Fuel Origin

Avvenimenti / Projbizzjoni fuq l-importazzjoni

Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)

Dati
05/12/2022 → l-ebda data tat-tmiem irreġistrata
Preċiżjoni tad-data
jum
Status
Għadu għaddej
Ambitu
L-Unjoni Ewropea

X’qalu s-sorsi (bl-Ingliż)

Sixth package of EU sanctions, adopted 3 June 2022 (Council Regulation (EU) 2022/879 amending Regulation (EU) No 833/2014). European Commission, 3 June 2022: "a complete import ban on all Russian seaborne crude oil and petroleum products"; "For seaborne crude oil, spot market transactions and execution of existing contracts will be permitted for six months after entry into force, while for petroleum products, these will be permitted for eight months." Eurostat, 19 June 2023: "The ban on imports of seaborne crude oil entered into force on 5 December 2022, while the ban on petroleum products took effect on 5 February 2023." Temporary derogations apply to pipeline crude for certain member states and to Bulgaria and Croatia, so reported imports from Russia do not fall to zero. This row is a timeline marker only; it makes no statement about prices.

L-AIE, l-EIA, il-Kummissjoni Ewropea, il-Kunsill Ewropew u leġiżlaturi nazzjonali (iċċitati għal kull ringiela)Uffiċjali
Miġbur 23/09/2026 07:22 UTCReviżjoni 1
Dokumenti tas-sors (3)
PajjiżPajjiżIl-ĠermanjaFranzaIn-NetherlandsIl-PolonjaIl-FinlandjaL-EstonjaL-AwstrijaIl-BelġjuIl-BulgarijaIl-KroazjaĊipruIċ-ĊekjaId-DanimarkaIl-GreċjaL-UngerijaL-IrlandaL-ItaljaIl-LatvjaIl-LitwanjaIl-LussemburguMaltaIl-PortugallIr-RumanijaIs-SlovakkjaIs-SlovenjaSpanjaL-Iżvezja
KarburantKarburantDiżil (żejt tal-gass għall-vetturi)Petrol (Euro-super 95)Iż-żewġ karburanti

Jekk tagħżel karburant, jinżammu s-serje ta’ dak il-karburant u l-kanali komuni għall-karburanti kollha – il-prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdum, ir-rata tal-kambju, l-importazzjonijiet taż-żejt mhux maħdum u l-esponiment għal Hormuz. Jitneħħew biss is-serje tal-karburant l-ieħor.

It-tieqa tal-avveniment

Kemm kienet tiswa kull serje fil-jiem madwar id-data tal-avveniment (minn -30 sa 90), kemm dan hu ’l bogħod mil-livell tal-istess serje fid-data tal-avveniment, u kemm hu kbir dak iċ-ċaqliq meta mqabbel mal-varjazzjoni normali tas-serje stess.

Il-Finlandja, il-karburanti kollha f’dan il-kalkolu. Serje li jistgħu jitpinġew: 20; serje li ma jistgħu jidhru bl-ebda mod, murija hawn taħt bħala pannelli vojta b’tikketta: 9.

Qari ppubblikat: 260; punti tat-tieqa mingħajr xejn ippubblikat fi żmien perjodu wieħed: 0; punti tat-tieqa fuq serje li ma nistgħu naraw xejn minnhom: 117. Kollha jidhru f’din il-paġna.

Europe Brent spot FOB

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+90102.472.42022-11-04: 99.53 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 88.44 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 83.50 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −72022-12-02: 86.54 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 83.36 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T02022-12-06: 79.92 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +12022-12-08: 76.02 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +32022-12-12: 78.00 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 81.66 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-04: 75.31 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-02-03: 78.85 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-03-03: 85.74 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Europe Brent spot FOB): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-11-0499.53+16.170+19.40%+4.30
−142022-11-2188.44+5.080+6.09%+1.35
−72022-11-2883.50+0.140+0.17%+0.04
−32022-12-0286.54+3.180+3.81%+0.85
−12022-12-0286.54+3.180+3.81%+0.85
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T083.360.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-0679.92-3.440-4.13%-0.91
+32022-12-0876.02-7.340-8.81%-1.95
+72022-12-1278.00-5.360-6.43%-1.42
+142022-12-1981.66-1.700-2.04%-0.45
+302023-01-0475.31-8.050-9.66%-2.14
+602023-02-0378.85-4.510-5.41%-1.20
+902023-03-0385.74+2.380+2.86%+0.63

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 4.51%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 760). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

reported crude oil imports, all origins

Unità: tIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+90910,920612,0802022-11-01: 641,000 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −30, −14, −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-01, 861,000 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T0, +1, +3, +7, +142023-01-01: 857,000 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-02-01: 817,000 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-03-01: 882,000 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (reported crude oil imports, all origins): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-11-01641,000-220,000-25.55%-0.57
−142022-11-01641,000-220,000-25.55%-0.57
−72022-11-01641,000-220,000-25.55%-0.57
−32022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0861,0000.0000.00%0.00
−12022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0861,0000.0000.00%0.00
T02022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0861,0000.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0861,0000.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0861,0000.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0861,0000.0000.00%0.00
+142022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0861,0000.0000.00%0.00
+302023-01-01857,000-4,000-0.46%-0.01
+602023-02-01817,000-44,000-5.11%-0.11
+902023-03-01882,000+21,000+2.44%+0.05

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 44.44%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 34). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja
T0−30T0+30+60+900.9720.7332022-10-31: 0.7561 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 0.7990 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 0.8061 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 0.8284 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +32022-12-12: 0.8397 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 0.8407 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-02: 0.8579 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-01-30: 0.9081 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-02-27: 0.9490 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-10-310.7561-0.072-8.73%-0.41
−142022-11-210.7990-0.029-3.55%-0.17
−72022-11-280.8061-0.022-2.69%-0.13
−32022-11-280.8061-0.022-2.69%-0.13
−12022-11-280.8061-0.022-2.69%-0.13
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.82840.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.82840.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.82840.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-120.8397+0.011+1.36%+0.06
+142022-12-190.8407+0.012+1.48%+0.07
+302023-01-020.8579+0.029+3.56%+0.17
+602023-01-300.9081+0.080+9.62%+0.45
+902023-02-270.9490+0.121+14.56%+0.69

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 21.24%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE

Unità: USD għal kull EURIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+901.1060.9742022-11-04: 0.9872 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 1.025 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 1.046 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −72022-12-02: 1.054 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 1.059 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T02022-12-06: 1.052 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +12022-12-08: 1.052 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +32022-12-12: 1.056 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 1.060 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-04: 1.060 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-02-03: 1.094 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-03-03: 1.062 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-11-040.9872-0.072-6.75%-13.43
−142022-11-211.025-0.034-3.22%-6.40
−72022-11-281.046-0.012-1.17%-2.33
−32022-12-021.054-0.005-0.46%-0.92
−12022-12-021.054-0.005-0.46%-0.92
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.0590.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-061.052-0.007-0.67%-1.33
+32022-12-081.052-0.007-0.64%-1.28
+72022-12-121.056-0.002-0.24%-0.47
+142022-12-191.060+0.001+0.10%+0.21
+302023-01-041.060+0.001+0.11%+0.23
+602023-02-031.094+0.035+3.31%+6.57
+902023-03-031.062+0.003+0.26%+0.53

