Fuel Origin

Denmark

Road diesel, December 2025 — crude behind it: 36% Norway · 30% United States · 34% cannot be traced. Up to 34% of that crude may have passed through the Strait of Hormuz.

Estimated
Source & method
Source
  • Eurostat (European Commission) — Imports of oil and petroleum products by partner country - monthly data
  • EIA, IEA and terminal operators (cited per row) — Fuel Origin Hormuz route classification and country bounds, methodology v1.0
Every source, with links and licences
Period
December 2025
Method
How this figure is made

Crude behind it (estimated)

Last shipped from

  • Reported (solid)
  • Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
  • Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
  • Cannot be traced (hatched)
Assumptions
  1. 1

    Denmark: road diesel available in December 2025

    Everything refined in the country plus everything imported.

  2. 2

    Where that fuel came from

    • Also:
    • Refined in Denmark 92%
    • Norway 8%

    Denmark's refineries ran on (going by its crude imports, October–December 2025)

    Norway: crude origin not published.

  3. 3

    The crude behind Denmark's road diesel

  • Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
  • Each country's refineries are assumed to run on its crude-import mix over the latest three months.
  • The chain looks back one country only. Imports are counted under the country the fuel was last shipped from; where that country has refineries, fuel that only passed through it is traced as if it had been refined there.
  • The crude origin is the producing country the statistics report, not the loading terminal, so the Hormuz answer is a range wherever a producer loads both inside and outside the Persian Gulf.

In December 2025, most road diesel available in Denmark was refined in Denmark (92%), followed by Norway (8%).

Denmark's refineries ran on crude from Norway (39%) and the United States (33%), going by its crude imports in October–December 2025.

Taken together, an estimated 36% of the crude behind Denmark's road diesel came from Norway, 30% from the United States; 34% cannot be traced.

The largest untraced part (26%) is there because Denmark's refineries used more crude than it imported (its own production or stocks), and that part is not traced.

Up to 34% of the crude behind Denmark's road diesel is estimated to have passed through the Strait of Hormuz, a significant dependence judged on the upper bound. No midpoint is published: crude that cannot be traced is counted as anything from none to all of it.

This is an estimate, not a reported figure: it assumes exports are drawn proportionally from every source and that each country's refineries run on its crude-import mix, and it looks back only one country.

Hormuz and the pump price in Denmark

Calculated
  • At most 34% of the crude behind Denmark's road diesel in December 2025 could have passed through Hormuz.
  • Since 28 Feb 2026, diesel at the pump went +43.5%; Brent (in US dollars) went +61.5% (week of 23 Feb 2026 to week of 21 Sep 2026).
  • 42% of the diesel pump price is tax (week of 21 Sep 2026).

Is Hormuz really the reason? — the EU-wide picture →

Source & method
Source
  • Eurostat (European Commission) — Imports of oil and petroleum products by partner country - monthly data
  • EIA, IEA and terminal operators (cited per row) — Fuel Origin Hormuz route classification and country bounds, methodology v1.0
  • European Commission, Directorate-General for Energy (DG ENER) — Weekly Oil Bulletin - retail fuel prices with and without taxes
  • U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) — Europe Brent Spot Price FOB (petroleum spot prices)
Every source, with links and licences
Method
How this figure is made
  • Strait of Hormuz: the upper end of the headline’s estimate for December 2025, the same figure as in the sentence above; no new figure is made here.
  • Pump price: Weekly Oil Bulletin, diesel including tax, week of 23 Feb 2026 (€1.780 per litre) and week of 21 Sep 2026 (€2.555 per litre). Brent: EIA daily spot price, the first print dated in each of those weeks (23 Feb 2026: 71.9; 21 Sep 2026: 116.15; US dollars per barrel). Each change is worked out in the currency it is published in; no exchange rate is applied. The start week is the one containing the event date of Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026) (28 Feb 2026), the event the Strait of Hormuz page leads with; the end week is the latest week with both prices.
  • Tax share: the pump price split into tax and price before tax for the week of 21 Sep 2026 (Weekly Oil Bulletin prices and published tax rates), as on the pump price page.
  • The three figures are shown side by side, each on its own; no link between them is drawn here.

Go deeper for Denmark

Crude origins

Calculated

2 refineries — Crossbridge Energy Fredericia refinery (Crossbridge Energy Fredericia A/S), 10,000 t/day; Kalundborg Refinery (Kalundborg Refinery A/S), 107,000 bpd.

In July 2026, three countries supplied all crude imports.

Share of crude imports by origin, to July 2026

3-month average of monthly shares, over the months with figures in each window
Jan 2025Jul 20260%25%50%75%100%Not publishedNot publishedNot publishedNot publishedUnited States 33.6%Norway 53.9%United Kingdom 12.6%
  • United States
  • Norway
  • Türkiye
  • Libya
  • United Kingdom
  • Germany
  • Other origins
  • Origin not published
  • Not published, no estimate

Share of crude imports, July 2026 (published)

0%50%100%NorwayUnited StatesUnited Kingdom65.7%23.2%11.1%

Since January 2023: United States −42.0 pt, Norway +29.5 pt.

Share of crude imports, July 2026: all origins
Country of originShareTonnes
Norway66%252,713
United States23%89,322
United Kingdom11%42,706
Source & method
Source
  • Eurostat (European Commission) — Imports of oil and petroleum products by partner country - monthly data
  • Refinery operators and national regulators (cited per row) — Fuel Origin curated refinery reference list
Every source, with links and licences
Period
July 2026
Method
How this figure is made
Download
Download CSV

Product origins

Not published

Road diesel import origins are not published for Denmark.

Source & method
Source
  • Eurostat (European Commission) — Imports of oil and petroleum products by partner country - monthly data
Every source, with links and licences
Period
July 2026
Method
How this figure is made
Download
Download CSV

Stocks & days of cover

Official

67 days of emergency stock cover in July 2026.

Closing stocks: 2,201,186 tonnes, −10.8% against the 12-month average.

Closing stocks, to July 2026

Jan 2025Jul 20262.2M2.4M2.6M2.8M3.0M
  • Closing stocks
  • 12-month average

Days of cover, to July 2026

Jan 2025Jul 20266669727578
Source & method
Source
  • Eurostat (European Commission) — Emergency oil stocks in days equivalent - monthly data
  • Eurostat (European Commission) — Stock levels for oil products - monthly data
Every source, with links and licences
Period
July 2026
Method
How this figure is made
Which method the member state used
  • Stock calculation method: method 2
  • Minimum obligation method: method 2
  • Days calculation method: method 1
Download
Download CSV

Recent events

Official

All events →

Source & method
Source
  • International Energy Agency — Event timeline, cited per event
  • US Energy Information Administration — Event timeline, cited per event
  • European Commission — Event timeline, cited per event
  • European Council — Event timeline, cited per event
  • National legislators — Event timeline, cited per event
Every source, with links and licences
Method
How this figure is made