Fuel Origin

Ireland

Petrol, June 2026 — crude behind it: 43% United States · 7% Nigeria · 7% Azerbaijan · 28% cannot be traced. Up to 28% of that crude may have passed through the Strait of Hormuz.

Estimated
Source & method
Source
  • Eurostat (European Commission) — Imports of oil and petroleum products by partner country - monthly data
  • EIA, IEA and terminal operators (cited per row) — Fuel Origin Hormuz route classification and country bounds, methodology v1.0
Every source, with links and licences
Period
June 2026
Method
How this figure is made
  • Reported (solid)
  • Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
  • Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
  • Cannot be traced (hatched)
Assumptions
  1. 1

    Ireland: petrol available in June 2026

    Everything refined in the country plus everything imported.

  2. 2

    Where that fuel came from

    Ireland's refineries ran on (going by its crude imports, April–June 2026)

    The Netherlands' refineries ran on (going by its crude imports, April–June 2026)

    United Kingdom: crude origin not published.

  3. 3

    The crude behind Ireland's petrol

  • Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
  • Each country's refineries are assumed to run on its crude-import mix over the latest three months.
  • The chain looks back one country only. Imports are counted under the country the fuel was last shipped from; where that country has refineries, fuel that only passed through it is traced as if it had been refined there.
  • The crude origin is the producing country the statistics report, not the loading terminal, so the Hormuz answer is a range wherever a producer loads both inside and outside the Persian Gulf.

In June 2026, most petrol available in Ireland was refined in Ireland (52%), followed by the Netherlands (24%).

Ireland's refineries ran on crude from the United States (70%), Azerbaijan (13%) and Nigeria (13%), going by its crude imports in April–June 2026.

Taken together, an estimated 43% of the crude behind Ireland's petrol came from the United States, 7% from Nigeria and 7% from Azerbaijan; 28% cannot be traced.

The largest untraced part (23%) is there because we hold no crude import statistics for the United Kingdom.

Up to 28% of the crude behind Ireland's petrol is estimated to have passed through the Strait of Hormuz, a moderate dependence judged on the upper bound. No midpoint is published: crude that cannot be traced is counted as anything from none to all of it.

This is an estimate, not a reported figure: it assumes exports are drawn proportionally from every source and that each country's refineries run on its crude-import mix, and it looks back only one country.

Hormuz and the pump price in Ireland

Calculated
  • At most 28% of the crude behind Ireland's petrol in June 2026 could have passed through Hormuz.
  • Since 28 Feb 2026, petrol at the pump went +11.8%; Brent (in US dollars) went +61.5% (week of 23 Feb 2026 to week of 21 Sep 2026).
  • 45% of the petrol pump price is tax (week of 21 Sep 2026).

Is Hormuz really the reason? — the EU-wide picture →

Source & method
Source
  • Eurostat (European Commission) — Imports of oil and petroleum products by partner country - monthly data
  • EIA, IEA and terminal operators (cited per row) — Fuel Origin Hormuz route classification and country bounds, methodology v1.0
  • European Commission, Directorate-General for Energy (DG ENER) — Weekly Oil Bulletin - retail fuel prices with and without taxes
  • U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) — Europe Brent Spot Price FOB (petroleum spot prices)
Every source, with links and licences
Method
How this figure is made
  • Strait of Hormuz: the upper end of the headline’s estimate for June 2026, the same figure as in the sentence above; no new figure is made here.
  • Pump price: Weekly Oil Bulletin, petrol including tax, week of 23 Feb 2026 (€1.739 per litre) and week of 21 Sep 2026 (€1.945 per litre). Brent: EIA daily spot price, the first print dated in each of those weeks (23 Feb 2026: 71.9; 21 Sep 2026: 116.15; US dollars per barrel). Each change is worked out in the currency it is published in; no exchange rate is applied. The start week is the one containing the event date of Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026) (28 Feb 2026), the event the Strait of Hormuz page leads with; the end week is the latest week with both prices.
  • Tax share: the pump price split into tax and price before tax for the week of 21 Sep 2026 (Weekly Oil Bulletin prices and published tax rates), as on the pump price page.
  • The three figures are shown side by side, each on its own; no link between them is drawn here.

Go deeper for Ireland

Crude origins

Calculated

1 refinery — Whitegate Refinery (Irving Oil Whitegate Refinery Limited), 75,000 bpd.

In June 2026, two countries supplied all crude imports.

Share of crude imports by origin, to June 2026

3-month average of monthly shares, over the months with figures in each window
Jan 2025Jun 20260%25%50%75%100%Not publishedNot publishedNot publishedUnited States 70.1%Azerbaijan 12.3%Nigeria 17.6%
  • United States
  • Azerbaijan
  • Algeria
  • Nigeria
  • Spain
  • Canada
  • Other origins
  • Not published, no estimate

Share of crude imports, June 2026 (published)

0%50%100%United StatesAzerbaijan63.2%36.8%

Since January 2023, comparing published months only: Nigeria +17.6 pt, Azerbaijan −11.3 pt.

Share of crude imports, June 2026: all origins
Country of originShareTonnes
United States63%158,437
Azerbaijan37%92,271
Source & method
Source
  • Eurostat (European Commission) — Imports of oil and petroleum products by partner country - monthly data
  • Refinery operators and national regulators (cited per row) — Fuel Origin curated refinery reference list
Every source, with links and licences
Period
June 2026
Method
How this figure is made
Download
Download CSV

Product origins

Calculated

Petrol imports, June 2026: Netherlands 51%, United Kingdom 49%.

Share of petrol imports by country last shipped from, to June 2026

3-month average of monthly shares, over the months with figures in each window
Dec 2025Jun 20260%25%50%75%100%United Kingdom 71.1%Netherlands 28.9%
  • United Kingdom
  • Netherlands
  • Belgium

Share of petrol imports, June 2026 (published)

0%50%100%NetherlandsUnited Kingdom50.7%49.3%
Share of petrol imports, June 2026 (published): all countries last shipped from
Country last shipped fromShareTonnes
Netherlands51%23,054
United Kingdom49%22,433
Source & method
Source
  • Eurostat (European Commission) — Imports of oil and petroleum products by partner country - monthly data
Every source, with links and licences
Period
June 2026
Method
How this figure is made
Download
Download CSV

Stocks & days of cover

Official

81 days of emergency stock cover in June 2026.

Closing stocks: 1,964,315 tonnes, −8.8% against the 12-month average.

Closing stocks, to June 2026

Jan 2025Jun 20261.9M2.0M2.1M2.2M2.3M2.4M
  • Closing stocks
  • 12-month average

Days of cover, to June 2026

Jan 2025Jun 20268082848688
Source & method
Source
  • Eurostat (European Commission) — Emergency oil stocks in days equivalent - monthly data
  • Eurostat (European Commission) — Stock levels for oil products - monthly data
Every source, with links and licences
Period
June 2026
Method
How this figure is made
Which method the member state used
  • Stock calculation method: method 2
  • Minimum obligation method: method 1
  • Days calculation method: method 1
Download
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Recent events

Official
Source & method
Source
  • International Energy Agency — Event timeline, cited per event
  • US Energy Information Administration — Event timeline, cited per event
  • European Commission — Event timeline, cited per event
  • European Council — Event timeline, cited per event
  • National legislators — Event timeline, cited per event
Every source, with links and licences
Method
How this figure is made