Fuel Origin

Avvenimenti / Projbizzjoni fuq l-importazzjoni

Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)

Dati
05/12/2022 → l-ebda data tat-tmiem irreġistrata
Preċiżjoni tad-data
jum
Status
Għadu għaddej
Ambitu
L-Unjoni Ewropea

X’qalu s-sorsi (bl-Ingliż)

Sixth package of EU sanctions, adopted 3 June 2022 (Council Regulation (EU) 2022/879 amending Regulation (EU) No 833/2014). European Commission, 3 June 2022: "a complete import ban on all Russian seaborne crude oil and petroleum products"; "For seaborne crude oil, spot market transactions and execution of existing contracts will be permitted for six months after entry into force, while for petroleum products, these will be permitted for eight months." Eurostat, 19 June 2023: "The ban on imports of seaborne crude oil entered into force on 5 December 2022, while the ban on petroleum products took effect on 5 February 2023." Temporary derogations apply to pipeline crude for certain member states and to Bulgaria and Croatia, so reported imports from Russia do not fall to zero. This row is a timeline marker only; it makes no statement about prices.

L-AIE, l-EIA, il-Kummissjoni Ewropea, il-Kunsill Ewropew u leġiżlaturi nazzjonali (iċċitati għal kull ringiela)Uffiċjali
Miġbur 23/09/2026 07:22 UTCReviżjoni 1
Dokumenti tas-sors (3)
PajjiżPajjiżIl-ĠermanjaFranzaIn-NetherlandsIl-PolonjaIl-FinlandjaL-EstonjaL-AwstrijaIl-BelġjuIl-BulgarijaIl-KroazjaĊipruIċ-ĊekjaId-DanimarkaIl-GreċjaL-UngerijaL-IrlandaL-ItaljaIl-LatvjaIl-LitwanjaIl-LussemburguMaltaIl-PortugallIr-RumanijaIs-SlovakkjaIs-SlovenjaSpanjaL-Iżvezja
KarburantKarburantDiżil (żejt tal-gass għall-vetturi)Petrol (Euro-super 95)Iż-żewġ karburanti

Jekk tagħżel karburant, jinżammu s-serje ta’ dak il-karburant u l-kanali komuni għall-karburanti kollha – il-prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdum, ir-rata tal-kambju, l-importazzjonijiet taż-żejt mhux maħdum u l-esponiment għal Hormuz. Jitneħħew biss is-serje tal-karburant l-ieħor.

It-tieqa tal-avveniment

Kemm kienet tiswa kull serje fil-jiem madwar id-data tal-avveniment (minn -30 sa 90), kemm dan hu ’l bogħod mil-livell tal-istess serje fid-data tal-avveniment, u kemm hu kbir dak iċ-ċaqliq meta mqabbel mal-varjazzjoni normali tas-serje stess.

L-Irlanda, il-karburanti kollha f’dan il-kalkolu. Serje li jistgħu jitpinġew: 22; serje li ma jistgħu jidhru bl-ebda mod, murija hawn taħt bħala pannelli vojta b’tikketta: 7.

Qari ppubblikat: 286; punti tat-tieqa mingħajr xejn ippubblikat fi żmien perjodu wieħed: 0; punti tat-tieqa fuq serje li ma nistgħu naraw xejn minnhom: 91. Kollha jidhru f’din il-paġna.

Europe Brent spot FOB

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+90102.472.42022-11-04: 99.53 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 88.44 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 83.50 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −72022-12-02: 86.54 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 83.36 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T02022-12-06: 79.92 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +12022-12-08: 76.02 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +32022-12-12: 78.00 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 81.66 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-04: 75.31 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-02-03: 78.85 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-03-03: 85.74 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Europe Brent spot FOB): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-11-0499.53+16.170+19.40%+4.30
−142022-11-2188.44+5.080+6.09%+1.35
−72022-11-2883.50+0.140+0.17%+0.04
−32022-12-0286.54+3.180+3.81%+0.85
−12022-12-0286.54+3.180+3.81%+0.85
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T083.360.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-0679.92-3.440-4.13%-0.91
+32022-12-0876.02-7.340-8.81%-1.95
+72022-12-1278.00-5.360-6.43%-1.42
+142022-12-1981.66-1.700-2.04%-0.45
+302023-01-0475.31-8.050-9.66%-2.14
+602023-02-0378.85-4.510-5.41%-1.20
+902023-03-0385.74+2.380+2.86%+0.63

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 4.51%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 760). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

reported crude oil imports, all origins

Unità: tIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+90329,226232,6372022-11-01: 253,443 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −30, −14, −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-01, 319,879 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T0, +1, +3, +7, +142023-01-01: 249,404 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-02-01: 241,984 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-03-01: 244,574 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (reported crude oil imports, all origins): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-11-01253,443-66,436-20.77%-0.68
−142022-11-01253,443-66,436-20.77%-0.68
−72022-11-01253,443-66,436-20.77%-0.68
−32022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0319,8790.0000.00%0.00
−12022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0319,8790.0000.00%0.00
T02022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0319,8790.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0319,8790.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0319,8790.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0319,8790.0000.00%0.00
+142022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0319,8790.0000.00%0.00
+302023-01-01249,404-70,475-22.03%-0.72
+602023-02-01241,984-77,895-24.35%-0.79
+902023-03-01244,574-75,305-23.54%-0.77

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 30.73%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 35). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja
T0−30T0+30+60+901.1531.0722022-10-31: 1.098 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 1.122 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 1.117 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 1.108 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +32022-12-12: 1.095 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 1.083 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-02: 1.080 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-01-30: 1.113 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-02-27: 1.145 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-10-311.098-0.010-0.94%-0.02
−142022-11-211.122+0.014+1.22%+0.03
−72022-11-281.117+0.009+0.81%+0.02
−32022-11-281.117+0.009+0.81%+0.02
−12022-11-281.117+0.009+0.81%+0.02
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.1080.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.1080.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.1080.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-121.095-0.014-1.23%-0.03
+142022-12-191.083-0.025-2.27%-0.05
+302023-01-021.080-0.029-2.58%-0.06
+602023-01-301.113+0.005+0.42%+0.01
+902023-02-271.145+0.037+3.35%+0.08

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 42.26%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja
T0−30T0+30+60+900.9250.8512022-10-31: 0.9043 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 0.9175 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 0.9104 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 0.9025 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +32022-12-12: 0.8874 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 0.8702 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-02: 0.8578 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-01-30: 0.8724 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-02-27: 0.8889 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-10-310.9043+0.002+0.20%+0.05
−142022-11-210.9175+0.015+1.66%+0.44
−72022-11-280.9104+0.008+0.87%+0.23
−32022-11-280.9104+0.008+0.87%+0.23
−12022-11-280.9104+0.008+0.87%+0.23
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.90250.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.90250.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.90250.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-120.8874-0.015-1.67%-0.44
+142022-12-190.8702-0.032-3.58%-0.94
+302023-01-020.8578-0.045-4.96%-1.30
+602023-01-300.8724-0.030-3.33%-0.87
+902023-02-270.8889-0.014-1.51%-0.40

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 3.81%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE

Unità: USD għal kull EURIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+901.1060.9742022-11-04: 0.9872 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 1.025 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 1.046 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −72022-12-02: 1.054 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 1.059 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T02022-12-06: 1.052 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +12022-12-08: 1.052 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +32022-12-12: 1.056 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 1.060 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-04: 1.060 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-02-03: 1.094 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-03-03: 1.062 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-11-040.9872-0.072-6.75%-13.43
−142022-11-211.025-0.034-3.22%-6.40
−72022-11-281.046-0.012-1.17%-2.33
−32022-12-021.054-0.005-0.46%-0.92
−12022-12-021.054-0.005-0.46%-0.92
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.0590.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-061.052-0.007-0.67%-1.33
+32022-12-081.052-0.007-0.64%-1.28
+72022-12-121.056-0.002-0.24%-0.47
+142022-12-191.060+0.001+0.10%+0.21
+302023-01-041.060+0.001+0.11%+0.23
+602023-02-031.094+0.035+3.31%+6.57
+902023-03-031.062+0.003+0.26%+0.53

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 0.50%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 770). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1

Unità: % tat-tunnellati importatiIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatBaxxa
T0−30T0+30+60+901.0000.0002022-11-01: 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −30, −14, −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-01, 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T0, +1, +3, +7, +142023-01-01: 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-02-01: 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-03-01: 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-11-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−142022-11-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−72022-11-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−32022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−12022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
T02022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+12022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+32022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+72022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+142022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+302023-01-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+602023-02-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+902023-03-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2

Unità: % tat-tunnellati importatiIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatBaxxa
T0−30T0+30+60+901.0000.0002022-11-01: 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −30, −14, −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-01, 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T0, +1, +3, +7, +142023-01-01: 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-02-01: 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-03-01: 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-11-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−142022-11-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−72022-11-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−32022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−12022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
T02022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+12022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+32022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+72022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+142022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+302023-01-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+602023-02-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+902023-03-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma

Unità: kopertura (jiem)Ippubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+9085.6079.402022-11-01: 80.00 kopertura (jiem), użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −30, −14, −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-01, 81.00 kopertura (jiem), użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T0, +1, +3, +7, +142023-01-01: 85.00 kopertura (jiem), użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-02-01: 85.00 kopertura (jiem), użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-03-01: 85.00 kopertura (jiem), użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-11-0180.00-1.000-1.23%-0.22
−142022-11-0180.00-1.000-1.23%-0.22
−72022-11-0180.00-1.000-1.23%-0.22
−32022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T081.000.0000.00%0.00
−12022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T081.000.0000.00%0.00
T02022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T081.000.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T081.000.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T081.000.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T081.000.0000.00%0.00
+142022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T081.000.0000.00%0.00
+302023-01-0185.00+4.000+4.94%+0.87
+602023-02-0185.00+4.000+4.94%+0.87
+902023-03-0185.00+4.000+4.94%+0.87

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 5.64%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 35). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+900.6280.4422022-10-31: 0.6104 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 0.5263 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 0.5123 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 0.4687 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +32022-12-12: 0.4798 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 0.4779 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-02: 0.4598 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-01-30: 0.4720 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-02-27: 0.4954 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-10-310.6104+0.142+30.24%+3.72
−142022-11-210.5263+0.058+12.30%+1.51
−72022-11-280.5123+0.044+9.31%+1.15
−32022-11-280.5123+0.044+9.31%+1.15
−12022-11-280.5123+0.044+9.31%+1.15
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.46870.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.46870.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.46870.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-120.4798+0.011+2.38%+0.29
+142022-12-190.4779+0.009+1.98%+0.24
+302023-01-020.4598-0.009-1.89%-0.23
+602023-01-300.4720+0.003+0.71%+0.09
+902023-02-270.4954+0.027+5.69%+0.70

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 8.13%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+900.6280.4422022-10-31: 0.6104 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 0.5263 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 0.5123 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 0.4687 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +32022-12-12: 0.4798 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 0.4779 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-02: 0.4598 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-01-30: 0.4720 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-02-27: 0.4954 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-10-310.6104+0.142+30.24%+3.72
−142022-11-210.5263+0.058+12.30%+1.51
−72022-11-280.5123+0.044+9.31%+1.15
−32022-11-280.5123+0.044+9.31%+1.15
−12022-11-280.5123+0.044+9.31%+1.15
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.46870.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.46870.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.46870.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-120.4798+0.011+2.38%+0.29
+142022-12-190.4779+0.009+1.98%+0.24
+302023-01-020.4598-0.009-1.89%-0.23
+602023-01-300.4720+0.003+0.71%+0.09
+902023-02-270.4954+0.027+5.69%+0.70

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 8.13%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom

Unità: tIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+902,005,3431,774,6942022-11-01: 1,797,015 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −30, −14, −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-01, 1,904,412 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T0, +1, +3, +7, +142023-01-01: 1,983,022 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-02-01: 1,942,082 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-03-01: 1,954,911 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-11-011,797,015-107,397-5.64%-1.42
−142022-11-011,797,015-107,397-5.64%-1.42
−72022-11-011,797,015-107,397-5.64%-1.42
−32022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01,904,4120.0000.00%0.00
−12022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01,904,4120.0000.00%0.00
T02022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01,904,4120.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01,904,4120.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01,904,4120.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01,904,4120.0000.00%0.00
+142022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01,904,4120.0000.00%0.00
+302023-01-011,983,022+78,610+4.13%+1.04
+602023-02-011,942,082+37,670+1.98%+0.50
+902023-03-011,954,911+50,499+2.65%+0.67

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 3.96%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 35). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja
T0−30T0+30+60+900.161-0.2492022-10-31: 0.1214 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 0.0834 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 0.0425 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 0 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +32022-12-12: -0.0431 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: -0.0813 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-02: -0.1426 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-01-30: -0.1551 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-02-27: -0.2093 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-10-310.1214+0.121mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−142022-11-210.0834+0.083mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−72022-11-280.0425+0.042mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−32022-11-280.0425+0.042mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−12022-11-280.0425+0.042mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+12022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+32022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+72022-12-12-0.0431-0.043mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+142022-12-19-0.0813-0.081mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+302023-01-02-0.1426-0.143mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+602023-01-30-0.1551-0.155mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+902023-02-27-0.2093-0.209mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja
T0−30T0+30+60+900.114-0.0972022-10-31: 0.0934 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 0.0616 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 0.0354 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 0 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +32022-12-12: -0.0267 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: -0.0449 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-02: -0.0767 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-01-30: -0.0546 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-02-27: -0.0574 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-10-310.0934+0.093mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−142022-11-210.0616+0.062mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−72022-11-280.0354+0.035mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−32022-11-280.0354+0.035mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−12022-11-280.0354+0.035mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+12022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+32022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+72022-12-12-0.0267-0.027mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+142022-12-19-0.0449-0.045mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+302023-01-02-0.0767-0.077mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+602023-01-30-0.0546-0.055mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+902023-02-27-0.0574-0.057mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+902.0661.6342022-10-31: 2.024 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 2.007 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 1.951 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 1.888 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +32022-12-12: 1.818 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 1.757 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-02: 1.677 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-01-30: 1.703 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-02-27: 1.676 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-10-312.024+0.137+7.24%+4.22
−142022-11-212.007+0.119+6.31%+3.68
−72022-11-281.951+0.063+3.35%+1.95
−32022-11-281.951+0.063+3.35%+1.95
−12022-11-281.951+0.063+3.35%+1.95
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.8880.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.8880.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.8880.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-121.818-0.070-3.70%-2.15
+142022-12-191.757-0.131-6.93%-4.04
+302023-01-021.677-0.211-11.16%-6.50
+602023-01-301.703-0.185-9.81%-5.71
+902023-02-271.676-0.212-11.22%-6.54

