Avvenimenti / Projbizzjoni fuq l-importazzjoni

Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)

Dati: 05/12/2022 → l-ebda data tat-tmiem irreġistrata
Preċiżjoni tad-data: jum
Status: Għadu għaddej
Ambitu: L-Unjoni Ewropea

X’qalu s-sorsi (bl-Ingliż)

Sixth package of EU sanctions, adopted 3 June 2022 (Council Regulation (EU) 2022/879 amending Regulation (EU) No 833/2014). European Commission, 3 June 2022: "a complete import ban on all Russian seaborne crude oil and petroleum products"; "For seaborne crude oil, spot market transactions and execution of existing contracts will be permitted for six months after entry into force, while for petroleum products, these will be permitted for eight months." Eurostat, 19 June 2023: "The ban on imports of seaborne crude oil entered into force on 5 December 2022, while the ban on petroleum products took effect on 5 February 2023." Temporary derogations apply to pipeline crude for certain member states and to Bulgaria and Croatia, so reported imports from Russia do not fall to zero. This row is a timeline marker only; it makes no statement about prices.

L-AIE, l-EIA, il-Kummissjoni Ewropea, il-Kunsill Ewropew u leġiżlaturi nazzjonali (iċċitati għal kull ringiela)Uffiċjali

Miġbur 23/09/2026 07:22 UTCReviżjoni 1

Dokumenti tas-sors (3)

PajjiżIl-Ġermanja Franza In-Netherlands Il-Polonja Il-Finlandja L-Estonja L-Awstrija Il-Belġju Il-Bulgarija Il-Kroazja Ċipru Iċ-Ċekja Id-Danimarka Il-Greċja L-Ungerija L-Irlanda L-Italja Il-Latvja Il-Litwanja Il-Lussemburgu Malta Il-Portugall Ir-Rumanija Is-Slovakkja Is-Slovenja Spanja L-Iżvezja

KarburantDiżil (żejt tal-gass għall-vetturi)Petrol (Euro-super 95)Iż-żewġ karburanti

Jekk tagħżel karburant, jinżammu s-serje ta’ dak il-karburant u l-kanali komuni għall-karburanti kollha – il-prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdum, ir-rata tal-kambju, l-importazzjonijiet taż-żejt mhux maħdum u l-esponiment għal Hormuz. Jitneħħew biss is-serje tal-karburant l-ieħor.

It-tieqa tal-avveniment

Kemm kienet tiswa kull serje fil-jiem madwar id-data tal-avveniment (minn -30 sa 90), kemm dan hu ’l bogħod mil-livell tal-istess serje fid-data tal-avveniment, u kemm hu kbir dak iċ-ċaqliq meta mqabbel mal-varjazzjoni normali tas-serje stess.

Ir-Rumanija, il-karburanti kollha f’dan il-kalkolu. Serje li jistgħu jitpinġew: 22; serje li ma jistgħu jidhru bl-ebda mod, murija hawn taħt bħala pannelli vojta b’tikketta: 7.

Qari ppubblikat: 260; punti tat-tieqa mingħajr xejn ippubblikat fi żmien perjodu wieħed: 26; punti tat-tieqa fuq serje li ma nistgħu naraw xejn minnhom: 91. Kollha jidhru f’din il-paġna.

Europe Brent spot FOB

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatUffiċjali

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Europe Brent spot FOB): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-11-04	99.53	+16.170	+19.40%	+4.30
−14	2022-11-21	88.44	+5.080	+6.09%	+1.35
−7	2022-11-28	83.50	+0.140	+0.17%	+0.04
−3	2022-12-02	86.54	+3.180	+3.81%	+0.85
−1	2022-12-02	86.54	+3.180	+3.81%	+0.85
T0	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	83.36	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-12-06	79.92	-3.440	-4.13%	-0.91
+3	2022-12-08	76.02	-7.340	-8.81%	-1.95
+7	2022-12-12	78.00	-5.360	-6.43%	-1.42
+14	2022-12-19	81.66	-1.700	-2.04%	-0.45
+30	2023-01-04	75.31	-8.050	-9.66%	-2.14
+60	2023-02-03	78.85	-4.510	-5.41%	-1.20
+90	2023-03-03	85.74	+2.380	+2.86%	+0.63

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 4.51%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 760). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

reported crude oil imports, all origins

Unità: tIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali

Tabella tat-tieqa (reported crude oil imports, all origins): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-11-01	829,000	+181,000	+27.93%	+0.79
−14	2022-11-01	829,000	+181,000	+27.93%	+0.79
−7	2022-11-01	829,000	+181,000	+27.93%	+0.79
−3	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	648,000	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	648,000	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	648,000	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	648,000	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	648,000	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	648,000	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+14	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	648,000	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+30	2023-01-01	776,000	+128,000	+19.75%	+0.56
+60	2023-02-01	560,000	-88,000	-13.58%	-0.38
+90	2023-03-01	753,000	+105,000	+16.20%	+0.46

