Fuel Origin

Avvenimenti / Projbizzjoni fuq l-importazzjoni

Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)

Dati
05/02/2023 → l-ebda data tat-tmiem irreġistrata
Preċiżjoni tad-data
jum
Status
Għadu għaddej
Ambitu
L-Unjoni Ewropea

X’qalu s-sorsi (bl-Ingliż)

Second phase of the sixth sanctions package of 3 June 2022 (Council Regulation (EU) 2022/879 amending Regulation (EU) No 833/2014): an eight-month wind-down for refined petroleum products against six months for seaborne crude. Eurostat, 19 June 2023: "The ban on imports of seaborne crude oil entered into force on 5 December 2022, while the ban on petroleum products took effect on 5 February 2023." Recorded as a separate marker because each event on this timeline has a single start date and the two phases have different in-force dates. This row is a timeline marker only; it makes no statement about prices.

L-AIE, l-EIA, il-Kummissjoni Ewropea, il-Kunsill Ewropew u leġiżlaturi nazzjonali (iċċitati għal kull ringiela)Uffiċjali
Miġbur 25/09/2026 14:07 UTCReviżjoni 2
Dokumenti tas-sors (2)
PajjiżPajjiżIl-ĠermanjaFranzaIn-NetherlandsIl-PolonjaIl-FinlandjaL-EstonjaL-AwstrijaIl-BelġjuIl-BulgarijaIl-KroazjaĊipruIċ-ĊekjaId-DanimarkaIl-GreċjaL-UngerijaL-IrlandaL-ItaljaIl-LatvjaIl-LitwanjaIl-LussemburguMaltaIl-PortugallIr-RumanijaIs-SlovakkjaIs-SlovenjaSpanjaL-Iżvezja
KarburantKarburantDiżil (żejt tal-gass għall-vetturi)Petrol (Euro-super 95)Iż-żewġ karburanti

Jekk tagħżel karburant, jinżammu s-serje ta’ dak il-karburant u l-kanali komuni għall-karburanti kollha – il-prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdum, ir-rata tal-kambju, l-importazzjonijiet taż-żejt mhux maħdum u l-esponiment għal Hormuz. Jitneħħew biss is-serje tal-karburant l-ieħor.

It-tieqa tal-avveniment

Kemm kienet tiswa kull serje fil-jiem madwar id-data tal-avveniment (minn -30 sa 90), kemm dan hu ’l bogħod mil-livell tal-istess serje fid-data tal-avveniment, u kemm hu kbir dak iċ-ċaqliq meta mqabbel mal-varjazzjoni normali tas-serje stess.

L-Irlanda, il-karburanti kollha f’dan il-kalkolu. Serje li jistgħu jitpinġew: 22; serje li ma jistgħu jidhru bl-ebda mod, murija hawn taħt bħala pannelli vojta b’tikketta: 7.

Qari ppubblikat: 286; punti tat-tieqa mingħajr xejn ippubblikat fi żmien perjodu wieħed: 0; punti tat-tieqa fuq serje li ma nistgħu naraw xejn minnhom: 91. Kollha jidhru f’din il-paġna.

Europe Brent spot FOB

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+9088.2974.522023-01-06: 76.41 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-20: 86.96 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-27: 85.36 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −72023-02-02: 80.57 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-02-03, 78.85 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −1, T02023-02-06: 80.48 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +12023-02-08: 84.17 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +32023-02-10: 85.46 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72023-02-17: 81.97 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 85.86 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-06: 86.56 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-05: 75.85 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Europe Brent spot FOB): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-0676.41-2.440-3.09%-0.68
−142023-01-2086.96+8.110+10.29%+2.27
−72023-01-2785.36+6.510+8.26%+1.82
−32023-02-0280.57+1.720+2.18%+0.48
−12023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T078.850.0000.00%0.00
T02023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T078.850.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-0680.48+1.630+2.07%+0.46
+32023-02-0884.17+5.320+6.75%+1.49
+72023-02-1085.46+6.610+8.38%+1.85
+142023-02-1781.97+3.120+3.96%+0.87
+302023-03-0685.86+7.010+8.89%+1.96
+602023-04-0686.56+7.710+9.78%+2.16
+902023-05-0575.85-3.000-3.80%-0.84

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 4.53%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 757). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

reported crude oil imports, all origins

Unità: tIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+90354,622228,4382023-01-01: 249,404 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −30, −14, −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-02-01, 241,984 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T0, +1, +3, +7, +142023-03-01: 244,574 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-01: 342,411 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 240,649 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (reported crude oil imports, all origins): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-01249,404+7,420+3.07%+0.10
−142023-01-01249,404+7,420+3.07%+0.10
−72023-01-01249,404+7,420+3.07%+0.10
−32023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0241,9840.0000.00%0.00
−12023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0241,9840.0000.00%0.00
T02023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0241,9840.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0241,9840.0000.00%0.00
+32023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0241,9840.0000.00%0.00
+72023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0241,9840.0000.00%0.00
+142023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0241,9840.0000.00%0.00
+302023-03-01244,574+2,590+1.07%+0.03
+602023-04-01342,411+100,427+41.50%+1.35
+902023-05-01240,649-1,335-0.55%-0.02

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 30.69%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 35). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja
T0−30T0+30+60+901.0930.9062023-01-02: 0.9243 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-16: 0.9345 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-23: 0.9426 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-01-30, 0.9577 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T02023-02-06: 0.9707 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +1, +3, +72023-02-13: 0.9751 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 0.9945 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-03: 1.006 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 1.075 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-020.9243-0.033-3.48%-0.09
−142023-01-160.9345-0.023-2.42%-0.06
−72023-01-230.9426-0.015-1.57%-0.04
−32023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.95770.0000.00%0.00
−12023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.95770.0000.00%0.00
T02023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.95770.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-060.9707+0.013+1.36%+0.04
+32023-02-060.9707+0.013+1.36%+0.04
+72023-02-060.9707+0.013+1.36%+0.04
+142023-02-130.9751+0.017+1.81%+0.05
+302023-03-060.9945+0.037+3.84%+0.10
+602023-04-031.006+0.049+5.07%+0.14
+902023-05-011.075+0.117+12.24%+0.33

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 37.31%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 149). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja
T0−30T0+30+60+900.8760.7952023-01-02: 0.8031 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-16: 0.8033 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-23: 0.8079 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-01-30, 0.8178 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T02023-02-06: 0.8222 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +1, +3, +72023-02-13: 0.8242 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 0.8327 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-03: 0.8349 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 0.8682 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-020.8031-0.015-1.80%-0.30
−142023-01-160.8033-0.015-1.77%-0.30
−72023-01-230.8079-0.010-1.21%-0.20
−32023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.81780.0000.00%0.00
−12023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.81780.0000.00%0.00
T02023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.81780.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-060.8222+0.004+0.54%+0.09
+32023-02-060.8222+0.004+0.54%+0.09
+72023-02-060.8222+0.004+0.54%+0.09
+142023-02-130.8242+0.006+0.78%+0.13
+302023-03-060.8327+0.015+1.82%+0.30
+602023-04-030.8349+0.017+2.09%+0.35
+902023-05-010.8682+0.050+6.17%+1.03

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 6.01%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 149). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE

