Fuel Origin

Avvenimenti / Projbizzjoni fuq l-importazzjoni

Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)

Dati
05/12/2022 → l-ebda data tat-tmiem irreġistrata
Preċiżjoni tad-data
jum
Status
Għadu għaddej
Ambitu
L-Unjoni Ewropea

X’qalu s-sorsi (bl-Ingliż)

Sixth package of EU sanctions, adopted 3 June 2022 (Council Regulation (EU) 2022/879 amending Regulation (EU) No 833/2014). European Commission, 3 June 2022: "a complete import ban on all Russian seaborne crude oil and petroleum products"; "For seaborne crude oil, spot market transactions and execution of existing contracts will be permitted for six months after entry into force, while for petroleum products, these will be permitted for eight months." Eurostat, 19 June 2023: "The ban on imports of seaborne crude oil entered into force on 5 December 2022, while the ban on petroleum products took effect on 5 February 2023." Temporary derogations apply to pipeline crude for certain member states and to Bulgaria and Croatia, so reported imports from Russia do not fall to zero. This row is a timeline marker only; it makes no statement about prices.

L-AIE, l-EIA, il-Kummissjoni Ewropea, il-Kunsill Ewropew u leġiżlaturi nazzjonali (iċċitati għal kull ringiela)Uffiċjali
Miġbur 23/09/2026 07:22 UTCReviżjoni 1
Dokumenti tas-sors (3)
PajjiżPajjiżIl-ĠermanjaFranzaIn-NetherlandsIl-PolonjaIl-FinlandjaL-EstonjaL-AwstrijaIl-BelġjuIl-BulgarijaIl-KroazjaĊipruIċ-ĊekjaId-DanimarkaIl-GreċjaL-UngerijaL-IrlandaL-ItaljaIl-LatvjaIl-LitwanjaIl-LussemburguMaltaIl-PortugallIr-RumanijaIs-SlovakkjaIs-SlovenjaSpanjaL-Iżvezja
KarburantKarburantDiżil (żejt tal-gass għall-vetturi)Petrol (Euro-super 95)Iż-żewġ karburanti

Jekk tagħżel karburant, jinżammu s-serje ta’ dak il-karburant u l-kanali komuni għall-karburanti kollha – il-prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdum, ir-rata tal-kambju, l-importazzjonijiet taż-żejt mhux maħdum u l-esponiment għal Hormuz. Jitneħħew biss is-serje tal-karburant l-ieħor.

It-tieqa tal-avveniment

Kemm kienet tiswa kull serje fil-jiem madwar id-data tal-avveniment (minn -30 sa 90), kemm dan hu ’l bogħod mil-livell tal-istess serje fid-data tal-avveniment, u kemm hu kbir dak iċ-ċaqliq meta mqabbel mal-varjazzjoni normali tas-serje stess.

Ċipru, il-karburanti kollha f’dan il-kalkolu. Serje li jistgħu jitpinġew: 22; serje li ma jistgħu jidhru bl-ebda mod, murija hawn taħt bħala pannelli vojta b’tikketta: 7.

Qari ppubblikat: 260; punti tat-tieqa mingħajr xejn ippubblikat fi żmien perjodu wieħed: 26; punti tat-tieqa fuq serje li ma nistgħu naraw xejn minnhom: 91. Kollha jidhru f’din il-paġna.

Europe Brent spot FOB

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+90102.472.42022-11-04: 99.53 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 88.44 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 83.50 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −72022-12-02: 86.54 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 83.36 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T02022-12-06: 79.92 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +12022-12-08: 76.02 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +32022-12-12: 78.00 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 81.66 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-04: 75.31 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-02-03: 78.85 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-03-03: 85.74 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Europe Brent spot FOB): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-11-0499.53+16.170+19.40%+4.30
−142022-11-2188.44+5.080+6.09%+1.35
−72022-11-2883.50+0.140+0.17%+0.04
−32022-12-0286.54+3.180+3.81%+0.85
−12022-12-0286.54+3.180+3.81%+0.85
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T083.360.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-0679.92-3.440-4.13%-0.91
+32022-12-0876.02-7.340-8.81%-1.95
+72022-12-1278.00-5.360-6.43%-1.42
+142022-12-1981.66-1.700-2.04%-0.45
+302023-01-0475.31-8.050-9.66%-2.14
+602023-02-0378.85-4.510-5.41%-1.20
+902023-03-0385.74+2.380+2.86%+0.63

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 4.51%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 760). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

reported crude oil imports, all origins

Unità: tIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+901.0000.0002022-11-01: 0 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −30, −14, −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-01, 0 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T0, +1, +3, +7, +142023-01-01: 0 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-02-01: 0 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-03-01: 0 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (reported crude oil imports, all origins): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-11-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−142022-11-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−72022-11-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−32022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−12022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
T02022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+12022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+32022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+72022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+142022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+302023-01-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+602023-02-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+902023-03-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja
T0−30T0+30+60+901.1691.0592022-10-31: 1.147 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 1.158 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 1.145 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 1.127 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +32022-12-12: 1.111 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 1.088 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-02: 1.070 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-01-30: 1.081 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-02-27: 1.109 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-10-311.147+0.020+1.78%+0.12
−142022-11-211.158+0.031+2.78%+0.19
−72022-11-281.145+0.018+1.62%+0.11
−32022-11-281.145+0.018+1.62%+0.11
−12022-11-281.145+0.018+1.62%+0.11
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.1270.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.1270.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.1270.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-121.111-0.016-1.42%-0.10
+142022-12-191.088-0.039-3.43%-0.24
+302023-01-021.070-0.057-5.09%-0.36
+602023-01-301.081-0.046-4.10%-0.29
+902023-02-271.109-0.018-1.62%-0.11

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 14.33%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja
T0−30T0+30+60+900.9280.8262022-10-31: 0.9163 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 0.9177 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 0.9031 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 0.8833 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +32022-12-12: 0.8637 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 0.8452 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-02: 0.8356 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-01-30: 0.8432 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-02-27: 0.8581 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-10-310.9163+0.033+3.74%+1.38
−142022-11-210.9177+0.034+3.90%+1.44
−72022-11-280.9031+0.020+2.25%+0.83
−32022-11-280.9031+0.020+2.25%+0.83
−12022-11-280.9031+0.020+2.25%+0.83
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.88330.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.88330.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.88330.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-120.8637-0.020-2.22%-0.82
+142022-12-190.8452-0.038-4.31%-1.59
+302023-01-020.8356-0.048-5.39%-1.99
+602023-01-300.8432-0.040-4.54%-1.67
+902023-02-270.8581-0.025-2.85%-1.05

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 2.71%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE

Unità: USD għal kull EURIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+901.1060.9742022-11-04: 0.9872 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 1.025 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 1.046 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −72022-12-02: 1.054 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 1.059 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T02022-12-06: 1.052 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +12022-12-08: 1.052 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +32022-12-12: 1.056 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 1.060 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-04: 1.060 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-02-03: 1.094 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-03-03: 1.062 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-11-040.9872-0.072-6.75%-13.43
−142022-11-211.025-0.034-3.22%-6.40
−72022-11-281.046-0.012-1.17%-2.33
−32022-12-021.054-0.005-0.46%-0.92
−12022-12-021.054-0.005-0.46%-0.92
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.0590.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-061.052-0.007-0.67%-1.33
+32022-12-081.052-0.007-0.64%-1.28
+72022-12-121.056-0.002-0.24%-0.47
+142022-12-191.060+0.001+0.10%+0.21
+302023-01-041.060+0.001+0.11%+0.23
+602023-02-031.094+0.035+3.31%+6.57
+902023-03-031.062+0.003+0.26%+0.53

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 0.50%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 770). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1

Unità: % tat-tunnellati importatiIppubblikat: kull xaharMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
T0−30T0+30+60+901.120-0.120

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Il-linja tieqaf f’dawn il-punti tat-tieqa, fejn ma ġiet ippubblikata l-ebda ċifra fi żmien perjodu wieħed: −30, −14, −7, −3, −1, T0, +1, +3, +7, +14, +30, +60, +90.

