Avvenimenti / Projbizzjoni fuq l-importazzjoni

Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)

Dati: 05/12/2022 → l-ebda data tat-tmiem irreġistrata
Preċiżjoni tad-data: jum
Status: Għadu għaddej
Ambitu: L-Unjoni Ewropea

X’qalu s-sorsi (bl-Ingliż)

Sixth package of EU sanctions, adopted 3 June 2022 (Council Regulation (EU) 2022/879 amending Regulation (EU) No 833/2014). European Commission, 3 June 2022: "a complete import ban on all Russian seaborne crude oil and petroleum products"; "For seaborne crude oil, spot market transactions and execution of existing contracts will be permitted for six months after entry into force, while for petroleum products, these will be permitted for eight months." Eurostat, 19 June 2023: "The ban on imports of seaborne crude oil entered into force on 5 December 2022, while the ban on petroleum products took effect on 5 February 2023." Temporary derogations apply to pipeline crude for certain member states and to Bulgaria and Croatia, so reported imports from Russia do not fall to zero. This row is a timeline marker only; it makes no statement about prices.

L-AIE, l-EIA, il-Kummissjoni Ewropea, il-Kunsill Ewropew u leġiżlaturi nazzjonali (iċċitati għal kull ringiela)Uffiċjali

Miġbur 23/09/2026 07:22 UTCReviżjoni 1

Dokumenti tas-sors (3)

PajjiżIl-Ġermanja Franza In-Netherlands Il-Polonja Il-Finlandja L-Estonja L-Awstrija Il-Belġju Il-Bulgarija Il-Kroazja Ċipru Iċ-Ċekja Id-Danimarka Il-Greċja L-Ungerija L-Irlanda L-Italja Il-Latvja Il-Litwanja Il-Lussemburgu Malta Il-Portugall Ir-Rumanija Is-Slovakkja Is-Slovenja Spanja L-Iżvezja

KarburantDiżil (żejt tal-gass għall-vetturi)Petrol (Euro-super 95)Iż-żewġ karburanti

Jekk tagħżel karburant, jinżammu s-serje ta’ dak il-karburant u l-kanali komuni għall-karburanti kollha – il-prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdum, ir-rata tal-kambju, l-importazzjonijiet taż-żejt mhux maħdum u l-esponiment għal Hormuz. Jitneħħew biss is-serje tal-karburant l-ieħor.

It-tieqa tal-avveniment

Kemm kienet tiswa kull serje fil-jiem madwar id-data tal-avveniment (minn -30 sa 90), kemm dan hu ’l bogħod mil-livell tal-istess serje fid-data tal-avveniment, u kemm hu kbir dak iċ-ċaqliq meta mqabbel mal-varjazzjoni normali tas-serje stess.

Is-Slovakkja, il-karburanti kollha f’dan il-kalkolu. Serje li jistgħu jitpinġew: 22; serje li ma jistgħu jidhru bl-ebda mod, murija hawn taħt bħala pannelli vojta b’tikketta: 7.

Qari ppubblikat: 286; punti tat-tieqa mingħajr xejn ippubblikat fi żmien perjodu wieħed: 0; punti tat-tieqa fuq serje li ma nistgħu naraw xejn minnhom: 91. Kollha jidhru f’din il-paġna.

Europe Brent spot FOB

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatUffiċjali

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Europe Brent spot FOB): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-11-04	99.53	+16.170	+19.40%	+4.30
−14	2022-11-21	88.44	+5.080	+6.09%	+1.35
−7	2022-11-28	83.50	+0.140	+0.17%	+0.04
−3	2022-12-02	86.54	+3.180	+3.81%	+0.85
−1	2022-12-02	86.54	+3.180	+3.81%	+0.85
T0	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	83.36	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-12-06	79.92	-3.440	-4.13%	-0.91
+3	2022-12-08	76.02	-7.340	-8.81%	-1.95
+7	2022-12-12	78.00	-5.360	-6.43%	-1.42
+14	2022-12-19	81.66	-1.700	-2.04%	-0.45
+30	2023-01-04	75.31	-8.050	-9.66%	-2.14
+60	2023-02-03	78.85	-4.510	-5.41%	-1.20
+90	2023-03-03	85.74	+2.380	+2.86%	+0.63

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 4.51%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 760). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

reported crude oil imports, all origins

Unità: tIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali

Tabella tat-tieqa (reported crude oil imports, all origins): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-11-01	452,533	-111,891	-19.82%	-0.94
−14	2022-11-01	452,533	-111,891	-19.82%	-0.94
−7	2022-11-01	452,533	-111,891	-19.82%	-0.94
−3	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	564,424	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	564,424	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	564,424	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	564,424	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	564,424	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	564,424	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+14	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	564,424	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+30	2023-01-01	577,084	+12,660	+2.24%	+0.11
+60	2023-02-01	265,405	-299,019	-52.98%	-2.52
+90	2023-03-01	452,233	-112,191	-19.88%	-0.94

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 21.05%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 35). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-10-31	1.075	+0.041	+4.00%	+0.18
−14	2022-11-21	1.074	+0.040	+3.82%	+0.17
−7	2022-11-28	1.039	+0.005	+0.49%	+0.02
−3	2022-11-28	1.039	+0.005	+0.49%	+0.02
−1	2022-11-28	1.039	+0.005	+0.49%	+0.02
T0	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.034	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.034	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.034	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-12-12	1.014	-0.020	-1.94%	-0.09
+14	2022-12-19	1.004	-0.030	-2.89%	-0.13
+30	2023-01-02	1.031	-0.003	-0.33%	-0.01
+60	2023-01-30	1.052	+0.018	+1.70%	+0.08
+90	2023-02-27	1.070	+0.036	+3.48%	+0.16

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 21.99%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-10-31	0.7716	+0.001	+0.14%	+0.07
−14	2022-11-21	0.7855	+0.015	+1.94%	+1.02
−7	2022-11-28	0.7710	+0.000	+0.06%	+0.03
−3	2022-11-28	0.7710	+0.000	+0.06%	+0.03
−1	2022-11-28	0.7710	+0.000	+0.06%	+0.03
T0	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7705	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7705	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7705	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-12-12	0.7559	-0.015	-1.90%	-1.00
+14	2022-12-19	0.7513	-0.019	-2.49%	-1.31
+30	2023-01-02	0.7595	-0.011	-1.43%	-0.75
+60	2023-01-30	0.7738	+0.003	+0.42%	+0.22
+90	2023-02-27	0.7749	+0.004	+0.56%	+0.30

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.90%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE

Unità: USD għal kull EURIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatUffiċjali

Tabella tat-tieqa (rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-11-04	0.9872	-0.072	-6.75%	-13.43
−14	2022-11-21	1.025	-0.034	-3.22%	-6.40
−7	2022-11-28	1.046	-0.012	-1.17%	-2.33
−3	2022-12-02	1.054	-0.005	-0.46%	-0.92
−1	2022-12-02	1.054	-0.005	-0.46%	-0.92
T0	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.059	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-12-06	1.052	-0.007	-0.67%	-1.33
+3	2022-12-08	1.052	-0.007	-0.64%	-1.28
+7	2022-12-12	1.056	-0.002	-0.24%	-0.47
+14	2022-12-19	1.060	+0.001	+0.10%	+0.21
+30	2023-01-04	1.060	+0.001	+0.11%	+0.23
+60	2023-02-03	1.094	+0.035	+3.31%	+6.57
+90	2023-03-03	1.062	+0.003	+0.26%	+0.53

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 0.50%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 770). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1

Unità: % tat-tunnellati importatiIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatGħolja

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-11-01	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−14	2022-11-01	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−7	2022-11-01	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−3	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−1	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
T0	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+1	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+3	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+7	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+14	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+30	2023-01-01	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+60	2023-02-01	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+90	2023-03-01	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2

Unità: % tat-tunnellati importatiIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatBaxxa

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-11-01	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−14	2022-11-01	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−7	2022-11-01	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−3	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−1	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
T0	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+1	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+3	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+7	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+14	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+30	2023-01-01	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+60	2023-02-01	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+90	2023-03-01	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma

Unità: kopertura (jiem)Ippubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-11-01	98.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−14	2022-11-01	98.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−7	2022-11-01	98.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−3	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	98.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	98.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	98.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	98.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	98.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	98.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+14	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	98.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+30	2023-01-01	100.0	+2.000	+2.04%	+0.62
+60	2023-02-01	101.0	+3.000	+3.06%	+0.92
+90	2023-03-01	101.0	+3.000	+3.06%	+0.92

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 3.31%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 35). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-10-31	0.6104	+0.142	+30.24%	+3.72
−14	2022-11-21	0.5263	+0.058	+12.30%	+1.51
−7	2022-11-28	0.5123	+0.044	+9.31%	+1.15
−3	2022-11-28	0.5123	+0.044	+9.31%	+1.15
−1	2022-11-28	0.5123	+0.044	+9.31%	+1.15
T0	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.4687	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.4687	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.4687	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-12-12	0.4798	+0.011	+2.38%	+0.29
+14	2022-12-19	0.4779	+0.009	+1.98%	+0.24
+30	2023-01-02	0.4598	-0.009	-1.89%	-0.23
+60	2023-01-30	0.4720	+0.003	+0.71%	+0.09
+90	2023-02-27	0.4954	+0.027	+5.69%	+0.70

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 8.13%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-10-31	0.6104	+0.142	+30.24%	+3.72
−14	2022-11-21	0.5263	+0.058	+12.30%	+1.51
−7	2022-11-28	0.5123	+0.044	+9.31%	+1.15
−3	2022-11-28	0.5123	+0.044	+9.31%	+1.15
−1	2022-11-28	0.5123	+0.044	+9.31%	+1.15
T0	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.4687	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.4687	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.4687	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-12-12	0.4798	+0.011	+2.38%	+0.29
+14	2022-12-19	0.4779	+0.009	+1.98%	+0.24
+30	2023-01-02	0.4598	-0.009	-1.89%	-0.23
+60	2023-01-30	0.4720	+0.003	+0.71%	+0.09
+90	2023-02-27	0.4954	+0.027	+5.69%	+0.70

stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom

Unità: tIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali

Tabella tat-tieqa (stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-11-01	1,434,943	-90,970	-5.96%	-1.73
−14	2022-11-01	1,434,943	-90,970	-5.96%	-1.73
−7	2022-11-01	1,434,943	-90,970	-5.96%	-1.73
−3	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1,525,913	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1,525,913	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1,525,913	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1,525,913	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1,525,913	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1,525,913	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+14	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1,525,913	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+30	2023-01-01	1,627,758	+101,845	+6.67%	+1.94
+60	2023-02-01	1,580,200	+54,287	+3.56%	+1.04
+90	2023-03-01	1,588,813	+62,900	+4.12%	+1.20

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 3.44%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 35). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

Tabella tat-tieqa (not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-10-31	0.1186	+0.119	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−14	2022-11-21	0.0322	+0.032	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−7	2022-11-28	0.0174	+0.017	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−3	2022-11-28	0.0174	+0.017	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−1	2022-11-28	0.0174	+0.017	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
T0	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+1	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+3	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+7	2022-12-12	-0.0307	-0.031	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+14	2022-12-19	-0.0543	-0.054	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+30	2023-01-02	-0.0850	-0.085	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+60	2023-01-30	-0.1109	-0.111	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+90	2023-02-27	-0.1794	-0.179	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

Tabella tat-tieqa (not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-10-31	0.1231	+0.123	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−14	2022-11-21	0.0626	+0.063	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−7	2022-11-28	0.0304	+0.030	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−3	2022-11-28	0.0304	+0.030	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−1	2022-11-28	0.0304	+0.030	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
T0	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+1	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+3	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+7	2022-12-12	-0.0320	-0.032	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+14	2022-12-19	-0.0533	-0.053	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+30	2023-01-02	-0.0656	-0.066	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+60	2023-01-30	-0.0024	-0.002	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+90	2023-02-27	-0.0152	-0.015	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-10-31	1.910	+0.192	+11.18%	+7.61
−14	2022-11-21	1.804	+0.086	+5.01%	+3.41
−7	2022-11-28	1.745	+0.027	+1.57%	+1.07
−3	2022-11-28	1.745	+0.027	+1.57%	+1.07
−1	2022-11-28	1.745	+0.027	+1.57%	+1.07
T0	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.718	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.718	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.718	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-12-12	1.657	-0.061	-3.55%	-2.42
+14	2022-12-19	1.617	-0.101	-5.88%	-4.00
+30	2023-01-02	1.612	-0.106	-6.17%	-4.20
+60	2023-01-30	1.606	-0.112	-6.52%	-4.44
+90	2023-02-27	1.546	-0.172	-10.01%	-6.82

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.47%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-10-31	1.726	+0.149	+9.45%	+6.24
−14	2022-11-21	1.670	+0.093	+5.90%	+3.90
−7	2022-11-28	1.614	+0.037	+2.35%	+1.55
−3	2022-11-28	1.614	+0.037	+2.35%	+1.55
−1	2022-11-28	1.614	+0.037	+2.35%	+1.55
T0	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.577	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.577	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.577	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-12-12	1.521	-0.056	-3.55%	-2.35
+14	2022-12-19	1.490	-0.087	-5.52%	-3.65
+30	2023-01-02	1.485	-0.092	-5.83%	-3.86
+60	2023-01-30	1.578	+0.001	+0.06%	+0.04
+90	2023-02-27	1.564	-0.013	-0.82%	-0.54

