L-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)

Dati: 24/02/2022 → l-ebda data tat-tmiem irreġistrata
Preċiżjoni tad-data: jum
Status: Għadu għaddej
Ambitu: L-Ukrajna

X’qalu s-sorsi (bl-Ingliż)

European Council, special meeting of 24 February 2022, document EUCO 18/22: "European Council conclusions on Russia's unprovoked and unjustified military aggression against Ukraine"; "The European Council condemns in the strongest possible terms the Russian Federation's unprovoked and unjustified military aggression against Ukraine." The conclusions are dated and headed 24 February 2022, which is the date recorded here. This row is a timeline marker only; it makes no statement about prices.

L-AIE, l-EIA, il-Kummissjoni Ewropea, il-Kunsill Ewropew u leġiżlaturi nazzjonali (iċċitati għal kull ringiela)Uffiċjali

Miġbur 23/09/2026 07:22 UTCReviżjoni 1

Dokumenti tas-sors (2)

PajjiżIl-Ġermanja Franza In-Netherlands Il-Polonja Il-Finlandja L-Estonja L-Awstrija Il-Belġju Il-Bulgarija Il-Kroazja Ċipru Iċ-Ċekja Id-Danimarka Il-Greċja L-Ungerija L-Irlanda L-Italja Il-Latvja Il-Litwanja Il-Lussemburgu Malta Il-Portugall Ir-Rumanija Is-Slovakkja Is-Slovenja Spanja L-Iżvezja

KarburantDiżil (żejt tal-gass għall-vetturi)Petrol (Euro-super 95)Iż-żewġ karburanti

Jekk tagħżel karburant, jinżammu s-serje ta’ dak il-karburant u l-kanali komuni għall-karburanti kollha – il-prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdum, ir-rata tal-kambju, l-importazzjonijiet taż-żejt mhux maħdum u l-esponiment għal Hormuz. Jitneħħew biss is-serje tal-karburant l-ieħor.

It-tieqa tal-avveniment

Kemm kienet tiswa kull serje fil-jiem madwar id-data tal-avveniment (minn -30 sa 90), kemm dan hu ’l bogħod mil-livell tal-istess serje fid-data tal-avveniment, u kemm hu kbir dak iċ-ċaqliq meta mqabbel mal-varjazzjoni normali tas-serje stess.

In-Netherlands, il-karburanti kollha f’dan il-kalkolu. Serje li jistgħu jitpinġew: 18; serje li ma jistgħu jidhru bl-ebda mod, murija hawn taħt bħala pannelli vojta b’tikketta: 11.

Qari ppubblikat: 216; punti tat-tieqa mingħajr xejn ippubblikat fi żmien perjodu wieħed: 18; punti tat-tieqa fuq serje li ma nistgħu naraw xejn minnhom: 143. Kollha jidhru f’din il-paġna.

Europe Brent spot FOB

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatUffiċjali

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Europe Brent spot FOB): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-25	89.49	-11.800	-11.65%	-2.69
−14	2022-02-10	96.37	-4.920	-4.86%	-1.12
−7	2022-02-17	95.28	-6.010	-5.93%	-1.37
−3	2022-02-21	98.95	-2.340	-2.31%	-0.53
−1	2022-02-23	99.29	-2.000	-1.97%	-0.46
T0	2022-02-24l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	101.3	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-25	98.56	-2.730	-2.70%	-0.62
+3	2022-02-25	98.56	-2.730	-2.70%	-0.62
+7	2022-03-03	115.4	+14.070	+13.89%	+3.20
+14	2022-03-10	114.5	+13.250	+13.08%	+3.02
+30	2022-03-25	122.7	+21.380	+21.11%	+4.87
+60	2022-04-25	99.27	-2.020	-1.99%	-0.46
+90	2022-05-25	116.4	+15.120	+14.93%	+3.44

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 4.34%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 767). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

reported crude oil imports, all origins

Unità: tIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (reported crude oil imports, all origins): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-01	4,523,275	-24,006	-0.53%	-0.04
−14	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	4,547,281	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−7	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	4,547,281	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−3	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	4,547,281	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	4,547,281	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	4,547,281	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	4,547,281	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	4,547,281	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-03-01	3,912,314	-634,967	-13.96%	-1.16
+14	2022-03-01	3,912,314	-634,967	-13.96%	-1.16
+30	2022-03-01	3,912,314	-634,967	-13.96%	-1.16
+60	2022-04-01	4,513,103	-34,178	-0.75%	-0.06
+90	2022-05-01	4,159,026	-388,255	-8.54%	-0.71

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 12.04%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 35). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE

Unità: USD għal kull EURIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatUffiċjali

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-25	1.127	+0.011	+0.94%	+2.37
−14	2022-02-10	1.144	+0.028	+2.47%	+6.23
−7	2022-02-17	1.137	+0.021	+1.85%	+4.67
−3	2022-02-21	1.134	+0.017	+1.57%	+3.95
−1	2022-02-23	1.134	+0.018	+1.62%	+4.09
T0	2022-02-24l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.116	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-25	1.122	+0.005	+0.47%	+1.20
+3	2022-02-25	1.122	+0.005	+0.47%	+1.20
+7	2022-03-03	1.108	-0.009	-0.78%	-1.96
+14	2022-03-10	1.108	-0.008	-0.71%	-1.78
+30	2022-03-25	1.100	-0.016	-1.44%	-3.64
+60	2022-04-25	1.075	-0.042	-3.74%	-9.42
+90	2022-05-25	1.066	-0.051	-4.54%	-11.45

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 0.40%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 770). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1

Unità: % tat-tunnellati importatiIppubblikat: kull xaharMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-01	1.164–9.009	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−14	2022-02-01	8.941–14.03	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−7	2022-02-01	8.941–14.03	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−3	2022-02-01	8.941–14.03	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−1	2022-02-01	8.941–14.03	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
T0	2022-02-01	8.941–14.03	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+1	2022-02-01	8.941–14.03	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+3	2022-02-01	8.941–14.03	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+7	2022-03-01	3.307–14.63	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+14	2022-03-01	3.307–14.63	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+30	2022-03-01	3.307–14.63	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+60	2022-04-01	0–11.97	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+90	2022-05-01	6.146–17.43	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2

Unità: % tat-tunnellati importatiIppubblikat: kull xaharMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-01	4.165–10.50	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−14	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.6221	0.000	0.00%	mhux ippubblikat
−7	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.6221	0.000	0.00%	mhux ippubblikat
−3	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.6221	0.000	0.00%	mhux ippubblikat
−1	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.6221	0.000	0.00%	mhux ippubblikat
T0	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.6221	0.000	0.00%	mhux ippubblikat
+1	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.6221	0.000	0.00%	mhux ippubblikat
+3	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.6221	0.000	0.00%	mhux ippubblikat
+7	2022-03-01	2.982–4.308	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+14	2022-03-01	2.982–4.308	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+30	2022-03-01	2.982–4.308	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+60	2022-04-01	1.441	+0.819	+131.63%	mhux ippubblikat
+90	2022-05-01	2.328–4.317	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma

