%	+12.91

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 2.32%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-24	0.7068	-0.004	-0.57%	-0.18
−14	2022-02-07	0.7157	+0.005	+0.69%	+0.23
−7	2022-02-14	0.7100	-0.001	-0.12%	-0.04
−3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7108	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7108	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7108	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7108	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7108	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-02-28	0.7110	+0.000	+0.03%	+0.01
+14	2022-03-07	0.7191	+0.008	+1.16%	+0.38
+30	2022-03-21	0.8806	+0.170	+23.88%	+7.78
+60	2022-04-25	0.8567	+0.146	+20.52%	+6.69
+90	2022-05-23	0.9860	+0.275	+38.72%	+12.62

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 3.07%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

Tabella tat-tieqa (total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-24	0.7104	-0.004	-0.61%	-1.10
−14	2022-02-07	0.7125	-0.002	-0.32%	-0.58
−7	2022-02-14	0.7138	-0.001	-0.14%	-0.24
−3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7148	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7148	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7148	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7148	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7148	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-02-28	0.7138	-0.001	-0.14%	-0.26
+14	2022-03-07	0.7182	+0.003	+0.48%	+0.87
+30	2022-03-21	0.7867	+0.072	+10.06%	+18.09
+60	2022-04-25	0.7316	+0.017	+2.35%	+4.22
+90	2022-05-23	0.7442	+0.029	+4.11%	+7.40

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 0.56%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

Tabella tat-tieqa (total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-24	0.8176	-0.000	-0.05%	-0.09
−14	2022-02-07	0.8206	+0.003	+0.32%	+0.59
−7	2022-02-14	0.8183	+0.000	+0.04%	+0.08
−3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.8180	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.8180	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.8180	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.8180	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.8180	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-02-28	0.8155	-0.002	-0.30%	-0.56
+14	2022-03-07	0.8180	+0.000	+0.00%	+0.00
+30	2022-03-21	0.8573	+0.039	+4.80%	+8.96
+60	2022-04-25	0.7861	-0.032	-3.89%	-7.27
+90	2022-05-23	0.8211	+0.003	+0.38%	+0.71

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 0.54%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-25	22.61	+1.846	+8.89%	+1.05
−14	2022-02-10	25.09	+4.332	+20.87%	+2.47
−7	2022-02-17	23.41	+2.650	+12.76%	+1.51
−3	2022-02-18	21.50	+0.742	+3.57%	+0.42
−1	2022-02-23	20.03	-0.730	-3.52%	-0.42
T0	2022-02-24l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	20.76	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-25	22.06	+1.302	+6.27%	+0.74
+3	2022-02-25	22.06	+1.302	+6.27%	+0.74
+7	2022-03-03	37.39	+16.632	+80.11%	+9.48
+14	2022-03-10	30.44	+9.682	+46.63%	+5.52
+30	2022-03-25	55.41	+34.648	+166.88%	+19.75
+60	2022-04-25	80.15	+59.392	+286.06%	+33.85
+90	2022-05-25	54.28	+33.516	+161.43%	+19.10

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 8.45%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 751). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-25	15.43	-1.934	-11.14%	-0.06
−14	2022-02-10	17.95	+0.594	+3.42%	+0.02
−7	2022-02-17	18.67	+1.306	+7.52%	+0.04
−3	2022-02-18	19.03	+1.666	+9.60%	+0.05
−1	2022-02-23	17.39	+0.026	+0.15%	+0.00
T0	2022-02-24l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	17.36	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-25	18.28	+0.924	+5.32%	+0.03
+3	2022-02-25	18.28	+0.924	+5.32%	+0.03
+7	2022-03-03	18.33	+0.966	+5.56%	+0.03
+14	2022-03-10	13.10	-4.262	-24.55%	-0.14
+30	2022-03-25	16.69	-0.674	-3.88%	-0.02
+60	2022-04-25	36.43	+19.072	+109.86%	+0.61
+90	2022-05-25	47.31	+29.946	+172.50%	+0.95

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 180.80%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 751). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-25	13.79	+0.796	+6.13%	+0.04
−14	2022-02-10	16.48	+3.492	+26.88%	+0.15
−7	2022-02-17	13.25	+0.256	+1.97%	+0.01
−3	2022-02-18	12.98	-0.014	-0.11%	-0.00
−1	2022-02-23	12.89	-0.100	-0.77%	-0.00
T0	2022-02-24l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	12.99	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-25	14.50	+1.512	+11.64%	+0.07
+3	2022-02-25	14.50	+1.512	+11.64%	+0.07
+7	2022-03-03	23.95	+10.962	+84.38%	+0.48
+14	2022-03-10	16.37	+3.382	+26.03%	+0.15
+30	2022-03-25	37.98	+24.988	+192.33%	+1.10
+60	2022-04-25	78.26	+65.272	+502.40%	+2.88
+90	2022-05-25	40.71	+27.720	+213.36%	+1.22

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 174.63%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 751). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Mhux disponibbli: imblukkat mil-liċenzja

Jeżisti sors, iżda l-liċenzja tiegħu ma tippermettilniex nippubblikawh mill-ġdid. Dawn il-kanali mhumiex neqsin mid-dinja, iżda biss minn din il-paġna.

nol tat-tankers “dirty” mill-Golf Għarbi lejn il-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

In-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers (ringiela 17: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

Il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

M’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

T0: 24/02/2022. Tieqa ta’ referenza: jiem -90 sa -31. Punti tat-tieqa kkalkulati: -30, -14, -7, -3, -1, 0, 1, 3, 7, 14, 30, 60, 90. Metodu: 1.0, kalkolu: event_study-1.0, ikkalkulat: 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC.

L-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”: huwa tassew ir-raġuni?