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-11-01mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−142022-11-01mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−72022-11-01mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−32022-12-01mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−12022-12-01mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
T02022-12-01mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+12022-12-01mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+32022-12-01mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+72022-12-01mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+142022-12-01mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+302023-01-01mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+602023-02-01mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+902023-03-01mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2

Unità: % tat-tunnellati importatiIppubblikat: kull xaharMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
T0−30T0+30+60+9040.830.002022-11-01: 0 sa 36.46 % tat-tunnellati importati. Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: ma jitpinġa l-ebda punt tan-nofs.2022-12-01: 0 sa 34.66 % tat-tunnellati importati. Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: ma jitpinġa l-ebda punt tan-nofs.2023-01-01: 0 sa 28.25 % tat-tunnellati importati. Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: ma jitpinġa l-ebda punt tan-nofs.2023-02-01: 0 sa 33.75 % tat-tunnellati importati. Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: ma jitpinġa l-ebda punt tan-nofs.2023-03-01: 0 sa 23.55 % tat-tunnellati importati. Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: ma jitpinġa l-ebda punt tan-nofs.

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab. Il-faxxa mdella hija l-firxa ammissibbli. Ma jitpinġa l-ebda punt tan-nofs: ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu.

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-11-010–36.46mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−142022-11-010–36.46mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−72022-11-010–36.46mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−32022-12-010–34.66mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−12022-12-010–34.66mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
T02022-12-010–34.66mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+12022-12-010–34.66mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+32022-12-010–34.66mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+72022-12-010–34.66mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+142022-12-010–34.66mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+302023-01-010–28.25mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+602023-02-010–33.75mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+902023-03-010–23.55mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma

Unità: kopertura (jiem)Ippubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+9091.1289.882022-11-01: 91.00 kopertura (jiem), użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −30, −14, −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-01, 91.00 kopertura (jiem), użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T0, +1, +3, +7, +142023-01-01: 90.00 kopertura (jiem), użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-02-01: 90.00 kopertura (jiem), użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-03-01: 90.00 kopertura (jiem), użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-11-0191.000.0000.00%0.00
−142022-11-0191.000.0000.00%0.00
−72022-11-0191.000.0000.00%0.00
−32022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T091.000.0000.00%0.00
−12022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T091.000.0000.00%0.00
T02022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T091.000.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T091.000.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T091.000.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T091.000.0000.00%0.00
+142022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T091.000.0000.00%0.00
+302023-01-0190.00-1.000-1.10%-0.16
+602023-02-0190.00-1.000-1.10%-0.16
+902023-03-0190.00-1.000-1.10%-0.16

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 6.78%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 35). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+900.6280.4422022-10-31: 0.6104 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 0.5263 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 0.5123 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 0.4687 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +32022-12-12: 0.4798 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 0.4779 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-02: 0.4598 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-01-30: 0.4720 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-02-27: 0.4954 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-10-310.6104+0.142+30.24%+3.72
−142022-11-210.5263+0.058+12.30%+1.51
−72022-11-280.5123+0.044+9.31%+1.15
−32022-11-280.5123+0.044+9.31%+1.15
−12022-11-280.5123+0.044+9.31%+1.15
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.46870.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.46870.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.46870.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-120.4798+0.011+2.38%+0.29
+142022-12-190.4779+0.009+1.98%+0.24
+302023-01-020.4598-0.009-1.89%-0.23
+602023-01-300.4720+0.003+0.71%+0.09
+902023-02-270.4954+0.027+5.69%+0.70

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 8.13%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+900.6280.4422022-10-31: 0.6104 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 0.5263 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 0.5123 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 0.4687 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +32022-12-12: 0.4798 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 0.4779 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-02: 0.4598 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-01-30: 0.4720 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-02-27: 0.4954 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-10-310.6104+0.142+30.24%+3.72
−142022-11-210.5263+0.058+12.30%+1.51
−72022-11-280.5123+0.044+9.31%+1.15
−32022-11-280.5123+0.044+9.31%+1.15
−12022-11-280.5123+0.044+9.31%+1.15
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.46870.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.46870.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.46870.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-120.4798+0.011+2.38%+0.29
+142022-12-190.4779+0.009+1.98%+0.24
+302023-01-020.4598-0.009-1.89%-0.23
+602023-01-300.4720+0.003+0.71%+0.09
+902023-02-270.4954+0.027+5.69%+0.70

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 8.13%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom

Unità: tIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+90670,396609,7692022-11-01: 664,529 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −30, −14, −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-01, 648,898 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T0, +1, +3, +7, +142023-01-01: 632,916 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-02-01: 615,636 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-03-01: 633,114 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-11-01664,529+15,631+2.41%+0.32
−142022-11-01664,529+15,631+2.41%+0.32
−72022-11-01664,529+15,631+2.41%+0.32
−32022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0648,8980.0000.00%0.00
−12022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0648,8980.0000.00%0.00
T02022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0648,8980.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0648,8980.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0648,8980.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0648,8980.0000.00%0.00
+142022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0648,8980.0000.00%0.00
+302023-01-01632,916-15,982-2.46%-0.33
+602023-02-01615,636-33,262-5.13%-0.68
+902023-03-01633,114-15,784-2.43%-0.32

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 7.49%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 35). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja
T0−30T0+30+60+900.128-0.1672022-10-31: 0.0996 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 0.0391 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 0.0306 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 0 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +32022-12-12: -0.0203 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: -0.0213 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-02: -0.0554 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-01-30: -0.1022 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-02-27: -0.1382 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-10-310.0996+0.100mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−142022-11-210.0391+0.039mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−72022-11-280.0306+0.031mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−32022-11-280.0306+0.031mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−12022-11-280.0306+0.031mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+12022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+32022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+72022-12-12-0.0203-0.020mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+142022-12-19-0.0213-0.021mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+302023-01-02-0.0554-0.055mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+602023-01-30-0.1022-0.102mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+902023-02-27-0.1382-0.138mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja
T0−30T0+30+60+900.024-0.0732022-10-31: -0.0457 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 0.0005 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 0.0147 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 0 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +32022-12-12: 0.0087 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 0.0001 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-02: -0.0212 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-01-30: -0.0638 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-02-27: -0.0582 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-10-31-0.0457-0.046mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−142022-11-210.0005+0.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−72022-11-280.0147+0.015mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−32022-11-280.0147+0.015mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−12022-11-280.0147+0.015mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+12022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+32022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+72022-12-120.0087+0.009mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+142022-12-190.0001+0.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+302023-01-02-0.0212-0.021mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+602023-01-30-0.0638-0.064mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+902023-02-27-0.0582-0.058mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+901.9281.5212022-10-31: 1.889 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 1.830 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 1.805 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 1.747 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +32022-12-12: 1.703 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 1.675 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-02: 1.612 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-01-30: 1.570 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-02-27: 1.560 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-10-311.889+0.142+8.15%+5.21
−142022-11-211.830+0.084+4.80%+3.07
−72022-11-281.805+0.058+3.33%+2.13
−32022-11-281.805+0.058+3.33%+2.13
−12022-11-281.805+0.058+3.33%+2.13
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.7470.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.7470.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.7470.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-121.703-0.043-2.48%-1.58
+142022-12-191.675-0.071-4.08%-2.61
+302023-01-021.612-0.134-7.69%-4.91
+602023-01-301.570-0.177-10.12%-6.46
+902023-02-271.560-0.186-10.67%-6.81

