Fuel Origin

Avvenimenti / Projbizzjoni fuq l-importazzjoni

Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)

Dati
05/02/2023 → l-ebda data tat-tmiem irreġistrata
Preċiżjoni tad-data
jum
Status
Għadu għaddej
Ambitu
L-Unjoni Ewropea

X’qalu s-sorsi (bl-Ingliż)

Second phase of the sixth sanctions package of 3 June 2022 (Council Regulation (EU) 2022/879 amending Regulation (EU) No 833/2014): an eight-month wind-down for refined petroleum products against six months for seaborne crude. Eurostat, 19 June 2023: "The ban on imports of seaborne crude oil entered into force on 5 December 2022, while the ban on petroleum products took effect on 5 February 2023." Recorded as a separate marker because each event on this timeline has a single start date and the two phases have different in-force dates. This row is a timeline marker only; it makes no statement about prices.

L-AIE, l-EIA, il-Kummissjoni Ewropea, il-Kunsill Ewropew u leġiżlaturi nazzjonali (iċċitati għal kull ringiela)Uffiċjali
Miġbur 25/09/2026 14:07 UTCReviżjoni 2
Dokumenti tas-sors (2)
PajjiżPajjiżIl-ĠermanjaFranzaIn-NetherlandsIl-PolonjaIl-FinlandjaL-EstonjaL-AwstrijaIl-BelġjuIl-BulgarijaIl-KroazjaĊipruIċ-ĊekjaId-DanimarkaIl-GreċjaL-UngerijaL-IrlandaL-ItaljaIl-LatvjaIl-LitwanjaIl-LussemburguMaltaIl-PortugallIr-RumanijaIs-SlovakkjaIs-SlovenjaSpanjaL-Iżvezja
KarburantKarburantDiżil (żejt tal-gass għall-vetturi)Petrol (Euro-super 95)Iż-żewġ karburanti

Jekk tagħżel karburant, jinżammu s-serje ta’ dak il-karburant u l-kanali komuni għall-karburanti kollha – il-prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdum, ir-rata tal-kambju, l-importazzjonijiet taż-żejt mhux maħdum u l-esponiment għal Hormuz. Jitneħħew biss is-serje tal-karburant l-ieħor.

It-tieqa tal-avveniment

Kemm kienet tiswa kull serje fil-jiem madwar id-data tal-avveniment (minn -30 sa 90), kemm dan hu ’l bogħod mil-livell tal-istess serje fid-data tal-avveniment, u kemm hu kbir dak iċ-ċaqliq meta mqabbel mal-varjazzjoni normali tas-serje stess.

Spanja, il-karburanti kollha f’dan il-kalkolu. Serje li jistgħu jitpinġew: 18; serje li ma jistgħu jidhru bl-ebda mod, murija hawn taħt bħala pannelli vojta b’tikketta: 11.

Qari ppubblikat: 208; punti tat-tieqa mingħajr xejn ippubblikat fi żmien perjodu wieħed: 26; punti tat-tieqa fuq serje li ma nistgħu naraw xejn minnhom: 143. Kollha jidhru f’din il-paġna.

Europe Brent spot FOB

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+9088.2974.522023-01-06: 76.41 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-20: 86.96 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-27: 85.36 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −72023-02-02: 80.57 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-02-03, 78.85 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −1, T02023-02-06: 80.48 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +12023-02-08: 84.17 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +32023-02-10: 85.46 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72023-02-17: 81.97 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 85.86 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-06: 86.56 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-05: 75.85 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Europe Brent spot FOB): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-0676.41-2.440-3.09%-0.68
−142023-01-2086.96+8.110+10.29%+2.27
−72023-01-2785.36+6.510+8.26%+1.82
−32023-02-0280.57+1.720+2.18%+0.48
−12023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T078.850.0000.00%0.00
T02023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T078.850.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-0680.48+1.630+2.07%+0.46
+32023-02-0884.17+5.320+6.75%+1.49
+72023-02-1085.46+6.610+8.38%+1.85
+142023-02-1781.97+3.120+3.96%+0.87
+302023-03-0685.86+7.010+8.89%+1.96
+602023-04-0686.56+7.710+9.78%+2.16
+902023-05-0575.85-3.000-3.80%-0.84

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 4.53%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 757). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

reported crude oil imports, all origins

Unità: tIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+905,730,5804,580,7882023-01-01: 5,487,306 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −30, −14, −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-02-01, 4,809,882 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T0, +1, +3, +7, +142023-03-01: 4,692,058 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-01: 5,619,310 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 4,796,787 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (reported crude oil imports, all origins): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-015,487,306+677,424+14.08%+1.29
−142023-01-015,487,306+677,424+14.08%+1.29
−72023-01-015,487,306+677,424+14.08%+1.29
−32023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T04,809,8820.0000.00%0.00
−12023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T04,809,8820.0000.00%0.00
T02023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T04,809,8820.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T04,809,8820.0000.00%0.00
+32023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T04,809,8820.0000.00%0.00
+72023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T04,809,8820.0000.00%0.00
+142023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T04,809,8820.0000.00%0.00
+302023-03-014,692,058-117,824-2.45%-0.22
+602023-04-015,619,310+809,428+16.83%+1.54
+902023-05-014,796,787-13,095-0.27%-0.02

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 10.91%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 35). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE

Unità: USD għal kull EURIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+901.1081.0442023-01-06: 1.050 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-20: 1.083 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-27: 1.087 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −72023-02-02: 1.099 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-02-03, 1.094 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −1, T02023-02-06: 1.078 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +12023-02-08: 1.074 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +32023-02-10: 1.069 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72023-02-17: 1.063 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-07: 1.067 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-06: 1.092 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-05: 1.101 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-061.050-0.044-4.00%-7.81
−142023-01-201.083-0.011-1.01%-1.98
−72023-01-271.087-0.007-0.66%-1.29
−32023-02-021.099+0.005+0.47%+0.91
−12023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.0940.0000.00%0.00
T02023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.0940.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-061.078-0.016-1.47%-2.88
+32023-02-081.074-0.020-1.85%-3.61
+72023-02-101.069-0.025-2.26%-4.41
+142023-02-171.063-0.031-2.85%-5.57
+302023-03-071.067-0.027-2.49%-4.86
+602023-04-061.092-0.002-0.20%-0.39
+902023-05-051.101+0.008+0.70%+1.38

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 0.51%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 772). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1

Unità: % tat-tunnellati importatiIppubblikat: kull xaharMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
T0−30T0+30+60+9016.041.022023-01-01: 2.472 sa 10.43 % tat-tunnellati importati. Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: ma jitpinġa l-ebda punt tan-nofs.2023-02-01: 8.529 sa 14.59 % tat-tunnellati importati. Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: ma jitpinġa l-ebda punt tan-nofs.2023-03-01: 5.717 sa 13.24 % tat-tunnellati importati. Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: ma jitpinġa l-ebda punt tan-nofs.2023-04-01: 5.123 sa 10.01 % tat-tunnellati importati. Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: ma jitpinġa l-ebda punt tan-nofs.2023-05-01: 3.008 sa 9.384 % tat-tunnellati importati. Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: ma jitpinġa l-ebda punt tan-nofs.

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab. Il-faxxa mdella hija l-firxa ammissibbli. Ma jitpinġa l-ebda punt tan-nofs: ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu.