Unità: USD għal kull EURIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+901.1081.0442023-01-06: 1.050 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-20: 1.083 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-27: 1.087 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −72023-02-02: 1.099 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-02-03, 1.094 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −1, T02023-02-06: 1.078 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +12023-02-08: 1.074 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +32023-02-10: 1.069 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72023-02-17: 1.063 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-07: 1.067 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-06: 1.092 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-05: 1.101 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-061.050-0.044-4.00%-7.81
−142023-01-201.083-0.011-1.01%-1.98
−72023-01-271.087-0.007-0.66%-1.29
−32023-02-021.099+0.005+0.47%+0.91
−12023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.0940.0000.00%0.00
T02023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.0940.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-061.078-0.016-1.47%-2.88
+32023-02-081.074-0.020-1.85%-3.61
+72023-02-101.069-0.025-2.26%-4.41
+142023-02-171.063-0.031-2.85%-5.57
+302023-03-071.067-0.027-2.49%-4.86
+602023-04-061.092-0.002-0.20%-0.39
+902023-05-051.101+0.008+0.70%+1.38

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 0.51%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 772). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1

Unità: % tat-tunnellati importatiIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatBaxxa
T0−30T0+30+60+901.0000.0002023-01-01: 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −30, −14, −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-02-01, 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T0, +1, +3, +7, +142023-03-01: 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-01: 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−142023-01-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−72023-01-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−32023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−12023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
T02023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+12023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+32023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+72023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+142023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+302023-03-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+602023-04-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+902023-05-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2

Unità: % tat-tunnellati importatiIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatBaxxa
T0−30T0+30+60+901.0000.0002023-01-01: 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −30, −14, −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-02-01, 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T0, +1, +3, +7, +142023-03-01: 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-01: 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−142023-01-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−72023-01-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−32023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−12023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
T02023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+12023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+32023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+72023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+142023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+302023-03-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+602023-04-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+902023-05-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma

Unità: kopertura (jiem)Ippubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+9085.1283.882023-01-01: 85.00 kopertura (jiem), użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −30, −14, −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-02-01, 85.00 kopertura (jiem), użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T0, +1, +3, +7, +142023-03-01: 85.00 kopertura (jiem), użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-01: 84.00 kopertura (jiem), użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 85.00 kopertura (jiem), użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-0185.000.0000.00%0.00
−142023-01-0185.000.0000.00%0.00
−72023-01-0185.000.0000.00%0.00
−32023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T085.000.0000.00%0.00
−12023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T085.000.0000.00%0.00
T02023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T085.000.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T085.000.0000.00%0.00
+32023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T085.000.0000.00%0.00
+72023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T085.000.0000.00%0.00
+142023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T085.000.0000.00%0.00
+302023-03-0185.000.0000.00%0.00
+602023-04-0184.00-1.000-1.18%-0.28
+902023-05-0185.000.0000.00%0.00

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 4.15%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 35). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+900.5050.4172023-01-02: 0.4598 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-16: 0.4913 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-23: 0.4969 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-01-30, 0.4720 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T02023-02-06: 0.4881 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +1, +3, +72023-02-13: 0.4951 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 0.4922 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-03: 0.4959 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 0.4258 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-020.4598-0.012-2.58%-0.32
−142023-01-160.4913+0.019+4.09%+0.51
−72023-01-230.4969+0.025+5.28%+0.65
−32023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.47200.0000.00%0.00
−12023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.47200.0000.00%0.00
T02023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.47200.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-060.4881+0.016+3.41%+0.42
+32023-02-060.4881+0.016+3.41%+0.42
+72023-02-060.4881+0.016+3.41%+0.42
+142023-02-130.4951+0.023+4.89%+0.61
+302023-03-060.4922+0.020+4.28%+0.53
+602023-04-030.4959+0.024+5.07%+0.63
+902023-05-010.4258-0.046-9.79%-1.21

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 8.07%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 149). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+900.5050.4172023-01-02: 0.4598 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-16: 0.4913 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-23: 0.4969 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-01-30, 0.4720 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T02023-02-06: 0.4881 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +1, +3, +72023-02-13: 0.4951 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 0.4922 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-03: 0.4959 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 0.4258 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-020.4598-0.012-2.58%-0.32
−142023-01-160.4913+0.019+4.09%+0.51
−72023-01-230.4969+0.025+5.28%+0.65
−32023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.47200.0000.00%0.00
−12023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.47200.0000.00%0.00
T02023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.47200.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-060.4881+0.016+3.41%+0.42
+32023-02-060.4881+0.016+3.41%+0.42
+72023-02-060.4881+0.016+3.41%+0.42
+142023-02-130.4951+0.023+4.89%+0.61
+302023-03-060.4922+0.020+4.28%+0.53
+602023-04-030.4959+0.024+5.07%+0.63
+902023-05-010.4258-0.046-9.79%-1.21

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 8.07%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 149). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom

Unità: tIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+902,065,7151,928,8362023-01-01: 1,983,022 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −30, −14, −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-02-01, 1,942,082 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T0, +1, +3, +7, +142023-03-01: 1,954,911 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-01: 2,052,469 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 2,011,750 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-011,983,022+40,940+2.11%+0.56
−142023-01-011,983,022+40,940+2.11%+0.56
−72023-01-011,983,022+40,940+2.11%+0.56
−32023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01,942,0820.0000.00%0.00
−12023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01,942,0820.0000.00%0.00
T02023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01,942,0820.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01,942,0820.0000.00%0.00
+32023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01,942,0820.0000.00%0.00
+72023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01,942,0820.0000.00%0.00
+142023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01,942,0820.0000.00%0.00
+302023-03-011,954,911+12,829+0.66%+0.17
+602023-04-012,052,469+110,387+5.68%+1.50
+902023-05-012,011,750+69,668+3.59%+0.95

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 3.78%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 35). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja
T0−30T0+30+60+900.045-0.2882023-01-02: 0.0126 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-16: 0.0087 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-23: 0.0068 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-01-30, 0 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T02023-02-06: 0.0056 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +1, +3, +72023-02-13: 0.0042 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: -0.0954 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-03: -0.1360 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: -0.2557 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-020.0126+0.013mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−142023-01-160.0087+0.009mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−72023-01-230.0068+0.007mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−32023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−12023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
T02023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+12023-02-060.0056+0.006mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+32023-02-060.0056+0.006mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+72023-02-060.0056+0.006mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+142023-02-130.0042+0.004mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+302023-03-06-0.0954-0.095mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+602023-04-03-0.1360-0.136mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+902023-05-01-0.2557-0.256mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja
T0−30T0+30+60+900.035-0.0562023-01-02: -0.0220 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-16: -0.0102 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-23: -0.0032 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-01-30, 0 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T02023-02-06: 0.0176 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +1, +3, +72023-02-13: 0.0264 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: -0.0287 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-03: -0.0258 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: -0.0476 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-02-0.0220-0.022mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−142023-01-16-0.0102-0.010mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−72023-01-23-0.0032-0.003mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−32023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−12023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
T02023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+12023-02-060.0176+0.018mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+32023-02-060.0176+0.018mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+72023-02-060.0176+0.018mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+142023-02-130.0264+0.026mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+302023-03-06-0.0287-0.029mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+602023-04-03-0.0258-0.026mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+902023-05-01-0.0476-0.048mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+901.7501.5352023-01-02: 1.677 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-16: 1.685 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-23: 1.692 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-01-30, 1.703 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T02023-02-06: 1.725 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +1, +3, +72023-02-13: 1.729 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 1.654 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-03: 1.618 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 1.556 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-021.677-0.026-1.50%-0.84
−142023-01-161.685-0.018-1.05%-0.58
−72023-01-231.692-0.010-0.60%-0.33
−32023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.7030.0000.00%0.00
−12023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.7030.0000.00%0.00
T02023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.7030.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-061.725+0.023+1.35%+0.75
+32023-02-061.725+0.023+1.35%+0.75
+72023-02-061.725+0.023+1.35%+0.75
+142023-02-131.729+0.027+1.56%+0.87
+302023-03-061.654-0.049-2.86%-1.60
+602023-04-031.618-0.084-4.95%-2.76
+902023-05-011.556-0.147-8.63%-4.82