Unità: kopertura (jiem)Ippubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-01	98.00	+2.000	+2.08%	+0.23
−14	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	96.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−7	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	96.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−3	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	96.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	96.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	96.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	96.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	96.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-03-01	93.00	-3.000	-3.13%	-0.34
+14	2022-03-01	93.00	-3.000	-3.13%	-0.34
+30	2022-03-01	93.00	-3.000	-3.13%	-0.34
+60	2022-04-01	90.00	-6.000	-6.25%	-0.68
+90	2022-05-01	89.00	-7.000	-7.29%	-0.79

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 9.21%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 35). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-24	0.5049	-0.049	-8.88%	-1.15
−14	2022-02-07	0.5307	-0.023	-4.22%	-0.55
−7	2022-02-14	0.5419	-0.012	-2.19%	-0.29
−3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.5541	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.5541	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.5541	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.5541	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.5541	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-02-28	0.6491	+0.095	+17.15%	+2.23
+14	2022-03-07	0.7014	+0.147	+26.58%	+3.45
+30	2022-03-21	0.7064	+0.152	+27.49%	+3.57
+60	2022-04-25	0.6165	+0.062	+11.26%	+1.46
+90	2022-05-23	0.6922	+0.138	+24.93%	+3.24

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 7.69%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-24	0.5049	-0.049	-8.88%	-1.15
−14	2022-02-07	0.5307	-0.023	-4.22%	-0.55
−7	2022-02-14	0.5419	-0.012	-2.19%	-0.29
−3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.5541	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.5541	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.5541	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.5541	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.5541	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-02-28	0.6491	+0.095	+17.15%	+2.23
+14	2022-03-07	0.7014	+0.147	+26.58%	+3.45
+30	2022-03-21	0.7064	+0.152	+27.49%	+3.57
+60	2022-04-25	0.6165	+0.062	+11.26%	+1.46
+90	2022-05-23	0.6922	+0.138	+24.93%	+3.24

stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom

Unità: tIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali

Tabella tat-tieqa (stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-01	10,561,524	-1,492,679	-12.38%	-1.86
−14	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	12,054,203	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−7	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	12,054,203	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−3	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	12,054,203	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	12,054,203	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	12,054,203	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	12,054,203	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	12,054,203	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-03-01	12,067,815	+13,612	+0.11%	+0.02
+14	2022-03-01	12,067,815	+13,612	+0.11%	+0.02
+30	2022-03-01	12,067,815	+13,612	+0.11%	+0.02
+60	2022-04-01	12,618,296	+564,093	+4.68%	+0.70
+90	2022-05-01	11,721,460	-332,743	-2.76%	-0.41

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 6.67%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 35). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-24	1.698	-0.048	-2.75%	-2.20
−14	2022-02-07	1.729	-0.017	-0.97%	-0.78
−7	2022-02-14	1.748	+0.002	+0.11%	+0.09
−3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.746	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.746	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.746	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.746	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.746	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-02-28	1.788	+0.042	+2.41%	+1.92
+14	2022-03-07	1.972	+0.226	+12.94%	+10.36
+30	2022-03-21	2.152	+0.406	+23.25%	+18.61
+60	2022-04-25	1.997	+0.251	+14.38%	+11.50
+90	2022-05-23	1.954	+0.208	+11.91%	+9.53

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.25%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-24	2.002	-0.053	-2.58%	-2.40
−14	2022-02-07	2.028	-0.027	-1.31%	-1.22
−7	2022-02-14	2.048	-0.007	-0.34%	-0.32
−3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	2.055	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	2.055	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	2.055	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	2.055	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	2.055	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-02-28	2.099	+0.044	+2.14%	+1.99
+14	2022-03-07	2.236	+0.181	+8.81%	+8.19
+30	2022-03-21	2.288	+0.233	+11.34%	+10.54
+60	2022-04-25	2.088	+0.033	+1.61%	+1.49
+90	2022-05-23	2.225	+0.170	+8.27%	+7.69

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.08%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-24	0.8669	-0.040	-4.38%	-1.95
−14	2022-02-07	0.8925	-0.014	-1.55%	-0.69
−7	2022-02-14	0.9082	+0.002	+0.18%	+0.08
−3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.9065	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.9065	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.9065	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.9065	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.9065	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-02-28	0.9412	+0.035	+3.83%	+1.71
+14	2022-03-07	1.093	+0.187	+20.60%	+9.19
+30	2022-03-21	1.242	+0.336	+37.01%	+16.51
+60	2022-04-25	1.225	+0.318	+35.13%	+15.67
+90	2022-05-23	1.189	+0.283	+31.21%	+13.92

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 2.24%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-24	0.8228	-0.044	-5.05%	-1.97
−14	2022-02-07	0.8443	-0.022	-2.58%	-1.00
−7	2022-02-14	0.8609	-0.006	-0.67%	-0.26
−3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.8666	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.8666	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.8666	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.8666	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.8666	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-02-28	0.9030	+0.036	+4.20%	+1.64
+14	2022-03-07	1.016	+0.150	+17.26%	+6.73
+30	2022-03-21	1.059	+0.193	+22.22%	+8.67
+60	2022-04-25	1.067	+0.200	+23.11%	+9.01
+90	2022-05-23	1.180	+0.313	+36.17%	+14.11

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 2.56%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

Tabella tat-tieqa (total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-24	0.8312	-0.008	-0.99%	-1.93
−14	2022-02-07	0.8365	-0.003	-0.35%	-0.68
−7	2022-02-14	0.8398	+0.000	+0.04%	+0.08
−3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.8395	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.8395	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.8395	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.8395	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.8395	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-02-28	0.8468	+0.007	+0.87%	+1.68
+14	2022-03-07	0.8787	+0.039	+4.67%	+9.07
+30	2022-03-21	0.9100	+0.070	+8.39%	+16.29
+60	2022-04-25	0.7721	-0.067	-8.03%	-15.59
+90	2022-05-23	0.7646	-0.075	-8.92%	-17.31

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 0.52%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

Tabella tat-tieqa (total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-24	1.179	-0.009	-0.77%	-2.14
−14	2022-02-07	1.184	-0.005	-0.39%	-1.09
−7	2022-02-14	1.187	-0.001	-0.10%	-0.28
−3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.188	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.188	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.188	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.188	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.188	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-02-28	1.196	+0.008	+0.64%	+1.78
+14	2022-03-07	1.220	+0.031	+2.64%	+7.32
+30	2022-03-21	1.229	+0.040	+3.40%	+9.42
+60	2022-04-25	1.021	-0.167	-14.08%	-38.97
+90	2022-05-23	1.045	-0.143	-12.07%	-33.43