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.57%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+901.5521.3482022-10-31: 1.476 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 1.533 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 1.532 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 1.491 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +32022-12-12: 1.478 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 1.446 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-02: 1.409 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-01-30: 1.367 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-02-27: 1.392 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-10-311.476-0.015-1.01%-0.65
−142022-11-211.533+0.042+2.78%+1.80
−72022-11-281.532+0.041+2.76%+1.78
−32022-11-281.532+0.041+2.76%+1.78
−12022-11-281.532+0.041+2.76%+1.78
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.4910.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.4910.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.4910.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-121.478-0.013-0.87%-0.56
+142022-12-191.446-0.045-3.03%-1.96
+302023-01-021.409-0.082-5.50%-3.55
+602023-01-301.367-0.124-8.29%-5.36
+902023-02-271.392-0.099-6.66%-4.30

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.55%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+901.2800.9372022-10-31: 1.247 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 1.198 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 1.176 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 1.127 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +32022-12-12: 1.091 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 1.067 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-02: 1.014 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-01-30: 0.9786 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-02-27: 0.9705 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-10-311.247+0.120+10.62%+3.99
−142022-11-211.198+0.070+6.25%+2.35
−72022-11-281.176+0.049+4.33%+1.63
−32022-11-281.176+0.049+4.33%+1.63
−12022-11-281.176+0.049+4.33%+1.63
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.1270.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.1270.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.1270.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-121.091-0.036-3.22%-1.21
+142022-12-191.067-0.060-5.31%-2.00
+302023-01-021.014-0.113-10.01%-3.76
+602023-01-300.9786-0.148-13.17%-4.95
+902023-02-270.9705-0.157-13.89%-5.22

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 2.66%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+900.9350.7632022-10-31: 0.8706 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 0.9182 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 0.9179 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 0.8833 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +32022-12-12: 0.8724 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 0.8453 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-02: 0.8144 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-01-30: 0.7794 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-02-27: 0.7999 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-10-310.8706-0.013-1.44%-0.53
−142022-11-210.9182+0.035+3.95%+1.47
−72022-11-280.9179+0.035+3.91%+1.46
−32022-11-280.9179+0.035+3.91%+1.46
−12022-11-280.9179+0.035+3.91%+1.46
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.88330.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.88330.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.88330.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-120.8724-0.011-1.24%-0.46
+142022-12-190.8453-0.038-4.30%-1.60
+302023-01-020.8144-0.069-7.80%-2.90
+602023-01-300.7794-0.104-11.76%-4.38
+902023-02-270.7999-0.083-9.44%-3.52

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 2.69%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+900.6490.5842022-10-31: 0.6423 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 0.6330 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 0.6288 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 0.6196 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +32022-12-12: 0.6127 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 0.6082 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-02: 0.5981 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-01-30: 0.5914 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-02-27: 0.5898 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-10-310.6423+0.023+3.67%+3.79
−142022-11-210.6330+0.013+2.16%+2.23
−72022-11-280.6288+0.009+1.50%+1.54
−32022-11-280.6288+0.009+1.50%+1.54
−12022-11-280.6288+0.009+1.50%+1.54
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.61960.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.61960.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.61960.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-120.6127-0.007-1.12%-1.15
+142022-12-190.6082-0.011-1.84%-1.90
+302023-01-020.5981-0.021-3.46%-3.57
+602023-01-300.5914-0.028-4.55%-4.70
+902023-02-270.5898-0.030-4.80%-4.96

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 0.97%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+900.6180.5852022-10-31: 0.6054 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 0.6144 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 0.6143 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 0.6078 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +32022-12-12: 0.6057 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 0.6006 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-02: 0.5947 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-01-30: 0.5880 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-02-27: 0.5919 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-10-310.6054-0.002-0.40%-0.37
−142022-11-210.6144+0.007+1.09%+1.03
−72022-11-280.6143+0.007+1.08%+1.02
−32022-11-280.6143+0.007+1.08%+1.02
−12022-11-280.6143+0.007+1.08%+1.02
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.60780.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.60780.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.60780.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-120.6057-0.002-0.34%-0.32
+142022-12-190.6006-0.007-1.19%-1.12
+302023-01-020.5947-0.013-2.15%-2.03
+602023-01-300.5880-0.020-3.25%-3.06
+902023-02-270.5919-0.016-2.61%-2.46

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.06%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa
T0−30T0+30+60+90109.929.12022-11-04: 102.1 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 61.92 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 50.19 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −72022-12-02: 47.86 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 43.40 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T02022-12-06: 42.43 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +12022-12-08: 43.18 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +32022-12-12: 45.31 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 47.36 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-04: 52.92 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-02-03: 39.25 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-03-03: 36.90 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-11-04102.1+58.716+135.30%+13.75
−142022-11-2161.92+18.524+42.69%+4.34
−72022-11-2850.19+6.790+15.65%+1.59
−32022-12-0247.86+4.464+10.29%+1.05
−12022-12-0247.86+4.464+10.29%+1.05
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T043.400.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-0642.43-0.970-2.24%-0.23
+32022-12-0843.18-0.220-0.51%-0.05
+72022-12-1245.31+1.916+4.42%+0.45
+142022-12-1947.36+3.968+9.14%+0.93
+302023-01-0452.92+9.520+21.94%+2.23
+602023-02-0339.25-4.142-9.54%-0.97
+902023-03-0336.90-6.496-14.97%-1.52

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 9.84%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 737). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa
T0−30T0+30+60+9038.9011.122022-11-04: 36.21 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 25.46 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 21.75 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −72022-12-02: 19.76 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 19.67 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T02022-12-06: 20.42 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +12022-12-08: 14.66 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +32022-12-12: 13.81 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 13.89 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-04: 25.20 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-02-03: 24.34 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-03-03: 25.60 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-11-0436.21+16.548+84.15%+0.46
−142022-11-2125.46+5.798+29.48%+0.16
−72022-11-2821.75+2.086+10.61%+0.06
−32022-12-0219.76+0.096+0.49%+0.00
−12022-12-0219.76+0.096+0.49%+0.00
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T019.670.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-0620.42+0.752+3.82%+0.02
+32022-12-0814.66-5.008-25.47%-0.14
+72022-12-1213.81-5.854-29.77%-0.16
+142022-12-1913.89-5.776-29.37%-0.16
+302023-01-0425.20+5.530+28.12%+0.15
+602023-02-0324.34+4.678+23.79%+0.13
+902023-03-0325.60+5.936+30.18%+0.17

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 182.43%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 737). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa
T0−30T0+30+60+9057.2023.782022-11-04: 51.50 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 42.81 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 30.74 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −72022-12-02: 31.06 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 27.02 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T02022-12-06: 27.60 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +12022-12-08: 35.20 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +32022-12-12: 36.79 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 36.02 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-04: 53.97 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-02-03: 29.38 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-03-03: 39.71 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-11-0451.50+24.486+90.64%+0.51
−142022-11-2142.81+15.794+58.46%+0.33
−72022-11-2830.74+3.724+13.78%+0.08
−32022-12-0231.06+4.044+14.97%+0.08
−12022-12-0231.06+4.044+14.97%+0.08
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T027.020.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-0627.60+0.584+2.16%+0.01
+32022-12-0835.20+8.180+30.28%+0.17
+72022-12-1236.79+9.770+36.16%+0.21
+142022-12-1936.02+9.008+33.34%+0.19
+302023-01-0453.97+26.950+99.76%+0.57
+602023-02-0329.38+2.368+8.77%+0.05
+902023-03-0339.71+12.698+47.00%+0.27

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 176.40%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 737). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Mhux disponibbli: imblukkat mil-liċenzja

Jeżisti sors, iżda l-liċenzja tiegħu ma tippermettilniex nippubblikawh mill-ġdid. Dawn il-kanali mhumiex neqsin mid-dinja, iżda biss minn din il-paġna.

nol tat-tankers “dirty” mill-Golf Għarbi lejn il-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

In-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers (ringiela 17: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

Il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

Il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

M’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

M’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

Sors
European Commission, Directorate-General for Energy (DG ENER)Mhux magħruf
Perjodu 2022-10-31Aġġornat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCKunfidenzaMhux magħrufaMetodoloġijaNiżżel is-CSV

T0: 05/12/2022. Tieqa ta’ referenza: jiem -90 sa -31. Punti tat-tieqa kkalkulati: -30, -14, -7, -3, -1, 0, 1, 3, 7, 14, 30, 60, 90. Metodu: 1.0, kalkolu: event_study-1.0, ikkalkulat: 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC.