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.51%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-10-31	1.194	+0.160	+15.47%	+6.90
−14	2022-11-21	1.106	+0.072	+6.93%	+3.09
−7	2022-11-28	1.057	+0.023	+2.18%	+0.97
−3	2022-11-28	1.057	+0.023	+2.18%	+0.97
−1	2022-11-28	1.057	+0.023	+2.18%	+0.97
T0	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.034	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.034	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.034	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-12-12	0.9832	-0.051	-4.92%	-2.19
+14	2022-12-19	0.9499	-0.084	-8.14%	-3.63
+30	2023-01-02	0.9457	-0.088	-8.54%	-3.81
+60	2023-01-30	0.9407	-0.093	-9.03%	-4.03
+90	2023-02-27	0.8907	-0.143	-13.86%	-6.19

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 2.24%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-10-31	0.8947	+0.124	+16.11%	+5.41
−14	2022-11-21	0.8480	+0.078	+10.06%	+3.37
−7	2022-11-28	0.8014	+0.031	+4.00%	+1.34
−3	2022-11-28	0.8014	+0.031	+4.00%	+1.34
−1	2022-11-28	0.8014	+0.031	+4.00%	+1.34
T0	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7705	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7705	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7705	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-12-12	0.7239	-0.047	-6.06%	-2.03
+14	2022-12-19	0.6980	-0.073	-9.41%	-3.16
+30	2023-01-02	0.6939	-0.077	-9.95%	-3.34
+60	2023-01-30	0.7714	+0.001	+0.11%	+0.04
+90	2023-02-27	0.7597	-0.011	-1.41%	-0.47

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 2.98%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

Tabella tat-tieqa (total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-10-31	0.7160	+0.032	+4.68%	+8.23
−14	2022-11-21	0.6983	+0.014	+2.10%	+3.69
−7	2022-11-28	0.6885	+0.004	+0.66%	+1.16
−3	2022-11-28	0.6885	+0.004	+0.66%	+1.16
−1	2022-11-28	0.6885	+0.004	+0.66%	+1.16
T0	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.6840	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.6840	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.6840	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-12-12	0.6738	-0.010	-1.49%	-2.61
+14	2022-12-19	0.6672	-0.017	-2.46%	-4.33
+30	2023-01-02	0.6663	-0.018	-2.58%	-4.54
+60	2023-01-30	0.6653	-0.019	-2.73%	-4.80
+90	2023-02-27	0.6553	-0.029	-4.19%	-7.37

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 0.57%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

Tabella tat-tieqa (total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-10-31	0.8313	+0.025	+3.08%	+6.60
−14	2022-11-21	0.8220	+0.016	+1.92%	+4.12
−7	2022-11-28	0.8127	+0.006	+0.77%	+1.64
−3	2022-11-28	0.8127	+0.006	+0.77%	+1.64
−1	2022-11-28	0.8127	+0.006	+0.77%	+1.64
T0	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.8065	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.8065	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.8065	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-12-12	0.7972	-0.009	-1.16%	-2.48
+14	2022-12-19	0.7920	-0.015	-1.80%	-3.86
+30	2023-01-02	0.7912	-0.015	-1.90%	-4.08
+60	2023-01-30	0.8067	+0.000	+0.02%	+0.05
+90	2023-02-27	0.8043	-0.002	-0.27%	-0.57

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 0.47%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-11-04	102.1	+58.716	+135.30%	+13.75
−14	2022-11-21	61.92	+18.524	+42.69%	+4.34
−7	2022-11-28	50.19	+6.790	+15.65%	+1.59
−3	2022-12-02	47.86	+4.464	+10.29%	+1.05
−1	2022-12-02	47.86	+4.464	+10.29%	+1.05
T0	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	43.40	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-12-06	42.43	-0.970	-2.24%	-0.23
+3	2022-12-08	43.18	-0.220	-0.51%	-0.05
+7	2022-12-12	45.31	+1.916	+4.42%	+0.45
+14	2022-12-19	47.36	+3.968	+9.14%	+0.93
+30	2023-01-04	52.92	+9.520	+21.94%	+2.23
+60	2023-02-03	39.25	-4.142	-9.54%	-0.97
+90	2023-03-03	36.90	-6.496	-14.97%	-1.52

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 9.84%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 737). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-11-04	36.21	+16.548	+84.15%	+0.46
−14	2022-11-21	25.46	+5.798	+29.48%	+0.16
−7	2022-11-28	21.75	+2.086	+10.61%	+0.06
−3	2022-12-02	19.76	+0.096	+0.49%	+0.00
−1	2022-12-02	19.76	+0.096	+0.49%	+0.00
T0	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	19.67	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-12-06	20.42	+0.752	+3.82%	+0.02
+3	2022-12-08	14.66	-5.008	-25.47%	-0.14
+7	2022-12-12	13.81	-5.854	-29.77%	-0.16
+14	2022-12-19	13.89	-5.776	-29.37%	-0.16
+30	2023-01-04	25.20	+5.530	+28.12%	+0.15
+60	2023-02-03	24.34	+4.678	+23.79%	+0.13
+90	2023-03-03	25.60	+5.936	+30.18%	+0.17

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 182.43%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 737). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-11-04	51.50	+24.486	+90.64%	+0.51
−14	2022-11-21	42.81	+15.794	+58.46%	+0.33
−7	2022-11-28	30.74	+3.724	+13.78%	+0.08
−3	2022-12-02	31.06	+4.044	+14.97%	+0.08
−1	2022-12-02	31.06	+4.044	+14.97%	+0.08
T0	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	27.02	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-12-06	27.60	+0.584	+2.16%	+0.01
+3	2022-12-08	35.20	+8.180	+30.28%	+0.17
+7	2022-12-12	36.79	+9.770	+36.16%	+0.21
+14	2022-12-19	36.02	+9.008	+33.34%	+0.19
+30	2023-01-04	53.97	+26.950	+99.76%	+0.57
+60	2023-02-03	29.38	+2.368	+8.77%	+0.05
+90	2023-03-03	39.71	+12.698	+47.00%	+0.27

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 176.40%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 737). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Mhux disponibbli: imblukkat mil-liċenzja

Jeżisti sors, iżda l-liċenzja tiegħu ma tippermettilniex nippubblikawh mill-ġdid. Dawn il-kanali mhumiex neqsin mid-dinja, iżda biss minn din il-paġna.

nol tat-tankers “dirty” mill-Golf Għarbi lejn il-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

In-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers (ringiela 17: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

Il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

M’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

T0: 05/12/2022. Tieqa ta’ referenza: jiem -90 sa -31. Punti tat-tieqa kkalkulati: -30, -14, -7, -3, -1, 0, 1, 3, 7, 14, 30, 60, 90. Metodu: 1.0, kalkolu: event_study-1.0, ikkalkulat: 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC.

L-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”: huwa tassew ir-raġuni?

Il-mistoqsija tinqasam f’dimensjonijiet li jitkejlu separatament u qatt ma jingħaddu f’numru wieħed. Kull ringiela tgħid jekk nistgħux naraw dik id-dimensjoni, u tagħti ċifra ppubblikata waħda fejn nistgħu.

Mit-tmien kanali ta’ trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet li jirrapporta dan is-sit, kanali b’data f’dan il-kalkolu: 4 Ikkalkulat – għadd tar-ringieli ta’ hawn taħt, mhux kejl.

