Fuel Origin

Avvenimenti / Projbizzjoni fuq l-importazzjoni

Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)

Dati
05/02/2023 → l-ebda data tat-tmiem irreġistrata
Preċiżjoni tad-data
jum
Status
Għadu għaddej
Ambitu
L-Unjoni Ewropea

X’qalu s-sorsi (bl-Ingliż)

Second phase of the sixth sanctions package of 3 June 2022 (Council Regulation (EU) 2022/879 amending Regulation (EU) No 833/2014): an eight-month wind-down for refined petroleum products against six months for seaborne crude. Eurostat, 19 June 2023: "The ban on imports of seaborne crude oil entered into force on 5 December 2022, while the ban on petroleum products took effect on 5 February 2023." Recorded as a separate marker because each event on this timeline has a single start date and the two phases have different in-force dates. This row is a timeline marker only; it makes no statement about prices.

L-AIE, l-EIA, il-Kummissjoni Ewropea, il-Kunsill Ewropew u leġiżlaturi nazzjonali (iċċitati għal kull ringiela)Uffiċjali
Miġbur 25/09/2026 14:07 UTCReviżjoni 2
Dokumenti tas-sors (2)
PajjiżPajjiżIl-ĠermanjaFranzaIn-NetherlandsIl-PolonjaIl-FinlandjaL-EstonjaL-AwstrijaIl-BelġjuIl-BulgarijaIl-KroazjaĊipruIċ-ĊekjaId-DanimarkaIl-GreċjaL-UngerijaL-IrlandaL-ItaljaIl-LatvjaIl-LitwanjaIl-LussemburguMaltaIl-PortugallIr-RumanijaIs-SlovakkjaIs-SlovenjaSpanjaL-Iżvezja
KarburantKarburantDiżil (żejt tal-gass għall-vetturi)Petrol (Euro-super 95)Iż-żewġ karburanti

Jekk tagħżel karburant, jinżammu s-serje ta’ dak il-karburant u l-kanali komuni għall-karburanti kollha – il-prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdum, ir-rata tal-kambju, l-importazzjonijiet taż-żejt mhux maħdum u l-esponiment għal Hormuz. Jitneħħew biss is-serje tal-karburant l-ieħor.

It-tieqa tal-avveniment

Kemm kienet tiswa kull serje fil-jiem madwar id-data tal-avveniment (minn -30 sa 90), kemm dan hu ’l bogħod mil-livell tal-istess serje fid-data tal-avveniment, u kemm hu kbir dak iċ-ċaqliq meta mqabbel mal-varjazzjoni normali tas-serje stess.

In-Netherlands, il-karburanti kollha f’dan il-kalkolu. Serje li jistgħu jitpinġew: 18; serje li ma jistgħu jidhru bl-ebda mod, murija hawn taħt bħala pannelli vojta b’tikketta: 11.

Qari ppubblikat: 208; punti tat-tieqa mingħajr xejn ippubblikat fi żmien perjodu wieħed: 26; punti tat-tieqa fuq serje li ma nistgħu naraw xejn minnhom: 143. Kollha jidhru f’din il-paġna.

Europe Brent spot FOB

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+9088.2974.522023-01-06: 76.41 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-20: 86.96 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-27: 85.36 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −72023-02-02: 80.57 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-02-03, 78.85 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −1, T02023-02-06: 80.48 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +12023-02-08: 84.17 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +32023-02-10: 85.46 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72023-02-17: 81.97 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 85.86 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-06: 86.56 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-05: 75.85 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Europe Brent spot FOB): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-0676.41-2.440-3.09%-0.68
−142023-01-2086.96+8.110+10.29%+2.27
−72023-01-2785.36+6.510+8.26%+1.82
−32023-02-0280.57+1.720+2.18%+0.48
−12023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T078.850.0000.00%0.00
T02023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T078.850.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-0680.48+1.630+2.07%+0.46
+32023-02-0884.17+5.320+6.75%+1.49
+72023-02-1085.46+6.610+8.38%+1.85
+142023-02-1781.97+3.120+3.96%+0.87
+302023-03-0685.86+7.010+8.89%+1.96
+602023-04-0686.56+7.710+9.78%+2.16
+902023-05-0575.85-3.000-3.80%-0.84

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 4.53%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 757). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

reported crude oil imports, all origins

Unità: tIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+904,991,7733,988,2032023-01-01: 4,327,360 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −30, −14, −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-02-01, 4,085,323 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T0, +1, +3, +7, +142023-03-01: 4,223,262 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-01: 4,894,653 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 4,277,444 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (reported crude oil imports, all origins): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-014,327,360+242,037+5.92%+0.43
−142023-01-014,327,360+242,037+5.92%+0.43
−72023-01-014,327,360+242,037+5.92%+0.43
−32023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T04,085,3230.0000.00%0.00
−12023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T04,085,3230.0000.00%0.00
T02023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T04,085,3230.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T04,085,3230.0000.00%0.00
+32023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T04,085,3230.0000.00%0.00
+72023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T04,085,3230.0000.00%0.00
+142023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T04,085,3230.0000.00%0.00
+302023-03-014,223,262+137,939+3.38%+0.25
+602023-04-014,894,653+809,330+19.81%+1.45
+902023-05-014,277,444+192,121+4.70%+0.35

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 13.63%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 35). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE

Unità: USD għal kull EURIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+901.1081.0442023-01-06: 1.050 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-20: 1.083 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-27: 1.087 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −72023-02-02: 1.099 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-02-03, 1.094 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −1, T02023-02-06: 1.078 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +12023-02-08: 1.074 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +32023-02-10: 1.069 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72023-02-17: 1.063 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-07: 1.067 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-06: 1.092 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-05: 1.101 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-061.050-0.044-4.00%-7.81
−142023-01-201.083-0.011-1.01%-1.98
−72023-01-271.087-0.007-0.66%-1.29
−32023-02-021.099+0.005+0.47%+0.91
−12023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.0940.0000.00%0.00
T02023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.0940.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-061.078-0.016-1.47%-2.88
+32023-02-081.074-0.020-1.85%-3.61
+72023-02-101.069-0.025-2.26%-4.41
+142023-02-171.063-0.031-2.85%-5.57
+302023-03-071.067-0.027-2.49%-4.86
+602023-04-061.092-0.002-0.20%-0.39
+902023-05-051.101+0.008+0.70%+1.38

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 0.51%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 772). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1

Unità: % tat-tunnellati importatiIppubblikat: kull xaharMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
T0−30T0+30+60+9020.216.862023-01-01: 8.393 sa 15.39 % tat-tunnellati importati. Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: ma jitpinġa l-ebda punt tan-nofs.2023-02-01: 11.09 sa 18.92 % tat-tunnellati importati. Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: ma jitpinġa l-ebda punt tan-nofs.2023-03-01: 9.553 sa 9.962 % tat-tunnellati importati. Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: ma jitpinġa l-ebda punt tan-nofs.2023-04-01: 8.152 sa 15.32 % tat-tunnellati importati. Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: ma jitpinġa l-ebda punt tan-nofs.2023-05-01: 9.854 sa 13.99 % tat-tunnellati importati. Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: ma jitpinġa l-ebda punt tan-nofs.

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab. Il-faxxa mdella hija l-firxa ammissibbli. Ma jitpinġa l-ebda punt tan-nofs: ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu.