L-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”: huwa tassew ir-raġuni?

Il-mistoqsija tinqasam f’dimensjonijiet li jitkejlu separatament u qatt ma jingħaddu f’numru wieħed. Kull ringiela tgħid jekk nistgħux naraw dik id-dimensjoni, u tagħti ċifra ppubblikata waħda fejn nistgħu.

Mit-tmien kanali ta’ trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet li jirrapporta dan is-sit, kanali b’data f’dan il-kalkolu: 4 Ikkalkulat – għadd tar-ringieli ta’ hawn taħt, mhux kejl.

Metodoloġija §11.1 tippubblika l-limiti li jużaw is-sentenzi ta’ hawn taħt: it-tmien kanali kollha preżenti għall-paragun sħiħ, mill-inqas tlieta biex l-istqarrija tkun tista’ tiġi ttestjata hawn, u 2.0 unitajiet ta’ volatilità biex ċaqliq jiġi deskritt bħala barra mill-varjazzjoni normali ta’ serje. Dawn huma għażliet ta’ kliem ippubblikati, mhux testijiet statistiċi.

Dimensjonijiet tal-esponiment għall-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, kull waħda bl-istatus tagħha u ċifra ppubblikata waħda.
DimensjoniStatusĊifra ppubblikata, jew għaliex m’hemmx
Esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum (D1)Sehem miż-żejt mhux maħdum importat li r-rotta tiegħu teħtieġ l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz.Xejn ippubblikat fit-tieqa
mhux ippubblikat
Esponiment dirett tal-prodotti (D2)Sehem mill-prodotti raffinati importati li r-rotta tagħhom teħtieġ l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz.Firxa biss
0–28.25 % tat-tunnellati importati punt tat-tieqa +30 d (2023-01) · l-ebda punt tan-nofs
Kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza (D7)Il-jiem ta’ kopertura li jammontaw għalihom il-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati. Riżerva kontra interruzzjoni tal-provvista, mhux sehem mill-importazzjonijiet, u mhux kanal tal-prezz.Osservat
90.00 kopertura (jiem) punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-01-01)-1.10% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -0.16 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdumIl-prezz kwotat taż-żejt mhux maħdum li fuqu jiġu pprezzati t-tagħbijiet Ewropej.Osservat
75.31 $ għal kull barmil punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-01-04)-9.66% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -2.14 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinatiIl-prezz kwotat tal-prodotti li fuqu jipprezzaw ir-raffineriji u l-bejjiegħa bl-ingrossa.Mhux disponibbliIl-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.
Marġni tar-raffinarKemm qala’ r-raffinar ta’ barmil f’dan il-prodott.Mhux disponibbliM’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.
NoliKemm swiet il-ġarr tal-merkanzija bil-baħar.Mhux disponibbliIn-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers (ringiela 17: BLOCKED).
StokkijietL-istokkijiet miżmuma, li jassorbu jew ikabbru bidla fil-provvista.Osservat
632,916 t punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-01-01)-2.46% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -0.33 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezzijiet bl-ingrossaIl-prezz bejn il-bieb tar-raffinerija u l-pompa tal-petrol.Mhux disponibbliIs-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).
Prezz fil-pompa mingħajr taxxiIl-prezz fil-pompa mingħajr id-dazju tas-sisa, il-VAT u taxxi oħra fuq il-karburant.Osservat
1.014 € għal kull litru punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-01-02)-10.01% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -3.76 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz fil-pompa bit-taxxiDak li fil-fatt ħallas sewwieq.Osservat
1.612 € għal kull litru punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-01-02)-7.69% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -4.91 unitajiet ta’ volatilità

L-esponiment fiżiku (l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz) u l-esponiment tal-prezz huma mistoqsijiet differenti. Pajjiż kważi mingħajr esponiment fiżiku dirett xorta jista’ jara l-prezz fil-pompa tiegħu jiċċaqlaq: iż-żejt mhux maħdum jiġi pprezzat fuq livell globali – u serje li ċċaqilqet f’din it-tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.

X’għamel il-prezz fil-pompa madwar din id-data

Il-paġna tal-qsim tal-prezz tista’ tiġi ffissata fuq il-ġimgħat madwar id-data tal-avveniment, biex iċ-ċaqliq fil-pompa jinqasam fit-taxxa, fl-ispiża tal-input u fil-parti li l-ispiża tal-input ma tkoprix.

Qsim tal-prezz (28/11/2022 – 04/01/2023) →

It-tieqa hija madwar id-data ppubblikata tal-avveniment (jiem qabel: 7; jiem wara: 30). Hija tieqa biex wieħed iħares, mhux dikjarazzjoni li l-avveniment kien fl-oriġini ta’ dak li fiha.

Attwali kontra ż-żejt mhux maħdum biss: Ċipru, petrol (Euro-super 95)

X’għamel il-prezz mingħajr taxxi minn erba’ ġimgħat qabel sa tlettax-il ġimgħa wara l-ġimgħa tal-avveniment, ħdejn dak li kien jagħmel li kieku segwa biss l-ispiża tal-input taż-żejt mhux maħdum bil-pass li tkejjel l-istima maħżuna tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet. Id-differenza mdella mhix spjegata miż-żejt mhux maħdum; mhix attribwita lill-avveniment jew lil xi ħaġa oħra. L-ebda karburant mhu magħżul: jintwera l-petrol.

Il-paragun maż-żejt mhux maħdum biss ma setax jinqara.

API 404 for /api/events/eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022/crude-only: No stored crude-only run for 'eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022' and country 'cyprus'. Runs are stored for the pilot countries; available_countries lists them.

X’jappoġġaw in-numri, sentenza b’sentenza

Kull sentenza ġejja minn mudell fiss, magħżul skont limiti ppubblikati. Iftaħ “Għaliex din is-sentenza” biex tara n-numri li għażluha. L-ebda parti minn dan it-test mhi miktuba minn mudell lingwistiku, u l-ebda parti minnu ma tattribwixxi kawża.

  1. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, Ċipru) inbidel b’-1.2%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.5 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: ĊipruIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    0.87236
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Cyprus
    z_score
    0.3043293989412962
    t0_value
    0.8833
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -1.2385373032944582
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_CY_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    CY
    country_name
    Cyprus
    country_slug
    cyprus
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-12-12
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.46120047144588966
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.01093999999999995
    change_pct_from_t0
    -1.2385373032944582
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.6854640876917872
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.46120047144588966
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    0.87236
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Cyprus
    z_score
    0.3043293989412962
    t0_value
    0.8833
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -1.2385373032944582
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_CY_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    CY
    country_name
    Cyprus
    country_slug
    cyprus
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-12-12
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.46120047144588966
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.01093999999999995
    change_pct_from_t0
    -1.2385373032944582
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.6854640876917872
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.46120047144588966

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 3970d209632139971b4643be918ea70dca5aae7f4774fa2fcb0653c29d1e9aaa · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  2. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, Ċipru) inbidel b’-7.8%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.9 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: ĊipruIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    0.81444
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Cyprus
    z_score
    -2.3453149132240108
    t0_value
    0.8833
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -7.79576587795765
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_CY_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    CY
    country_name
    Cyprus
    country_slug
    cyprus
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-01-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -2.902949219722493
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.06885999999999992
    change_pct_from_t0
    -7.79576587795765
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.6854640876917872
    change_in_volatility_units
    -2.902949219722493
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    0.81444
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Cyprus
    z_score
    -2.3453149132240108
    t0_value
    0.8833
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -7.79576587795765
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_CY_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    CY
    country_name
    Cyprus
    country_slug
    cyprus
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-01-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -2.902949219722493
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.06885999999999992
    change_pct_from_t0
    -7.79576587795765
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.6854640876917872
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -2.902949219722493