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-012.472–10.43mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−142023-01-012.472–10.43mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−72023-01-012.472–10.43mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−32023-02-018.529–14.59mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−12023-02-018.529–14.59mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
T02023-02-018.529–14.59mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+12023-02-018.529–14.59mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+32023-02-018.529–14.59mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+72023-02-018.529–14.59mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+142023-02-018.529–14.59mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+302023-03-015.717–13.24mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+602023-04-015.123–10.01mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+902023-05-013.008–9.384mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2

Unità: % tat-tunnellati importatiIppubblikat: kull xaharMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
T0−30T0+30+60+9020.780.002023-01-01: 0 sa 4.077 % tat-tunnellati importati. Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: ma jitpinġa l-ebda punt tan-nofs.2023-02-01: 0 sa 1.960 % tat-tunnellati importati. Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: ma jitpinġa l-ebda punt tan-nofs.2023-03-01: 0 sa 6.958 % tat-tunnellati importati. Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: ma jitpinġa l-ebda punt tan-nofs.2023-04-01: 3.283 sa 7.369 % tat-tunnellati importati. Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: ma jitpinġa l-ebda punt tan-nofs.2023-05-01: 10.98 sa 18.55 % tat-tunnellati importati. Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: ma jitpinġa l-ebda punt tan-nofs.

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab. Il-faxxa mdella hija l-firxa ammissibbli. Ma jitpinġa l-ebda punt tan-nofs: ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu.

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-010–4.077mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−142023-01-010–4.077mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−72023-01-010–4.077mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−32023-02-010–1.960mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−12023-02-010–1.960mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
T02023-02-010–1.960mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+12023-02-010–1.960mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+32023-02-010–1.960mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+72023-02-010–1.960mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+142023-02-010–1.960mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+302023-03-010–6.958mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+602023-04-013.283–7.369mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+902023-05-0110.98–18.55mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma

Unità: kopertura (jiem)Ippubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+90120.1107.12023-01-01: 112.1 kopertura (jiem), użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −30, −14, −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-02-01, 114.2 kopertura (jiem), użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T0, +1, +3, +7, +142023-03-01: 108.4 kopertura (jiem), użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-01: 118.8 kopertura (jiem), użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 114.1 kopertura (jiem), użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-01112.1-2.160-1.89%-0.32
−142023-01-01112.1-2.160-1.89%-0.32
−72023-01-01112.1-2.160-1.89%-0.32
−32023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0114.20.0000.00%0.00
−12023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0114.20.0000.00%0.00
T02023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0114.20.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0114.20.0000.00%0.00
+32023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0114.20.0000.00%0.00
+72023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0114.20.0000.00%0.00
+142023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0114.20.0000.00%0.00
+302023-03-01108.4-5.869-5.14%-0.88
+602023-04-01118.8+4.598+4.03%+0.69
+902023-05-01114.1-0.134-0.12%-0.02

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 5.86%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 35). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+900.5050.4172023-01-02: 0.4598 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-16: 0.4913 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-23: 0.4969 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-01-30, 0.4720 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T02023-02-06: 0.4881 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +1, +3, +72023-02-13: 0.4951 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 0.4922 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-03: 0.4959 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 0.4258 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-020.4598-0.012-2.58%-0.32
−142023-01-160.4913+0.019+4.09%+0.51
−72023-01-230.4969+0.025+5.28%+0.65
−32023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.47200.0000.00%0.00
−12023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.47200.0000.00%0.00
T02023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.47200.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-060.4881+0.016+3.41%+0.42
+32023-02-060.4881+0.016+3.41%+0.42
+72023-02-060.4881+0.016+3.41%+0.42
+142023-02-130.4951+0.023+4.89%+0.61
+302023-03-060.4922+0.020+4.28%+0.53
+602023-04-030.4959+0.024+5.07%+0.63
+902023-05-010.4258-0.046-9.79%-1.21

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 8.07%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 149). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+900.5050.4172023-01-02: 0.4598 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-16: 0.4913 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-23: 0.4969 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-01-30, 0.4720 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T02023-02-06: 0.4881 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +1, +3, +72023-02-13: 0.4951 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 0.4922 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-03: 0.4959 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 0.4258 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-020.4598-0.012-2.58%-0.32
−142023-01-160.4913+0.019+4.09%+0.51
−72023-01-230.4969+0.025+5.28%+0.65
−32023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.47200.0000.00%0.00
−12023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.47200.0000.00%0.00
T02023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.47200.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-060.4881+0.016+3.41%+0.42
+32023-02-060.4881+0.016+3.41%+0.42
+72023-02-060.4881+0.016+3.41%+0.42
+142023-02-130.4951+0.023+4.89%+0.61
+302023-03-060.4922+0.020+4.28%+0.53
+602023-04-030.4959+0.024+5.07%+0.63
+902023-05-010.4258-0.046-9.79%-1.21

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 8.07%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 149). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom

Unità: tIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+9015,996,78814,591,3912023-01-01: 15,145,452 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −30, −14, −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-02-01, 15,556,502 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T0, +1, +3, +7, +142023-03-01: 14,727,397 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-01: 15,642,561 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 15,860,782 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-0115,145,452-411,050-2.64%-0.74
−142023-01-0115,145,452-411,050-2.64%-0.74
−72023-01-0115,145,452-411,050-2.64%-0.74
−32023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T015,556,5020.0000.00%0.00
−12023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T015,556,5020.0000.00%0.00
T02023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T015,556,5020.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T015,556,5020.0000.00%0.00
+32023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T015,556,5020.0000.00%0.00
+72023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T015,556,5020.0000.00%0.00
+142023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T015,556,5020.0000.00%0.00
+302023-03-0114,727,397-829,105-5.33%-1.50
+602023-04-0115,642,561+86,059+0.55%+0.16
+902023-05-0115,860,782+304,280+1.96%+0.55

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 3.55%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 35). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+901.7331.4362023-01-02: 1.661 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-16: 1.679 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-23: 1.688 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-01-30, 1.704 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T02023-02-06: 1.677 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +1, +3, +72023-02-13: 1.629 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 1.589 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-03: 1.530 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 1.465 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-021.661-0.043-2.54%-1.28
−142023-01-161.679-0.025-1.46%-0.74
−72023-01-231.688-0.016-0.92%-0.47
−32023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.7040.0000.00%0.00
−12023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.7040.0000.00%0.00
T02023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.7040.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-061.677-0.027-1.56%-0.79
+32023-02-061.677-0.027-1.56%-0.79
+72023-02-061.677-0.027-1.56%-0.79
+142023-02-131.629-0.075-4.42%-2.23
+302023-03-061.589-0.115-6.76%-3.41
+602023-04-031.530-0.174-10.22%-5.15
+902023-05-011.465-0.239-14.05%-7.08

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.98%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 149). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+901.6701.5752023-01-02: 1.584 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-16: 1.619 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-23: 1.637 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-01-30, 1.661 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T02023-02-06: 1.655 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +1, +3, +72023-02-13: 1.634 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 1.636 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-03: 1.631 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 1.622 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-021.584-0.077-4.64%-2.93
−142023-01-161.619-0.042-2.50%-1.58
−72023-01-231.637-0.024-1.45%-0.92
−32023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.6610.0000.00%0.00
−12023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.6610.0000.00%0.00
T02023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.6610.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-061.655-0.006-0.33%-0.21
+32023-02-061.655-0.006-0.33%-0.21
+72023-02-061.655-0.006-0.33%-0.21
+142023-02-131.634-0.027-1.64%-1.04
+302023-03-061.636-0.025-1.52%-0.96
+602023-04-031.631-0.030-1.80%-1.13
+902023-05-011.622-0.039-2.32%-1.46

