Belgium
Road diesel, July 2026 — crude behind it: 19% Norway · 19% United States · 11% Kazakhstan · 13% cannot be traced. Up to 13% of that crude may have passed through the Strait of Hormuz.
Source & method
- Source
- Eurostat (European Commission) — Imports of oil and petroleum products by partner country - monthly data
- EIA, IEA and terminal operators (cited per row) — Fuel Origin Hormuz route classification and country bounds, methodology v1.0
- Period
- July 2026
- Method
- How this figure is made
Crude behind it (estimated)
Last shipped from
Belgium's road diesel
Crude behind it (estimated)
- Colour = where it went:
- Belgium (own refineries)
- Netherlands
- Singapore
- United States
- Germany
- Finland
- United Kingdom
- France
- Norway233 kt (est. 19%)
- United States233 kt (est. 19%)
- Kazakhstan139 kt (est. 11%)
- Brazil84 kt (est. 7%)
- United Kingdom69 kt (est. 6%)
- Guyana55 kt (est. 4%)
- Democratic Republic of the Congo37 kt (est. 3%)
- Other crude origins214 kt (est. 17%)
- Singapore: no crude data93 kt (8%)
- Netherlands: crude origin not reported31 kt (3%)
- Belgium: crude origin not reported18 kt (1%)
- United States: no crude data14 kt (1%)
- Smaller flows: crude not from imports4.3 kt (<1%)
- Smaller flows: no crude data3.9 kt (<1%)
- Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedless than 0.1 kt (<1%)
Last shipped from
- Reported (solid)
- Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
- Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
- Cannot be traced (hatched)
- Dashed: estimated from published euro value
Assumptions
- 1
Belgium: road diesel available in July 2026
Everything refined in the country plus everything imported.
- 2
Where that fuel came from
Belgium's refineries ran on (going by its crude imports, May–July 2026)
The Netherlands' refineries ran on (going by its crude imports, May–June 2026)
Singapore: crude origin not published.
- 3
The crude behind Belgium's road diesel
- Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
- Each country's refineries are assumed to run on its crude-import mix over the latest three months.
- The chain looks back one country only. Imports are counted under the country the fuel was last shipped from; where that country has refineries, fuel that only passed through it is traced as if it had been refined there.
- The crude origin is the producing country the statistics report, not the loading terminal, so the Hormuz answer is a range wherever a producer loads both inside and outside the Persian Gulf.
In July 2026, most road diesel available in Belgium was refined in Belgium (62%), followed by the Netherlands (28%).
Belgium's refineries ran on crude from Norway (24%), the United States (15%) and Kazakhstan (14%), going by its crude imports in May–July 2026.
Taken together, an estimated 19% of the crude behind Belgium's road diesel came from Norway, 19% from the United States and 11% from Kazakhstan; 13% cannot be traced.
The largest untraced part (8%) is there because we hold no crude import statistics for Singapore.
Up to 13% of the crude behind Belgium's road diesel is estimated to have passed through the Strait of Hormuz, a moderate dependence judged on the upper bound. No midpoint is published: crude that cannot be traced is counted as anything from none to all of it.
This is an estimate, not a reported figure: it assumes exports are drawn proportionally from every source and that each country's refineries run on its crude-import mix, and it looks back only one country.
Hormuz and the pump price in Belgium
Calculated- At most 13% of the crude behind Belgium's road diesel in July 2026 could have passed through Hormuz.
- Since 28 Feb 2026, diesel at the pump went +46.7%; Brent (in US dollars) went +61.5% (week of 23 Feb 2026 to week of 21 Sep 2026).
- 43% of the diesel pump price is tax (week of 21 Sep 2026).
Is Hormuz really the reason? — the EU-wide picture →
Source & method
- Source
- Eurostat (European Commission) — Imports of oil and petroleum products by partner country - monthly data
- EIA, IEA and terminal operators (cited per row) — Fuel Origin Hormuz route classification and country bounds, methodology v1.0
- European Commission, Directorate-General for Energy (DG ENER) — Weekly Oil Bulletin - retail fuel prices with and without taxes
- U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) — Europe Brent Spot Price FOB (petroleum spot prices)
- Method
- How this figure is made
- Strait of Hormuz: the upper end of the headline’s estimate for July 2026, the same figure as in the sentence above; no new figure is made here.
- Pump price: Weekly Oil Bulletin, diesel including tax, week of 23 Feb 2026 (€1.627 per litre) and week of 21 Sep 2026 (€2.387 per litre). Brent: EIA daily spot price, the first print dated in each of those weeks (23 Feb 2026: 71.9; 21 Sep 2026: 116.15; US dollars per barrel). Each change is worked out in the currency it is published in; no exchange rate is applied. The start week is the one containing the event date of Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026) (28 Feb 2026), the event the Strait of Hormuz page leads with; the end week is the latest week with both prices.