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 0.50%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 770). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1

Unità: % tat-tunnellati importatiIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatBaxxa
T0−30T0+30+60+901.0000.0002022-11-01: 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −30, −14, −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-01, 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T0, +1, +3, +7, +142023-01-01: 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-02-01: 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-03-01: 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-11-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−142022-11-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−72022-11-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−32022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−12022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
T02022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+12022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+32022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+72022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+142022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+302023-01-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+602023-02-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+902023-03-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2

Unità: % tat-tunnellati importatiIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatBaxxa
T0−30T0+30+60+9011.200.002022-11-01: 10.00 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −30, −14, −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-01, 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T0, +1, +3, +7, +142023-01-01: 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-02-01: 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-03-01: 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-11-0110.00+10.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−142022-11-0110.00+10.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−72022-11-0110.00+10.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−32022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−12022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
T02022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+12022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+32022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+72022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+142022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+302023-01-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+602023-02-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+902023-03-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma

Unità: kopertura (jiem)Ippubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+90202.1200.92022-11-01: 202.0 kopertura (jiem), użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −30, −14, −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-01, 201.0 kopertura (jiem), użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T0, +1, +3, +7, +142023-01-01: 202.0 kopertura (jiem), użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-02-01: 202.0 kopertura (jiem), użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-03-01: 202.0 kopertura (jiem), użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-11-01202.0+1.000+0.50%+0.09
−142022-11-01202.0+1.000+0.50%+0.09
−72022-11-01202.0+1.000+0.50%+0.09
−32022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0201.00.0000.00%0.00
−12022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0201.00.0000.00%0.00
T02022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0201.00.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0201.00.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0201.00.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0201.00.0000.00%0.00
+142022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0201.00.0000.00%0.00
+302023-01-01202.0+1.000+0.50%+0.09
+602023-02-01202.0+1.000+0.50%+0.09
+902023-03-01202.0+1.000+0.50%+0.09

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 5.79%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 35). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+900.6280.4422022-10-31: 0.6104 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 0.5263 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 0.5123 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 0.4687 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +32022-12-12: 0.4798 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 0.4779 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-02: 0.4598 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-01-30: 0.4720 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-02-27: 0.4954 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-10-310.6104+0.142+30.24%+3.72
−142022-11-210.5263+0.058+12.30%+1.51
−72022-11-280.5123+0.044+9.31%+1.15
−32022-11-280.5123+0.044+9.31%+1.15
−12022-11-280.5123+0.044+9.31%+1.15
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.46870.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.46870.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.46870.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-120.4798+0.011+2.38%+0.29
+142022-12-190.4779+0.009+1.98%+0.24
+302023-01-020.4598-0.009-1.89%-0.23
+602023-01-300.4720+0.003+0.71%+0.09
+902023-02-270.4954+0.027+5.69%+0.70

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 8.13%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+900.6280.4422022-10-31: 0.6104 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 0.5263 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 0.5123 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 0.4687 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +32022-12-12: 0.4798 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 0.4779 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-02: 0.4598 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-01-30: 0.4720 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-02-27: 0.4954 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-10-310.6104+0.142+30.24%+3.72
−142022-11-210.5263+0.058+12.30%+1.51
−72022-11-280.5123+0.044+9.31%+1.15
−32022-11-280.5123+0.044+9.31%+1.15
−12022-11-280.5123+0.044+9.31%+1.15
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.46870.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.46870.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.46870.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-120.4798+0.011+2.38%+0.29
+142022-12-190.4779+0.009+1.98%+0.24
+302023-01-020.4598-0.009-1.89%-0.23
+602023-01-300.4720+0.003+0.71%+0.09
+902023-02-270.4954+0.027+5.69%+0.70

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 8.13%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom

Unità: tIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+905,186,8804,723,1202022-11-01: 5,142,000 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −30, −14, −7l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-01, 5,014,000 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1, T0, +1, +3, +7, +142023-01-01: 5,091,000 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-02-01: 4,958,000 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-03-01: 4,768,000 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-11-015,142,000+128,000+2.55%+0.67
−142022-11-015,142,000+128,000+2.55%+0.67
−72022-11-015,142,000+128,000+2.55%+0.67
−32022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T05,014,0000.0000.00%0.00
−12022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T05,014,0000.0000.00%0.00
T02022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T05,014,0000.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T05,014,0000.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T05,014,0000.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T05,014,0000.0000.00%0.00
+142022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T05,014,0000.0000.00%0.00
+302023-01-015,091,000+77,000+1.54%+0.40
+602023-02-014,958,000-56,000-1.12%-0.29
+902023-03-014,768,000-246,000-4.91%-1.29

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 3.80%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 35). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja
T0−30T0+30+60+900.214-0.1372022-10-31: 0.1804 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 0.0858 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 0.0481 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 0 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +32022-12-12: -0.0484 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: -0.1034 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-02: -0.0400 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-01-30: -0.0636 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-02-27: -0.0997 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-10-310.1804+0.180mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−142022-11-210.0858+0.086mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−72022-11-280.0481+0.048mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−32022-11-280.0481+0.048mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−12022-11-280.0481+0.048mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+12022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+32022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+72022-12-12-0.0484-0.048mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+142022-12-19-0.1034-0.103mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+302023-01-02-0.0400-0.040mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+602023-01-30-0.0636-0.064mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+902023-02-27-0.0997-0.100mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+902.2641.8852022-10-31: 2.227 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 2.184 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 2.118 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 2.077 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +32022-12-12: 2.021 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 1.922 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-02: 2.081 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-01-30: 2.093 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-02-27: 1.991 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-10-312.227+0.150+7.22%+3.23
−142022-11-212.184+0.107+5.15%+2.30
−72022-11-282.118+0.041+1.97%+0.88
−32022-11-282.118+0.041+1.97%+0.88
−12022-11-282.118+0.041+1.97%+0.88
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T02.0770.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T02.0770.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T02.0770.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-122.021-0.056-2.70%-1.21
+142022-12-191.922-0.155-7.46%-3.34
+302023-01-022.081+0.004+0.19%+0.09
+602023-01-302.093+0.016+0.77%+0.34
+902023-02-271.991-0.086-4.14%-1.85

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 2.24%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+902.0871.7802022-10-31: 2.057 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 1.993 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 1.955 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 1.923 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +32022-12-12: 1.877 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 1.810 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-02: 1.910 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-01-30: 1.943 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-02-27: 1.949 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-10-312.057+0.134+6.97%+3.38
−142022-11-211.993+0.070+3.64%+1.76
−72022-11-281.955+0.032+1.66%+0.81
−32022-11-281.955+0.032+1.66%+0.81
−12022-11-281.955+0.032+1.66%+0.81
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.9230.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.9230.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.9230.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-121.877-0.046-2.39%-1.16
+142022-12-191.810-0.113-5.88%-2.85
+302023-01-021.910-0.013-0.68%-0.33
+602023-01-301.943+0.020+1.04%+0.50
+902023-02-271.949+0.026+1.35%+0.66