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.58%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 149). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+901.0530.8082023-01-02: 0.9936 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-16: 1.009 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-23: 1.016 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-01-30, 1.029 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T02023-02-06: 1.007 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +1, +3, +72023-02-13: 0.9671 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 0.9341 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-03: 0.8854 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 0.8315 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-020.9936-0.036-3.47%-1.22
−142023-01-161.009-0.021-2.00%-0.70
−72023-01-231.016-0.013-1.26%-0.44
−32023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.0290.0000.00%0.00
−12023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.0290.0000.00%0.00
T02023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.0290.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-061.007-0.022-2.14%-0.75
+32023-02-061.007-0.022-2.14%-0.75
+72023-02-061.007-0.022-2.14%-0.75
+142023-02-130.9671-0.062-6.05%-2.13
+302023-03-060.9341-0.095-9.25%-3.25
+602023-04-030.8854-0.144-13.98%-4.91
+902023-05-010.8315-0.198-19.22%-6.76

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 2.84%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 149). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+900.9080.8292023-01-02: 0.8363 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-16: 0.8656 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-23: 0.8800 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-01-30, 0.8999 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T02023-02-06: 0.8953 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +1, +3, +72023-02-13: 0.8774 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 0.8791 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-03: 0.8753 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 0.8681 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-020.8363-0.064-7.07%-2.81
−142023-01-160.8656-0.034-3.81%-1.51
−72023-01-230.8800-0.020-2.21%-0.88
−32023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.89990.0000.00%0.00
−12023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.89990.0000.00%0.00
T02023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.89990.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-060.8953-0.005-0.51%-0.20
+32023-02-060.8953-0.005-0.51%-0.20
+72023-02-060.8953-0.005-0.51%-0.20
+142023-02-130.8774-0.023-2.50%-0.99
+302023-03-060.8791-0.021-2.31%-0.92
+602023-04-030.8753-0.025-2.74%-1.09
+902023-05-010.8681-0.032-3.54%-1.40

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 2.52%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 149). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+900.6800.6282023-01-02: 0.6672 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-16: 0.6704 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-23: 0.6720 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-01-30, 0.6747 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T02023-02-06: 0.6701 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +1, +3, +72023-02-13: 0.6617 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 0.6547 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-03: 0.6445 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 0.6332 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-020.6672-0.008-1.11%-1.32
−142023-01-160.6704-0.004-0.64%-0.76
−72023-01-230.6720-0.003-0.40%-0.48
−32023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.67470.0000.00%0.00
−12023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.67470.0000.00%0.00
T02023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.67470.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-060.6701-0.005-0.68%-0.82
+32023-02-060.6701-0.005-0.68%-0.82
+72023-02-060.6701-0.005-0.68%-0.82
+142023-02-130.6617-0.013-1.94%-2.31
+302023-03-060.6547-0.020-2.96%-3.53
+602023-04-030.6445-0.030-4.48%-5.33
+902023-05-010.6332-0.042-6.16%-7.33

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 0.84%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 149). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+900.7630.7462023-01-02: 0.7476 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-16: 0.7537 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-23: 0.7568 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-01-30, 0.7609 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T02023-02-06: 0.7600 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +1, +3, +72023-02-13: 0.7562 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 0.7566 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-03: 0.7558 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 0.7543 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-020.7476-0.013-1.76%-2.95
−142023-01-160.7537-0.007-0.95%-1.59
−72023-01-230.7568-0.004-0.55%-0.92
−32023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.76090.0000.00%0.00
−12023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.76090.0000.00%0.00
T02023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.76090.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-060.7600-0.001-0.13%-0.21
+32023-02-060.7600-0.001-0.13%-0.21
+72023-02-060.7600-0.001-0.13%-0.21
+142023-02-130.7562-0.005-0.62%-1.04
+302023-03-060.7566-0.004-0.57%-0.97
+602023-04-030.7558-0.005-0.68%-1.14
+902023-05-010.7543-0.007-0.88%-1.48

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 0.59%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 149). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa
T0−30T0+30+60+9064.8217.192023-01-06: 52.91 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-20: 60.21 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-27: 51.77 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −72023-02-02: 42.91 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-02-03, 39.25 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −1, T02023-02-06: 37.12 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +12023-02-08: 38.01 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +32023-02-10: 35.25 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72023-02-17: 32.10 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 36.23 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-06: 26.92 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-05: 21.80 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-0652.91+13.654+34.78%+3.54
−142023-01-2060.21+20.954+53.38%+5.43
−72023-01-2751.77+12.516+31.88%+3.24
−32023-02-0242.91+3.656+9.31%+0.95
−12023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T039.250.0000.00%0.00
T02023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T039.250.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-0637.12-2.134-5.44%-0.55
+32023-02-0838.01-1.246-3.17%-0.32
+72023-02-1035.25-4.006-10.21%-1.04
+142023-02-1732.10-7.152-18.22%-1.85
+302023-03-0636.23-3.020-7.69%-0.78
+602023-04-0626.92-12.330-31.41%-3.19
+902023-05-0521.80-17.454-44.46%-4.52

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 9.83%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 735). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa
T0−30T0+30+60+9035.3121.572023-01-06: 23.63 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-20: 27.78 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-27: 27.70 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −72023-02-02: 26.70 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-02-03, 24.34 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −1, T02023-02-06: 25.32 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +12023-02-08: 25.07 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +32023-02-10: 25.04 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72023-02-17: 22.90 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 25.19 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-06: 33.98 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-05: 27.39 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-0623.63-0.710-2.92%-0.02
−142023-01-2027.78+3.440+14.13%+0.08
−72023-01-2727.70+3.360+13.80%+0.08
−32023-02-0226.70+2.354+9.67%+0.05
−12023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T024.340.0000.00%0.00
T02023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T024.340.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-0625.32+0.974+4.00%+0.02
+32023-02-0825.07+0.728+2.99%+0.02
+72023-02-1025.04+0.698+2.87%+0.02
+142023-02-1722.90-1.440-5.92%-0.03
+302023-03-0625.19+0.844+3.47%+0.02
+602023-04-0633.98+9.636+39.58%+0.22
+902023-05-0527.39+3.042+12.50%+0.07

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 182.66%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 735). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa
T0−30T0+30+60+9085.086.882023-01-06: 57.61 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-20: 77.51 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-27: 73.74 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −72023-02-02: 35.06 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-02-03, 29.38 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −1, T02023-02-06: 32.50 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +12023-02-08: 37.04 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +32023-02-10: 31.97 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72023-02-17: 24.75 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 37.16 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-06: 19.15 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-05: 14.45 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-0657.61+28.228+96.07%+0.54
−142023-01-2077.51+48.128+163.79%+0.93
−72023-01-2773.74+44.352+150.94%+0.85
−32023-02-0235.06+5.672+19.30%+0.11
−12023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T029.380.0000.00%0.00
T02023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T029.380.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-0632.50+3.116+10.60%+0.06
+32023-02-0837.04+7.658+26.06%+0.15
+72023-02-1031.97+2.588+8.81%+0.05
+142023-02-1724.75-4.632-15.76%-0.09
+302023-03-0637.16+7.774+26.46%+0.15
+602023-04-0619.15-10.230-34.81%-0.20
+902023-05-0514.45-14.934-50.82%-0.29

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 176.64%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 735). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Mhux disponibbli: imblukkat mil-liċenzja

Jeżisti sors, iżda l-liċenzja tiegħu ma tippermettilniex nippubblikawh mill-ġdid. Dawn il-kanali mhumiex neqsin mid-dinja, iżda biss minn din il-paġna.

nol tat-tankers “dirty” mill-Golf Għarbi lejn il-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

In-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers (ringiela 17: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

Il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

Il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

M’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

M’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

Mhux disponibbli: raġuni mhux ikklassifikata

L-API ta kodiċi ta’ raġuni li din il-paġna ma tagħrafx. Is-sentenza tiegħu tintwera hawn taħt kif inhi.