Il-mistoqsija tinqasam f’dimensjonijiet li jitkejlu separatament u qatt ma jingħaddu f’numru wieħed. Kull ringiela tgħid jekk nistgħux naraw dik id-dimensjoni, u tagħti ċifra ppubblikata waħda fejn nistgħu.

Mit-tmien kanali ta’ trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet li jirrapporta dan is-sit, kanali b’data f’dan il-kalkolu: 4 Ikkalkulat – għadd tar-ringieli ta’ hawn taħt, mhux kejl.

Metodoloġija §11.1 tippubblika l-limiti li jużaw is-sentenzi ta’ hawn taħt: it-tmien kanali kollha preżenti għall-paragun sħiħ, mill-inqas tlieta biex l-istqarrija tkun tista’ tiġi ttestjata hawn, u 2.0 unitajiet ta’ volatilità biex ċaqliq jiġi deskritt bħala barra mill-varjazzjoni normali ta’ serje. Dawn huma għażliet ta’ kliem ippubblikati, mhux testijiet statistiċi.

Dimensjonijiet tal-esponiment għall-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, kull waħda bl-istatus tagħha u ċifra ppubblikata waħda.
Dimensjoni	Status	Ċifra ppubblikata, jew għaliex m’hemmx
Esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum (D1)Sehem miż-żejt mhux maħdum importat li r-rotta tiegħu teħtieġ l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz.	Osservat	0 % tat-tunnellati importati punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-03-01)
Esponiment dirett tal-prodotti (D2)Sehem mill-prodotti raffinati importati li r-rotta tagħhom teħtieġ l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz.	Osservat	0 % tat-tunnellati importati punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-03-01)
Kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza (D7)Il-jiem ta’ kopertura li jammontaw għalihom il-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati. Riżerva kontra interruzzjoni tal-provvista, mhux sehem mill-importazzjonijiet, u mhux kanal tal-prezz.	Osservat	94.00 kopertura (jiem) punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-03-01)-5.05% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -1.57 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdumIl-prezz kwotat taż-żejt mhux maħdum li fuqu jiġu pprezzati t-tagħbijiet Ewropej.	Osservat	122.7 $ għal kull barmil punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-03-25)+21.11% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +4.87 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinatiIl-prezz kwotat tal-prodotti li fuqu jipprezzaw ir-raffineriji u l-bejjiegħa bl-ingrossa.	Mhux disponibbli	Il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.
Marġni tar-raffinarKemm qala’ r-raffinar ta’ barmil f’dan il-prodott.	Mhux disponibbli	M’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.
NoliKemm swiet il-ġarr tal-merkanzija bil-baħar.	Mhux disponibbli	In-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers (ringiela 17: BLOCKED).
StokkijietL-istokkijiet miżmuma, li jassorbu jew ikabbru bidla fil-provvista.	Osservat	1,338,808 t punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-03-01)+20.38% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +2.41 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezzijiet bl-ingrossaIl-prezz bejn il-bieb tar-raffinerija u l-pompa tal-petrol.	Mhux disponibbli	Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).
Prezz fil-pompa mingħajr taxxiIl-prezz fil-pompa mingħajr id-dazju tas-sisa, il-VAT u taxxi oħra fuq il-karburant.	Osservat	1.126 € għal kull litru punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-03-21)+35.91% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +15.48 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz fil-pompa bit-taxxiDak li fil-fatt ħallas sewwieq.	Osservat	1.913 € għal kull litru punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-03-21)+23.94% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +17.64 unitajiet ta’ volatilità

L-esponiment fiżiku (l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz) u l-esponiment tal-prezz huma mistoqsijiet differenti. Pajjiż kważi mingħajr esponiment fiżiku dirett xorta jista’ jara l-prezz fil-pompa tiegħu jiċċaqlaq: iż-żejt mhux maħdum jiġi pprezzat fuq livell globali – u serje li ċċaqilqet f’din it-tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.

X’għamel il-prezz fil-pompa madwar din id-data

Il-paġna tal-qsim tal-prezz tista’ tiġi ffissata fuq il-ġimgħat madwar id-data tal-avveniment, biex iċ-ċaqliq fil-pompa jinqasam fit-taxxa, fl-ispiża tal-input u fil-parti li l-ispiża tal-input ma tkoprix.

Qsim tal-prezz (17/02/2022 – 26/03/2022) →

It-tieqa hija madwar id-data ppubblikata tal-avveniment (jiem qabel: 7; jiem wara: 30). Hija tieqa biex wieħed iħares, mhux dikjarazzjoni li l-avveniment kien fl-oriġini ta’ dak li fiha.

Attwali kontra ż-żejt mhux maħdum biss: il-Kroazja, petrol (Euro-super 95)

X’għamel il-prezz mingħajr taxxi minn erba’ ġimgħat qabel sa tlettax-il ġimgħa wara l-ġimgħa tal-avveniment, ħdejn dak li kien jagħmel li kieku segwa biss l-ispiża tal-input taż-żejt mhux maħdum bil-pass li tkejjel l-istima maħżuna tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet. Id-differenza mdella mhix spjegata miż-żejt mhux maħdum; mhix attribwita lill-avveniment jew lil xi ħaġa oħra. L-ebda karburant mhu magħżul: jintwera l-petrol.

Il-paragun maż-żejt mhux maħdum biss ma setax jinqara.

API 404 for /api/events/ru-invasion-ukraine-2022/crude-only: No stored crude-only run for 'ru-invasion-ukraine-2022' and country 'croatia'. Runs are stored for the pilot countries; available_countries lists them.