Metodoloġija §11.1 tippubblika l-limiti li jużaw is-sentenzi ta’ hawn taħt: it-tmien kanali kollha preżenti għall-paragun sħiħ, mill-inqas tlieta biex l-istqarrija tkun tista’ tiġi ttestjata hawn, u 2.0 unitajiet ta’ volatilità biex ċaqliq jiġi deskritt bħala barra mill-varjazzjoni normali ta’ serje. Dawn huma għażliet ta’ kliem ippubblikati, mhux testijiet statistiċi.

Dimensjonijiet tal-esponiment għall-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, kull waħda bl-istatus tagħha u ċifra ppubblikata waħda.
Dimensjoni	Status	Ċifra ppubblikata, jew għaliex m’hemmx
Esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum (D1)Sehem miż-żejt mhux maħdum importat li r-rotta tiegħu teħtieġ l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz.	Osservat	0 % tat-tunnellati importati punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-01-01)
Esponiment dirett tal-prodotti (D2)Sehem mill-prodotti raffinati importati li r-rotta tagħhom teħtieġ l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz.	Osservat	0 % tat-tunnellati importati punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-01-01)
Kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza (D7)Il-jiem ta’ kopertura li jammontaw għalihom il-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati. Riżerva kontra interruzzjoni tal-provvista, mhux sehem mill-importazzjonijiet, u mhux kanal tal-prezz.	Osservat	100.0 kopertura (jiem) punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-01-01)+2.04% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +0.62 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdumIl-prezz kwotat taż-żejt mhux maħdum li fuqu jiġu pprezzati t-tagħbijiet Ewropej.	Osservat	75.31 $ għal kull barmil punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-01-04)-9.66% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -2.14 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinatiIl-prezz kwotat tal-prodotti li fuqu jipprezzaw ir-raffineriji u l-bejjiegħa bl-ingrossa.	Mhux disponibbli	Il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.
Marġni tar-raffinarKemm qala’ r-raffinar ta’ barmil f’dan il-prodott.	Mhux disponibbli	M’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.
NoliKemm swiet il-ġarr tal-merkanzija bil-baħar.	Mhux disponibbli	In-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers (ringiela 17: BLOCKED).
StokkijietL-istokkijiet miżmuma, li jassorbu jew ikabbru bidla fil-provvista.	Osservat	1,627,758 t punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-01-01)+6.67% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +1.94 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezzijiet bl-ingrossaIl-prezz bejn il-bieb tar-raffinerija u l-pompa tal-petrol.	Mhux disponibbli	Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).
Prezz fil-pompa mingħajr taxxiIl-prezz fil-pompa mingħajr id-dazju tas-sisa, il-VAT u taxxi oħra fuq il-karburant.	Osservat	0.9457 € għal kull litru punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-01-02)-8.54% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -3.81 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz fil-pompa bit-taxxiDak li fil-fatt ħallas sewwieq.	Osservat	1.612 € għal kull litru punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-01-02)-6.17% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -4.20 unitajiet ta’ volatilità

L-esponiment fiżiku (l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz) u l-esponiment tal-prezz huma mistoqsijiet differenti. Pajjiż kważi mingħajr esponiment fiżiku dirett xorta jista’ jara l-prezz fil-pompa tiegħu jiċċaqlaq: iż-żejt mhux maħdum jiġi pprezzat fuq livell globali – u serje li ċċaqilqet f’din it-tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.

X’għamel il-prezz fil-pompa madwar din id-data

Il-paġna tal-qsim tal-prezz tista’ tiġi ffissata fuq il-ġimgħat madwar id-data tal-avveniment, biex iċ-ċaqliq fil-pompa jinqasam fit-taxxa, fl-ispiża tal-input u fil-parti li l-ispiża tal-input ma tkoprix.

Qsim tal-prezz (28/11/2022 – 04/01/2023) →

It-tieqa hija madwar id-data ppubblikata tal-avveniment (jiem qabel: 7; jiem wara: 30). Hija tieqa biex wieħed iħares, mhux dikjarazzjoni li l-avveniment kien fl-oriġini ta’ dak li fiha.

Attwali kontra ż-żejt mhux maħdum biss: is-Slovakkja, petrol (Euro-super 95)

X’għamel il-prezz mingħajr taxxi minn erba’ ġimgħat qabel sa tlettax-il ġimgħa wara l-ġimgħa tal-avveniment, ħdejn dak li kien jagħmel li kieku segwa biss l-ispiża tal-input taż-żejt mhux maħdum bil-pass li tkejjel l-istima maħżuna tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet. Id-differenza mdella mhix spjegata miż-żejt mhux maħdum; mhix attribwita lill-avveniment jew lil xi ħaġa oħra. L-ebda karburant mhu magħżul: jintwera l-petrol.

Il-paragun maż-żejt mhux maħdum biss ma setax jinqara.

API 404 for /api/events/eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022/crude-only: No stored crude-only run for 'eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022' and country 'slovakia'. Runs are stored for the pilot countries; available_countries lists them.

X’jappoġġaw in-numri, sentenza b’sentenza

Kull sentenza ġejja minn mudell fiss, magħżul skont limiti ppubblikati. Iftaħ “Għaliex din is-sentenza” biex tara n-numri li għażluha. L-ebda parti minn dan it-test mhi miktuba minn mudell lingwistiku, u l-ebda parti minnu ma tattribwixxi kawża.

Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, is-Slovakkja) inbidel b’-6.1%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.0 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: is-SlovakkjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
0.72385
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
-3.936129904270816
t0_value
0.77052
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-6.056948554223121
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_SK_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-12-12
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-2.0319287734673748
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.04666999999999999
change_pct_from_t0
-6.056948554223121
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
2.9808862561098888
change_in_volatility_units
-2.0319287734673748
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
0.72385
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
-3.936129904270816
t0_value
0.77052
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-6.056948554223121
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_SK_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-12-12
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-2.0319287734673748
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.04666999999999999
change_pct_from_t0
-6.056948554223121
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
2.9808862561098888
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-2.0319287734673748
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità cfe39ae6d46210dea0f7b72967591c4c76d1baedf8a293247dd0dfefb273e0e6 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, is-Slovakkja) inbidel b’-10.0%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’3.3 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: is-SlovakkjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
0.6938500000000001
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
-4.836537065261507
t0_value
0.77052
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-9.95042309089964
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_SK_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2023-01-02
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-3.3380754030799973
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.0766699999999999
change_pct_from_t0
-9.95042309089964
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
2.9808862561098888
change_in_volatility_units
-3.3380754030799973
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
0.6938500000000001
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
-4.836537065261507
t0_value
0.77052
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-9.95042309089964
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_SK_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2023-01-02
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-3.3380754030799973
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.0766699999999999
change_pct_from_t0
-9.95042309089964
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
2.9808862561098888
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-3.3380754030799973
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 7f0b8a62ec6c5ece2f8184ae0eec907a883bd005b2dcaad75f134aaf18abff8b · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, is-Slovakkja) inbidel b’-1.4%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.5 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: is-SlovakkjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
0.7596799999999999
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
-2.8607436183276
t0_value
0.77052
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-1.4068421325857956
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_SK_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2023-02-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-0.471954315500032
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.010840000000000072
change_pct_from_t0
-1.4068421325857956
observation_gap_days
6
normal_volatility_pct
2.9808862561098888
change_in_volatility_units
-0.471954315500032
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
0.7596799999999999
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
-2.8607436183276
t0_value
0.77052
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-1.4068421325857956
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_SK_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2023-02-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-0.471954315500032
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.010840000000000072
change_pct_from_t0
-1.4068421325857956
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
6
normal_volatility_pct
2.9808862561098888
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-0.471954315500032
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 49d0dcd89edfcf62fde86e97f4ab84429786e90ba9e454c30919e3d24001b1fe · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, is-Slovakkja) inbidel b’-3.6%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.3 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: is-SlovakkjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
1.5210000000000001
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
-3.9361545792978814
t0_value
1.577
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-3.5510462904248463
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_SK_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-12-12
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-2.3467583263180023
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.05599999999999983
change_pct_from_t0
-3.5510462904248463
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
1.5131708495933358
change_in_volatility_units
-2.3467583263180023
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
1.5210000000000001
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
-3.9361545792978814
t0_value
1.577
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-3.5510462904248463
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_SK_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-12-12
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-2.3467583263180023
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.05599999999999983
change_pct_from_t0
-3.5510462904248463
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
1.5131708495933358
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-2.3467583263180023
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 5b01eda23a6f5839c2989c1a86f3706d7da75e5e7a117b96c90b855a6140a73c · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, is-Slovakkja) inbidel b’-5.8%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’3.9 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: is-SlovakkjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
1.485
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
-4.836561663362847
t0_value
1.577
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-5.833861762840828
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_SK_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2023-01-02
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-3.8553886789510097
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.09199999999999986
change_pct_from_t0
-5.833861762840828
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
1.5131708495933358
change_in_volatility_units
-3.8553886789510097
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
1.485
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
-4.836561663362847
t0_value
1.577
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-5.833861762840828
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_SK_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2023-01-02
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-3.8553886789510097
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.09199999999999986
change_pct_from_t0
-5.833861762840828
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
1.5131708495933358
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-3.8553886789510097
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 017810eda5100d83f29f6043d0c848c1859bde10bb9961b988729cc3092d13da · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, is-Slovakkja) inbidel b’-0.8%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.5 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: is-SlovakkjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
1.564
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
-2.860668339998064
t0_value
1.577
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-0.8243500317057642
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_SK_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2023-02-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-0.5447831828952481
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.0129999999999999
change_pct_from_t0
-0.8243500317057642
observation_gap_days
6
normal_volatility_pct
1.5131708495933358
change_in_volatility_units
-0.5447831828952481
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
1.564
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
-2.860668339998064
t0_value
1.577
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-0.8243500317057642
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_SK_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2023-02-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-0.5447831828952481
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.0129999999999999
change_pct_from_t0
-0.8243500317057642
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
6
normal_volatility_pct
1.5131708495933358
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-0.5447831828952481
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità a74c188b8b72e6eae9065c7941bb8c09bf71fe83e76fcf49061c0ddf49e52113 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, is-Slovakkja) inbidel b’-4.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.2 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: is-SlovakkjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
0.9831799999999999
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
-3.5088242066968682
t0_value
1.03402
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
-4.9167327517842985
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_SK_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-12-12
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-2.194048457452508
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.050839999999999996
change_pct_from_t0
-4.9167327517842985
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
2.2409408211034125
change_in_volatility_units
-2.194048457452508
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
0.9831799999999999
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
-3.5088242066968682
t0_value
1.03402
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
-4.9167327517842985
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_SK_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-12-12
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-2.194048457452508
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.050839999999999996
change_pct_from_t0
-4.9167327517842985
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
2.2409408211034125
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-2.194048457452508
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 7b28d430b5527331925c63d20da1ecb1cac6b056a52cb82b6694b1d3e5f7093e · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, is-Slovakkja) inbidel b’-8.5%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’3.8 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: is-SlovakkjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
0.94568
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
-4.407217363656038
t0_value
1.03402
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
-8.543355060830542
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_SK_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2023-01-02
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-3.8123965525443446
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.08833999999999997
change_pct_from_t0
-8.543355060830542
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
2.2409408211034125
change_in_volatility_units
-3.8123965525443446
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
0.94568
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
-4.407217363656038
t0_value
1.03402
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
-8.543355060830542
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_SK_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2023-01-02
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-3.8123965525443446
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.08833999999999997
change_pct_from_t0
-8.543355060830542
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
2.2409408211034125
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-3.8123965525443446
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità a9b90447b2c7602e31c68a4602721a65532f70fcc61a92b5d50670cedf2a597f · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, is-Slovakkja) inbidel b’-13.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’6.2 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: is-SlovakkjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
0.8906799999999999
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
-5.7248606605294885
t0_value
1.03402
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
-13.862401114098377
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_SK_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2023-02-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-6.185973758679043
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.14334000000000002
change_pct_from_t0
-13.862401114098377
observation_gap_days
6
normal_volatility_pct
2.2409408211034125
change_in_volatility_units
-6.185973758679043
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
0.8906799999999999
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
-5.7248606605294885
t0_value
1.03402
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
-13.862401114098377
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_SK_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2023-02-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-6.185973758679043
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.14334000000000002
change_pct_from_t0
-13.862401114098377
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
6
normal_volatility_pct
2.2409408211034125
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-6.185973758679043
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 0d7c26af7c49444196e35074b2bab7ba077604ef98b05fdd0c7b04ca3751947e · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, is-Slovakkja) inbidel b’-3.6%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.4 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: is-SlovakkjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
1.657
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
-3.5088398744414917
t0_value
1.718
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
-3.5506402793946417
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_SK_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-12-12
