Fuel Origin

Avvenimenti / Projbizzjoni fuq l-importazzjoni

Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)

Dati
05/02/2023 → l-ebda data tat-tmiem irreġistrata
Preċiżjoni tad-data
jum
Status
Għadu għaddej
Ambitu
L-Unjoni Ewropea

X’qalu s-sorsi (bl-Ingliż)

Second phase of the sixth sanctions package of 3 June 2022 (Council Regulation (EU) 2022/879 amending Regulation (EU) No 833/2014): an eight-month wind-down for refined petroleum products against six months for seaborne crude. Eurostat, 19 June 2023: "The ban on imports of seaborne crude oil entered into force on 5 December 2022, while the ban on petroleum products took effect on 5 February 2023." Recorded as a separate marker because each event on this timeline has a single start date and the two phases have different in-force dates. This row is a timeline marker only; it makes no statement about prices.

L-AIE, l-EIA, il-Kummissjoni Ewropea, il-Kunsill Ewropew u leġiżlaturi nazzjonali (iċċitati għal kull ringiela)Uffiċjali
Miġbur 25/09/2026 14:07 UTCReviżjoni 2
Dokumenti tas-sors (2)
PajjiżPajjiżIl-ĠermanjaFranzaIn-NetherlandsIl-PolonjaIl-FinlandjaL-EstonjaL-AwstrijaIl-BelġjuIl-BulgarijaIl-KroazjaĊipruIċ-ĊekjaId-DanimarkaIl-GreċjaL-UngerijaL-IrlandaL-ItaljaIl-LatvjaIl-LitwanjaIl-LussemburguMaltaIl-PortugallIr-RumanijaIs-SlovakkjaIs-SlovenjaSpanjaL-Iżvezja
KarburantKarburantDiżil (żejt tal-gass għall-vetturi)Petrol (Euro-super 95)Iż-żewġ karburanti

Jekk tagħżel karburant, jinżammu s-serje ta’ dak il-karburant u l-kanali komuni għall-karburanti kollha – il-prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdum, ir-rata tal-kambju, l-importazzjonijiet taż-żejt mhux maħdum u l-esponiment għal Hormuz. Jitneħħew biss is-serje tal-karburant l-ieħor.

It-tieqa tal-avveniment

Kemm kienet tiswa kull serje fil-jiem madwar id-data tal-avveniment (minn -30 sa 90), kemm dan hu ’l bogħod mil-livell tal-istess serje fid-data tal-avveniment, u kemm hu kbir dak iċ-ċaqliq meta mqabbel mal-varjazzjoni normali tas-serje stess.

Il-Portugall, il-karburanti kollha f’dan il-kalkolu. Serje li jistgħu jitpinġew: 22; serje li ma jistgħu jidhru bl-ebda mod, murija hawn taħt bħala pannelli vojta b’tikketta: 7.

Qari ppubblikat: 277; punti tat-tieqa mingħajr xejn ippubblikat fi żmien perjodu wieħed: 9; punti tat-tieqa fuq serje li ma nistgħu naraw xejn minnhom: 91. Kollha jidhru f’din il-paġna.

Europe Brent spot FOB

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+9088.2974.522023-01-06: 76.41 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-20: 86.96 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-27: 85.36 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −72023-02-02: 80.57 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-02-03, 78.85 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −1, T02023-02-06: 80.48 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +12023-02-08: 84.17 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +32023-02-10: 85.46 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72023-02-17: 81.97 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 85.86 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-06: 86.56 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-05: 75.85 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Europe Brent spot FOB): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-0676.41-2.440-3.09%-0.68
−142023-01-2086.96+8.110+10.29%+2.27
−72023-01-2785.36+6.510+8.26%+1.82
−32023-02-0280.57+1.720+2.18%+0.48
−12023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T078.850.0000.00%0.00
T02023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T078.850.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-0680.48+1.630+2.07%+0.46
+32023-02-0884.17+5.320+6.75%+1.49
+72023-02-1085.46+6.610+8.38%+1.85
+142023-02-1781.97+3.120+3.96%+0.87
+302023-03-0685.86+7.010+8.89%+1.96
+602023-04-0686.56+7.710+9.78%+2.16
+902023-05-0575.85-3.000-3.80%-0.84

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 4.53%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 757). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

reported crude oil imports, all origins

Unità: tIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+90958,410736,8562023-01-01: 812,659 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −30, −14, −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-02-01, 758,297 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T0, +1, +3, +7, +142023-03-01: 936,969 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-01: 857,760 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 834,683 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (reported crude oil imports, all origins): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-01812,659+54,362+7.17%+0.15
−142023-01-01812,659+54,362+7.17%+0.15
−72023-01-01812,659+54,362+7.17%+0.15
−32023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0758,2970.0000.00%0.00
−12023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0758,2970.0000.00%0.00
T02023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0758,2970.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0758,2970.0000.00%0.00
+32023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0758,2970.0000.00%0.00
+72023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0758,2970.0000.00%0.00
+142023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0758,2970.0000.00%0.00
+302023-03-01936,969+178,672+23.56%+0.50
+602023-04-01857,760+99,463+13.12%+0.28
+902023-05-01834,683+76,386+10.07%+0.21

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 47.24%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 35). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja
T0−30T0+30+60+901.0600.9382023-01-02: 0.9498 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-16: 0.9504 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-23: 0.9732 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-01-30, 0.9863 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T02023-02-06: 0.9759 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +1, +3, +72023-02-13: 0.9890 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 1.008 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-03: 0.9990 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 1.049 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-020.9498-0.036-3.70%-0.15
−142023-01-160.9504-0.036-3.64%-0.15
−72023-01-230.9732-0.013-1.32%-0.05
−32023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.98630.0000.00%0.00
−12023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.98630.0000.00%0.00
T02023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.98630.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-060.9759-0.010-1.05%-0.04
+32023-02-060.9759-0.010-1.05%-0.04
+72023-02-060.9759-0.010-1.05%-0.04
+142023-02-130.9890+0.003+0.27%+0.01
+302023-03-061.008+0.022+2.23%+0.09
+602023-04-030.9990+0.013+1.28%+0.05
+902023-05-011.049+0.062+6.32%+0.26

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 24.77%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 149). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja
T0−30T0+30+60+900.8940.8592023-01-02: 0.8717 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-16: 0.8648 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-23: 0.8801 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-01-30, 0.8878 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T02023-02-06: 0.8769 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +1, +3, +72023-02-13: 0.8816 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 0.8903 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-03: 0.8619 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 0.8836 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-020.8717-0.016-1.81%-0.76
−142023-01-160.8648-0.023-2.60%-1.09
−72023-01-230.8801-0.008-0.87%-0.37
−32023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.88780.0000.00%0.00
−12023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.88780.0000.00%0.00
T02023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.88780.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-060.8769-0.011-1.23%-0.52
+32023-02-060.8769-0.011-1.23%-0.52
+72023-02-060.8769-0.011-1.23%-0.52
+142023-02-130.8816-0.006-0.70%-0.30
+302023-03-060.8903+0.002+0.27%+0.11
+602023-04-030.8619-0.026-2.92%-1.23
+902023-05-010.8836-0.004-0.48%-0.20

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 2.38%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 149). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE

Unità: USD għal kull EURIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+901.1081.0442023-01-06: 1.050 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-20: 1.083 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-27: 1.087 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −72023-02-02: 1.099 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-02-03, 1.094 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −1, T02023-02-06: 1.078 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +12023-02-08: 1.074 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +32023-02-10: 1.069 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72023-02-17: 1.063 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-07: 1.067 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-06: 1.092 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-05: 1.101 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-061.050-0.044-4.00%-7.81
−142023-01-201.083-0.011-1.01%-1.98
−72023-01-271.087-0.007-0.66%-1.29
−32023-02-021.099+0.005+0.47%+0.91
−12023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.0940.0000.00%0.00
T02023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.0940.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-061.078-0.016-1.47%-2.88
+32023-02-081.074-0.020-1.85%-3.61
+72023-02-101.069-0.025-2.26%-4.41
+142023-02-171.063-0.031-2.85%-5.57
+302023-03-071.067-0.027-2.49%-4.86
+602023-04-061.092-0.002-0.20%-0.39
+902023-05-051.101+0.008+0.70%+1.38