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità a657851bd473da2ff705a0c7cdbedab6ca450d91fcf7f4bd96bb03f4d7e1e433 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  3. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, Ċipru) inbidel b’-9.4%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’3.5 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: ĊipruIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    0.79991
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Cyprus
    z_score
    -3.0100133223359244
    t0_value
    0.8833
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -9.44073361258915
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_CY_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    CY
    country_name
    Cyprus
    country_slug
    cyprus
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -3.5154942700066636
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.08338999999999996
    change_pct_from_t0
    -9.44073361258915
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.6854640876917872
    change_in_volatility_units
    -3.5154942700066636
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    0.79991
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Cyprus
    z_score
    -3.0100133223359244
    t0_value
    0.8833
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -9.44073361258915
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_CY_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    CY
    country_name
    Cyprus
    country_slug
    cyprus
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -3.5154942700066636
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.08338999999999996
    change_pct_from_t0
    -9.44073361258915
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.6854640876917872
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -3.5154942700066636

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 31de49a2b4d136ac2f9db3aeecd042b8c61142953e0adff14d248d981fd18202 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  4. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, Ċipru) inbidel b’-0.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.6 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: ĊipruIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.47805
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Cyprus
    z_score
    0.30429051564245746
    t0_value
    1.49107
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -0.8731984413877155
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_CY_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    CY
    country_name
    Cyprus
    country_slug
    cyprus
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-12-12
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.5644356550790196
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.01301999999999981
    change_pct_from_t0
    -0.8731984413877155
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.5470292025854921
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.5644356550790196
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.47805
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Cyprus
    z_score
    0.30429051564245746
    t0_value
    1.49107
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -0.8731984413877155
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_CY_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    CY
    country_name
    Cyprus
    country_slug
    cyprus
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-12-12
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.5644356550790196
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.01301999999999981
    change_pct_from_t0
    -0.8731984413877155
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.5470292025854921
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.5644356550790196

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 3463db74a1bf47386c00e07b3e1533d745c78365d55512b341da27a0f51e8032 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  5. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, Ċipru) inbidel b’-5.5%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’3.6 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: ĊipruIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.4091300000000002
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Cyprus
    z_score
    -2.3453244354728704
    t0_value
    1.49107
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -5.495382510546096
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_CY_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    CY
    country_name
    Cyprus
    country_slug
    cyprus
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-01-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -3.5522164037769093
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.08193999999999968
    change_pct_from_t0
    -5.495382510546096
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.5470292025854921
    change_in_volatility_units
    -3.5522164037769093
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.4091300000000002
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Cyprus
    z_score
    -2.3453244354728704
    t0_value
    1.49107
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -5.495382510546096
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_CY_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    CY
    country_name
    Cyprus
    country_slug
    cyprus
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-01-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -3.5522164037769093
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.08193999999999968
    change_pct_from_t0
    -5.495382510546096
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.5470292025854921
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -3.5522164037769093

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 4835ea055916389ef2dfee2ec430a7da20d7cebefdae96ec94dc7b0bf285b2ef · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  6. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, Ċipru) inbidel b’-6.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’4.3 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: ĊipruIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.39183
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Cyprus
    z_score
    -3.0104193085764117
    t0_value
    1.49107
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -6.655623143111994
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_CY_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    CY
    country_name
    Cyprus
    country_slug
    cyprus
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -4.302196191247521
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.09924
    change_pct_from_t0
    -6.655623143111994
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.5470292025854921
    change_in_volatility_units
    -4.302196191247521
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.39183
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Cyprus
    z_score
    -3.0104193085764117
    t0_value
    1.49107
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -6.655623143111994
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_CY_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    CY
    country_name
    Cyprus
    country_slug
    cyprus
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -4.302196191247521
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.09924
    change_pct_from_t0
    -6.655623143111994
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.5470292025854921
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -4.302196191247521

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 88880e699e58b25a0aa635002dbd6df187f6da1162a63e0bc7477b7cfeaf03d7 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  7. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, Ċipru) inbidel b’-3.2%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.2 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: ĊipruIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.09067
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Cyprus
    z_score
    -3.400472245711677
    t0_value
    1.12701
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -3.224461184905195
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_CY_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    CY
    country_name
    Cyprus
    country_slug
    cyprus
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-12-12
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.2117853749835652
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.03634000000000004
    change_pct_from_t0
    -3.224461184905195
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.6609177264158075
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.2117853749835652
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.09067
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Cyprus
    z_score
    -3.400472245711677
    t0_value
    1.12701
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -3.224461184905195
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_CY_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    CY
    country_name
    Cyprus
    country_slug
    cyprus
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-12-12
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.2117853749835652
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.03634000000000004
    change_pct_from_t0
    -3.224461184905195
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.6609177264158075
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.2117853749835652

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 0fc2190e3a93407a0bf3ce7b924cff20eaddc2c74b1b29bbf0861c9785822d1b · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  8. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, Ċipru) inbidel b’-10.0%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’3.8 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: ĊipruIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.01418
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Cyprus
    z_score
    -5.826599983181667
    t0_value
    1.12701
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -10.01144621609391
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_CY_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    CY
    country_name
    Cyprus
    country_slug
    cyprus
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-01-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -3.7624035184203493
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.11282999999999999
    change_pct_from_t0
    -10.01144621609391
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.6609177264158075
    change_in_volatility_units
    -3.7624035184203493
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.01418
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Cyprus
    z_score
    -5.826599983181667
    t0_value
    1.12701
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -10.01144621609391
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_CY_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    CY
    country_name
    Cyprus
    country_slug
    cyprus
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-01-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -3.7624035184203493
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.11282999999999999
    change_pct_from_t0
    -10.01144621609391
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.6609177264158075
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -3.7624035184203493

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 1a097111555d4562e6be6bb4652d2d7fe9279c2dbe5ad16079e96ec6b9356633 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  9. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, Ċipru) inbidel b’-13.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’5.2 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: ĊipruIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    0.97048
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Cyprus
    z_score
    -7.212686819728128
    t0_value
    1.12701
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -13.888962830853323
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_CY_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    CY
    country_name
    Cyprus
    country_slug
    cyprus
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -5.219613779476536
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.15653000000000006
    change_pct_from_t0
    -13.888962830853323
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.6609177264158075
    change_in_volatility_units
    -5.219613779476536
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    0.97048
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Cyprus
    z_score
    -7.212686819728128
    t0_value
    1.12701
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -13.888962830853323
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_CY_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    CY
    country_name
    Cyprus
    country_slug
    cyprus
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -5.219613779476536
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.15653000000000006
    change_pct_from_t0
    -13.888962830853323
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.6609177264158075
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -5.219613779476536

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 9bd63362c47166c9b4ae9f1f772c625062320070469e1982110a0b44695c58da · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  10. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, Ċipru) inbidel b’-2.5%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.6 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: ĊipruIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.70333
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Cyprus
    z_score
    -3.4004915506350364
    t0_value
    1.74658
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -2.4762679064228386
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_CY_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    CY
    country_name
    Cyprus
    country_slug
    cyprus
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-12-12
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.582256828487593
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.04325000000000001
    change_pct_from_t0
    -2.4762679064228386
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.5650227332498161
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.582256828487593
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.70333
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Cyprus
    z_score
    -3.4004915506350364
    t0_value
    1.74658
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -2.4762679064228386
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_CY_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    CY
    country_name
    Cyprus
    country_slug
    cyprus
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-12-12
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.582256828487593
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.04325000000000001
    change_pct_from_t0
    -2.4762679064228386
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.5650227332498161
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.582256828487593