X’jappoġġaw in-numri, sentenza b’sentenza

Kull sentenza ġejja minn mudell fiss, magħżul skont limiti ppubblikati. Iftaħ “Għaliex din is-sentenza” biex tara n-numri li għażluha. L-ebda parti minn dan it-test mhi miktuba minn mudell lingwistiku, u l-ebda parti minnu ma tattribwixxi kawża.

Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, il-Kroazja) inbidel b’+0.0%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.0 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-KroazjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
0.71102
status
OBSERVED
country
Croatia
z_score
2.1066239884919837
t0_value
0.7108300000000001
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
0.026729316432890064
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_HR_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
HR
country_name
Croatia
country_slug
croatia
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-02-28
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.008713205109141246
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.00018999999999991246
change_pct_from_t0
0.026729316432890064
observation_gap_days
3
normal_volatility_pct
3.0676790111193015
change_in_volatility_units
0.008713205109141246
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
0.71102
status
OBSERVED
country
Croatia
z_score
2.1066239884919837
t0_value
0.7108300000000001
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
0.026729316432890064
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_HR_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
HR
country_name
Croatia
country_slug
croatia
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-02-28
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.008713205109141246
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.00018999999999991246
change_pct_from_t0
0.026729316432890064
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
3
normal_volatility_pct
3.0676790111193015
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
0.008713205109141246
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 0ff50c578fda5f2b9f8fd0838b9d5b4b2c2da456a52269398bd3ef736b0a727c · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, il-Kroazja) inbidel b’+23.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’7.8 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-KroazjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
0.8805700000000001
status
OBSERVED
country
Croatia
z_score
12.32960269405002
t0_value
0.7108300000000001
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
23.879127217478157
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_HR_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
HR
country_name
Croatia
country_slug
croatia
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-03-21
same_observation
false
volatility_units
7.784102290664824
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.16974
change_pct_from_t0
23.879127217478157
observation_gap_days
5
normal_volatility_pct
3.0676790111193015
change_in_volatility_units
7.784102290664824
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
0.8805700000000001
status
OBSERVED
country
Croatia
z_score
12.32960269405002
t0_value
0.7108300000000001
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
23.879127217478157
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_HR_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
HR
country_name
Croatia
country_slug
croatia
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-03-21
same_observation
false
volatility_units
7.784102290664824
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.16974
change_pct_from_t0
23.879127217478157
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
5
normal_volatility_pct
3.0676790111193015
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
7.784102290664824
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità f17a0443bccd58551a180b1685453be7b1be707d24e76eb0c4cabac71bf2e66d · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, il-Kroazja) inbidel b’+38.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’12.6 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-KroazjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
0.98604
status
OBSERVED
country
Croatia
z_score
18.68889236715651
t0_value
0.7108300000000001
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
38.71671144999506
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_HR_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
HR
country_name
Croatia
country_slug
croatia
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-05-23
same_observation
false
volatility_units
12.620848305725612
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.27520999999999995
change_pct_from_t0
38.71671144999506
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
3.0676790111193015
change_in_volatility_units
12.620848305725612
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
0.98604
status
OBSERVED
country
Croatia
z_score
18.68889236715651
t0_value
0.7108300000000001
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
38.71671144999506
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_HR_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
HR
country_name
Croatia
country_slug
croatia
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-05-23
same_observation
false
volatility_units
12.620848305725612
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.27520999999999995
change_pct_from_t0
38.71671144999506
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
3.0676790111193015
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
12.620848305725612
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 8e9e10105506569cffbd16fff58c178cc28b16c89cbffaa6d74f5c316dc36f7f · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, il-Kroazja) inbidel b’-0.1%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.1 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-KroazjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.52653
status
OBSERVED
country
Croatia
z_score
1.9561401177281645
t0_value
1.5288
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-0.14848246991104097
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_HR_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
HR
country_name
Croatia
country_slug
croatia
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-02-28
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-0.09977592379246997
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.0022699999999999942
change_pct_from_t0
-0.14848246991104097
observation_gap_days
3
normal_volatility_pct
1.4881593100543846
change_in_volatility_units
-0.09977592379246997
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.52653
status
OBSERVED
country
Croatia
z_score
1.9561401177281645
t0_value
1.5288
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-0.14848246991104097
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_HR_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
HR
country_name
Croatia
country_slug
croatia
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-02-28
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-0.09977592379246997
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.0022699999999999942
change_pct_from_t0
-0.14848246991104097
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
3
normal_volatility_pct
1.4881593100543846
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-0.09977592379246997
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità f6a6df64d9c19458790bff1221d80e5ecf9904ae24110d58e858165a08e9c33e · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, il-Kroazja) inbidel b’+13.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’9.2 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-KroazjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.73782
status
OBSERVED
country
Croatia
z_score
12.243311929682278
t0_value
1.5288
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
13.672161172161172
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_HR_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
HR
country_name
Croatia
country_slug
croatia
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-03-21
same_observation
false
volatility_units
9.187296736168337
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.20901999999999998
change_pct_from_t0
13.672161172161172
observation_gap_days
5
normal_volatility_pct
1.4881593100543846
change_in_volatility_units
9.187296736168337
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.73782
status
OBSERVED
country
Croatia
z_score
12.243311929682278
t0_value
1.5288
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
13.672161172161172
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_HR_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
HR
country_name
Croatia
country_slug
croatia
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-03-21
same_observation
false
volatility_units
9.187296736168337
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.20901999999999998
change_pct_from_t0
13.672161172161172
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
5
normal_volatility_pct
1.4881593100543846
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
9.187296736168337
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità d2be6164cd910003f70cd44ec5dbe817cf5ee91d1d6f1a7850fa6c582742530e · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, il-Kroazja) inbidel b’+18.2%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’12.2 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-KroazjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.80711
status
OBSERVED
country
Croatia
z_score
15.616865504628093
t0_value