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 0.51%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 772). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1

Unità: % tat-tunnellati importatiIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatBaxxa
T0−30T0+30+60+901.0000.0002023-01-01: 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −30, −14, −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-02-01, 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T0, +1, +3, +7, +142023-03-01: 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-01: 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−142023-01-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−72023-01-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−32023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−12023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
T02023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+12023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+32023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+72023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+142023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+302023-03-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+602023-04-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+902023-05-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2

Unità: % tat-tunnellati importatiIppubblikat: kull xaharMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
T0−30T0+30+60+901.7330.0002023-01-01: 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −30, −14, −72023-03-01: 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-02-01: 0 sa 1.547 % tat-tunnellati importati. Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: ma jitpinġa l-ebda punt tan-nofs.2023-04-01: 0 sa 0.5773 % tat-tunnellati importati. Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: ma jitpinġa l-ebda punt tan-nofs.2023-05-01: 0 sa 0.8075 % tat-tunnellati importati. Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: ma jitpinġa l-ebda punt tan-nofs.

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab. Il-faxxa mdella hija l-firxa ammissibbli. Ma jitpinġa l-ebda punt tan-nofs: ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu.

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-010mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−142023-01-010mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−72023-01-010mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−32023-02-010–1.547mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−12023-02-010–1.547mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
T02023-02-010–1.547mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+12023-02-010–1.547mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+32023-02-010–1.547mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+72023-02-010–1.547mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+142023-02-010–1.547mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+302023-03-010mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+602023-04-010–0.5773mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+902023-05-010–0.8075mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma

Unità: kopertura (jiem)Ippubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+9096.4891.522023-01-01: 96.00 kopertura (jiem), użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −30, −14, −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-02-01, 96.00 kopertura (jiem), użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T0, +1, +3, +7, +142023-03-01: 92.00 kopertura (jiem), użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-01: 96.00 kopertura (jiem), użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 94.00 kopertura (jiem), użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-0196.000.0000.00%0.00
−142023-01-0196.000.0000.00%0.00
−72023-01-0196.000.0000.00%0.00
−32023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T096.000.0000.00%0.00
−12023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T096.000.0000.00%0.00
T02023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T096.000.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T096.000.0000.00%0.00
+32023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T096.000.0000.00%0.00
+72023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T096.000.0000.00%0.00
+142023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T096.000.0000.00%0.00
+302023-03-0192.00-4.000-4.17%-2.03
+602023-04-0196.000.0000.00%0.00
+902023-05-0194.00-2.000-2.08%-1.01

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 2.06%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 35). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+900.5050.4172023-01-02: 0.4598 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-16: 0.4913 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-23: 0.4969 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-01-30, 0.4720 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T02023-02-06: 0.4881 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +1, +3, +72023-02-13: 0.4951 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 0.4922 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-03: 0.4959 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 0.4258 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-020.4598-0.012-2.58%-0.32
−142023-01-160.4913+0.019+4.09%+0.51
−72023-01-230.4969+0.025+5.28%+0.65
−32023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.47200.0000.00%0.00
−12023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.47200.0000.00%0.00
T02023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.47200.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-060.4881+0.016+3.41%+0.42
+32023-02-060.4881+0.016+3.41%+0.42
+72023-02-060.4881+0.016+3.41%+0.42
+142023-02-130.4951+0.023+4.89%+0.61
+302023-03-060.4922+0.020+4.28%+0.53
+602023-04-030.4959+0.024+5.07%+0.63
+902023-05-010.4258-0.046-9.79%-1.21

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 8.07%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 149). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+900.5050.4172023-01-02: 0.4598 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-16: 0.4913 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-23: 0.4969 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-01-30, 0.4720 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T02023-02-06: 0.4881 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +1, +3, +72023-02-13: 0.4951 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 0.4922 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-03: 0.4959 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 0.4258 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-020.4598-0.012-2.58%-0.32
−142023-01-160.4913+0.019+4.09%+0.51
−72023-01-230.4969+0.025+5.28%+0.65
−32023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.47200.0000.00%0.00
−12023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.47200.0000.00%0.00
T02023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.47200.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-060.4881+0.016+3.41%+0.42
+32023-02-060.4881+0.016+3.41%+0.42
+72023-02-060.4881+0.016+3.41%+0.42
+142023-02-130.4951+0.023+4.89%+0.61
+302023-03-060.4922+0.020+4.28%+0.53
+602023-04-030.4959+0.024+5.07%+0.63
+902023-05-010.4258-0.046-9.79%-1.21

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 8.07%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 149). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom

Unità: tIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+902,983,7142,734,9082023-01-01: 2,883,318 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −30, −14, −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-02-01, 2,848,935 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T0, +1, +3, +7, +142023-03-01: 2,807,491 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-01: 2,959,636 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 2,758,986 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-012,883,318+34,383+1.21%+0.20
−142023-01-012,883,318+34,383+1.21%+0.20
−72023-01-012,883,318+34,383+1.21%+0.20
−32023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T02,848,9350.0000.00%0.00
−12023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T02,848,9350.0000.00%0.00
T02023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T02,848,9350.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T02,848,9350.0000.00%0.00
+32023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T02,848,9350.0000.00%0.00
+72023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T02,848,9350.0000.00%0.00
+142023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T02,848,9350.0000.00%0.00
+302023-03-012,807,491-41,444-1.45%-0.25
+602023-04-012,959,636+110,701+3.89%+0.66
+902023-05-012,758,986-89,949-3.16%-0.53

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 5.91%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 35). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja
T0−30T0+30+60+900.059-0.3042023-01-02: 0.0234 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-16: 0.0042 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-23: 0.0001 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-01-30, 0 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T02023-02-06: -0.0466 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +1, +3, +72023-02-13: -0.0978 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: -0.1058 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-03: -0.1550 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: -0.2692 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-020.0234+0.023mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−142023-01-160.0042+0.004mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−72023-01-230.0001+0.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−32023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−12023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
T02023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+12023-02-06-0.0466-0.047mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+32023-02-06-0.0466-0.047mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+72023-02-06-0.0466-0.047mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+142023-02-13-0.0978-0.098mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+302023-03-06-0.1058-0.106mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+602023-04-03-0.1550-0.155mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+902023-05-01-0.2692-0.269mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja
T0−30T0+30+60+900.009-0.0762023-01-02: -0.0400 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-16: -0.0314 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-23: -0.0199 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-01-30, 0 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T02023-02-06: -0.0107 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +1, +3, +72023-02-13: -0.0324 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: -0.0361 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-03: 0.0003 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: -0.0679 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-02-0.0400-0.040mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−142023-01-16-0.0314-0.031mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−72023-01-23-0.0199-0.020mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−32023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−12023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
T02023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+12023-02-06-0.0107-0.011mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+32023-02-06-0.0107-0.011mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+72023-02-06-0.0107-0.011mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+142023-02-13-0.0324-0.032mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+302023-03-06-0.0361-0.036mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+602023-04-030.0003+0.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+902023-05-01-0.0679-0.068mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+901.6741.4302023-01-02: 1.634 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-16: 1.611 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-23: 1.634 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-01-30, 1.650 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T02023-02-06: 1.580 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +1, +3, +72023-02-13: 1.533 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 1.566 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-03: 1.494 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 1.454 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-021.634-0.016-0.97%-0.40
−142023-01-161.611-0.039-2.36%-0.98
−72023-01-231.634-0.016-0.97%-0.40
−32023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.6500.0000.00%0.00
−12023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.6500.0000.00%0.00
T02023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.6500.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-061.580-0.070-4.24%-1.76
+32023-02-061.580-0.070-4.24%-1.76
+72023-02-061.580-0.070-4.24%-1.76
+142023-02-131.533-0.117-7.09%-2.93
+302023-03-061.566-0.084-5.09%-2.11
+602023-04-031.494-0.156-9.45%-3.91
+902023-05-011.454-0.196-11.88%-4.91