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 35.46%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 35). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-10-31	1.108	+0.018	+1.61%	+0.00
−14	2022-11-21	1.114	+0.024	+2.19%	+0.00
−7	2022-11-28	1.100	+0.010	+0.94%	+0.00
−3	2022-11-28	1.100	+0.010	+0.94%	+0.00
−1	2022-11-28	1.100	+0.010	+0.94%	+0.00
T0	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.090	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.090	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.090	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-12-12	1.069	-0.021	-1.88%	-0.00
+14	2022-12-19	1.073	-0.017	-1.58%	-0.00
+30	2023-01-02	1.076	-0.014	-1.27%	-0.00
+60	2023-01-30	1.106	+0.017	+1.52%	+0.00
+90	2023-02-27	1.122	+0.032	+2.91%	+0.00

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1,168.67%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-10-31	0.9198	+0.069	+8.15%	+4.16
−14	2022-11-21	0.8807	+0.030	+3.55%	+1.81
−7	2022-11-28	0.8714	+0.021	+2.47%	+1.26
−3	2022-11-28	0.8714	+0.021	+2.47%	+1.26
−1	2022-11-28	0.8714	+0.021	+2.47%	+1.26
T0	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.8505	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.8505	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.8505	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-12-12	0.8405	-0.010	-1.18%	-0.60
+14	2022-12-19	0.8509	+0.000	+0.05%	+0.03
+30	2023-01-02	0.8453	-0.005	-0.60%	-0.31
+60	2023-01-30	0.8590	+0.008	+1.00%	+0.51
+90	2023-02-27	0.8680	+0.017	+2.06%	+1.05

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.96%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE

Unità: USD għal kull EURIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatUffiċjali

Tabella tat-tieqa (rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-11-04	0.9872	-0.072	-6.75%	-13.43
−14	2022-11-21	1.025	-0.034	-3.22%	-6.40
−7	2022-11-28	1.046	-0.012	-1.17%	-2.33
−3	2022-12-02	1.054	-0.005	-0.46%	-0.92
−1	2022-12-02	1.054	-0.005	-0.46%	-0.92
T0	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.059	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-12-06	1.052	-0.007	-0.67%	-1.33
+3	2022-12-08	1.052	-0.007	-0.64%	-1.28
+7	2022-12-12	1.056	-0.002	-0.24%	-0.47
+14	2022-12-19	1.060	+0.001	+0.10%	+0.21
+30	2023-01-04	1.060	+0.001	+0.11%	+0.23
+60	2023-02-03	1.094	+0.035	+3.31%	+6.57
+90	2023-03-03	1.062	+0.003	+0.26%	+0.53

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 0.50%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 770). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1

Unità: % tat-tunnellati importatiIppubblikat: kull xaharMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-11-01	11.92–12.42	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−14	2022-11-01	11.92–12.42	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−7	2022-11-01	11.92–12.42	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−3	2022-12-01	0–10.25	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−1	2022-12-01	0–10.25	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
T0	2022-12-01	0–10.25	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+1	2022-12-01	0–10.25	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+3	2022-12-01	0–10.25	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+7	2022-12-01	0–10.25	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+14	2022-12-01	0–10.25	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+30	2023-01-01	16.44–17.14	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+60	2023-02-01	14.73–15.36	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+90	2023-03-01	16.81–17.53	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2

Unità: % tat-tunnellati importatiIppubblikat: kull xaharMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-11-01	0–0.8403	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−14	2022-11-01	0–0.8403	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−7	2022-11-01	0–0.8403	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−3	2022-12-01	0–3.256	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−1	2022-12-01	0–3.256	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
T0	2022-12-01	0–3.256	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+1	2022-12-01	0–3.256	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+3	2022-12-01	0–3.256	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+7	2022-12-01	0–3.256	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+14	2022-12-01	0–3.256	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+30	2023-01-01	0–0.9756	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+60	2023-02-01	0–6.604	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+90	2023-03-01	0–3.271	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma

Unità: kopertura (jiem)Ippubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-11-01	74.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−14	2022-11-01	74.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−7	2022-11-01	74.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−3	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	74.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	74.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	74.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	74.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	74.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	74.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+14	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	74.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+30	2023-01-01	84.00	+10.000	+13.51%	+6.32
+60	2023-02-01	86.00	+12.000	+16.22%	+7.59
+90	2023-03-01	94.00	+20.000	+27.03%	+12.65

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 2.14%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 35). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-10-31	0.6104	+0.142	+30.24%	+3.72
−14	2022-11-21	0.5263	+0.058	+12.30%	+1.51
−7	2022-11-28	0.5123	+0.044	+9.31%	+1.15
−3	2022-11-28	0.5123	+0.044	+9.31%	+1.15
−1	2022-11-28	0.5123	+0.044	+9.31%	+1.15
T0	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.4687	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.4687	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.4687	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-12-12	0.4798	+0.011	+2.38%	+0.29
+14	2022-12-19	0.4779	+0.009	+1.98%	+0.24
+30	2023-01-02	0.4598	-0.009	-1.89%	-0.23
+60	2023-01-30	0.4720	+0.003	+0.71%	+0.09
+90	2023-02-27	0.4954	+0.027	+5.69%	+0.70