1.5288
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
18.204474097331246
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_HR_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
HR
country_name
Croatia
country_slug
croatia
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-05-23
same_observation
false
volatility_units
12.232879890168457
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.27831000000000006
change_pct_from_t0
18.204474097331246
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
1.4881593100543846
change_in_volatility_units
12.232879890168457
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.80711
status
OBSERVED
country
Croatia
z_score
15.616865504628093
t0_value
1.5288
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
18.204474097331246
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_HR_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
HR
country_name
Croatia
country_slug
croatia
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-05-23
same_observation
false
volatility_units
12.232879890168457
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.27831000000000006
change_pct_from_t0
18.204474097331246
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
1.4881593100543846
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
12.232879890168457
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 960e32fd6f8dfb02ec08f1c70e93d7ac913eb780f4b72187ffc8119439e9b196 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, il-Kroazja) inbidel b’+0.5%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.2 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-KroazjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
0.8327300000000001
status
OBSERVED
country
Croatia
z_score
3.7191022570522247
t0_value
0.82887
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
0.4656942584482591
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_HR_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
HR
country_name
Croatia
country_slug
croatia
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-02-28
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.20079898283633746
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.0038600000000000856
change_pct_from_t0
0.4656942584482591
observation_gap_days
3
normal_volatility_pct
2.3192062622539593
change_in_volatility_units
0.20079898283633746
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
0.8327300000000001
status
OBSERVED
country
Croatia
z_score
3.7191022570522247
t0_value
0.82887
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
0.4656942584482591
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_HR_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
HR
country_name
Croatia
country_slug
croatia
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-02-28
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.20079898283633746
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.0038600000000000856
change_pct_from_t0
0.4656942584482591
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
3
normal_volatility_pct
2.3192062622539593
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
0.20079898283633746
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità cf81eb7c44e4581cb7a5a8e6d850730e8b1c9a9724b2c855a1812bd01daec29d · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, il-Kroazja) inbidel b’+35.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’15.5 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-KroazjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.1264800000000001
status
OBSERVED
country
Croatia
z_score
24.046792230474054
t0_value
0.82887
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
35.90550991108378
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_HR_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
HR
country_name
Croatia
country_slug
croatia
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-03-21
same_observation
false
volatility_units
15.481809658528782
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.29761000000000015
change_pct_from_t0
35.90550991108378
observation_gap_days
5
normal_volatility_pct
2.3192062622539593
change_in_volatility_units
15.481809658528782
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.1264800000000001
status
OBSERVED
country
Croatia
z_score
24.046792230474054
t0_value
0.82887
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
35.90550991108378
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_HR_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
HR
country_name
Croatia
country_slug
croatia
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-03-21
same_observation
false
volatility_units
15.481809658528782
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.29761000000000015
change_pct_from_t0
35.90550991108378
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
5
normal_volatility_pct
2.3192062622539593
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
15.481809658528782
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 6aef54a2fc3a85f53b84c4e0418e65145950685fac49d0fb1c01f9f32ae8dcfc · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, il-Kroazja) inbidel b’+30.0%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’12.9 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-KroazjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.0771199999999999
status
OBSERVED
country
Croatia
z_score
20.631048308471986
t0_value
0.82887
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
29.950414419631528
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_HR_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
HR
country_name
Croatia
country_slug
croatia
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-05-23
same_observation
false
volatility_units
12.91407966039369
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.24824999999999986
change_pct_from_t0
29.950414419631528
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
2.3192062622539593
change_in_volatility_units
12.91407966039369
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.0771199999999999
status
OBSERVED
country
Croatia
z_score
20.631048308471986
t0_value
0.82887
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
29.950414419631528
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_HR_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
HR
country_name
Croatia
country_slug
croatia
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-05-23
same_observation
false
volatility_units
12.91407966039369
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.24824999999999986
change_pct_from_t0
29.950414419631528
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
2.3192062622539593
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
12.91407966039369
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 4ef86c9de217eba956e444fdfebfc01df554e7bcb21c9d1958499ba8334051b5 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, il-Kroazja) inbidel b’+0.2%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.1 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-KroazjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.5464900000000001
status
OBSERVED
country
Croatia
z_score
3.5990753818095538
t0_value
1.54366
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
0.18333052615213907
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_HR_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
HR
country_name
Croatia
country_slug
croatia
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-02-28
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.13508648362505957
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.00283000000000011
change_pct_from_t0
0.18333052615213907
observation_gap_days
3
normal_volatility_pct
1.3571344906791982
change_in_volatility_units
0.13508648362505957
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.5464900000000001
status
OBSERVED
country
Croatia
z_score
3.5990753818095538
t0_value
1.54366
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
0.18333052615213907
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_HR_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
HR
country_name
Croatia
country_slug
croatia
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-02-28
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.13508648362505957
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.00283000000000011
change_pct_from_t0
0.18333052615213907
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
3
normal_volatility_pct
1.3571344906791982
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
0.13508648362505957
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 4d67c46a67f06a03bb2411cb8017c2c96481c7d11b7220331dc02ac85ece1caf · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, il-Kroazja) inbidel b’+23.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’17.6 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-KroazjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.91317
status
OBSERVED
country
Croatia
z_score
24.08946196699224
t0_value
1.54366
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
23.93726597825946
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_HR_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
HR
country_name
Croatia
country_slug
croatia
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-03-21
same_observation
false
volatility_units
17.638094192329973
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.36951
change_pct_from_t0
23.93726597825946
observation_gap_days
5
normal_volatility_pct
1.3571344906791982
change_in_volatility_units
17.638094192329973
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.91317
status
OBSERVED
