Fuel Origin

Avvenimenti / Projbizzjoni fuq l-importazzjoni

Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)

Dati
05/12/2022 → l-ebda data tat-tmiem irreġistrata
Preċiżjoni tad-data
jum
Status
Għadu għaddej
Ambitu
L-Unjoni Ewropea

X’qalu s-sorsi (bl-Ingliż)

Sixth package of EU sanctions, adopted 3 June 2022 (Council Regulation (EU) 2022/879 amending Regulation (EU) No 833/2014). European Commission, 3 June 2022: "a complete import ban on all Russian seaborne crude oil and petroleum products"; "For seaborne crude oil, spot market transactions and execution of existing contracts will be permitted for six months after entry into force, while for petroleum products, these will be permitted for eight months." Eurostat, 19 June 2023: "The ban on imports of seaborne crude oil entered into force on 5 December 2022, while the ban on petroleum products took effect on 5 February 2023." Temporary derogations apply to pipeline crude for certain member states and to Bulgaria and Croatia, so reported imports from Russia do not fall to zero. This row is a timeline marker only; it makes no statement about prices.

L-AIE, l-EIA, il-Kummissjoni Ewropea, il-Kunsill Ewropew u leġiżlaturi nazzjonali (iċċitati għal kull ringiela)Uffiċjali
Miġbur 23/09/2026 07:22 UTCReviżjoni 1
Dokumenti tas-sors (3)
PajjiżPajjiżIl-ĠermanjaFranzaIn-NetherlandsIl-PolonjaIl-FinlandjaL-EstonjaL-AwstrijaIl-BelġjuIl-BulgarijaIl-KroazjaĊipruIċ-ĊekjaId-DanimarkaIl-GreċjaL-UngerijaL-IrlandaL-ItaljaIl-LatvjaIl-LitwanjaIl-LussemburguMaltaIl-PortugallIr-RumanijaIs-SlovakkjaIs-SlovenjaSpanjaL-Iżvezja
KarburantKarburantDiżil (żejt tal-gass għall-vetturi)Petrol (Euro-super 95)Iż-żewġ karburanti

Jekk tagħżel karburant, jinżammu s-serje ta’ dak il-karburant u l-kanali komuni għall-karburanti kollha – il-prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdum, ir-rata tal-kambju, l-importazzjonijiet taż-żejt mhux maħdum u l-esponiment għal Hormuz. Jitneħħew biss is-serje tal-karburant l-ieħor.

It-tieqa tal-avveniment

Kemm kienet tiswa kull serje fil-jiem madwar id-data tal-avveniment (minn -30 sa 90), kemm dan hu ’l bogħod mil-livell tal-istess serje fid-data tal-avveniment, u kemm hu kbir dak iċ-ċaqliq meta mqabbel mal-varjazzjoni normali tas-serje stess.

L-Iżvezja, il-karburanti kollha f’dan il-kalkolu. Serje li jistgħu jitpinġew: 18; serje li ma jistgħu jidhru bl-ebda mod, murija hawn taħt bħala pannelli vojta b’tikketta: 11.

Qari ppubblikat: 231; punti tat-tieqa mingħajr xejn ippubblikat fi żmien perjodu wieħed: 3; punti tat-tieqa fuq serje li ma nistgħu naraw xejn minnhom: 143. Kollha jidhru f’din il-paġna.

Europe Brent spot FOB

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+90102.472.42022-11-04: 99.53 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 88.44 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 83.50 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −72022-12-02: 86.54 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 83.36 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T02022-12-06: 79.92 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +12022-12-08: 76.02 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +32022-12-12: 78.00 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 81.66 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-04: 75.31 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-02-03: 78.85 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-03-03: 85.74 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Europe Brent spot FOB): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-11-0499.53+16.170+19.40%+4.30
−142022-11-2188.44+5.080+6.09%+1.35
−72022-11-2883.50+0.140+0.17%+0.04
−32022-12-0286.54+3.180+3.81%+0.85
−12022-12-0286.54+3.180+3.81%+0.85
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T083.360.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-0679.92-3.440-4.13%-0.91
+32022-12-0876.02-7.340-8.81%-1.95
+72022-12-1278.00-5.360-6.43%-1.42
+142022-12-1981.66-1.700-2.04%-0.45
+302023-01-0475.31-8.050-9.66%-2.14
+602023-02-0378.85-4.510-5.41%-1.20
+902023-03-0385.74+2.380+2.86%+0.63

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 4.51%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 760). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

reported crude oil imports, all origins

Unità: tIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+901,875,1241,186,7672022-11-01: 1,808,509 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −30, −14, −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-01, 1,803,229 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T0, +1, +3, +7, +142023-01-01: 1,572,088 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-02-01: 1,253,382 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-03-01: 1,740,028 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (reported crude oil imports, all origins): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-11-011,808,509+5,280+0.29%+0.01
−142022-11-011,808,509+5,280+0.29%+0.01
−72022-11-011,808,509+5,280+0.29%+0.01
−32022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01,803,2290.0000.00%0.00
−12022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01,803,2290.0000.00%0.00
T02022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01,803,2290.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01,803,2290.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01,803,2290.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01,803,2290.0000.00%0.00
+142022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01,803,2290.0000.00%0.00
+302023-01-011,572,088-231,141-12.82%-0.49
+602023-02-011,253,382-549,847-30.49%-1.17
+902023-03-011,740,028-63,201-3.50%-0.13

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 25.98%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 35). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE

Unità: USD għal kull EURIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+901.1060.9742022-11-04: 0.9872 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 1.025 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 1.046 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −72022-12-02: 1.054 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 1.059 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T02022-12-06: 1.052 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +12022-12-08: 1.052 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +32022-12-12: 1.056 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 1.060 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-04: 1.060 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-02-03: 1.094 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-03-03: 1.062 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-11-040.9872-0.072-6.75%-13.43
−142022-11-211.025-0.034-3.22%-6.40
−72022-11-281.046-0.012-1.17%-2.33
−32022-12-021.054-0.005-0.46%-0.92
−12022-12-021.054-0.005-0.46%-0.92
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.0590.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-061.052-0.007-0.67%-1.33
+32022-12-081.052-0.007-0.64%-1.28
+72022-12-121.056-0.002-0.24%-0.47
+142022-12-191.060+0.001+0.10%+0.21
+302023-01-041.060+0.001+0.11%+0.23
+602023-02-031.094+0.035+3.31%+6.57
+902023-03-031.062+0.003+0.26%+0.53

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 0.50%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 770). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1

Unità: % tat-tunnellati importatiIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatBaxxa
T0−30T0+30+60+901.0000.0002022-11-01: 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −30, −14, −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-01, 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T0, +1, +3, +7, +142023-01-01: 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-02-01: 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-03-01: 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-11-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−142022-11-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−72022-11-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−32022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−12022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
T02022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+12022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+32022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+72022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+142022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+302023-01-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+602023-02-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+902023-03-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2

Unità: % tat-tunnellati importatiIppubblikat: kull xaharMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
T0−30T0+30+60+9013.270.00l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-01, 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T0, +1, +3, +7, +142023-01-01: 6.531 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-02-01: 11.85 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-03-01: 6.460 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +902022-11-01: 4.122 sa 6.901 % tat-tunnellati importati. Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: ma jitpinġa l-ebda punt tan-nofs.