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.72%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+901.8551.5252022-10-31: 1.823 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 1.800 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 1.759 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 1.706 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +32022-12-12: 1.655 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 1.611 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-02: 1.557 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-01-30: 1.602 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-02-27: 1.619 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-10-311.823+0.117+6.86%+4.37
−142022-11-211.800+0.094+5.53%+3.52
−72022-11-281.759+0.053+3.12%+1.98
−32022-11-281.759+0.053+3.12%+1.98
−12022-11-281.759+0.053+3.12%+1.98
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.7060.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.7060.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.7060.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-121.655-0.051-3.01%-1.91
+142022-12-191.611-0.095-5.57%-3.54
+302023-01-021.557-0.149-8.75%-5.57
+602023-01-301.602-0.104-6.11%-3.89
+902023-02-271.619-0.087-5.12%-3.26

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.57%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+901.2530.9022022-10-31: 1.219 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 1.205 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 1.160 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 1.108 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +32022-12-12: 1.051 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 1.002 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-02: 0.9370 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-01-30: 0.9577 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-02-27: 0.9360 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-10-311.219+0.111+10.02%+3.14
−142022-11-211.205+0.097+8.74%+2.74
−72022-11-281.160+0.051+4.64%+1.46
−32022-11-281.160+0.051+4.64%+1.46
−12022-11-281.160+0.051+4.64%+1.46
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.1080.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.1080.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.1080.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-121.051-0.057-5.12%-1.61
+142022-12-191.002-0.106-9.60%-3.01
+302023-01-020.9370-0.171-15.45%-4.84
+602023-01-300.9577-0.150-13.58%-4.26
+902023-02-270.9360-0.172-15.54%-4.87

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 3.19%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+901.0240.7552022-10-31: 0.9977 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 0.9792 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 0.9457 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 0.9025 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +32022-12-12: 0.8608 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 0.8253 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-02: 0.7811 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-01-30: 0.8178 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-02-27: 0.8315 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-10-310.9977+0.095+10.55%+3.43
−142022-11-210.9792+0.077+8.50%+2.77
−72022-11-280.9457+0.043+4.79%+1.56
−32022-11-280.9457+0.043+4.79%+1.56
−12022-11-280.9457+0.043+4.79%+1.56
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.90250.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.90250.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.90250.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-120.8608-0.042-4.62%-1.50
+142022-12-190.8253-0.077-8.56%-2.79
+302023-01-020.7811-0.121-13.45%-4.38
+602023-01-300.8178-0.085-9.39%-3.06
+902023-02-270.8315-0.071-7.86%-2.56

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 3.07%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+900.8130.7322022-10-31: 0.8050 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 0.8017 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 0.7913 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 0.7794 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +32022-12-12: 0.7664 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 0.7549 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-02: 0.7400 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-01-30: 0.7448 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-02-27: 0.7398 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-10-310.8050+0.026+3.28%+2.55
−142022-11-210.8017+0.022+2.86%+2.22
−72022-11-280.7913+0.012+1.52%+1.18
−32022-11-280.7913+0.012+1.52%+1.18
−12022-11-280.7913+0.012+1.52%+1.18
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.77940.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.77940.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.77940.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-120.7664-0.013-1.68%-1.30
+142022-12-190.7549-0.024-3.14%-2.44
+302023-01-020.7400-0.039-5.05%-3.93
+602023-01-300.7448-0.035-4.44%-3.45
+902023-02-270.7398-0.040-5.08%-3.95

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.29%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+900.8310.7692022-10-31: 0.8252 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 0.8209 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 0.8133 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 0.8033 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +32022-12-12: 0.7937 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 0.7856 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-02: 0.7754 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-01-30: 0.7838 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-02-27: 0.7870 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-10-310.8252+0.022+2.73%+1.76
−142022-11-210.8209+0.018+2.19%+1.42
−72022-11-280.8133+0.010+1.24%+0.80
−32022-11-280.8133+0.010+1.24%+0.80
−12022-11-280.8133+0.010+1.24%+0.80
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.80330.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.80330.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.80330.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-120.7937-0.010-1.19%-0.77
+142022-12-190.7856-0.018-2.21%-1.43
+302023-01-020.7754-0.028-3.48%-2.24
+602023-01-300.7838-0.019-2.42%-1.56
+902023-02-270.7870-0.016-2.03%-1.31

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.55%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa
T0−30T0+30+60+90109.929.12022-11-04: 102.1 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 61.92 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 50.19 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −72022-12-02: 47.86 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 43.40 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T02022-12-06: 42.43 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +12022-12-08: 43.18 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +32022-12-12: 45.31 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 47.36 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-04: 52.92 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-02-03: 39.25 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-03-03: 36.90 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-11-04102.1+58.716+135.30%+13.75
−142022-11-2161.92+18.524+42.69%+4.34
−72022-11-2850.19+6.790+15.65%+1.59
−32022-12-0247.86+4.464+10.29%+1.05
−12022-12-0247.86+4.464+10.29%+1.05
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T043.400.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-0642.43-0.970-2.24%-0.23
+32022-12-0843.18-0.220-0.51%-0.05
+72022-12-1245.31+1.916+4.42%+0.45
+142022-12-1947.36+3.968+9.14%+0.93
+302023-01-0452.92+9.520+21.94%+2.23
+602023-02-0339.25-4.142-9.54%-0.97
+902023-03-0336.90-6.496-14.97%-1.52

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 9.84%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 737). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa
T0−30T0+30+60+9038.9011.122022-11-04: 36.21 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 25.46 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 21.75 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −72022-12-02: 19.76 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 19.67 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T02022-12-06: 20.42 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +12022-12-08: 14.66 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +32022-12-12: 13.81 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 13.89 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-04: 25.20 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-02-03: 24.34 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-03-03: 25.60 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-11-0436.21+16.548+84.15%+0.46
−142022-11-2125.46+5.798+29.48%+0.16
−72022-11-2821.75+2.086+10.61%+0.06
−32022-12-0219.76+0.096+0.49%+0.00
−12022-12-0219.76+0.096+0.49%+0.00
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T019.670.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-0620.42+0.752+3.82%+0.02
+32022-12-0814.66-5.008-25.47%-0.14
+72022-12-1213.81-5.854-29.77%-0.16
+142022-12-1913.89-5.776-29.37%-0.16
+302023-01-0425.20+5.530+28.12%+0.15
+602023-02-0324.34+4.678+23.79%+0.13
+902023-03-0325.60+5.936+30.18%+0.17

