Sweden
Petrol, June 2026 — crude behind it: 49% Norway · 19% United States · 11% United Kingdom · 2% cannot be traced. Up to 1.5% of that crude may have passed through the Strait of Hormuz.
Estimated
Source & method
- Source
- Eurostat (European Commission) — Imports of oil and petroleum products by partner country - monthly data
- EIA, IEA and terminal operators (cited per row) — Fuel Origin Hormuz route classification and country bounds, methodology v1.0
- Period
- June 2026
- Method
- How this figure is made
Crude behind it (estimated)
Last shipped from
Sweden's petrol
Norwayest. 49%United Statesest. 19%United Kingdomest. 11%Guyanaest. 9%Libyaest. 5%Brazilest. 2%Netherlandsest. 2%Other crude originsest. 3%Denmark: crude not from imports1%Smaller flows: crude origin not reported<1%464 kt100%Crude behind it (estimated)
- Colour = where it went:
- Sweden (own refineries)
- Finland
- Denmark
- Netherlands
Last shipped from
- Reported (solid)
- Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
- Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
- Cannot be traced (hatched)
- Dashed: estimated from published euro value
Assumptions
- 1
Sweden: petrol available in June 2026
Everything refined in the country plus everything imported.
- 2
Where that fuel came from
- 3
The crude behind Sweden's petrol
- Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
- Each country's refineries are assumed to run on its crude-import mix over the latest three months.
- The chain looks back one country only. Imports are counted under the country the fuel was last shipped from; where that country has refineries, fuel that only passed through it is traced as if it had been refined there.
- The crude origin is the producing country the statistics report, not the loading terminal, so the Hormuz answer is a range wherever a producer loads both inside and outside the Persian Gulf.
In June 2026, most petrol available in Sweden was refined in Sweden (79%), followed by Finland (13%).
Sweden's refineries ran on crude from Norway (48%), the United States (18%) and the United Kingdom (13%), going by its crude imports in April–June 2026.
Taken together, an estimated 49% of the crude behind Sweden's petrol came from Norway, 19% from the United States and 11% from the United Kingdom; 1% cannot be traced.
Up to 1.5% of the crude behind Sweden's petrol is estimated to have passed through the Strait of Hormuz, a limited dependence judged on the upper bound. No midpoint is published: crude that cannot be traced is counted as anything from none to all of it.
This is an estimate, not a reported figure: it assumes exports are drawn proportionally from every source and that each country's refineries run on its crude-import mix, and it looks back only one country.
Hormuz and the pump price in Sweden
Calculated- At most 1.5% of the crude behind Sweden's petrol in June 2026 could have passed through Hormuz.
- Since 28 Feb 2026, petrol at the pump went +10.2%; Brent (in US dollars) went +61.5% (week of 23 Feb 2026 to week of 21 Sep 2026).
- 29% of the petrol pump price is tax (week of 21 Sep 2026).
Is Hormuz really the reason? — the EU-wide picture →
Source & method
- Source
- Eurostat (European Commission) — Imports of oil and petroleum products by partner country - monthly data
- EIA, IEA and terminal operators (cited per row) — Fuel Origin Hormuz route classification and country bounds, methodology v1.0
- European Commission, Directorate-General for Energy (DG ENER) — Weekly Oil Bulletin - retail fuel prices with and without taxes
- U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) — Europe Brent Spot Price FOB (petroleum spot prices)
- Method
- How this figure is made
- Strait of Hormuz: the upper end of the headline’s estimate for June 2026, the same figure as in the sentence above; no new figure is made here.
- Pump price: Weekly Oil Bulletin, petrol including tax, week of 23 Feb 2026 (€1.434 per litre) and week of 21 Sep 2026 (€1.579 per litre). Brent: EIA daily spot price, the first print dated in each of those weeks (23 Feb 2026: 71.9; 21 Sep 2026: 116.15; US dollars per barrel). Each change is worked out in the currency it is published in; no exchange rate is applied. The start week is the one containing the event date of Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026) (28 Feb 2026), the event the Strait of Hormuz page leads with; the end week is the latest week with both prices.