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab. Il-faxxa mdella hija l-firxa ammissibbli. Ma jitpinġa l-ebda punt tan-nofs: ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu.

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-11-014.122–6.901mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−142022-11-014.122–6.901mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−72022-11-014.122–6.901mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−32022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−12022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
T02022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+12022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+32022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+72022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+142022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+302023-01-016.531+6.531mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+602023-02-0111.85+11.847mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+902023-03-016.460+6.460mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma

Unità: kopertura (jiem)Ippubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+90120.1108.92022-11-01: 113.0 kopertura (jiem), użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −30, −14, −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-01, 113.0 kopertura (jiem), użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T0, +1, +3, +7, +142023-01-01: 113.0 kopertura (jiem), użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-02-01: 110.0 kopertura (jiem), użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-03-01: 119.0 kopertura (jiem), użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-11-01113.00.0000.00%0.00
−142022-11-01113.00.0000.00%0.00
−72022-11-01113.00.0000.00%0.00
−32022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0113.00.0000.00%0.00
−12022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0113.00.0000.00%0.00
T02022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0113.00.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0113.00.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0113.00.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0113.00.0000.00%0.00
+142022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0113.00.0000.00%0.00
+302023-01-01113.00.0000.00%0.00
+602023-02-01110.0-3.000-2.65%-0.55
+902023-03-01119.0+6.000+5.31%+1.10

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 4.82%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 35). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja
T0−30T0+30+60+900.6280.4422022-10-31: 0.6104 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 0.5263 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 0.5123 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 0.4687 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +32022-12-12: 0.4798 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 0.4779 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-02: 0.4598 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-01-30: 0.4720 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-02-27: 0.4954 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-10-310.6104+0.142+30.24%+3.72
−142022-11-210.5263+0.058+12.30%+1.51
−72022-11-280.5123+0.044+9.31%+1.15
−32022-11-280.5123+0.044+9.31%+1.15
−12022-11-280.5123+0.044+9.31%+1.15
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.46870.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.46870.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.46870.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-120.4798+0.011+2.38%+0.29
+142022-12-190.4779+0.009+1.98%+0.24
+302023-01-020.4598-0.009-1.89%-0.23
+602023-01-300.4720+0.003+0.71%+0.09
+902023-02-270.4954+0.027+5.69%+0.70

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 8.13%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja
T0−30T0+30+60+900.6280.4422022-10-31: 0.6104 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 0.5263 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 0.5123 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 0.4687 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +32022-12-12: 0.4798 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 0.4779 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-02: 0.4598 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-01-30: 0.4720 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-02-27: 0.4954 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-10-310.6104+0.142+30.24%+3.72
−142022-11-210.5263+0.058+12.30%+1.51
−72022-11-280.5123+0.044+9.31%+1.15
−32022-11-280.5123+0.044+9.31%+1.15
−12022-11-280.5123+0.044+9.31%+1.15
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.46870.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.46870.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.46870.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-120.4798+0.011+2.38%+0.29
+142022-12-190.4779+0.009+1.98%+0.24
+302023-01-020.4598-0.009-1.89%-0.23
+602023-01-300.4720+0.003+0.71%+0.09
+902023-02-270.4954+0.027+5.69%+0.70

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 8.13%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom

Unità: tIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+904,718,2664,354,9142022-11-01: 4,508,170 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −30, −14, −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-01, 4,602,258 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T0, +1, +3, +7, +142023-01-01: 4,683,103 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-02-01: 4,390,077 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-03-01: 4,598,509 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-11-014,508,170-94,088-2.04%-0.39
−142022-11-014,508,170-94,088-2.04%-0.39
−72022-11-014,508,170-94,088-2.04%-0.39
−32022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T04,602,2580.0000.00%0.00
−12022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T04,602,2580.0000.00%0.00
T02022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T04,602,2580.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T04,602,2580.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T04,602,2580.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T04,602,2580.0000.00%0.00
+142022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T04,602,2580.0000.00%0.00
+302023-01-014,683,103+80,845+1.76%+0.34
+602023-02-014,390,077-212,181-4.61%-0.88
+902023-03-014,598,509-3,749-0.08%-0.02

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 5.22%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 35). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+902.6011.9822022-10-31: 2.541 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 2.237 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 2.227 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 2.237 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +32022-12-12: 2.089 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 2.139 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-02: 2.153 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-01-30: 2.138 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-02-27: 2.042 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-10-312.541+0.304+13.58%+4.85
−142022-11-212.237-0.000-0.01%-0.00
−72022-11-282.227-0.010-0.44%-0.16
−32022-11-282.227-0.010-0.44%-0.16
−12022-11-282.227-0.010-0.44%-0.16
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T02.2370.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T02.2370.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T02.2370.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-122.089-0.148-6.64%-2.37
+142022-12-192.139-0.098-4.40%-1.57
+302023-01-022.153-0.084-3.78%-1.35
+602023-01-302.138-0.099-4.42%-1.58
+902023-02-272.042-0.195-8.71%-3.11

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 2.80%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+901.9581.6462022-10-31: 1.928 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 1.794 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 1.787 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 1.791 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +32022-12-12: 1.676 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 1.678 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-02: 1.744 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-01-30: 1.806 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-02-27: 1.777 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-10-311.928+0.136+7.61%+2.62
−142022-11-211.794+0.002+0.14%+0.05
−72022-11-281.787-0.005-0.27%-0.09
−32022-11-281.787-0.005-0.27%-0.09
−12022-11-281.787-0.005-0.27%-0.09
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.7910.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.7910.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.7910.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-121.676-0.115-6.41%-2.20
+142022-12-191.678-0.114-6.35%-2.18
+302023-01-021.744-0.047-2.62%-0.90
+602023-01-301.806+0.015+0.84%+0.29
+902023-02-271.777-0.014-0.79%-0.27

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 2.91%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+901.6711.2222022-10-31: 1.628 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 1.388 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 1.377 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 1.385 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +32022-12-12: 1.266 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 1.310 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-02: 1.357 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-01-30: 1.349 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-02-27: 1.265 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-10-311.628+0.243+17.57%+4.63
−142022-11-211.388+0.003+0.24%+0.06
−72022-11-281.377-0.008-0.56%-0.15
−32022-11-281.377-0.008-0.56%-0.15
−12022-11-281.377-0.008-0.56%-0.15
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.3850.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.3850.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.3850.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-121.266-0.118-8.54%-2.25
+142022-12-191.310-0.074-5.38%-1.42
+302023-01-021.357-0.027-1.98%-0.52
+602023-01-301.349-0.036-2.59%-0.68
+902023-02-271.265-0.119-8.61%-2.27