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 8.13%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-10-31	0.6104	+0.142	+30.24%	+3.72
−14	2022-11-21	0.5263	+0.058	+12.30%	+1.51
−7	2022-11-28	0.5123	+0.044	+9.31%	+1.15
−3	2022-11-28	0.5123	+0.044	+9.31%	+1.15
−1	2022-11-28	0.5123	+0.044	+9.31%	+1.15
T0	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.4687	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.4687	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.4687	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-12-12	0.4798	+0.011	+2.38%	+0.29
+14	2022-12-19	0.4779	+0.009	+1.98%	+0.24
+30	2023-01-02	0.4598	-0.009	-1.89%	-0.23
+60	2023-01-30	0.4720	+0.003	+0.71%	+0.09
+90	2023-02-27	0.4954	+0.027	+5.69%	+0.70

stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom

Unità: tIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali

Tabella tat-tieqa (stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-11-01	2,376,000	+102,000	+4.49%	+0.76
−14	2022-11-01	2,376,000	+102,000	+4.49%	+0.76
−7	2022-11-01	2,376,000	+102,000	+4.49%	+0.76
−3	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	2,274,000	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	2,274,000	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	2,274,000	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	2,274,000	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	2,274,000	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	2,274,000	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+14	2022-12-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	2,274,000	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+30	2023-01-01	2,351,000	+77,000	+3.39%	+0.57
+60	2023-02-01	2,276,000	+2,000	+0.09%	+0.01
+90	2023-03-01	2,288,000	+14,000	+0.62%	+0.10

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 5.93%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 35). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

Tabella tat-tieqa (not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-10-31	0.0562	+0.056	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−14	2022-11-21	0.0446	+0.045	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−7	2022-11-28	0.0285	+0.028	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−3	2022-11-28	0.0285	+0.028	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−1	2022-11-28	0.0285	+0.028	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
T0	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+1	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+3	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+7	2022-12-12	-0.0901	-0.090	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+14	2022-12-19	-0.1095	-0.110	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+30	2023-01-02	-0.1456	-0.146	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+60	2023-01-30	-0.1471	-0.147	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+90	2023-02-27	-0.2226	-0.223	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

Tabella tat-tieqa (not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-10-31	-0.0102	-0.010	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−14	2022-11-21	0.0298	+0.030	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−7	2022-11-28	0.0112	+0.011	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−3	2022-11-28	0.0112	+0.011	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−1	2022-11-28	0.0112	+0.011	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
T0	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+1	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+3	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+7	2022-12-12	-0.0953	-0.095	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+14	2022-12-19	-0.1187	-0.119	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+30	2023-01-02	-0.1483	-0.148	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+60	2023-01-30	-0.0939	-0.094	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+90	2023-02-27	-0.0951	-0.095	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-10-31	1.805	+0.088	+5.15%	+3.00
−14	2022-11-21	1.796	+0.080	+4.65%	+2.71
−7	2022-11-28	1.762	+0.046	+2.67%	+1.56
−3	2022-11-28	1.762	+0.046	+2.67%	+1.56
−1	2022-11-28	1.762	+0.046	+2.67%	+1.56
T0	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.716	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.716	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.716	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-12-12	1.584	-0.133	-7.72%	-4.50
+14	2022-12-19	1.567	-0.150	-8.73%	-5.09
+30	2023-01-02	1.525	-0.191	-11.15%	-6.50
+60	2023-01-30	1.538	-0.179	-10.41%	-6.07
+90	2023-02-27	1.465	-0.252	-14.66%	-8.54

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.72%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-10-31	1.541	+0.071	+4.83%	+2.75
−14	2022-11-21	1.539	+0.070	+4.73%	+2.69
−7	2022-11-28	1.508	+0.038	+2.59%	+1.47
−3	2022-11-28	1.508	+0.038	+2.59%	+1.47
−1	2022-11-28	1.508	+0.038	+2.59%	+1.47
T0	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.470	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.470	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.470	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-12-12	1.343	-0.126	-8.59%	-4.89
+14	2022-12-19	1.330	-0.140	-9.51%	-5.41
+30	2023-01-02	1.285	-0.184	-12.54%	-7.13
+60	2023-01-30	1.341	-0.128	-8.74%	-4.97
+90	2023-02-27	1.349	-0.120	-8.19%	-4.66

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.76%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-10-31	1.164	+0.074	+6.77%	+2.80
−14	2022-11-21	1.158	+0.069	+6.28%	+2.60
−7	2022-11-28	1.129	+0.039	+3.56%	+1.47
−3	2022-11-28	1.129	+0.039	+3.56%	+1.47
−1	2022-11-28	1.129	+0.039	+3.56%	+1.47
T0	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.090	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.090	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.090	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-12-12	0.9793	-0.111	-10.15%	-4.20
+14	2022-12-19	0.9633	-0.127	-11.63%	-4.81
+30	2023-01-02	0.9305	-0.160	-14.63%	-6.05
+60	2023-01-30	0.9594	-0.131	-11.98%	-4.95
+90	2023-02-27	0.8991	-0.191	-17.51%	-7.24

