Bulgaria
Petrol, July 2026 — crude behind it: 94% cannot be traced · 4% Kazakhstan · 1% Azerbaijan · 0.5% Canada. Up to 94% of that crude may have passed through the Strait of Hormuz.
Estimated
Source & method
- Source
- Eurostat (European Commission) — Imports of oil and petroleum products by partner country - monthly data
- EIA, IEA and terminal operators (cited per row) — Fuel Origin Hormuz route classification and country bounds, methodology v1.0
- Period
- July 2026
- Method
- How this figure is made
Crude behind it (estimated)
Last shipped from
Bulgaria's petrol
Kazakhstanest. 4%Azerbaijanest. 1%Canadaest. <1%Libyaest. <1%Guyanaest. <1%Ukraineest. <1%Iraqest. <1%Other crude originsest. <1%Bulgaria: crude origin not reported90%Romania: crude not from imports2%Serbia: no crude data2%Smaller flows: crude not from imports<1%151 kt100%Crude behind it (estimated)
- Colour = where it went:
- Bulgaria (own refineries)
- Romania
- Serbia
- Greece
- Kazakhstan5.4 kt (est. 4%)
- Azerbaijan1.9 kt (est. 1%)
- Canada0.8 kt (est. <1%)
- Libya0.7 kt (est. <1%)
- Guyana0.2 kt (est. <1%)
- Ukraine0.1 kt (est. <1%)
- Iraqless than 0.1 kt (est. <1%)
- Other crude origins0.1 kt (est. <1%)
- Bulgaria: crude origin not reported136 kt (90%)
- Romania: crude not from imports3.3 kt (2%)
- Serbia: no crude data2.7 kt (2%)
- Smaller flows: crude not from imports0.2 kt (<1%)
Last shipped from
- Reported (solid)
- Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
- Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
- Cannot be traced (hatched)
Assumptions
- 1
Bulgaria: petrol available in July 2026
Everything refined in the country plus everything imported.
- 2
Where that fuel came from
- 3
The crude behind Bulgaria's petrol
- Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
- Each country's refineries are assumed to run on its crude-import mix over the latest three months.
- The chain looks back one country only. Imports are counted under the country the fuel was last shipped from; where that country has refineries, fuel that only passed through it is traced as if it had been refined there.
- The crude origin is the producing country the statistics report, not the loading terminal, so the Hormuz answer is a range wherever a producer loads both inside and outside the Persian Gulf.
In July 2026, most petrol available in Bulgaria was refined in Bulgaria (90%), followed by Romania (8%).
Taken together, no single crude origin accounts for 5% or more of the crude behind Bulgaria's petrol; 94% cannot be traced.
The largest untraced part (90%) is there because Bulgaria's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
Up to 94% of the crude behind Bulgaria's petrol is estimated to have passed through the Strait of Hormuz, a significant dependence judged on the upper bound. No midpoint is published: crude that cannot be traced is counted as anything from none to all of it.
This is an estimate, not a reported figure: it assumes exports are drawn proportionally from every source and that each country's refineries run on its crude-import mix, and it looks back only one country.
Hormuz and the pump price in Bulgaria
Calculated- At most 94% of the crude behind Bulgaria's petrol in July 2026 could have passed through Hormuz.
- Since 28 Feb 2026, petrol at the pump went +36.6%; Brent (in US dollars) went +61.5% (week of 23 Feb 2026 to week of 21 Sep 2026).
- 38% of the petrol pump price is tax (week of 21 Sep 2026).
Is Hormuz really the reason? — the EU-wide picture →
Source & method
- Source
- Eurostat (European Commission) — Imports of oil and petroleum products by partner country - monthly data
- EIA, IEA and terminal operators (cited per row) — Fuel Origin Hormuz route classification and country bounds, methodology v1.0
- European Commission, Directorate-General for Energy (DG ENER) — Weekly Oil Bulletin - retail fuel prices with and without taxes
- U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) — Europe Brent Spot Price FOB (petroleum spot prices)
- Method
- How this figure is made
- Strait of Hormuz: the upper end of the headline’s estimate for July 2026, the same figure as in the sentence above; no new figure is made here.