- Tax share: the pump price split into tax and price before tax for the week of 21 Sep 2026 (Weekly Oil Bulletin prices and published tax rates), as on the pump price page.
- The three figures are shown side by side, each on its own; no link between them is drawn here.
Go deeper for Belgium
- What does diesel cost at the pump in Belgium, and how much of it is tax?Pump price & tax →latest weekly price €2.39 per litre (diesel, week of 21 Sep 2026)
- Where has Belgium bought its oil since 2015?Imports since 2015 →
- How does fuel reach Belgium, flow by flow?Flow diagram, full page →
- How does Belgium compare with Luxembourg, the Netherlands and Germany?Compare with neighbours →
- Which refineries, ports and pipelines serve Belgium?Refineries & pipelines →
- Where does Belgium's crude come from, on a map?On the map →
- What does Norway supply to the EU?Supplier page: Norway →
- What does the United States supply to the EU?Supplier page: United States →
- What does Kazakhstan supply to the EU?Supplier page: Kazakhstan →
Crude origins
Calculated2 refineries — ExxonMobil Antwerp refinery (ExxonMobil Petroleum & Chemical BV), 326,000 bpd; TotalEnergies Antwerp refining and petrochemical platform, 338,000 bpd.
In July 2026, 15 countries supplied crude imports; the largest three accounted for 53%.
Share of crude imports by origin, to July 2026
- Norway
- United States
- Kazakhstan
- Nigeria
- United Kingdom
- Brazil
- Other origins
- Origin not published
Share of crude imports, July 2026 (published)
Since January 2023: Saudi Arabia −13.1 pt, Angola −12.0 pt.
Share of crude imports, July 2026: all origins
| Country of origin | Share | Tonnes |
|---|---|---|
| Norway | 24% | 627,200 |
| Kazakhstan | 16% | 418,300 |
| United States | 13% | 359,300 |
| Guyana | 10% | 264,400 |
| Angola | 8% | 221,700 |
| Brazil | 6% | 162,000 |
| Other origins | 22% | |
| Origin not published | 1% |
Source & method
- Source
- Eurostat (European Commission) — Imports of oil and petroleum products by partner country - monthly data
- Refinery operators and national regulators (cited per row) — Fuel Origin curated refinery reference list
- Period
- July 2026
- Method
- How this figure is made
- Download
- Download CSV
Product origins
CalculatedRoad diesel imports, July 2026: Netherlands 73%, Singapore 20%, United States 3%, Germany 1%, Finland 1%, United Kingdom 0.8%.
Share of road diesel imports by country last shipped from, to July 2026
- Netherlands
- Singapore
- Kuwait
- India
- Saudi Arabia
- Germany
- Other origins
Share of road diesel imports, July 2026 (published)
Share of road diesel imports, July 2026 (published): all countries last shipped from
| Country last shipped from | Share | Tonnes |
|---|---|---|
| Netherlands | 73% | 338,800 |
| Singapore | 20% | 92,800 |
| United States | 3% | 13,800 |
| Germany | 1% | 6,700 |
| Finland | 1% | 6,500 |
| United Kingdom | 0.8% | 3,900 |
Source & method
- Source
- Eurostat (European Commission) — Imports of oil and petroleum products by partner country - monthly data
- Period
- July 2026
- Method
- How this figure is made
- Download
- Download CSV
Stocks & days of cover
Official110 days of emergency stock cover in July 2026.
Closing stocks: 7,882,500 tonnes, +5.5% against the 12-month average.
Closing stocks, to July 2026
- Closing stocks
- 12-month average
Days of cover, to July 2026
Source & method
- Source
- Eurostat (European Commission) — Emergency oil stocks in days equivalent - monthly data
- Eurostat (European Commission) — Stock levels for oil products - monthly data
- Period
- July 2026
- Method
- How this figure is made
- Which method the member state used
- Stock calculation method: method 2
- Minimum obligation method: method 1
- Days calculation method: method 3
- Download
- Download CSV
Recent events
Official- 28 Feb 2026Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)Shipping disruption · Strait of Hormuz / Persian Gulf
- 5 Feb 2023EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)Import ban · European Union
- 5 Dec 2022EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)Import ban · European Union
- 24 Feb 2022Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)War · Ukraine
Source & method
- Source
- International Energy Agency — Event timeline, cited per event
- US Energy Information Administration — Event timeline, cited per event
- European Commission — Event timeline, cited per event
- European Council — Event timeline, cited per event
- National legislators — Event timeline, cited per event
- Method
- How this figure is made