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 2.42%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-10-31	0.9096	+0.059	+6.95%	+2.59
−14	2022-11-21	0.9104	+0.060	+7.05%	+2.63
−7	2022-11-28	0.8827	+0.032	+3.79%	+1.41
−3	2022-11-28	0.8827	+0.032	+3.79%	+1.41
−1	2022-11-28	0.8827	+0.032	+3.79%	+1.41
T0	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.8505	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.8505	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.8505	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-12-12	0.7452	-0.105	-12.38%	-4.62
+14	2022-12-19	0.7322	-0.118	-13.91%	-5.19
+30	2023-01-02	0.6971	-0.153	-18.04%	-6.73
+60	2023-01-30	0.7651	-0.085	-10.04%	-3.75
+90	2023-02-27	0.7729	-0.078	-9.12%	-3.40

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 2.68%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

Tabella tat-tieqa (total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-10-31	0.6412	+0.015	+2.33%	+1.94
−14	2022-11-21	0.6379	+0.011	+1.81%	+1.51
−7	2022-11-28	0.6336	+0.007	+1.13%	+0.94
−3	2022-11-28	0.6336	+0.007	+1.13%	+0.94
−1	2022-11-28	0.6336	+0.007	+1.13%	+0.94
T0	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.6265	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.6265	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.6265	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-12-12	0.6046	-0.022	-3.49%	-2.91
+14	2022-12-19	0.6034	-0.023	-3.69%	-3.08
+30	2023-01-02	0.5947	-0.032	-5.09%	-4.24
+60	2023-01-30	0.5784	-0.048	-7.69%	-6.40
+90	2023-02-27	0.5658	-0.061	-9.70%	-8.08

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.20%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

Tabella tat-tieqa (total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-10-31	0.6311	+0.012	+1.92%	+1.70
−14	2022-11-21	0.6288	+0.010	+1.54%	+1.36
−7	2022-11-28	0.6251	+0.006	+0.94%	+0.83
−3	2022-11-28	0.6251	+0.006	+0.94%	+0.83
−1	2022-11-28	0.6251	+0.006	+0.94%	+0.83
T0	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.6192	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.6192	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.6192	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-12-12	0.5983	-0.021	-3.38%	-2.99
+14	2022-12-19	0.5978	-0.021	-3.47%	-3.06
+30	2023-01-02	0.5884	-0.031	-4.98%	-4.40
+60	2023-01-30	0.5763	-0.043	-6.94%	-6.12
+90	2023-02-27	0.5765	-0.043	-6.90%	-6.09

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.13%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-11-04	102.1	+58.716	+135.30%	+13.75
−14	2022-11-21	61.92	+18.524	+42.69%	+4.34
−7	2022-11-28	50.19	+6.790	+15.65%	+1.59
−3	2022-12-02	47.86	+4.464	+10.29%	+1.05
−1	2022-12-02	47.86	+4.464	+10.29%	+1.05
T0	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	43.40	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-12-06	42.43	-0.970	-2.24%	-0.23
+3	2022-12-08	43.18	-0.220	-0.51%	-0.05
+7	2022-12-12	45.31	+1.916	+4.42%	+0.45
+14	2022-12-19	47.36	+3.968	+9.14%	+0.93
+30	2023-01-04	52.92	+9.520	+21.94%	+2.23
+60	2023-02-03	39.25	-4.142	-9.54%	-0.97
+90	2023-03-03	36.90	-6.496	-14.97%	-1.52

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 9.84%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 737). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-11-04	36.21	+16.548	+84.15%	+0.46
−14	2022-11-21	25.46	+5.798	+29.48%	+0.16
−7	2022-11-28	21.75	+2.086	+10.61%	+0.06
−3	2022-12-02	19.76	+0.096	+0.49%	+0.00
−1	2022-12-02	19.76	+0.096	+0.49%	+0.00
T0	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	19.67	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-12-06	20.42	+0.752	+3.82%	+0.02
+3	2022-12-08	14.66	-5.008	-25.47%	-0.14
+7	2022-12-12	13.81	-5.854	-29.77%	-0.16
+14	2022-12-19	13.89	-5.776	-29.37%	-0.16
+30	2023-01-04	25.20	+5.530	+28.12%	+0.15
+60	2023-02-03	24.34	+4.678	+23.79%	+0.13
+90	2023-03-03	25.60	+5.936	+30.18%	+0.17