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 182.43%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 737). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa
T0−30T0+30+60+9057.2023.782022-11-04: 51.50 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 42.81 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 30.74 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −72022-12-02: 31.06 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 27.02 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T02022-12-06: 27.60 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +12022-12-08: 35.20 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +32022-12-12: 36.79 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 36.02 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-04: 53.97 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-02-03: 29.38 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-03-03: 39.71 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-11-0451.50+24.486+90.64%+0.51
−142022-11-2142.81+15.794+58.46%+0.33
−72022-11-2830.74+3.724+13.78%+0.08
−32022-12-0231.06+4.044+14.97%+0.08
−12022-12-0231.06+4.044+14.97%+0.08
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T027.020.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-0627.60+0.584+2.16%+0.01
+32022-12-0835.20+8.180+30.28%+0.17
+72022-12-1236.79+9.770+36.16%+0.21
+142022-12-1936.02+9.008+33.34%+0.19
+302023-01-0453.97+26.950+99.76%+0.57
+602023-02-0329.38+2.368+8.77%+0.05
+902023-03-0339.71+12.698+47.00%+0.27

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 176.40%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 737). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Mhux disponibbli: imblukkat mil-liċenzja

Jeżisti sors, iżda l-liċenzja tiegħu ma tippermettilniex nippubblikawh mill-ġdid. Dawn il-kanali mhumiex neqsin mid-dinja, iżda biss minn din il-paġna.

nol tat-tankers “dirty” mill-Golf Għarbi lejn il-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

In-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers (ringiela 17: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

Il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

Il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

M’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

M’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

Sors
European Commission, Directorate-General for Energy (DG ENER)Mhux magħruf
Perjodu 2022-10-31Aġġornat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTCKunfidenzaMhux magħrufaMetodoloġijaNiżżel is-CSV

T0: 05/12/2022. Tieqa ta’ referenza: jiem -90 sa -31. Punti tat-tieqa kkalkulati: -30, -14, -7, -3, -1, 0, 1, 3, 7, 14, 30, 60, 90. Metodu: 1.0, kalkolu: event_study-1.0, ikkalkulat: 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC.

L-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”: huwa tassew ir-raġuni?

Il-mistoqsija tinqasam f’dimensjonijiet li jitkejlu separatament u qatt ma jingħaddu f’numru wieħed. Kull ringiela tgħid jekk nistgħux naraw dik id-dimensjoni, u tagħti ċifra ppubblikata waħda fejn nistgħu.

Mit-tmien kanali ta’ trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet li jirrapporta dan is-sit, kanali b’data f’dan il-kalkolu: 4 Ikkalkulat – għadd tar-ringieli ta’ hawn taħt, mhux kejl.

Metodoloġija §11.1 tippubblika l-limiti li jużaw is-sentenzi ta’ hawn taħt: it-tmien kanali kollha preżenti għall-paragun sħiħ, mill-inqas tlieta biex l-istqarrija tkun tista’ tiġi ttestjata hawn, u 2.0 unitajiet ta’ volatilità biex ċaqliq jiġi deskritt bħala barra mill-varjazzjoni normali ta’ serje. Dawn huma għażliet ta’ kliem ippubblikati, mhux testijiet statistiċi.

Dimensjonijiet tal-esponiment għall-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, kull waħda bl-istatus tagħha u ċifra ppubblikata waħda.
DimensjoniStatusĊifra ppubblikata, jew għaliex m’hemmx
Esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum (D1)Sehem miż-żejt mhux maħdum importat li r-rotta tiegħu teħtieġ l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz.Osservat
0 % tat-tunnellati importati punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-01-01)
Esponiment dirett tal-prodotti (D2)Sehem mill-prodotti raffinati importati li r-rotta tagħhom teħtieġ l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz.Osservat
0 % tat-tunnellati importati punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-01-01)
Kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza (D7)Il-jiem ta’ kopertura li jammontaw għalihom il-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati. Riżerva kontra interruzzjoni tal-provvista, mhux sehem mill-importazzjonijiet, u mhux kanal tal-prezz.Osservat
85.00 kopertura (jiem) punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-01-01)+4.94% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +0.87 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdumIl-prezz kwotat taż-żejt mhux maħdum li fuqu jiġu pprezzati t-tagħbijiet Ewropej.Osservat
75.31 $ għal kull barmil punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-01-04)-9.66% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -2.14 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinatiIl-prezz kwotat tal-prodotti li fuqu jipprezzaw ir-raffineriji u l-bejjiegħa bl-ingrossa.Mhux disponibbliIl-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.
Marġni tar-raffinarKemm qala’ r-raffinar ta’ barmil f’dan il-prodott.Mhux disponibbliM’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.
NoliKemm swiet il-ġarr tal-merkanzija bil-baħar.Mhux disponibbliIn-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers (ringiela 17: BLOCKED).
StokkijietL-istokkijiet miżmuma, li jassorbu jew ikabbru bidla fil-provvista.Osservat
1,983,022 t punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-01-01)+4.13% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +1.04 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezzijiet bl-ingrossaIl-prezz bejn il-bieb tar-raffinerija u l-pompa tal-petrol.Mhux disponibbliIs-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).
Prezz fil-pompa mingħajr taxxiIl-prezz fil-pompa mingħajr id-dazju tas-sisa, il-VAT u taxxi oħra fuq il-karburant.Osservat
0.9370 € għal kull litru punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-01-02)-15.45% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -4.84 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz fil-pompa bit-taxxiDak li fil-fatt ħallas sewwieq.Osservat
1.677 € għal kull litru punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-01-02)-11.16% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -6.50 unitajiet ta’ volatilità

L-esponiment fiżiku (l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz) u l-esponiment tal-prezz huma mistoqsijiet differenti. Pajjiż kważi mingħajr esponiment fiżiku dirett xorta jista’ jara l-prezz fil-pompa tiegħu jiċċaqlaq: iż-żejt mhux maħdum jiġi pprezzat fuq livell globali – u serje li ċċaqilqet f’din it-tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.

X’għamel il-prezz fil-pompa madwar din id-data

Il-paġna tal-qsim tal-prezz tista’ tiġi ffissata fuq il-ġimgħat madwar id-data tal-avveniment, biex iċ-ċaqliq fil-pompa jinqasam fit-taxxa, fl-ispiża tal-input u fil-parti li l-ispiża tal-input ma tkoprix.

Qsim tal-prezz (28/11/2022 – 04/01/2023) →

It-tieqa hija madwar id-data ppubblikata tal-avveniment (jiem qabel: 7; jiem wara: 30). Hija tieqa biex wieħed iħares, mhux dikjarazzjoni li l-avveniment kien fl-oriġini ta’ dak li fiha.

Attwali kontra ż-żejt mhux maħdum biss: l-Irlanda, petrol (Euro-super 95)

X’għamel il-prezz mingħajr taxxi minn erba’ ġimgħat qabel sa tlettax-il ġimgħa wara l-ġimgħa tal-avveniment, ħdejn dak li kien jagħmel li kieku segwa biss l-ispiża tal-input taż-żejt mhux maħdum bil-pass li tkejjel l-istima maħżuna tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet. Id-differenza mdella mhix spjegata miż-żejt mhux maħdum; mhix attribwita lill-avveniment jew lil xi ħaġa oħra. L-ebda karburant mhu magħżul: jintwera l-petrol.

Il-paragun maż-żejt mhux maħdum biss ma setax jinqara.