country
Croatia
z_score
24.08946196699224
t0_value
1.54366
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
23.93726597825946
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_HR_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
HR
country_name
Croatia
country_slug
croatia
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-03-21
same_observation
false
volatility_units
17.638094192329973
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.36951
change_pct_from_t0
23.93726597825946
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
5
normal_volatility_pct
1.3571344906791982
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
17.638094192329973
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 14799a551937a02cbf901b58092453306ceae1e8df4c0f4bea4843beb021330a · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, il-Kroazja) inbidel b’+18.0%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’13.3 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: il-KroazjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.82132
status
OBSERVED
country
Croatia
z_score
18.95680676941116
t0_value
1.54366
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
17.987121516396098
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_HR_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
HR
country_name
Croatia
country_slug
croatia
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-05-23
same_observation
false
volatility_units
13.253750191990312
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.27766
change_pct_from_t0
17.987121516396098
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
1.3571344906791982
change_in_volatility_units
13.253750191990312
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.82132
status
OBSERVED
country
Croatia
z_score
18.95680676941116
t0_value
1.54366
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
17.987121516396098
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_HR_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
HR
country_name
Croatia
country_slug
croatia
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-05-23
same_observation
false
volatility_units
13.253750191990312
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.27766
change_pct_from_t0
17.987121516396098
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
1.3571344906791982
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
13.253750191990312
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 20728edcbd4e2be3ce57bee78b458104a415324bd1f36aa31d92e1d58fdc7466 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, il-Kroazja) b’+17.6 c/l (firxa +10.8–+24.3); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’+17.0 c/l, u jibqa’ -0.6 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.
pajjiż: il-KroazjaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
weeks
4
status
COMPUTED
country
Croatia
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_HR_EURO_SUPER_95
country_iso2
HR
country_name
Croatia
country_slug
croatia
offset_weeks
4
proxy_product
GASOLINE
proxy_to_date
2022-03-21
pass_through_k
3
proxy_from_date
2022-02-18
observation_date
2022-03-21
gap_eur_per_litre
-0.005865615062818991
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-02-21
actual_eur_per_litre
0.16974
expected_eur_per_litre
0.175605615062819
proxy_volatility_units
-0.11680573781220037
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
-4.018000000000001
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
expected_low_eur_per_litre
0.10838466194450638
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.24282656818113216
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
180.79993207863203
Limiti
source
docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
proxy_rule
the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
confidence_cap
MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
statement_weeks
[4,13]
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
weeks
4
status
COMPUTED
country
Croatia
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_HR_EURO_SUPER_95
country_iso2
HR
country_name
Croatia
country_slug
croatia
offset_weeks
4
proxy_product
GASOLINE
proxy_to_date
2022-03-21
pass_through_k
3
proxy_from_date
2022-02-18
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-03-21
gap_eur_per_litre
-0.005865615062818991
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-02-21
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
actual_eur_per_litre
0.16974
expected_eur_per_litre
0.175605615062819
proxy_volatility_units
-0.11680573781220037
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
-4.018000000000001
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
expected_low_eur_per_litre
0.10838466194450638
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.24282656818113216
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
180.79993207863203
Mudell event.crude_only.computed v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 1efe197110499911a72ca2859d7a20562ab4b54928c51de46f4c787dd5128b3e · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 13-il ġimgħa wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, il-Kroazja) b’+25.5 c/l (firxa +11.5–+39.5); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’+27.5 c/l, u jibqa’ +2.1 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.
pajjiż: il-KroazjaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
weeks
13
status
COMPUTED
country
Croatia
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_HR_EURO_SUPER_95
country_iso2
HR
country_name
Croatia
country_slug
croatia
offset_weeks
13
proxy_product
GASOLINE
proxy_to_date
2022-05-23
pass_through_k
3
proxy_from_date
2022-02-18
observation_date
2022-05-23
gap_eur_per_litre
0.020685006329546396
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-02-21
actual_eur_per_litre
0.27520999999999995
expected_eur_per_litre
0.25452499367045356
proxy_volatility_units
0.8092678270821386
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
27.837999999999997
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
expected_low_eur_per_litre
0.11454026390700785
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.3945097234339011
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
180.79993207863203
Limiti
source
docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
proxy_rule
the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
confidence_cap
MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
statement_weeks
[4,13]
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
weeks
13
status
COMPUTED
country
Croatia
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_HR_EURO_SUPER_95
country_iso2
HR
country_name
Croatia
country_slug
croatia
offset_weeks
13
proxy_product
GASOLINE
proxy_to_date
2022-05-23
pass_through_k
3
proxy_from_date
2022-02-18
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-05-23
gap_eur_per_litre
0.020685006329546396
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-02-21
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
actual_eur_per_litre
0.27520999999999995
expected_eur_per_litre
0.25452499367045356
proxy_volatility_units
0.8092678270821386
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
27.837999999999997
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
expected_low_eur_per_litre
0.11454026390700785
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.3945097234339011
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
180.79993207863203
Mudell event.crude_only.computed v1.1 · Marka tal-identità b378014a1233f623a63af3de4b2c43ca8084d8f92b99472585127e0397989332 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, il-Kroazja) b’+31.3 c/l (firxa +22.4–+40.2); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’+29.8 c/l, u jibqa’ -1.5 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum. Fl-istess perjodu, il-crack spread tal-Istati Uniti (diżil), indikatur tas-suq tal-prodotti tal-Atlantiku u mhux marġni Ewropew, kiber b’22.2 $/bbl.
pajjiż: il-KroazjaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
weeks
4
status
COMPUTED
country
Croatia
fuel_type
DIESEL
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_HR_DIESEL
country_iso2
HR
country_name
Croatia
country_slug
croatia
offset_weeks
4
proxy_product
DIESEL
proxy_to_date
2022-03-21
pass_through_k
3
proxy_from_date
2022-02-18
observation_date
2022-03-21
gap_eur_per_litre
-0.015378167641752372
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-02-21
actual_eur_per_litre
0.29761000000000015
expected_eur_per_litre
0.3129881676417525
proxy_volatility_units
12.233577860390142
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
22.231999999999996
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
expected_low_eur_per_litre
0.22440597169841997
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.40157036358508347
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
8.450955055544933
Limiti
source
docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
proxy_rule
the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
confidence_cap
MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
statement_weeks
[4,13]
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
weeks
4
status
COMPUTED
country
Croatia
fuel_type
DIESEL
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_HR_DIESEL
country_iso2
HR
country_name
Croatia
country_slug
croatia
offset_weeks
4
proxy_product
DIESEL
proxy_to_date
2022-03-21
pass_through_k
3
proxy_from_date
2022-02-18
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-03-21
gap_eur_per_litre
-0.015378167641752372
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-02-21
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