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 182.43%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 737). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-11-04	51.50	+24.486	+90.64%	+0.51
−14	2022-11-21	42.81	+15.794	+58.46%	+0.33
−7	2022-11-28	30.74	+3.724	+13.78%	+0.08
−3	2022-12-02	31.06	+4.044	+14.97%	+0.08
−1	2022-12-02	31.06	+4.044	+14.97%	+0.08
T0	2022-12-05l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	27.02	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-12-06	27.60	+0.584	+2.16%	+0.01
+3	2022-12-08	35.20	+8.180	+30.28%	+0.17
+7	2022-12-12	36.79	+9.770	+36.16%	+0.21
+14	2022-12-19	36.02	+9.008	+33.34%	+0.19
+30	2023-01-04	53.97	+26.950	+99.76%	+0.57
+60	2023-02-03	29.38	+2.368	+8.77%	+0.05
+90	2023-03-03	39.71	+12.698	+47.00%	+0.27

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 176.40%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 737). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Mhux disponibbli: imblukkat mil-liċenzja

Jeżisti sors, iżda l-liċenzja tiegħu ma tippermettilniex nippubblikawh mill-ġdid. Dawn il-kanali mhumiex neqsin mid-dinja, iżda biss minn din il-paġna.

nol tat-tankers “dirty” mill-Golf Għarbi lejn il-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

In-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers (ringiela 17: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

Il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

M’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

T0: 05/12/2022. Tieqa ta’ referenza: jiem -90 sa -31. Punti tat-tieqa kkalkulati: -30, -14, -7, -3, -1, 0, 1, 3, 7, 14, 30, 60, 90. Metodu: 1.0, kalkolu: event_study-1.0, ikkalkulat: 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC.

L-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”: huwa tassew ir-raġuni?

Il-mistoqsija tinqasam f’dimensjonijiet li jitkejlu separatament u qatt ma jingħaddu f’numru wieħed. Kull ringiela tgħid jekk nistgħux naraw dik id-dimensjoni, u tagħti ċifra ppubblikata waħda fejn nistgħu.

Mit-tmien kanali ta’ trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet li jirrapporta dan is-sit, kanali b’data f’dan il-kalkolu: 4 Ikkalkulat – għadd tar-ringieli ta’ hawn taħt, mhux kejl.

Metodoloġija §11.1 tippubblika l-limiti li jużaw is-sentenzi ta’ hawn taħt: it-tmien kanali kollha preżenti għall-paragun sħiħ, mill-inqas tlieta biex l-istqarrija tkun tista’ tiġi ttestjata hawn, u 2.0 unitajiet ta’ volatilità biex ċaqliq jiġi deskritt bħala barra mill-varjazzjoni normali ta’ serje. Dawn huma għażliet ta’ kliem ippubblikati, mhux testijiet statistiċi.

Dimensjonijiet tal-esponiment għall-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, kull waħda bl-istatus tagħha u ċifra ppubblikata waħda.
Dimensjoni	Status	Ċifra ppubblikata, jew għaliex m’hemmx
Esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum (D1)Sehem miż-żejt mhux maħdum importat li r-rotta tiegħu teħtieġ l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz.	Firxa biss	16.44–17.14 % tat-tunnellati importati punt tat-tieqa +30 d (2023-01) · l-ebda punt tan-nofs
Esponiment dirett tal-prodotti (D2)Sehem mill-prodotti raffinati importati li r-rotta tagħhom teħtieġ l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz.	Firxa biss	0–0.9756 % tat-tunnellati importati punt tat-tieqa +30 d (2023-01) · l-ebda punt tan-nofs
Kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza (D7)Il-jiem ta’ kopertura li jammontaw għalihom il-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati. Riżerva kontra interruzzjoni tal-provvista, mhux sehem mill-importazzjonijiet, u mhux kanal tal-prezz.	Osservat	84.00 kopertura (jiem) punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-01-01)+13.51% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +6.32 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdumIl-prezz kwotat taż-żejt mhux maħdum li fuqu jiġu pprezzati t-tagħbijiet Ewropej.	Osservat	75.31 $ għal kull barmil punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-01-04)-9.66% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -2.14 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinatiIl-prezz kwotat tal-prodotti li fuqu jipprezzaw ir-raffineriji u l-bejjiegħa bl-ingrossa.	Mhux disponibbli	Il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.
Marġni tar-raffinarKemm qala’ r-raffinar ta’ barmil f’dan il-prodott.	Mhux disponibbli	M’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.
NoliKemm swiet il-ġarr tal-merkanzija bil-baħar.	Mhux disponibbli	In-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers (ringiela 17: BLOCKED).
StokkijietL-istokkijiet miżmuma, li jassorbu jew ikabbru bidla fil-provvista.	Osservat	2,351,000 t punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-01-01)+3.39% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +0.57 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezzijiet bl-ingrossaIl-prezz bejn il-bieb tar-raffinerija u l-pompa tal-petrol.	Mhux disponibbli	Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).
Prezz fil-pompa mingħajr taxxiIl-prezz fil-pompa mingħajr id-dazju tas-sisa, il-VAT u taxxi oħra fuq il-karburant.	Osservat	0.9305 € għal kull litru punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-01-02)-14.63% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -6.05 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz fil-pompa bit-taxxiDak li fil-fatt ħallas sewwieq.	Osservat	1.525 € għal kull litru punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2023-01-02)-11.15% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -6.50 unitajiet ta’ volatilità

L-esponiment fiżiku (l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz) u l-esponiment tal-prezz huma mistoqsijiet differenti. Pajjiż kważi mingħajr esponiment fiżiku dirett xorta jista’ jara l-prezz fil-pompa tiegħu jiċċaqlaq: iż-żejt mhux maħdum jiġi pprezzat fuq livell globali – u serje li ċċaqilqet f’din it-tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.