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 2.06%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+901.3151.0102022-10-31: 1.285 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 1.251 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 1.198 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 1.164 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +32022-12-12: 1.119 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 1.039 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-02: 1.168 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-01-30: 1.177 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-02-27: 1.095 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-10-311.285+0.121+10.39%+2.95
−142022-11-211.251+0.086+7.41%+2.10
−72022-11-281.198+0.033+2.84%+0.81
−32022-11-281.198+0.033+2.84%+0.81
−12022-11-281.198+0.033+2.84%+0.81
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.1640.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.1640.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.1640.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-121.119-0.045-3.88%-1.10
+142022-12-191.039-0.125-10.73%-3.05
+302023-01-021.168+0.003+0.28%+0.08
+602023-01-301.177+0.013+1.11%+0.31
+902023-02-271.095-0.069-5.96%-1.69

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 3.52%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+900.9600.7132022-10-31: 0.9365 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 0.8849 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 0.8542 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 0.8284 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +32022-12-12: 0.7913 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 0.7373 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-02: 0.8179 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-01-30: 0.8445 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-02-27: 0.8494 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-10-310.9365+0.108+13.04%+2.95
−142022-11-210.8849+0.056+6.81%+1.54
−72022-11-280.8542+0.026+3.11%+0.71
−32022-11-280.8542+0.026+3.11%+0.71
−12022-11-280.8542+0.026+3.11%+0.71
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.82840.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.82840.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.82840.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-120.7913-0.037-4.48%-1.01
+142022-12-190.7373-0.091-11.00%-2.49
+302023-01-020.8179-0.010-1.27%-0.29
+602023-01-300.8445+0.016+1.95%+0.44
+902023-02-270.8494+0.021+2.53%+0.57

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 4.42%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+900.9490.8752022-10-31: 0.9416 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 0.9332 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 0.9205 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 0.9125 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +32022-12-12: 0.9017 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 0.8825 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-02: 0.9133 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-01-30: 0.9156 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-02-27: 0.8959 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-10-310.9416+0.029+3.18%+2.66
−142022-11-210.9332+0.021+2.27%+1.90
−72022-11-280.9205+0.008+0.87%+0.73
−32022-11-280.9205+0.008+0.87%+0.73
−12022-11-280.9205+0.008+0.87%+0.73
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.91250.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.91250.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.91250.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-120.9017-0.011-1.19%-0.99
+142022-12-190.8825-0.030-3.29%-2.75
+302023-01-020.9133+0.001+0.08%+0.07
+602023-01-300.9156+0.003+0.34%+0.28
+902023-02-270.8959-0.017-1.82%-1.52

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.20%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+901.1261.0672022-10-31: 1.121 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 1.108 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 1.101 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 1.095 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +32022-12-12: 1.086 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 1.073 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-02: 1.092 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-01-30: 1.098 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-02-27: 1.100 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-10-311.121+0.026+2.37%+2.72
−142022-11-211.108+0.014+1.24%+1.42
−72022-11-281.101+0.006+0.57%+0.65
−32022-11-281.101+0.006+0.57%+0.65
−12022-11-281.101+0.006+0.57%+0.65
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.0950.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.0950.0000.00%0.00
+32022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.0950.0000.00%0.00
+72022-12-121.086-0.009-0.81%-0.93
+142022-12-191.073-0.022-2.00%-2.30
+302023-01-021.092-0.003-0.23%-0.26
+602023-01-301.098+0.004+0.35%+0.41
+902023-02-271.100+0.005+0.46%+0.53

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 0.87%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa
T0−30T0+30+60+90109.929.12022-11-04: 102.1 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 61.92 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 50.19 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −72022-12-02: 47.86 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 43.40 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T02022-12-06: 42.43 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +12022-12-08: 43.18 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +32022-12-12: 45.31 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 47.36 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-04: 52.92 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-02-03: 39.25 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-03-03: 36.90 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-11-04102.1+58.716+135.30%+13.75
−142022-11-2161.92+18.524+42.69%+4.34
−72022-11-2850.19+6.790+15.65%+1.59
−32022-12-0247.86+4.464+10.29%+1.05
−12022-12-0247.86+4.464+10.29%+1.05
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T043.400.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-0642.43-0.970-2.24%-0.23
+32022-12-0843.18-0.220-0.51%-0.05
+72022-12-1245.31+1.916+4.42%+0.45
+142022-12-1947.36+3.968+9.14%+0.93
+302023-01-0452.92+9.520+21.94%+2.23
+602023-02-0339.25-4.142-9.54%-0.97
+902023-03-0336.90-6.496-14.97%-1.52

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 9.84%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 737). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa
T0−30T0+30+60+9038.9011.122022-11-04: 36.21 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 25.46 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 21.75 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −72022-12-02: 19.76 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 19.67 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T02022-12-06: 20.42 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +12022-12-08: 14.66 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +32022-12-12: 13.81 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 13.89 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-04: 25.20 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-02-03: 24.34 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-03-03: 25.60 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-11-0436.21+16.548+84.15%+0.46
−142022-11-2125.46+5.798+29.48%+0.16
−72022-11-2821.75+2.086+10.61%+0.06
−32022-12-0219.76+0.096+0.49%+0.00
−12022-12-0219.76+0.096+0.49%+0.00
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T019.670.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-0620.42+0.752+3.82%+0.02
+32022-12-0814.66-5.008-25.47%-0.14
+72022-12-1213.81-5.854-29.77%-0.16
+142022-12-1913.89-5.776-29.37%-0.16
+302023-01-0425.20+5.530+28.12%+0.15
+602023-02-0324.34+4.678+23.79%+0.13
+902023-03-0325.60+5.936+30.18%+0.17

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 182.43%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 737). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa
T0−30T0+30+60+9057.2023.782022-11-04: 51.50 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-11-21: 42.81 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-11-28: 30.74 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −72022-12-02: 31.06 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-12-05, 27.02 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T02022-12-06: 27.60 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +12022-12-08: 35.20 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +32022-12-12: 36.79 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-12-19: 36.02 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142023-01-04: 53.97 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302023-02-03: 29.38 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602023-03-03: 39.71 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-11-0451.50+24.486+90.64%+0.51
−142022-11-2142.81+15.794+58.46%+0.33
−72022-11-2830.74+3.724+13.78%+0.08
−32022-12-0231.06+4.044+14.97%+0.08
−12022-12-0231.06+4.044+14.97%+0.08
T02022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T027.020.0000.00%0.00
+12022-12-0627.60+0.584+2.16%+0.01
+32022-12-0835.20+8.180+30.28%+0.17
+72022-12-1236.79+9.770+36.16%+0.21
+142022-12-1936.02+9.008+33.34%+0.19
+302023-01-0453.97+26.950+99.76%+0.57
+602023-02-0329.38+2.368+8.77%+0.05
+902023-03-0339.71+12.698+47.00%+0.27

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 176.40%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 737). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Mhux disponibbli: imblukkat mil-liċenzja

Jeżisti sors, iżda l-liċenzja tiegħu ma tippermettilniex nippubblikawh mill-ġdid. Dawn il-kanali mhumiex neqsin mid-dinja, iżda biss minn din il-paġna.

nol tat-tankers “dirty” mill-Golf Għarbi lejn il-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

In-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers (ringiela 17: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

Il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

Il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

M’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

M’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

Mhux disponibbli: raġuni mhux ikklassifikata

L-API ta kodiċi ta’ raġuni li din il-paġna ma tagħrafx. Is-sentenza tiegħu tintwera hawn taħt kif inhi.