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 0.36%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-25	22.61	+1.846	+8.89%	+1.05
−14	2022-02-10	25.09	+4.332	+20.87%	+2.47
−7	2022-02-17	23.41	+2.650	+12.76%	+1.51
−3	2022-02-18	21.50	+0.742	+3.57%	+0.42
−1	2022-02-23	20.03	-0.730	-3.52%	-0.42
T0	2022-02-24l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	20.76	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-25	22.06	+1.302	+6.27%	+0.74
+3	2022-02-25	22.06	+1.302	+6.27%	+0.74
+7	2022-03-03	37.39	+16.632	+80.11%	+9.48
+14	2022-03-10	30.44	+9.682	+46.63%	+5.52
+30	2022-03-25	55.41	+34.648	+166.88%	+19.75
+60	2022-04-25	80.15	+59.392	+286.06%	+33.85
+90	2022-05-25	54.28	+33.516	+161.43%	+19.10

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 8.45%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 751). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-25	15.43	-1.934	-11.14%	-0.06
−14	2022-02-10	17.95	+0.594	+3.42%	+0.02
−7	2022-02-17	18.67	+1.306	+7.52%	+0.04
−3	2022-02-18	19.03	+1.666	+9.60%	+0.05
−1	2022-02-23	17.39	+0.026	+0.15%	+0.00
T0	2022-02-24l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	17.36	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-25	18.28	+0.924	+5.32%	+0.03
+3	2022-02-25	18.28	+0.924	+5.32%	+0.03
+7	2022-03-03	18.33	+0.966	+5.56%	+0.03
+14	2022-03-10	13.10	-4.262	-24.55%	-0.14
+30	2022-03-25	16.69	-0.674	-3.88%	-0.02
+60	2022-04-25	36.43	+19.072	+109.86%	+0.61
+90	2022-05-25	47.31	+29.946	+172.50%	+0.95

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 180.80%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 751). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-25	13.79	+0.796	+6.13%	+0.04
−14	2022-02-10	16.48	+3.492	+26.88%	+0.15
−7	2022-02-17	13.25	+0.256	+1.97%	+0.01
−3	2022-02-18	12.98	-0.014	-0.11%	-0.00
−1	2022-02-23	12.89	-0.100	-0.77%	-0.00
T0	2022-02-24l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	12.99	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-25	14.50	+1.512	+11.64%	+0.07
+3	2022-02-25	14.50	+1.512	+11.64%	+0.07
+7	2022-03-03	23.95	+10.962	+84.38%	+0.48
+14	2022-03-10	16.37	+3.382	+26.03%	+0.15
+30	2022-03-25	37.98	+24.988	+192.33%	+1.10
+60	2022-04-25	78.26	+65.272	+502.40%	+2.88
+90	2022-05-25	40.71	+27.720	+213.36%	+1.22

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 174.63%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 751). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Mhux disponibbli: imblukkat mil-liċenzja

Jeżisti sors, iżda l-liċenzja tiegħu ma tippermettilniex nippubblikawh mill-ġdid. Dawn il-kanali mhumiex neqsin mid-dinja, iżda biss minn din il-paġna.

nol tat-tankers “dirty” mill-Golf Għarbi lejn il-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

In-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers (ringiela 17: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

Il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

M’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

Mhux disponibbli: raġuni mhux ikklassifikata

L-API ta kodiċi ta’ raġuni li din il-paġna ma tagħrafx. Is-sentenza tiegħu tintwera hawn taħt kif inhi.

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

La l-aktar tieqa riċenti ta’ tliet snin tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet u lanqas il-kampjun kollu m’għandhom stima IKKALKULATA għal dan il-pajjiż u karburant: m’hemm l-ebda reazzjoni mkejla għaż-żejt mhux maħdum x’tiġi proġettata. Ma jintuża l-ebda sostitut bħal trażmissjoni sħiħa.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

T0: 24/02/2022. Tieqa ta’ referenza: jiem -90 sa -31. Punti tat-tieqa kkalkulati: -30, -14, -7, -3, -1, 0, 1, 3, 7, 14, 30, 60, 90. Metodu: 1.0, kalkolu: event_study-1.0, ikkalkulat: 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC.

L-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”: huwa tassew ir-raġuni?

Il-mistoqsija tinqasam f’dimensjonijiet li jitkejlu separatament u qatt ma jingħaddu f’numru wieħed. Kull ringiela tgħid jekk nistgħux naraw dik id-dimensjoni, u tagħti ċifra ppubblikata waħda fejn nistgħu.

Mit-tmien kanali ta’ trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet li jirrapporta dan is-sit, kanali b’data f’dan il-kalkolu: 4 Ikkalkulat – għadd tar-ringieli ta’ hawn taħt, mhux kejl.

Metodoloġija §11.1 tippubblika l-limiti li jużaw is-sentenzi ta’ hawn taħt: it-tmien kanali kollha preżenti għall-paragun sħiħ, mill-inqas tlieta biex l-istqarrija tkun tista’ tiġi ttestjata hawn, u 2.0 unitajiet ta’ volatilità biex ċaqliq jiġi deskritt bħala barra mill-varjazzjoni normali ta’ serje. Dawn huma għażliet ta’ kliem ippubblikati, mhux testijiet statistiċi.

Dimensjonijiet tal-esponiment għall-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, kull waħda bl-istatus tagħha u ċifra ppubblikata waħda.
Dimensjoni	Status	Ċifra ppubblikata, jew għaliex m’hemmx
Esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum (D1)Sehem miż-żejt mhux maħdum importat li r-rotta tiegħu teħtieġ l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz.	Firxa biss	3.307–14.63 % tat-tunnellati importati punt tat-tieqa +30 d (2022-03) · l-ebda punt tan-nofs
Esponiment dirett tal-prodotti (D2)Sehem mill-prodotti raffinati importati li r-rotta tagħhom teħtieġ l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz.	Firxa biss	2.982–4.308 % tat-tunnellati importati punt tat-tieqa +30 d (2022-03) · l-ebda punt tan-nofs
Kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza (D7)Il-jiem ta’ kopertura li jammontaw għalihom il-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati. Riżerva kontra interruzzjoni tal-provvista, mhux sehem mill-importazzjonijiet, u mhux kanal tal-prezz.	Osservat	93.00 kopertura (jiem) punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-03-01)-3.13% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -0.34 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdumIl-prezz kwotat taż-żejt mhux maħdum li fuqu jiġu pprezzati t-tagħbijiet Ewropej.	Osservat	122.7 $ għal kull barmil punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-03-25)+21.11% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +4.87 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinatiIl-prezz kwotat tal-prodotti li fuqu jipprezzaw ir-raffineriji u l-bejjiegħa bl-ingrossa.	Mhux disponibbli	Il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.
Marġni tar-raffinarKemm qala’ r-raffinar ta’ barmil f’dan il-prodott.	Mhux disponibbli	M’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.
NoliKemm swiet il-ġarr tal-merkanzija bil-baħar.	Mhux disponibbli	In-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers (ringiela 17: BLOCKED).
StokkijietL-istokkijiet miżmuma, li jassorbu jew ikabbru bidla fil-provvista.	Osservat	12,067,815 t punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-03-01)+0.11% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +0.02 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezzijiet bl-ingrossaIl-prezz bejn il-bieb tar-raffinerija u l-pompa tal-petrol.	Mhux disponibbli	Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).
Prezz fil-pompa mingħajr taxxiIl-prezz fil-pompa mingħajr id-dazju tas-sisa, il-VAT u taxxi oħra fuq il-karburant.	Osservat	1.242 € għal kull litru punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-03-21)+37.01% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +16.51 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz fil-pompa bit-taxxiDak li fil-fatt ħallas sewwieq.	Osservat	2.152 € għal kull litru punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-03-21)+23.25% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +18.61 unitajiet ta’ volatilità