X’għamel il-prezz fil-pompa madwar din id-data

Il-paġna tal-qsim tal-prezz tista’ tiġi ffissata fuq il-ġimgħat madwar id-data tal-avveniment, biex iċ-ċaqliq fil-pompa jinqasam fit-taxxa, fl-ispiża tal-input u fil-parti li l-ispiża tal-input ma tkoprix.

Qsim tal-prezz (28/11/2022 – 04/01/2023) →

It-tieqa hija madwar id-data ppubblikata tal-avveniment (jiem qabel: 7; jiem wara: 30). Hija tieqa biex wieħed iħares, mhux dikjarazzjoni li l-avveniment kien fl-oriġini ta’ dak li fiha.

Attwali kontra ż-żejt mhux maħdum biss: ir-Rumanija, petrol (Euro-super 95)

X’għamel il-prezz mingħajr taxxi minn erba’ ġimgħat qabel sa tlettax-il ġimgħa wara l-ġimgħa tal-avveniment, ħdejn dak li kien jagħmel li kieku segwa biss l-ispiża tal-input taż-żejt mhux maħdum bil-pass li tkejjel l-istima maħżuna tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet. Id-differenza mdella mhix spjegata miż-żejt mhux maħdum; mhix attribwita lill-avveniment jew lil xi ħaġa oħra. L-ebda karburant mhu magħżul: jintwera l-petrol.

Il-paragun maż-żejt mhux maħdum biss ma setax jinqara.

API 404 for /api/events/eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022/crude-only: No stored crude-only run for 'eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022' and country 'romania'. Runs are stored for the pilot countries; available_countries lists them.

X’jappoġġaw in-numri, sentenza b’sentenza

Kull sentenza ġejja minn mudell fiss, magħżul skont limiti ppubblikati. Iftaħ “Għaliex din is-sentenza” biex tara n-numri li għażluha. L-ebda parti minn dan it-test mhi miktuba minn mudell lingwistiku, u l-ebda parti minnu ma tattribwixxi kawża.

Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, ir-Rumanija) inbidel b’-12.4%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’4.6 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
0.74519
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
-4.775886118359371
t0_value
0.8504700000000001
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-12.379037473397066
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_RO_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-12-12
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-4.619143624951027
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.10528000000000004
change_pct_from_t0
-12.379037473397066
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
2.6799421015033515
change_in_volatility_units
-4.619143624951027
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
0.74519
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
-4.775886118359371
t0_value
0.8504700000000001
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-12.379037473397066
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_RO_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-12-12
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-4.619143624951027
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.10528000000000004
change_pct_from_t0
-12.379037473397066
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
2.6799421015033515
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-4.619143624951027
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità a2c6ef294661feaf1ccd1762cf71be4e939163e1f84447b8680f6dd1f35340f3 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, ir-Rumanija) inbidel b’-18.0%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’6.7 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
0.69705
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
-6.3837407802319905
t0_value
0.8504700000000001
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-18.03943701717875
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_RO_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2023-01-02
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-6.7312786373479
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.1534200000000001
change_pct_from_t0
-18.03943701717875
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
2.6799421015033515
change_in_volatility_units
-6.7312786373479
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
0.69705
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
-6.3837407802319905
t0_value
0.8504700000000001
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-18.03943701717875
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_RO_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2023-01-02
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-6.7312786373479
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.1534200000000001
change_pct_from_t0
-18.03943701717875
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
2.6799421015033515
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-6.7312786373479
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 6fb5008bb81f20d560c15b01dcaa3bf9295ba491ec394fa86449f2445983e223 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, ir-Rumanija) inbidel b’-9.1%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’3.4 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
0.77289
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
-3.8507183964260223
t0_value
0.8504700000000001
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-9.122014885886639
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_RO_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2023-02-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-3.4038104333558232
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.0775800000000001
change_pct_from_t0
-9.122014885886639
observation_gap_days
6
normal_volatility_pct
2.6799421015033515
change_in_volatility_units
-3.4038104333558232
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
0.77289
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
-3.8507183964260223
t0_value
0.8504700000000001
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-9.122014885886639
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_RO_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2023-02-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-3.4038104333558232
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.0775800000000001
change_pct_from_t0
-9.122014885886639
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
6
normal_volatility_pct
2.6799421015033515
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-3.4038104333558232
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 12a43d59e64505f5f436568df687ccfd2a2a4b85d995de6676b39f1f8f7b834d · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, ir-Rumanija) inbidel b’-8.6%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’4.9 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
1.3434700000000002
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
-4.626941382205379
t0_value
1.46971
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-8.589449619312647
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_RO_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-12-12
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-4.885289765373788
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.1262399999999999
change_pct_from_t0
-8.589449619312647
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
1.758227256076681
change_in_volatility_units
-4.885289765373788
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
1.3434700000000002
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
-4.626941382205379
t0_value
1.46971
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-8.589449619312647
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_RO_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-12-12
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-4.885289765373788
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.1262399999999999
change_pct_from_t0
-8.589449619312647
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
1.758227256076681
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-4.885289765373788
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 5027b006eb1ea6642a94e6f8049e466e2190f01bcea9d39aa0f85c8712c4c3d3 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, ir-Rumanija) inbidel b’-12.5%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’7.1 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
1.28543
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
-6.203260744882009
t0_value
1.46971
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-12.538528008926932
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_RO_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2023-01-02
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-7.131346625182845
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.18428
change_pct_from_t0
-12.538528008926932
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
1.758227256076681
change_in_volatility_units
-7.131346625182845
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
1.28543
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
-6.203260744882009
t0_value
1.46971
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-12.538528008926932
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_RO_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2023-01-02
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-7.131346625182845
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.18428
change_pct_from_t0
-12.538528008926932
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
1.758227256076681
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-7.131346625182845
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità cb97720609077a9b98d1d83477667b2102508e3106e602580ec65ffb6183921e · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, ir-Rumanija) inbidel b’-8.2%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’4.7 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
1.34939
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
-4.46615897994753
t0_value
1.46971
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-8.186649066822705
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_RO_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2023-02-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-4.656195061547643
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.12031999999999998
change_pct_from_t0
-8.186649066822705
observation_gap_days
6
normal_volatility_pct
1.758227256076681
change_in_volatility_units
-4.656195061547643
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
1.34939
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
-4.46615897994753
t0_value
1.46971
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-8.186649066822705
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_RO_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2023-02-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-4.656195061547643
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.12031999999999998
change_pct_from_t0
-8.186649066822705
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
6
normal_volatility_pct
1.758227256076681
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-4.656195061547643
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 8ee8a5eb9f441edd3a8de39bfeb79425c49b5be6d52121b1ee2956bd9af6d1c9 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, ir-Rumanija) inbidel b’-10.1%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’4.2 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
0.9793400000000001
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
-4.1067501894987135
t0_value
1.08996
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
-10.148996293441956
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_RO_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-12-12
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-4.195835655152587
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.11061999999999994
change_pct_from_t0
-10.148996293441956
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
2.418825980702734
change_in_volatility_units
-4.195835655152587
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
0.9793400000000001
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
-4.1067501894987135
t0_value
1.08996
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
-10.148996293441956
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_RO_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-12-12
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-4.195835655152587
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.11061999999999994
change_pct_from_t0
-10.148996293441956
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
2.418825980702734
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-4.195835655152587
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità c70dc94e08166d69869c516827b158ee42d27dac8ef5fd5e28d6db9f1c49c0a7 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, ir-Rumanija) inbidel b’-14.6%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’6.1 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
0.9304500000000001
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
-5.452916461523065
t0_value
1.08996
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
-14.63448199933942
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_RO_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2023-01-02
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-6.050241776834111
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.15950999999999993
change_pct_from_t0
-14.63448199933942
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
2.418825980702734