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.79%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 149). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+901.6521.5462023-01-02: 1.557 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-16: 1.571 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-23: 1.586 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-01-30, 1.602 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T02023-02-06: 1.629 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +1, +3, +72023-02-13: 1.642 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 1.608 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-03: 1.614 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 1.629 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-021.557-0.045-2.82%-1.74
−142023-01-161.571-0.030-1.90%-1.17
−72023-01-231.586-0.016-1.01%-0.62
−32023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.6020.0000.00%0.00
−12023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.6020.0000.00%0.00
T02023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.6020.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-061.629+0.027+1.69%+1.04
+32023-02-061.629+0.027+1.69%+1.04
+72023-02-061.629+0.027+1.69%+1.04
+142023-02-131.642+0.040+2.52%+1.55
+302023-03-061.608+0.006+0.40%+0.25
+602023-04-031.614+0.013+0.79%+0.49
+902023-05-011.629+0.027+1.68%+1.03

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.62%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 149). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+900.9990.8002023-01-02: 0.9370 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-16: 0.9432 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-23: 0.9494 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-01-30, 0.9577 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T02023-02-06: 0.9763 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +1, +3, +72023-02-13: 0.9793 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 0.8991 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-03: 0.8702 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 0.8192 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-020.9370-0.021-2.17%-0.66
−142023-01-160.9432-0.014-1.51%-0.46
−72023-01-230.9494-0.008-0.87%-0.27
−32023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.95770.0000.00%0.00
−12023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.95770.0000.00%0.00
T02023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.95770.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-060.9763+0.019+1.94%+0.60
+32023-02-060.9763+0.019+1.94%+0.60
+72023-02-060.9763+0.019+1.94%+0.60
+142023-02-130.9793+0.022+2.26%+0.69
+302023-03-060.8991-0.059-6.12%-1.87
+602023-04-030.8702-0.087-9.13%-2.80
+902023-05-010.8192-0.139-14.46%-4.43

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 3.26%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 149). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+900.8590.7732023-01-02: 0.7811 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-16: 0.7931 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-23: 0.8047 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-01-30, 0.8178 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T02023-02-06: 0.8398 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +1, +3, +72023-02-13: 0.8505 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 0.8040 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-03: 0.8091 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 0.8206 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-020.7811-0.037-4.48%-1.43
−142023-01-160.7931-0.025-3.02%-0.96
−72023-01-230.8047-0.013-1.60%-0.51
−32023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.81780.0000.00%0.00
−12023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.81780.0000.00%0.00
T02023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.81780.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-060.8398+0.022+2.70%+0.86
+32023-02-060.8398+0.022+2.70%+0.86
+72023-02-060.8398+0.022+2.70%+0.86
+142023-02-130.8505+0.033+4.01%+1.28
+302023-03-060.8040-0.014-1.69%-0.54
+602023-04-030.8091-0.009-1.06%-0.34
+902023-05-010.8206+0.003+0.35%+0.11

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 3.13%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 149). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+900.7570.7342023-01-02: 0.7400 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-16: 0.7415 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-23: 0.7429 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-01-30, 0.7448 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T02023-02-06: 0.7491 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +1, +3, +72023-02-13: 0.7498 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 0.7547 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-03: 0.7481 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 0.7363 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-020.7400-0.005-0.64%-0.49
−142023-01-160.7415-0.003-0.45%-0.34
−72023-01-230.7429-0.002-0.26%-0.20
−32023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.74480.0000.00%0.00
−12023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.74480.0000.00%0.00
T02023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.74480.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-060.7491+0.004+0.58%+0.44
+32023-02-060.7491+0.004+0.58%+0.44
+72023-02-060.7491+0.004+0.58%+0.44
+142023-02-130.7498+0.005+0.67%+0.51
+302023-03-060.7547+0.010+1.33%+1.02
+602023-04-030.7481+0.003+0.44%+0.34
+902023-05-010.7363-0.008-1.14%-0.87

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.30%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 149). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+900.8120.7712023-01-02: 0.7754 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-16: 0.7781 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-23: 0.7808 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-01-30, 0.7838 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T02023-02-06: 0.7889 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +1, +3, +72023-02-13: 0.7914 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 0.8040 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-03: 0.8052 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 0.8079 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-020.7754-0.008-1.08%-0.69
−142023-01-160.7781-0.006-0.73%-0.47
−72023-01-230.7808-0.003-0.38%-0.25
−32023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.78380.0000.00%0.00
−12023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.78380.0000.00%0.00
T02023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.78380.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-060.7889+0.005+0.65%+0.42
+32023-02-060.7889+0.005+0.65%+0.42
+72023-02-060.7889+0.005+0.65%+0.42
+142023-02-130.7914+0.008+0.96%+0.62
+302023-03-060.8040+0.020+2.58%+1.66
+602023-04-030.8052+0.021+2.73%+1.76
+902023-05-010.8079+0.024+3.07%+1.98

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.55%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 149). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa
T0−30T0+30+60+9064.8217.192023-01-06: 52.91 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-20: 60.21 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-27: 51.77 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −72023-02-02: 42.91 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-02-03, 39.25 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −1, T02023-02-06: 37.12 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +12023-02-08: 38.01 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +32023-02-10: 35.25 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72023-02-17: 32.10 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 36.23 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-06: 26.92 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-05: 21.80 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-0652.91+13.654+34.78%+3.54
−142023-01-2060.21+20.954+53.38%+5.43
−72023-01-2751.77+12.516+31.88%+3.24
−32023-02-0242.91+3.656+9.31%+0.95
−12023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T039.250.0000.00%0.00
T02023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T039.250.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-0637.12-2.134-5.44%-0.55
+32023-02-0838.01-1.246-3.17%-0.32
+72023-02-1035.25-4.006-10.21%-1.04
+142023-02-1732.10-7.152-18.22%-1.85
+302023-03-0636.23-3.020-7.69%-0.78
+602023-04-0626.92-12.330-31.41%-3.19
+902023-05-0521.80-17.454-44.46%-4.52