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-018.393–15.39mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−142023-01-018.393–15.39mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−72023-01-018.393–15.39mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−32023-02-0111.09–18.92mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−12023-02-0111.09–18.92mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
T02023-02-0111.09–18.92mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+12023-02-0111.09–18.92mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+32023-02-0111.09–18.92mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+72023-02-0111.09–18.92mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+142023-02-0111.09–18.92mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+302023-03-019.553–9.962mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+602023-04-018.152–15.32mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+902023-05-019.854–13.99mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2

Unità: % tat-tunnellati importatiIppubblikat: kull xaharMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
T0−30T0+30+60+9015.530.002023-01-01: 2.168 sa 6.086 % tat-tunnellati importati. Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: ma jitpinġa l-ebda punt tan-nofs.2023-02-01: 6.664 sa 14.02 % tat-tunnellati importati. Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: ma jitpinġa l-ebda punt tan-nofs.2023-03-01: 1.362 sa 8.650 % tat-tunnellati importati. Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: ma jitpinġa l-ebda punt tan-nofs.2023-04-01: 3.662 sa 7.324 % tat-tunnellati importati. Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: ma jitpinġa l-ebda punt tan-nofs.2023-05-01: 2.853 sa 7.070 % tat-tunnellati importati. Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: ma jitpinġa l-ebda punt tan-nofs.

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab. Il-faxxa mdella hija l-firxa ammissibbli. Ma jitpinġa l-ebda punt tan-nofs: ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu.

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-012.168–6.086mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−142023-01-012.168–6.086mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−72023-01-012.168–6.086mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−32023-02-016.664–14.02mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−12023-02-016.664–14.02mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
T02023-02-016.664–14.02mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+12023-02-016.664–14.02mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+32023-02-016.664–14.02mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+72023-02-016.664–14.02mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+142023-02-016.664–14.02mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+302023-03-011.362–8.650mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+602023-04-013.662–7.324mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+902023-05-012.853–7.070mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma

Unità: kopertura (jiem)Ippubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+90114.1102.92023-01-01: 105.0 kopertura (jiem), użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −30, −14, −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-02-01, 104.0 kopertura (jiem), użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T0, +1, +3, +7, +142023-03-01: 113.0 kopertura (jiem), użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-01: 107.0 kopertura (jiem), użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 105.0 kopertura (jiem), użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-01105.0+1.000+0.96%+0.15
−142023-01-01105.0+1.000+0.96%+0.15
−72023-01-01105.0+1.000+0.96%+0.15
−32023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0104.00.0000.00%0.00
−12023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0104.00.0000.00%0.00
T02023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0104.00.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0104.00.0000.00%0.00
+32023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0104.00.0000.00%0.00
+72023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0104.00.0000.00%0.00
+142023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0104.00.0000.00%0.00
+302023-03-01113.0+9.000+8.65%+1.39
+602023-04-01107.0+3.000+2.88%+0.46
+902023-05-01105.0+1.000+0.96%+0.15

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 6.20%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 35). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+900.5050.4172023-01-02: 0.4598 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-16: 0.4913 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-23: 0.4969 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-01-30, 0.4720 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T02023-02-06: 0.4881 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +1, +3, +72023-02-13: 0.4951 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 0.4922 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-03: 0.4959 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 0.4258 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-020.4598-0.012-2.58%-0.32
−142023-01-160.4913+0.019+4.09%+0.51
−72023-01-230.4969+0.025+5.28%+0.65
−32023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.47200.0000.00%0.00
−12023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.47200.0000.00%0.00
T02023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.47200.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-060.4881+0.016+3.41%+0.42
+32023-02-060.4881+0.016+3.41%+0.42
+72023-02-060.4881+0.016+3.41%+0.42
+142023-02-130.4951+0.023+4.89%+0.61
+302023-03-060.4922+0.020+4.28%+0.53
+602023-04-030.4959+0.024+5.07%+0.63
+902023-05-010.4258-0.046-9.79%-1.21

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 8.07%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 149). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+900.5050.4172023-01-02: 0.4598 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-16: 0.4913 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-23: 0.4969 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-01-30, 0.4720 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T02023-02-06: 0.4881 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +1, +3, +72023-02-13: 0.4951 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 0.4922 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-03: 0.4959 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 0.4258 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-020.4598-0.012-2.58%-0.32
−142023-01-160.4913+0.019+4.09%+0.51
−72023-01-230.4969+0.025+5.28%+0.65
−32023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.47200.0000.00%0.00
−12023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.47200.0000.00%0.00
T02023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.47200.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-060.4881+0.016+3.41%+0.42
+32023-02-060.4881+0.016+3.41%+0.42
+72023-02-060.4881+0.016+3.41%+0.42
+142023-02-130.4951+0.023+4.89%+0.61
+302023-03-060.4922+0.020+4.28%+0.53
+602023-04-030.4959+0.024+5.07%+0.63
+902023-05-010.4258-0.046-9.79%-1.21

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 8.07%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 149). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom

Unità: tIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+9014,415,37813,637,4612023-01-01: 13,901,447 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −30, −14, −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-02-01, 13,712,743 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T0, +1, +3, +7, +142023-03-01: 14,002,218 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-01: 14,340,096 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 13,753,681 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-0113,901,447+188,704+1.38%+0.20
−142023-01-0113,901,447+188,704+1.38%+0.20
−72023-01-0113,901,447+188,704+1.38%+0.20
−32023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T013,712,7430.0000.00%0.00
−12023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T013,712,7430.0000.00%0.00
T02023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T013,712,7430.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T013,712,7430.0000.00%0.00
+32023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T013,712,7430.0000.00%0.00
+72023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T013,712,7430.0000.00%0.00
+142023-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T013,712,7430.0000.00%0.00
+302023-03-0114,002,218+289,475+2.11%+0.31
+602023-04-0114,340,096+627,353+4.57%+0.67
+902023-05-0113,753,681+40,938+0.30%+0.04

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 6.80%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 35). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+901.8541.4912023-01-02: 1.781 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-16: 1.768 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-23: 1.784 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-01-30, 1.819 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T02023-02-06: 1.748 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +1, +3, +72023-02-13: 1.683 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 1.675 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-03: 1.611 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 1.526 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-021.781-0.038-2.09%-0.91
−142023-01-161.768-0.051-2.80%-1.22
−72023-01-231.784-0.035-1.92%-0.84
−32023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.8190.0000.00%0.00
−12023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.8190.0000.00%0.00
T02023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.8190.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-061.748-0.071-3.90%-1.70
+32023-02-061.748-0.071-3.90%-1.70
+72023-02-061.748-0.071-3.90%-1.70
+142023-02-131.683-0.136-7.48%-3.26
+302023-03-061.675-0.144-7.92%-3.45
+602023-04-031.611-0.208-11.43%-4.98
+902023-05-011.526-0.293-16.11%-7.02

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 2.29%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 149). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+901.8721.7872023-01-02: 1.795 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-16: 1.813 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-23: 1.839 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-01-30, 1.864 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T02023-02-06: 1.835 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +1, +3, +72023-02-13: 1.817 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 1.830 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-03: 1.842 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 1.821 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-021.795-0.069-3.70%-2.14
−142023-01-161.813-0.051-2.74%-1.58
−72023-01-231.839-0.025-1.34%-0.78
−32023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.8640.0000.00%0.00
−12023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.8640.0000.00%0.00
T02023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.8640.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-061.835-0.029-1.56%-0.90
+32023-02-061.835-0.029-1.56%-0.90
+72023-02-061.835-0.029-1.56%-0.90
+142023-02-131.817-0.047-2.52%-1.46
+302023-03-061.830-0.034-1.82%-1.05
+602023-04-031.842-0.022-1.18%-0.68
+902023-05-011.821-0.043-2.31%-1.33