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-2.417357093617005
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.06099999999999994
change_pct_from_t0
-3.5506402793946417
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
1.46881083012934
change_in_volatility_units
-2.417357093617005
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
1.657
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
-3.5088398744414917
t0_value
1.718
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
-3.5506402793946417
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_SK_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-12-12
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-2.417357093617005
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.06099999999999994
change_pct_from_t0
-3.5506402793946417
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
1.46881083012934
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-2.417357093617005
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 0440bc2568de3f175510da2ebefe48e1dfad5e0107f396141c397b59021603fe · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, is-Slovakkja) inbidel b’-6.2%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’4.2 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: is-SlovakkjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
1.612
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
-4.407262601894503
t0_value
1.718
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
-6.169965075669376
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_SK_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2023-01-02
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-4.200653310219712
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.10599999999999987
change_pct_from_t0
-6.169965075669376
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
1.46881083012934
change_in_volatility_units
-4.200653310219712
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
1.612
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
-4.407262601894503
t0_value
1.718
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
-6.169965075669376
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_SK_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2023-01-02
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-4.200653310219712
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.10599999999999987
change_pct_from_t0
-6.169965075669376
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
1.46881083012934
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-4.200653310219712
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 38bfccc1b670569940a7cef802eb05a548d692a60e45026e578a5028e7c6114e · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, is-Slovakkja) inbidel b’-10.0%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’6.8 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: is-SlovakkjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
1.546
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
-5.724949268825591
t0_value
1.718
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
-10.011641443538995
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_SK_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2023-02-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-6.816154427903689
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.17199999999999993
change_pct_from_t0
-10.011641443538995
observation_gap_days
6
normal_volatility_pct
1.46881083012934
change_in_volatility_units
-6.816154427903689
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
1.546
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
-5.724949268825591
t0_value
1.718
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
-10.011641443538995
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_SK_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2023-02-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-6.816154427903689
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.17199999999999993
change_pct_from_t0
-10.011641443538995
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
6
normal_volatility_pct
1.46881083012934
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-6.816154427903689
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 9f63f8c09481246cd5619682fc8e574ec8fb8df075978003ff456c14e01c9545 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’-6.4%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.4 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
78
status
OBSERVED
z_score
-3.919330167431879
t0_value
83.36
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
-6.429942418426104
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
offset_days
7
series_code
BRENT
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-12-12
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-1.424724765497578
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
-5.359999999999999
change_pct_from_t0
-6.429942418426104
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.513111987760301
change_in_volatility_units
-1.424724765497578
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
78
status
OBSERVED
z_score
-3.919330167431879
t0_value
83.36
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
-6.429942418426104
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
BRENT
statement_topic
event
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-12-12
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-1.424724765497578
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
-5.359999999999999
change_pct_from_t0
-6.429942418426104
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.513111987760301
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-1.424724765497578
Mudell event.benchmark_move.within_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità b54773c6d8ea729448e355679535649a28ea7e4cedc8813dfcf6f2802aab32bd · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’-9.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.1 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
75.31
status
OBSERVED
z_score
-4.677910199838048
t0_value
83.36
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
-9.65690978886756
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
offset_days
30
series_code
BRENT
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2023-01-04
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-2.1397452168387128
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
-8.049999999999997
change_pct_from_t0
-9.65690978886756
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.513111987760301
change_in_volatility_units
-2.1397452168387128
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
75.31
status
OBSERVED
z_score
-4.677910199838048
t0_value
83.36
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
-9.65690978886756
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
BRENT
statement_topic
event
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2023-01-04
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-2.1397452168387128
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
-8.049999999999997
change_pct_from_t0
-9.65690978886756
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.513111987760301
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-2.1397452168387128
Mudell event.benchmark_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità a66bdad4120941189e2864b65cefe96af6989d6c7dc9d9e481dad3f463e1452c · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’+2.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.6 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
85.74
status
OBSERVED
z_score
-1.7366500741888493
t0_value
83.36
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
2.855086372360839
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
offset_days
90
series_code
BRENT
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2023-03-03
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.6326203249784009
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
2.3799999999999955
change_pct_from_t0
2.855086372360839
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
4.513111987760301
change_in_volatility_units
0.6326203249784009
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
85.74
status
OBSERVED
z_score
-1.7366500741888493
t0_value
83.36
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
2.855086372360839
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
BRENT
statement_topic
event
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2023-03-03
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.6326203249784009
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
2.3799999999999955
change_pct_from_t0
2.855086372360839
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
4.513111987760301
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
0.6326203249784009
Mudell event.benchmark_move.within_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 95c15aae3aef102cb53ce9861989a6b3fd3d482e297b83dd1613ec9cd40b15cc · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, is-Slovakkja) b’-1.1 c/l (firxa -3.2–+1.0); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’-7.7 c/l, u jibqa’ -6.6 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.
pajjiż: is-SlovakkjaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
weeks
4
status
COMPUTED
country
Slovakia
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_SK_EURO_SUPER_95
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
offset_weeks
4
proxy_product
GASOLINE
proxy_to_date
2022-12-30
pass_through_k
2
proxy_from_date
2022-12-05
observation_date
2023-01-02
gap_eur_per_litre
-0.06564152636662236
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-12-05
actual_eur_per_litre
-0.0766699999999999
expected_eur_per_litre
-0.01102847363337754
proxy_volatility_units
0.2070376188168671
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
7.428000000000001
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
expected_low_eur_per_litre
-0.0319848894507227
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.009927942183967994
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
182.43434263983826
Limiti
source
docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
proxy_rule
the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
confidence_cap
MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
statement_weeks
[4,13]
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
weeks
4
status
COMPUTED
country
Slovakia
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_SK_EURO_SUPER_95
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
offset_weeks
4
proxy_product
GASOLINE
proxy_to_date
2022-12-30
pass_through_k
2
proxy_from_date
2022-12-05
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2023-01-02
gap_eur_per_litre
-0.06564152636662236
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-12-05
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
actual_eur_per_litre
-0.0766699999999999
expected_eur_per_litre
-0.01102847363337754
proxy_volatility_units
0.2070376188168671
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
7.428000000000001
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
expected_low_eur_per_litre
-0.0319848894507227
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.009927942183967994
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
182.43434263983826
Mudell event.crude_only.computed v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 74f5ac34f7ca8a01f21384fb7315425ab0304cd6dd5a48efdbe9f1750b5c61a0 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 13-il ġimgħa wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, is-Slovakkja) b’+0.7 c/l (firxa -5.4–+6.8); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’-1.1 c/l, u jibqa’ -1.8 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.
pajjiż: is-SlovakkjaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
weeks
13
status
COMPUTED
country
Slovakia
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_SK_EURO_SUPER_95
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
offset_weeks
13
proxy_product
GASOLINE
proxy_to_date
2023-03-06
pass_through_k
2
proxy_from_date
2022-12-05
observation_date
2023-03-06
gap_eur_per_litre
-0.017641123747341243
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-12-05
actual_eur_per_litre
-0.010840000000000072
expected_eur_per_litre
0.006801123747341171
proxy_volatility_units
0.15391245706875872
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
5.5219999999999985
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
expected_low_eur_per_litre
-0.05414053139998079
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.06774277889466306
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
182.43434263983826
Limiti
source
docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
proxy_rule
the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
confidence_cap
MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
statement_weeks
[4,13]
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
weeks
13
status
COMPUTED
country
Slovakia
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_SK_EURO_SUPER_95
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
offset_weeks
13
proxy_product
GASOLINE
proxy_to_date
2023-03-06
pass_through_k
2
proxy_from_date
2022-12-05
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2023-03-06
gap_eur_per_litre
-0.017641123747341243
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-12-05
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
actual_eur_per_litre
-0.010840000000000072
expected_eur_per_litre
0.006801123747341171
proxy_volatility_units
0.15391245706875872
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
5.5219999999999985
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
expected_low_eur_per_litre
-0.05414053139998079
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.06774277889466306
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
182.43434263983826
Mudell event.crude_only.computed v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 3bdca03824a34e016dd70395f1ea82c9bdce8e4dc2d1511eb9a641565ed2ae3a · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, is-Slovakkja) b’-0.3 c/l (firxa -2.7–+2.0); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’-8.8 c/l, u jibqa’ -8.5 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum. Fl-istess perjodu, il-crack spread tal-Istati Uniti (diżil), indikatur tas-suq tal-prodotti tal-Atlantiku u mhux marġni Ewropew, kiber b’12.6 $/bbl.
pajjiż: is-SlovakkjaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
weeks
4
status
COMPUTED
country
Slovakia
fuel_type
DIESEL
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_SK_DIESEL
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
offset_weeks
4
proxy_product
DIESEL
proxy_to_date
2022-12-30
pass_through_k
3
proxy_from_date
2022-12-05
observation_date
2023-01-02
gap_eur_per_litre
-0.08496791193303008
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-12-05
actual_eur_per_litre
-0.08833999999999997
expected_eur_per_litre
-0.0033720880669698937
proxy_volatility_units
2.948513147105371
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
12.594000000000001
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
expected_low_eur_per_litre
-0.026525110742442008
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.019780934608502596