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 3.80%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+900.9770.7282022-10-31: 0.9528 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 0.8504 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 0.8397 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 0.8433 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +32022-12-12: 0.7522 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 0.7551 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-02: 0.8304 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-01-30: 0.8848 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-02-27: 0.8512 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-10-310.9528+0.109+12.98%+2.62
−142022-11-210.8504+0.007+0.83%+0.17
−72022-11-280.8397-0.004-0.43%-0.09
−32022-11-280.8397-0.004-0.43%-0.09
−12022-11-280.8397-0.004-0.43%-0.09
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.84330.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.84330.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.84330.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-120.7522-0.091-10.80%-2.18
+142022-12-190.7551-0.088-10.46%-2.11
+302023-01-020.8304-0.013-1.53%-0.31
+602023-01-300.8848+0.041+4.92%+0.99
+902023-02-270.8512+0.008+0.94%+0.19

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 4.95%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja
T0−30T0+30+60+900.9290.7602022-10-31: 0.9128 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 0.8488 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 0.8502 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 0.8523 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +32022-12-12: 0.8221 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 0.8285 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-02: 0.7953 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-01-30: 0.7893 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-02-27: 0.7767 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-10-310.9128+0.060+7.09%+2.21
−142022-11-210.8488-0.004-0.41%-0.13
−72022-11-280.8502-0.002-0.25%-0.08
−32022-11-280.8502-0.002-0.25%-0.08
−12022-11-280.8502-0.002-0.25%-0.08
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.85230.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.85230.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.85230.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-120.8221-0.030-3.55%-1.11
+142022-12-190.8285-0.024-2.80%-0.87
+302023-01-020.7953-0.057-6.70%-2.09
+602023-01-300.7893-0.063-7.40%-2.31
+902023-02-270.7767-0.076-8.87%-2.77

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 3.21%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja
T0−30T0+30+60+900.9820.9072022-10-31: 0.9748 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 0.9434 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 0.9468 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 0.9480 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +32022-12-12: 0.9242 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 0.9225 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-02: 0.9140 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-01-30: 0.9216 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-02-27: 0.9260 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-10-310.9748+0.027+2.83%+1.01
−142022-11-210.9434-0.005-0.48%-0.17
−72022-11-280.9468-0.001-0.13%-0.04
−32022-11-280.9468-0.001-0.13%-0.04
−12022-11-280.9468-0.001-0.13%-0.04
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.94800.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.94800.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.94800.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-120.9242-0.024-2.51%-0.89
+142022-12-190.9225-0.026-2.70%-0.96
+302023-01-020.9140-0.034-3.59%-1.28
+602023-01-300.9216-0.026-2.79%-0.99
+902023-02-270.9260-0.022-2.32%-0.83

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 2.80%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa
T0−30T0+30+60+90109.929.12022-11-04: 102.1 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 61.92 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 50.19 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −72022-12-02: 47.86 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 43.40 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T02022-12-06: 42.43 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +12022-12-08: 43.18 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +32022-12-12: 45.31 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 47.36 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-04: 52.92 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-02-03: 39.25 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-03-03: 36.90 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-11-04102.1+58.716+135.30%+13.75
−142022-11-2161.92+18.524+42.69%+4.34
−72022-11-2850.19+6.790+15.65%+1.59
−32022-12-0247.86+4.464+10.29%+1.05
−12022-12-0247.86+4.464+10.29%+1.05
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T043.400.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-0642.43-0.970-2.24%-0.23
+32022-12-0843.18-0.220-0.51%-0.05
+72022-12-1245.31+1.916+4.42%+0.45
+142022-12-1947.36+3.968+9.14%+0.93
+302023-01-0452.92+9.520+21.94%+2.23
+602023-02-0339.25-4.142-9.54%-0.97
+902023-03-0336.90-6.496-14.97%-1.52

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 9.84%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 737). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa
T0−30T0+30+60+9038.9011.122022-11-04: 36.21 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 25.46 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 21.75 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −72022-12-02: 19.76 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 19.67 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T02022-12-06: 20.42 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +12022-12-08: 14.66 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +32022-12-12: 13.81 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 13.89 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-04: 25.20 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-02-03: 24.34 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-03-03: 25.60 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-11-0436.21+16.548+84.15%+0.46
−142022-11-2125.46+5.798+29.48%+0.16
−72022-11-2821.75+2.086+10.61%+0.06
−32022-12-0219.76+0.096+0.49%+0.00
−12022-12-0219.76+0.096+0.49%+0.00
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T019.670.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-0620.42+0.752+3.82%+0.02
+32022-12-0814.66-5.008-25.47%-0.14
+72022-12-1213.81-5.854-29.77%-0.16
+142022-12-1913.89-5.776-29.37%-0.16
+302023-01-0425.20+5.530+28.12%+0.15
+602023-02-0324.34+4.678+23.79%+0.13
+902023-03-0325.60+5.936+30.18%+0.17

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 182.43%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 737). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa
T0−30T0+30+60+9057.2023.782022-11-04: 51.50 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 42.81 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 30.74 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −72022-12-02: 31.06 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 27.02 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T02022-12-06: 27.60 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +12022-12-08: 35.20 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +32022-12-12: 36.79 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 36.02 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-04: 53.97 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-02-03: 29.38 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-03-03: 39.71 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-11-0451.50+24.486+90.64%+0.51
−142022-11-2142.81+15.794+58.46%+0.33
−72022-11-2830.74+3.724+13.78%+0.08
−32022-12-0231.06+4.044+14.97%+0.08
−12022-12-0231.06+4.044+14.97%+0.08
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T027.020.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-0627.60+0.584+2.16%+0.01
+32022-12-0835.20+8.180+30.28%+0.17
+72022-12-1236.79+9.770+36.16%+0.21
+142022-12-1936.02+9.008+33.34%+0.19
+302023-01-0453.97+26.950+99.76%+0.57
+602023-02-0329.38+2.368+8.77%+0.05
+902023-03-0339.71+12.698+47.00%+0.27

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 176.40%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 737). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Mhux disponibbli: imblukkat mil-liċenzja

Jeżisti sors, iżda l-liċenzja tiegħu ma tippermettilniex nippubblikawh mill-ġdid. Dawn il-kanali mhumiex neqsin mid-dinja, iżda biss minn din il-paġna.

nol tat-tankers “dirty” mill-Golf Għarbi lejn il-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

In-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers (ringiela 17: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

Il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

Il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

M’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

M’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

Mhux disponibbli: raġuni mhux ikklassifikata

L-API ta kodiċi ta’ raġuni li din il-paġna ma tagħrafx. Is-sentenza tiegħu tintwera hawn taħt kif inhi.

