Fuel Origin

Denmark

Petrol, July 2026 — crude behind it: 36% Norway · 22% United States · 9% United Kingdom · 32% cannot be traced. Up to 32% of that crude may have passed through the Strait of Hormuz.

Estimated
Source & method
Source
  • Eurostat (European Commission) — Imports of oil and petroleum products by partner country - monthly data
  • EIA, IEA and terminal operators (cited per row) — Fuel Origin Hormuz route classification and country bounds, methodology v1.0
Every source, with links and licences
Period
July 2026
Method
How this figure is made
  • Reported (solid)
  • Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
  • Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
  • Cannot be traced (hatched)
Assumptions
  1. 1

    Denmark: petrol available in July 2026

    Everything refined in the country plus everything imported.

  2. 2

    Where that fuel came from

    Denmark's refineries ran on (going by its crude imports, May–July 2026)

    United Kingdom: crude origin not published.

    Sweden's refineries ran on (going by its crude imports, May–June 2026)

  3. 3

    The crude behind Denmark's petrol

  • Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
  • Each country's refineries are assumed to run on its crude-import mix over the latest three months.
  • The chain looks back one country only; fuel re-exported through a supplier is not followed further.
  • The crude origin is the producing country the statistics report, not the loading terminal, so the Hormuz answer is a range wherever a producer loads both inside and outside the Persian Gulf.

In July 2026, most petrol available in Denmark was refined in Denmark (93%).

Denmark's refineries ran on crude from Norway (37%), the United States (23%) and the United Kingdom (9%), going by its crude imports in May–July 2026.

Taken together, an estimated 36% of the crude behind Denmark's petrol came from Norway, 22% from the United States and 9% from the United Kingdom; 32% cannot be traced.

The largest untraced part (28%) is there because Denmark's refineries used more crude than it imported (its own production or stocks), and that part is not traced.

Up to 32% of the crude behind Denmark's petrol is estimated to have passed through the Strait of Hormuz, a moderate dependence judged on the upper bound. No midpoint is published: crude that cannot be traced is counted as anything from none to all of it.

This is an estimate, not a reported figure: it assumes exports are drawn proportionally from every source and that each country's refineries run on its crude-import mix, and it looks back only one country.

Hormuz and the pump price in Denmark

Calculated
  • At most 32% of the crude behind Denmark's petrol in July 2026 could have passed through Hormuz.
  • Since 28 Feb 2026, petrol at the pump went +35.1%; Brent (in US dollars) went +61.5% (week of 23 Feb 2026 to week of 21 Sep 2026).
  • 47% of the petrol pump price is tax (week of 21 Sep 2026).

Is Hormuz really the reason? — the EU-wide picture →

Source & method
Source
  • Eurostat (European Commission) — Imports of oil and petroleum products by partner country - monthly data
  • EIA, IEA and terminal operators (cited per row) — Fuel Origin Hormuz route classification and country bounds, methodology v1.0
  • European Commission, Directorate-General for Energy (DG ENER) — Weekly Oil Bulletin - retail fuel prices with and without taxes
  • U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) — Europe Brent Spot Price FOB (petroleum spot prices)
Every source, with links and licences
Method
How this figure is made
  • Strait of Hormuz: the upper end of the headline’s estimate for July 2026, the same figure as in the sentence above; no new figure is made here.
  • Pump price: Weekly Oil Bulletin, petrol including tax, week of 23 Feb 2026 (€1.938 per litre) and week of 21 Sep 2026 (€2.618 per litre). Brent: EIA daily spot price, the first print dated in each of those weeks (23 Feb 2026: 71.9; 21 Sep 2026: 116.15; US dollars per barrel). Each change is worked out in the currency it is published in; no exchange rate is applied. The start week is the one containing the event date of Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026) (28 Feb 2026), the event the Strait of Hormuz page leads with; the end week is the latest week with both prices.
  • Tax share: the pump price split into tax and price before tax for the week of 21 Sep 2026 (Weekly Oil Bulletin prices and published tax rates), as on the pump price page.
  • The three figures are shown side by side, each on its own; no link between them is drawn here.

Go deeper for Denmark

Crude origins

Calculated

Share of crude imports by origin, to July 2026

3-month average of monthly shares, over the months with figures in each window
Jan 2025Jul 20260%25%50%75%100%Not publishedNot publishedNot publishedNot publishedUnited States 33.6%Norway 53.9%United Kingdom 12.6%
  • United States
  • Norway
  • Türkiye
  • Libya
  • United Kingdom
  • Germany
  • Other origins
  • Origin not published
  • Not published, no estimate

Share of crude imports, July 2026 (published)

0%50%100%NorwayUnited StatesUnited Kingdom65.7%23.2%11.1%

Since January 2023: United States −42.0 pt, Norway +29.5 pt.

Share of crude imports, July 2026: all origins
Country of originShareTonnes
Norway66%252,713
United States23%89,322
United Kingdom11%42,706
Source & method
Source
  • Eurostat (European Commission) — Imports of oil and petroleum products by partner country - monthly data
  • Refinery operators and national regulators (cited per row) — Fuel Origin curated refinery reference list
Every source, with links and licences
Period
July 2026
Method
How this figure is made
Download
Download CSV

Product origins

Calculated

Petrol imports, July 2026: United Kingdom 52%, Sweden 48%.

Share of petrol imports by origin, to July 2026

3-month average of monthly shares, over the months with figures in each window
Jan 2026Jul 20260%25%50%75%100%Sweden 51.5%Netherlands 12.6%United Kingdom 26.9%
  • Sweden
  • Norway
  • Netherlands
  • United Kingdom
  • Belgium
  • Latvia
  • Origin not published

Share of petrol imports, July 2026 (published)

0%50%100%United KingdomSweden51.7%48.3%
Share of petrol imports, July 2026 (published): all origins
Country of originShareTonnes
United Kingdom52%6,957
Sweden48%6,501
Source & method
Source
  • Eurostat (European Commission) — Imports of oil and petroleum products by partner country - monthly data
Every source, with links and licences
Period
July 2026
Method
How this figure is made
Download
Download CSV

Stocks & days of cover

Official

67 days of emergency stock cover in July 2026.

Closing stocks: 2,201,186 tonnes, −10.8% against the 12-month average.

Closing stocks, to July 2026

Jan 2025Jul 20262.2M2.4M2.6M2.8M3.0M
  • Closing stocks
  • 12-month average

Days of cover, to July 2026

Jan 2025Jul 20266669727578
Source & method
Source
  • Eurostat (European Commission) — Emergency oil stocks in days equivalent - monthly data
  • Eurostat (European Commission) — Stock levels for oil products - monthly data
Every source, with links and licences
Period
July 2026
Method
How this figure is made
Which method the member state used
  • Stock calculation method: method 2
  • Minimum obligation method: method 2
  • Days calculation method: method 1
Download
Download CSV

Recent events

Official
Source & method
Source
  • International Energy Agency — Event timeline, cited per event
  • US Energy Information Administration — Event timeline, cited per event
  • European Commission — Event timeline, cited per event
  • European Council — Event timeline, cited per event
  • National legislators — Event timeline, cited per event
Every source, with links and licences
Method
How this figure is made