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
9.842624566455152
Limiti
source
docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
proxy_rule
the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
confidence_cap
MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
statement_weeks
[4,13]
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
weeks
4
status
COMPUTED
country
Slovakia
fuel_type
DIESEL
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_SK_DIESEL
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
offset_weeks
4
proxy_product
DIESEL
proxy_to_date
2022-12-30
pass_through_k
3
proxy_from_date
2022-12-05
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2023-01-02
gap_eur_per_litre
-0.08496791193303008
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-12-05
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
actual_eur_per_litre
-0.08833999999999997
expected_eur_per_litre
-0.0033720880669698937
proxy_volatility_units
2.948513147105371
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
12.594000000000001
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
expected_low_eur_per_litre
-0.026525110742442008
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.019780934608502596
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
9.842624566455152
Mudell event.crude_only.computed_with_proxy v1.1 · Marka tal-identità caf04a9299465c06f22aecf0a47b85ee54b555dc512106243d2f8b4501e3b0c6 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 13-il ġimgħa wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, is-Slovakkja) b’+3.7 c/l (firxa -3.8–+11.2); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’-14.4 c/l, u jibqa’ -18.1 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.
pajjiż: is-SlovakkjaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
weeks
13
status
COMPUTED
country
Slovakia
fuel_type
DIESEL
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_SK_DIESEL
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
offset_weeks
13
proxy_product
DIESEL
proxy_to_date
2023-03-06
pass_through_k
3
proxy_from_date
2022-12-05
observation_date
2023-03-06
gap_eur_per_litre
-0.18140520046419073
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-12-05
actual_eur_per_litre
-0.1441699999999999
expected_eur_per_litre
0.037235200464190814
proxy_volatility_units
-1.6767707765260176
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
-7.161999999999999
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
expected_low_eur_per_litre
-0.03794598818794477
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.11241638911632873
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
9.842624566455152
Limiti
source
docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
proxy_rule
the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
confidence_cap
MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
statement_weeks
[4,13]
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
weeks
13
status
COMPUTED
country
Slovakia
fuel_type
DIESEL
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_SK_DIESEL
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
offset_weeks
13
proxy_product
DIESEL
proxy_to_date
2023-03-06
pass_through_k
3
proxy_from_date
2022-12-05
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2023-03-06
gap_eur_per_litre
-0.18140520046419073
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-12-05
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
actual_eur_per_litre
-0.1441699999999999
expected_eur_per_litre
0.037235200464190814
proxy_volatility_units
-1.6767707765260176
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
-7.161999999999999
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
expected_low_eur_per_litre
-0.03794598818794477
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.11241638911632873
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
9.842624566455152
Mudell event.crude_only.computed v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 2bede087cdead9265ffdce5a4d966ae7f50c909aa20b9f29c8d44d468e013824 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Is-Slovakkja, Diċembru 2022: id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (żejt mhux maħdum) kienet limitata (0%).
pajjiż: is-SlovakkjaIkkalkulatGħolja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
band
limited
unit
% of imported tonnes
period
2022-12
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
commodity
crude
dimension
DIRECT_CRUDE
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
value_max_pct
0
value_min_pct
0
exposure_status
COMPUTED
value_point_pct
0
observation_date
2022-12-01
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
band_applied_to
upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
dependence_limited_max_pct
10
dependence_moderate_max_pct
33
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
band
limited
unit
% of imported tonnes
period
2022-12
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
commodity
crude
dimension
DIRECT_CRUDE
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
value_max_pct
0
value_min_pct
0
exposure_status
COMPUTED
statement_topic
hormuz
value_point_pct
0
observation_date
2022-12-01
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.dependence.point v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 6953dd387e7ae3e30ac3aefb28c2ce3affeb0087db253b949156874de9ffbd01 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Is-Slovakkja, Diċembru 2022: id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (prodott raffinat) kienet limitata (0%).
pajjiż: is-SlovakkjaIkkalkulatGħolja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
band
limited
unit
% of imported tonnes
period
2022-12
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
commodity
refined product
dimension
DIRECT_PRODUCT
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
value_max_pct
0
value_min_pct
0
exposure_status
COMPUTED
value_point_pct
0
observation_date
2022-12-01
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
band_applied_to
upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
dependence_limited_max_pct
10
dependence_moderate_max_pct
33
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
band
limited
unit
% of imported tonnes
period
2022-12
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
commodity
refined product
dimension
DIRECT_PRODUCT
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
value_max_pct
0
value_min_pct
0
exposure_status
COMPUTED
statement_topic
hormuz
value_point_pct
0
observation_date
2022-12-01
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.dependence.point v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 24b7f21e2859058f6fbe6a66d05009f60aef820dd1733164fab5cc8084e3f58e · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Noli – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: in-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["freight rates"]
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
Limiti
source
CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
true
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["freight rates"]
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
statement_topic
event
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 81f14ddf9bdd5a846c68ffa6a0c2ac90cc0051c094198d9fc185147f886c0b88 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinati – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni. Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["refined-product benchmark"]
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
Limiti
source
CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
true
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["refined-product benchmark"]
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
statement_topic
event
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 91941020696deeb37b6bfcb5c4e321ba5865cedc68042d4a64d30524b6fb2549 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Prezzijiet bl-ingrossa – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["wholesale prices"]
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
Limiti
source
CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
true
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["wholesale prices"]
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
statement_topic
event
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.1 · Marka tal-identità e638c4d7da43b662509013a365f2d13fca0fa20208646d67ade6d6d3b40790a0 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Marġni tar-raffinar – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: m’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["refining margin"]
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
reason_code
NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
Limiti
source
CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
true
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["refining margin"]
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
statement_topic
event
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.1 · Marka tal-identità e1f282615a660e84b280ecac2938abde9502c7d8209f04d500d682817c457aef · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
L-evidenza disponibbli ma turix tnaqqis fiżiku fil-provvista: l-importazzjonijiet irrappurtati taż-żejt mhux maħdum (is-Slovakkja, Diċembru 2022) meta mqabbla mal-medja tax-xhur ta’ qabel (12): +25.5%.
pajjiż: is-SlovakkjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
unit
tonnes
month
2022-12
country
Slovakia
change_pct
25.498252904691864
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
partner_role
ORIGIN
value_tonnes
564424
baseline_months
12
observation_date
2022-12-01
series_source_ids
["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
baseline_mean_tonnes
449746.5
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no cut-off
min_baseline_months
6
baseline_months_used
12
supply_reduction_pct
-10
supply_baseline_months
12
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
unit
tonnes
month
2022-12
country
Slovakia
change_pct
25.498252904691864
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
partner_role
ORIGIN
value_tonnes
564424
baseline_months
12
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-12-01
series_source_ids
["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
baseline_mean_tonnes
449746.5
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.supply.no_reduction v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 2049586d5dda39845504a01d612f416351077062a942693891e10aced72736cd · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Diċembru 2022: l-istokkijiet taż-żejt (is-Slovakkja) kienu 3.0% ogħla meta mqabbla mal-medja mobbli tagħhom (xhur: 12) — ġewwa l-faxxa ta’ 5% fuq kull naħa li dan is-sit jaqra bħala konformi magħha, jiem ta’ kopertura: 98.0 (kif ippubblikati).
pajjiż: is-SlovakkjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
unit
tonnes
month
2022-12
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
direction
above
siec_code
O4000
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
holder_type
STK_CL
series_code
INVENTORY_SK
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
days_of_cover
98
metric_status
COMPUTED
mom_change_pct
6.3396246401425005
observation_date
2022-12-01
series_source_ids
["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
total_stock_tonnes
1525913
days_of_cover_basis
as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
observation_gap_days
4
trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
1482107.9166666667
level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
2.9555933708156092
trailing_12m_observations
12
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no band
band_applied_to
the rounded figure printed in the sentence
days_of_cover_basis
as published (Eurostat nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); never stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
trailing_window_months
12
level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_raw
2.9555933708156092
level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_shown
3
inventory_material_deviation_pct
5
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
unit
tonnes
month
2022-12
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
direction
above
siec_code
O4000
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
holder_type
STK_CL
series_code
INVENTORY_SK
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
days_of_cover
98
metric_status
COMPUTED
mom_change_pct
6.3396246401425005
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-12-01
series_source_ids
["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
total_stock_tonnes
1525913
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
days_of_cover_basis
as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
4
trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
1482107.9166666667
level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
2.9555933708156092
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
trailing_12m_observations
12
Mudell event.inventory_level.in_line v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 8e4ee0f183ace7added3b646e6dbc2b65a4edd21d94365b67075edcc3baf2f89 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC
Sommarju ta’ x’jista’ jiġi vverifikat hawn
Parti biss mill-katina tista’ tiġi vverifikata għal dan il-pajjiż (is-Slovakkja) madwar l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”: serje disponibbli: 4 minn 8 (prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdum, stokkijiet, prezz fil-pompa mingħajr taxxi u prezz fil-pompa bit-taxxi); mhux disponibbli: prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinati, marġni tar-raffinar, noli u prezzijiet bl-ingrossa. Kull dikjarazzjoni bbażata fuq ir-rabtiet neqsin ma tistax tiġi ttestjata hawn. Id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (żejt mhux maħdum) kienet limitata (0–0%) matul il-perjodu kopert. Din il-paġna tiddeskrivi x’għamlet kull serje madwar id-data tal-avveniment. Mhijiex sejba dwar kawża: l-ebda disinn kawżali mhu ppubblikat għal dan is-sit, u serje li ċċaqilqet fl-istess tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.
pajjiż: is-SlovakkjaMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
country
Slovakia
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
dependence_band
limited
dependence_range
0–0%
channels_available
["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
supply_template_id
event.supply.no_reduction
channels_unavailable
["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; the channel list is docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.3
channels_total
8
channels_available
4
verdict_partial_min_channels
3
verdict_assessable_min_channels
8
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
country
Slovakia
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
dependence_band
limited
statement_topic
event
dependence_range
0–0%
channels_available
["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
supply_template_id
event.supply.no_reduction
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
channels_unavailable
["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.verdict.partial v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 12ab598c6a1f3e93d8f688fdce03c042da7120080b083646c083518799d0013b · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