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 2.42%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 149). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+901.7491.6492023-01-02: 1.670 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-16: 1.672 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-23: 1.705 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-01-30, 1.739 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T02023-02-06: 1.689 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +1, +3, +72023-02-13: 1.668 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 1.683 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-03: 1.693 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 1.659 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-021.670-0.069-3.97%-2.01
−142023-01-161.672-0.067-3.85%-1.95
−72023-01-231.705-0.034-1.96%-0.99
−32023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.7390.0000.00%0.00
−12023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.7390.0000.00%0.00
T02023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.7390.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-061.689-0.050-2.88%-1.45
+32023-02-061.689-0.050-2.88%-1.45
+72023-02-061.689-0.050-2.88%-1.45
+142023-02-131.668-0.071-4.08%-2.06
+302023-03-061.683-0.056-3.22%-1.63
+602023-04-031.693-0.046-2.65%-1.34
+902023-05-011.659-0.080-4.60%-2.33

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.98%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 149). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+901.0110.7552023-01-02: 0.9733 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-16: 0.9546 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-23: 0.9733 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-01-30, 0.9863 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T02023-02-06: 0.9294 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +1, +3, +72023-02-13: 0.8912 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 0.9025 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-03: 0.8440 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 0.7794 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-020.9733-0.013-1.32%-0.36
−142023-01-160.9546-0.032-3.21%-0.87
−72023-01-230.9733-0.013-1.32%-0.36
−32023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.98630.0000.00%0.00
−12023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.98630.0000.00%0.00
T02023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.98630.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-060.9294-0.057-5.77%-1.56
+32023-02-060.9294-0.057-5.77%-1.56
+72023-02-060.9294-0.057-5.77%-1.56
+142023-02-130.8912-0.095-9.64%-2.60
+302023-03-060.9025-0.084-8.49%-2.29
+602023-04-030.8440-0.142-14.43%-3.90
+902023-05-010.7794-0.207-20.98%-5.67

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 3.70%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 149). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+900.8960.8072023-01-02: 0.8317 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-16: 0.8334 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-23: 0.8602 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-01-30, 0.8878 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T02023-02-06: 0.8663 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +1, +3, +72023-02-13: 0.8492 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 0.8541 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-03: 0.8623 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 0.8157 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-020.8317-0.056-6.32%-1.74
−142023-01-160.8334-0.054-6.14%-1.69
−72023-01-230.8602-0.028-3.11%-0.86
−32023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.88780.0000.00%0.00
−12023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.88780.0000.00%0.00
T02023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.88780.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-060.8663-0.022-2.43%-0.67
+32023-02-060.8663-0.022-2.43%-0.67
+72023-02-060.8663-0.022-2.43%-0.67
+142023-02-130.8492-0.039-4.35%-1.20
+302023-03-060.8541-0.034-3.80%-1.05
+602023-04-030.8623-0.026-2.88%-0.80
+902023-05-010.8157-0.072-8.12%-2.24

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 3.62%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 149). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+900.6790.6382023-01-02: 0.6607 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-16: 0.6564 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-23: 0.6607 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-01-30, 0.6637 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T02023-02-06: 0.6506 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +1, +3, +72023-02-13: 0.6418 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 0.6635 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-03: 0.6500 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 0.6746 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-020.6607-0.003-0.45%-0.25
−142023-01-160.6564-0.007-1.10%-0.60
−72023-01-230.6607-0.003-0.45%-0.25
−32023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.66370.0000.00%0.00
−12023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.66370.0000.00%0.00
T02023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.66370.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-060.6506-0.013-1.97%-1.07
+32023-02-060.6506-0.013-1.97%-1.07
+72023-02-060.6506-0.013-1.97%-1.07
+142023-02-130.6418-0.022-3.30%-1.79
+302023-03-060.6635-0.000-0.03%-0.02
+602023-04-030.6500-0.014-2.06%-1.12
+902023-05-010.6746+0.011+1.64%+0.89

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.84%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 149). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+900.8550.8152023-01-02: 0.8383 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-16: 0.8386 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-23: 0.8448 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-01-30, 0.8512 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T02023-02-06: 0.8227 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +1, +3, +72023-02-13: 0.8188 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 0.8289 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-03: 0.8308 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 0.8433 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-020.8383-0.013-1.52%-0.99
−142023-01-160.8386-0.013-1.47%-0.96
−72023-01-230.8448-0.006-0.75%-0.49
−32023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.85120.0000.00%0.00
−12023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.85120.0000.00%0.00
T02023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.85120.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-060.8227-0.028-3.34%-2.18
+32023-02-060.8227-0.028-3.34%-2.18
+72023-02-060.8227-0.028-3.34%-2.18
+142023-02-130.8188-0.032-3.80%-2.48
+302023-03-060.8289-0.022-2.62%-1.71
+602023-04-030.8308-0.020-2.40%-1.57
+902023-05-010.8433-0.008-0.93%-0.60

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.53%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 149). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa
T0−30T0+30+60+9064.8217.192023-01-06: 52.91 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-20: 60.21 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-27: 51.77 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −72023-02-02: 42.91 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-02-03, 39.25 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −1, T02023-02-06: 37.12 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +12023-02-08: 38.01 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +32023-02-10: 35.25 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72023-02-17: 32.10 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 36.23 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-06: 26.92 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-05: 21.80 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-0652.91+13.654+34.78%+3.54
−142023-01-2060.21+20.954+53.38%+5.43
−72023-01-2751.77+12.516+31.88%+3.24
−32023-02-0242.91+3.656+9.31%+0.95
−12023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T039.250.0000.00%0.00
T02023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T039.250.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-0637.12-2.134-5.44%-0.55
+32023-02-0838.01-1.246-3.17%-0.32
+72023-02-1035.25-4.006-10.21%-1.04
+142023-02-1732.10-7.152-18.22%-1.85
+302023-03-0636.23-3.020-7.69%-0.78
+602023-04-0626.92-12.330-31.41%-3.19
+902023-05-0521.80-17.454-44.46%-4.52

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 9.83%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 735). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa
T0−30T0+30+60+9035.3121.572023-01-06: 23.63 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-20: 27.78 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-27: 27.70 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −72023-02-02: 26.70 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-02-03, 24.34 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −1, T02023-02-06: 25.32 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +12023-02-08: 25.07 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +32023-02-10: 25.04 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72023-02-17: 22.90 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 25.19 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-06: 33.98 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-05: 27.39 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-0623.63-0.710-2.92%-0.02
−142023-01-2027.78+3.440+14.13%+0.08
−72023-01-2727.70+3.360+13.80%+0.08
−32023-02-0226.70+2.354+9.67%+0.05
−12023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T024.340.0000.00%0.00
T02023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T024.340.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-0625.32+0.974+4.00%+0.02
+32023-02-0825.07+0.728+2.99%+0.02
+72023-02-1025.04+0.698+2.87%+0.02
+142023-02-1722.90-1.440-5.92%-0.03
+302023-03-0625.19+0.844+3.47%+0.02
+602023-04-0633.98+9.636+39.58%+0.22
+902023-05-0527.39+3.042+12.50%+0.07