L-esponiment fiżiku (l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz) u l-esponiment tal-prezz huma mistoqsijiet differenti. Pajjiż kważi mingħajr esponiment fiżiku dirett xorta jista’ jara l-prezz fil-pompa tiegħu jiċċaqlaq: iż-żejt mhux maħdum jiġi pprezzat fuq livell globali – u serje li ċċaqilqet f’din it-tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.

X’għamel il-prezz fil-pompa madwar din id-data

Il-paġna tal-qsim tal-prezz tista’ tiġi ffissata fuq il-ġimgħat madwar id-data tal-avveniment, biex iċ-ċaqliq fil-pompa jinqasam fit-taxxa, fl-ispiża tal-input u fil-parti li l-ispiża tal-input ma tkoprix.

Qsim tal-prezz (17/02/2022 – 26/03/2022) →

It-tieqa hija madwar id-data ppubblikata tal-avveniment (jiem qabel: 7; jiem wara: 30). Hija tieqa biex wieħed iħares, mhux dikjarazzjoni li l-avveniment kien fl-oriġini ta’ dak li fiha.

Attwali kontra ż-żejt mhux maħdum biss: in-Netherlands, petrol (Euro-super 95)

X’għamel il-prezz mingħajr taxxi minn erba’ ġimgħat qabel sa tlettax-il ġimgħa wara l-ġimgħa tal-avveniment, ħdejn dak li kien jagħmel li kieku segwa biss l-ispiża tal-input taż-żejt mhux maħdum bil-pass li tkejjel l-istima maħżuna tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet. Id-differenza mdella mhix spjegata miż-żejt mhux maħdum; mhix attribwita lill-avveniment jew lil xi ħaġa oħra. L-ebda karburant mhu magħżul: jintwera l-petrol.

In-Netherlands, petrol (Euro-super 95): dak li kien jagħmel iż-żejt mhux maħdum waħdu huwa MHUX MAGĦRUF.

Ma tinġibed l-ebda linja: perkors mistenni mhux magħruf mhuwiex linja ċatta fuq iż-żero, u ma jintuża l-ebda sostitut bħal trażmissjoni sħiħa.

X’kienu jagħmlu l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom lill-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, in-Netherlands) fil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”) huwa MHUX MAGĦRUF: La l-aktar tieqa riċenti ta’ tliet snin tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet u lanqas il-kampjun kollu m’għandhom stima IKKALKULATA għal dan il-pajjiż u karburant (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §4.5): m’hemm l-ebda reazzjoni mkejla għaż-żejt mhux maħdum x’tiġi proġettata. Ma jintuża l-ebda sostitut bħal trażmissjoni sħiħa (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.2).

X’jappoġġaw in-numri, sentenza b’sentenza

Kull sentenza ġejja minn mudell fiss, magħżul skont limiti ppubblikati. Iftaħ “Għaliex din is-sentenza” biex tara n-numri li għażluha. L-ebda parti minn dan it-test mhi miktuba minn mudell lingwistiku, u l-ebda parti minnu ma tattribwixxi kawża.

Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, in-Netherlands) inbidel b’+4.2%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.6 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: in-NetherlandsIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
0.903
status
OBSERVED
country
Netherlands
z_score
7.272371033069962
t0_value
0.86664
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
4.1955137081141025
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_NL_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
NL
country_name
Netherlands
country_slug
netherlands
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-02-28
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.6363818439215916
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.03636000000000006
change_pct_from_t0
4.1955137081141025
observation_gap_days
3
normal_volatility_pct
2.5638965157787057
change_in_volatility_units
1.6363818439215916
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
0.903
status
OBSERVED
country
Netherlands
z_score
7.272371033069962
t0_value
0.86664
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
4.1955137081141025
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_NL_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
NL
country_name
Netherlands
country_slug
netherlands
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-02-28
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.6363818439215916
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.03636000000000006
change_pct_from_t0
4.1955137081141025
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
3
normal_volatility_pct
2.5638965157787057
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
1.6363818439215916
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 6a4abb7c497e48542721485c49a976b3e020d7bb775da3abdd620c6e38798fc7 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, in-Netherlands) inbidel b’+22.2%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’8.7 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: in-NetherlandsIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.0592000000000001
status
OBSERVED
country
Netherlands
z_score
19.841777031665
t0_value
0.86664
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
22.21914520446785
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_NL_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
NL
country_name
Netherlands
country_slug
netherlands
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-03-21
same_observation
false
volatility_units
8.66616303260565
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.19256000000000018
change_pct_from_t0
22.21914520446785
observation_gap_days
5
normal_volatility_pct
2.5638965157787057
change_in_volatility_units
8.66616303260565
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.0592000000000001
status
OBSERVED
country
Netherlands
z_score
19.841777031665
t0_value
0.86664
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
22.21914520446785
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_NL_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
NL
country_name
Netherlands
country_slug
netherlands
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-03-21
same_observation
false
volatility_units
8.66616303260565
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.19256000000000018
change_pct_from_t0
22.21914520446785
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
5
normal_volatility_pct
2.5638965157787057
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
8.66616303260565
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 8ec64151cd36d48825aafae8c6d3f871bcd19ba7a4f180c5456a2ac027e2c61c · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, in-Netherlands) inbidel b’+36.2%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’14.1 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: in-NetherlandsIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.1801300000000001
status
OBSERVED
country
Netherlands
z_score
29.57300793697932
t0_value
0.86664
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
36.173036093418276
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_NL_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
NL
country_name
Netherlands
country_slug
netherlands
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-05-23
same_observation
false
volatility_units
14.108617828684796
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.31349000000000016
change_pct_from_t0
36.173036093418276
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
2.5638965157787057
change_in_volatility_units
14.108617828684796
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.1801300000000001
status
OBSERVED
country
Netherlands
z_score
29.57300793697932
t0_value
0.86664
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
36.173036093418276
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_NL_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
NL
country_name
Netherlands
country_slug
netherlands
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-05-23
same_observation
false
volatility_units
14.108617828684796
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.31349000000000016
change_pct_from_t0
36.173036093418276
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
2.5638965157787057
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
14.108617828684796
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità aad37661ac3498541f2089cf14136f37bd87e5694801f739894a74e3dc2d1f9f · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, in-Netherlands) inbidel b’+2.1%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.0 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: in-NetherlandsIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
2.099
status
OBSERVED
country
Netherlands
z_score
7.945727954676041
t0_value
2.055
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
2.141119221411194
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_NL_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
NL
country_name
Netherlands
country_slug
netherlands
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-02-28
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.9910508329207635
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.04400000000000004
change_pct_from_t0
2.141119221411194
observation_gap_days
3
normal_volatility_pct
1.0753714500951683
change_in_volatility_units
1.9910508329207635
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
2.099
status
OBSERVED
country
Netherlands
z_score
7.945727954676041
t0_value
2.055
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
2.141119221411194
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_NL_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
NL
country_name
Netherlands
country_slug
netherlands
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-02-28
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.9910508329207635
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.04400000000000004
change_pct_from_t0
2.141119221411194
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
3
normal_volatility_pct
1.0753714500951683
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
1.9910508329207635
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 93b380d93cde93a45b20a7a7015fea9f0ee682a550b0eb609644963c0b1edc80 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, in-Netherlands) inbidel b’+11.3%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’10.5 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: in-NetherlandsIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
2.2880000000000003
status
OBSERVED
country
Netherlands
z_score
20.919745954103877
t0_value
2.055
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
11.338199513382
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_NL_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
NL
country_name
Netherlands
country_slug
netherlands
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-03-21
same_observation
false
volatility_units
10.54351918342131
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.2330000000000001
change_pct_from_t0
11.338199513382
observation_gap_days
5
normal_volatility_pct
1.0753714500951683
change_in_volatility_units
10.54351918342131
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
2.2880000000000003
status
OBSERVED
country
Netherlands
z_score
20.919745954103877
t0_value
2.055
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
11.338199513382
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_NL_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
NL
country_name
Netherlands
country_slug
netherlands
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-03-21
same_observation
false
volatility_units
10.54351918342131
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.2330000000000001
change_pct_from_t0
11.338199513382
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
5
normal_volatility_pct
1.0753714500951683
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
10.54351918342131
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 938c6599f7dc3353ab73fe88f14e1d1ea1425b7902f7f2dfdf40232bd9b51167 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, in-Netherlands) inbidel b’+8.3%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’7.7 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: in-NetherlandsIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
2.225
status
OBSERVED
country
Netherlands
z_score
16.595073287627923
t0_value
2.055
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
8.272506082725057
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_NL_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
NL
country_name
Netherlands
country_slug
netherlands
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-05-23
same_observation
false
volatility_units
7.692696399921121
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.16999999999999993
change_pct_from_t0
8.272506082725057
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
1.0753714500951683
change_in_volatility_units
7.692696399921121
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
2.225
status
OBSERVED
country
Netherlands
z_score
16.595073287627923
t0_value
2.055
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
8.272506082725057
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_NL_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
NL
country_name
Netherlands
country_slug
netherlands
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-05-23
same_observation
false
volatility_units
7.692696399921121
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.16999999999999993
change_pct_from_t0
8.272506082725057
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
1.0753714500951683
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
7.692696399921121
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità a2aeae8356b679212ff06dbac5eac6ec173b020096c45edef0e6656a333ce9b0 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, in-Netherlands) inbidel b’+3.8%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.7 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: in-NetherlandsIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
0.94123
status
OBSERVED
country
Netherlands
z_score
4.757933893840286
t0_value
0.90652
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
3.8289282089749834
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_NL_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
NL
country_name
Netherlands
country_slug
netherlands
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-02-28
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.708424069278938
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.03471000000000002
change_pct_from_t0
3.8289282089749834
observation_gap_days
3
normal_volatility_pct
2.241204790910626
change_in_volatility_units
1.708424069278938
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
0.94123
status
OBSERVED
country
Netherlands
z_score
4.757933893840286
t0_value
0.90652
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
3.8289282089749834
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_NL_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
NL
country_name
Netherlands
country_slug
netherlands
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-02-28
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.708424069278938
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.03471000000000002
change_pct_from_t0
3.8289282089749834
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
3
normal_volatility_pct
2.241204790910626
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
1.708424069278938
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 10d70e728d292732f4a9d75b085d72415387888c07ee79acbbdc463080e05bcb · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, in-Netherlands) inbidel b’+37.0%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’16.5 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: in-NetherlandsIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.2420499999999999
status
OBSERVED
country
Netherlands
z_score
16.32057616830839
t0_value
0.90652
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
37.01297268675814
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_NL_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
NL
country_name
Netherlands
country_slug
netherlands
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-03-21
same_observation
false
volatility_units
16.51476600302972
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.3355299999999999
change_pct_from_t0
37.01297268675814
observation_gap_days
5
normal_volatility_pct
2.241204790910626
change_in_volatility_units
16.51476600302972
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.2420499999999999
status
OBSERVED
country
Netherlands
z_score
16.32057616830839
t0_value
0.90652
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
37.01297268675814
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_NL_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
NL
country_name
Netherlands
country_slug
netherlands
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-03-21
same_observation
false
volatility_units
16.51476600302972
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.3355299999999999
change_pct_from_t0
37.01297268675814
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
5
normal_volatility_pct
2.241204790910626
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
16.51476600302972