actual_eur_per_litre
0.29761000000000015
expected_eur_per_litre
0.3129881676417525
proxy_volatility_units
12.233577860390142
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
22.231999999999996
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
expected_low_eur_per_litre
0.22440597169841997
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.40157036358508347
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
8.450955055544933
Mudell event.crude_only.computed_with_proxy v1.1 · Marka tal-identità f67f1ea40783e12d493ade98783ace96713d6aa2c32988778d383621edbded0a · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 13-il ġimgħa wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, il-Kroazja) b’+42.1 c/l (firxa +21.7–+62.5); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’+24.8 c/l, u jibqa’ -17.2 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum. Fl-istess perjodu, il-crack spread tal-Istati Uniti (diżil), indikatur tas-suq tal-prodotti tal-Atlantiku u mhux marġni Ewropew, kiber b’29.9 $/bbl.
pajjiż: il-KroazjaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
weeks
13
status
COMPUTED
country
Croatia
fuel_type
DIESEL
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_HR_DIESEL
country_iso2
HR
country_name
Croatia
country_slug
croatia
offset_weeks
13
proxy_product
DIESEL
proxy_to_date
2022-05-23
pass_through_k
3
proxy_from_date
2022-02-18
observation_date
2022-05-23
gap_eur_per_litre
-0.17246861284102055
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-02-21
actual_eur_per_litre
0.24824999999999986
expected_eur_per_litre
0.4207186128410204
proxy_volatility_units
16.427727304969743
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
29.853999999999996
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
expected_low_eur_per_litre
0.2168608650112317
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.6245763606708048
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
8.450955055544933
Limiti
source
docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
proxy_rule
the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
confidence_cap
MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
statement_weeks
[4,13]
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
weeks
13
status
COMPUTED
country
Croatia
fuel_type
DIESEL
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_HR_DIESEL
country_iso2
HR
country_name
Croatia
country_slug
croatia
offset_weeks
13
proxy_product
DIESEL
proxy_to_date
2022-05-23
pass_through_k
3
proxy_from_date
2022-02-18
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-05-23
gap_eur_per_litre
-0.17246861284102055
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-02-21
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
actual_eur_per_litre
0.24824999999999986
expected_eur_per_litre
0.4207186128410204
proxy_volatility_units
16.427727304969743
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
29.853999999999996
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
expected_low_eur_per_litre
0.2168608650112317
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.6245763606708048
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
8.450955055544933
Mudell event.crude_only.computed_with_proxy v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 2e0e623154eadb4ba5118ed2c7d1f6b7d1883e2ce2323bd68101161bcd609657 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Il-Kroazja, Frar 2022: id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (żejt mhux maħdum) hija MHUX MAGĦRUFA: is-sors jirrapporta żero importazzjonijiet għal dan il-perjodu: m’hemm l-ebda volum li minnu jittieħed sehem – dan huwa żero rrappurtat, mhux data nieqsa.
pajjiż: il-KroazjaMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
% of imported tonnes
period
2022-02
status
NO_OBSERVATION
country
Croatia
commodity
crude
dimension
DIRECT_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
country_iso2
HR
country_name
Croatia
country_slug
croatia
value_max_pct
null
value_min_pct
null
exposure_status
UNKNOWN
value_point_pct
null
observation_date
2022-02-01
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
band_applied_to
upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
dependence_limited_max_pct
10
dependence_moderate_max_pct
33
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
% of imported tonnes
period
2022-02
status
NO_OBSERVATION
country
Croatia
commodity
crude
dimension
DIRECT_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
country_iso2
HR
country_name
Croatia
country_slug
croatia
value_max_pct
null
value_min_pct
null
exposure_status
UNKNOWN
statement_topic
hormuz
value_point_pct
null
observation_date
2022-02-01
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.dependence.unknown v1.1 · Marka tal-identità ba9b074077ef4211f4255d84b83e4ee3a33bed7d4d6ccfb9ee1bd13711513c38 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Il-Kroazja, Frar 2022: id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (prodott raffinat) kienet limitata (0%).
pajjiż: il-KroazjaIkkalkulatBaxxa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
band
limited
unit
% of imported tonnes
period
2022-02
status
OBSERVED
country
Croatia
commodity
refined product
dimension
DIRECT_PRODUCT
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
country_iso2
HR
country_name
Croatia
country_slug
croatia
value_max_pct
0
value_min_pct
0
exposure_status
COMPUTED
value_point_pct
0
observation_date
2022-02-01
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
band_applied_to
upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
dependence_limited_max_pct
10
dependence_moderate_max_pct
33
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
band
limited
unit
% of imported tonnes
period
2022-02
status
OBSERVED
country
Croatia
commodity
refined product
dimension
DIRECT_PRODUCT
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
country_iso2
HR
country_name
Croatia
country_slug
croatia
value_max_pct
0
value_min_pct
0
exposure_status
COMPUTED
statement_topic
hormuz
value_point_pct
0
observation_date
2022-02-01
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.dependence.point v1.1 · Marka tal-identità f51198feab451f8267a2477c419c0a3a9b483d6f01a78407b345cfdb9a52360c · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
L-evidenza disponibbli turi tnaqqis fiżiku fil-provvista: l-importazzjonijiet irrappurtati taż-żejt mhux maħdum (il-Kroazja, Frar 2022) meta mqabbla mal-medja tax-xhur ta’ qabel (12): -100.0%.
pajjiż: il-KroazjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
tonnes
month
2022-02
country
Croatia
change_pct
-100
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
country_iso2
HR
country_name
Croatia
country_slug
croatia
partner_role
ORIGIN
value_tonnes
0
baseline_months
12
observation_date
2022-02-01
series_source_ids
["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
baseline_mean_tonnes
147337.75
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no cut-off
min_baseline_months
6
baseline_months_used
12
supply_reduction_pct
-10
supply_baseline_months
12
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
tonnes
month
2022-02
country
Croatia
change_pct
-100
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
country_iso2
HR
country_name
Croatia
country_slug
croatia
partner_role
ORIGIN
value_tonnes
0
baseline_months
12
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-02-01
series_source_ids
["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
baseline_mean_tonnes
147337.75
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.supply.reduction v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 029c6fd35691b588cfa82b88754bb15c1f6f828f47141e81963411e57d96034c · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Frar 2022: l-istokkijiet taż-żejt (il-Kroazja) kienu 17.2% aktar baxxi meta mqabbla mal-medja mobbli tagħhom (xhur: 12), jiem ta’ kopertura: 99.0 (kif ippubblikati).
pajjiż: il-KroazjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
tonnes
month
2022-02
status
OBSERVED
country
Croatia
direction
below
siec_code
O4000
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
holder_type
STK_CL
series_code
INVENTORY_HR
country_iso2
HR
country_name
Croatia
country_slug
croatia
days_of_cover
99
metric_status
COMPUTED
mom_change_pct
1.3455550482918122
observation_date
2022-02-01
series_source_ids
["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
total_stock_tonnes
1112157
days_of_cover_basis
as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
observation_gap_days
23
trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
1343263.8333333333
level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
-17.20487275830524
trailing_12m_observations
12
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no band
band_applied_to
the rounded figure printed in the sentence
days_of_cover_basis
as published (Eurostat nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); never stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
trailing_window_months
12
level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_raw
-17.20487275830524
level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_shown
-17.2
inventory_material_deviation_pct
5
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
tonnes
month
2022-02
status
OBSERVED
country
Croatia
direction
below
siec_code
O4000
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
holder_type
STK_CL
series_code
INVENTORY_HR
country_iso2
HR
country_name
Croatia
country_slug
croatia
days_of_cover
99
metric_status
COMPUTED
mom_change_pct
1.3455550482918122
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-02-01
series_source_ids