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 182.66%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 735). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa
T0−30T0+30+60+9085.086.882023-01-06: 57.61 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-20: 77.51 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-27: 73.74 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −72023-02-02: 35.06 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-02-03, 29.38 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −1, T02023-02-06: 32.50 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +12023-02-08: 37.04 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +32023-02-10: 31.97 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72023-02-17: 24.75 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 37.16 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-06: 19.15 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-05: 14.45 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-0657.61+28.228+96.07%+0.54
−142023-01-2077.51+48.128+163.79%+0.93
−72023-01-2773.74+44.352+150.94%+0.85
−32023-02-0235.06+5.672+19.30%+0.11
−12023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T029.380.0000.00%0.00
T02023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T029.380.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-0632.50+3.116+10.60%+0.06
+32023-02-0837.04+7.658+26.06%+0.15
+72023-02-1031.97+2.588+8.81%+0.05
+142023-02-1724.75-4.632-15.76%-0.09
+302023-03-0637.16+7.774+26.46%+0.15
+602023-04-0619.15-10.230-34.81%-0.20
+902023-05-0514.45-14.934-50.82%-0.29

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 176.64%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 735). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Mhux disponibbli: imblukkat mil-liċenzja

Jeżisti sors, iżda l-liċenzja tiegħu ma tippermettilniex nippubblikawh mill-ġdid. Dawn il-kanali mhumiex neqsin mid-dinja, iżda biss minn din il-paġna.

nol tat-tankers “dirty” mill-Golf Għarbi lejn il-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

In-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers (ringiela 17: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

Il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

Il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

M’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

M’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

Sors
European Commission, Directorate-General for Energy (DG ENER)Mhux magħruf
Perjodu 2023-01Aġġornat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCKunfidenzaMhux magħrufaMetodoloġijaNiżżel is-CSV

T0: 05/02/2023. Tieqa ta’ referenza: jiem -90 sa -31. Punti tat-tieqa kkalkulati: -30, -14, -7, -3, -1, 0, 1, 3, 7, 14, 30, 60, 90. Metodu: 1.0, kalkolu: event_study-1.0, ikkalkulat: 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC.

L-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”: huwa tassew ir-raġuni?

Il-mistoqsija tinqasam f’dimensjonijiet li jitkejlu separatament u qatt ma jingħaddu f’numru wieħed. Kull ringiela tgħid jekk nistgħux naraw dik id-dimensjoni, u tagħti ċifra ppubblikata waħda fejn nistgħu.

Mit-tmien kanali ta’ trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet li jirrapporta dan is-sit, kanali b’data f’dan il-kalkolu: 4 Ikkalkulat – għadd tar-ringieli ta’ hawn taħt, mhux kejl.

Metodoloġija §11.1 tippubblika l-limiti li jużaw is-sentenzi ta’ hawn taħt: it-tmien kanali kollha preżenti għall-paragun sħiħ, mill-inqas tlieta biex l-istqarrija tkun tista’ tiġi ttestjata hawn, u 2.0 unitajiet ta’ volatilità biex ċaqliq jiġi deskritt bħala barra mill-varjazzjoni normali ta’ serje. Dawn huma għażliet ta’ kliem ippubblikati, mhux testijiet statistiċi.

Dimensjonijiet tal-esponiment għall-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, kull waħda bl-istatus tagħha u ċifra ppubblikata waħda.
DimensjoniStatusĊifra ppubblikata, jew għaliex m’hemmx
Esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum (D1)Sehem miż-żejt mhux maħdum importat li r-rotta tiegħu teħtieġ l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz.Osservat
0 % tat-tunnellati importati punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-03-01)
Esponiment dirett tal-prodotti (D2)Sehem mill-prodotti raffinati importati li r-rotta tagħhom teħtieġ l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz.Osservat
0 % tat-tunnellati importati punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-03-01)
Kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza (D7)Il-jiem ta’ kopertura li jammontaw għalihom il-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati. Riżerva kontra interruzzjoni tal-provvista, mhux sehem mill-importazzjonijiet, u mhux kanal tal-prezz.Osservat
92.00 kopertura (jiem) punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-03-01)-4.17% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -2.03 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdumIl-prezz kwotat taż-żejt mhux maħdum li fuqu jiġu pprezzati t-tagħbijiet Ewropej.Osservat
85.86 $ għal kull barmil punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-03-06)+8.89% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +1.96 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinatiIl-prezz kwotat tal-prodotti li fuqu jipprezzaw ir-raffineriji u l-bejjiegħa bl-ingrossa.Mhux disponibbliIl-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.
Marġni tar-raffinarKemm qala’ r-raffinar ta’ barmil f’dan il-prodott.Mhux disponibbliM’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.
NoliKemm swiet il-ġarr tal-merkanzija bil-baħar.Mhux disponibbliIn-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers (ringiela 17: BLOCKED).
StokkijietL-istokkijiet miżmuma, li jassorbu jew ikabbru bidla fil-provvista.Osservat
2,807,491 t punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-03-01)-1.45% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -0.25 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezzijiet bl-ingrossaIl-prezz bejn il-bieb tar-raffinerija u l-pompa tal-petrol.Mhux disponibbliIs-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).
Prezz fil-pompa mingħajr taxxiIl-prezz fil-pompa mingħajr id-dazju tas-sisa, il-VAT u taxxi oħra fuq il-karburant.Osservat
0.9025 € għal kull litru punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-03-06)-8.49% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -2.29 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz fil-pompa bit-taxxiDak li fil-fatt ħallas sewwieq.Osservat
1.566 € għal kull litru punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-03-06)-5.09% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -2.11 unitajiet ta’ volatilità

L-esponiment fiżiku (l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz) u l-esponiment tal-prezz huma mistoqsijiet differenti. Pajjiż kważi mingħajr esponiment fiżiku dirett xorta jista’ jara l-prezz fil-pompa tiegħu jiċċaqlaq: iż-żejt mhux maħdum jiġi pprezzat fuq livell globali – u serje li ċċaqilqet f’din it-tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.

X’għamel il-prezz fil-pompa madwar din id-data

Il-paġna tal-qsim tal-prezz tista’ tiġi ffissata fuq il-ġimgħat madwar id-data tal-avveniment, biex iċ-ċaqliq fil-pompa jinqasam fit-taxxa, fl-ispiża tal-input u fil-parti li l-ispiża tal-input ma tkoprix.

Qsim tal-prezz (29/01/2023 – 07/03/2023) →

It-tieqa hija madwar id-data ppubblikata tal-avveniment (jiem qabel: 7; jiem wara: 30). Hija tieqa biex wieħed iħares, mhux dikjarazzjoni li l-avveniment kien fl-oriġini ta’ dak li fiha.

Attwali kontra ż-żejt mhux maħdum biss: il-Portugall, petrol (Euro-super 95)

X’għamel il-prezz mingħajr taxxi minn erba’ ġimgħat qabel sa tlettax-il ġimgħa wara l-ġimgħa tal-avveniment, ħdejn dak li kien jagħmel li kieku segwa biss l-ispiża tal-input taż-żejt mhux maħdum bil-pass li tkejjel l-istima maħżuna tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet. Id-differenza mdella mhix spjegata miż-żejt mhux maħdum; mhix attribwita lill-avveniment jew lil xi ħaġa oħra. L-ebda karburant mhu magħżul: jintwera l-petrol.

Il-paragun maż-żejt mhux maħdum biss ma setax jinqara.

API 404 for /api/events/eu-russia-products-embargo-2023/crude-only: No stored crude-only run for 'eu-russia-products-embargo-2023' and country 'portugal'. Runs are stored for the pilot countries; available_countries lists them.

X’jappoġġaw in-numri, sentenza b’sentenza

Kull sentenza ġejja minn mudell fiss, magħżul skont limiti ppubblikati. Iftaħ “Għaliex din is-sentenza” biex tara n-numri li għażluha. L-ebda parti minn dan it-test mhi miktuba minn mudell lingwistiku, u l-ebda parti minnu ma tattribwixxi kawża.