X’ma jurix dan

Ma jurix li l-avveniment kien fl-oriġini ta’ xi ħaġa. L-ebda disinn kawżali mhu ppubblikat għal dan is-sit, u serje li ċċaqilqet f’din it-tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.
Bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza, u lanqas punteġġ z ma hu. Ikejlu affarijiet differenti u mhumiex interkambjabbli.
Il-kanali mingħajr sors b’liċenzja għall-użu jew diġà mtella’ jintwerew bħala pannelli vojta, mhux bħala linji ċatti. “Ma nistgħux naraw dan” ma jfissirx “dan ma ċċaqlaqx”.
Xejn ma jiġi interpolat. Fejn diversi punti tat-tieqa jaqgħu fuq ċifra ppubblikata waħda, dak hu li stampa l-pubblikatur, u l-bidla meta mqabbla mad-data tal-avveniment hija żero: huwa l-istess numru.

Is-Slovakkja: provvista, raffineriji u prezzijiet fil-pompa →

Kif jinqraw it-tikketti

UffiċjaliIrrappurtat direttament minn awtorità uffiċjali.
IvverifikatIrrappurtat minn parti terza u vverifikat minna ma’ rekord primarju.
IkkalkulatIkkalkulat minna minn inputs irrappurtati. Il-metodu huwa ppubblikat fil-paġna tal-metodoloġija.
Inferit · kunfidenza għoljaMhux irrappurtat. Inferit minn mill-inqas żewġ rekords fiżiċi indipendenti.
Inferit · kunfidenza medjaMhux irrappurtat. Inferit minn evidenza indiretta qawwija, mingħajr konferma espliċita.
Inferit · kunfidenza baxxaMhux irrappurtat. Plawżibbli biss minn data dwar l-infrastruttura jew il-movimenti. Taqrahx bħala fatt.
Mhux magħrufL-ebda evidenza pubblika difendibbli ma tistabbilixxi dan. Ma nagħmlux suppożizzjonijiet, u dan mhuwiex kejl ta’ żero.

Europe Brent spot FOB

reported crude oil imports, all origins

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE

esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1

esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2

esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Mhux disponibbli: imblukkat mil-liċenzja

nol tat-tankers “dirty” mill-Golf Għarbi lejn il-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

L-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”: huwa tassew ir-raġuni?

X’għamel il-prezz fil-pompa madwar din id-data

Attwali kontra ż-żejt mhux maħdum biss: is-Slovakkja, petrol (Euro-super 95)

X’jappoġġaw in-numri, sentenza b’sentenza

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