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

La l-aktar tieqa riċenti ta’ tliet snin tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet u lanqas il-kampjun kollu m’għandhom stima IKKALKULATA għal dan il-pajjiż u karburant: m’hemm l-ebda reazzjoni mkejla għaż-żejt mhux maħdum x’tiġi proġettata. Ma jintuża l-ebda sostitut bħal trażmissjoni sħiħa.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

La l-aktar tieqa riċenti ta’ tliet snin tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet u lanqas il-kampjun kollu m’għandhom stima IKKALKULATA għal dan il-pajjiż u karburant: m’hemm l-ebda reazzjoni mkejla għaż-żejt mhux maħdum x’tiġi proġettata. Ma jintuża l-ebda sostitut bħal trażmissjoni sħiħa.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

La l-aktar tieqa riċenti ta’ tliet snin tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet u lanqas il-kampjun kollu m’għandhom stima IKKALKULATA għal dan il-pajjiż u karburant: m’hemm l-ebda reazzjoni mkejla għaż-żejt mhux maħdum x’tiġi proġettata. Ma jintuża l-ebda sostitut bħal trażmissjoni sħiħa.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

La l-aktar tieqa riċenti ta’ tliet snin tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet u lanqas il-kampjun kollu m’għandhom stima IKKALKULATA għal dan il-pajjiż u karburant: m’hemm l-ebda reazzjoni mkejla għaż-żejt mhux maħdum x’tiġi proġettata. Ma jintuża l-ebda sostitut bħal trażmissjoni sħiħa.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

Sors
European Commission, Directorate-General for Energy (DG ENER)Mhux magħruf
Perjodu 2023-01Aġġornat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCKunfidenzaMhux magħrufaMetodoloġijaNiżżel is-CSV

T0: 05/02/2023. Tieqa ta’ referenza: jiem -90 sa -31. Punti tat-tieqa kkalkulati: -30, -14, -7, -3, -1, 0, 1, 3, 7, 14, 30, 60, 90. Metodu: 1.0, kalkolu: event_study-1.0, ikkalkulat: 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC.

L-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”: huwa tassew ir-raġuni?

Il-mistoqsija tinqasam f’dimensjonijiet li jitkejlu separatament u qatt ma jingħaddu f’numru wieħed. Kull ringiela tgħid jekk nistgħux naraw dik id-dimensjoni, u tagħti ċifra ppubblikata waħda fejn nistgħu.

Mit-tmien kanali ta’ trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet li jirrapporta dan is-sit, kanali b’data f’dan il-kalkolu: 4 Ikkalkulat – għadd tar-ringieli ta’ hawn taħt, mhux kejl.

Metodoloġija §11.1 tippubblika l-limiti li jużaw is-sentenzi ta’ hawn taħt: it-tmien kanali kollha preżenti għall-paragun sħiħ, mill-inqas tlieta biex l-istqarrija tkun tista’ tiġi ttestjata hawn, u 2.0 unitajiet ta’ volatilità biex ċaqliq jiġi deskritt bħala barra mill-varjazzjoni normali ta’ serje. Dawn huma għażliet ta’ kliem ippubblikati, mhux testijiet statistiċi.

Dimensjonijiet tal-esponiment għall-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, kull waħda bl-istatus tagħha u ċifra ppubblikata waħda.
DimensjoniStatusĊifra ppubblikata, jew għaliex m’hemmx
Esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum (D1)Sehem miż-żejt mhux maħdum importat li r-rotta tiegħu teħtieġ l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz.Firxa biss
5.717–13.24 % tat-tunnellati importati punt tat-tieqa +30 d (2023-03) · l-ebda punt tan-nofs
Esponiment dirett tal-prodotti (D2)Sehem mill-prodotti raffinati importati li r-rotta tagħhom teħtieġ l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz.Firxa biss
0–6.958 % tat-tunnellati importati punt tat-tieqa +30 d (2023-03) · l-ebda punt tan-nofs
Kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza (D7)Il-jiem ta’ kopertura li jammontaw għalihom il-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati. Riżerva kontra interruzzjoni tal-provvista, mhux sehem mill-importazzjonijiet, u mhux kanal tal-prezz.Osservat
108.4 kopertura (jiem) punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-03-01)-5.14% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -0.88 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdumIl-prezz kwotat taż-żejt mhux maħdum li fuqu jiġu pprezzati t-tagħbijiet Ewropej.Osservat
85.86 $ għal kull barmil punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-03-06)+8.89% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +1.96 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinatiIl-prezz kwotat tal-prodotti li fuqu jipprezzaw ir-raffineriji u l-bejjiegħa bl-ingrossa.Mhux disponibbliIl-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.
Marġni tar-raffinarKemm qala’ r-raffinar ta’ barmil f’dan il-prodott.Mhux disponibbliM’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.
NoliKemm swiet il-ġarr tal-merkanzija bil-baħar.Mhux disponibbliIn-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers (ringiela 17: BLOCKED).
StokkijietL-istokkijiet miżmuma, li jassorbu jew ikabbru bidla fil-provvista.Osservat
14,727,397 t punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-03-01)-5.33% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -1.50 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezzijiet bl-ingrossaIl-prezz bejn il-bieb tar-raffinerija u l-pompa tal-petrol.Mhux disponibbliIs-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).
Prezz fil-pompa mingħajr taxxiIl-prezz fil-pompa mingħajr id-dazju tas-sisa, il-VAT u taxxi oħra fuq il-karburant.Osservat
0.9341 € għal kull litru punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-03-06)-9.25% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -3.25 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz fil-pompa bit-taxxiDak li fil-fatt ħallas sewwieq.Osservat
1.589 € għal kull litru punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-03-06)-6.76% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -3.41 unitajiet ta’ volatilità

L-esponiment fiżiku (l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz) u l-esponiment tal-prezz huma mistoqsijiet differenti. Pajjiż kważi mingħajr esponiment fiżiku dirett xorta jista’ jara l-prezz fil-pompa tiegħu jiċċaqlaq: iż-żejt mhux maħdum jiġi pprezzat fuq livell globali – u serje li ċċaqilqet f’din it-tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.

X’għamel il-prezz fil-pompa madwar din id-data

Il-paġna tal-qsim tal-prezz tista’ tiġi ffissata fuq il-ġimgħat madwar id-data tal-avveniment, biex iċ-ċaqliq fil-pompa jinqasam fit-taxxa, fl-ispiża tal-input u fil-parti li l-ispiża tal-input ma tkoprix.