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

La l-aktar tieqa riċenti ta’ tliet snin tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet u lanqas il-kampjun kollu m’għandhom stima IKKALKULATA għal dan il-pajjiż u karburant: m’hemm l-ebda reazzjoni mkejla għaż-żejt mhux maħdum x’tiġi proġettata. Ma jintuża l-ebda sostitut bħal trażmissjoni sħiħa.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

La l-aktar tieqa riċenti ta’ tliet snin tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet u lanqas il-kampjun kollu m’għandhom stima IKKALKULATA għal dan il-pajjiż u karburant: m’hemm l-ebda reazzjoni mkejla għaż-żejt mhux maħdum x’tiġi proġettata. Ma jintuża l-ebda sostitut bħal trażmissjoni sħiħa.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

Sors
European Commission, Directorate-General for Energy (DG ENER)Mhux magħruf
Perjodu 2022-10-31Aġġornat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTCKunfidenzaMhux magħrufaMetodoloġijaNiżżel is-CSV

T0: 05/12/2022. Tieqa ta’ referenza: jiem -90 sa -31. Punti tat-tieqa kkalkulati: -30, -14, -7, -3, -1, 0, 1, 3, 7, 14, 30, 60, 90. Metodu: 1.0, kalkolu: event_study-1.0, ikkalkulat: 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC.

L-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”: huwa tassew ir-raġuni?

Il-mistoqsija tinqasam f’dimensjonijiet li jitkejlu separatament u qatt ma jingħaddu f’numru wieħed. Kull ringiela tgħid jekk nistgħux naraw dik id-dimensjoni, u tagħti ċifra ppubblikata waħda fejn nistgħu.

Mit-tmien kanali ta’ trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet li jirrapporta dan is-sit, kanali b’data f’dan il-kalkolu: 4 Ikkalkulat – għadd tar-ringieli ta’ hawn taħt, mhux kejl.

Metodoloġija §11.1 tippubblika l-limiti li jużaw is-sentenzi ta’ hawn taħt: it-tmien kanali kollha preżenti għall-paragun sħiħ, mill-inqas tlieta biex l-istqarrija tkun tista’ tiġi ttestjata hawn, u 2.0 unitajiet ta’ volatilità biex ċaqliq jiġi deskritt bħala barra mill-varjazzjoni normali ta’ serje. Dawn huma għażliet ta’ kliem ippubblikati, mhux testijiet statistiċi.

Dimensjonijiet tal-esponiment għall-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, kull waħda bl-istatus tagħha u ċifra ppubblikata waħda.
DimensjoniStatusĊifra ppubblikata, jew għaliex m’hemmx
Esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum (D1)Sehem miż-żejt mhux maħdum importat li r-rotta tiegħu teħtieġ l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz.Osservat
0 % tat-tunnellati importati punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-01-01)
Esponiment dirett tal-prodotti (D2)Sehem mill-prodotti raffinati importati li r-rotta tagħhom teħtieġ l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz.Osservat
0 % tat-tunnellati importati punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-01-01)
Kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza (D7)Il-jiem ta’ kopertura li jammontaw għalihom il-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati. Riżerva kontra interruzzjoni tal-provvista, mhux sehem mill-importazzjonijiet, u mhux kanal tal-prezz.Osservat
202.0 kopertura (jiem) punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-01-01)+0.50% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +0.09 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdumIl-prezz kwotat taż-żejt mhux maħdum li fuqu jiġu pprezzati t-tagħbijiet Ewropej.Osservat
75.31 $ għal kull barmil punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-01-04)-9.66% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -2.14 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinatiIl-prezz kwotat tal-prodotti li fuqu jipprezzaw ir-raffineriji u l-bejjiegħa bl-ingrossa.Mhux disponibbliIl-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.
Marġni tar-raffinarKemm qala’ r-raffinar ta’ barmil f’dan il-prodott.Mhux disponibbliM’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.
NoliKemm swiet il-ġarr tal-merkanzija bil-baħar.Mhux disponibbliIn-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers (ringiela 17: BLOCKED).
StokkijietL-istokkijiet miżmuma, li jassorbu jew ikabbru bidla fil-provvista.Osservat
5,091,000 t punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-01-01)+1.54% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +0.40 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezzijiet bl-ingrossaIl-prezz bejn il-bieb tar-raffinerija u l-pompa tal-petrol.Mhux disponibbliIs-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).
Prezz fil-pompa mingħajr taxxiIl-prezz fil-pompa mingħajr id-dazju tas-sisa, il-VAT u taxxi oħra fuq il-karburant.Osservat
1.168 € għal kull litru punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-01-02)+0.28% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +0.08 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz fil-pompa bit-taxxiDak li fil-fatt ħallas sewwieq.Osservat
2.081 € għal kull litru punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-01-02)+0.19% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +0.09 unitajiet ta’ volatilità

L-esponiment fiżiku (l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz) u l-esponiment tal-prezz huma mistoqsijiet differenti. Pajjiż kważi mingħajr esponiment fiżiku dirett xorta jista’ jara l-prezz fil-pompa tiegħu jiċċaqlaq: iż-żejt mhux maħdum jiġi pprezzat fuq livell globali – u serje li ċċaqilqet f’din it-tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.

X’għamel il-prezz fil-pompa madwar din id-data

Il-paġna tal-qsim tal-prezz tista’ tiġi ffissata fuq il-ġimgħat madwar id-data tal-avveniment, biex iċ-ċaqliq fil-pompa jinqasam fit-taxxa, fl-ispiża tal-input u fil-parti li l-ispiża tal-input ma tkoprix.

Qsim tal-prezz (28/11/2022 – 04/01/2023) →

It-tieqa hija madwar id-data ppubblikata tal-avveniment (jiem qabel: 7; jiem wara: 30). Hija tieqa biex wieħed iħares, mhux dikjarazzjoni li l-avveniment kien fl-oriġini ta’ dak li fiha.

Attwali kontra ż-żejt mhux maħdum biss: il-Finlandja, petrol (Euro-super 95)

X’għamel il-prezz mingħajr taxxi minn erba’ ġimgħat qabel sa tlettax-il ġimgħa wara l-ġimgħa tal-avveniment, ħdejn dak li kien jagħmel li kieku segwa biss l-ispiża tal-input taż-żejt mhux maħdum bil-pass li tkejjel l-istima maħżuna tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet. Id-differenza mdella mhix spjegata miż-żejt mhux maħdum; mhix attribwita lill-avveniment jew lil xi ħaġa oħra. L-ebda karburant mhu magħżul: jintwera l-petrol.