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

La l-aktar tieqa riċenti ta’ tliet snin tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet u lanqas il-kampjun kollu m’għandhom stima IKKALKULATA għal dan il-pajjiż u karburant: m’hemm l-ebda reazzjoni mkejla għaż-żejt mhux maħdum x’tiġi proġettata. Ma jintuża l-ebda sostitut bħal trażmissjoni sħiħa.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

La l-aktar tieqa riċenti ta’ tliet snin tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet u lanqas il-kampjun kollu m’għandhom stima IKKALKULATA għal dan il-pajjiż u karburant: m’hemm l-ebda reazzjoni mkejla għaż-żejt mhux maħdum x’tiġi proġettata. Ma jintuża l-ebda sostitut bħal trażmissjoni sħiħa.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

La l-aktar tieqa riċenti ta’ tliet snin tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet u lanqas il-kampjun kollu m’għandhom stima IKKALKULATA għal dan il-pajjiż u karburant: m’hemm l-ebda reazzjoni mkejla għaż-żejt mhux maħdum x’tiġi proġettata. Ma jintuża l-ebda sostitut bħal trażmissjoni sħiħa.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

La l-aktar tieqa riċenti ta’ tliet snin tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet u lanqas il-kampjun kollu m’għandhom stima IKKALKULATA għal dan il-pajjiż u karburant: m’hemm l-ebda reazzjoni mkejla għaż-żejt mhux maħdum x’tiġi proġettata. Ma jintuża l-ebda sostitut bħal trażmissjoni sħiħa.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

Sors
European Commission, Directorate-General for Energy (DG ENER)Mhux magħruf
Perjodu 2022-10-31Aġġornat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCKunfidenzaMhux magħrufaMetodoloġijaNiżżel is-CSV

T0: 05/12/2022. Tieqa ta’ referenza: jiem -90 sa -31. Punti tat-tieqa kkalkulati: -30, -14, -7, -3, -1, 0, 1, 3, 7, 14, 30, 60, 90. Metodu: 1.0, kalkolu: event_study-1.0, ikkalkulat: 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC.

L-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”: huwa tassew ir-raġuni?

Il-mistoqsija tinqasam f’dimensjonijiet li jitkejlu separatament u qatt ma jingħaddu f’numru wieħed. Kull ringiela tgħid jekk nistgħux naraw dik id-dimensjoni, u tagħti ċifra ppubblikata waħda fejn nistgħu.

Mit-tmien kanali ta’ trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet li jirrapporta dan is-sit, kanali b’data f’dan il-kalkolu: 4 Ikkalkulat – għadd tar-ringieli ta’ hawn taħt, mhux kejl.

Metodoloġija §11.1 tippubblika l-limiti li jużaw is-sentenzi ta’ hawn taħt: it-tmien kanali kollha preżenti għall-paragun sħiħ, mill-inqas tlieta biex l-istqarrija tkun tista’ tiġi ttestjata hawn, u 2.0 unitajiet ta’ volatilità biex ċaqliq jiġi deskritt bħala barra mill-varjazzjoni normali ta’ serje. Dawn huma għażliet ta’ kliem ippubblikati, mhux testijiet statistiċi.

Dimensjonijiet tal-esponiment għall-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, kull waħda bl-istatus tagħha u ċifra ppubblikata waħda.
DimensjoniStatusĊifra ppubblikata, jew għaliex m’hemmx
Esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum (D1)Sehem miż-żejt mhux maħdum importat li r-rotta tiegħu teħtieġ l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz.Osservat
0 % tat-tunnellati importati punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-01-01)
Esponiment dirett tal-prodotti (D2)Sehem mill-prodotti raffinati importati li r-rotta tagħhom teħtieġ l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz.Osservat
6.531 % tat-tunnellati importati punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-01-01)
Kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza (D7)Il-jiem ta’ kopertura li jammontaw għalihom il-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati. Riżerva kontra interruzzjoni tal-provvista, mhux sehem mill-importazzjonijiet, u mhux kanal tal-prezz.Osservat
113.0 kopertura (jiem) punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-01-01)0.00% mil-livell ta’ T0 = 0.00 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdumIl-prezz kwotat taż-żejt mhux maħdum li fuqu jiġu pprezzati t-tagħbijiet Ewropej.Osservat
75.31 $ għal kull barmil punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-01-04)-9.66% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -2.14 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinatiIl-prezz kwotat tal-prodotti li fuqu jipprezzaw ir-raffineriji u l-bejjiegħa bl-ingrossa.Mhux disponibbliIl-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.
Marġni tar-raffinarKemm qala’ r-raffinar ta’ barmil f’dan il-prodott.Mhux disponibbliM’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.
NoliKemm swiet il-ġarr tal-merkanzija bil-baħar.Mhux disponibbliIn-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers (ringiela 17: BLOCKED).
StokkijietL-istokkijiet miżmuma, li jassorbu jew ikabbru bidla fil-provvista.Osservat
4,683,103 t punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-01-01)+1.76% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +0.34 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezzijiet bl-ingrossaIl-prezz bejn il-bieb tar-raffinerija u l-pompa tal-petrol.Mhux disponibbliIs-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).
Prezz fil-pompa mingħajr taxxiIl-prezz fil-pompa mingħajr id-dazju tas-sisa, il-VAT u taxxi oħra fuq il-karburant.Osservat
1.357 € għal kull litru punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-01-02)-1.98% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -0.52 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz fil-pompa bit-taxxiDak li fil-fatt ħallas sewwieq.Osservat
2.153 € għal kull litru punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-01-02)-3.78% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -1.35 unitajiet ta’ volatilità

L-esponiment fiżiku (l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz) u l-esponiment tal-prezz huma mistoqsijiet differenti. Pajjiż kważi mingħajr esponiment fiżiku dirett xorta jista’ jara l-prezz fil-pompa tiegħu jiċċaqlaq: iż-żejt mhux maħdum jiġi pprezzat fuq livell globali – u serje li ċċaqilqet f’din it-tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.

X’għamel il-prezz fil-pompa madwar din id-data

Il-paġna tal-qsim tal-prezz tista’ tiġi ffissata fuq il-ġimgħat madwar id-data tal-avveniment, biex iċ-ċaqliq fil-pompa jinqasam fit-taxxa, fl-ispiża tal-input u fil-parti li l-ispiża tal-input ma tkoprix.

Qsim tal-prezz (28/11/2022 – 04/01/2023) →

It-tieqa hija madwar id-data ppubblikata tal-avveniment (jiem qabel: 7; jiem wara: 30). Hija tieqa biex wieħed iħares, mhux dikjarazzjoni li l-avveniment kien fl-oriġini ta’ dak li fiha.

Attwali kontra ż-żejt mhux maħdum biss: l-Iżvezja, petrol (Euro-super 95)

X’għamel il-prezz mingħajr taxxi minn erba’ ġimgħat qabel sa tlettax-il ġimgħa wara l-ġimgħa tal-avveniment, ħdejn dak li kien jagħmel li kieku segwa biss l-ispiża tal-input taż-żejt mhux maħdum bil-pass li tkejjel l-istima maħżuna tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet. Id-differenza mdella mhix spjegata miż-żejt mhux maħdum; mhix attribwita lill-avveniment jew lil xi ħaġa oħra. L-ebda karburant mhu magħżul: jintwera l-petrol.

Il-paragun maż-żejt mhux maħdum biss ma setax jinqara.

API 404 for /api/events/eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022/crude-only: No stored crude-only run for 'eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022' and country 'sweden'. Runs are stored for the pilot countries; available_countries lists them.