API 404 for /api/events/eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022/crude-only: No stored crude-only run for 'eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022' and country 'ireland'. Runs are stored for the pilot countries; available_countries lists them.

X’jappoġġaw in-numri, sentenza b’sentenza

Kull sentenza ġejja minn mudell fiss, magħżul skont limiti ppubblikati. Iftaħ “Għaliex din is-sentenza” biex tara n-numri li għażluha. L-ebda parti minn dan it-test mhi miktuba minn mudell lingwistiku, u l-ebda parti minnu ma tattribwixxi kawża.

  1. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, l-Irlanda) inbidel b’-4.6%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.5 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-IrlandaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    0.86078
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -3.274903355290849
    t0_value
    0.90249
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -4.621657857704798
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-12-12
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.504935620354683
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.041710000000000025
    change_pct_from_t0
    -4.621657857704798
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.071000377156045
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.504935620354683
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    0.86078
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -3.274903355290849
    t0_value
    0.90249
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -4.621657857704798
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-12-12
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.504935620354683
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.041710000000000025
    change_pct_from_t0
    -4.621657857704798
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.071000377156045
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.504935620354683

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 4d5882607fcbfb2d45a513bba16538198621b9104d8db313c718aacaf253c7f2 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  2. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, l-Irlanda) inbidel b’-13.4%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’4.4 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-IrlandaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    0.7811100000000001
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -5.620360191815263
    t0_value
    0.90249
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -13.449456503673163
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-01-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -4.379503370861932
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.12137999999999993
    change_pct_from_t0
    -13.449456503673163
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.071000377156045
    change_in_volatility_units
    -4.379503370861932
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    0.7811100000000001
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -5.620360191815263
    t0_value
    0.90249
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -13.449456503673163
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-01-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -4.379503370861932
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.12137999999999993
    change_pct_from_t0
    -13.449456503673163
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.071000377156045
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -4.379503370861932

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 0cd83f04d764cae675f327e913d82db03b7260e124d1a5a6a4d3ef06d18417d9 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  3. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, l-Irlanda) inbidel b’-7.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.6 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-IrlandaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    0.83151
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -4.136601881775972
    t0_value
    0.90249
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -7.864907090383277
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -2.561024462545562
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.07098000000000004
    change_pct_from_t0
    -7.864907090383277
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.071000377156045
    change_in_volatility_units
    -2.561024462545562
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    0.83151
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -4.136601881775972
    t0_value
    0.90249
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -7.864907090383277
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -2.561024462545562
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.07098000000000004
    change_pct_from_t0
    -7.864907090383277
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.071000377156045
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -2.561024462545562

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 79fd829f6af49d4ceacbb70ac251e819d019b09741a08d44078d4654b1c9455e · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  4. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, l-Irlanda) inbidel b’-3.0%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.9 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-IrlandaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.6545
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -3.35514032705131
    t0_value
    1.7058
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -3.0073865634892663
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-12-12
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.9129943087875025
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.0512999999999999
    change_pct_from_t0
    -3.0073865634892663
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.572083382409754
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.9129943087875025
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.6545
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -3.35514032705131
    t0_value
    1.7058
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -3.0073865634892663
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-12-12
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.9129943087875025
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.0512999999999999
    change_pct_from_t0
    -3.0073865634892663
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.572083382409754
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.9129943087875025

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità a035f13557ae8f454fcd04191a39bb3908426c01d2135f06ab2f24e09aefe127 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  5. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, l-Irlanda) inbidel b’-8.8%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’5.6 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-IrlandaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.5565
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -5.7362664394874745
    t0_value
    1.7058
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -8.752491499589635
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-01-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -5.5674473743074975
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.1493
    change_pct_from_t0
    -8.752491499589635
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.572083382409754
    change_in_volatility_units
    -5.5674473743074975
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.5565
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -5.7362664394874745
    t0_value
    1.7058
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -8.752491499589635
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-01-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -5.5674473743074975
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.1493
    change_pct_from_t0
    -8.752491499589635
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.572083382409754
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -5.5674473743074975

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 0679a433ef06b7b416d8ee00ec9e02e38d8bdf2866fa744c13771c26cb121e01 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  6. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, l-Irlanda) inbidel b’-5.1%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’3.3 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-IrlandaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.6185
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -4.229839715293166
    t0_value
    1.7058
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -5.11783327470981
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -3.2554464553050515
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.08729999999999993
    change_pct_from_t0
    -5.11783327470981
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.572083382409754
    change_in_volatility_units
    -3.2554464553050515
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.6185
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -4.229839715293166
    t0_value
    1.7058
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -5.11783327470981
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -3.2554464553050515
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.08729999999999993
    change_pct_from_t0
    -5.11783327470981
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.572083382409754
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -3.2554464553050515

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità bc28dcb4f881c5668671ec3e37547b43331f2b947ea71cec14cc9462177deff8 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  7. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, l-Irlanda) inbidel b’-5.1%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.6 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-IrlandaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.0514400000000002
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -1.7684060656179648
    t0_value
    1.1081800000000002
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -5.120106841848798
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_IE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-12-12
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.6054270643438435
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.05674000000000001
    change_pct_from_t0
    -5.120106841848798
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.1892491135630907
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.6054270643438435
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.0514400000000002
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -1.7684060656179648
    t0_value
    1.1081800000000002
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -5.120106841848798
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_IE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-12-12
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.6054270643438435
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.05674000000000001
    change_pct_from_t0
    -5.120106841848798
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.1892491135630907
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.6054270643438435

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità c85503a46fb3c87c5e664f5c0f5e42dc2d9d6ce1d781d74cfeb8fbf94a3e92f0 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  8. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, l-Irlanda) inbidel b’-15.5%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’4.8 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-IrlandaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    0.93696
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -3.8639693126944854
    t0_value
    1.1081800000000002
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -15.450558573516949
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_IE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-01-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -4.84457564252649
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.17122000000000015
    change_pct_from_t0
    -15.450558573516949
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.1892491135630907
    change_in_volatility_units
    -4.84457564252649
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    0.93696
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -3.8639693126944854
    t0_value
    1.1081800000000002
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -15.450558573516949
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_IE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-01-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -4.84457564252649
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.17122000000000015
    change_pct_from_t0
    -15.450558573516949
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.1892491135630907
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -4.84457564252649

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità ead7a2220e246be12ee3f47a7d1f4ce329012edfa3dbd3e7ea4d8f0815241ea4 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  9. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, l-Irlanda) inbidel b’-15.5%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’4.9 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-IrlandaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    0.93599
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -3.8817252207104205
    t0_value
    1.1081800000000002
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -15.538089480048383
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_IE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -4.872021258536599
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.17219000000000018
    change_pct_from_t0
    -15.538089480048383
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.1892491135630907
    change_in_volatility_units
    -4.872021258536599
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    0.93599
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -3.8817252207104205
    t0_value
    1.1081800000000002
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -15.538089480048383
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_IE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -4.872021258536599
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.17219000000000018
    change_pct_from_t0
    -15.538089480048383
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.1892491135630907
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -4.872021258536599