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 9.83%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 735). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa
T0−30T0+30+60+9035.3121.572023-01-06: 23.63 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-20: 27.78 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-27: 27.70 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −72023-02-02: 26.70 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-02-03, 24.34 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −1, T02023-02-06: 25.32 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +12023-02-08: 25.07 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +32023-02-10: 25.04 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72023-02-17: 22.90 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 25.19 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-06: 33.98 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-05: 27.39 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-0623.63-0.710-2.92%-0.02
−142023-01-2027.78+3.440+14.13%+0.08
−72023-01-2727.70+3.360+13.80%+0.08
−32023-02-0226.70+2.354+9.67%+0.05
−12023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T024.340.0000.00%0.00
T02023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T024.340.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-0625.32+0.974+4.00%+0.02
+32023-02-0825.07+0.728+2.99%+0.02
+72023-02-1025.04+0.698+2.87%+0.02
+142023-02-1722.90-1.440-5.92%-0.03
+302023-03-0625.19+0.844+3.47%+0.02
+602023-04-0633.98+9.636+39.58%+0.22
+902023-05-0527.39+3.042+12.50%+0.07

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 182.66%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 735). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa
T0−30T0+30+60+9085.086.882023-01-06: 57.61 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-20: 77.51 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-27: 73.74 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −72023-02-02: 35.06 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-02-03, 29.38 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −1, T02023-02-06: 32.50 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +12023-02-08: 37.04 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +32023-02-10: 31.97 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72023-02-17: 24.75 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 37.16 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-06: 19.15 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-05: 14.45 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-0657.61+28.228+96.07%+0.54
−142023-01-2077.51+48.128+163.79%+0.93
−72023-01-2773.74+44.352+150.94%+0.85
−32023-02-0235.06+5.672+19.30%+0.11
−12023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T029.380.0000.00%0.00
T02023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T029.380.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-0632.50+3.116+10.60%+0.06
+32023-02-0837.04+7.658+26.06%+0.15
+72023-02-1031.97+2.588+8.81%+0.05
+142023-02-1724.75-4.632-15.76%-0.09
+302023-03-0637.16+7.774+26.46%+0.15
+602023-04-0619.15-10.230-34.81%-0.20
+902023-05-0514.45-14.934-50.82%-0.29

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 176.64%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 735). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Mhux disponibbli: imblukkat mil-liċenzja

Jeżisti sors, iżda l-liċenzja tiegħu ma tippermettilniex nippubblikawh mill-ġdid. Dawn il-kanali mhumiex neqsin mid-dinja, iżda biss minn din il-paġna.

nol tat-tankers “dirty” mill-Golf Għarbi lejn il-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

In-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers (ringiela 17: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

Il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

Il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

M’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

M’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

Sors
European Commission, Directorate-General for Energy (DG ENER)Mhux magħruf
Perjodu 2023-01Aġġornat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCKunfidenzaMhux magħrufaMetodoloġijaNiżżel is-CSV

T0: 05/02/2023. Tieqa ta’ referenza: jiem -90 sa -31. Punti tat-tieqa kkalkulati: -30, -14, -7, -3, -1, 0, 1, 3, 7, 14, 30, 60, 90. Metodu: 1.0, kalkolu: event_study-1.0, ikkalkulat: 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC.

L-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”: huwa tassew ir-raġuni?

Il-mistoqsija tinqasam f’dimensjonijiet li jitkejlu separatament u qatt ma jingħaddu f’numru wieħed. Kull ringiela tgħid jekk nistgħux naraw dik id-dimensjoni, u tagħti ċifra ppubblikata waħda fejn nistgħu.

Mit-tmien kanali ta’ trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet li jirrapporta dan is-sit, kanali b’data f’dan il-kalkolu: 4 Ikkalkulat – għadd tar-ringieli ta’ hawn taħt, mhux kejl.

Metodoloġija §11.1 tippubblika l-limiti li jużaw is-sentenzi ta’ hawn taħt: it-tmien kanali kollha preżenti għall-paragun sħiħ, mill-inqas tlieta biex l-istqarrija tkun tista’ tiġi ttestjata hawn, u 2.0 unitajiet ta’ volatilità biex ċaqliq jiġi deskritt bħala barra mill-varjazzjoni normali ta’ serje. Dawn huma għażliet ta’ kliem ippubblikati, mhux testijiet statistiċi.

Dimensjonijiet tal-esponiment għall-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, kull waħda bl-istatus tagħha u ċifra ppubblikata waħda.
DimensjoniStatusĊifra ppubblikata, jew għaliex m’hemmx
Esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum (D1)Sehem miż-żejt mhux maħdum importat li r-rotta tiegħu teħtieġ l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz.Osservat
0 % tat-tunnellati importati punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-03-01)
Esponiment dirett tal-prodotti (D2)Sehem mill-prodotti raffinati importati li r-rotta tagħhom teħtieġ l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz.Osservat
0 % tat-tunnellati importati punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-03-01)
Kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza (D7)Il-jiem ta’ kopertura li jammontaw għalihom il-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati. Riżerva kontra interruzzjoni tal-provvista, mhux sehem mill-importazzjonijiet, u mhux kanal tal-prezz.Osservat
85.00 kopertura (jiem) punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-03-01)0.00% mil-livell ta’ T0 = 0.00 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdumIl-prezz kwotat taż-żejt mhux maħdum li fuqu jiġu pprezzati t-tagħbijiet Ewropej.Osservat
85.86 $ għal kull barmil punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-03-06)+8.89% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +1.96 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinatiIl-prezz kwotat tal-prodotti li fuqu jipprezzaw ir-raffineriji u l-bejjiegħa bl-ingrossa.Mhux disponibbliIl-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.
Marġni tar-raffinarKemm qala’ r-raffinar ta’ barmil f’dan il-prodott.Mhux disponibbliM’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.
NoliKemm swiet il-ġarr tal-merkanzija bil-baħar.Mhux disponibbliIn-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers (ringiela 17: BLOCKED).
StokkijietL-istokkijiet miżmuma, li jassorbu jew ikabbru bidla fil-provvista.Osservat
1,954,911 t punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-03-01)+0.66% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +0.17 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezzijiet bl-ingrossaIl-prezz bejn il-bieb tar-raffinerija u l-pompa tal-petrol.Mhux disponibbliIs-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).
Prezz fil-pompa mingħajr taxxiIl-prezz fil-pompa mingħajr id-dazju tas-sisa, il-VAT u taxxi oħra fuq il-karburant.Osservat
0.8991 € għal kull litru punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-03-06)-6.12% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -1.87 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz fil-pompa bit-taxxiDak li fil-fatt ħallas sewwieq.Osservat
1.654 € għal kull litru punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-03-06)-2.86% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -1.60 unitajiet ta’ volatilità

L-esponiment fiżiku (l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz) u l-esponiment tal-prezz huma mistoqsijiet differenti. Pajjiż kważi mingħajr esponiment fiżiku dirett xorta jista’ jara l-prezz fil-pompa tiegħu jiċċaqlaq: iż-żejt mhux maħdum jiġi pprezzat fuq livell globali – u serje li ċċaqilqet f’din it-tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.

X’għamel il-prezz fil-pompa madwar din id-data

Il-paġna tal-qsim tal-prezz tista’ tiġi ffissata fuq il-ġimgħat madwar id-data tal-avveniment, biex iċ-ċaqliq fil-pompa jinqasam fit-taxxa, fl-ispiża tal-input u fil-parti li l-ispiża tal-input ma tkoprix.

Qsim tal-prezz (29/01/2023 – 07/03/2023) →

It-tieqa hija madwar id-data ppubblikata tal-avveniment (jiem qabel: 7; jiem wara: 30). Hija tieqa biex wieħed iħares, mhux dikjarazzjoni li l-avveniment kien fl-oriġini ta’ dak li fiha.

