Fuel Origin

Poland

Jet fuel, June 2026 — crude behind it: 42% Saudi Arabia · 42% Norway · 5% United States · 6% cannot be traced. Up to 41% of that crude may have passed through the Strait of Hormuz.

Estimated
Source & method
Source
  • Eurostat (European Commission) — Imports of oil and petroleum products by partner country - monthly data
  • EIA, IEA and terminal operators (cited per row) — Fuel Origin Hormuz route classification and country bounds, methodology v1.0
Every source, with links and licences
Period
June 2026
Method
How this figure is made
  • Reported (solid)
  • Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
  • Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
  • Cannot be traced (hatched)
Assumptions
  1. 1

    Poland: jet fuel available in June 2026

    Everything refined in the country plus everything imported.

  2. 2

    Where that fuel came from

    • Also:
    • Refined in Poland 97%
    • Other suppliers (3) 2%
    • Origin not reported 1%

    Poland's refineries ran on (going by its crude imports, April–June 2026)

    Czechia's refineries ran on (going by its crude imports, April–June 2026)

    The Netherlands' refineries ran on (going by its crude imports, April–June 2026)

  3. 3

    The crude behind Poland's jet fuel

  • Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
  • Each country's refineries are assumed to run on its crude-import mix over the latest three months.
  • The chain looks back one country only; fuel re-exported through a supplier is not followed further.
  • The crude origin is the producing country the statistics report, not the loading terminal, so the Hormuz answer is a range wherever a producer loads both inside and outside the Persian Gulf.

In June 2026, most jet fuel available in Poland was refined in Poland (97%).

Poland's refineries ran on crude from Saudi Arabia (43%) and Norway (43%), going by its crude imports in April–June 2026.

Taken together, an estimated 42% of the crude behind Poland's jet fuel came from Saudi Arabia, 42% from Norway; 6% cannot be traced.

Up to 41% of the crude behind Poland's jet fuel is estimated to have passed through the Strait of Hormuz, a significant dependence judged on the upper bound. No midpoint is published: crude that cannot be traced is counted as anything from none to all of it.

This is an estimate, not a reported figure: it assumes exports are drawn proportionally from every source and that each country's refineries run on its crude-import mix, and it looks back only one country.

Hormuz and the pump price in Poland

Calculated
  • At most 41% of the crude behind Poland's jet fuel in June 2026 could have passed through Hormuz.

Is Hormuz really the reason? — the EU-wide picture →

Source & method
Source
  • Eurostat (European Commission) — Imports of oil and petroleum products by partner country - monthly data
  • EIA, IEA and terminal operators (cited per row) — Fuel Origin Hormuz route classification and country bounds, methodology v1.0
Every source, with links and licences
Method
How this figure is made
  • Strait of Hormuz: the upper end of the headline’s estimate for June 2026, the same figure as in the sentence above; no new figure is made here.
  • The three figures are shown side by side, each on its own; no link between them is drawn here.

Go deeper for Poland

Crude origins

Calculated

2 refineries — ORLEN Plock Refinery, 16.3 Mt/a; ORLEN Gdansk Refinery (Rafineria Gdanska, formerly Grupa LOTOS), 10.5 Mt/a.

In June 2026, four countries supplied all crude imports.

Share of crude imports by origin, to June 2026

3-month average of monthly shares, over the months with figures in each window
Jan 2025Jun 20260%25%50%75%100%Saudi Arabia 45.0%Norway 45.4%
  • Saudi Arabia
  • Norway
  • United States
  • Guyana
  • Nigeria
  • United Kingdom
  • Other origins
  • Origin not published

Share of crude imports, June 2026 (published)

0%50%100%Saudi ArabiaNorwayGuyanaAlgeria45.7%42.5%6.1%5.7%

Since January 2023: Norway +18.7 pt, Nigeria −9.5 pt.

Share of crude imports, June 2026: all origins
Country of originShareTonnes
Saudi Arabia46%1,013,414
Norway43%941,326
Guyana6%136,253
Algeria6%125,429
Source & method
Source
  • Eurostat (European Commission) — Imports of oil and petroleum products by partner country - monthly data
  • Refinery operators and national regulators (cited per row) — Fuel Origin curated refinery reference list
Every source, with links and licences
Period
June 2026
Method
How this figure is made
Download
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Product origins

Calculated

Jet fuel imports, June 2026: Czechia 40%, Netherlands 17%, Belgium 3%, origin not published 40%.

Share of jet fuel imports by origin, to June 2026

3-month average of monthly shares, over the months with figures in each window
Dec 2025Jun 20260%25%50%75%100%Netherlands 20.9%Czechia 13.3%
  • Netherlands
  • Belgium
  • Slovakia
  • Czechia
  • Origin not published

Share of jet fuel imports, June 2026 (published)

0%50%100%CzechiaNetherlandsBelgiumOrigin not published39.9%16.6%3.4%40.2%
Share of jet fuel imports, June 2026 (published): all origins
Country of originShareTonnes
Czechia40%2,396
Netherlands17%1,000
Belgium3%202
Origin not published40%
Source & method
Source
  • Eurostat (European Commission) — Imports of oil and petroleum products by partner country - monthly data
Every source, with links and licences
Period
June 2026
Method
How this figure is made
Download
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Stocks & days of cover

Official

92 days of emergency stock cover in June 2026.

Closing stocks: 11,199,338 tonnes, −1.1% against the 12-month average.

Closing stocks, to June 2026

Jan 2025Jun 202610.0M10.5M11.0M11.5M12.0M
  • Closing stocks
  • 12-month average

Days of cover, to June 2026

Jan 2025Jun 20269095100105
Source & method
Source
  • Eurostat (European Commission) — Emergency oil stocks in days equivalent - monthly data
  • Eurostat (European Commission) — Stock levels for oil products - monthly data
Every source, with links and licences
Period
June 2026
Method
How this figure is made
Which method the member state used
  • Stock calculation method: method 2
  • Minimum obligation method: method 1
  • Days calculation method: method 2
Download
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Recent events

Official
Source & method
Source
  • International Energy Agency — Event timeline, cited per event
  • US Energy Information Administration — Event timeline, cited per event
  • European Commission — Event timeline, cited per event
  • European Council — Event timeline, cited per event
  • National legislators — Event timeline, cited per event
Every source, with links and licences
Method
How this figure is made