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 3b62ce2b8b1110890cfd2c74b0c90903cef13b921e67263e31f067d2704fdabc · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, in-Netherlands) inbidel b’+31.2%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’13.9 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: in-NetherlandsIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.1894200000000001
status
OBSERVED
country
Netherlands
z_score
14.297632670850595
t0_value
0.90652
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
31.207254114636207
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_NL_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
NL
country_name
Netherlands
country_slug
netherlands
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-05-23
same_observation
false
volatility_units
13.924320633794629
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.28290000000000015
change_pct_from_t0
31.207254114636207
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
2.241204790910626
change_in_volatility_units
13.924320633794629
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.1894200000000001
status
OBSERVED
country
Netherlands
z_score
14.297632670850595
t0_value
0.90652
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
31.207254114636207
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_NL_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
NL
country_name
Netherlands
country_slug
netherlands
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-05-23
same_observation
false
volatility_units
13.924320633794629
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.28290000000000015
change_pct_from_t0
31.207254114636207
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
2.241204790910626
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
13.924320633794629
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità d060ecf5b4a17740be0300abbceafccb13549a3110b38555d1d29a734813e20d · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, in-Netherlands) inbidel b’+2.4%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.9 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: in-NetherlandsIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.788
status
OBSERVED
country
Netherlands
z_score
4.4635950433516784
t0_value
1.746
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
2.4054982817869437
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_NL_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
NL
country_name
Netherlands
country_slug
netherlands
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-02-28
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.9249622152534438
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.04200000000000004
change_pct_from_t0
2.4054982817869437
observation_gap_days
3
normal_volatility_pct
1.24963402539838
change_in_volatility_units
1.9249622152534438
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.788
status
OBSERVED
country
Netherlands
z_score
4.4635950433516784
t0_value
1.746
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
2.4054982817869437
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_NL_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
NL
country_name
Netherlands
country_slug
netherlands
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-02-28
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.9249622152534438
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.04200000000000004
change_pct_from_t0
2.4054982817869437
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
3
normal_volatility_pct
1.24963402539838
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
1.9249622152534438
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità d557d01ff7817d4221de3aea6bc111e5f2a30b9d56676dca1b96e73c186dd713 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, in-Netherlands) inbidel b’+23.3%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’18.6 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: in-NetherlandsIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
2.152
status
OBSERVED
country
Netherlands
z_score
15.022481124781486
t0_value
1.746
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
23.25315005727378
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_NL_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
NL
country_name
Netherlands
country_slug
netherlands
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-03-21
same_observation
false
volatility_units
18.60796808078328
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.40600000000000014
change_pct_from_t0
23.25315005727378
observation_gap_days
5
normal_volatility_pct
1.24963402539838
change_in_volatility_units
18.60796808078328
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
2.152
status
OBSERVED
country
Netherlands
z_score
15.022481124781486
t0_value
1.746
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
23.25315005727378
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_NL_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
NL
country_name
Netherlands
country_slug
netherlands
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-03-21
same_observation
false
volatility_units
18.60796808078328
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.40600000000000014
change_pct_from_t0
23.25315005727378
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
5
normal_volatility_pct
1.24963402539838
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
18.60796808078328
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità d163203750d6b67d34f570bbb1f2d878bb0045358fe1cda665168f7eb44d076e · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, in-Netherlands) inbidel b’+11.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’9.5 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: in-NetherlandsIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.954
status
OBSERVED
country
Netherlands
z_score
9.27891122334439
t0_value
1.746
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
11.912943871706757
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_NL_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
NL
country_name
Netherlands
country_slug
netherlands
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-05-23
same_observation
false
volatility_units
9.533146208874188
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.20799999999999996
change_pct_from_t0
11.912943871706757
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
1.24963402539838
change_in_volatility_units
9.533146208874188
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.954
status
OBSERVED
country
Netherlands
z_score
9.27891122334439
t0_value
1.746
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
11.912943871706757
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_NL_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
NL
country_name
Netherlands
country_slug
netherlands
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-05-23
same_observation
false
volatility_units
9.533146208874188
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.20799999999999996
change_pct_from_t0
11.912943871706757
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
1.24963402539838
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
9.533146208874188
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 19b524c6d32dcd3d51672744f382ca63fcf0c9c6be045f898a3d858cf7291300 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
X’kienu jagħmlu l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom lill-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, in-Netherlands) fil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”) huwa MHUX MAGĦRUF: La l-aktar tieqa riċenti ta’ tliet snin tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet u lanqas il-kampjun kollu m’għandhom stima IKKALKULATA għal dan il-pajjiż u karburant (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §4.5): m’hemm l-ebda reazzjoni mkejla għaż-żejt mhux maħdum x’tiġi proġettata. Ma jintuża l-ebda sostitut bħal trażmissjoni sħiħa (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.2).
pajjiż: in-NetherlandsMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
weeks
4
status
UNKNOWN
country
Netherlands
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
reason_code
NO_COMPUTED_PASS_THROUGH_ESTIMATE
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_NL_EURO_SUPER_95
country_iso2
NL
country_name
Netherlands
country_slug
netherlands
proxy_product
null
gap_eur_per_litre
null
actual_eur_per_litre
null
expected_eur_per_litre
null
proxy_volatility_units
null
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
null
pass_through_window_label
null
expected_low_eur_per_litre
null
expected_high_eur_per_litre
null
Limiti
source
docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
proxy_rule
the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
confidence_cap
MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
statement_weeks
[4,13]
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
weeks
4
status
UNKNOWN
country
Netherlands
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_COMPUTED_PASS_THROUGH_ESTIMATE
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_NL_EURO_SUPER_95
country_iso2
NL
country_name
Netherlands
country_slug
netherlands
proxy_product
null
statement_topic
event
gap_eur_per_litre
null
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
actual_eur_per_litre
null
expected_eur_per_litre
null
proxy_volatility_units
null
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
null
pass_through_window_label
null
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
expected_low_eur_per_litre
null
expected_high_eur_per_litre
null
Mudell event.crude_only.unknown v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 57b67f346a9ca37930627c20c42b03936bd63676d3e6a302f4d535eb00c32b28 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
X’kienu jagħmlu l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom lill-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, in-Netherlands) fil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”) huwa MHUX MAGĦRUF: La l-aktar tieqa riċenti ta’ tliet snin tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet u lanqas il-kampjun kollu m’għandhom stima IKKALKULATA għal dan il-pajjiż u karburant (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §4.5): m’hemm l-ebda reazzjoni mkejla għaż-żejt mhux maħdum x’tiġi proġettata. Ma jintuża l-ebda sostitut bħal trażmissjoni sħiħa (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.2).
pajjiż: in-NetherlandsMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
weeks
4
status
UNKNOWN
country
Netherlands
fuel_type
DIESEL
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
reason_code
NO_COMPUTED_PASS_THROUGH_ESTIMATE
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_NL_DIESEL
country_iso2
NL
country_name
Netherlands
country_slug
netherlands
proxy_product
null
gap_eur_per_litre
null
actual_eur_per_litre
null
expected_eur_per_litre
null
proxy_volatility_units
null
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
null
pass_through_window_label
null
expected_low_eur_per_litre
null
expected_high_eur_per_litre
null
Limiti
source
docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
proxy_rule
the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
confidence_cap
MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
statement_weeks
[4,13]
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
weeks
4
status
UNKNOWN
country
Netherlands
fuel_type
DIESEL
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_COMPUTED_PASS_THROUGH_ESTIMATE
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_NL_DIESEL
country_iso2
NL
country_name
Netherlands
country_slug
netherlands
proxy_product
null
statement_topic
event
gap_eur_per_litre
null
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
actual_eur_per_litre
null
expected_eur_per_litre
null
proxy_volatility_units
null
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
null
pass_through_window_label
null
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
expected_low_eur_per_litre
null
expected_high_eur_per_litre
null
Mudell event.crude_only.unknown v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 64f80cc0aae7c86baaf94d0492417e9182752a0cca3b7c5325e6437bbdeb9bad · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
In-Netherlands, Frar 2022: id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (żejt mhux maħdum) kienet moderata (9%–14%). Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: il-pajjiżi sħab ikkonċernati jesportaw kemm minn ġewwa kif ukoll minn barra l-Golf Persjan, u l-qsim għal kull perjodu mhux pubbliku.
pajjiż: in-NetherlandsIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
band
moderate
unit
% of imported tonnes
period
2022-02
status
NO_OBSERVATION
country
Netherlands
commodity
crude
dimension
DIRECT_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
country_iso2
NL
country_name
Netherlands
country_slug
netherlands
value_max_pct
14.0326801884467
value_min_pct
8.94082010766434
exposure_status
RANGE_ONLY
value_point_pct
null
observation_date
2022-02-01
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
band_applied_to
upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
dependence_limited_max_pct
10
dependence_moderate_max_pct
33
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
band
moderate
unit
% of imported tonnes
period
2022-02
status
NO_OBSERVATION
country
Netherlands
commodity
crude
dimension
DIRECT_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
country_iso2
NL
country_name
Netherlands
country_slug
netherlands
value_max_pct
14.0326801884467
value_min_pct
8.94082010766434
exposure_status
RANGE_ONLY
statement_topic
hormuz
value_point_pct
null
observation_date
2022-02-01
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.dependence.range v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 05776ab2fbd0e40d9282ebe572d89eebdaaa480027bac80b9bc7c4e9155fdd3e · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
In-Netherlands, Frar 2022: id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (prodott raffinat) kienet limitata (1%).
pajjiż: in-NetherlandsIkkalkulatBaxxa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
band
limited
unit
% of imported tonnes
period
2022-02
status
OBSERVED
country
Netherlands
commodity
refined product
dimension
DIRECT_PRODUCT
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
country_iso2
NL
country_name
Netherlands
country_slug
netherlands
value_max_pct
0.622129170712723
value_min_pct
0.622129170712723
exposure_status
COMPUTED
value_point_pct
0.622129170712723
observation_date
2022-02-01