2022-12-262023-03-06-20-100102030c/l mill-ġimgħa ta’ referenza
  • Bidla attwali mingħajr taxxi(prezzijiet uffiċjali)
  • X’kien jagħmel iż-żejt mhux maħdum waħdu(ikkalkulat, bil-firxa)
  • Imdellel: mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum(mhux attribwit lil ebda kawża)

Il-bidliet jitkejlu minn din il-ġimgħa tal-bullettin: 2022-12-05. Ir-reazzjoni għaż-żejt mhux maħdum hija meħuda mill-istima maħżuna tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet (tieqa: l-aktar tieqa riċenti ta’ tliet snin (2023-09-25 – 2026-09-14)). Il-faxxa ċara hija firxa konservattiva, mhux intervall ta’ 90%. Iż-żona mdella: mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum. Il-marġnijiet tar-raffinar, in-noli, il-marġnijiet tal-bejgħ bl-imnut u l-iżball tal-mudell huma kollha ġo fiha, u l-ebda wieħed minnhom ma jissemma bħala l-kawża tagħha.

  • Fil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, il-Finlandja) b’+2.9 c/l (firxa +0.5–+5.4); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’-1.0 c/l, u jibqa’ -4.0 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.
  • Fil-perjodu ta’ 13-il ġimgħa wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, il-Finlandja) b’+12.2 c/l (firxa +3.6–+20.8); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’+1.1 c/l, u jibqa’ -11.1 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.

X’jappoġġaw in-numri, sentenza b’sentenza

Kull sentenza ġejja minn mudell fiss, magħżul skont limiti ppubblikati. Iftaħ “Għaliex din is-sentenza” biex tara n-numri li għażluha. L-ebda parti minn dan it-test mhi miktuba minn mudell lingwistiku, u l-ebda parti minnu ma tattribwixxi kawża.

  1. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, il-Finlandja) inbidel b’-4.5%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.0 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: il-FinlandjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    0.7913
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    -4.708733949431596
    t0_value
    0.8284
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -4.478512795750848
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_FI_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-12-12
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.0140171035964098
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.03710000000000002
    change_pct_from_t0
    -4.478512795750848
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.416604788880707
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.0140171035964098
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    0.7913
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    -4.708733949431596
    t0_value
    0.8284
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -4.478512795750848
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_FI_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-12-12
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.0140171035964098
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.03710000000000002
    change_pct_from_t0
    -4.478512795750848
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.416604788880707
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.0140171035964098

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 8b333a751172d4581eb82437663c3a58f54a0f23e91e4215e0b694d121f63995 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  2. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, il-Finlandja) inbidel b’-1.3%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.3 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: il-FinlandjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    0.81791
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    -3.7135636029917505
    t0_value
    0.8284
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -1.2662964751327859
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_FI_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-01-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.2867126527419496
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.01049
    change_pct_from_t0
    -1.2662964751327859
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.416604788880707
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.2867126527419496
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    0.81791
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    -3.7135636029917505
    t0_value
    0.8284
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -1.2662964751327859
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_FI_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-01-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.2867126527419496
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.01049
    change_pct_from_t0
    -1.2662964751327859
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.416604788880707
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.2867126527419496

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 3c7dabc328f05f607aa419de1d79064f3f882ecf68f7b342d111165ee4f0b0a4 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  3. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, il-Finlandja) inbidel b’+2.5%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.6 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: il-FinlandjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    0.84936
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    -2.5373851965455616
    t0_value
    0.8284
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    2.530178657653305
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_FI_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.5728786655358683
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.02095999999999998
    change_pct_from_t0
    2.530178657653305
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.416604788880707
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.5728786655358683
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    0.84936
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    -2.5373851965455616
    t0_value
    0.8284
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    2.530178657653305
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_FI_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.5728786655358683
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.02095999999999998
    change_pct_from_t0
    2.530178657653305
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.416604788880707
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.5728786655358683

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 612f28a12f6ddb19746c367c4733690779e0ac9b9e481eb771697c94bcacd484 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  4. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, il-Finlandja) inbidel b’-2.4%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.2 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: il-FinlandjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.877
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    -4.708913217690772
    t0_value
    1.923
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -2.392095683827355
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_FI_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-12-12
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.159364835459353
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.04600000000000004
    change_pct_from_t0
    -2.392095683827355
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.063281212837183
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.159364835459353
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.877
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    -4.708913217690772
    t0_value
    1.923
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -2.392095683827355
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_FI_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-12-12
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.159364835459353
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.04600000000000004
    change_pct_from_t0
    -2.392095683827355
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.063281212837183
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.159364835459353

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 5783136efbbfc6575858d6c71025a4a1e8bd5f5ed5cbadd0501f4f30d0aa4613 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  5. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, il-Finlandja) inbidel b’-0.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.3 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: il-FinlandjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.9100000000000001
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    -3.7135944911332315
    t0_value
    1.923
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -0.676027041081638
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_FI_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-01-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.3276465839341622
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.0129999999999999
    change_pct_from_t0
    -0.676027041081638
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.063281212837183
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.3276465839341622
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.9100000000000001
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    -3.7135944911332315
    t0_value
    1.923
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -0.676027041081638
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_FI_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-01-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.3276465839341622
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.0129999999999999
    change_pct_from_t0
    -0.676027041081638
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.063281212837183
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.3276465839341622

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 12a7e3c80ff41b487d4241190f80c65c819e9663f0f8daecc747da4518740443 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  6. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, il-Finlandja) inbidel b’+1.4%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.7 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: il-FinlandjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.949
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    -2.5373087233834175
    t0_value
    1.923
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    1.3520540821632876
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_FI_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.65529316786833
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.026000000000000023
    change_pct_from_t0
    1.3520540821632876
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.063281212837183
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.65529316786833
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.949
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    -2.5373087233834175
    t0_value
    1.923
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    1.3520540821632876
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_FI_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.65529316786833
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.026000000000000023
    change_pct_from_t0
    1.3520540821632876
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.063281212837183
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.65529316786833

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 59e4d92b94f8af04198377fbd92cadb6b31b539cb5be88e414ef12fc2f1c685e · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  7. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, il-Finlandja) inbidel b’-3.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.1 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: il-FinlandjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.1193199999999999
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    -1.8018236996284498
    t0_value
    1.16448
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -3.878125858752412
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_FI_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-12-12
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.1005321091393099
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.04516000000000009
    change_pct_from_t0
    -3.878125858752412
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.5238643439357413
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.1005321091393099
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.1193199999999999
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    -1.8018236996284498
    t0_value
    1.16448
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -3.878125858752412
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_FI_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-12-12
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.1005321091393099
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.04516000000000009
    change_pct_from_t0
    -3.878125858752412
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.5238643439357413
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.1005321091393099