["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
total_stock_tonnes
1112157
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
days_of_cover_basis
as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
23
trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
1343263.8333333333
level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
-17.20487275830524
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
trailing_12m_observations
12
Mudell event.inventory_level.below v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 9ae5432ac27b1395213d275777d0d6a967143e2f9083fe59883d83402f2754d0 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Sommarju ta’ x’jista’ jiġi vverifikat hawn
Parti biss mill-katina tista’ tiġi vverifikata għal dan il-pajjiż (il-Kroazja) madwar l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”: serje disponibbli: 4 minn 8 (prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdum, stokkijiet, prezz fil-pompa mingħajr taxxi u prezz fil-pompa bit-taxxi); mhux disponibbli: prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinati, marġni tar-raffinar, noli u prezzijiet bl-ingrossa. Kull dikjarazzjoni bbażata fuq ir-rabtiet neqsin ma tistax tiġi ttestjata hawn. Din il-paġna tiddeskrivi x’għamlet kull serje madwar id-data tal-avveniment. Mhijiex sejba dwar kawża: l-ebda disinn kawżali mhu ppubblikat għal dan is-sit, u serje li ċċaqilqet fl-istess tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.
pajjiż: il-KroazjaMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
country
Croatia
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
country_iso2
HR
country_name
Croatia
country_slug
croatia
dependence_band
null
dependence_range
null
channels_available
["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
supply_template_id
event.supply.reduction
channels_unavailable
["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; the channel list is docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.3
channels_total
8
channels_available
4
verdict_partial_min_channels
3
verdict_assessable_min_channels
8
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
country
Croatia
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
country_iso2
HR
country_name
Croatia
country_slug
croatia
dependence_band
null
statement_topic
event
dependence_range
null
channels_available
["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
supply_template_id
event.supply.reduction
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
channels_unavailable
["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.verdict.partial v1.1 · Marka tal-identità a14d47f57f91f383d3011c2c471f69735dbb55bc9af50abc41acec0eb7bb706d · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’+13.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’3.2 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
115.36
status
OBSERVED
z_score
5.841150770454914
t0_value
101.29
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
13.890808569454036
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
7
series_code
BRENT
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-03-03
same_observation
false
volatility_units
3.203825480890899
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
14.069999999999993
change_pct_from_t0
13.890808569454036
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.335694516541323
change_in_volatility_units
3.203825480890899
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
115.36
status
OBSERVED
z_score
5.841150770454914
t0_value
101.29
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
13.890808569454036
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
BRENT
statement_topic
event
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-03-03
same_observation
false
volatility_units
3.203825480890899
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
14.069999999999993
change_pct_from_t0
13.890808569454036
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.335694516541323
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
3.203825480890899
Mudell event.benchmark_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 499e14f143cd15685ef1480ed3fa89cd45abe5f0647c7ec6a69249dfc87c1dd1 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’+21.1%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’4.9 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
122.67
status
OBSERVED
z_score
6.996054504576924
t0_value
101.29
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
21.107710534109977
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
30
series_code
BRENT
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-03-25
same_observation
false
volatility_units
4.868357411616733
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
21.379999999999995
change_pct_from_t0
21.107710534109977
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
4.335694516541323
change_in_volatility_units
4.868357411616733
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
122.67
status
OBSERVED
z_score
6.996054504576924
t0_value
101.29
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
21.107710534109977
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
BRENT
statement_topic
event
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-03-25
same_observation
false
volatility_units
4.868357411616733
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
21.379999999999995
change_pct_from_t0
21.107710534109977
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
4.335694516541323
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
4.868357411616733
Mudell event.benchmark_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 216049ee46b7aafc7c24ef4f74d592168c4ca36a76f9b7e30eb4f402126d0f04 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’+14.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’3.4 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
116.41
status
OBSERVED
z_score
6.007039815711837
t0_value
101.29
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
14.927436074637171
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
90
series_code
BRENT
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-05-25
same_observation
false
volatility_units
3.4429169346887267
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
15.11999999999999
change_pct_from_t0
14.927436074637171
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.335694516541323
change_in_volatility_units
3.4429169346887267
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
116.41
status
OBSERVED
z_score
6.007039815711837
t0_value
101.29
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
14.927436074637171
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
BRENT
statement_topic
event
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-05-25
same_observation
false
volatility_units
3.4429169346887267
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
15.11999999999999
change_pct_from_t0
14.927436074637171
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.335694516541323
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
3.4429169346887267
Mudell event.benchmark_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 3c4d928f0edacc86e86f81949df4a6221c6a157e987b0435ccf81af9f53e267c · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Noli – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: in-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["freight rates"]
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
Limiti
source
CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
true
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["freight rates"]
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
statement_topic
event
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 06b89c2e9e647323c15398c394cf050a39c9a42ef3b469967cce5fff091ed96a · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinati – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni. Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["refined-product benchmark"]
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
Limiti
source
CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
true
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["refined-product benchmark"]
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
statement_topic
event
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.1 · Marka tal-identità eacf068451f42ad71340259d5f692acb03bf66b7a7d6f730ade5a819ff7d1005 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Prezzijiet bl-ingrossa – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["wholesale prices"]
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
Limiti
source
CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
true
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["wholesale prices"]
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
statement_topic
event
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 0a8ec24923eb853f8772aa729f8ec775267350a63bc1d8e64f27facfb62978a7 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Marġni tar-raffinar – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: m’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["refining margin"]
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
reason_code
NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
Limiti
source
CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
true
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["refining margin"]
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
statement_topic
event
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 92e561b810be016411f6a7bbc96381cc8ebec1f6df6e0ae2fd7fc342f4dc1c9f · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