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 412c4ce7893b9b85813f4c77badc98fba4027a900cd7d2f22659063618a45f4e · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  10. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, l-Irlanda) inbidel b’-3.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.2 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-IrlandaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.8178
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -1.7409120149158395
    t0_value
    1.8876
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -3.6978173341809635
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_IE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-12-12
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -2.154819022380728
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.06979999999999986
    change_pct_from_t0
    -3.6978173341809635
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.7160686330379016
    change_in_volatility_units
    -2.154819022380728
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.8178
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -1.7409120149158395
    t0_value
    1.8876
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -3.6978173341809635
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_IE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-12-12
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -2.154819022380728
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.06979999999999986
    change_pct_from_t0
    -3.6978173341809635
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.7160686330379016
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -2.154819022380728

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 58bfd90834b9075a17ad8fecd600457a99dd73fe7c28550097f6e32bc7ea3fe5 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  11. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, l-Irlanda) inbidel b’-11.2%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’6.5 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-IrlandaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.677
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -3.8179836107226444
    t0_value
    1.8876
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -11.157024793388423
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_IE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-01-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -6.50150266638083
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.2105999999999999
    change_pct_from_t0
    -11.157024793388423
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.7160686330379016
    change_in_volatility_units
    -6.50150266638083
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.677
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -3.8179836107226444
    t0_value
    1.8876
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -11.157024793388423
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_IE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-01-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -6.50150266638083
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.2105999999999999
    change_pct_from_t0
    -11.157024793388423
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.7160686330379016
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -6.50150266638083

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità e75017abd0ee6496907d0789e6e75cf7de57114bf2dcb4ddaa4baa4ad6a9dca8 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  12. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, l-Irlanda) inbidel b’-11.2%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’6.5 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-IrlandaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.6758
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -3.835685925459636
    t0_value
    1.8876
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -11.220597584233948
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_IE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -6.538548265619471
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.2118
    change_pct_from_t0
    -11.220597584233948
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.7160686330379016
    change_in_volatility_units
    -6.538548265619471
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.6758
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    z_score
    -3.835685925459636
    t0_value
    1.8876
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -11.220597584233948
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_IE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -6.538548265619471
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.2118
    change_pct_from_t0
    -11.220597584233948
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.7160686330379016
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -6.538548265619471

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 1bdbf022c427010b8abae5ce02f0f0e2d236aa01272151f283b0953b41610b4f · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  13. Fil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, l-Irlanda) b’-4.5 c/l (firxa -5.6–-3.3); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’-12.1 c/l, u jibqa’ -7.7 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.

    pajjiż: l-IrlandaIkkalkulatMedja
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    weeks
    4
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Ireland
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    offset_weeks
    4
    proxy_product
    GASOLINE
    proxy_to_date
    2022-12-30
    pass_through_k
    5
    proxy_from_date
    2022-12-05
    observation_date
    2023-01-02
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.07665188399318486
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2022-12-05
    actual_eur_per_litre
    -0.12137999999999993
    expected_eur_per_litre
    -0.044728116006815075
    proxy_volatility_units
    0.2070376188168671
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    7.428000000000001
    pass_through_sample_start
    2005-01-03
    pass_through_window_label
    FULL_SAMPLE
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    -0.05620852800272699
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    -0.033247704010903156
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    182.43434263983826
    Limiti
    source
    docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
    proxy_rule
    the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
    confidence_cap
    MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
    statement_weeks
    [4,13]
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    weeks
    4
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Ireland
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    offset_weeks
    4
    proxy_product
    GASOLINE
    proxy_to_date
    2022-12-30
    pass_through_k
    5
    proxy_from_date
    2022-12-05
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2023-01-02
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.07665188399318486
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2022-12-05
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    actual_eur_per_litre
    -0.12137999999999993
    expected_eur_per_litre
    -0.044728116006815075
    proxy_volatility_units
    0.2070376188168671
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    7.428000000000001
    pass_through_sample_start
    2005-01-03
    pass_through_window_label
    FULL_SAMPLE
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    -0.05620852800272699
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    -0.033247704010903156
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    182.43434263983826

    Mudell event.crude_only.computed v1.1 · Marka tal-identità c1c3ac8edcb7b76f3972c3701dacfbb76a8969990a5608e783afb2ba40dd803b · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  14. Fil-perjodu ta’ 13-il ġimgħa wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, l-Irlanda) b’-1.5 c/l (firxa -5.3–+2.3); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’-9.9 c/l, u jibqa’ -8.3 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.

    pajjiż: l-IrlandaIkkalkulatMedja
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    weeks
    13
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Ireland
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    offset_weeks
    13
    proxy_product
    GASOLINE
    proxy_to_date
    2023-03-06
    pass_through_k
    5
    proxy_from_date
    2022-12-05
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.08329159358826523
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2022-12-05
    actual_eur_per_litre
    -0.09850999999999999
    expected_eur_per_litre
    -0.015218406411734763
    proxy_volatility_units
    0.15391245706875872
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    5.5219999999999985
    pass_through_sample_start
    2005-01-03
    pass_through_window_label
    FULL_SAMPLE
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    -0.053081683412205594
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.022644870588734916
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    182.43434263983826
    Limiti
    source
    docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
    proxy_rule
    the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
    confidence_cap
    MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
    statement_weeks
    [4,13]
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    weeks
    13
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Ireland
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_IE_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    offset_weeks
    13
    proxy_product
    GASOLINE
    proxy_to_date
    2023-03-06
    pass_through_k
    5
    proxy_from_date
    2022-12-05
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.08329159358826523
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2022-12-05
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    actual_eur_per_litre
    -0.09850999999999999
    expected_eur_per_litre
    -0.015218406411734763
    proxy_volatility_units
    0.15391245706875872
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    5.5219999999999985
    pass_through_sample_start
    2005-01-03
    pass_through_window_label
    FULL_SAMPLE
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    -0.053081683412205594
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.022644870588734916
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    182.43434263983826

    Mudell event.crude_only.computed v1.1 · Marka tal-identità f180089585fa8005040f34494905e34c5b9bcc5954b7a5538b7baee1d93b60ab · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  15. Fil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, l-Irlanda) b’-2.9 c/l (firxa -4.6–-1.1); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’-17.1 c/l, u jibqa’ -14.3 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum. Fl-istess perjodu, il-crack spread tal-Istati Uniti (diżil), indikatur tas-suq tal-prodotti tal-Atlantiku u mhux marġni Ewropew, kiber b’12.6 $/bbl.

    pajjiż: l-IrlandaIkkalkulatMedja
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    weeks
    4
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Ireland
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_IE_DIESEL
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    offset_weeks
    4
    proxy_product
    DIESEL
    proxy_to_date
    2022-12-30
    pass_through_k
    4
    proxy_from_date
    2022-12-05
    observation_date
    2023-01-02
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.14257912202648063
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2022-12-05
    actual_eur_per_litre
    -0.17122000000000015
    expected_eur_per_litre
    -0.028640877973519524
    proxy_volatility_units
    2.948513147105371
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    12.594000000000001
    pass_through_sample_start
    2005-01-03
    pass_through_window_label
    FULL_SAMPLE
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    -0.0458736665697243
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    -0.011408089377314856
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    9.842624566455152
    Limiti
    source
    docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
    proxy_rule
    the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
    confidence_cap
    MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
    statement_weeks
    [4,13]
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    weeks
    4
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Ireland
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_IE_DIESEL
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    offset_weeks
    4
    proxy_product
    DIESEL
    proxy_to_date
    2022-12-30
    pass_through_k
    4
    proxy_from_date
    2022-12-05
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2023-01-02
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.14257912202648063
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2022-12-05
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    actual_eur_per_litre
    -0.17122000000000015
    expected_eur_per_litre
    -0.028640877973519524
    proxy_volatility_units
    2.948513147105371
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    12.594000000000001
    pass_through_sample_start
    2005-01-03
    pass_through_window_label
    FULL_SAMPLE
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    -0.0458736665697243
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    -0.011408089377314856
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    9.842624566455152