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità b198f69238ca2e30da302df53035279e9eda097f8e7630ff91f95fa10026ac1d · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  8. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, il-Finlandja) inbidel b’+0.3%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.1 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: il-FinlandjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.16771
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    -0.8865366029979558
    t0_value
    1.16448
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    0.2773770266556803
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_FI_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-01-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.07871387760230374
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.003230000000000066
    change_pct_from_t0
    0.2773770266556803
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.5238643439357413
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.07871387760230374
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.16771
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    -0.8865366029979558
    t0_value
    1.16448
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    0.2773770266556803
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_FI_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-01-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.07871387760230374
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.003230000000000066
    change_pct_from_t0
    0.2773770266556803
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.5238643439357413
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.07871387760230374

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 1b29dfa3fef2ebd88461601e2daff275215445d8012cfe4c156155f45ca2f1a4 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  9. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, il-Finlandja) inbidel b’-6.0%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.7 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: il-FinlandjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.0951300000000002
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    -2.2593726739514772
    t0_value
    1.16448
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -5.955447925254174
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_FI_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.6900332544023646
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.0693499999999998
    change_pct_from_t0
    -5.955447925254174
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.5238643439357413
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.6900332544023646
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.0951300000000002
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    -2.2593726739514772
    t0_value
    1.16448
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -5.955447925254174
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_FI_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.6900332544023646
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.0693499999999998
    change_pct_from_t0
    -5.955447925254174
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.5238643439357413
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.6900332544023646

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità b2ccad67d006cb7b71cf12bfafe1f69f49c3b40c34c617fcd0c445ad6d28f48e · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  10. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, il-Finlandja) inbidel b’-2.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.2 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: il-FinlandjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    2.021
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    -1.8018421242893514
    t0_value
    2.077
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -2.696196437168996
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_FI_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-12-12
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.2050948563109782
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.05600000000000005
    change_pct_from_t0
    -2.696196437168996
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.237331296411438
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.2050948563109782
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    2.021
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    -1.8018421242893514
    t0_value
    2.077
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -2.696196437168996
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_FI_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-12-12
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.2050948563109782
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.05600000000000005
    change_pct_from_t0
    -2.696196437168996
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.237331296411438
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.2050948563109782

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità b1cff5e001561041460b71e089fb8292454b9febc00916b0b9675c773163ef2a · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  11. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, il-Finlandja) inbidel b’+0.2%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.1 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: il-FinlandjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    2.081
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    -0.8866207278249184
    t0_value
    2.077
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    0.19258545979778544
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_FI_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-01-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.08607820402221272
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.0040000000000000036
    change_pct_from_t0
    0.19258545979778544
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.237331296411438
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.08607820402221272
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    2.081
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    -0.8866207278249184
    t0_value
    2.077
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    0.19258545979778544
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_FI_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-01-02
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.08607820402221272
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.0040000000000000036
    change_pct_from_t0
    0.19258545979778544
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.237331296411438
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.08607820402221272

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 959d4c33ff4b87a54f3a5f34414988e151f516e8610d6d9e7a5315f87cd7ee96 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  12. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, il-Finlandja) inbidel b’-4.1%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.9 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: il-FinlandjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.991
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    -2.2594528225215647
    t0_value
    2.077
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -4.140587385652377
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_FI_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.850681386477569
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.08599999999999985
    change_pct_from_t0
    -4.140587385652377
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.237331296411438
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.850681386477569
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    1.991
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    z_score
    -2.2594528225215647
    t0_value
    2.077
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    -4.140587385652377
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_FI_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2023-02-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.850681386477569
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.08599999999999985
    change_pct_from_t0
    -4.140587385652377
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    6
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.237331296411438
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.850681386477569

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità d150c578eec360ed327f85777b8089a83f9b95beb880860866e82001833cef0a · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  13. Fil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, il-Finlandja) b’+2.9 c/l (firxa +0.5–+5.4); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’-1.0 c/l, u jibqa’ -4.0 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.

    pajjiż: il-FinlandjaIkkalkulatMedja
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    weeks
    4
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Finland
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_FI_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    offset_weeks
    4
    proxy_product
    GASOLINE
    proxy_to_date
    2022-12-30
    pass_through_k
    0
    proxy_from_date
    2022-12-05
    observation_date
    2023-01-02
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.0399761628678591
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2022-12-05
    actual_eur_per_litre
    -0.01049
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.0294861628678591
    proxy_volatility_units
    0.2070376188168671
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    7.428000000000001
    pass_through_sample_start
    2023-09-25
    pass_through_window_label
    ROLLING_156W
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    0.005190246235286189
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.0537820795004329
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    182.43434263983826
    Limiti
    source
    docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
    proxy_rule
    the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
    confidence_cap
    MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
    statement_weeks
    [4,13]
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    weeks
    4
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Finland
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_FI_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    offset_weeks
    4
    proxy_product
    GASOLINE
    proxy_to_date
    2022-12-30
    pass_through_k
    0
    proxy_from_date
    2022-12-05
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2023-01-02
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.0399761628678591
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2022-12-05
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    actual_eur_per_litre
    -0.01049
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.0294861628678591
    proxy_volatility_units
    0.2070376188168671
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    7.428000000000001
    pass_through_sample_start
    2023-09-25
    pass_through_window_label
    ROLLING_156W
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    0.005190246235286189
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.0537820795004329
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    182.43434263983826

    Mudell event.crude_only.computed v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 3c66bb4c5dd1ad0ae29b7a58c7b28a0387de9a19c598ef000b7a7f354a7887cc · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  14. Fil-perjodu ta’ 13-il ġimgħa wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, il-Finlandja) b’+12.2 c/l (firxa +3.6–+20.8); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’+1.1 c/l, u jibqa’ -11.1 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.

    pajjiż: il-FinlandjaIkkalkulatMedja
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    weeks
    13
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Finland
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_FI_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    offset_weeks
    13
    proxy_product
    GASOLINE
    proxy_to_date
    2023-03-06
    pass_through_k
    0
    proxy_from_date
    2022-12-05
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.11094428588364091
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2022-12-05
    actual_eur_per_litre
    0.011290000000000022
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.12223428588364094
    proxy_volatility_units
    0.15391245706875872
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    5.5219999999999985
    pass_through_sample_start
    2023-09-25
    pass_through_window_label
    ROLLING_156W
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    0.036419246180813714
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.20804932558646705
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    182.43434263983826
    Limiti
    source
    docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
    proxy_rule
    the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
    confidence_cap
    MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
    statement_weeks
    [4,13]
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    weeks
    13
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Finland
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_FI_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    offset_weeks
    13
    proxy_product
    GASOLINE
    proxy_to_date
    2023-03-06
    pass_through_k
    0
    proxy_from_date
    2022-12-05
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2023-03-06
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.11094428588364091
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2022-12-05
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    actual_eur_per_litre
    0.011290000000000022
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.12223428588364094
    proxy_volatility_units
    0.15391245706875872
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    5.5219999999999985
    pass_through_sample_start
    2023-09-25
    pass_through_window_label
    ROLLING_156W
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    0.036419246180813714
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.20804932558646705
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    182.43434263983826