  1. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, il-Portugall) inbidel b’-2.4%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.7 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: il-PortugallIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    0.86626
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Portugal
    z_score
    0.14205067121170645
    t0_value
    0.8878400000000001
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -2.430618129392688
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_PT_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    PT
    country_name
    Portugal
    country_slug
    portugal
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.6710888113340095
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.021580000000000044
    change_pct_from_t0
    -2.430618129392688
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.62190232997781
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.6710888113340095
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    0.86626
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Portugal
    z_score
    0.14205067121170645
    t0_value
    0.8878400000000001
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -2.430618129392688
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_PT_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    PT
    country_name
    Portugal
    country_slug
    portugal
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.6710888113340095
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.021580000000000044
    change_pct_from_t0
    -2.430618129392688
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.62190232997781
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.6710888113340095

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 6d5d0be99628add61470b5afae5287b97d80c0ea226df1c0fa8b679a90d405e6 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  2. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, il-Portugall) inbidel b’-3.8%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.0 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: il-PortugallIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    0.85412
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Portugal
    z_score
    -0.012044407586854326
    t0_value
    0.8878400000000001
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -3.7979816183096142
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_PT_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    PT
    country_name
    Portugal
    country_slug
    portugal
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.048615139860186
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.03372000000000008
    change_pct_from_t0
    -3.7979816183096142
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.62190232997781
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.048615139860186
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    0.85412
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Portugal
    z_score
    -0.012044407586854326
    t0_value
    0.8878400000000001
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -3.7979816183096142
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_PT_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    PT
    country_name
    Portugal
    country_slug
    portugal
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.048615139860186
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.03372000000000008
    change_pct_from_t0
    -3.7979816183096142
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.62190232997781
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.048615139860186

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità eb75ad7903f9a0091798a589d3d28f814ee2914efad214c103af1db45a1719ae · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  3. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, il-Portugall) inbidel b’-8.1%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.2 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: il-PortugallIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    0.81572
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Portugal
    z_score
    -0.4994621197668142
    t0_value
    0.8878400000000001
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -8.123085240583896
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_PT_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    PT
    country_name
    Portugal
    country_slug
    portugal
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-05-01
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -2.2427676122988283
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.07212000000000007
    change_pct_from_t0
    -8.123085240583896
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.62190232997781
    change_in_volatility_units
    -2.2427676122988283
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    0.81572
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Portugal
    z_score
    -0.4994621197668142
    t0_value
    0.8878400000000001
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -8.123085240583896
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_PT_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    PT
    country_name
    Portugal
    country_slug
    portugal
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-05-01
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -2.2427676122988283
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.07212000000000007
    change_pct_from_t0
    -8.123085240583896
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.62190232997781
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -2.2427676122988283

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 91606cfe7d59d8e677a6330d56ef77c1176b302c373b56a7a857bf450b45b383 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  4. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, il-Portugall) inbidel b’-2.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.5 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: il-PortugallIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.689
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Portugal
    z_score
    0.19081962199815067
    t0_value
    1.739
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -2.8752156411730905
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_PT_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    PT
    country_name
    Portugal
    country_slug
    portugal
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.4537484908318794
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.050000000000000044
    change_pct_from_t0
    -2.8752156411730905
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.9777944116920831
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.4537484908318794
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.689
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Portugal
    z_score
    0.19081962199815067
    t0_value
    1.739
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -2.8752156411730905
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_PT_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    PT
    country_name
    Portugal
    country_slug
    portugal
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.4537484908318794
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.050000000000000044
    change_pct_from_t0
    -2.8752156411730905
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.9777944116920831
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.4537484908318794

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 5874831231479bd409a5b46e80955ce5209a6674c755712d490723defcd003fb · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  5. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, il-Portugall) inbidel b’-3.2%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.6 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: il-PortugallIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.683
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Portugal
    z_score
    0.11975576277125248
    t0_value
    1.739
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -3.2202415181138613
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_PT_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    PT
    country_name
    Portugal
    country_slug
    portugal
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.6281983097317048
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.05600000000000005
    change_pct_from_t0
    -3.2202415181138613
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.9777944116920831
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.6281983097317048
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.683
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Portugal
    z_score
    0.11975576277125248
    t0_value
    1.739
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -3.2202415181138613
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_PT_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    PT
    country_name
    Portugal
    country_slug
    portugal
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.6281983097317048
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.05600000000000005
    change_pct_from_t0
    -3.2202415181138613
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.9777944116920831
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.6281983097317048

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità ed0c44f77ddbf9114d9445428b40b7e957448cb2ac97ef74a4d8918a74ac0210 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  6. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, il-Portugall) inbidel b’-4.6%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.3 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: il-PortugallIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.659
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Portugal
    z_score
    -0.16449967413634034
    t0_value
    1.739
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -4.600345025876945
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_PT_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    PT
    country_name
    Portugal
    country_slug
    portugal
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-05-01
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -2.325997585331007
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.08000000000000007
    change_pct_from_t0
    -4.600345025876945
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.9777944116920831
    change_in_volatility_units
    -2.325997585331007
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.659
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Portugal
    z_score
    -0.16449967413634034
    t0_value
    1.739
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -4.600345025876945
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_PT_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    PT
    country_name
    Portugal
    country_slug
    portugal
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-05-01
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -2.325997585331007
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.08000000000000007
    change_pct_from_t0
    -4.600345025876945
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.9777944116920831
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -2.325997585331007

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 87ab146f789dc85566da58d286fa243ff2086441606bc024cd78f176df84e7fe · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  7. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, il-Portugall) inbidel b’-5.8%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.6 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: il-PortugallIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    0.92937
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Portugal
    z_score
    -1.0641920172554549
    t0_value
    0.98628
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -5.7701666869448855
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_PT_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    PT
    country_name
    Portugal
    country_slug
    portugal
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.5581589698790486
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.056910000000000016
    change_pct_from_t0
    -5.7701666869448855
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.7031951158313405
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.5581589698790486
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    0.92937
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Portugal
    z_score
    -1.0641920172554549
    t0_value
    0.98628
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -5.7701666869448855
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_PT_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    PT
    country_name
    Portugal
    country_slug
    portugal
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.5581589698790486
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.056910000000000016
    change_pct_from_t0
    -5.7701666869448855
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.7031951158313405
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.5581589698790486

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 69c2543ef2fa4f81e2350ad65eae7f9f5bdd3a44bdf5df8287d8c60a4fe0501e · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  8. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, il-Portugall) inbidel b’-8.5%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.3 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: il-PortugallIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    0.9025
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Portugal
    z_score
    -1.3329377023808062
    t0_value
    0.98628
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -8.494545159589576
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_PT_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    PT
    country_name
    Portugal
    country_slug
    portugal
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -2.2938421805740075
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.08378000000000008
    change_pct_from_t0
    -8.494545159589576
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.7031951158313405
    change_in_volatility_units
    -2.2938421805740075
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    0.9025
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Portugal
    z_score
    -1.3329377023808062
    t0_value
    0.98628
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -8.494545159589576
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_PT_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    PT
    country_name
    Portugal
    country_slug
    portugal
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -2.2938421805740075
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.08378000000000008
    change_pct_from_t0
    -8.494545159589576
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.7031951158313405
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -2.2938421805740075

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità fc332868420b81647a40cdfad5d2cd6f38ffdade5e23dd74c3979e898aeac189 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  9. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, il-Portugall) inbidel b’-21.0%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’5.7 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: il-PortugallIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    0.77937
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Portugal
    z_score
    -2.5644470514498208
    t0_value
    0.98628
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -20.97882954130673
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_PT_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    PT
    country_name
    Portugal
    country_slug
    portugal
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-05-01
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -5.665061895232364
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.20691000000000004
    change_pct_from_t0
    -20.97882954130673
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.7031951158313405
    change_in_volatility_units
    -5.665061895232364
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    0.77937
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Portugal
    z_score
    -2.5644470514498208
    t0_value
    0.98628
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -20.97882954130673
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_PT_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    PT
    country_name
    Portugal
    country_slug
    portugal
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-05-01
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -5.665061895232364
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.20691000000000004
    change_pct_from_t0
    -20.97882954130673
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.7031951158313405
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -5.665061895232364