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità a79a8cc4846566305da031c26265995a07e92e77b6136d9b3448dd408370a820 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  11. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, Ċipru) inbidel b’-7.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’4.9 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: ĊipruIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.61231
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Cyprus
    z_score
    -5.826544015789313
    t0_value
    1.74658
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -7.687595186020686
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_CY_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    CY
    country_name
    Cyprus
    country_slug
    cyprus
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-01-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -4.912130043029578
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.1342700000000001
    change_pct_from_t0
    -7.687595186020686
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.5650227332498161
    change_in_volatility_units
    -4.912130043029578
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.61231
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Cyprus
    z_score
    -5.826544015789313
    t0_value
    1.74658
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -7.687595186020686
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_CY_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    CY
    country_name
    Cyprus
    country_slug
    cyprus
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-01-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -4.912130043029578
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.1342700000000001
    change_pct_from_t0
    -7.687595186020686
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.5650227332498161
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -4.912130043029578

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 45ecb4bbc55b1d68de985735662737b9bce7a27baeba0a150902fc484a73e66f · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  12. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, Ċipru) inbidel b’-10.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’6.8 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: ĊipruIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.5603
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Cyprus
    z_score
    -7.212821632935803
    t0_value
    1.74658
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -10.665414696149046
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_CY_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    CY
    country_name
    Cyprus
    country_slug
    cyprus
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -6.814862474235116
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.18628
    change_pct_from_t0
    -10.665414696149046
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.5650227332498161
    change_in_volatility_units
    -6.814862474235116
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.5603
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Cyprus
    z_score
    -7.212821632935803
    t0_value
    1.74658
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -10.665414696149046
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_CY_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    CY
    country_name
    Cyprus
    country_slug
    cyprus
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -6.814862474235116
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.18628
    change_pct_from_t0
    -10.665414696149046
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.5650227332498161
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -6.814862474235116

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 14af3a6ec1341d32be608996f0a5bbd52625a54707c50e02cda431d6c8a2ef81 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  13. Fil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, Ċipru) b’-4.8 c/l (firxa -6.1–-3.4); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’-6.9 c/l, u jibqa’ -2.1 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.

    pajjiż: ĊipruIkkalkulatMedja
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    weeks
    4
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Cyprus
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_CY_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    CY
    country_name
    Cyprus
    country_slug
    cyprus
    offset_weeks
    4
    proxy_product
    GASOLINE
    proxy_to_date
    2022-12-30
    pass_through_k
    5
    proxy_from_date
    2022-12-05
    observation_date
    2023-01-02
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.02120780547588564
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2022-12-05
    actual_eur_per_litre
    -0.06885999999999992
    expected_eur_per_litre
    -0.04765219452411428
    proxy_volatility_units
    0.2070376188168671
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    7.428000000000001
    pass_through_sample_start
    2005-01-03
    pass_through_window_label
    FULL_SAMPLE
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    -0.061216052184351034
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    -0.034088336863877536
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    182.43434263983826
    Limiti
    source
    docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
    proxy_rule
    the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
    confidence_cap
    MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
    statement_weeks
    [4,13]
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    weeks
    4
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Cyprus
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_CY_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    CY
    country_name
    Cyprus
    country_slug
    cyprus
    offset_weeks
    4
    proxy_product
    GASOLINE
    proxy_to_date
    2022-12-30
    pass_through_k
    5
    proxy_from_date
    2022-12-05
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2023-01-02
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.02120780547588564
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2022-12-05
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    actual_eur_per_litre
    -0.06885999999999992
    expected_eur_per_litre
    -0.04765219452411428
    proxy_volatility_units
    0.2070376188168671
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    7.428000000000001
    pass_through_sample_start
    2005-01-03
    pass_through_window_label
    FULL_SAMPLE
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    -0.061216052184351034
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    -0.034088336863877536
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    182.43434263983826

    Mudell event.crude_only.computed v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 6161c6564760c29e00567af6c1af01ae5933e5915ae729dbf102738df8f268a3 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  14. Fil-perjodu ta’ 13-il ġimgħa wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, Ċipru) b’-2.3 c/l (firxa -6.2–+1.5); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’-8.1 c/l, u jibqa’ -5.8 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.

    pajjiż: ĊipruIkkalkulatMedja
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    weeks
    13
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Cyprus
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_CY_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    CY
    country_name
    Cyprus
    country_slug
    cyprus
    offset_weeks
    13
    proxy_product
    GASOLINE
    proxy_to_date
    2023-03-06
    pass_through_k
    5
    proxy_from_date
    2022-12-05
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.05795709404489072
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2022-12-05
    actual_eur_per_litre
    -0.08140999999999998
    expected_eur_per_litre
    -0.02345290595510927
    proxy_volatility_units
    0.15391245706875872
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    5.5219999999999985
    pass_through_sample_start
    2005-01-03
    pass_through_window_label
    FULL_SAMPLE
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    -0.06153259130416583
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.014626779393948325
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    182.43434263983826
    Limiti
    source
    docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
    proxy_rule
    the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
    confidence_cap
    MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
    statement_weeks
    [4,13]
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    weeks
    13
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Cyprus
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_CY_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    CY
    country_name
    Cyprus
    country_slug
    cyprus
    offset_weeks
    13
    proxy_product
    GASOLINE
    proxy_to_date
    2023-03-06
    pass_through_k
    5
    proxy_from_date
    2022-12-05
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.05795709404489072
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2022-12-05
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    actual_eur_per_litre
    -0.08140999999999998
    expected_eur_per_litre
    -0.02345290595510927
    proxy_volatility_units
    0.15391245706875872
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    5.5219999999999985
    pass_through_sample_start
    2005-01-03
    pass_through_window_label
    FULL_SAMPLE
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    -0.06153259130416583
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.014626779393948325
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    182.43434263983826

    Mudell event.crude_only.computed v1.2 · Marka tal-identità c8a9bbb5fd0644c36d4b099178643f3f94dee45dfdcf78e238e152e4a21c42a3 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  15. Fil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, Ċipru) b’-5.7 c/l (firxa -6.9–-4.6); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’-11.3 c/l, u jibqa’ -5.5 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum. Fl-istess perjodu, il-crack spread tal-Istati Uniti (diżil), indikatur tas-suq tal-prodotti tal-Atlantiku u mhux marġni Ewropew, kiber b’12.6 $/bbl.

    pajjiż: ĊipruIkkalkulatMedja
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    weeks
    4
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Cyprus
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_CY_DIESEL
    country_iso2
    CY
    country_name
    Cyprus
    country_slug
    cyprus
    offset_weeks
    4
    proxy_product
    DIESEL
    proxy_to_date
    2022-12-30
    pass_through_k
    6
    proxy_from_date
    2022-12-05
    observation_date
    2023-01-02
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.055433148976700514
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2022-12-05
    actual_eur_per_litre
    -0.11282999999999999
    expected_eur_per_litre
    -0.05739685102329947
    proxy_volatility_units
    2.948513147105371
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    12.594000000000001
    pass_through_sample_start
    2005-01-03
    pass_through_window_label
    FULL_SAMPLE
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    -0.06896137011696082
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    -0.04583233192963808
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    9.842624566455152
    Limiti
    source
    docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
    proxy_rule
    the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
    confidence_cap
    MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
    statement_weeks
    [4,13]
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    weeks
    4
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Cyprus
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_CY_DIESEL
    country_iso2
    CY
    country_name
    Cyprus
    country_slug
    cyprus
    offset_weeks
    4
    proxy_product
    DIESEL
    proxy_to_date
    2022-12-30
    pass_through_k
    6
    proxy_from_date
    2022-12-05
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2023-01-02
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.055433148976700514
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2022-12-05
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    actual_eur_per_litre
    -0.11282999999999999
    expected_eur_per_litre
    -0.05739685102329947
    proxy_volatility_units
    2.948513147105371
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    12.594000000000001
    pass_through_sample_start
    2005-01-03
    pass_through_window_label
    FULL_SAMPLE
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    -0.06896137011696082
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    -0.04583233192963808
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    9.842624566455152