Attwali kontra ż-żejt mhux maħdum biss: l-Irlanda, petrol (Euro-super 95)

X’għamel il-prezz mingħajr taxxi minn erba’ ġimgħat qabel sa tlettax-il ġimgħa wara l-ġimgħa tal-avveniment, ħdejn dak li kien jagħmel li kieku segwa biss l-ispiża tal-input taż-żejt mhux maħdum bil-pass li tkejjel l-istima maħżuna tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet. Id-differenza mdella mhix spjegata miż-żejt mhux maħdum; mhix attribwita lill-avveniment jew lil xi ħaġa oħra. L-ebda karburant mhu magħżul: jintwera l-petrol.

Il-paragun maż-żejt mhux maħdum biss ma setax jinqara.

API 404 for /api/events/eu-russia-products-embargo-2023/crude-only: No stored crude-only run for 'eu-russia-products-embargo-2023' and country 'ireland'. Runs are stored for the pilot countries; available_countries lists them.

X’jappoġġaw in-numri, sentenza b’sentenza

Kull sentenza ġejja minn mudell fiss, magħżul skont limiti ppubblikati. Iftaħ “Għaliex din is-sentenza” biex tara n-numri li għażluha. L-ebda parti minn dan it-test mhi miktuba minn mudell lingwistiku, u l-ebda parti minnu ma tattribwixxi kawża.

  1. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, l-Irlanda) inbidel b’+2.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.9 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-IrlandaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    0.83981
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -0.6661437984449956
    t0_value
    0.81777
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    2.695134328723229
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.8601827533124403
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.02203999999999995
    change_pct_from_t0
    2.695134328723229
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.1332113069515213
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.8601827533124403
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    0.83981
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -0.6661437984449956
    t0_value
    0.81777
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    2.695134328723229
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.8601827533124403
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.02203999999999995
    change_pct_from_t0
    2.695134328723229
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.1332113069515213
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.8601827533124403

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 9b89b2e512d478bb8c31b66d255af56f17e9f1cd712ba35f4070f92a419d9e56 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  2. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, l-Irlanda) inbidel b’-1.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.5 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-IrlandaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    0.80398
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -1.0863045594756986
    t0_value
    0.81777
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -1.686293212027828
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.5381996446541992
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.013789999999999969
    change_pct_from_t0
    -1.686293212027828
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.1332113069515213
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.5381996446541992
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    0.80398
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -1.0863045594756986
    t0_value
    0.81777
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -1.686293212027828
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.5381996446541992
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.013789999999999969
    change_pct_from_t0
    -1.686293212027828
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.1332113069515213
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.5381996446541992

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità db1c28e0b150d419988a0a9e74177ff36e14c9bc97f6a3fd2764840571123c17 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  3. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, l-Irlanda) inbidel b’+0.4%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.1 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-IrlandaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    0.82064
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -0.8909409457784747
    t0_value
    0.81777
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    0.3509544248382845
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-05-01
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.11201109355747471
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.002870000000000039
    change_pct_from_t0
    0.3509544248382845
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.1332113069515213
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.11201109355747471
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    0.82064
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -0.8909409457784747
    t0_value
    0.81777
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    0.3509544248382845
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-05-01
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.11201109355747471
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.002870000000000039
    change_pct_from_t0
    0.3509544248382845
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.1332113069515213
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.11201109355747471

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità cc94c00f7fc7dc04c0ec3a7bb011e47e750f8cbdc21a45b0a093350252a0ce11 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  4. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, l-Irlanda) inbidel b’+1.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.0 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-IrlandaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.6287
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -0.6661959574881766
    t0_value
    1.6016
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    1.6920579420579498
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    1.0426396431848028
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.027100000000000124
    change_pct_from_t0
    1.6920579420579498
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.6228597800957014
    change_in_volatility_units
    1.0426396431848028
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.6287
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -0.6661959574881766
    t0_value
    1.6016
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    1.6920579420579498
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    1.0426396431848028
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.027100000000000124
    change_pct_from_t0
    1.6920579420579498
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.6228597800957014
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    1.0426396431848028

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 6e9df1190f2eb8736491f2e127d448fff641bfb5e77f776150547316164adcb4 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  5. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, l-Irlanda) inbidel b’+0.4%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.2 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-IrlandaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.608
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -0.8635441954911136
    t0_value
    1.6016
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    0.39960039960041105
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.24623224045693354
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.006400000000000183
    change_pct_from_t0
    0.39960039960041105
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.6228597800957014
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.24623224045693354
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.608
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -0.8635441954911136
    t0_value
    1.6016
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    0.39960039960041105
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.24623224045693354
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.006400000000000183
    change_pct_from_t0
    0.39960039960041105
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.6228597800957014
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.24623224045693354

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità c9b532f02508ce4a316060ce6a8270254cda83f06b912923e3fec6aefbabf3fd · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  6. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, l-Irlanda) inbidel b’+1.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.0 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-IrlandaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.6285
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -0.6681027037490743
    t0_value
    1.6016
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    1.6795704295704388
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-05-01
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    1.0349448856705248
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.026900000000000146
    change_pct_from_t0
    1.6795704295704388
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.6228597800957014
    change_in_volatility_units
    1.0349448856705248
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.6285
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -0.6681027037490743
    t0_value
    1.6016
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    1.6795704295704388
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-05-01
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    1.0349448856705248
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.026900000000000146
    change_pct_from_t0
    1.6795704295704388
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.6228597800957014
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    1.0349448856705248

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 0a651275016bc28a10f24570354fc891c0d94e750b4e30459ffff0e9cbb6589a · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  7. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, l-Irlanda) inbidel b’+1.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.6 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-IrlandaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    0.97631
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -1.0374608280205353
    t0_value
    0.9577000000000001
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    1.9431972433956253
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_IE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.5951941484553913
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.018609999999999904
    change_pct_from_t0
    1.9431972433956253
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.2648124119474007
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.5951941484553913
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    0.97631
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -1.0374608280205353
    t0_value
    0.9577000000000001
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    1.9431972433956253
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_IE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.5951941484553913
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.018609999999999904
    change_pct_from_t0
    1.9431972433956253
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.2648124119474007
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.5951941484553913

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità fe623adc2d1bacfe12f99f8ea630bf2537d12e3e38bdc8548406439c52b64c24 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  8. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, l-Irlanda) inbidel b’-6.1%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.9 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-IrlandaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    0.8991
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -1.7125312029392463
    t0_value
    0.9577000000000001
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -6.118826354808405
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_IE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.8741739440884562
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.058600000000000096
    change_pct_from_t0
    -6.118826354808405
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.2648124119474007
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.8741739440884562
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    0.8991
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -1.7125312029392463
    t0_value
    0.9577000000000001
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -6.118826354808405
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_IE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.8741739440884562
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.058600000000000096
    change_pct_from_t0
    -6.118826354808405
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.2648124119474007
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.8741739440884562

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità f0578b76f1df53d8735cb2412d5326b1b350a0d527ce7d1b1e18a0f9d0f7a884 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  9. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, l-Irlanda) inbidel b’-14.5%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’4.4 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-IrlandaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    0.81918
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -2.411295927243137
    t0_value
    0.9577000000000001
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -14.463819567714324
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_IE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-05-01
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -4.430214585923766
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.1385200000000001
    change_pct_from_t0
    -14.463819567714324
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.2648124119474007
    change_in_volatility_units
    -4.430214585923766
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    0.81918
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -2.411295927243137
    t0_value
    0.9577000000000001
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -14.463819567714324
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_IE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-05-01
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -4.430214585923766
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.1385200000000001
    change_pct_from_t0
    -14.463819567714324
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.2648124119474007
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -4.430214585923766