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 47d11e086113fcd38027af8d8055eb73bfb6869dad4b482f1646af5064a40d7c · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  10. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, il-Portugall) inbidel b’-4.2%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.8 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: il-PortugallIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.58
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Portugal
    z_score
    -0.9365957850929721
    t0_value
    1.6500000000000001
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -4.242424242424246
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_PT_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    PT
    country_name
    Portugal
    country_slug
    portugal
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.7553446245305926
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.07000000000000006
    change_pct_from_t0
    -4.242424242424246
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.4168611582803794
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.7553446245305926
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.58
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Portugal
    z_score
    -0.9365957850929721
    t0_value
    1.6500000000000001
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -4.242424242424246
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_PT_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    PT
    country_name
    Portugal
    country_slug
    portugal
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.7553446245305926
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.07000000000000006
    change_pct_from_t0
    -4.242424242424246
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.4168611582803794
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.7553446245305926

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 8febf3326867e752ebb6739db0855bc6c04a23118fc9446ba91235cb88d7c20f · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  11. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, il-Portugall) inbidel b’-5.1%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.1 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: il-PortugallIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.566
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Portugal
    z_score
    -1.074459183366003
    t0_value
    1.6500000000000001
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -5.090909090909095
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_PT_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    PT
    country_name
    Portugal
    country_slug
    portugal
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -2.106413549436711
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.08400000000000007
    change_pct_from_t0
    -5.090909090909095
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.4168611582803794
    change_in_volatility_units
    -2.106413549436711
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.566
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Portugal
    z_score
    -1.074459183366003
    t0_value
    1.6500000000000001
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -5.090909090909095
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_PT_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    PT
    country_name
    Portugal
    country_slug
    portugal
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -2.106413549436711
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.08400000000000007
    change_pct_from_t0
    -5.090909090909095
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.4168611582803794
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -2.106413549436711

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 3c7c3aab506b5558e55eea7a9e74df91f302b3b82b45738260759a88a2d8946a · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  12. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, il-Portugall) inbidel b’-11.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’4.9 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: il-PortugallIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.454
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Portugal
    z_score
    -2.1773663695502514
    t0_value
    1.6500000000000001
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -11.878787878787888
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_PT_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    PT
    country_name
    Portugal
    country_slug
    portugal
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-05-01
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -4.914964948685659
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.19600000000000017
    change_pct_from_t0
    -11.878787878787888
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.4168611582803794
    change_in_volatility_units
    -4.914964948685659
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.454
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Portugal
    z_score
    -2.1773663695502514
    t0_value
    1.6500000000000001
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -11.878787878787888
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_PT_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    PT
    country_name
    Portugal
    country_slug
    portugal
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-05-01
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -4.914964948685659
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.19600000000000017
    change_pct_from_t0
    -11.878787878787888
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.4168611582803794
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -4.914964948685659

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità b53101dd78790cd9087f38d9a0071878570ef231537e154eb5bb2776d2e696c2 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  13. Fil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, il-Portugall) b’-0.2 c/l (firxa -1.0–+0.6); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’-3.9 c/l, u jibqa’ -3.7 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.

    pajjiż: il-PortugallIkkalkulatMedja
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    weeks
    4
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Portugal
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_PT_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    PT
    country_name
    Portugal
    country_slug
    portugal
    offset_weeks
    4
    proxy_product
    GASOLINE
    proxy_to_date
    2023-02-27
    pass_through_k
    2
    proxy_from_date
    2023-01-30
    observation_date
    2023-02-27
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.036525204711733275
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2023-01-30
    actual_eur_per_litre
    -0.03864999999999996
    expected_eur_per_litre
    -0.002124795288266687
    proxy_volatility_units
    -0.06928868336620317
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    -3.1020000000000003
    pass_through_sample_start
    2005-01-03
    pass_through_window_label
    FULL_SAMPLE
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    -0.009764814529901541
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.0055152239533679225
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    182.6569381415496
    Limiti
    source
    docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
    proxy_rule
    the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
    confidence_cap
    MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
    statement_weeks
    [4,13]
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    weeks
    4
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Portugal
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_PT_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    PT
    country_name
    Portugal
    country_slug
    portugal
    offset_weeks
    4
    proxy_product
    GASOLINE
    proxy_to_date
    2023-02-27
    pass_through_k
    2
    proxy_from_date
    2023-01-30
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2023-02-27
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.036525204711733275
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2023-01-30
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    actual_eur_per_litre
    -0.03864999999999996
    expected_eur_per_litre
    -0.002124795288266687
    proxy_volatility_units
    -0.06928868336620317
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    -3.1020000000000003
    pass_through_sample_start
    2005-01-03
    pass_through_window_label
    FULL_SAMPLE
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    -0.009764814529901541
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.0055152239533679225
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    182.6569381415496

    Mudell event.crude_only.computed v1.2 · Marka tal-identità c0939396ae0304240302088f10c4e02157aa6800440c24e2696b9c5910f9a230 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  14. Fil-perjodu ta’ 13-il ġimgħa wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, il-Portugall) b’-0.4 c/l (firxa -4.2–+3.3); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’-7.2 c/l, u jibqa’ -6.8 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.

    pajjiż: il-PortugallIkkalkulatMedja
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    weeks
    13
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Portugal
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_PT_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    PT
    country_name
    Portugal
    country_slug
    portugal
    offset_weeks
    13
    proxy_product
    GASOLINE
    proxy_to_date
    2023-04-28
    pass_through_k
    2
    proxy_from_date
    2023-01-30
    observation_date
    2023-05-01
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.06786832300386889
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2023-01-30
    actual_eur_per_litre
    -0.07212000000000007
    expected_eur_per_litre
    -0.004251676996131184
    proxy_volatility_units
    0.11373887030970548
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    5.091999999999999
    pass_through_sample_start
    2005-01-03
    pass_through_window_label
    FULL_SAMPLE
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    -0.04167869830343915
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.0331753443111762
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    182.6569381415496
    Limiti
    source
    docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
    proxy_rule
    the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
    confidence_cap
    MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
    statement_weeks
    [4,13]
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    weeks
    13
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Portugal
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_PT_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    PT
    country_name
    Portugal
    country_slug
    portugal
    offset_weeks
    13
    proxy_product
    GASOLINE
    proxy_to_date
    2023-04-28
    pass_through_k
    2
    proxy_from_date
    2023-01-30
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2023-05-01
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.06786832300386889
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2023-01-30
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    actual_eur_per_litre
    -0.07212000000000007
    expected_eur_per_litre
    -0.004251676996131184
    proxy_volatility_units
    0.11373887030970548
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    5.091999999999999
    pass_through_sample_start
    2005-01-03
    pass_through_window_label
    FULL_SAMPLE
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    -0.04167869830343915
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.0331753443111762
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    182.6569381415496

    Mudell event.crude_only.computed v1.2 · Marka tal-identità f9fc7eb832f42f19113e70a4087cd9cc92e5d324202b93b1d5405566194cc36d · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  15. Fil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, il-Portugall) b’+1.2 c/l (firxa +0.2–+2.2); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’-10.5 c/l, u jibqa’ -11.7 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.

    pajjiż: il-PortugallIkkalkulatMedja
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    weeks
    4
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Portugal
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_PT_DIESEL
    country_iso2
    PT
    country_name
    Portugal
    country_slug
    portugal
    offset_weeks
    4
    proxy_product
    DIESEL
    proxy_to_date
    2023-02-27
    pass_through_k
    2
    proxy_from_date
    2023-01-30
    observation_date
    2023-02-27
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.1170787875328664
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2023-01-30
    actual_eur_per_litre
    -0.10487000000000002
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.012208787532866378
    proxy_volatility_units
    -1.9939207000691863
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    -8.939999999999998
    pass_through_sample_start
    2005-01-03
    pass_through_window_label
    FULL_SAMPLE
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    0.002064632509297174
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.022352942556434607
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    9.833812917722621
    Limiti
    source
    docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
    proxy_rule
    the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
    confidence_cap
    MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
    statement_weeks
    [4,13]
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    weeks
    4
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Portugal
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_PT_DIESEL
    country_iso2
    PT
    country_name
    Portugal
    country_slug
    portugal
    offset_weeks
    4
    proxy_product
    DIESEL
    proxy_to_date
    2023-02-27
    pass_through_k
    2
    proxy_from_date
    2023-01-30
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2023-02-27
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.1170787875328664
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2023-01-30
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    actual_eur_per_litre
    -0.10487000000000002
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.012208787532866378
    proxy_volatility_units
    -1.9939207000691863
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    -8.939999999999998
    pass_through_sample_start
    2005-01-03
    pass_through_window_label
    FULL_SAMPLE
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    0.002064632509297174
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.022352942556434607
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    9.833812917722621