X’ma jurix dan

Ma jurix li l-avveniment kien fl-oriġini ta’ xi ħaġa. L-ebda disinn kawżali mhu ppubblikat għal dan is-sit, u serje li ċċaqilqet f’din it-tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.
Bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza, u lanqas punteġġ z ma hu. Ikejlu affarijiet differenti u mhumiex interkambjabbli.
Il-kanali mingħajr sors b’liċenzja għall-użu jew diġà mtella’ jintwerew bħala pannelli vojta, mhux bħala linji ċatti. “Ma nistgħux naraw dan” ma jfissirx “dan ma ċċaqlaqx”.
Xejn ma jiġi interpolat. Fejn diversi punti tat-tieqa jaqgħu fuq ċifra ppubblikata waħda, dak hu li stampa l-pubblikatur, u l-bidla meta mqabbla mad-data tal-avveniment hija żero: huwa l-istess numru.

Il-Kroazja: provvista, raffineriji u prezzijiet fil-pompa →

Kif jinqraw it-tikketti

UffiċjaliIrrappurtat direttament minn awtorità uffiċjali.
IvverifikatIrrappurtat minn parti terza u vverifikat minna ma’ rekord primarju.
IkkalkulatIkkalkulat minna minn inputs irrappurtati. Il-metodu huwa ppubblikat fil-paġna tal-metodoloġija.
Inferit · kunfidenza għoljaMhux irrappurtat. Inferit minn mill-inqas żewġ rekords fiżiċi indipendenti.
Inferit · kunfidenza medjaMhux irrappurtat. Inferit minn evidenza indiretta qawwija, mingħajr konferma espliċita.
Inferit · kunfidenza baxxaMhux irrappurtat. Plawżibbli biss minn data dwar l-infrastruttura jew il-movimenti. Taqrahx bħala fatt.
Mhux magħrufL-ebda evidenza pubblika difendibbli ma tistabbilixxi dan. Ma nagħmlux suppożizzjonijiet, u dan mhuwiex kejl ta’ żero.

Europe Brent spot FOB

reported crude oil imports, all origins

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE

esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1

esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2

esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Mhux disponibbli: imblukkat mil-liċenzja

nol tat-tankers “dirty” mill-Golf Għarbi lejn il-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

L-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”: huwa tassew ir-raġuni?

X’għamel il-prezz fil-pompa madwar din id-data

Attwali kontra ż-żejt mhux maħdum biss: il-Kroazja, petrol (Euro-super 95)

X’jappoġġaw in-numri, sentenza b’sentenza

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