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.73%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 149). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+901.1070.8072023-01-02: 1.046 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-16: 1.036 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-23: 1.049 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-01-30, 1.078 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T02023-02-06: 1.019 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +1, +3, +72023-02-13: 0.9655 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 0.9588 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-03: 0.9059 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 0.8357 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-021.046-0.031-2.91%-0.86
−142023-01-161.036-0.042-3.91%-1.15
−72023-01-231.049-0.029-2.68%-0.79
−32023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.0780.0000.00%0.00
−12023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.0780.0000.00%0.00
T02023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.0780.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-061.019-0.059-5.44%-1.61
+32023-02-061.019-0.059-5.44%-1.61
+72023-02-061.019-0.059-5.44%-1.61
+142023-02-130.9655-0.112-10.43%-3.08
+302023-03-060.9588-0.119-11.04%-3.26
+602023-04-030.9059-0.172-15.95%-4.71
+902023-05-010.8357-0.242-22.47%-6.63

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 3.39%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 149). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+900.8890.8182023-01-02: 0.8248 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-16: 0.8396 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-23: 0.8611 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-01-30, 0.8818 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T02023-02-06: 0.8578 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +1, +3, +72023-02-13: 0.8429 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 0.8537 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-03: 0.8636 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 0.8463 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-020.8248-0.057-6.47%-2.12
−142023-01-160.8396-0.042-4.78%-1.56
−72023-01-230.8611-0.021-2.34%-0.77
−32023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.88180.0000.00%0.00
−12023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.88180.0000.00%0.00
T02023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.88180.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-060.8578-0.024-2.72%-0.89
+32023-02-060.8578-0.024-2.72%-0.89
+72023-02-060.8578-0.024-2.72%-0.89
+142023-02-130.8429-0.039-4.41%-1.44
+302023-03-060.8537-0.028-3.19%-1.04
+602023-04-030.8636-0.018-2.06%-0.67
+902023-05-010.8463-0.036-4.03%-1.32

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 3.06%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 149). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+900.7470.6842023-01-02: 0.7346 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-16: 0.7323 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-23: 0.7351 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-01-30, 0.7412 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T02023-02-06: 0.7288 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +1, +3, +72023-02-13: 0.7176 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 0.7162 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-03: 0.7051 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 0.6903 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-020.7346-0.007-0.89%-0.58
−142023-01-160.7323-0.009-1.19%-0.77
−72023-01-230.7351-0.006-0.82%-0.53
−32023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.74120.0000.00%0.00
−12023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.74120.0000.00%0.00
T02023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.74120.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-060.7288-0.012-1.66%-1.08
+32023-02-060.7288-0.012-1.66%-1.08
+72023-02-060.7288-0.012-1.66%-1.08
+142023-02-130.7176-0.024-3.18%-2.06
+302023-03-060.7162-0.025-3.37%-2.18
+602023-04-030.7051-0.036-4.87%-3.15
+902023-05-010.6903-0.051-6.86%-4.44

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.54%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 149). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+900.9840.9692023-01-02: 0.9702 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-16: 0.9734 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-23: 0.9779 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-01-30, 0.9822 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T02023-02-06: 0.9772 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +1, +3, +72023-02-13: 0.9741 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 0.9763 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-03: 0.9784 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-01: 0.9748 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-020.9702-0.012-1.22%-0.82
−142023-01-160.9734-0.009-0.90%-0.60
−72023-01-230.9779-0.004-0.44%-0.29
−32023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.98220.0000.00%0.00
−12023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.98220.0000.00%0.00
T02023-01-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.98220.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-060.9772-0.005-0.51%-0.34
+32023-02-060.9772-0.005-0.51%-0.34
+72023-02-060.9772-0.005-0.51%-0.34
+142023-02-130.9741-0.008-0.83%-0.56
+302023-03-060.9763-0.006-0.60%-0.40
+602023-04-030.9784-0.004-0.39%-0.26
+902023-05-010.9748-0.007-0.76%-0.51

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.49%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 149). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa
T0−30T0+30+60+9064.8217.192023-01-06: 52.91 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-20: 60.21 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-27: 51.77 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −72023-02-02: 42.91 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-02-03, 39.25 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −1, T02023-02-06: 37.12 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +12023-02-08: 38.01 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +32023-02-10: 35.25 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72023-02-17: 32.10 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 36.23 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-06: 26.92 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-05: 21.80 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-0652.91+13.654+34.78%+3.54
−142023-01-2060.21+20.954+53.38%+5.43
−72023-01-2751.77+12.516+31.88%+3.24
−32023-02-0242.91+3.656+9.31%+0.95
−12023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T039.250.0000.00%0.00
T02023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T039.250.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-0637.12-2.134-5.44%-0.55
+32023-02-0838.01-1.246-3.17%-0.32
+72023-02-1035.25-4.006-10.21%-1.04
+142023-02-1732.10-7.152-18.22%-1.85
+302023-03-0636.23-3.020-7.69%-0.78
+602023-04-0626.92-12.330-31.41%-3.19
+902023-05-0521.80-17.454-44.46%-4.52

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 9.83%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 735). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa
T0−30T0+30+60+9035.3121.572023-01-06: 23.63 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-20: 27.78 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-27: 27.70 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −72023-02-02: 26.70 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-02-03, 24.34 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −1, T02023-02-06: 25.32 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +12023-02-08: 25.07 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +32023-02-10: 25.04 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72023-02-17: 22.90 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 25.19 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-06: 33.98 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-05: 27.39 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-0623.63-0.710-2.92%-0.02
−142023-01-2027.78+3.440+14.13%+0.08
−72023-01-2727.70+3.360+13.80%+0.08
−32023-02-0226.70+2.354+9.67%+0.05
−12023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T024.340.0000.00%0.00
T02023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T024.340.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-0625.32+0.974+4.00%+0.02
+32023-02-0825.07+0.728+2.99%+0.02
+72023-02-1025.04+0.698+2.87%+0.02
+142023-02-1722.90-1.440-5.92%-0.03
+302023-03-0625.19+0.844+3.47%+0.02
+602023-04-0633.98+9.636+39.58%+0.22
+902023-05-0527.39+3.042+12.50%+0.07

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 182.66%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 735). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa
T0−30T0+30+60+9085.086.882023-01-06: 57.61 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302023-01-20: 77.51 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142023-01-27: 73.74 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −72023-02-02: 35.06 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2023-02-03, 29.38 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −1, T02023-02-06: 32.50 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +12023-02-08: 37.04 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +32023-02-10: 31.97 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72023-02-17: 24.75 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-03-06: 37.16 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-04-06: 19.15 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-05-05: 14.45 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302023-01-0657.61+28.228+96.07%+0.54
−142023-01-2077.51+48.128+163.79%+0.93
−72023-01-2773.74+44.352+150.94%+0.85
−32023-02-0235.06+5.672+19.30%+0.11
−12023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T029.380.0000.00%0.00
T02023-02-03l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T029.380.0000.00%0.00
+12023-02-0632.50+3.116+10.60%+0.06
+32023-02-0837.04+7.658+26.06%+0.15
+72023-02-1031.97+2.588+8.81%+0.05
+142023-02-1724.75-4.632-15.76%-0.09
+302023-03-0637.16+7.774+26.46%+0.15
+602023-04-0619.15-10.230-34.81%-0.20
+902023-05-0514.45-14.934-50.82%-0.29

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 176.64%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 735). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Mhux disponibbli: imblukkat mil-liċenzja

Jeżisti sors, iżda l-liċenzja tiegħu ma tippermettilniex nippubblikawh mill-ġdid. Dawn il-kanali mhumiex neqsin mid-dinja, iżda biss minn din il-paġna.

nol tat-tankers “dirty” mill-Golf Għarbi lejn il-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

In-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers (ringiela 17: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

Il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

Il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

M’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

M’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

Mhux disponibbli: raġuni mhux ikklassifikata

L-API ta kodiċi ta’ raġuni li din il-paġna ma tagħrafx. Is-sentenza tiegħu tintwera hawn taħt kif inhi.