    Mudell event.crude_only.computed_with_proxy v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 669a8e955274cb726aa8c112967a0335f2806103ad7f72dc1432f145edd3d3ea · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  16. Fil-perjodu ta’ 13-il ġimgħa wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, Ċipru) b’-1.6 c/l (firxa -5.3–+2.1); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’-16.1 c/l, u jibqa’ -14.5 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.

    pajjiż: ĊipruIkkalkulatMedja
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    weeks
    13
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Cyprus
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_CY_DIESEL
    country_iso2
    CY
    country_name
    Cyprus
    country_slug
    cyprus
    offset_weeks
    13
    proxy_product
    DIESEL
    proxy_to_date
    2023-03-06
    pass_through_k
    6
    proxy_from_date
    2022-12-05
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.1451280794479918
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2022-12-05
    actual_eur_per_litre
    -0.16125
    expected_eur_per_litre
    -0.016121920552008194
    proxy_volatility_units
    -1.6767707765260176
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    -7.161999999999999
    pass_through_sample_start
    2005-01-03
    pass_through_window_label
    FULL_SAMPLE
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    -0.05315069227762045
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.020906851173605648
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    9.842624566455152
    Limiti
    source
    docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
    proxy_rule
    the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
    confidence_cap
    MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
    statement_weeks
    [4,13]
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    weeks
    13
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Cyprus
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_CY_DIESEL
    country_iso2
    CY
    country_name
    Cyprus
    country_slug
    cyprus
    offset_weeks
    13
    proxy_product
    DIESEL
    proxy_to_date
    2023-03-06
    pass_through_k
    6
    proxy_from_date
    2022-12-05
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.1451280794479918
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2022-12-05
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    actual_eur_per_litre
    -0.16125
    expected_eur_per_litre
    -0.016121920552008194
    proxy_volatility_units
    -1.6767707765260176
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    -7.161999999999999
    pass_through_sample_start
    2005-01-03
    pass_through_window_label
    FULL_SAMPLE
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    -0.05315069227762045
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.020906851173605648
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    9.842624566455152

    Mudell event.crude_only.computed v1.2 · Marka tal-identità e9d296804434d362b291bd6f4fad08bda685d63e9c8da613c32a7855b00c0a02 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  17. Ċipru, Diċembru 2022: id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (żejt mhux maħdum) hija MHUX MAGĦRUFA: is-sors jirrapporta żero importazzjonijiet għal dan il-perjodu: m’hemm l-ebda volum li minnu jittieħed sehem – dan huwa żero rrappurtat, mhux data nieqsa.

    pajjiż: ĊipruMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2022-12
    status
    NO_OBSERVATION
    country
    Cyprus
    commodity
    crude
    dimension
    DIRECT_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    country_iso2
    CY
    country_name
    Cyprus
    country_slug
    cyprus
    value_max_pct
    null
    value_min_pct
    null
    exposure_status
    UNKNOWN
    value_point_pct
    null
    observation_date
    2022-12-01
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
    band_applied_to
    upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
    dependence_limited_max_pct
    10
    dependence_moderate_max_pct
    33
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2022-12
    status
    NO_OBSERVATION
    country
    Cyprus
    commodity
    crude
    dimension
    DIRECT_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    CY
    country_name
    Cyprus
    country_slug
    cyprus
    value_max_pct
    null
    value_min_pct
    null
    exposure_status
    UNKNOWN
    statement_topic
    hormuz
    value_point_pct
    null
    observation_date
    2022-12-01
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.dependence.unknown v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 78d9a6c3cf2f7f6ba0ebe23ab0862c3d4089cabe4e6cd552ce9885b3b1c873ca · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  18. Ċipru, Diċembru 2022: id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (prodott raffinat) kienet konsiderevoli (0%–35%). Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: il-pajjiżi sħab ikkonċernati jesportaw kemm minn ġewwa kif ukoll minn barra l-Golf Persjan, u l-qsim għal kull perjodu mhux pubbliku.

    pajjiż: ĊipruIkkalkulatMedja
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    significant
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2022-12
    status
    NO_OBSERVATION
    country
    Cyprus
    commodity
    refined product
    dimension
    DIRECT_PRODUCT
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    country_iso2
    CY
    country_name
    Cyprus
    country_slug
    cyprus
    value_max_pct
    34.6575319022709
    value_min_pct
    0
    exposure_status
    PARTIAL
    value_point_pct
    null
    observation_date
    2022-12-01
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
    band_applied_to
    upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
    dependence_limited_max_pct
    10
    dependence_moderate_max_pct
    33
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    significant
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2022-12
    status
    NO_OBSERVATION
    country
    Cyprus
    commodity
    refined product
    dimension
    DIRECT_PRODUCT
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    CY
    country_name
    Cyprus
    country_slug
    cyprus
    value_max_pct
    34.6575319022709
    value_min_pct
    0
    exposure_status
    PARTIAL
    statement_topic
    hormuz
    value_point_pct
    null
    observation_date
    2022-12-01
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.dependence.range v1.2 · Marka tal-identità a01fc683cee60b6e46808d8d71bbe5111def78b5eb637a052e5f26d05ece8920 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  19. Jekk il-provvista taż-żejt mhux maħdum (Ċipru, Diċembru 2022) naqset fiżikament huwa MHUX MAGĦRUF: importazzjonijiet irrappurtati taż-żejt mhux maħdum fix-xhur ta’ qabel (12) ugwali għal żero; ma tistax tiġi kkalkulata bidla perċentwali.

    pajjiż: ĊipruMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2022-12
    country
    Cyprus
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    country_iso2
    CY
    country_name
    Cyprus
    country_slug
    cyprus
    value_tonnes
    0
    missing_reason
    zero_baseline
    baseline_months
    12
    observation_date
    2022-12-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
    crude_imports_rule
    crude_imports_total-1.1
    baseline_mean_tonnes
    0
    baseline_window_months
    12
    value_not_published_code
    null
    baseline_not_published_months
    0
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no cut-off
    min_baseline_months
    6
    baseline_months_used
    12
    supply_reduction_pct
    -10
    supply_baseline_months
    12
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2022-12
    country
    Cyprus
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    CY
    country_name
    Cyprus
    country_slug
    cyprus
    value_tonnes
    0
    missing_reason
    zero_baseline
    baseline_months
    12
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2022-12-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
    crude_imports_rule
    crude_imports_total-1.1
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    baseline_mean_tonnes
    0
    baseline_window_months
    12
    value_not_published_code
    null
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    baseline_not_published_months
    0

    Mudell event.supply.unknown v1.2 · Marka tal-identità c115b994f69b70f761d5d68f995fe1281976d5416e21632e4d5308f1e885f07f · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  20. Diċembru 2022: l-istokkijiet taż-żejt (Ċipru) kienu 2.4% ogħla meta mqabbla mal-medja mobbli tagħhom (xhur: 12) — ġewwa l-faxxa ta’ 5% fuq kull naħa li dan is-sit jaqra bħala konformi magħha, jiem ta’ kopertura: 91.0 (kif ippubblikati).