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 04956bbdf6c198905a6dc64a63b8c6dab24bfa34e9c87e879cf3c25e6b786a7e · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  10. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, l-Irlanda) inbidel b’+1.3%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.8 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-IrlandaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.7254
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -1.0374238279477046
    t0_value
    1.7025000000000001
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    1.3450807635829614
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_IE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.7511377216993288
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.02289999999999992
    change_pct_from_t0
    1.3450807635829614
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.7907245565299683
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.7511377216993288
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.7254
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -1.0374238279477046
    t0_value
    1.7025000000000001
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    1.3450807635829614
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_IE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.7511377216993288
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.02289999999999992
    change_pct_from_t0
    1.3450807635829614
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.7907245565299683
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.7511377216993288

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 8b2e0f223767dc8ad62cf34aa0cb6b7274f3149b4bcf9153ffe5c2d4df748f30 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  11. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, l-Irlanda) inbidel b’-2.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.6 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-IrlandaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.6538
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -1.5463815095080402
    t0_value
    1.7025000000000001
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -2.86049926578562
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_IE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.5973976876313354
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.04870000000000019
    change_pct_from_t0
    -2.86049926578562
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.7907245565299683
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.5973976876313354
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.6538
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -1.5463815095080402
    t0_value
    1.7025000000000001
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -2.86049926578562
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_IE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.5973976876313354
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.04870000000000019
    change_pct_from_t0
    -2.86049926578562
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.7907245565299683
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.5973976876313354

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità aad3e2a8bb92b3d07d544d83835b11782ffaa56ff87d59957d525d140b58559a · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  12. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, l-Irlanda) inbidel b’-8.6%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’4.8 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-IrlandaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.5555
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -2.2451320695273256
    t0_value
    1.7025000000000001
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -8.634361233480178
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_IE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-05-01
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -4.821713759379989
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.14700000000000002
    change_pct_from_t0
    -8.634361233480178
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.7907245565299683
    change_in_volatility_units
    -4.821713759379989
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.5555
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -2.2451320695273256
    t0_value
    1.7025000000000001
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -8.634361233480178
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_IE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-05-01
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -4.821713759379989
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.14700000000000002
    change_pct_from_t0
    -8.634361233480178
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.7907245565299683
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -4.821713759379989

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 11d0dae2ecda63c3643d95141e0a43eeb3cb5d47f10f6afa5c76a6eaa4313394 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  13. Fil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, l-Irlanda) b’+1.7 c/l (firxa +0.5–+2.8); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’+1.4 c/l, u jibqa’ -0.3 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.

    pajjiż: l-IrlandaIkkalkulatMedja
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    weeks
    4
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Ireland
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    offset_weeks
    4
    proxy_product
    GASOLINE
    proxy_to_date
    2023-02-27
    pass_through_k
    5
    proxy_from_date
    2023-01-30
    observation_date
    2023-02-27
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.0027759688003925684
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2023-01-30
    actual_eur_per_litre
    0.013739999999999974
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.016515968800392543
    proxy_volatility_units
    -0.06928868336620317
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    -3.1020000000000003
    pass_through_sample_start
    2005-01-03
    pass_through_window_label
    FULL_SAMPLE
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    0.005147825540807964
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.02788411205997724
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    182.6569381415496
    Limiti
    source
    docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
    proxy_rule
    the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
    confidence_cap
    MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
    statement_weeks
    [4,13]
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    weeks
    4
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Ireland
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    offset_weeks
    4
    proxy_product
    GASOLINE
    proxy_to_date
    2023-02-27
    pass_through_k
    5
    proxy_from_date
    2023-01-30
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2023-02-27
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.0027759688003925684
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2023-01-30
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    actual_eur_per_litre
    0.013739999999999974
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.016515968800392543
    proxy_volatility_units
    -0.06928868336620317
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    -3.1020000000000003
    pass_through_sample_start
    2005-01-03
    pass_through_window_label
    FULL_SAMPLE
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    0.005147825540807964
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.02788411205997724
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    182.6569381415496

    Mudell event.crude_only.computed v1.2 · Marka tal-identità b514067705f6f2da59f3327591e75a76ea2a2cb6f37e46095bd3a1118751d671 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  14. Fil-perjodu ta’ 13-il ġimgħa wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, l-Irlanda) b’+5.0 c/l (firxa -0.2–+10.3); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’+0.3 c/l, u jibqa’ -4.8 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.

    pajjiż: l-IrlandaIkkalkulatMedja
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    weeks
    13
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Ireland
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    offset_weeks
    13
    proxy_product
    GASOLINE
    proxy_to_date
    2023-04-28
    pass_through_k
    5
    proxy_from_date
    2023-01-30
    observation_date
    2023-05-01
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.04758143286367694
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2023-01-30
    actual_eur_per_litre
    0.002870000000000039
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.05045143286367698
    proxy_volatility_units
    0.11373887030970548
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    5.091999999999999
    pass_through_sample_start
    2005-01-03
    pass_through_window_label
    FULL_SAMPLE
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    -0.0023526310142132547
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.10325549674156766
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    182.6569381415496
    Limiti
    source
    docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
    proxy_rule
    the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
    confidence_cap
    MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
    statement_weeks
    [4,13]
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    weeks
    13
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Ireland
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    offset_weeks
    13
    proxy_product
    GASOLINE
    proxy_to_date
    2023-04-28
    pass_through_k
    5
    proxy_from_date
    2023-01-30
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2023-05-01
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.04758143286367694
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2023-01-30
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    actual_eur_per_litre
    0.002870000000000039
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.05045143286367698
    proxy_volatility_units
    0.11373887030970548
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    5.091999999999999
    pass_through_sample_start
    2005-01-03
    pass_through_window_label
    FULL_SAMPLE
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    -0.0023526310142132547
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.10325549674156766
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    182.6569381415496

    Mudell event.crude_only.computed v1.2 · Marka tal-identità b3eedaed8a78e6354b7ba16518af537bd3c06200cbfeaa32be258d84730e09b5 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  15. Fil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, l-Irlanda) b’+3.3 c/l (firxa +1.3–+5.2); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’-2.2 c/l, u jibqa’ -5.4 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.

    pajjiż: l-IrlandaIkkalkulatMedja
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    weeks
    4
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Ireland
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_IE_DIESEL
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    offset_weeks
    4
    proxy_product
    DIESEL
    proxy_to_date
    2023-02-27
    pass_through_k
    4
    proxy_from_date
    2023-01-30
    observation_date
    2023-02-27
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.05424954850082284
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2023-01-30
    actual_eur_per_litre
    -0.021710000000000118
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.032539548500822725
    proxy_volatility_units
    -1.9939207000691863
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    -8.939999999999998
    pass_through_sample_start
    2005-01-03
    pass_through_window_label
    FULL_SAMPLE
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    0.012798965212038129
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.05228013178960699
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    9.833812917722621
    Limiti
    source
    docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
    proxy_rule
    the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
    confidence_cap
    MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
    statement_weeks
    [4,13]
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    weeks
    4
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Ireland
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_IE_DIESEL
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    offset_weeks
    4
    proxy_product
    DIESEL
    proxy_to_date
    2023-02-27
    pass_through_k
    4
    proxy_from_date
    2023-01-30
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2023-02-27
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.05424954850082284
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2023-01-30
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    actual_eur_per_litre
    -0.021710000000000118
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.032539548500822725
    proxy_volatility_units
    -1.9939207000691863
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    -8.939999999999998
    pass_through_sample_start
    2005-01-03
    pass_through_window_label
    FULL_SAMPLE
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    0.012798965212038129
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.05228013178960699
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    9.833812917722621