Qsim tal-prezz (29/01/2023 – 07/03/2023) →

It-tieqa hija madwar id-data ppubblikata tal-avveniment (jiem qabel: 7; jiem wara: 30). Hija tieqa biex wieħed iħares, mhux dikjarazzjoni li l-avveniment kien fl-oriġini ta’ dak li fiha.

Attwali kontra ż-żejt mhux maħdum biss: Spanja, petrol (Euro-super 95)

X’għamel il-prezz mingħajr taxxi minn erba’ ġimgħat qabel sa tlettax-il ġimgħa wara l-ġimgħa tal-avveniment, ħdejn dak li kien jagħmel li kieku segwa biss l-ispiża tal-input taż-żejt mhux maħdum bil-pass li tkejjel l-istima maħżuna tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet. Id-differenza mdella mhix spjegata miż-żejt mhux maħdum; mhix attribwita lill-avveniment jew lil xi ħaġa oħra. L-ebda karburant mhu magħżul: jintwera l-petrol.

Il-paragun maż-żejt mhux maħdum biss ma setax jinqara.

API 404 for /api/events/eu-russia-products-embargo-2023/crude-only: No stored crude-only run for 'eu-russia-products-embargo-2023' and country 'spain'. Runs are stored for the pilot countries; available_countries lists them.

X’jappoġġaw in-numri, sentenza b’sentenza

Kull sentenza ġejja minn mudell fiss, magħżul skont limiti ppubblikati. Iftaħ “Għaliex din is-sentenza” biex tara n-numri li għażluha. L-ebda parti minn dan it-test mhi miktuba minn mudell lingwistiku, u l-ebda parti minnu ma tattribwixxi kawża.

  1. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, Spanja) inbidel b’-0.5%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.2 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: SpanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    0.8953300000000001
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Spain
    z_score
    -0.28487005032163953
    t0_value
    0.8999199999999999
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -0.510045337363307
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_ES_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    ES
    country_name
    Spain
    country_slug
    spain
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.20261220114599754
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.004589999999999872
    change_pct_from_t0
    -0.510045337363307
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.517347595448018
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.20261220114599754
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    0.8953300000000001
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Spain
    z_score
    -0.28487005032163953
    t0_value
    0.8999199999999999
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -0.510045337363307
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_ES_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    ES
    country_name
    Spain
    country_slug
    spain
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.20261220114599754
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.004589999999999872
    change_pct_from_t0
    -0.510045337363307
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.517347595448018
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.20261220114599754

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità bc9c44573f41699170dc5365c495a221b941570d6c136b559722651987f3119d · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  2. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, Spanja) inbidel b’-2.3%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.9 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: SpanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    0.8791
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Spain
    z_score
    -0.509940194471802
    t0_value
    0.8999199999999999
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -2.313538981242772
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_ES_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    ES
    country_name
    Spain
    country_slug
    spain
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.9190383502962475
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.02081999999999995
    change_pct_from_t0
    -2.313538981242772
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.517347595448018
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.9190383502962475
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    0.8791
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Spain
    z_score
    -0.509940194471802
    t0_value
    0.8999199999999999
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -2.313538981242772
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_ES_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    ES
    country_name
    Spain
    country_slug
    spain
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.9190383502962475
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.02081999999999995
    change_pct_from_t0
    -2.313538981242772
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.517347595448018
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.9190383502962475

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità c1ef7a21bff05d4f4c7c29b03e3722432e639faab61b10d9dc4fc29ae606c2cc · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  3. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, Spanja) inbidel b’-3.5%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.4 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: SpanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    0.8681000000000001
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Spain
    z_score
    -0.662483114105305
    t0_value
    0.8999199999999999
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -3.5358698550982144
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_ES_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    ES
    country_name
    Spain
    country_slug
    spain
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-05-01
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.4046013595786035
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.03181999999999985
    change_pct_from_t0
    -3.5358698550982144
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.517347595448018
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.4046013595786035
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    0.8681000000000001
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Spain
    z_score
    -0.662483114105305
    t0_value
    0.8999199999999999
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -3.5358698550982144
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_ES_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    ES
    country_name
    Spain
    country_slug
    spain
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-05-01
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.4046013595786035
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.03181999999999985
    change_pct_from_t0
    -3.5358698550982144
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.517347595448018
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.4046013595786035

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 3a36d4a38af375a5458211e9a11a670b57be6884735026c300681be6ac1e2b7f · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  4. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, Spanja) inbidel b’-0.3%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.2 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: SpanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.65531
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Spain
    z_score
    -0.2847961277764818
    t0_value
    1.66086
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -0.3341642281709442
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_ES_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    ES
    country_name
    Spain
    country_slug
    spain
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.21106036519736063
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.005549999999999944
    change_pct_from_t0
    -0.3341642281709442
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.5832637637031959
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.21106036519736063
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.65531
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Spain
    z_score
    -0.2847961277764818
    t0_value
    1.66086
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -0.3341642281709442
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_ES_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    ES
    country_name
    Spain
    country_slug
    spain
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.21106036519736063
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.005549999999999944
    change_pct_from_t0
    -0.3341642281709442
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.5832637637031959
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.21106036519736063

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità cff1d09d25e323c901cefbc4acceeb57ef75bf267c69bfa14d90bb8afe779650 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  5. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, Spanja) inbidel b’-1.5%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.0 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: SpanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.6356700000000002
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Spain
    z_score
    -0.5098824838943936
    t0_value
    1.66086
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -1.5166841275002
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_ES_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    ES
    country_name
    Spain
    country_slug
    spain
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.9579478557336091
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.025189999999999824
    change_pct_from_t0
    -1.5166841275002
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.5832637637031959
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.9579478557336091
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.6356700000000002
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Spain
    z_score
    -0.5098824838943936
    t0_value
    1.66086
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -1.5166841275002
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_ES_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    ES
    country_name
    Spain
    country_slug
    spain
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.9579478557336091
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.025189999999999824
    change_pct_from_t0
    -1.5166841275002
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.5832637637031959
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.9579478557336091

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità a9f5d2aee23ee41dea07202745fb888849319075a370370feececbcd6b1aecea · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  6. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, Spanja) inbidel b’-2.3%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.5 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: SpanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.62236
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Spain
    z_score
    -0.6624231865384598
    t0_value
    1.66086
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -2.3180761774020677
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_ES_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    ES
    country_name
    Spain
    country_slug
    spain
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-05-01
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.4641124432609842
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.03849999999999998
    change_pct_from_t0
    -2.3180761774020677
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.5832637637031959
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.4641124432609842
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.62236
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Spain
    z_score
    -0.6624231865384598
    t0_value
    1.66086
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -2.3180761774020677
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_ES_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    ES
    country_name
    Spain
    country_slug
    spain
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-05-01
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.4641124432609842
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.03849999999999998
    change_pct_from_t0
    -2.3180761774020677
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.5832637637031959
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.4641124432609842