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

La l-aktar tieqa riċenti ta’ tliet snin tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet u lanqas il-kampjun kollu m’għandhom stima IKKALKULATA għal dan il-pajjiż u karburant: m’hemm l-ebda reazzjoni mkejla għaż-żejt mhux maħdum x’tiġi proġettata. Ma jintuża l-ebda sostitut bħal trażmissjoni sħiħa.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

La l-aktar tieqa riċenti ta’ tliet snin tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet u lanqas il-kampjun kollu m’għandhom stima IKKALKULATA għal dan il-pajjiż u karburant: m’hemm l-ebda reazzjoni mkejla għaż-żejt mhux maħdum x’tiġi proġettata. Ma jintuża l-ebda sostitut bħal trażmissjoni sħiħa.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

La l-aktar tieqa riċenti ta’ tliet snin tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet u lanqas il-kampjun kollu m’għandhom stima IKKALKULATA għal dan il-pajjiż u karburant: m’hemm l-ebda reazzjoni mkejla għaż-żejt mhux maħdum x’tiġi proġettata. Ma jintuża l-ebda sostitut bħal trażmissjoni sħiħa.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

La l-aktar tieqa riċenti ta’ tliet snin tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet u lanqas il-kampjun kollu m’għandhom stima IKKALKULATA għal dan il-pajjiż u karburant: m’hemm l-ebda reazzjoni mkejla għaż-żejt mhux maħdum x’tiġi proġettata. Ma jintuża l-ebda sostitut bħal trażmissjoni sħiħa.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

Sors
European Commission, Directorate-General for Energy (DG ENER)Mhux magħruf
Perjodu 2023-01Aġġornat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCKunfidenzaMhux magħrufaMetodoloġijaNiżżel is-CSV

T0: 05/02/2023. Tieqa ta’ referenza: jiem -90 sa -31. Punti tat-tieqa kkalkulati: -30, -14, -7, -3, -1, 0, 1, 3, 7, 14, 30, 60, 90. Metodu: 1.0, kalkolu: event_study-1.0, ikkalkulat: 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC.

L-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”: huwa tassew ir-raġuni?

Il-mistoqsija tinqasam f’dimensjonijiet li jitkejlu separatament u qatt ma jingħaddu f’numru wieħed. Kull ringiela tgħid jekk nistgħux naraw dik id-dimensjoni, u tagħti ċifra ppubblikata waħda fejn nistgħu.

Mit-tmien kanali ta’ trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet li jirrapporta dan is-sit, kanali b’data f’dan il-kalkolu: 4 Ikkalkulat – għadd tar-ringieli ta’ hawn taħt, mhux kejl.

Metodoloġija §11.1 tippubblika l-limiti li jużaw is-sentenzi ta’ hawn taħt: it-tmien kanali kollha preżenti għall-paragun sħiħ, mill-inqas tlieta biex l-istqarrija tkun tista’ tiġi ttestjata hawn, u 2.0 unitajiet ta’ volatilità biex ċaqliq jiġi deskritt bħala barra mill-varjazzjoni normali ta’ serje. Dawn huma għażliet ta’ kliem ippubblikati, mhux testijiet statistiċi.

Dimensjonijiet tal-esponiment għall-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, kull waħda bl-istatus tagħha u ċifra ppubblikata waħda.
DimensjoniStatusĊifra ppubblikata, jew għaliex m’hemmx
Esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum (D1)Sehem miż-żejt mhux maħdum importat li r-rotta tiegħu teħtieġ l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz.Firxa biss
9.553–9.962 % tat-tunnellati importati punt tat-tieqa +30 d (2023-03) · l-ebda punt tan-nofs
Esponiment dirett tal-prodotti (D2)Sehem mill-prodotti raffinati importati li r-rotta tagħhom teħtieġ l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz.Firxa biss
1.362–8.650 % tat-tunnellati importati punt tat-tieqa +30 d (2023-03) · l-ebda punt tan-nofs
Kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza (D7)Il-jiem ta’ kopertura li jammontaw għalihom il-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati. Riżerva kontra interruzzjoni tal-provvista, mhux sehem mill-importazzjonijiet, u mhux kanal tal-prezz.Osservat
113.0 kopertura (jiem) punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-03-01)+8.65% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +1.39 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdumIl-prezz kwotat taż-żejt mhux maħdum li fuqu jiġu pprezzati t-tagħbijiet Ewropej.Osservat
85.86 $ għal kull barmil punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-03-06)+8.89% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +1.96 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinatiIl-prezz kwotat tal-prodotti li fuqu jipprezzaw ir-raffineriji u l-bejjiegħa bl-ingrossa.Mhux disponibbliIl-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.
Marġni tar-raffinarKemm qala’ r-raffinar ta’ barmil f’dan il-prodott.Mhux disponibbliM’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.
NoliKemm swiet il-ġarr tal-merkanzija bil-baħar.Mhux disponibbliIn-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers (ringiela 17: BLOCKED).
StokkijietL-istokkijiet miżmuma, li jassorbu jew ikabbru bidla fil-provvista.Osservat
14,002,218 t punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-03-01)+2.11% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +0.31 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezzijiet bl-ingrossaIl-prezz bejn il-bieb tar-raffinerija u l-pompa tal-petrol.Mhux disponibbliIs-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).
Prezz fil-pompa mingħajr taxxiIl-prezz fil-pompa mingħajr id-dazju tas-sisa, il-VAT u taxxi oħra fuq il-karburant.Osservat
0.9588 € għal kull litru punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-03-06)-11.04% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -3.26 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz fil-pompa bit-taxxiDak li fil-fatt ħallas sewwieq.Osservat
1.675 € għal kull litru punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-03-06)-7.92% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -3.45 unitajiet ta’ volatilità

L-esponiment fiżiku (l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz) u l-esponiment tal-prezz huma mistoqsijiet differenti. Pajjiż kważi mingħajr esponiment fiżiku dirett xorta jista’ jara l-prezz fil-pompa tiegħu jiċċaqlaq: iż-żejt mhux maħdum jiġi pprezzat fuq livell globali – u serje li ċċaqilqet f’din it-tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.

X’għamel il-prezz fil-pompa madwar din id-data

Il-paġna tal-qsim tal-prezz tista’ tiġi ffissata fuq il-ġimgħat madwar id-data tal-avveniment, biex iċ-ċaqliq fil-pompa jinqasam fit-taxxa, fl-ispiża tal-input u fil-parti li l-ispiża tal-input ma tkoprix.

Qsim tal-prezz (29/01/2023 – 07/03/2023) →

It-tieqa hija madwar id-data ppubblikata tal-avveniment (jiem qabel: 7; jiem wara: 30). Hija tieqa biex wieħed iħares, mhux dikjarazzjoni li l-avveniment kien fl-oriġini ta’ dak li fiha.

Attwali kontra ż-żejt mhux maħdum biss: in-Netherlands, petrol (Euro-super 95)

X’għamel il-prezz mingħajr taxxi minn erba’ ġimgħat qabel sa tlettax-il ġimgħa wara l-ġimgħa tal-avveniment, ħdejn dak li kien jagħmel li kieku segwa biss l-ispiża tal-input taż-żejt mhux maħdum bil-pass li tkejjel l-istima maħżuna tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet. Id-differenza mdella mhix spjegata miż-żejt mhux maħdum; mhix attribwita lill-avveniment jew lil xi ħaġa oħra. L-ebda karburant mhu magħżul: jintwera l-petrol.