X’jappoġġaw in-numri, sentenza b’sentenza

Kull sentenza ġejja minn mudell fiss, magħżul skont limiti ppubblikati. Iftaħ “Għaliex din is-sentenza” biex tara n-numri li għażluha. L-ebda parti minn dan it-test mhi miktuba minn mudell lingwistiku, u l-ebda parti minnu ma tattribwixxi kawża.

  1. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, l-Iżvezja) inbidel b’-10.8%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.2 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-IżvezjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    0.75222
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Sweden
    z_score
    -2.9480895665188362
    t0_value
    0.8433200000000001
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -10.802542332685109
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_SE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    SE
    country_name
    Sweden
    country_slug
    sweden
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-12-12
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -2.1836206108478207
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.09110000000000007
    change_pct_from_t0
    -10.802542332685109
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.947078388535119
    change_in_volatility_units
    -2.1836206108478207
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    0.75222
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Sweden
    z_score
    -2.9480895665188362
    t0_value
    0.8433200000000001
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -10.802542332685109
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_SE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    SE
    country_name
    Sweden
    country_slug
    sweden
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-12-12
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -2.1836206108478207
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.09110000000000007
    change_pct_from_t0
    -10.802542332685109
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.947078388535119
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -2.1836206108478207

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità b1fc93e3ada147aa2e09d3a7d2bd080c36d12eb7a0b79c69196f16c1915d32c2 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  2. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, l-Iżvezja) inbidel b’-1.5%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.3 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-IżvezjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    0.83039
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Sweden
    z_score
    -2.040417906957396
    t0_value
    0.8433200000000001
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -1.5332258217521353
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_SE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    SE
    country_name
    Sweden
    country_slug
    sweden
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-01-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.30992551589750317
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.012930000000000108
    change_pct_from_t0
    -1.5332258217521353
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.947078388535119
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.30992551589750317
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    0.83039
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Sweden
    z_score
    -2.040417906957396
    t0_value
    0.8433200000000001
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -1.5332258217521353
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_SE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    SE
    country_name
    Sweden
    country_slug
    sweden
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-01-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.30992551589750317
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.012930000000000108
    change_pct_from_t0
    -1.5332258217521353
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.947078388535119
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.30992551589750317

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità f92a8179c921a58fa99fb90f8b05975974d288a9c07f137ac118d57cdd951ec7 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  3. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, l-Iżvezja) inbidel b’+0.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.2 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-IżvezjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    0.85121
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Sweden
    z_score
    -1.7986662893026788
    t0_value
    0.8433200000000001
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    0.935587914433424
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_SE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    SE
    country_name
    Sweden
    country_slug
    sweden
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.1891192823226036
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.007889999999999953
    change_pct_from_t0
    0.935587914433424
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.947078388535119
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.1891192823226036
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    0.85121
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Sweden
    z_score
    -1.7986662893026788
    t0_value
    0.8433200000000001
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    0.935587914433424
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_SE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    SE
    country_name
    Sweden
    country_slug
    sweden
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.1891192823226036
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.007889999999999953
    change_pct_from_t0
    0.935587914433424
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.947078388535119
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.1891192823226036

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 15bb29671e4c76ea20a25ac3804ab28daac417116917f60349e40515dfae72af · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  4. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, l-Iżvezja) inbidel b’-6.4%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.2 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-IżvezjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.67646
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Sweden
    z_score
    -1.4824643437441056
    t0_value
    1.79132
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -6.412031351182367
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_SE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    SE
    country_name
    Sweden
    country_slug
    sweden
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-12-12
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -2.2042017417996496
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.11485999999999996
    change_pct_from_t0
    -6.412031351182367
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.9090038491427648
    change_in_volatility_units
    -2.2042017417996496
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.67646
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Sweden
    z_score
    -1.4824643437441056
    t0_value
    1.79132
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -6.412031351182367
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_SE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    SE
    country_name
    Sweden
    country_slug
    sweden
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-12-12
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -2.2042017417996496
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.11485999999999996
    change_pct_from_t0
    -6.412031351182367
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.9090038491427648
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -2.2042017417996496

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità f7a187b579d0decb325a56162688bb07996154812dc6b8a90ba7e32e2cef8ad5 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  5. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, l-Iżvezja) inbidel b’-2.6%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.9 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-IżvezjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.74436
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Sweden
    z_score
    -1.0859199328564952
    t0_value
    1.79132
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -2.6215304914811486
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_SE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    SE
    country_name
    Sweden
    country_slug
    sweden
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-01-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.9011780758742104
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.04696000000000011
    change_pct_from_t0
    -2.6215304914811486
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.9090038491427648
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.9011780758742104
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.74436
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Sweden
    z_score
    -1.0859199328564952
    t0_value
    1.79132
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -2.6215304914811486
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_SE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    SE
    country_name
    Sweden
    country_slug
    sweden
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-01-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.9011780758742104
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.04696000000000011
    change_pct_from_t0
    -2.6215304914811486
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.9090038491427648
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.9011780758742104

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 593a4ea9cb9d88d894840f8a832c9ce471b3ea2e3d722c3e1aa9b9b835e7568e · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  6. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, l-Iżvezja) inbidel b’-0.8%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.3 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-IżvezjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.7772100000000002
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Sweden
    z_score
    -0.8940718636715448
    t0_value
    1.79132
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -0.7876872920527792
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_SE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    SE
    country_name
    Sweden
    country_slug
    sweden
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.27077561010615286
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.014109999999999845
    change_pct_from_t0
    -0.7876872920527792
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.9090038491427648
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.27077561010615286
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.7772100000000002
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Sweden
    z_score
    -0.8940718636715448
    t0_value
    1.79132
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -0.7876872920527792
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_SE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    SE
    country_name
    Sweden
    country_slug
    sweden
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.27077561010615286
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.014109999999999845
    change_pct_from_t0
    -0.7876872920527792
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.9090038491427648
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.27077561010615286

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità f9bb1778fa65811ce75c2679ae72faf1ab6a415baf09adb9b93c9d5cd9a7250d · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  7. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, l-Iżvezja) inbidel b’-8.5%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.2 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-IżvezjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.26645
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Sweden
    z_score
    -3.4035044950318385
    t0_value
    1.38467
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -8.537774343345346
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_SE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    SE
    country_name
    Sweden
    country_slug
    sweden
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-12-12
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -2.249694172357351
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.11821999999999999
    change_pct_from_t0
    -8.537774343345346
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.795082215285736
    change_in_volatility_units
    -2.249694172357351
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.26645
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Sweden
    z_score
    -3.4035044950318385
    t0_value
    1.38467
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -8.537774343345346
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_SE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    SE
    country_name
    Sweden
    country_slug
    sweden
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-12-12
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -2.249694172357351
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.11821999999999999
    change_pct_from_t0
    -8.537774343345346
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.795082215285736
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -2.249694172357351