    Mudell event.crude_only.computed_with_proxy v1.1 · Marka tal-identità bb4cb230d29f45a9fac57cc60646c1d23829a1ee17c362b6102c401210df617d · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  16. Fil-perjodu ta’ 13-il ġimgħa wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, l-Irlanda) b’+4.1 c/l (firxa -1.9–+10.2); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’-20.9 c/l, u jibqa’ -25.0 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.

    pajjiż: l-IrlandaIkkalkulatMedja
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    weeks
    13
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Ireland
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_IE_DIESEL
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    offset_weeks
    13
    proxy_product
    DIESEL
    proxy_to_date
    2023-03-06
    pass_through_k
    4
    proxy_from_date
    2022-12-05
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.250457160336368
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2022-12-05
    actual_eur_per_litre
    -0.20908000000000015
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.041377160336367826
    proxy_volatility_units
    -1.6767707765260176
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    -7.161999999999999
    pass_through_sample_start
    2005-01-03
    pass_through_window_label
    FULL_SAMPLE
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    -0.01909174344685139
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.10184606411958541
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    9.842624566455152
    Limiti
    source
    docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
    proxy_rule
    the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
    confidence_cap
    MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
    statement_weeks
    [4,13]
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    weeks
    13
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Ireland
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_IE_DIESEL
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    offset_weeks
    13
    proxy_product
    DIESEL
    proxy_to_date
    2023-03-06
    pass_through_k
    4
    proxy_from_date
    2022-12-05
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.250457160336368
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2022-12-05
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    actual_eur_per_litre
    -0.20908000000000015
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.041377160336367826
    proxy_volatility_units
    -1.6767707765260176
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    -7.161999999999999
    pass_through_sample_start
    2005-01-03
    pass_through_window_label
    FULL_SAMPLE
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    -0.01909174344685139
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.10184606411958541
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    9.842624566455152

    Mudell event.crude_only.computed v1.1 · Marka tal-identità cdeaafe093a902613f5808606340a4d59e78e09afbf6d7fb60922220cfd32b45 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  17. L-Irlanda, Diċembru 2022: id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (żejt mhux maħdum) kienet limitata (0%).

    pajjiż: l-IrlandaIkkalkulatBaxxa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    limited
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2022-12
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    commodity
    crude
    dimension
    DIRECT_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    value_max_pct
    0
    value_min_pct
    0
    exposure_status
    COMPUTED
    value_point_pct
    0
    observation_date
    2022-12-01
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
    band_applied_to
    upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
    dependence_limited_max_pct
    10
    dependence_moderate_max_pct
    33
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    limited
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2022-12
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    commodity
    crude
    dimension
    DIRECT_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    value_max_pct
    0
    value_min_pct
    0
    exposure_status
    COMPUTED
    statement_topic
    hormuz
    value_point_pct
    0
    observation_date
    2022-12-01
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.dependence.point v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 270117526eeedc4c32ccb55d6d5a8364a23ad18174e2af3abd3e552c2f765ae1 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  18. L-Irlanda, Diċembru 2022: id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (prodott raffinat) kienet limitata (0%).

    pajjiż: l-IrlandaIkkalkulatBaxxa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    limited
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2022-12
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    commodity
    refined product
    dimension
    DIRECT_PRODUCT
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    value_max_pct
    0
    value_min_pct
    0
    exposure_status
    COMPUTED
    value_point_pct
    0
    observation_date
    2022-12-01
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
    band_applied_to
    upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
    dependence_limited_max_pct
    10
    dependence_moderate_max_pct
    33
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    limited
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2022-12
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    commodity
    refined product
    dimension
    DIRECT_PRODUCT
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    value_max_pct
    0
    value_min_pct
    0
    exposure_status
    COMPUTED
    statement_topic
    hormuz
    value_point_pct
    0
    observation_date
    2022-12-01
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.dependence.point v1.1 · Marka tal-identità fdcae4d7c7a58294f6698cc5fda3d3306adce4a08c1657c73a5f6a3b724b6b66 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  19. L-evidenza disponibbli ma turix tnaqqis fiżiku fil-provvista: l-importazzjonijiet irrappurtati taż-żejt mhux maħdum (l-Irlanda, Diċembru 2022) meta mqabbla mal-medja tax-xhur ta’ qabel (12): +25.3%.

    pajjiż: l-IrlandaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2022-12
    country
    Ireland
    change_pct
    25.314522950536563
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    partner_role
    ORIGIN
    value_tonnes
    319879
    baseline_months
    12
    observation_date
    2022-12-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
    baseline_mean_tonnes
    255260.91666666666
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no cut-off
    min_baseline_months
    6
    baseline_months_used
    12
    supply_reduction_pct
    -10
    supply_baseline_months
    12
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2022-12
    country
    Ireland
    change_pct
    25.314522950536563
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    partner_role
    ORIGIN
    value_tonnes
    319879
    baseline_months
    12
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2022-12-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    baseline_mean_tonnes
    255260.91666666666
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.supply.no_reduction v1.1 · Marka tal-identità c3c06f8bfe523945b135d9ac626833ccf9f034aeb88f28d00bd6510b21a7c9d8 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  20. Diċembru 2022: l-istokkijiet taż-żejt (l-Irlanda) kienu 6.0% ogħla meta mqabbla mal-medja mobbli tagħhom (xhur: 12), jiem ta’ kopertura: 81.0 (kif ippubblikati).

    pajjiż: l-IrlandaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2022-12
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    direction
    above
    siec_code
    O4000
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    holder_type
    STK_CL
    series_code
    INVENTORY_IE
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    days_of_cover
    81
    metric_status
    COMPUTED
    mom_change_pct
    5.9764108813782855
    observation_date
    2022-12-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
    total_stock_tonnes
    1904412
    days_of_cover_basis
    as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
    observation_gap_days
    4
    trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
    1796568.0833333333
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
    6.0027737143462
    trailing_12m_observations
    12
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no band
    band_applied_to
    the rounded figure printed in the sentence
    days_of_cover_basis
    as published (Eurostat nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); never stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
    trailing_window_months
    12
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_raw
    6.0027737143462
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_shown
    6
    inventory_material_deviation_pct
    5
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2022-12
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Ireland
    direction
    above
    siec_code
    O4000
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    holder_type
    STK_CL
    series_code
    INVENTORY_IE
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    days_of_cover
    81
    metric_status
    COMPUTED
    mom_change_pct
    5.9764108813782855
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2022-12-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
    total_stock_tonnes
    1904412
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    days_of_cover_basis
    as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    4
    trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
    1796568.0833333333
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
    6.0027737143462
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    trailing_12m_observations
    12