    Mudell event.crude_only.computed v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 74b0361fb0076290c944751b30229d5bc88296b3d8c305f4d28318c77053cc0e · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  16. Fil-perjodu ta’ 13-il ġimgħa wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, il-Portugall) b’+6.2 c/l (firxa +1.4–+11.1); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’-20.7 c/l, u jibqa’ -26.9 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum. Fl-istess perjodu, il-crack spread tal-Istati Uniti (diżil), indikatur tas-suq tal-prodotti tal-Atlantiku u mhux marġni Ewropew, naqas b’27.3 $/bbl.

    pajjiż: il-PortugallIkkalkulatMedja
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    weeks
    13
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Portugal
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_PT_DIESEL
    country_iso2
    PT
    country_name
    Portugal
    country_slug
    portugal
    offset_weeks
    13
    proxy_product
    DIESEL
    proxy_to_date
    2023-04-28
    pass_through_k
    2
    proxy_from_date
    2023-01-30
    observation_date
    2023-05-01
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.26922179747732017
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2023-01-30
    actual_eur_per_litre
    -0.20691000000000004
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.06231179747732012
    proxy_volatility_units
    -6.086587908824174
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    -27.290000000000003
    pass_through_sample_start
    2005-01-03
    pass_through_window_label
    FULL_SAMPLE
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    0.01352244297037166
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.11110115198426584
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    9.833812917722621
    Limiti
    source
    docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
    proxy_rule
    the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
    confidence_cap
    MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
    statement_weeks
    [4,13]
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    weeks
    13
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Portugal
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_PT_DIESEL
    country_iso2
    PT
    country_name
    Portugal
    country_slug
    portugal
    offset_weeks
    13
    proxy_product
    DIESEL
    proxy_to_date
    2023-04-28
    pass_through_k
    2
    proxy_from_date
    2023-01-30
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2023-05-01
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.26922179747732017
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2023-01-30
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    actual_eur_per_litre
    -0.20691000000000004
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.06231179747732012
    proxy_volatility_units
    -6.086587908824174
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    -27.290000000000003
    pass_through_sample_start
    2005-01-03
    pass_through_window_label
    FULL_SAMPLE
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    0.01352244297037166
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.11110115198426584
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    9.833812917722621

    Mudell event.crude_only.computed_with_proxy v1.2 · Marka tal-identità de2ff3b746a02d18d3f687d62d94fd3deab41ea00dc7a603cd42f691c784507c · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  17. Il-Portugall, Frar 2023: id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (żejt mhux maħdum) kienet limitata (0%).

    pajjiż: il-PortugallIkkalkulatBaxxa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    limited
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2023-02
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Portugal
    commodity
    crude
    dimension
    DIRECT_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    country_iso2
    PT
    country_name
    Portugal
    country_slug
    portugal
    value_max_pct
    0
    value_min_pct
    0
    exposure_status
    COMPUTED
    value_point_pct
    0
    observation_date
    2023-02-01
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
    band_applied_to
    upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
    dependence_limited_max_pct
    10
    dependence_moderate_max_pct
    33
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    limited
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2023-02
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Portugal
    commodity
    crude
    dimension
    DIRECT_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    PT
    country_name
    Portugal
    country_slug
    portugal
    value_max_pct
    0
    value_min_pct
    0
    exposure_status
    COMPUTED
    statement_topic
    hormuz
    value_point_pct
    0
    observation_date
    2023-02-01
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.dependence.point v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 56f779f643729023dc82d04e821dc39f29ce770bd6780940174c363d946e0ba9 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  18. Il-Portugall, Frar 2023: id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (prodott raffinat) kienet limitata (0%–2%). Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: il-pajjiżi sħab ikkonċernati jesportaw kemm minn ġewwa kif ukoll minn barra l-Golf Persjan, u l-qsim għal kull perjodu mhux pubbliku.

    pajjiż: il-PortugallIkkalkulatMedja
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    limited
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2023-02
    status
    NO_OBSERVATION
    country
    Portugal
    commodity
    refined product
    dimension
    DIRECT_PRODUCT
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    country_iso2
    PT
    country_name
    Portugal
    country_slug
    portugal
    value_max_pct
    1.5474286893279
    value_min_pct
    0
    exposure_status
    RANGE_ONLY
    value_point_pct
    null
    observation_date
    2023-02-01
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
    band_applied_to
    upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
    dependence_limited_max_pct
    10
    dependence_moderate_max_pct
    33
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    limited
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2023-02
    status
    NO_OBSERVATION
    country
    Portugal
    commodity
    refined product
    dimension
    DIRECT_PRODUCT
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    PT
    country_name
    Portugal
    country_slug
    portugal
    value_max_pct
    1.5474286893279
    value_min_pct
    0
    exposure_status
    RANGE_ONLY
    statement_topic
    hormuz
    value_point_pct
    null
    observation_date
    2023-02-01
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.dependence.range v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 25b613d8beb431efe62a566ab97f31ef4b90abd82a81550ca31e9f2969929c12 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  19. L-evidenza disponibbli turi tnaqqis fiżiku fil-provvista: l-importazzjonijiet irrappurtati taż-żejt mhux maħdum (il-Portugall, Frar 2023) meta mqabbla mal-medja tax-xhur ta’ qabel (12): -10.1%.

    pajjiż: il-PortugallIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2023-02
    country
    Portugal
    change_pct
    -10.139611221631519
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    country_iso2
    PT
    country_name
    Portugal
    country_slug
    portugal
    value_tonnes
    758297
    baseline_months
    12
    observation_date
    2023-02-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
    crude_imports_rule
    crude_imports_total-1.1
    baseline_mean_tonnes
    843861.25
    baseline_window_months
    12
    value_not_published_code
    null
    baseline_not_published_months
    0
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no cut-off
    min_baseline_months
    6
    baseline_months_used
    12
    supply_reduction_pct
    -10
    supply_baseline_months
    12
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2023-02
    country
    Portugal
    change_pct
    -10.139611221631519
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    PT
    country_name
    Portugal
    country_slug
    portugal
    value_tonnes
    758297
    baseline_months
    12
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2023-02-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
    crude_imports_rule
    crude_imports_total-1.1
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    baseline_mean_tonnes
    843861.25
    baseline_window_months
    12
    value_not_published_code
    null
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    baseline_not_published_months
    0

    Mudell event.supply.reduction v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 590f83ed62c03fad8752d81d80f19014cd465c124b1c9c47e04e37f5d8a4aa52 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  20. Frar 2023: l-istokkijiet taż-żejt (il-Portugall) kienu 7.0% aktar baxxi meta mqabbla mal-medja mobbli tagħhom (xhur: 12), jiem ta’ kopertura: 96.0 (kif ippubblikati).