    Mudell event.crude_only.computed v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 23cbfe5afe33e481058d5ad8f3627c4fa5b845fb7a627bca57939d5675d379c2 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  16. Fil-perjodu ta’ 13-il ġimgħa wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, l-Irlanda) b’+11.7 c/l (firxa +3.5–+20.0); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’-13.9 c/l, u jibqa’ -25.6 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum. Fl-istess perjodu, il-crack spread tal-Istati Uniti (diżil), indikatur tas-suq tal-prodotti tal-Atlantiku u mhux marġni Ewropew, naqas b’27.3 $/bbl.

    pajjiż: l-IrlandaIkkalkulatMedja
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    weeks
    13
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Ireland
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_IE_DIESEL
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    offset_weeks
    13
    proxy_product
    DIESEL
    proxy_to_date
    2023-04-28
    pass_through_k
    4
    proxy_from_date
    2023-01-30
    observation_date
    2023-05-01
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.25573209330059854
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2023-01-30
    actual_eur_per_litre
    -0.1385200000000001
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.11721209330059848
    proxy_volatility_units
    -6.086587908824174
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    -27.290000000000003
    pass_through_sample_start
    2005-01-03
    pass_through_window_label
    FULL_SAMPLE
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    0.034909091532445466
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.1995150950687496
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    9.833812917722621
    Limiti
    source
    docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
    proxy_rule
    the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
    confidence_cap
    MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
    statement_weeks
    [4,13]
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    weeks
    13
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Ireland
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_IE_DIESEL
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    offset_weeks
    13
    proxy_product
    DIESEL
    proxy_to_date
    2023-04-28
    pass_through_k
    4
    proxy_from_date
    2023-01-30
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2023-05-01
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.25573209330059854
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2023-01-30
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    actual_eur_per_litre
    -0.1385200000000001
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.11721209330059848
    proxy_volatility_units
    -6.086587908824174
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    -27.290000000000003
    pass_through_sample_start
    2005-01-03
    pass_through_window_label
    FULL_SAMPLE
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    0.034909091532445466
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.1995150950687496
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    9.833812917722621

    Mudell event.crude_only.computed_with_proxy v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 0098d0368b8a364216157303d89a4f0f6639ef3da41bc2ec08440e46fd239fd7 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  17. L-Irlanda, Frar 2023: id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (żejt mhux maħdum) kienet limitata (0%).

    pajjiż: l-IrlandaIkkalkulatBaxxa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    limited
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2023-02
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    commodity
    crude
    dimension
    DIRECT_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    value_max_pct
    0
    value_min_pct
    0
    exposure_status
    COMPUTED
    value_point_pct
    0
    observation_date
    2023-02-01
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
    band_applied_to
    upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
    dependence_limited_max_pct
    10
    dependence_moderate_max_pct
    33
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    limited
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2023-02
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    commodity
    crude
    dimension
    DIRECT_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    value_max_pct
    0
    value_min_pct
    0
    exposure_status
    COMPUTED
    statement_topic
    hormuz
    value_point_pct
    0
    observation_date
    2023-02-01
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.dependence.point v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 0c941e06fd3a548747ac6929125e2cce626b654502e72b4cbbb57ef309a44c97 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  18. L-Irlanda, Frar 2023: id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (prodott raffinat) kienet limitata (0%).

    pajjiż: l-IrlandaIkkalkulatBaxxa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    limited
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2023-02
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    commodity
    refined product
    dimension
    DIRECT_PRODUCT
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    value_max_pct
    0
    value_min_pct
    0
    exposure_status
    COMPUTED
    value_point_pct
    0
    observation_date
    2023-02-01
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
    band_applied_to
    upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
    dependence_limited_max_pct
    10
    dependence_moderate_max_pct
    33
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    limited
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2023-02
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    commodity
    refined product
    dimension
    DIRECT_PRODUCT
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    value_max_pct
    0
    value_min_pct
    0
    exposure_status
    COMPUTED
    statement_topic
    hormuz
    value_point_pct
    0
    observation_date
    2023-02-01
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.dependence.point v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 2d5b55ead3f490426432cc9e8699d9e6884513e0e0297d76b68020d648b89bec · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  19. L-evidenza disponibbli ma turix tnaqqis fiżiku fil-provvista: l-importazzjonijiet irrappurtati taż-żejt mhux maħdum (l-Irlanda, Frar 2023) meta mqabbla mal-medja tax-xhur ta’ qabel (12): -7.1%.

    pajjiż: l-IrlandaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2023-02
    country
    Ireland
    change_pct
    -7.050630986772089
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    value_tonnes
    241984
    baseline_months
    12
    observation_date
    2023-02-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
    crude_imports_rule
    crude_imports_total-1.1
    baseline_mean_tonnes
    260339.58333333334
    baseline_window_months
    12
    value_not_published_code
    null
    baseline_not_published_months
    0
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no cut-off
    min_baseline_months
    6
    baseline_months_used
    12
    supply_reduction_pct
    -10
    supply_baseline_months
    12
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2023-02
    country
    Ireland
    change_pct
    -7.050630986772089
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    value_tonnes
    241984
    baseline_months
    12
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2023-02-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
    crude_imports_rule
    crude_imports_total-1.1
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    baseline_mean_tonnes
    260339.58333333334
    baseline_window_months
    12
    value_not_published_code
    null
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    baseline_not_published_months
    0

    Mudell event.supply.no_reduction v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 89950b5b7d68dbad7519dc4cfdb09fe230b5c924ebb2408d40edf7d0fdc6312e · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  20. Frar 2023: l-istokkijiet taż-żejt (l-Irlanda) kienu 7.6% ogħla meta mqabbla mal-medja mobbli tagħhom (xhur: 12), jiem ta’ kopertura: 85.0 (kif ippubblikati).

    pajjiż: l-IrlandaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2023-02
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    direction
    above
    siec_code
    O4000
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    holder_type
    STK_CL
    series_code
    INVENTORY_IE
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    days_of_cover
    85
    metric_status
    COMPUTED
    mom_change_pct
    -2.064525759169591
    observation_date
    2023-02-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
    total_stock_tonnes
    1942082
    days_of_cover_basis
    as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
    observation_gap_days
    4
    trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
    1805054.4166666667
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
    7.591327002006818
    trailing_12m_observations
    12
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no band
    band_applied_to
    the rounded figure printed in the sentence
    days_of_cover_basis
    as published (Eurostat nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); never stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
    trailing_window_months
    12
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_raw
    7.591327002006818
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_shown
    7.6
    inventory_material_deviation_pct
    5
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2023-02
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    direction
    above
    siec_code
    O4000
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    holder_type
    STK_CL
    series_code
    INVENTORY_IE
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    days_of_cover
    85
    metric_status
    COMPUTED
    mom_change_pct
    -2.064525759169591
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2023-02-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
    total_stock_tonnes
    1942082
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    days_of_cover_basis
    as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    4
    trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
    1805054.4166666667
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
    7.591327002006818
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    trailing_12m_observations
    12