    Mudell event.crude_only.computed v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 2de118cf0547aaf729f8f5d439a71f252cc33398d946b556afd50859424343cf · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  15. X’kienu jagħmlu l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom lill-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, il-Finlandja) fil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”) huwa MHUX MAGĦRUF: La l-aktar tieqa riċenti ta’ tliet snin tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet u lanqas il-kampjun kollu m’għandhom stima IKKALKULATA għal dan il-pajjiż u karburant (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §4.5): m’hemm l-ebda reazzjoni mkejla għaż-żejt mhux maħdum x’tiġi proġettata. Ma jintuża l-ebda sostitut bħal trażmissjoni sħiħa (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.2).

    pajjiż: il-FinlandjaMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    weeks
    4
    status
    UNKNOWN
    country
    Finland
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    reason_code
    NO_COMPUTED_PASS_THROUGH_ESTIMATE
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_FI_DIESEL
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    proxy_product
    null
    gap_eur_per_litre
    null
    actual_eur_per_litre
    null
    expected_eur_per_litre
    null
    proxy_volatility_units
    null
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    null
    pass_through_window_label
    null
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    null
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    null
    Limiti
    source
    docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
    proxy_rule
    the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
    confidence_cap
    MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
    statement_weeks
    [4,13]
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    weeks
    4
    status
    UNKNOWN
    country
    Finland
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_COMPUTED_PASS_THROUGH_ESTIMATE
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_FI_DIESEL
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    proxy_product
    null
    statement_topic
    event
    gap_eur_per_litre
    null
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    actual_eur_per_litre
    null
    expected_eur_per_litre
    null
    proxy_volatility_units
    null
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    null
    pass_through_window_label
    null
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    null
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    null

    Mudell event.crude_only.unknown v1.1 · Marka tal-identità f66b0c0a0707c8e671b89c30566ed397d03cb32ebeea87532f4b9960dc66a4c6 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  16. Il-Finlandja, Diċembru 2022: id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (żejt mhux maħdum) kienet limitata (0%).

    pajjiż: il-FinlandjaIkkalkulatBaxxa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    limited
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2022-12
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    commodity
    crude
    dimension
    DIRECT_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    value_max_pct
    0
    value_min_pct
    0
    exposure_status
    COMPUTED
    value_point_pct
    0
    observation_date
    2022-12-01
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
    band_applied_to
    upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
    dependence_limited_max_pct
    10
    dependence_moderate_max_pct
    33
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    limited
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2022-12
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    commodity
    crude
    dimension
    DIRECT_CRUDE
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    value_max_pct
    0
    value_min_pct
    0
    exposure_status
    COMPUTED
    statement_topic
    hormuz
    value_point_pct
    0
    observation_date
    2022-12-01
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.dependence.point v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 5d83b2b230c511d74de9cb7020a286fa038a6181b586fbc493ad71a72c1170b2 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  17. Il-Finlandja, Diċembru 2022: id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (prodott raffinat) kienet limitata (0%).

    pajjiż: il-FinlandjaIkkalkulatBaxxa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    limited
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2022-12
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    commodity
    refined product
    dimension
    DIRECT_PRODUCT
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    value_max_pct
    0
    value_min_pct
    0
    exposure_status
    COMPUTED
    value_point_pct
    0
    observation_date
    2022-12-01
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
    band_applied_to
    upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
    dependence_limited_max_pct
    10
    dependence_moderate_max_pct
    33
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    limited
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2022-12
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    commodity
    refined product
    dimension
    DIRECT_PRODUCT
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    value_max_pct
    0
    value_min_pct
    0
    exposure_status
    COMPUTED
    statement_topic
    hormuz
    value_point_pct
    0
    observation_date
    2022-12-01
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.dependence.point v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 45194613792b50ed52186236aa41629f77a6b7a51dd70fa4372e8c106af4d494 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  18. L-evidenza disponibbli ma turix tnaqqis fiżiku fil-provvista: l-importazzjonijiet irrappurtati taż-żejt mhux maħdum (il-Finlandja, Diċembru 2022) meta mqabbla mal-medja tax-xhur ta’ qabel (12): +14.2%.

    pajjiż: il-FinlandjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2022-12
    country
    Finland
    change_pct
    14.153132250580047
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    partner_role
    ORIGIN
    value_tonnes
    861000
    baseline_months
    12
    observation_date
    2022-12-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
    baseline_mean_tonnes
    754250
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no cut-off
    min_baseline_months
    6
    baseline_months_used
    12
    supply_reduction_pct
    -10
    supply_baseline_months
    12
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2022-12
    country
    Finland
    change_pct
    14.153132250580047
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    partner_role
    ORIGIN
    value_tonnes
    861000
    baseline_months
    12
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2022-12-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    baseline_mean_tonnes
    754250
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.supply.no_reduction v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 59bb35417f6ae4110c965519dfe7567a809457b972519eb6e9a7dffeebbea86c · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  19. Diċembru 2022: l-istokkijiet taż-żejt (il-Finlandja) kienu 3.9% aktar baxxi meta mqabbla mal-medja mobbli tagħhom (xhur: 12) — ġewwa l-faxxa ta’ 5% fuq kull naħa li dan is-sit jaqra bħala konformi magħha, jiem ta’ kopertura: 201.0 (kif ippubblikati).

    pajjiż: il-FinlandjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2022-12
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    direction
    below
    siec_code
    O4000
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    holder_type
    STK_CL
    series_code
    INVENTORY_FI
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    days_of_cover
    201
    metric_status
    COMPUTED
    mom_change_pct
    -2.4893037728510308
    observation_date
    2022-12-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
    total_stock_tonnes
    5014000
    days_of_cover_basis
    as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
    observation_gap_days
    4
    trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
    5216083.333333333
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
    -3.8742351381144857
    trailing_12m_observations
    12
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no band
    band_applied_to
    the rounded figure printed in the sentence
    days_of_cover_basis
    as published (Eurostat nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); never stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
    trailing_window_months
    12
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_raw
    -3.8742351381144857
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_shown
    -3.9
    inventory_material_deviation_pct
    5
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2022-12
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Finland
    direction
    below
    siec_code
    O4000
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    holder_type
    STK_CL
    series_code
    INVENTORY_FI
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    days_of_cover
    201
    metric_status
    COMPUTED
    mom_change_pct
    -2.4893037728510308
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2022-12-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
    total_stock_tonnes
    5014000
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    days_of_cover_basis
    as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    4
    trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
    5216083.333333333
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
    -3.8742351381144857
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    trailing_12m_observations
    12

    Mudell event.inventory_level.in_line v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 060527bdb82cd90150717f6b75f4c13d577c6f5d2dc53dac29aae7ecd818abb0 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  20. Sommarju ta’ x’jista’ jiġi vverifikat hawn