    pajjiż: ĊipruIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2022-12
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Cyprus
    direction
    above
    siec_code
    O4000
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    holder_type
    STK_CL
    series_code
    INVENTORY_CY
    country_iso2
    CY
    country_name
    Cyprus
    country_slug
    cyprus
    days_of_cover
    91
    metric_status
    COMPUTED
    mom_change_pct
    -2.3521923046247792
    observation_date
    2022-12-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
    total_stock_tonnes
    648898
    days_of_cover_basis
    as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
    observation_gap_days
    4
    trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
    633630.9166666666
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
    2.4094599761085944
    trailing_12m_observations
    12
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no band
    band_applied_to
    the rounded figure printed in the sentence
    days_of_cover_basis
    as published (Eurostat nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); never stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
    trailing_window_months
    12
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_raw
    2.4094599761085944
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_shown
    2.4
    inventory_material_deviation_pct
    5
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2022-12
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Cyprus
    direction
    above
    siec_code
    O4000
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    holder_type
    STK_CL
    series_code
    INVENTORY_CY
    country_iso2
    CY
    country_name
    Cyprus
    country_slug
    cyprus
    days_of_cover
    91
    metric_status
    COMPUTED
    mom_change_pct
    -2.3521923046247792
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2022-12-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
    total_stock_tonnes
    648898
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    days_of_cover_basis
    as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    4
    trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
    633630.9166666666
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
    2.4094599761085944
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    trailing_12m_observations
    12

    Mudell event.inventory_level.in_line v1.2 · Marka tal-identità d8c2582014c65fe3b05042f53c9ead6186e44fe4f61cbaacbf7bf33d63e4512f · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  21. Sommarju ta’ x’jista’ jiġi vverifikat hawn

    Parti biss mill-katina tista’ tiġi vverifikata għal dan il-pajjiż (Ċipru) madwar l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”: serje disponibbli: 4 minn 8 (prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdum, stokkijiet, prezz fil-pompa mingħajr taxxi u prezz fil-pompa bit-taxxi); mhux disponibbli: prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinati, marġni tar-raffinar, noli u prezzijiet bl-ingrossa. Kull dikjarazzjoni bbażata fuq ir-rabtiet neqsin ma tistax tiġi ttestjata hawn. Din il-paġna tiddeskrivi x’għamlet kull serje madwar id-data tal-avveniment. Mhijiex sejba dwar kawża: l-ebda disinn kawżali mhu ppubblikat għal dan is-sit, u serje li ċċaqilqet fl-istess tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.

    pajjiż: ĊipruMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    country
    Cyprus
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    country_iso2
    CY
    country_name
    Cyprus
    country_slug
    cyprus
    dependence_band
    null
    dependence_range
    null
    channels_available
    ["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
    supply_template_id
    event.supply.unknown
    channels_unavailable
    ["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; the channel list is docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.3
    channels_total
    8
    channels_available
    4
    verdict_partial_min_channels
    3
    verdict_assessable_min_channels
    8
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    country
    Cyprus
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    CY
    country_name
    Cyprus
    country_slug
    cyprus
    dependence_band
    null
    statement_topic
    event
    dependence_range
    null
    channels_available
    ["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
    supply_template_id
    event.supply.unknown
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    channels_unavailable
    ["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.verdict.partial v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 052e404997a0115478d837f1090cb0b5ea3a5c76289600e9f2d115039b8575c7 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  22. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’-6.4%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.4 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    78
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    -3.919330167431879
    t0_value
    83.36
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    -6.429942418426104
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    BRENT
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2022-12-12
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.424724765497578
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -5.359999999999999
    change_pct_from_t0
    -6.429942418426104
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.513111987760301
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.424724765497578
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    78
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    -3.919330167431879
    t0_value
    83.36
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    -6.429942418426104
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    BRENT
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2022-12-12
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.424724765497578
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -5.359999999999999
    change_pct_from_t0
    -6.429942418426104
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.513111987760301
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.424724765497578

    Mudell event.benchmark_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità b54773c6d8ea729448e355679535649a28ea7e4cedc8813dfcf6f2802aab32bd · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  23. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’-9.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.1 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    75.31
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    -4.677910199838048
    t0_value
    83.36
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    -9.65690978886756
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    BRENT
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2023-01-04
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -2.1397452168387128
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -8.049999999999997
    change_pct_from_t0
    -9.65690978886756
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.513111987760301
    change_in_volatility_units
    -2.1397452168387128
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    75.31
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    -4.677910199838048
    t0_value
    83.36
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    -9.65690978886756
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    BRENT
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2023-01-04
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -2.1397452168387128
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -8.049999999999997
    change_pct_from_t0
    -9.65690978886756
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.513111987760301
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -2.1397452168387128

    Mudell event.benchmark_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità a66bdad4120941189e2864b65cefe96af6989d6c7dc9d9e481dad3f463e1452c · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  24. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’+2.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.6 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    85.74
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    -1.7366500741888493
    t0_value
    83.36
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    2.855086372360839
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    BRENT
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2023-03-03
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.6326203249784009
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    2.3799999999999955
    change_pct_from_t0
    2.855086372360839
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.513111987760301
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.6326203249784009
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    85.74
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    -1.7366500741888493
    t0_value
    83.36
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    2.855086372360839
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    BRENT
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2023-03-03
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.6326203249784009
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    2.3799999999999955
    change_pct_from_t0
    2.855086372360839
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.513111987760301
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.6326203249784009

    Mudell event.benchmark_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 95c15aae3aef102cb53ce9861989a6b3fd3d482e297b83dd1613ec9cd40b15cc · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  25. Noli – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: in-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["freight rates"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
    Limiti
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["freight rates"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 81f14ddf9bdd5a846c68ffa6a0c2ac90cc0051c094198d9fc185147f886c0b88 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  26. Prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinati – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni. Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refined-product benchmark"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
    Limiti
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refined-product benchmark"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 91941020696deeb37b6bfcb5c4e321ba5865cedc68042d4a64d30524b6fb2549 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  27. Prezzijiet bl-ingrossa – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["wholesale prices"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
    Limiti
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["wholesale prices"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità e638c4d7da43b662509013a365f2d13fca0fa20208646d67ade6d6d3b40790a0 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  28. Marġni tar-raffinar – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: m’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refining margin"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    reason_code
    NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
    Limiti
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refining margin"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità e1f282615a660e84b280ecac2938abde9502c7d8209f04d500d682817c457aef · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

X’ma jurix dan

  • Ma jurix li l-avveniment kien fl-oriġini ta’ xi ħaġa. L-ebda disinn kawżali mhu ppubblikat għal dan is-sit, u serje li ċċaqilqet f’din it-tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.
  • Bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza, u lanqas punteġġ z ma hu. Ikejlu affarijiet differenti u mhumiex interkambjabbli.
  • Il-kanali mingħajr sors b’liċenzja għall-użu jew diġà mtella’ jintwerew bħala pannelli vojta, mhux bħala linji ċatti. “Ma nistgħux naraw dan” ma jfissirx “dan ma ċċaqlaqx”.
  • Xejn ma jiġi interpolat. Fejn diversi punti tat-tieqa jaqgħu fuq ċifra ppubblikata waħda, dak hu li stampa l-pubblikatur, u l-bidla meta mqabbla mad-data tal-avveniment hija żero: huwa l-istess numru.

Ċipru: provvista, raffineriji u prezzijiet fil-pompa →

Kif jinqraw it-tikketti

  • UffiċjaliIrrappurtat direttament minn awtorità uffiċjali.
  • IvverifikatIrrappurtat minn parti terza u vverifikat minna ma’ rekord primarju.
  • IkkalkulatIkkalkulat minna minn inputs irrappurtati. Il-metodu huwa ppubblikat fil-paġna tal-metodoloġija.
  • Inferit · kunfidenza għoljaMhux irrappurtat. Inferit minn mill-inqas żewġ rekords fiżiċi indipendenti.
  • Inferit · kunfidenza medjaMhux irrappurtat. Inferit minn evidenza indiretta qawwija, mingħajr konferma espliċita.
  • Inferit · kunfidenza baxxaMhux irrappurtat. Plawżibbli biss minn data dwar l-infrastruttura jew il-movimenti. Taqrahx bħala fatt.
  • Mhux magħrufL-ebda evidenza pubblika difendibbli ma tistabbilixxi dan. Ma nagħmlux suppożizzjonijiet, u dan mhuwiex kejl ta’ żero.