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità ee269eaffe8f959c0fdf63305b29ca4317ed05181333ff19773f7e6a306b3429 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  7. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, Spanja) inbidel b’-2.1%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.8 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: SpanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.0073
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Spain
    z_score
    -0.8502302668251349
    t0_value
    1.0292999999999999
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -2.137374914990751
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_ES_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    ES
    country_name
    Spain
    country_slug
    spain
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.751359737548251
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.021999999999999797
    change_pct_from_t0
    -2.137374914990751
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.844675869863858
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.751359737548251
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.0073
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Spain
    z_score
    -0.8502302668251349
    t0_value
    1.0292999999999999
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -2.137374914990751
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_ES_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    ES
    country_name
    Spain
    country_slug
    spain
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.751359737548251
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.021999999999999797
    change_pct_from_t0
    -2.137374914990751
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.844675869863858
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.751359737548251

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 2ad5fabda90cabb114c2f6d28abbb9155768c8641a3df0eba99e387b90ab53a4 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  8. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, Spanja) inbidel b’-9.3%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’3.3 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: SpanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    0.93406
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Spain
    z_score
    -1.5668751304243025
    t0_value
    1.0292999999999999
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -9.252890313805489
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_ES_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    ES
    country_name
    Spain
    country_slug
    spain
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -3.252704609277091
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.09523999999999988
    change_pct_from_t0
    -9.252890313805489
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.844675869863858
    change_in_volatility_units
    -3.252704609277091
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    0.93406
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Spain
    z_score
    -1.5668751304243025
    t0_value
    1.0292999999999999
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -9.252890313805489
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_ES_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    ES
    country_name
    Spain
    country_slug
    spain
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -3.252704609277091
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.09523999999999988
    change_pct_from_t0
    -9.252890313805489
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.844675869863858
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -3.252704609277091

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 8f2b9197295747aa710b416c23ea824c0a94b33877952f7b3fd009064c9bcfe6 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  9. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, Spanja) inbidel b’-19.2%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’6.8 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: SpanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    0.8314900000000001
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Spain
    z_score
    -2.570510625500306
    t0_value
    1.0292999999999999
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -19.217915087923817
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_ES_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    ES
    country_name
    Spain
    country_slug
    spain
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-05-01
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -6.7557486220191265
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.19780999999999982
    change_pct_from_t0
    -19.217915087923817
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.844675869863858
    change_in_volatility_units
    -6.7557486220191265
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    0.8314900000000001
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Spain
    z_score
    -2.570510625500306
    t0_value
    1.0292999999999999
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -19.217915087923817
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_ES_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    ES
    country_name
    Spain
    country_slug
    spain
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-05-01
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -6.7557486220191265
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.19780999999999982
    change_pct_from_t0
    -19.217915087923817
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.844675869863858
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -6.7557486220191265

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità f01a9dfb38ee18226c6066aad34b8a7137a6070238911dcad1a210f5592c10fe · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  10. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, Spanja) inbidel b’-1.6%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.8 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: SpanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.6774200000000001
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Spain
    z_score
    -0.8502526206274659
    t0_value
    1.70404
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -1.562169902114966
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_ES_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    ES
    country_name
    Spain
    country_slug
    spain
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.7877696100835119
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.026619999999999866
    change_pct_from_t0
    -1.562169902114966
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.983028898448316
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.7877696100835119
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.6774200000000001
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Spain
    z_score
    -0.8502526206274659
    t0_value
    1.70404
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -1.562169902114966
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_ES_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    ES
    country_name
    Spain
    country_slug
    spain
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.7877696100835119
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.026619999999999866
    change_pct_from_t0
    -1.562169902114966
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.983028898448316
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.7877696100835119

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 30b3a8e0e0f28a40795ce86f2319509e61fd5ff46d9c346e6293adb67ed9fb25 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  11. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, Spanja) inbidel b’-6.8%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’3.4 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: SpanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.5888
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Spain
    z_score
    -1.5668875688569268
    t0_value
    1.70404
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -6.762752048073989
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_ES_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    ES
    country_name
    Spain
    country_slug
    spain
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -3.4103144202112836
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.11524000000000001
    change_pct_from_t0
    -6.762752048073989
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.983028898448316
    change_in_volatility_units
    -3.4103144202112836
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.5888
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Spain
    z_score
    -1.5668875688569268
    t0_value
    1.70404
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -6.762752048073989
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_ES_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    ES
    country_name
    Spain
    country_slug
    spain
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -3.4103144202112836
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.11524000000000001
    change_pct_from_t0
    -6.762752048073989
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.983028898448316
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -3.4103144202112836

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 739d84ed1913de324f20aa708a8d1250ef47121843eb8f018d392749e63c04b7 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  12. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, Spanja) inbidel b’-14.0%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’7.1 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: SpanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.46469
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Spain
    z_score
    -2.5705161337943925
    t0_value
    1.70404
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -14.04603178329147
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_ES_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    ES
    country_name
    Spain
    country_slug
    spain
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-05-01
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -7.083120066622445
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.23934999999999995
    change_pct_from_t0
    -14.04603178329147
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.983028898448316
    change_in_volatility_units
    -7.083120066622445
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.46469
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Spain
    z_score
    -2.5705161337943925
    t0_value
    1.70404
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -14.04603178329147
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_ES_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    ES
    country_name
    Spain
    country_slug
    spain
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-05-01
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -7.083120066622445
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.23934999999999995
    change_pct_from_t0
    -14.04603178329147
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.983028898448316
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -7.083120066622445

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 432cb1245ab24903db363acf6b1b832b51326f5e059fb62d3ebe6433574ab666 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  13. X’kienu jagħmlu l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom lill-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, Spanja) fil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”) huwa MHUX MAGĦRUF: La l-aktar tieqa riċenti ta’ tliet snin tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet u lanqas il-kampjun kollu m’għandhom stima IKKALKULATA għal dan il-pajjiż u karburant (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §4.5): m’hemm l-ebda reazzjoni mkejla għaż-żejt mhux maħdum x’tiġi proġettata. Ma jintuża l-ebda sostitut bħal trażmissjoni sħiħa (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.2).

    pajjiż: SpanjaMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    weeks
    4
    status
    UNKNOWN
    country
    Spain
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    reason_code
    NO_COMPUTED_PASS_THROUGH_ESTIMATE
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_ES_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    ES
    country_name
    Spain
    country_slug
    spain
    proxy_product
    null
    gap_eur_per_litre
    null
    actual_eur_per_litre
    null
    expected_eur_per_litre
    null
    proxy_volatility_units
    null
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    null
    pass_through_window_label
    null
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    null
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    null
    Limiti
    source
    docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
    proxy_rule
    the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
    confidence_cap
    MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
    statement_weeks
    [4,13]
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    weeks
    4
    status
    UNKNOWN
    country
    Spain
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_COMPUTED_PASS_THROUGH_ESTIMATE
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_ES_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    ES
    country_name
    Spain
    country_slug
    spain
    proxy_product
    null
    statement_topic
    event
    gap_eur_per_litre
    null
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    actual_eur_per_litre
    null
    expected_eur_per_litre
    null
    proxy_volatility_units
    null
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    null
    pass_through_window_label
    null
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    null
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    null

    Mudell event.crude_only.unknown v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 40b01f64c45cb8991123a645f98472dd62d569f430d266df464d849e78022918 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  14. X’kienu jagħmlu l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom lill-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, Spanja) fil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”) huwa MHUX MAGĦRUF: La l-aktar tieqa riċenti ta’ tliet snin tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet u lanqas il-kampjun kollu m’għandhom stima IKKALKULATA għal dan il-pajjiż u karburant (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §4.5): m’hemm l-ebda reazzjoni mkejla għaż-żejt mhux maħdum x’tiġi proġettata. Ma jintuża l-ebda sostitut bħal trażmissjoni sħiħa (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.2).