- Pump price: Weekly Oil Bulletin, petrol including tax, week of 23 Feb 2026 (€1.218 per litre) and week of 21 Sep 2026 (€1.663 per litre). Brent: EIA daily spot price, the first print dated in each of those weeks (23 Feb 2026: 71.9; 21 Sep 2026: 116.15; US dollars per barrel). Each change is worked out in the currency it is published in; no exchange rate is applied. The start week is the one containing the event date of Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026) (28 Feb 2026), the event the Strait of Hormuz page leads with; the end week is the latest week with both prices.
- Tax share: the pump price split into tax and price before tax for the week of 21 Sep 2026 (Weekly Oil Bulletin prices and published tax rates), as on the pump price page.
- The three figures are shown side by side, each on its own; no link between them is drawn here.
Go deeper for Bulgaria
- What does petrol cost at the pump in Bulgaria, and how much of it is tax?Pump price & tax →latest weekly price €1.66 per litre (petrol, week of 21 Sep 2026)
- Where has Bulgaria bought its oil since 2015?Imports since 2015 →
- How does fuel reach Bulgaria, flow by flow?Flow diagram, full page →
- How does Bulgaria compare with Romania, Greece and Hungary?Compare with neighbours →
- Which refineries, ports and pipelines serve Bulgaria?Refineries & pipelines →
- Where does Bulgaria's crude come from, on a map?On the map →
- What does Kazakhstan supply to the EU?Supplier page: Kazakhstan →
- What does Azerbaijan supply to the EU?Supplier page: Azerbaijan →
- What does Canada supply to the EU?Supplier page: Canada →
Crude origins
Not published1 refinery — LUKOIL Neftohim Burgas (LUKOIL Neftohim Burgas AD), 9,000,000 t/a.
Crude import origins are not published for Bulgaria.
Source & method
- Source
- Eurostat (European Commission) — Imports of oil and petroleum products by partner country - monthly data
- Refinery operators and national regulators (cited per row) — Fuel Origin curated refinery reference list
- Period
- July 2026
- Method
- How this figure is made
Product origins
CalculatedPetrol imports, July 2026: Romania 81%, Serbia 18%, Greece 2%.
Share of petrol imports by country last shipped from, to July 2026
- Romania
- Serbia
- Greece
- Poland
- Origin not published
Share of petrol imports, July 2026 (published)
Share of petrol imports, July 2026 (published): all countries last shipped from
| Country last shipped from | Share | Tonnes |
|---|---|---|
| Romania | 81% | 12,278 |
| Serbia | 18% | 2,745 |
| Greece | 2% | 224 |
Source & method
- Source
- Eurostat (European Commission) — Imports of oil and petroleum products by partner country - monthly data
- Period
- July 2026
- Method
- How this figure is made
- Download
- Download CSV
Stocks & days of cover
Official85 days of emergency stock cover in July 2026.
Closing stocks: 1,417,305 tonnes, −19.7% against the 12-month average.
Closing stocks, to July 2026
- Closing stocks
- 12-month average
Days of cover, to July 2026
Source & method
- Source
- Eurostat (European Commission) — Emergency oil stocks in days equivalent - monthly data
- Eurostat (European Commission) — Stock levels for oil products - monthly data
- Period
- July 2026
- Method
- How this figure is made
- Which method the member state used
- Stock calculation method: method 2
- Minimum obligation method: method 1
- Days calculation method: method 2
- Download
- Download CSV
Recent events
Official- 28 Feb 2026Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)Shipping disruption · Strait of Hormuz / Persian Gulf
- 5 Feb 2023EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)Import ban · European Union
- 5 Dec 2022EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)Import ban · European Union
- 24 Feb 2022Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)War · Ukraine
Source & method
- Source
- International Energy Agency — Event timeline, cited per event
- US Energy Information Administration — Event timeline, cited per event
- European Commission — Event timeline, cited per event
- European Council — Event timeline, cited per event
- National legislators — Event timeline, cited per event
- Method
- How this figure is made