    Mudell event.inventory_level.above v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 919cd8559c37cef1de775ffeac4da635ec53acc01fe7380839be4fa291261427 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  21. Sommarju ta’ x’jista’ jiġi vverifikat hawn

    Parti biss mill-katina tista’ tiġi vverifikata għal dan il-pajjiż (l-Irlanda) madwar l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”: serje disponibbli: 4 minn 8 (prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdum, stokkijiet, prezz fil-pompa mingħajr taxxi u prezz fil-pompa bit-taxxi); mhux disponibbli: prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinati, marġni tar-raffinar, noli u prezzijiet bl-ingrossa. Kull dikjarazzjoni bbażata fuq ir-rabtiet neqsin ma tistax tiġi ttestjata hawn. Id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (żejt mhux maħdum) kienet limitata (0–0%) matul il-perjodu kopert. Din il-paġna tiddeskrivi x’għamlet kull serje madwar id-data tal-avveniment. Mhijiex sejba dwar kawża: l-ebda disinn kawżali mhu ppubblikat għal dan is-sit, u serje li ċċaqilqet fl-istess tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.

    pajjiż: l-IrlandaMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    country
    Ireland
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    dependence_band
    limited
    dependence_range
    0–0%
    channels_available
    ["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
    supply_template_id
    event.supply.no_reduction
    channels_unavailable
    ["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; the channel list is docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.3
    channels_total
    8
    channels_available
    4
    verdict_partial_min_channels
    3
    verdict_assessable_min_channels
    8
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    country
    Ireland
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    dependence_band
    limited
    statement_topic
    event
    dependence_range
    0–0%
    channels_available
    ["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
    supply_template_id
    event.supply.no_reduction
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    channels_unavailable
    ["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.verdict.partial v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 194cf6bfd44a78541a3c65fede952f8d76f5b185f57a3ae6865042b88cf8b8d8 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  22. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’+8.4%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.8 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    85.46
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    0.08812991325524933
    t0_value
    78.85
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    8.383005707038683
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    BRENT
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2023-02-10
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    1.8495435613044966
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    6.609999999999999
    change_pct_from_t0
    8.383005707038683
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.532472704306617
    change_in_volatility_units
    1.8495435613044966
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    85.46
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    0.08812991325524933
    t0_value
    78.85
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    8.383005707038683
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    BRENT
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2023-02-10
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    1.8495435613044966
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    6.609999999999999
    change_pct_from_t0
    8.383005707038683
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.532472704306617
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    1.8495435613044966

    Mudell event.benchmark_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 38adc5dea4321bbd49653a24f7c0174373d8aa5326085a6d6dbe425d5975e73b · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  23. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’+8.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.0 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    85.86
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    0.1507166248435324
    t0_value
    78.85
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    8.890298034242239
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    BRENT
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    1.9614675287056775
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    7.010000000000005
    change_pct_from_t0
    8.890298034242239
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.532472704306617
    change_in_volatility_units
    1.9614675287056775
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    85.86
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    0.1507166248435324
    t0_value
    78.85
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    8.890298034242239
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    BRENT
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    1.9614675287056775
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    7.010000000000005
    change_pct_from_t0
    8.890298034242239
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.532472704306617
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    1.9614675287056775

    Mudell event.benchmark_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 0da9031a475f48ba9492ce0f26d02ef4b075756fb5a3ed508e2b5f1ea86c489b · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  24. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’-3.8%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.8 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    75.85
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    -1.4155158326532304
    t0_value
    78.85
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    -3.804692454026633
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    BRENT
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2023-05-05
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.8394297555088486
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -3
    change_pct_from_t0
    -3.804692454026633
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.532472704306617
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.8394297555088486
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    75.85
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    -1.4155158326532304
    t0_value
    78.85
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    -3.804692454026633
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    BRENT
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2023-05-05
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.8394297555088486
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -3
    change_pct_from_t0
    -3.804692454026633
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.532472704306617
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.8394297555088486

    Mudell event.benchmark_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 956c15054a5318a99cfc9c833555e8d3f8ac980a1c014dbf655e5357d300335e · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  25. Noli – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: in-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["freight rates"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
    Limiti
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["freight rates"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 298ab38a71e7fa1e827846158174e16f115ed958766d0a18618b16aa877096e8 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  26. Prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinati – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni. Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refined-product benchmark"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
    Limiti
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refined-product benchmark"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 0a3ee8f8627510915169cd9a2eaa4452fa0806bd90c55f8208323cb6b271bea9 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  27. Prezzijiet bl-ingrossa – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["wholesale prices"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
    Limiti
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["wholesale prices"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità b5b761de3451d820e679168f99a9b0a6cadccd3d87b852d57da6f18bc2de3e6c · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  28. Marġni tar-raffinar – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: m’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refining margin"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    reason_code
    NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
    Limiti
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refining margin"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità e9796ff5d8838330a75be8298f9f4cd8c4fea863574dbd933141d0a1f568d3c6 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

X’ma jurix dan

  • Ma jurix li l-avveniment kien fl-oriġini ta’ xi ħaġa. L-ebda disinn kawżali mhu ppubblikat għal dan is-sit, u serje li ċċaqilqet f’din it-tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.
  • Bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza, u lanqas punteġġ z ma hu. Ikejlu affarijiet differenti u mhumiex interkambjabbli.
  • Il-kanali mingħajr sors b’liċenzja għall-użu jew diġà mtella’ jintwerew bħala pannelli vojta, mhux bħala linji ċatti. “Ma nistgħux naraw dan” ma jfissirx “dan ma ċċaqlaqx”.
  • Xejn ma jiġi interpolat. Fejn diversi punti tat-tieqa jaqgħu fuq ċifra ppubblikata waħda, dak hu li stampa l-pubblikatur, u l-bidla meta mqabbla mad-data tal-avveniment hija żero: huwa l-istess numru.

L-Irlanda: provvista, raffineriji u prezzijiet fil-pompa →

Kif jinqraw it-tikketti

  • UffiċjaliIrrappurtat direttament minn awtorità uffiċjali.
  • IvverifikatIrrappurtat minn parti terza u vverifikat minna ma’ rekord primarju.
  • IkkalkulatIkkalkulat minna minn inputs irrappurtati. Il-metodu huwa ppubblikat fil-paġna tal-metodoloġija.
  • Inferit · kunfidenza għoljaMhux irrappurtat. Inferit minn mill-inqas żewġ rekords fiżiċi indipendenti.
  • Inferit · kunfidenza medjaMhux irrappurtat. Inferit minn evidenza indiretta qawwija, mingħajr konferma espliċita.
  • Inferit · kunfidenza baxxaMhux irrappurtat. Plawżibbli biss minn data dwar l-infrastruttura jew il-movimenti. Taqrahx bħala fatt.
  • Mhux magħrufL-ebda evidenza pubblika difendibbli ma tistabbilixxi dan. Ma nagħmlux suppożizzjonijiet, u dan mhuwiex kejl ta’ żero.