    pajjiż: il-PortugallIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2023-02
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Portugal
    direction
    below
    siec_code
    O4000
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    holder_type
    STK_CL
    series_code
    INVENTORY_PT
    country_iso2
    PT
    country_name
    Portugal
    country_slug
    portugal
    days_of_cover
    96
    metric_status
    COMPUTED
    mom_change_pct
    -1.1924803299531999
    observation_date
    2023-02-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
    total_stock_tonnes
    2848935
    days_of_cover_basis
    as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
    observation_gap_days
    4
    trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
    3063206.8333333335
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
    -6.995016823600061
    trailing_12m_observations
    12
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no band
    band_applied_to
    the rounded figure printed in the sentence
    days_of_cover_basis
    as published (Eurostat nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); never stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
    trailing_window_months
    12
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_raw
    -6.995016823600061
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_shown
    -7
    inventory_material_deviation_pct
    5
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2023-02
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Portugal
    direction
    below
    siec_code
    O4000
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    holder_type
    STK_CL
    series_code
    INVENTORY_PT
    country_iso2
    PT
    country_name
    Portugal
    country_slug
    portugal
    days_of_cover
    96
    metric_status
    COMPUTED
    mom_change_pct
    -1.1924803299531999
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2023-02-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
    total_stock_tonnes
    2848935
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    days_of_cover_basis
    as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    4
    trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
    3063206.8333333335
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
    -6.995016823600061
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    trailing_12m_observations
    12

    Mudell event.inventory_level.below v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 96219aed9ceb100a65d90fc0ca96435d21872b464f4985bd93d1eb98aebbcce3 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  21. Sommarju ta’ x’jista’ jiġi vverifikat hawn

    Parti biss mill-katina tista’ tiġi vverifikata għal dan il-pajjiż (il-Portugall) madwar l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”: serje disponibbli: 4 minn 8 (prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdum, stokkijiet, prezz fil-pompa mingħajr taxxi u prezz fil-pompa bit-taxxi); mhux disponibbli: prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinati, marġni tar-raffinar, noli u prezzijiet bl-ingrossa. Kull dikjarazzjoni bbażata fuq ir-rabtiet neqsin ma tistax tiġi ttestjata hawn. Id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (żejt mhux maħdum) kienet limitata (0–0%) matul il-perjodu kopert. Din il-paġna tiddeskrivi x’għamlet kull serje madwar id-data tal-avveniment. Mhijiex sejba dwar kawża: l-ebda disinn kawżali mhu ppubblikat għal dan is-sit, u serje li ċċaqilqet fl-istess tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.

    pajjiż: il-PortugallMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    country
    Portugal
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    country_iso2
    PT
    country_name
    Portugal
    country_slug
    portugal
    dependence_band
    limited
    dependence_range
    0–0%
    channels_available
    ["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
    supply_template_id
    event.supply.reduction
    channels_unavailable
    ["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; the channel list is docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.3
    channels_total
    8
    channels_available
    4
    verdict_partial_min_channels
    3
    verdict_assessable_min_channels
    8
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    country
    Portugal
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    PT
    country_name
    Portugal
    country_slug
    portugal
    dependence_band
    limited
    statement_topic
    event
    dependence_range
    0–0%
    channels_available
    ["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
    supply_template_id
    event.supply.reduction
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    channels_unavailable
    ["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.verdict.partial v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 21d81f7aa00ba5090dfef89c901d352777a6ecad88ffd8b3e24168a81730e5ec · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  22. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’+8.4%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.8 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    85.46
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    0.08812991325524933
    t0_value
    78.85
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    8.383005707038683
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    BRENT
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2023-02-10
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    1.8495435613044966
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    6.609999999999999
    change_pct_from_t0
    8.383005707038683
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.532472704306617
    change_in_volatility_units
    1.8495435613044966
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    85.46
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    0.08812991325524933
    t0_value
    78.85
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    8.383005707038683
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    BRENT
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2023-02-10
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    1.8495435613044966
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    6.609999999999999
    change_pct_from_t0
    8.383005707038683
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.532472704306617
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    1.8495435613044966

    Mudell event.benchmark_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 38adc5dea4321bbd49653a24f7c0174373d8aa5326085a6d6dbe425d5975e73b · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  23. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’+8.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.0 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    85.86
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    0.1507166248435324
    t0_value
    78.85
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    8.890298034242239
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    BRENT
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    1.9614675287056775
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    7.010000000000005
    change_pct_from_t0
    8.890298034242239
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.532472704306617
    change_in_volatility_units
    1.9614675287056775
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    85.86
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    0.1507166248435324
    t0_value
    78.85
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    8.890298034242239
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    BRENT
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    1.9614675287056775
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    7.010000000000005
    change_pct_from_t0
    8.890298034242239
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.532472704306617
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    1.9614675287056775

    Mudell event.benchmark_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 0da9031a475f48ba9492ce0f26d02ef4b075756fb5a3ed508e2b5f1ea86c489b · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  24. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’-3.8%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.8 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    75.85
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    -1.4155158326532304
    t0_value
    78.85
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    -3.804692454026633
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    BRENT
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2023-05-05
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.8394297555088486
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -3
    change_pct_from_t0
    -3.804692454026633
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.532472704306617
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.8394297555088486
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    75.85
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    -1.4155158326532304
    t0_value
    78.85
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    -3.804692454026633
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    BRENT
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2023-05-05
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.8394297555088486
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -3
    change_pct_from_t0
    -3.804692454026633
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.532472704306617
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.8394297555088486

    Mudell event.benchmark_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 956c15054a5318a99cfc9c833555e8d3f8ac980a1c014dbf655e5357d300335e · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  25. Noli – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: in-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["freight rates"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
    Limiti
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["freight rates"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 298ab38a71e7fa1e827846158174e16f115ed958766d0a18618b16aa877096e8 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  26. Prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinati – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni. Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refined-product benchmark"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
    Limiti
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refined-product benchmark"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 0a3ee8f8627510915169cd9a2eaa4452fa0806bd90c55f8208323cb6b271bea9 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  27. Prezzijiet bl-ingrossa – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["wholesale prices"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
    Limiti
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["wholesale prices"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità b5b761de3451d820e679168f99a9b0a6cadccd3d87b852d57da6f18bc2de3e6c · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  28. Marġni tar-raffinar – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: m’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refining margin"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    reason_code
    NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
    Limiti
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refining margin"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità e9796ff5d8838330a75be8298f9f4cd8c4fea863574dbd933141d0a1f568d3c6 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

X’ma jurix dan

  • Ma jurix li l-avveniment kien fl-oriġini ta’ xi ħaġa. L-ebda disinn kawżali mhu ppubblikat għal dan is-sit, u serje li ċċaqilqet f’din it-tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.
  • Bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza, u lanqas punteġġ z ma hu. Ikejlu affarijiet differenti u mhumiex interkambjabbli.
  • Il-kanali mingħajr sors b’liċenzja għall-użu jew diġà mtella’ jintwerew bħala pannelli vojta, mhux bħala linji ċatti. “Ma nistgħux naraw dan” ma jfissirx “dan ma ċċaqlaqx”.
  • Xejn ma jiġi interpolat. Fejn diversi punti tat-tieqa jaqgħu fuq ċifra ppubblikata waħda, dak hu li stampa l-pubblikatur, u l-bidla meta mqabbla mad-data tal-avveniment hija żero: huwa l-istess numru.

Il-Portugall: provvista, raffineriji u prezzijiet fil-pompa →

Kif jinqraw it-tikketti

  • UffiċjaliIrrappurtat direttament minn awtorità uffiċjali.
  • IvverifikatIrrappurtat minn parti terza u vverifikat minna ma’ rekord primarju.
  • IkkalkulatIkkalkulat minna minn inputs irrappurtati. Il-metodu huwa ppubblikat fil-paġna tal-metodoloġija.
  • Inferit · kunfidenza għoljaMhux irrappurtat. Inferit minn mill-inqas żewġ rekords fiżiċi indipendenti.
  • Inferit · kunfidenza medjaMhux irrappurtat. Inferit minn evidenza indiretta qawwija, mingħajr konferma espliċita.
  • Inferit · kunfidenza baxxaMhux irrappurtat. Plawżibbli biss minn data dwar l-infrastruttura jew il-movimenti. Taqrahx bħala fatt.
  • Mhux magħrufL-ebda evidenza pubblika difendibbli ma tistabbilixxi dan. Ma nagħmlux suppożizzjonijiet, u dan mhuwiex kejl ta’ żero.