    pajjiż: SpanjaMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    weeks
    4
    status
    UNKNOWN
    country
    Spain
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    reason_code
    NO_COMPUTED_PASS_THROUGH_ESTIMATE
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_ES_DIESEL
    country_iso2
    ES
    country_name
    Spain
    country_slug
    spain
    proxy_product
    null
    gap_eur_per_litre
    null
    actual_eur_per_litre
    null
    expected_eur_per_litre
    null
    proxy_volatility_units
    null
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    null
    pass_through_window_label
    null
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    null
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    null
    Limiti
    source
    docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
    proxy_rule
    the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
    confidence_cap
    MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
    statement_weeks
    [4,13]
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    weeks
    4
    status
    UNKNOWN
    country
    Spain
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_COMPUTED_PASS_THROUGH_ESTIMATE
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_ES_DIESEL
    country_iso2
    ES
    country_name
    Spain
    country_slug
    spain
    proxy_product
    null
    statement_topic
    event
    gap_eur_per_litre
    null
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    actual_eur_per_litre
    null
    expected_eur_per_litre
    null
    proxy_volatility_units
    null
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    null
    pass_through_window_label
    null
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    null
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    null

    Mudell event.crude_only.unknown v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 2bf179bc32be14d8e4d93f02394b0127dea8d14844e8ab3ba0fba34c2394812d · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  15. Spanja, Frar 2023: id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (żejt mhux maħdum) kienet moderata (9%–15%). Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: il-pajjiżi sħab ikkonċernati jesportaw kemm minn ġewwa kif ukoll minn barra l-Golf Persjan, u l-qsim għal kull perjodu mhux pubbliku.

    pajjiż: SpanjaIkkalkulatMedja
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    moderate
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2023-02
    status
    NO_OBSERVATION
    country
    Spain
    commodity
    crude
    dimension
    DIRECT_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    country_iso2
    ES
    country_name
    Spain
    country_slug
    spain
    value_max_pct
    14.590595519524
    value_min_pct
    8.52928357575332
    exposure_status
    PARTIAL
    value_point_pct
    null
    observation_date
    2023-02-01
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
    band_applied_to
    upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
    dependence_limited_max_pct
    10
    dependence_moderate_max_pct
    33
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    moderate
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2023-02
    status
    NO_OBSERVATION
    country
    Spain
    commodity
    crude
    dimension
    DIRECT_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    ES
    country_name
    Spain
    country_slug
    spain
    value_max_pct
    14.590595519524
    value_min_pct
    8.52928357575332
    exposure_status
    PARTIAL
    statement_topic
    hormuz
    value_point_pct
    null
    observation_date
    2023-02-01
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.dependence.range v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 4e7df8165f2841d12bd752228c73b351c8350e2ffc34e617a392294deb76d343 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  16. Spanja, Frar 2023: id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (prodott raffinat) kienet limitata (0%–2%). Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: il-pajjiżi sħab ikkonċernati jesportaw kemm minn ġewwa kif ukoll minn barra l-Golf Persjan, u l-qsim għal kull perjodu mhux pubbliku.

    pajjiż: SpanjaIkkalkulatMedja
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    limited
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2023-02
    status
    NO_OBSERVATION
    country
    Spain
    commodity
    refined product
    dimension
    DIRECT_PRODUCT
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    country_iso2
    ES
    country_name
    Spain
    country_slug
    spain
    value_max_pct
    1.95999067839227
    value_min_pct
    0
    exposure_status
    RANGE_ONLY
    value_point_pct
    null
    observation_date
    2023-02-01
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
    band_applied_to
    upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
    dependence_limited_max_pct
    10
    dependence_moderate_max_pct
    33
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    limited
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2023-02
    status
    NO_OBSERVATION
    country
    Spain
    commodity
    refined product
    dimension
    DIRECT_PRODUCT
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    ES
    country_name
    Spain
    country_slug
    spain
    value_max_pct
    1.95999067839227
    value_min_pct
    0
    exposure_status
    RANGE_ONLY
    statement_topic
    hormuz
    value_point_pct
    null
    observation_date
    2023-02-01
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.dependence.range v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 99440d8722db91a20aaa91c26e59e448e75134d00ea3b5814e000c4a2b80c5e8 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  17. L-evidenza disponibbli ma turix tnaqqis fiżiku fil-provvista: l-importazzjonijiet irrappurtati taż-żejt mhux maħdum (Spanja, Frar 2023) meta mqabbla mal-medja tax-xhur ta’ qabel (12): -9.7%.

    pajjiż: SpanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2023-02
    country
    Spain
    change_pct
    -9.678992484816755
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    country_iso2
    ES
    country_name
    Spain
    country_slug
    spain
    value_tonnes
    4809882
    baseline_months
    12
    observation_date
    2023-02-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
    crude_imports_rule
    crude_imports_total-1.1
    baseline_mean_tonnes
    5325319.25
    baseline_window_months
    12
    value_not_published_code
    null
    baseline_not_published_months
    0
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no cut-off
    min_baseline_months
    6
    baseline_months_used
    12
    supply_reduction_pct
    -10
    supply_baseline_months
    12
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2023-02
    country
    Spain
    change_pct
    -9.678992484816755
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    ES
    country_name
    Spain
    country_slug
    spain
    value_tonnes
    4809882
    baseline_months
    12
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2023-02-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
    crude_imports_rule
    crude_imports_total-1.1
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    baseline_mean_tonnes
    5325319.25
    baseline_window_months
    12
    value_not_published_code
    null
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    baseline_not_published_months
    0

    Mudell event.supply.no_reduction v1.2 · Marka tal-identità c7d2c95de0217745166b8d92a89c2e60e5a5868ce3654d0554bc837c7bac0be4 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  18. Frar 2023: l-istokkijiet taż-żejt (Spanja) kienu 4.4% ogħla meta mqabbla mal-medja mobbli tagħhom (xhur: 12) — ġewwa l-faxxa ta’ 5% fuq kull naħa li dan is-sit jaqra bħala konformi magħha, jiem ta’ kopertura: 114.2 (kif ippubblikati).

    pajjiż: SpanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2023-02
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Spain
    direction
    above
    siec_code
    O4000
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    holder_type
    STK_CL
    series_code
    INVENTORY_ES
    country_iso2
    ES
    country_name
    Spain
    country_slug
    spain
    days_of_cover
    114.235
    metric_status
    COMPUTED
    mom_change_pct
    2.7140160623796503
    observation_date
    2023-02-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
    total_stock_tonnes
    15556502
    days_of_cover_basis
    as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
    observation_gap_days
    4
    trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
    14894173.333333334
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
    4.446897802541128
    trailing_12m_observations
    12
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no band
    band_applied_to
    the rounded figure printed in the sentence
    days_of_cover_basis
    as published (Eurostat nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); never stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
    trailing_window_months
    12
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_raw
    4.446897802541128
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_shown
    4.4
    inventory_material_deviation_pct
    5
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2023-02
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Spain
    direction
    above
    siec_code
    O4000
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    holder_type
    STK_CL
    series_code
    INVENTORY_ES
    country_iso2
    ES
    country_name
    Spain
    country_slug
    spain
    days_of_cover
    114.235
    metric_status
    COMPUTED
    mom_change_pct
    2.7140160623796503
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2023-02-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
    total_stock_tonnes
    15556502
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    days_of_cover_basis
    as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    4
    trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
    14894173.333333334
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
    4.446897802541128
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    trailing_12m_observations
    12