    Parti biss mill-katina tista’ tiġi vverifikata għal dan il-pajjiż (il-Finlandja) madwar l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”: serje disponibbli: 4 minn 8 (prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdum, stokkijiet, prezz fil-pompa mingħajr taxxi u prezz fil-pompa bit-taxxi); mhux disponibbli: prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinati, marġni tar-raffinar, noli u prezzijiet bl-ingrossa. Kull dikjarazzjoni bbażata fuq ir-rabtiet neqsin ma tistax tiġi ttestjata hawn. Id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (żejt mhux maħdum) kienet limitata (0–0%) matul il-perjodu kopert. Din il-paġna tiddeskrivi x’għamlet kull serje madwar id-data tal-avveniment. Mhijiex sejba dwar kawża: l-ebda disinn kawżali mhu ppubblikat għal dan is-sit, u serje li ċċaqilqet fl-istess tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.

    pajjiż: il-FinlandjaMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    country
    Finland
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    dependence_band
    limited
    dependence_range
    0–0%
    channels_available
    ["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
    supply_template_id
    event.supply.no_reduction
    channels_unavailable
    ["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; the channel list is docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.3
    channels_total
    8
    channels_available
    4
    verdict_partial_min_channels
    3
    verdict_assessable_min_channels
    8
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    country
    Finland
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    FI
    country_name
    Finland
    country_slug
    finland
    dependence_band
    limited
    statement_topic
    event
    dependence_range
    0–0%
    channels_available
    ["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
    supply_template_id
    event.supply.no_reduction
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    channels_unavailable
    ["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.verdict.partial v1.1 · Marka tal-identità a9d1d4df19cf0848604e48d248eba993fcb58e124c10350350e564aac6fb99bd · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  21. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’-6.4%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.4 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    78
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    -3.919330167431879
    t0_value
    83.36
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    -6.429942418426104
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    BRENT
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2022-12-12
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.424724765497578
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -5.359999999999999
    change_pct_from_t0
    -6.429942418426104
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.513111987760301
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.424724765497578
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    78
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    -3.919330167431879
    t0_value
    83.36
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    -6.429942418426104
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    BRENT
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2022-12-12
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -1.424724765497578
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -5.359999999999999
    change_pct_from_t0
    -6.429942418426104
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.513111987760301
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -1.424724765497578

    Mudell event.benchmark_move.within_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità b54773c6d8ea729448e355679535649a28ea7e4cedc8813dfcf6f2802aab32bd · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  22. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’-9.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.1 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    75.31
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    -4.677910199838048
    t0_value
    83.36
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    -9.65690978886756
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    BRENT
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2023-01-04
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -2.1397452168387128
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -8.049999999999997
    change_pct_from_t0
    -9.65690978886756
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.513111987760301
    change_in_volatility_units
    -2.1397452168387128
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    75.31
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    -4.677910199838048
    t0_value
    83.36
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    -9.65690978886756
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    BRENT
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2023-01-04
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -2.1397452168387128
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -8.049999999999997
    change_pct_from_t0
    -9.65690978886756
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.513111987760301
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -2.1397452168387128

    Mudell event.benchmark_move.outside_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità a66bdad4120941189e2864b65cefe96af6989d6c7dc9d9e481dad3f463e1452c · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  23. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’+2.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.6 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    85.74
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    -1.7366500741888493
    t0_value
    83.36
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    2.855086372360839
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    BRENT
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2023-03-03
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.6326203249784009
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    2.3799999999999955
    change_pct_from_t0
    2.855086372360839
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.513111987760301
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.6326203249784009
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    value
    85.74
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    -1.7366500741888493
    t0_value
    83.36
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    2.855086372360839
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    BRENT
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2023-03-03
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.6326203249784009
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    2.3799999999999955
    change_pct_from_t0
    2.855086372360839
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.513111987760301
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.6326203249784009

    Mudell event.benchmark_move.within_normal v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 95c15aae3aef102cb53ce9861989a6b3fd3d482e297b83dd1613ec9cd40b15cc · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  24. Noli – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: in-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["freight rates"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
    Limiti
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["freight rates"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 81f14ddf9bdd5a846c68ffa6a0c2ac90cc0051c094198d9fc185147f886c0b88 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  25. Prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinati – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni. Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refined-product benchmark"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
    Limiti
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refined-product benchmark"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.1 · Marka tal-identità 91941020696deeb37b6bfcb5c4e321ba5865cedc68042d4a64d30524b6fb2549 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  26. Prezzijiet bl-ingrossa – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["wholesale prices"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
    Limiti
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["wholesale prices"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.1 · Marka tal-identità e638c4d7da43b662509013a365f2d13fca0fa20208646d67ade6d6d3b40790a0 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

  27. Marġni tar-raffinar – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: m’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refining margin"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    reason_code
    NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
    Limiti
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refining margin"]
    event_name
    EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
    event_slug
    eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
    event_type
    EMBARGO
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.1 · Marka tal-identità e1f282615a660e84b280ecac2938abde9502c7d8209f04d500d682817c457aef · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 25/09/2026 14:09 UTC

X’ma jurix dan

  • Ma jurix li l-avveniment kien fl-oriġini ta’ xi ħaġa. L-ebda disinn kawżali mhu ppubblikat għal dan is-sit, u serje li ċċaqilqet f’din it-tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.
  • Bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza, u lanqas punteġġ z ma hu. Ikejlu affarijiet differenti u mhumiex interkambjabbli.
  • Il-kanali mingħajr sors b’liċenzja għall-użu jew diġà mtella’ jintwerew bħala pannelli vojta, mhux bħala linji ċatti. “Ma nistgħux naraw dan” ma jfissirx “dan ma ċċaqlaqx”.
  • Xejn ma jiġi interpolat. Fejn diversi punti tat-tieqa jaqgħu fuq ċifra ppubblikata waħda, dak hu li stampa l-pubblikatur, u l-bidla meta mqabbla mad-data tal-avveniment hija żero: huwa l-istess numru.

Il-Finlandja: provvista, raffineriji u prezzijiet fil-pompa →

Kif jinqraw it-tikketti

  • UffiċjaliIrrappurtat direttament minn awtorità uffiċjali.
  • IvverifikatIrrappurtat minn parti terza u vverifikat minna ma’ rekord primarju.
  • IkkalkulatIkkalkulat minna minn inputs irrappurtati. Il-metodu huwa ppubblikat fil-paġna tal-metodoloġija.
  • Inferit · kunfidenza għoljaMhux irrappurtat. Inferit minn mill-inqas żewġ rekords fiżiċi indipendenti.
  • Inferit · kunfidenza medjaMhux irrappurtat. Inferit minn evidenza indiretta qawwija, mingħajr konferma espliċita.
  • Inferit · kunfidenza baxxaMhux irrappurtat. Plawżibbli biss minn data dwar l-infrastruttura jew il-movimenti. Taqrahx bħala fatt.
  • Mhux magħrufL-ebda evidenza pubblika difendibbli ma tistabbilixxi dan. Ma nagħmlux suppożizzjonijiet, u dan mhuwiex kejl ta’ żero.