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 41139eb5ad11bf45be00fcc244899d1f7cd09e11535b8d10eac7958be1e5f582 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  8. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, l-Iżvezja) inbidel b’-2.0%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.5 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-IżvezjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.35728
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Sweden
    z_score
    -2.3441245394653643
    t0_value
    1.38467
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -1.9780886420591206
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_SE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    SE
    country_name
    Sweden
    country_slug
    sweden
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-01-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.5212241869469455
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.027390000000000025
    change_pct_from_t0
    -1.9780886420591206
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.795082215285736
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.5212241869469455
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.35728
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Sweden
    z_score
    -2.3441245394653643
    t0_value
    1.38467
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -1.9780886420591206
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_SE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    SE
    country_name
    Sweden
    country_slug
    sweden
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-01-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.5212241869469455
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.027390000000000025
    change_pct_from_t0
    -1.9780886420591206
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.795082215285736
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.5212241869469455

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 5565d527ccbb6228e37b5b0b32bb7f15aafd38e05ca8c5e5ed667a2805155628 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  9. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, l-Iżvezja) inbidel b’-8.6%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.3 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-IżvezjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.26543
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Sweden
    z_score
    -3.415401088169324
    t0_value
    1.38467
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -8.611438104385883
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_SE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    SE
    country_name
    Sweden
    country_slug
    sweden
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -2.2691044925722426
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.11924000000000001
    change_pct_from_t0
    -8.611438104385883
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.795082215285736
    change_in_volatility_units
    -2.2691044925722426
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.26543
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Sweden
    z_score
    -3.415401088169324
    t0_value
    1.38467
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -8.611438104385883
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_SE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    SE
    country_name
    Sweden
    country_slug
    sweden
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -2.2691044925722426
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.11924000000000001
    change_pct_from_t0
    -8.611438104385883
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.795082215285736
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -2.2691044925722426

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 5ee3111a49b21ad17ee6888458ce9cbed8681ac3839716ad6bb5c95fac583e26 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  10. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, l-Iżvezja) inbidel b’-6.6%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.4 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-IżvezjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    2.08856
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Sweden
    z_score
    -1.7607054689777357
    t0_value
    2.23701
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -6.6360901381755095
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_SE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    SE
    country_name
    Sweden
    country_slug
    sweden
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-12-12
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -2.369226165037787
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.14844999999999997
    change_pct_from_t0
    -6.6360901381755095
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.8009525794130634
    change_in_volatility_units
    -2.369226165037787
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    2.08856
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Sweden
    z_score
    -1.7607054689777357
    t0_value
    2.23701
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -6.6360901381755095
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_SE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    SE
    country_name
    Sweden
    country_slug
    sweden
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-12-12
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -2.369226165037787
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.14844999999999997
    change_pct_from_t0
    -6.6360901381755095
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.8009525794130634
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -2.369226165037787

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 53a5bd88ca7910648e9216c614ee7bc873088d311f394791153b05a41338d232 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  11. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, l-Iżvezja) inbidel b’-3.8%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.3 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-IżvezjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    2.15255
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Sweden
    z_score
    -1.3870185411416966
    t0_value
    2.23701
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -3.775575433279242
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_SE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    SE
    country_name
    Sweden
    country_slug
    sweden
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-01-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.3479612118497235
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.08445999999999998
    change_pct_from_t0
    -3.775575433279242
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.8009525794130634
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.3479612118497235
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    2.15255
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Sweden
    z_score
    -1.3870185411416966
    t0_value
    2.23701
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -3.775575433279242
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_SE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    SE
    country_name
    Sweden
    country_slug
    sweden
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-01-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.3479612118497235
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.08445999999999998
    change_pct_from_t0
    -3.775575433279242
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.8009525794130634
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.3479612118497235

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 383072d028b089ad7e2ad4e991f7b431bc657e26eea829278572d99396686497 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  12. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, l-Iżvezja) inbidel b’-8.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’3.1 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-IżvezjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    2.0421400000000003
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Sweden
    z_score
    -2.0317876254107547
    t0_value
    2.23701
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -8.711181443086971
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_SE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    SE
    country_name
    Sweden
    country_slug
    sweden
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -3.1100781595211404
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.19486999999999988
    change_pct_from_t0
    -8.711181443086971
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.8009525794130634
    change_in_volatility_units
    -3.1100781595211404
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    2.0421400000000003
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Sweden
    z_score
    -2.0317876254107547
    t0_value
    2.23701
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -8.711181443086971
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_SE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    SE
    country_name
    Sweden
    country_slug
    sweden
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -3.1100781595211404
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.19486999999999988
    change_pct_from_t0
    -8.711181443086971
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.8009525794130634
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -3.1100781595211404

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità b784b935b394b752d7f3f6c2fa2925fc8529af2a2c48cffd8dd808baa419683e · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  13. X’kienu jagħmlu l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom lill-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, l-Iżvezja) fil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”) huwa MHUX MAGĦRUF: La l-aktar tieqa riċenti ta’ tliet snin tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet u lanqas il-kampjun kollu m’għandhom stima IKKALKULATA għal dan il-pajjiż u karburant (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §4.5): m’hemm l-ebda reazzjoni mkejla għaż-żejt mhux maħdum x’tiġi proġettata. Ma jintuża l-ebda sostitut bħal trażmissjoni sħiħa (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.2).

    pajjiż: l-IżvezjaMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    weeks
    4
    status
    UNKNOWN
    country
    Sweden
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    reason_code
    NO_COMPUTED_PASS_THROUGH_ESTIMATE
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_SE_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    SE
    country_name
    Sweden
    country_slug
    sweden
    proxy_product
    null
    gap_eur_per_litre
    null
    actual_eur_per_litre
    null
    expected_eur_per_litre
    null
    proxy_volatility_units
    null
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    null
    pass_through_window_label
    null
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    null
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    null
    Limiti
    source
    docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
    proxy_rule
    the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
    confidence_cap
    MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
    statement_weeks
    [4,13]
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    weeks
    4
    status
    UNKNOWN
    country
    Sweden
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_COMPUTED_PASS_THROUGH_ESTIMATE
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_SE_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    SE
    country_name
    Sweden
    country_slug
    sweden
    proxy_product
    null
    statement_topic
    event
    gap_eur_per_litre
    null
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    actual_eur_per_litre
    null
    expected_eur_per_litre
    null
    proxy_volatility_units
    null
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    null
    pass_through_window_label
    null
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    null
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    null

    Mudell event.crude_only.unknown v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 541ac5241c0c52b7bce4527c50ec99f8151ece8e345c10e079ed298fd2fc6349 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  14. X’kienu jagħmlu l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom lill-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, l-Iżvezja) fil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”) huwa MHUX MAGĦRUF: La l-aktar tieqa riċenti ta’ tliet snin tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet u lanqas il-kampjun kollu m’għandhom stima IKKALKULATA għal dan il-pajjiż u karburant (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §4.5): m’hemm l-ebda reazzjoni mkejla għaż-żejt mhux maħdum x’tiġi proġettata. Ma jintuża l-ebda sostitut bħal trażmissjoni sħiħa (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.2).