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
band_applied_to
upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
dependence_limited_max_pct
10
dependence_moderate_max_pct
33
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
band
limited
unit
% of imported tonnes
period
2022-02
status
OBSERVED
country
Netherlands
commodity
refined product
dimension
DIRECT_PRODUCT
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
country_iso2
NL
country_name
Netherlands
country_slug
netherlands
value_max_pct
0.622129170712723
value_min_pct
0.622129170712723
exposure_status
COMPUTED
statement_topic
hormuz
value_point_pct
0.622129170712723
observation_date
2022-02-01
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.dependence.point v1.2 · Marka tal-identità cef8d0d8ff8706c5cc7a494cabfabb4316bcd35acb1217747104da8d6954fd62 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
L-evidenza disponibbli ma turix tnaqqis fiżiku fil-provvista: l-importazzjonijiet irrappurtati taż-żejt mhux maħdum (in-Netherlands, Frar 2022) meta mqabbla mal-medja tax-xhur ta’ qabel (12): +3.2%.
pajjiż: in-NetherlandsIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
tonnes
month
2022-02
country
Netherlands
change_pct
3.170163226575471
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
country_iso2
NL
country_name
Netherlands
country_slug
netherlands
value_tonnes
4547281
baseline_months
12
observation_date
2022-02-01
series_source_ids
["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
crude_imports_rule
crude_imports_total-1.1
baseline_mean_tonnes
4407554.333333333
baseline_window_months
12
value_not_published_code
null
baseline_not_published_months
0
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no cut-off
min_baseline_months
6
baseline_months_used
12
supply_reduction_pct
-10
supply_baseline_months
12
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
tonnes
month
2022-02
country
Netherlands
change_pct
3.170163226575471
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
country_iso2
NL
country_name
Netherlands
country_slug
netherlands
value_tonnes
4547281
baseline_months
12
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-02-01
series_source_ids
["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
crude_imports_rule
crude_imports_total-1.1
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
baseline_mean_tonnes
4407554.333333333
baseline_window_months
12
value_not_published_code
null
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
baseline_not_published_months
0
Mudell event.supply.no_reduction v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 2045dce3c058d9b9673d15b403055d7b9e130c5f5554c0876197dc591e225ecf · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Frar 2022: l-istokkijiet taż-żejt (in-Netherlands) kienu 3.2% aktar baxxi meta mqabbla mal-medja mobbli tagħhom (xhur: 12) — ġewwa l-faxxa ta’ 5% fuq kull naħa li dan is-sit jaqra bħala konformi magħha, jiem ta’ kopertura: 96.0 (kif ippubblikati).
pajjiż: in-NetherlandsIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
tonnes
month
2022-02
status
OBSERVED
country
Netherlands
direction
below
siec_code
O4000
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
holder_type
STK_CL
series_code
INVENTORY_NL
country_iso2
NL
country_name
Netherlands
country_slug
netherlands
days_of_cover
96
metric_status
COMPUTED
mom_change_pct
14.133178128459491
observation_date
2022-02-01
series_source_ids
["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
total_stock_tonnes
12054203
days_of_cover_basis
as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
observation_gap_days
23
trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
12454815.75
level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
-3.216528915732856
trailing_12m_observations
12
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no band
band_applied_to
the rounded figure printed in the sentence
days_of_cover_basis
as published (Eurostat nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); never stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
trailing_window_months
12
level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_raw
-3.216528915732856
level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_shown
-3.2
inventory_material_deviation_pct
5
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
tonnes
month
2022-02
status
OBSERVED
country
Netherlands
direction
below
siec_code
O4000
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
holder_type
STK_CL
series_code
INVENTORY_NL
country_iso2
NL
country_name
Netherlands
country_slug
netherlands
days_of_cover
96
metric_status
COMPUTED
mom_change_pct
14.133178128459491
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-02-01
series_source_ids
["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
total_stock_tonnes
12054203
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
days_of_cover_basis
as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
23
trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
12454815.75
level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
-3.216528915732856
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
trailing_12m_observations
12
Mudell event.inventory_level.in_line v1.2 · Marka tal-identità c15b30e83451cdf9ee1f8db4b44b77c48c39c30c2bafba35bf7202cbaacdcaa7 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Sommarju ta’ x’jista’ jiġi vverifikat hawn
Parti biss mill-katina tista’ tiġi vverifikata għal dan il-pajjiż (in-Netherlands) madwar l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”: serje disponibbli: 4 minn 8 (prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdum, stokkijiet, prezz fil-pompa mingħajr taxxi u prezz fil-pompa bit-taxxi); mhux disponibbli: prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinati, marġni tar-raffinar, noli u prezzijiet bl-ingrossa. Kull dikjarazzjoni bbażata fuq ir-rabtiet neqsin ma tistax tiġi ttestjata hawn. Id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (żejt mhux maħdum) kienet moderata (9–14%) matul il-perjodu kopert. Din il-paġna tiddeskrivi x’għamlet kull serje madwar id-data tal-avveniment. Mhijiex sejba dwar kawża: l-ebda disinn kawżali mhu ppubblikat għal dan is-sit, u serje li ċċaqilqet fl-istess tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.
pajjiż: in-NetherlandsMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
country
Netherlands
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
country_iso2
NL
country_name
Netherlands
country_slug
netherlands
dependence_band
moderate
dependence_range
9–14%
channels_available
["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
supply_template_id
event.supply.no_reduction
channels_unavailable
["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; the channel list is docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.3
channels_total
8
channels_available
4
verdict_partial_min_channels
3
verdict_assessable_min_channels
8
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
country
Netherlands
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
country_iso2
NL
country_name
Netherlands
country_slug
netherlands
dependence_band
moderate
statement_topic
event
dependence_range
9–14%
channels_available
["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
supply_template_id
event.supply.no_reduction
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
channels_unavailable
["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.verdict.partial v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 2905938fe8efab45aefa5b01e6f7c87627e6f6553debb3b731e969d03c39218f · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’+13.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’3.2 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
115.36
status
OBSERVED
z_score
5.841150770454914
t0_value
101.29
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
13.890808569454036
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
7
series_code
BRENT
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-03-03
same_observation
false
volatility_units
3.203825480890899
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
14.069999999999993
change_pct_from_t0
13.890808569454036
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.335694516541323
change_in_volatility_units
3.203825480890899
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
115.36
status
OBSERVED
z_score
5.841150770454914
t0_value
101.29
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
13.890808569454036
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
BRENT
statement_topic
event
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-03-03
same_observation
false
volatility_units
3.203825480890899
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
14.069999999999993
change_pct_from_t0
13.890808569454036
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.335694516541323
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
3.203825480890899
Mudell event.benchmark_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 499e14f143cd15685ef1480ed3fa89cd45abe5f0647c7ec6a69249dfc87c1dd1 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’+21.1%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’4.9 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
122.67
status
OBSERVED
z_score
6.996054504576924
t0_value
101.29
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
21.107710534109977
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
30
series_code
BRENT
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-03-25
same_observation
false
volatility_units
4.868357411616733
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
21.379999999999995
change_pct_from_t0
21.107710534109977
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
4.335694516541323
change_in_volatility_units
4.868357411616733
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
122.67
status
OBSERVED
z_score
6.996054504576924
t0_value
101.29
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
21.107710534109977
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
BRENT
statement_topic
event
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-03-25
same_observation
false
volatility_units
4.868357411616733
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
21.379999999999995
change_pct_from_t0
21.107710534109977
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
4.335694516541323
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
4.868357411616733
Mudell event.benchmark_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 216049ee46b7aafc7c24ef4f74d592168c4ca36a76f9b7e30eb4f402126d0f04 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’+14.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’3.4 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
116.41
status
OBSERVED
z_score
6.007039815711837
t0_value
101.29
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
14.927436074637171
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
90
series_code
BRENT
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-05-25
same_observation
false
volatility_units
3.4429169346887267
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
15.11999999999999
change_pct_from_t0
14.927436074637171
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.335694516541323
change_in_volatility_units
3.4429169346887267
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
116.41
status
OBSERVED
z_score
6.007039815711837
t0_value
101.29
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
14.927436074637171
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
BRENT
statement_topic
event
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-05-25
same_observation
false
volatility_units
3.4429169346887267
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
15.11999999999999
change_pct_from_t0
14.927436074637171
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.335694516541323
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
3.4429169346887267
Mudell event.benchmark_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 3c4d928f0edacc86e86f81949df4a6221c6a157e987b0435ccf81af9f53e267c · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Noli – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: in-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["freight rates"]
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
Limiti
source
CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
true
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["freight rates"]
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
statement_topic
event
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 06b89c2e9e647323c15398c394cf050a39c9a42ef3b469967cce5fff091ed96a · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinati – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni. Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["refined-product benchmark"]
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
Limiti
source
CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
true
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["refined-product benchmark"]
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
statement_topic
event
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità eacf068451f42ad71340259d5f692acb03bf66b7a7d6f730ade5a819ff7d1005 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Prezzijiet bl-ingrossa – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["wholesale prices"]
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
Limiti
source
CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
true
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["wholesale prices"]
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
statement_topic
event
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 0a8ec24923eb853f8772aa729f8ec775267350a63bc1d8e64f27facfb62978a7 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Marġni tar-raffinar – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: m’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["refining margin"]
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
reason_code
NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
Limiti
source
CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
true
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["refining margin"]
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
statement_topic
event
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 92e561b810be016411f6a7bbc96381cc8ebec1f6df6e0ae2fd7fc342f4dc1c9f · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