    Mudell event.inventory_level.in_line v1.2 · Marka tal-identità cbb54e6ad7ebf057bd8e1b99dc21eba033d01ea160b5050ef431cdfb00beb725 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  19. Sommarju ta’ x’jista’ jiġi vverifikat hawn

    Parti biss mill-katina tista’ tiġi vverifikata għal dan il-pajjiż (Spanja) madwar l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”: serje disponibbli: 4 minn 8 (prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdum, stokkijiet, prezz fil-pompa mingħajr taxxi u prezz fil-pompa bit-taxxi); mhux disponibbli: prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinati, marġni tar-raffinar, noli u prezzijiet bl-ingrossa. Kull dikjarazzjoni bbażata fuq ir-rabtiet neqsin ma tistax tiġi ttestjata hawn. Id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (żejt mhux maħdum) kienet moderata (9–15%) matul il-perjodu kopert. Din il-paġna tiddeskrivi x’għamlet kull serje madwar id-data tal-avveniment. Mhijiex sejba dwar kawża: l-ebda disinn kawżali mhu ppubblikat għal dan is-sit, u serje li ċċaqilqet fl-istess tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.

    pajjiż: SpanjaMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    country
    Spain
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    country_iso2
    ES
    country_name
    Spain
    country_slug
    spain
    dependence_band
    moderate
    dependence_range
    9–15%
    channels_available
    ["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
    supply_template_id
    event.supply.no_reduction
    channels_unavailable
    ["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; the channel list is docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.3
    channels_total
    8
    channels_available
    4
    verdict_partial_min_channels
    3
    verdict_assessable_min_channels
    8
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    country
    Spain
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    ES
    country_name
    Spain
    country_slug
    spain
    dependence_band
    moderate
    statement_topic
    event
    dependence_range
    9–15%
    channels_available
    ["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
    supply_template_id
    event.supply.no_reduction
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    channels_unavailable
    ["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.verdict.partial v1.2 · Marka tal-identità ab56c609505dea4e183e2ac925d0c554fa96ee1ea06713a3bbe1fe3a7185a0b5 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  20. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’+8.4%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.8 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    85.46
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    0.08812991325524933
    t0_value
    78.85
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    8.383005707038683
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    BRENT
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2023-02-10
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    1.8495435613044966
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    6.609999999999999
    change_pct_from_t0
    8.383005707038683
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.532472704306617
    change_in_volatility_units
    1.8495435613044966
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    85.46
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    0.08812991325524933
    t0_value
    78.85
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    8.383005707038683
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    BRENT
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2023-02-10
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    1.8495435613044966
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    6.609999999999999
    change_pct_from_t0
    8.383005707038683
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.532472704306617
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    1.8495435613044966

    Mudell event.benchmark_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 38adc5dea4321bbd49653a24f7c0174373d8aa5326085a6d6dbe425d5975e73b · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  21. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’+8.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.0 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    85.86
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    0.1507166248435324
    t0_value
    78.85
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    8.890298034242239
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    BRENT
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    1.9614675287056775
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    7.010000000000005
    change_pct_from_t0
    8.890298034242239
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.532472704306617
    change_in_volatility_units
    1.9614675287056775
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    85.86
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    0.1507166248435324
    t0_value
    78.85
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    8.890298034242239
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    BRENT
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    1.9614675287056775
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    7.010000000000005
    change_pct_from_t0
    8.890298034242239
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.532472704306617
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    1.9614675287056775

    Mudell event.benchmark_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 0da9031a475f48ba9492ce0f26d02ef4b075756fb5a3ed508e2b5f1ea86c489b · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  22. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’-3.8%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.8 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    75.85
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    -1.4155158326532304
    t0_value
    78.85
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    -3.804692454026633
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    BRENT
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2023-05-05
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.8394297555088486
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -3
    change_pct_from_t0
    -3.804692454026633
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.532472704306617
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.8394297555088486
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    75.85
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    -1.4155158326532304
    t0_value
    78.85
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    -3.804692454026633
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    BRENT
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2023-05-05
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.8394297555088486
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -3
    change_pct_from_t0
    -3.804692454026633
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.532472704306617
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.8394297555088486

    Mudell event.benchmark_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 956c15054a5318a99cfc9c833555e8d3f8ac980a1c014dbf655e5357d300335e · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  23. Noli – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: in-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["freight rates"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
    Limiti
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["freight rates"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 298ab38a71e7fa1e827846158174e16f115ed958766d0a18618b16aa877096e8 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  24. Prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinati – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni. Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refined-product benchmark"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
    Limiti
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refined-product benchmark"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 0a3ee8f8627510915169cd9a2eaa4452fa0806bd90c55f8208323cb6b271bea9 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  25. Prezzijiet bl-ingrossa – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["wholesale prices"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
    Limiti
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["wholesale prices"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità b5b761de3451d820e679168f99a9b0a6cadccd3d87b852d57da6f18bc2de3e6c · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  26. Marġni tar-raffinar – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: m’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refining margin"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    reason_code
    NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
    Limiti
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refining margin"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità e9796ff5d8838330a75be8298f9f4cd8c4fea863574dbd933141d0a1f568d3c6 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

X’ma jurix dan

  • Ma jurix li l-avveniment kien fl-oriġini ta’ xi ħaġa. L-ebda disinn kawżali mhu ppubblikat għal dan is-sit, u serje li ċċaqilqet f’din it-tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.
  • Bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza, u lanqas punteġġ z ma hu. Ikejlu affarijiet differenti u mhumiex interkambjabbli.
  • Il-kanali mingħajr sors b’liċenzja għall-użu jew diġà mtella’ jintwerew bħala pannelli vojta, mhux bħala linji ċatti. “Ma nistgħux naraw dan” ma jfissirx “dan ma ċċaqlaqx”.
  • Xejn ma jiġi interpolat. Fejn diversi punti tat-tieqa jaqgħu fuq ċifra ppubblikata waħda, dak hu li stampa l-pubblikatur, u l-bidla meta mqabbla mad-data tal-avveniment hija żero: huwa l-istess numru.

Spanja: provvista, raffineriji u prezzijiet fil-pompa →

Kif jinqraw it-tikketti

  • UffiċjaliIrrappurtat direttament minn awtorità uffiċjali.
  • IvverifikatIrrappurtat minn parti terza u vverifikat minna ma’ rekord primarju.
  • IkkalkulatIkkalkulat minna minn inputs irrappurtati. Il-metodu huwa ppubblikat fil-paġna tal-metodoloġija.
  • Inferit · kunfidenza għoljaMhux irrappurtat. Inferit minn mill-inqas żewġ rekords fiżiċi indipendenti.
  • Inferit · kunfidenza medjaMhux irrappurtat. Inferit minn evidenza indiretta qawwija, mingħajr konferma espliċita.
  • Inferit · kunfidenza baxxaMhux irrappurtat. Plawżibbli biss minn data dwar l-infrastruttura jew il-movimenti. Taqrahx bħala fatt.
  • Mhux magħrufL-ebda evidenza pubblika difendibbli ma tistabbilixxi dan. Ma nagħmlux suppożizzjonijiet, u dan mhuwiex kejl ta’ żero.