    pajjiż: l-IżvezjaMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    weeks
    4
    status
    UNKNOWN
    country
    Sweden
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    reason_code
    NO_COMPUTED_PASS_THROUGH_ESTIMATE
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_SE_DIESEL
    country_iso2
    SE
    country_name
    Sweden
    country_slug
    sweden
    proxy_product
    null
    gap_eur_per_litre
    null
    actual_eur_per_litre
    null
    expected_eur_per_litre
    null
    proxy_volatility_units
    null
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    null
    pass_through_window_label
    null
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    null
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    null
    Limiti
    source
    docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
    proxy_rule
    the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
    confidence_cap
    MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
    statement_weeks
    [4,13]
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    weeks
    4
    status
    UNKNOWN
    country
    Sweden
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_COMPUTED_PASS_THROUGH_ESTIMATE
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_SE_DIESEL
    country_iso2
    SE
    country_name
    Sweden
    country_slug
    sweden
    proxy_product
    null
    statement_topic
    event
    gap_eur_per_litre
    null
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    actual_eur_per_litre
    null
    expected_eur_per_litre
    null
    proxy_volatility_units
    null
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    null
    pass_through_window_label
    null
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    null
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    null

    Mudell event.crude_only.unknown v1.2 · Marka tal-identità ccac5cb296608126fa24d2695373bad6133533ad1799ff3b026876313dadf510 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  15. L-Iżvezja, Diċembru 2022: id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (żejt mhux maħdum) kienet limitata (0%).

    pajjiż: l-IżvezjaIkkalkulatBaxxa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    limited
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2022-12
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Sweden
    commodity
    crude
    dimension
    DIRECT_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    country_iso2
    SE
    country_name
    Sweden
    country_slug
    sweden
    value_max_pct
    0
    value_min_pct
    0
    exposure_status
    COMPUTED
    value_point_pct
    0
    observation_date
    2022-12-01
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
    band_applied_to
    upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
    dependence_limited_max_pct
    10
    dependence_moderate_max_pct
    33
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    limited
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2022-12
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Sweden
    commodity
    crude
    dimension
    DIRECT_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    SE
    country_name
    Sweden
    country_slug
    sweden
    value_max_pct
    0
    value_min_pct
    0
    exposure_status
    COMPUTED
    statement_topic
    hormuz
    value_point_pct
    0
    observation_date
    2022-12-01
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.dependence.point v1.2 · Marka tal-identità f09e6d1d0a6ea25dd008011dfbdf5b493478793f87dcbb2f31e4c34022ccf3da · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  16. L-Iżvezja, Diċembru 2022: id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (prodott raffinat) kienet limitata (0%).

    pajjiż: l-IżvezjaIkkalkulatBaxxa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    limited
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2022-12
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Sweden
    commodity
    refined product
    dimension
    DIRECT_PRODUCT
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    country_iso2
    SE
    country_name
    Sweden
    country_slug
    sweden
    value_max_pct
    0
    value_min_pct
    0
    exposure_status
    COMPUTED
    value_point_pct
    0
    observation_date
    2022-12-01
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
    band_applied_to
    upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
    dependence_limited_max_pct
    10
    dependence_moderate_max_pct
    33
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    limited
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2022-12
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Sweden
    commodity
    refined product
    dimension
    DIRECT_PRODUCT
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    SE
    country_name
    Sweden
    country_slug
    sweden
    value_max_pct
    0
    value_min_pct
    0
    exposure_status
    COMPUTED
    statement_topic
    hormuz
    value_point_pct
    0
    observation_date
    2022-12-01
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.dependence.point v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 0e36c2ad7c5f1b52b900ab8c31f2d07b0e29129f0b956ca5fc624a4737ded8ff · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  17. L-evidenza disponibbli ma turix tnaqqis fiżiku fil-provvista: l-importazzjonijiet irrappurtati taż-żejt mhux maħdum (l-Iżvezja, Diċembru 2022) meta mqabbla mal-medja tax-xhur ta’ qabel (12): +14.9%.

    pajjiż: l-IżvezjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2022-12
    country
    Sweden
    change_pct
    14.933644288258785
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    country_iso2
    SE
    country_name
    Sweden
    country_slug
    sweden
    value_tonnes
    1803229
    baseline_months
    12
    observation_date
    2022-12-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
    crude_imports_rule
    crude_imports_total-1.1
    baseline_mean_tonnes
    1568930.5
    baseline_window_months
    12
    value_not_published_code
    null
    baseline_not_published_months
    0
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no cut-off
    min_baseline_months
    6
    baseline_months_used
    12
    supply_reduction_pct
    -10
    supply_baseline_months
    12
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2022-12
    country
    Sweden
    change_pct
    14.933644288258785
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    SE
    country_name
    Sweden
    country_slug
    sweden
    value_tonnes
    1803229
    baseline_months
    12
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2022-12-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
    crude_imports_rule
    crude_imports_total-1.1
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    baseline_mean_tonnes
    1568930.5
    baseline_window_months
    12
    value_not_published_code
    null
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    baseline_not_published_months
    0

    Mudell event.supply.no_reduction v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 1c06690230211c40fd3e607db0d2eed8fd146280654b41d9f043a03767f9f0cd · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  18. Diċembru 2022: l-istokkijiet taż-żejt (l-Iżvezja) kienu 8.5% ogħla meta mqabbla mal-medja mobbli tagħhom (xhur: 12), jiem ta’ kopertura: 113.0 (kif ippubblikati).

    pajjiż: l-IżvezjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2022-12
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Sweden
    direction
    above
    siec_code
    O4000
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    holder_type
    STK_CL
    series_code
    INVENTORY_SE
    country_iso2
    SE
    country_name
    Sweden
    country_slug
    sweden
    days_of_cover
    113
    metric_status
    COMPUTED
    mom_change_pct
    2.0870552796367483
    observation_date
    2022-12-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
    total_stock_tonnes
    4602258
    days_of_cover_basis
    as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
    observation_gap_days
    4
    trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
    4242112.833333333
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
    8.489759250078096
    trailing_12m_observations
    12
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no band
    band_applied_to
    the rounded figure printed in the sentence
    days_of_cover_basis
    as published (Eurostat nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); never stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
    trailing_window_months
    12
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_raw
    8.489759250078096
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_shown
    8.5
    inventory_material_deviation_pct
    5
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2022-12
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Sweden
    direction
    above
    siec_code
    O4000
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    holder_type
    STK_CL
    series_code
    INVENTORY_SE
    country_iso2
    SE
    country_name
    Sweden
    country_slug
    sweden
    days_of_cover
    113
    metric_status
    COMPUTED
    mom_change_pct
    2.0870552796367483
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2022-12-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
    total_stock_tonnes
    4602258
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    days_of_cover_basis
    as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    4
    trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
    4242112.833333333
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
    8.489759250078096
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    trailing_12m_observations
    12

    Mudell event.inventory_level.above v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 80fc882da261462d8beb3991f7a27fef449d350d0acec1f08a86983ab15515ee · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  19. Sommarju ta’ x’jista’ jiġi vverifikat hawn