In-Netherlands, petrol (Euro-super 95): dak li kien jagħmel iż-żejt mhux maħdum waħdu huwa MHUX MAGĦRUF.

La l-aktar tieqa riċenti ta’ tliet snin tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet u lanqas il-kampjun kollu m’għandhom stima IKKALKULATA għal dan il-pajjiż u karburant: m’hemm l-ebda reazzjoni mkejla għaż-żejt mhux maħdum x’tiġi proġettata. Ma jintuża l-ebda sostitut (bħal trażmissjoni sħiħa).

Ma tinġibed l-ebda linja: perkors mistenni mhux magħruf mhuwiex linja ċatta fuq iż-żero, u ma jintuża l-ebda sostitut bħal trażmissjoni sħiħa.

  • X’kienu jagħmlu l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom lill-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, in-Netherlands) fil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”) huwa MHUX MAGĦRUF: La l-aktar tieqa riċenti ta’ tliet snin tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet u lanqas il-kampjun kollu m’għandhom stima IKKALKULATA għal dan il-pajjiż u karburant (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §4.5): m’hemm l-ebda reazzjoni mkejla għaż-żejt mhux maħdum x’tiġi proġettata. Ma jintuża l-ebda sostitut bħal trażmissjoni sħiħa (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.2).

X’jappoġġaw in-numri, sentenza b’sentenza

Kull sentenza ġejja minn mudell fiss, magħżul skont limiti ppubblikati. Iftaħ “Għaliex din is-sentenza” biex tara n-numri li għażluha. L-ebda parti minn dan it-test mhi miktuba minn mudell lingwistiku, u l-ebda parti minnu ma tattribwixxi kawża.

  1. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, in-Netherlands) inbidel b’-2.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.9 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: in-NetherlandsIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    0.85782
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Netherlands
    z_score
    0.0686702998275325
    t0_value
    0.88179
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -2.7183342972816584
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_NL_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    NL
    country_name
    Netherlands
    country_slug
    netherlands
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.8889845161090592
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.023969999999999936
    change_pct_from_t0
    -2.7183342972816584
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.0577971247231237
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.8889845161090592
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    0.85782
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Netherlands
    z_score
    0.0686702998275325
    t0_value
    0.88179
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -2.7183342972816584
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_NL_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    NL
    country_name
    Netherlands
    country_slug
    netherlands
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.8889845161090592
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.023969999999999936
    change_pct_from_t0
    -2.7183342972816584
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.0577971247231237
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.8889845161090592

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità ddab1357bd3d4ab5f7f1c3ee73d21bdf14b1e1bfcc5c2a7e0b0f36ad37054656 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  2. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, in-Netherlands) inbidel b’-3.2%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.0 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: in-NetherlandsIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    0.8536900000000001
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Netherlands
    z_score
    0.018285873365050165
    t0_value
    0.88179
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -3.186699781127015
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_NL_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    NL
    country_name
    Netherlands
    country_slug
    netherlands
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.0421553985258467
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.028099999999999903
    change_pct_from_t0
    -3.186699781127015
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.0577971247231237
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.0421553985258467
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    0.8536900000000001
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Netherlands
    z_score
    0.018285873365050165
    t0_value
    0.88179
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -3.186699781127015
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_NL_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    NL
    country_name
    Netherlands
    country_slug
    netherlands
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.0421553985258467
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.028099999999999903
    change_pct_from_t0
    -3.186699781127015
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.0577971247231237
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.0421553985258467

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità b1d31581060036a541d1011aa17e31d6970aea1c3f9572899c46bc669357d8d8 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  3. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, in-Netherlands) inbidel b’-4.0%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.3 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: in-NetherlandsIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    0.8462500000000001
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Netherlands
    z_score
    -0.07247929198140787
    t0_value
    0.88179
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -4.0304380861656295
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_NL_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    NL
    country_name
    Netherlands
    country_slug
    netherlands
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-05-01
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.3180855111604488
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.035539999999999905
    change_pct_from_t0
    -4.0304380861656295
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.0577971247231237
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.3180855111604488
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    0.8462500000000001
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Netherlands
    z_score
    -0.07247929198140787
    t0_value
    0.88179
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -4.0304380861656295
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_NL_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    NL
    country_name
    Netherlands
    country_slug
    netherlands
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-05-01
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.3180855111604488
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.035539999999999905
    change_pct_from_t0
    -4.0304380861656295
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.0577971247231237
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.3180855111604488

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 900d260a006189322a3eef4ea1e2964885ff8ad45acbf9d83f329fc7aed2ccb8 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  4. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, in-Netherlands) inbidel b’-1.6%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.9 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: in-NetherlandsIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.835
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Netherlands
    z_score
    0.06864919486640145
    t0_value
    1.864
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -1.5557939914163164
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_NL_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    NL
    country_name
    Netherlands
    country_slug
    netherlands
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.8990465214680629
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.029000000000000137
    change_pct_from_t0
    -1.5557939914163164
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.7304933107085976
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.8990465214680629
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.835
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Netherlands
    z_score
    0.06864919486640145
    t0_value
    1.864
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -1.5557939914163164
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_NL_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    NL
    country_name
    Netherlands
    country_slug
    netherlands
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.8990465214680629
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.029000000000000137
    change_pct_from_t0
    -1.5557939914163164
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.7304933107085976
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.8990465214680629

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità a6065a47c1b8ebebd4468e7db7a8ce64164ae2580a802ba3a6f5401b9aacbea4 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  5. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, in-Netherlands) inbidel b’-1.8%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.1 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: in-NetherlandsIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.83
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Netherlands
    z_score
    0.01823774302260232
    t0_value
    1.864
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -1.82403433476395
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_NL_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    NL
    country_name
    Netherlands
    country_slug
    netherlands
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.0540545424108283
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.03400000000000003
    change_pct_from_t0
    -1.82403433476395
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.7304933107085976
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.0540545424108283
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.83
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Netherlands
    z_score
    0.01823774302260232
    t0_value
    1.864
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -1.82403433476395
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_NL_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    NL
    country_name
    Netherlands
    country_slug
    netherlands
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.0540545424108283
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.03400000000000003
    change_pct_from_t0
    -1.82403433476395
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.7304933107085976
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.0540545424108283

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 5718eb01cc2608cd02c56d7bd2f3a3722df8f1e5406691981a5a013fe89c484f · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  6. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, in-Netherlands) inbidel b’-2.3%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.3 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: in-NetherlandsIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.821
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Netherlands
    z_score
    -0.07250287029623924
    t0_value
    1.864
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -2.3068669527897074
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_NL_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    NL
    country_name
    Netherlands
    country_slug
    netherlands
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-05-01
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.3330689801078157
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.04300000000000015
    change_pct_from_t0
    -2.3068669527897074
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.7304933107085976
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.3330689801078157
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.821
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Netherlands
    z_score
    -0.07250287029623924
    t0_value
    1.864
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -2.3068669527897074
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_NL_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    NL
    country_name
    Netherlands
    country_slug
    netherlands
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-05-01
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.3330689801078157
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.04300000000000015
    change_pct_from_t0
    -2.3068669527897074
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.7304933107085976
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.3330689801078157