X’ma jurix dan

Ma jurix li l-avveniment kien fl-oriġini ta’ xi ħaġa. L-ebda disinn kawżali mhu ppubblikat għal dan is-sit, u serje li ċċaqilqet f’din it-tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.
Bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza, u lanqas punteġġ z ma hu. Ikejlu affarijiet differenti u mhumiex interkambjabbli.
Il-kanali mingħajr sors b’liċenzja għall-użu jew diġà mtella’ jintwerew bħala pannelli vojta, mhux bħala linji ċatti. “Ma nistgħux naraw dan” ma jfissirx “dan ma ċċaqlaqx”.
Xejn ma jiġi interpolat. Fejn diversi punti tat-tieqa jaqgħu fuq ċifra ppubblikata waħda, dak hu li stampa l-pubblikatur, u l-bidla meta mqabbla mad-data tal-avveniment hija żero: huwa l-istess numru.

In-Netherlands: provvista, raffineriji u prezzijiet fil-pompa →

Kif jinqraw it-tikketti

UffiċjaliIrrappurtat direttament minn awtorità uffiċjali.
IvverifikatIrrappurtat minn parti terza u vverifikat minna ma’ rekord primarju.
IkkalkulatIkkalkulat minna minn inputs irrappurtati. Il-metodu huwa ppubblikat fil-paġna tal-metodoloġija.
Inferit · kunfidenza għoljaMhux irrappurtat. Inferit minn mill-inqas żewġ rekords fiżiċi indipendenti.
Inferit · kunfidenza medjaMhux irrappurtat. Inferit minn evidenza indiretta qawwija, mingħajr konferma espliċita.
Inferit · kunfidenza baxxaMhux irrappurtat. Plawżibbli biss minn data dwar l-infrastruttura jew il-movimenti. Taqrahx bħala fatt.
Mhux magħrufL-ebda evidenza pubblika difendibbli ma tistabbilixxi dan. Ma nagħmlux suppożizzjonijiet, u dan mhuwiex kejl ta’ żero.

Europe Brent spot FOB

reported crude oil imports, all origins

rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE

esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1

esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2

esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Mhux disponibbli: imblukkat mil-liċenzja

nol tat-tankers “dirty” mill-Golf Għarbi lejn il-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

Mhux disponibbli: raġuni mhux ikklassifikata

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

L-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”: huwa tassew ir-raġuni?

X’għamel il-prezz fil-pompa madwar din id-data

Attwali kontra ż-żejt mhux maħdum biss: in-Netherlands, petrol (Euro-super 95)

X’jappoġġaw in-numri, sentenza b’sentenza

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