    Parti biss mill-katina tista’ tiġi vverifikata għal dan il-pajjiż (l-Iżvezja) madwar l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”: serje disponibbli: 4 minn 8 (prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdum, stokkijiet, prezz fil-pompa mingħajr taxxi u prezz fil-pompa bit-taxxi); mhux disponibbli: prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinati, marġni tar-raffinar, noli u prezzijiet bl-ingrossa. Kull dikjarazzjoni bbażata fuq ir-rabtiet neqsin ma tistax tiġi ttestjata hawn. Id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (żejt mhux maħdum) kienet limitata (0–0%) matul il-perjodu kopert. Din il-paġna tiddeskrivi x’għamlet kull serje madwar id-data tal-avveniment. Mhijiex sejba dwar kawża: l-ebda disinn kawżali mhu ppubblikat għal dan is-sit, u serje li ċċaqilqet fl-istess tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.

    pajjiż: l-IżvezjaMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    country
    Sweden
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    country_iso2
    SE
    country_name
    Sweden
    country_slug
    sweden
    dependence_band
    limited
    dependence_range
    0–0%
    channels_available
    ["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
    supply_template_id
    event.supply.no_reduction
    channels_unavailable
    ["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; the channel list is docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.3
    channels_total
    8
    channels_available
    4
    verdict_partial_min_channels
    3
    verdict_assessable_min_channels
    8
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    country
    Sweden
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    SE
    country_name
    Sweden
    country_slug
    sweden
    dependence_band
    limited
    statement_topic
    event
    dependence_range
    0–0%
    channels_available
    ["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
    supply_template_id
    event.supply.no_reduction
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    channels_unavailable
    ["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.verdict.partial v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 98db272a5b87fb18a7bf6905ff3eefc05e4714cbf97d7bb9c6781fbf5ec5dddb · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  20. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’-6.4%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.4 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    78
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    -3.919330167431879
    t0_value
    83.36
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    -6.429942418426104
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    BRENT
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2022-12-12
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.424724765497578
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -5.359999999999999
    change_pct_from_t0
    -6.429942418426104
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.513111987760301
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.424724765497578
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    78
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    -3.919330167431879
    t0_value
    83.36
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    -6.429942418426104
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    BRENT
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2022-12-12
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.424724765497578
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -5.359999999999999
    change_pct_from_t0
    -6.429942418426104
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.513111987760301
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.424724765497578

    Mudell event.benchmark_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità b54773c6d8ea729448e355679535649a28ea7e4cedc8813dfcf6f2802aab32bd · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  21. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’-9.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.1 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    75.31
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    -4.677910199838048
    t0_value
    83.36
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    -9.65690978886756
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    BRENT
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2023-01-04
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -2.1397452168387128
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -8.049999999999997
    change_pct_from_t0
    -9.65690978886756
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.513111987760301
    change_in_volatility_units
    -2.1397452168387128
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    75.31
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    -4.677910199838048
    t0_value
    83.36
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    -9.65690978886756
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    BRENT
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2023-01-04
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -2.1397452168387128
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -8.049999999999997
    change_pct_from_t0
    -9.65690978886756
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.513111987760301
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -2.1397452168387128

    Mudell event.benchmark_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità a66bdad4120941189e2864b65cefe96af6989d6c7dc9d9e481dad3f463e1452c · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  22. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’+2.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.6 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    85.74
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    -1.7366500741888493
    t0_value
    83.36
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    2.855086372360839
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    BRENT
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2023-03-03
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.6326203249784009
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    2.3799999999999955
    change_pct_from_t0
    2.855086372360839
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.513111987760301
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.6326203249784009
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    85.74
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    -1.7366500741888493
    t0_value
    83.36
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    2.855086372360839
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    BRENT
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2023-03-03
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.6326203249784009
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    2.3799999999999955
    change_pct_from_t0
    2.855086372360839
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.513111987760301
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.6326203249784009

    Mudell event.benchmark_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 95c15aae3aef102cb53ce9861989a6b3fd3d482e297b83dd1613ec9cd40b15cc · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  23. Noli – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: in-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["freight rates"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
    Limiti
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["freight rates"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 81f14ddf9bdd5a846c68ffa6a0c2ac90cc0051c094198d9fc185147f886c0b88 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  24. Prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinati – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni. Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refined-product benchmark"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
    Limiti
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refined-product benchmark"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 91941020696deeb37b6bfcb5c4e321ba5865cedc68042d4a64d30524b6fb2549 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  25. Prezzijiet bl-ingrossa – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["wholesale prices"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
    Limiti
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["wholesale prices"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità e638c4d7da43b662509013a365f2d13fca0fa20208646d67ade6d6d3b40790a0 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  26. Marġni tar-raffinar – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: m’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refining margin"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    reason_code
    NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
    Limiti
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refining margin"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità e1f282615a660e84b280ecac2938abde9502c7d8209f04d500d682817c457aef · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

X’ma jurix dan

  • Ma jurix li l-avveniment kien fl-oriġini ta’ xi ħaġa. L-ebda disinn kawżali mhu ppubblikat għal dan is-sit, u serje li ċċaqilqet f’din it-tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.
  • Bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza, u lanqas punteġġ z ma hu. Ikejlu affarijiet differenti u mhumiex interkambjabbli.
  • Il-kanali mingħajr sors b’liċenzja għall-użu jew diġà mtella’ jintwerew bħala pannelli vojta, mhux bħala linji ċatti. “Ma nistgħux naraw dan” ma jfissirx “dan ma ċċaqlaqx”.
  • Xejn ma jiġi interpolat. Fejn diversi punti tat-tieqa jaqgħu fuq ċifra ppubblikata waħda, dak hu li stampa l-pubblikatur, u l-bidla meta mqabbla mad-data tal-avveniment hija żero: huwa l-istess numru.

L-Iżvezja: provvista, raffineriji u prezzijiet fil-pompa →

Kif jinqraw it-tikketti

  • UffiċjaliIrrappurtat direttament minn awtorità uffiċjali.
  • IvverifikatIrrappurtat minn parti terza u vverifikat minna ma’ rekord primarju.
  • IkkalkulatIkkalkulat minna minn inputs irrappurtati. Il-metodu huwa ppubblikat fil-paġna tal-metodoloġija.
  • Inferit · kunfidenza għoljaMhux irrappurtat. Inferit minn mill-inqas żewġ rekords fiżiċi indipendenti.
  • Inferit · kunfidenza medjaMhux irrappurtat. Inferit minn evidenza indiretta qawwija, mingħajr konferma espliċita.
  • Inferit · kunfidenza baxxaMhux irrappurtat. Plawżibbli biss minn data dwar l-infrastruttura jew il-movimenti. Taqrahx bħala fatt.
  • Mhux magħrufL-ebda evidenza pubblika difendibbli ma tistabbilixxi dan. Ma nagħmlux suppożizzjonijiet, u dan mhuwiex kejl ta’ żero.