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 00e4004f2a527a197dbf7c3698b9f059926c6d65ee0b7285691bcabee518f9bb · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  7. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, in-Netherlands) inbidel b’-5.4%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.6 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: in-NetherlandsIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.01917
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Netherlands
    z_score
    -0.6871683094460501
    t0_value
    1.07785
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -5.444171266873876
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_NL_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    NL
    country_name
    Netherlands
    country_slug
    netherlands
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.6076072219110804
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.058680000000000065
    change_pct_from_t0
    -5.444171266873876
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.386505853340215
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.6076072219110804
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.01917
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Netherlands
    z_score
    -0.6871683094460501
    t0_value
    1.07785
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -5.444171266873876
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_NL_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    NL
    country_name
    Netherlands
    country_slug
    netherlands
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.6076072219110804
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.058680000000000065
    change_pct_from_t0
    -5.444171266873876
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.386505853340215
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.6076072219110804

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 97a0d8999e154e367f140de8c556c19c6ce073f65fe74d62b95d894e18098940 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  8. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, in-Netherlands) inbidel b’-11.0%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’3.3 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: in-NetherlandsIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    0.95884
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Netherlands
    z_score
    -1.3348755865572741
    t0_value
    1.07785
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -11.041425059145515
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_NL_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    NL
    country_name
    Netherlands
    country_slug
    netherlands
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -3.2604181233748695
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.11900999999999995
    change_pct_from_t0
    -11.041425059145515
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.386505853340215
    change_in_volatility_units
    -3.2604181233748695
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    0.95884
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Netherlands
    z_score
    -1.3348755865572741
    t0_value
    1.07785
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -11.041425059145515
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_NL_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    NL
    country_name
    Netherlands
    country_slug
    netherlands
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -3.2604181233748695
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.11900999999999995
    change_pct_from_t0
    -11.041425059145515
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.386505853340215
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -3.2604181233748695

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità e13ab427850f6d5c246dc0ec47adb029e0c71ef912494cd576f672b8790c9bfd · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  9. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, in-Netherlands) inbidel b’-22.5%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’6.6 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: in-NetherlandsIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    0.8357000000000001
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Netherlands
    z_score
    -2.6569156015328455
    t0_value
    1.07785
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -22.466020318226086
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_NL_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    NL
    country_name
    Netherlands
    country_slug
    netherlands
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-05-01
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -6.633982426478655
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.24214999999999987
    change_pct_from_t0
    -22.466020318226086
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.386505853340215
    change_in_volatility_units
    -6.633982426478655
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    0.8357000000000001
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Netherlands
    z_score
    -2.6569156015328455
    t0_value
    1.07785
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -22.466020318226086
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_NL_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    NL
    country_name
    Netherlands
    country_slug
    netherlands
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-05-01
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -6.633982426478655
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.24214999999999987
    change_pct_from_t0
    -22.466020318226086
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.386505853340215
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -6.633982426478655

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità e71c1da5566b8b5752602179d4ca813e3f7deb799fb2a023d64961da8cc17fd7 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  10. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, in-Netherlands) inbidel b’-3.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.7 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: in-NetherlandsIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.748
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Netherlands
    z_score
    -0.6871860346564732
    t0_value
    1.819
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -3.903243540406814
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_NL_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    NL
    country_name
    Netherlands
    country_slug
    netherlands
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.7009133715875222
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.07099999999999995
    change_pct_from_t0
    -3.903243540406814
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.2947926717536355
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.7009133715875222
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.748
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Netherlands
    z_score
    -0.6871860346564732
    t0_value
    1.819
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -3.903243540406814
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_NL_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    NL
    country_name
    Netherlands
    country_slug
    netherlands
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.7009133715875222
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.07099999999999995
    change_pct_from_t0
    -3.903243540406814
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.2947926717536355
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.7009133715875222

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 1ade3f95d5e069b34233aeb06db8db131474dc3618c1b5884229958b98599850 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  11. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, in-Netherlands) inbidel b’-7.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’3.4 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: in-NetherlandsIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.675
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Netherlands
    z_score
    -1.3349074021288956
    t0_value
    1.819
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -7.91643760307861
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_NL_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    NL
    country_name
    Netherlands
    country_slug
    netherlands
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -3.44973979589582
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.1439999999999999
    change_pct_from_t0
    -7.91643760307861
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.2947926717536355
    change_in_volatility_units
    -3.44973979589582
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.675
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Netherlands
    z_score
    -1.3349074021288956
    t0_value
    1.819
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -7.91643760307861
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_NL_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    NL
    country_name
    Netherlands
    country_slug
    netherlands
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -3.44973979589582
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.1439999999999999
    change_pct_from_t0
    -7.91643760307861
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.2947926717536355
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -3.44973979589582

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 87bb63a37048ee294e08e3644d0b2e11f4c1c91c52772af5db41db871a611afc · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  12. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, in-Netherlands) inbidel b’-16.1%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’7.0 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: in-NetherlandsIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.526
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Netherlands
    z_score
    -2.6569688234082243
    t0_value
    1.819
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -16.10775151181968
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_NL_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    NL
    country_name
    Netherlands
    country_slug
    netherlands
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-05-01
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -7.019262223593581
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.2929999999999999
    change_pct_from_t0
    -16.10775151181968
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.2947926717536355
    change_in_volatility_units
    -7.019262223593581
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    1.526
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Netherlands
    z_score
    -2.6569688234082243
    t0_value
    1.819
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -16.10775151181968
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_NL_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    NL
    country_name
    Netherlands
    country_slug
    netherlands
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-05-01
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -7.019262223593581
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.2929999999999999
    change_pct_from_t0
    -16.10775151181968
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    5
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.2947926717536355
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -7.019262223593581

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 8c06dfb92d01a556a95a8c2d669e15ae1fae49662778add1b61c5d9474b4d093 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  13. X’kienu jagħmlu l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom lill-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, in-Netherlands) fil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”) huwa MHUX MAGĦRUF: La l-aktar tieqa riċenti ta’ tliet snin tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet u lanqas il-kampjun kollu m’għandhom stima IKKALKULATA għal dan il-pajjiż u karburant (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §4.5): m’hemm l-ebda reazzjoni mkejla għaż-żejt mhux maħdum x’tiġi proġettata. Ma jintuża l-ebda sostitut bħal trażmissjoni sħiħa (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.2).

    pajjiż: in-NetherlandsMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    weeks
    4
    status
    UNKNOWN
    country
    Netherlands
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    reason_code
    NO_COMPUTED_PASS_THROUGH_ESTIMATE
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_NL_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    NL
    country_name
    Netherlands
    country_slug
    netherlands
    proxy_product
    null
    gap_eur_per_litre
    null
    actual_eur_per_litre
    null
    expected_eur_per_litre
    null
    proxy_volatility_units
    null
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    null
    pass_through_window_label
    null
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    null
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    null
    Limiti
    source
    docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
    proxy_rule
    the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
    confidence_cap
    MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
    statement_weeks
    [4,13]
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    weeks
    4
    status
    UNKNOWN
    country
    Netherlands
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_COMPUTED_PASS_THROUGH_ESTIMATE
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_NL_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    NL
    country_name
    Netherlands
    country_slug
    netherlands
    proxy_product
    null
    statement_topic
    event
    gap_eur_per_litre
    null
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    actual_eur_per_litre
    null
    expected_eur_per_litre
    null
    proxy_volatility_units
    null
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    null
    pass_through_window_label
    null
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    null
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    null

    Mudell event.crude_only.unknown v1.2 · Marka tal-identità dd6d2a94875f58917d7551a3bc6f2d916f0b697c8c4dec3b742d9e8477a55cfe · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  14. X’kienu jagħmlu l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom lill-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, in-Netherlands) fil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”) huwa MHUX MAGĦRUF: La l-aktar tieqa riċenti ta’ tliet snin tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet u lanqas il-kampjun kollu m’għandhom stima IKKALKULATA għal dan il-pajjiż u karburant (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §4.5): m’hemm l-ebda reazzjoni mkejla għaż-żejt mhux maħdum x’tiġi proġettata. Ma jintuża l-ebda sostitut bħal trażmissjoni sħiħa (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.2).