- Tax share: the pump price split into tax and price before tax for the week of 21 Sep 2026 (Weekly Oil Bulletin prices and published tax rates), as on the pump price page.
- The three figures are shown side by side, each on its own; no link between them is drawn here.
Go deeper for Sweden
- What does petrol cost at the pump in Sweden, and how much of it is tax?Pump price & tax →latest weekly price €1.58 per litre (petrol, week of 21 Sep 2026)
- Where has Sweden bought its oil since 2015?Imports since 2015 →
- How does fuel reach Sweden, flow by flow?Flow diagram, full page →
- How does Sweden compare with Finland, Estonia and Latvia?Compare with neighbours →
- Which refineries, ports and pipelines serve Sweden?Refineries & pipelines →
- Where does Sweden's crude come from, on a map?On the map →
- What does Norway supply to the EU?Supplier page: Norway →
- What does the United States supply to the EU?Supplier page: United States →
- What does the United Kingdom supply to the EU?Supplier page: United Kingdom →
Crude origins
Calculated5 refineries.
In June 2026, six countries supplied all crude imports.
Share of crude imports by origin, to June 2026
- Norway
- United States
- United Kingdom
- Nigeria
- Guyana
- Libya
- Other origins
- Origin not published
Share of crude imports, June 2026 (published)
Since January 2023: Norway −18.8 pt, Guyana +11.6 pt.
Share of crude imports, June 2026: all origins
| Country of origin | Share | Tonnes |
|---|---|---|
| Norway | 30% | 485,882 |
| Guyana | 26% | 419,195 |
| United States | 15% | 242,203 |
| Libya | 12% | 189,985 |
| United Kingdom | 10% | 158,709 |
| Netherlands | 7% | 107,853 |
Source & method
- Source
- Eurostat (European Commission) — Imports of oil and petroleum products by partner country - monthly data
- Refinery operators and national regulators (cited per row) — Fuel Origin curated refinery reference list
- Period
- June 2026
- Method
- How this figure is made
- Download
- Download CSV
Product origins
CalculatedPetrol imports, June 2026: Finland 59%, Denmark 30%, Netherlands 11%.
Share of petrol imports by country last shipped from, to June 2026
- Finland
- Denmark
- Netherlands
- Belgium
- Germany
- Latvia
Share of petrol imports, June 2026 (published)
Share of petrol imports, June 2026 (published): all countries last shipped from
| Country last shipped from | Share | Tonnes |
|---|---|---|
| Finland | 59% | 59,034 |
| Denmark | 30% | 29,851 |
| Netherlands | 11% | 10,878 |
Source & method
- Source
- Eurostat (European Commission) — Imports of oil and petroleum products by partner country - monthly data
- Period
- June 2026
- Method
- How this figure is made
- Download
- Download CSV
Stocks & days of cover
Official104 days of emergency stock cover in June 2026.
Closing stocks: 4,187,038 tonnes, −3.1% against the 12-month average.
Closing stocks, to June 2026
- Closing stocks
- 12-month average
Days of cover, to June 2026
- Not published
Source & method
- Source
- Eurostat (European Commission) — Emergency oil stocks in days equivalent - monthly data
- Eurostat (European Commission) — Stock levels for oil products - monthly data
- Period
- June 2026
- Method
- How this figure is made
- Which method the member state used
- Stock calculation method: method 2
- Minimum obligation method: method 1
- Days calculation method: method 1
- Download
- Download CSV
Recent events
Official- 28 Feb 2026Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption (2026)Shipping disruption · Strait of Hormuz / Persian Gulf
- 5 Feb 2023EU import ban on Russian refined petroleum products (in force 5 February 2023)Import ban · European Union
- 5 Dec 2022EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)Import ban · European Union
- 24 Feb 2022Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)War · Ukraine
Source & method
- Source
- International Energy Agency — Event timeline, cited per event
- US Energy Information Administration — Event timeline, cited per event
- European Commission — Event timeline, cited per event
- European Council — Event timeline, cited per event
- National legislators — Event timeline, cited per event
- Method
- How this figure is made