    Mudell event.inventory_level.above v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 211151c7e3aecf319a5b2a9676bc27642f64cfbc40c4a5c7753852c129fd5124 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  21. Sommarju ta’ x’jista’ jiġi vverifikat hawn

    Parti biss mill-katina tista’ tiġi vverifikata għal dan il-pajjiż (l-Irlanda) madwar l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”: serje disponibbli: 4 minn 8 (prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdum, stokkijiet, prezz fil-pompa mingħajr taxxi u prezz fil-pompa bit-taxxi); mhux disponibbli: prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinati, marġni tar-raffinar, noli u prezzijiet bl-ingrossa. Kull dikjarazzjoni bbażata fuq ir-rabtiet neqsin ma tistax tiġi ttestjata hawn. Id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (żejt mhux maħdum) kienet limitata (0–0%) matul il-perjodu kopert. Din il-paġna tiddeskrivi x’għamlet kull serje madwar id-data tal-avveniment. Mhijiex sejba dwar kawża: l-ebda disinn kawżali mhu ppubblikat għal dan is-sit, u serje li ċċaqilqet fl-istess tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.

    pajjiż: l-IrlandaMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    country
    Ireland
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    dependence_band
    limited
    dependence_range
    0–0%
    channels_available
    ["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
    supply_template_id
    event.supply.no_reduction
    channels_unavailable
    ["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; the channel list is docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.3
    channels_total
    8
    channels_available
    4
    verdict_partial_min_channels
    3
    verdict_assessable_min_channels
    8
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    country
    Ireland
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    IE
    country_name
    Ireland
    country_slug
    ireland
    dependence_band
    limited
    statement_topic
    event
    dependence_range
    0–0%
    channels_available
    ["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
    supply_template_id
    event.supply.no_reduction
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    channels_unavailable
    ["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.verdict.partial v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 39a400f819a0ab75edb0b8a04438bfb816cb5e97844fe4060fd3aa2ee2c36c5f · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  22. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’-6.4%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.4 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    78
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    -3.919330167431879
    t0_value
    83.36
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    -6.429942418426104
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    BRENT
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2022-12-12
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.424724765497578
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -5.359999999999999
    change_pct_from_t0
    -6.429942418426104
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.513111987760301
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.424724765497578
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    78
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    -3.919330167431879
    t0_value
    83.36
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    -6.429942418426104
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    BRENT
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2022-12-12
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.424724765497578
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -5.359999999999999
    change_pct_from_t0
    -6.429942418426104
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.513111987760301
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.424724765497578

    Mudell event.benchmark_move.within_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità b54773c6d8ea729448e355679535649a28ea7e4cedc8813dfcf6f2802aab32bd · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  23. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’-9.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.1 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    75.31
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    -4.677910199838048
    t0_value
    83.36
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    -9.65690978886756
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    BRENT
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2023-01-04
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -2.1397452168387128
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -8.049999999999997
    change_pct_from_t0
    -9.65690978886756
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.513111987760301
    change_in_volatility_units
    -2.1397452168387128
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    75.31
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    -4.677910199838048
    t0_value
    83.36
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    -9.65690978886756
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    BRENT
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2023-01-04
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -2.1397452168387128
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -8.049999999999997
    change_pct_from_t0
    -9.65690978886756
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.513111987760301
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -2.1397452168387128

    Mudell event.benchmark_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità a66bdad4120941189e2864b65cefe96af6989d6c7dc9d9e481dad3f463e1452c · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  24. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’+2.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.6 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    85.74
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    -1.7366500741888493
    t0_value
    83.36
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    2.855086372360839
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    BRENT
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2023-03-03
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.6326203249784009
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    2.3799999999999955
    change_pct_from_t0
    2.855086372360839
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.513111987760301
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.6326203249784009
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    85.74
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    -1.7366500741888493
    t0_value
    83.36
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    2.855086372360839
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    BRENT
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2023-03-03
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.6326203249784009
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    2.3799999999999955
    change_pct_from_t0
    2.855086372360839
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.513111987760301
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.6326203249784009

    Mudell event.benchmark_move.within_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 95c15aae3aef102cb53ce9861989a6b3fd3d482e297b83dd1613ec9cd40b15cc · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  25. Noli – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: in-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["freight rates"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
    Limiti
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["freight rates"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 81f14ddf9bdd5a846c68ffa6a0c2ac90cc0051c094198d9fc185147f886c0b88 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  26. Prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinati – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni. Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refined-product benchmark"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
    Limiti
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refined-product benchmark"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 91941020696deeb37b6bfcb5c4e321ba5865cedc68042d4a64d30524b6fb2549 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  27. Prezzijiet bl-ingrossa – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["wholesale prices"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
    Limiti
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["wholesale prices"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.1 · Marka tal-identità e638c4d7da43b662509013a365f2d13fca0fa20208646d67ade6d6d3b40790a0 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  28. Marġni tar-raffinar – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: m’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refining margin"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    reason_code
    NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
    Limiti
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refining margin"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.1 · Marka tal-identità e1f282615a660e84b280ecac2938abde9502c7d8209f04d500d682817c457aef · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

X’ma jurix dan

  • Ma jurix li l-avveniment kien fl-oriġini ta’ xi ħaġa. L-ebda disinn kawżali mhu ppubblikat għal dan is-sit, u serje li ċċaqilqet f’din it-tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.
  • Bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza, u lanqas punteġġ z ma hu. Ikejlu affarijiet differenti u mhumiex interkambjabbli.
  • Il-kanali mingħajr sors b’liċenzja għall-użu jew diġà mtella’ jintwerew bħala pannelli vojta, mhux bħala linji ċatti. “Ma nistgħux naraw dan” ma jfissirx “dan ma ċċaqlaqx”.
  • Xejn ma jiġi interpolat. Fejn diversi punti tat-tieqa jaqgħu fuq ċifra ppubblikata waħda, dak hu li stampa l-pubblikatur, u l-bidla meta mqabbla mad-data tal-avveniment hija żero: huwa l-istess numru.

L-Irlanda: provvista, raffineriji u prezzijiet fil-pompa →

Kif jinqraw it-tikketti

  • UffiċjaliIrrappurtat direttament minn awtorità uffiċjali.
  • IvverifikatIrrappurtat minn parti terza u vverifikat minna ma’ rekord primarju.
  • IkkalkulatIkkalkulat minna minn inputs irrappurtati. Il-metodu huwa ppubblikat fil-paġna tal-metodoloġija.
  • Inferit · kunfidenza għoljaMhux irrappurtat. Inferit minn mill-inqas żewġ rekords fiżiċi indipendenti.
  • Inferit · kunfidenza medjaMhux irrappurtat. Inferit minn evidenza indiretta qawwija, mingħajr konferma espliċita.
  • Inferit · kunfidenza baxxaMhux irrappurtat. Plawżibbli biss minn data dwar l-infrastruttura jew il-movimenti. Taqrahx bħala fatt.
  • Mhux magħrufL-ebda evidenza pubblika difendibbli ma tistabbilixxi dan. Ma nagħmlux suppożizzjonijiet, u dan mhuwiex kejl ta’ żero.