    pajjiż: in-NetherlandsMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    weeks
    4
    status
    UNKNOWN
    country
    Netherlands
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    reason_code
    NO_COMPUTED_PASS_THROUGH_ESTIMATE
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_NL_DIESEL
    country_iso2
    NL
    country_name
    Netherlands
    country_slug
    netherlands
    proxy_product
    null
    gap_eur_per_litre
    null
    actual_eur_per_litre
    null
    expected_eur_per_litre
    null
    proxy_volatility_units
    null
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    null
    pass_through_window_label
    null
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    null
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    null
    Limiti
    source
    docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
    proxy_rule
    the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
    confidence_cap
    MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
    statement_weeks
    [4,13]
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    weeks
    4
    status
    UNKNOWN
    country
    Netherlands
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_COMPUTED_PASS_THROUGH_ESTIMATE
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_NL_DIESEL
    country_iso2
    NL
    country_name
    Netherlands
    country_slug
    netherlands
    proxy_product
    null
    statement_topic
    event
    gap_eur_per_litre
    null
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    actual_eur_per_litre
    null
    expected_eur_per_litre
    null
    proxy_volatility_units
    null
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    null
    pass_through_window_label
    null
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    null
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    null

    Mudell event.crude_only.unknown v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 7d1eac366ebb0728792165b64be1c7cbe0a04aefa3e465c15ee968080da4464d · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  15. In-Netherlands, Frar 2023: id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (żejt mhux maħdum) kienet moderata (11%–19%). Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: il-pajjiżi sħab ikkonċernati jesportaw kemm minn ġewwa kif ukoll minn barra l-Golf Persjan, u l-qsim għal kull perjodu mhux pubbliku.

    pajjiż: in-NetherlandsIkkalkulatMedja
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    moderate
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2023-02
    status
    NO_OBSERVATION
    country
    Netherlands
    commodity
    crude
    dimension
    DIRECT_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    country_iso2
    NL
    country_name
    Netherlands
    country_slug
    netherlands
    value_max_pct
    18.9224839542708
    value_min_pct
    11.0921952397564
    exposure_status
    RANGE_ONLY
    value_point_pct
    null
    observation_date
    2023-02-01
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
    band_applied_to
    upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
    dependence_limited_max_pct
    10
    dependence_moderate_max_pct
    33
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    moderate
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2023-02
    status
    NO_OBSERVATION
    country
    Netherlands
    commodity
    crude
    dimension
    DIRECT_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    NL
    country_name
    Netherlands
    country_slug
    netherlands
    value_max_pct
    18.9224839542708
    value_min_pct
    11.0921952397564
    exposure_status
    RANGE_ONLY
    statement_topic
    hormuz
    value_point_pct
    null
    observation_date
    2023-02-01
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.dependence.range v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 80843a09ff0ba21f0b2d366e4c78ccae1f1e8015d519400e41871b8420723eca · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  16. In-Netherlands, Frar 2023: id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (prodott raffinat) kienet moderata (7%–14%). Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: il-pajjiżi sħab ikkonċernati jesportaw kemm minn ġewwa kif ukoll minn barra l-Golf Persjan, u l-qsim għal kull perjodu mhux pubbliku.

    pajjiż: in-NetherlandsIkkalkulatMedja
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    moderate
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2023-02
    status
    NO_OBSERVATION
    country
    Netherlands
    commodity
    refined product
    dimension
    DIRECT_PRODUCT
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    country_iso2
    NL
    country_name
    Netherlands
    country_slug
    netherlands
    value_max_pct
    14.015895581215
    value_min_pct
    6.66368904945165
    exposure_status
    PARTIAL
    value_point_pct
    null
    observation_date
    2023-02-01
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
    band_applied_to
    upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
    dependence_limited_max_pct
    10
    dependence_moderate_max_pct
    33
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    moderate
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2023-02
    status
    NO_OBSERVATION
    country
    Netherlands
    commodity
    refined product
    dimension
    DIRECT_PRODUCT
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    NL
    country_name
    Netherlands
    country_slug
    netherlands
    value_max_pct
    14.015895581215
    value_min_pct
    6.66368904945165
    exposure_status
    PARTIAL
    statement_topic
    hormuz
    value_point_pct
    null
    observation_date
    2023-02-01
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.dependence.range v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 73b9428df75ae679329e7324b66cf2a5d07bd7ec4f03fbda7dd2fdf64ea25ddd · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  17. L-evidenza disponibbli ma turix tnaqqis fiżiku fil-provvista: l-importazzjonijiet irrappurtati taż-żejt mhux maħdum (in-Netherlands, Frar 2023) meta mqabbla mal-medja tax-xhur ta’ qabel (12): -7.5%.

    pajjiż: in-NetherlandsIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2023-02
    country
    Netherlands
    change_pct
    -7.495310315110369
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    country_iso2
    NL
    country_name
    Netherlands
    country_slug
    netherlands
    value_tonnes
    4085323
    baseline_months
    12
    observation_date
    2023-02-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
    crude_imports_rule
    crude_imports_total-1.1
    baseline_mean_tonnes
    4416341.5
    baseline_window_months
    12
    value_not_published_code
    null
    baseline_not_published_months
    0
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no cut-off
    min_baseline_months
    6
    baseline_months_used
    12
    supply_reduction_pct
    -10
    supply_baseline_months
    12
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2023-02
    country
    Netherlands
    change_pct
    -7.495310315110369
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    NL
    country_name
    Netherlands
    country_slug
    netherlands
    value_tonnes
    4085323
    baseline_months
    12
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2023-02-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
    crude_imports_rule
    crude_imports_total-1.1
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    baseline_mean_tonnes
    4416341.5
    baseline_window_months
    12
    value_not_published_code
    null
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    baseline_not_published_months
    0

    Mudell event.supply.no_reduction v1.2 · Marka tal-identità fadbc0c2cbb5bf06b5ce7f44e0624ce78163164e59bbd976a14f4fb03ed64bf5 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  18. Frar 2023: l-istokkijiet taż-żejt (in-Netherlands) kienu 11.3% ogħla meta mqabbla mal-medja mobbli tagħhom (xhur: 12), jiem ta’ kopertura: 104.0 (kif ippubblikati).

    pajjiż: in-NetherlandsIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2023-02
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Netherlands
    direction
    above
    siec_code
    O4000
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    holder_type
    STK_CL
    series_code
    INVENTORY_NL
    country_iso2
    NL
    country_name
    Netherlands
    country_slug
    netherlands
    days_of_cover
    104
    metric_status
    COMPUTED
    mom_change_pct
    -1.3574414231842196
    observation_date
    2023-02-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
    total_stock_tonnes
    13712743
    days_of_cover_basis
    as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
    observation_gap_days
    4
    trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
    12315202.083333334
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
    11.34809568864498
    trailing_12m_observations
    12
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no band
    band_applied_to
    the rounded figure printed in the sentence
    days_of_cover_basis
    as published (Eurostat nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); never stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
    trailing_window_months
    12
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_raw
    11.34809568864498
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_shown
    11.3
    inventory_material_deviation_pct
    5
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2023-02
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Netherlands
    direction
    above
    siec_code
    O4000
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    holder_type
    STK_CL
    series_code
    INVENTORY_NL
    country_iso2
    NL
    country_name
    Netherlands
    country_slug
    netherlands
    days_of_cover
    104
    metric_status
    COMPUTED
    mom_change_pct
    -1.3574414231842196
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2023-02-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
    total_stock_tonnes
    13712743
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    days_of_cover_basis
    as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    4
    trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
    12315202.083333334
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
    11.34809568864498
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    trailing_12m_observations
    12

    Mudell event.inventory_level.above v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 56badf11c6657b710201b2d2c6d079af8a1c41a0bd225895af6b705739cf0db0 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  19. Sommarju ta’ x’jista’ jiġi vverifikat hawn

    Parti biss mill-katina tista’ tiġi vverifikata għal dan il-pajjiż (in-Netherlands) madwar l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”: serje disponibbli: 4 minn 8 (prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdum, stokkijiet, prezz fil-pompa mingħajr taxxi u prezz fil-pompa bit-taxxi); mhux disponibbli: prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinati, marġni tar-raffinar, noli u prezzijiet bl-ingrossa. Kull dikjarazzjoni bbażata fuq ir-rabtiet neqsin ma tistax tiġi ttestjata hawn. Id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (żejt mhux maħdum) kienet moderata (11–19%) matul il-perjodu kopert. Din il-paġna tiddeskrivi x’għamlet kull serje madwar id-data tal-avveniment. Mhijiex sejba dwar kawża: l-ebda disinn kawżali mhu ppubblikat għal dan is-sit, u serje li ċċaqilqet fl-istess tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.

    pajjiż: in-NetherlandsMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    country
    Netherlands
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    country_iso2
    NL
    country_name
    Netherlands
    country_slug
    netherlands
    dependence_band
    moderate
    dependence_range
    11–19%
    channels_available
    ["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
    supply_template_id
    event.supply.no_reduction
    channels_unavailable
    ["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; the channel list is docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.3
    channels_total
    8
    channels_available
    4
    verdict_partial_min_channels
    3
    verdict_assessable_min_channels
    8
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    country
    Netherlands
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    NL
    country_name
    Netherlands
    country_slug
    netherlands
    dependence_band
    moderate
    statement_topic
    event
    dependence_range
    11–19%
    channels_available
    ["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
    supply_template_id
    event.supply.no_reduction
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    channels_unavailable
    ["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.verdict.partial v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 6091fe0f0c0529c9e2f50fbf384593e61eecdc7cb1b5196ef6b87f8bd866b341 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  20. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’+8.4%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.8 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    85.46
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    0.08812991325524933
    t0_value
    78.85
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    8.383005707038683
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    BRENT
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2023-02-10
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    1.8495435613044966
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    6.609999999999999
    change_pct_from_t0
    8.383005707038683
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.532472704306617
    change_in_volatility_units
    1.8495435613044966
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    85.46
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    0.08812991325524933
    t0_value
    78.85
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    8.383005707038683
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    BRENT
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2023-02-10
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    1.8495435613044966
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    6.609999999999999
    change_pct_from_t0
    8.383005707038683
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.532472704306617
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    1.8495435613044966

    Mudell event.benchmark_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 38adc5dea4321bbd49653a24f7c0174373d8aa5326085a6d6dbe425d5975e73b · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  21. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’+8.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.0 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    85.86
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    0.1507166248435324
    t0_value
    78.85
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    8.890298034242239
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    BRENT
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    1.9614675287056775
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    7.010000000000005
    change_pct_from_t0
    8.890298034242239
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.532472704306617
    change_in_volatility_units
    1.9614675287056775
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    85.86
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    0.1507166248435324
    t0_value
    78.85
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    8.890298034242239
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    BRENT
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    1.9614675287056775
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    7.010000000000005
    change_pct_from_t0
    8.890298034242239
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.532472704306617
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    1.9614675287056775

    Mudell event.benchmark_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 0da9031a475f48ba9492ce0f26d02ef4b075756fb5a3ed508e2b5f1ea86c489b · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  22. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ prodotti petroliferi raffinati Russi (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Frar 2023)”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’-3.8%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.8 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    75.85
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    -1.4155158326532304
    t0_value
    78.85
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    -3.804692454026633
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    BRENT
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2023-05-05
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.8394297555088486
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -3
    change_pct_from_t0
    -3.804692454026633
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.532472704306617
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.8394297555088486
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    value
    75.85
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    -1.4155158326532304
    t0_value
    78.85
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    -3.804692454026633
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    BRENT
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2023-05-05
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.8394297555088486
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -3
    change_pct_from_t0
    -3.804692454026633
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.532472704306617
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.8394297555088486

    Mudell event.benchmark_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 956c15054a5318a99cfc9c833555e8d3f8ac980a1c014dbf655e5357d300335e · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  23. Noli – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: in-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["freight rates"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
    Limiti
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["freight rates"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 298ab38a71e7fa1e827846158174e16f115ed958766d0a18618b16aa877096e8 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  24. Prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinati – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni. Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refined-product benchmark"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
    Limiti
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refined-product benchmark"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 0a3ee8f8627510915169cd9a2eaa4452fa0806bd90c55f8208323cb6b271bea9 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  25. Prezzijiet bl-ingrossa – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["wholesale prices"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
    Limiti
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["wholesale prices"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità b5b761de3451d820e679168f99a9b0a6cadccd3d87b852d57da6f18bc2de3e6c · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  26. Marġni tar-raffinar – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: m’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refining margin"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    reason_code
    NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
    Limiti
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Inputs
    t0
    2023-02-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refining margin"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-products-embargo-2023
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità e9796ff5d8838330a75be8298f9f4cd8c4fea863574dbd933141d0a1f568d3c6 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

X’ma jurix dan

  • Ma jurix li l-avveniment kien fl-oriġini ta’ xi ħaġa. L-ebda disinn kawżali mhu ppubblikat għal dan is-sit, u serje li ċċaqilqet f’din it-tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.
  • Bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza, u lanqas punteġġ z ma hu. Ikejlu affarijiet differenti u mhumiex interkambjabbli.
  • Il-kanali mingħajr sors b’liċenzja għall-użu jew diġà mtella’ jintwerew bħala pannelli vojta, mhux bħala linji ċatti. “Ma nistgħux naraw dan” ma jfissirx “dan ma ċċaqlaqx”.
  • Xejn ma jiġi interpolat. Fejn diversi punti tat-tieqa jaqgħu fuq ċifra ppubblikata waħda, dak hu li stampa l-pubblikatur, u l-bidla meta mqabbla mad-data tal-avveniment hija żero: huwa l-istess numru.

In-Netherlands: provvista, raffineriji u prezzijiet fil-pompa →

Kif jinqraw it-tikketti

  • UffiċjaliIrrappurtat direttament minn awtorità uffiċjali.
  • IvverifikatIrrappurtat minn parti terza u vverifikat minna ma’ rekord primarju.
  • IkkalkulatIkkalkulat minna minn inputs irrappurtati. Il-metodu huwa ppubblikat fil-paġna tal-metodoloġija.
  • Inferit · kunfidenza għoljaMhux irrappurtat. Inferit minn mill-inqas żewġ rekords fiżiċi indipendenti.
  • Inferit · kunfidenza medjaMhux irrappurtat. Inferit minn evidenza indiretta qawwija, mingħajr konferma espliċita.
  • Inferit · kunfidenza baxxaMhux irrappurtat. Plawżibbli biss minn data dwar l-infrastruttura jew il-movimenti. Taqrahx bħala fatt.
  • Mhux magħrufL-ebda evidenza pubblika difendibbli ma tistabbilixxi dan. Ma nagħmlux suppożizzjonijiet, u dan mhuwiex kejl ta’ żero.