change_in_volatility_units
-6.050241776834111
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
0.9304500000000001
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
-5.452916461523065
t0_value
1.08996
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
-14.63448199933942
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_RO_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2023-01-02
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-6.050241776834111
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.15950999999999993
change_pct_from_t0
-14.63448199933942
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
2.418825980702734
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-6.050241776834111
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 3566199122757b32330f454db8e4df00897954ac6eb5cbb1c765e0bb0d4e7e5b · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, ir-Rumanija) inbidel b’-17.5%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’7.2 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
0.89912
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
-6.31557527319259
t0_value
1.08996
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
-17.50889940915263
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_RO_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2023-02-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-7.238594073669501
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.19084
change_pct_from_t0
-17.50889940915263
observation_gap_days
6
normal_volatility_pct
2.418825980702734
change_in_volatility_units
-7.238594073669501
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
0.89912
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
-6.31557527319259
t0_value
1.08996
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
-17.50889940915263
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_RO_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2023-02-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-7.238594073669501
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.19084
change_pct_from_t0
-17.50889940915263
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
6
normal_volatility_pct
2.418825980702734
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-7.238594073669501
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità f939a68591858d9992899364c5961b2fa3c8d32562061d7338534512255a029b · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, ir-Rumanija) inbidel b’-7.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’4.5 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
1.58398
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
-4.003274119125861
t0_value
1.71649
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
-7.719823593496036
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_RO_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-12-12
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-4.5005207379054735
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.13251000000000013
change_pct_from_t0
-7.719823593496036
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
1.71531785832606
change_in_volatility_units
-4.5005207379054735
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
1.58398
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
-4.003274119125861
t0_value
1.71649
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
-7.719823593496036
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_RO_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-12-12
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-4.5005207379054735
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.13251000000000013
change_pct_from_t0
-7.719823593496036
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
1.71531785832606
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-4.5005207379054735
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 160eaf7d61f917024fe8aba2bf7daaa0883b956dd1df88ceef851fa3602d7fcd · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, ir-Rumanija) inbidel b’-11.2%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’6.5 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
1.5251
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
-5.330000149205678
t0_value
1.71649
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
-11.15007952274701
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_RO_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2023-01-02
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-6.500299328561834
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.19139000000000017
change_pct_from_t0
-11.15007952274701
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
1.71531785832606
change_in_volatility_units
-6.500299328561834
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
1.5251
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
-5.330000149205678
t0_value
1.71649
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
-11.15007952274701
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_RO_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2023-01-02
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-6.500299328561834
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.19139000000000017
change_pct_from_t0
-11.15007952274701
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
1.71531785832606
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-6.500299328561834
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 3de04fa4b4abba3695086d34132b234978ddde0a517755ef1771f359fde999e2 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, ir-Rumanija) inbidel b’-14.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’8.5 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
1.4649
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
-6.686469357948964
t0_value
1.71649
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
-14.657236569977103
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_RO_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2023-02-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-8.544909912079367
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.25159
change_pct_from_t0
-14.657236569977103
observation_gap_days
6
normal_volatility_pct
1.71531785832606
change_in_volatility_units
-8.544909912079367
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
1.4649
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
-6.686469357948964
t0_value
1.71649
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
-14.657236569977103
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_RO_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2023-02-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-8.544909912079367
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.25159
change_pct_from_t0
-14.657236569977103
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
6
normal_volatility_pct
1.71531785832606
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-8.544909912079367
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 490b93e3f50b480eb2be9ce78dca139437ce0756041db4ca59291fe5810d13a9 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, ir-Rumanija) b’-0.5 c/l (firxa -2.4–+1.3); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’-15.3 c/l, u jibqa’ -14.8 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
weeks
4
status
COMPUTED
country
Romania
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_RO_EURO_SUPER_95
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
offset_weeks
4
proxy_product
GASOLINE
proxy_to_date
2022-12-30
pass_through_k
2
proxy_from_date
2022-12-05
observation_date
2023-01-02
gap_eur_per_litre
-0.14828286278078168
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-12-05
actual_eur_per_litre
-0.1534200000000001
expected_eur_per_litre
-0.005137137219218425
proxy_volatility_units
0.2070376188168671
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
7.428000000000001
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
expected_low_eur_per_litre
-0.02351132196876267
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.013237047530326389
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
182.43434263983826
Limiti
source
docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
proxy_rule
the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
confidence_cap
MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
statement_weeks
[4,13]
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
weeks
4
status
COMPUTED
country
Romania
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_RO_EURO_SUPER_95
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
offset_weeks
4
proxy_product
GASOLINE
proxy_to_date
2022-12-30
pass_through_k
2
proxy_from_date
2022-12-05
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2023-01-02
gap_eur_per_litre
-0.14828286278078168
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-12-05
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
actual_eur_per_litre
-0.1534200000000001
expected_eur_per_litre
-0.005137137219218425
proxy_volatility_units
0.2070376188168671
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
7.428000000000001
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
expected_low_eur_per_litre
-0.02351132196876267
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.013237047530326389
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
182.43434263983826
Mudell event.crude_only.computed v1.2 · Marka tal-identità ab32f87fc84e605278024120dc8501698ebe3749de0da235eee6783bfa7d517d · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 13-il ġimgħa wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, ir-Rumanija) b’+2.2 c/l (firxa -3.3–+7.6); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’-6.3 c/l, u jibqa’ -8.5 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
weeks
13
status
COMPUTED
country
Romania
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_RO_EURO_SUPER_95
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
offset_weeks
13
proxy_product
GASOLINE
proxy_to_date
2023-03-06
pass_through_k
2
proxy_from_date
2022-12-05
observation_date
2023-03-06
gap_eur_per_litre
-0.08464632213222395
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-12-05
actual_eur_per_litre
-0.06301999999999996
expected_eur_per_litre
0.021626322132223985
proxy_volatility_units
0.15391245706875872
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
5.5219999999999985
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
expected_low_eur_per_litre
-0.03307384729737939
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.07632649156182746
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
182.43434263983826
Limiti
source
docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
proxy_rule
the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
confidence_cap
MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
statement_weeks
[4,13]
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
weeks
13
status
COMPUTED
country
Romania
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_RO_EURO_SUPER_95
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
offset_weeks
13
proxy_product
GASOLINE
proxy_to_date
2023-03-06
pass_through_k
2
proxy_from_date
2022-12-05
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2023-03-06
gap_eur_per_litre
-0.08464632213222395
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-12-05
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
actual_eur_per_litre
-0.06301999999999996
expected_eur_per_litre
0.021626322132223985
proxy_volatility_units
0.15391245706875872
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
5.5219999999999985
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
expected_low_eur_per_litre
-0.03307384729737939
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.07632649156182746
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
182.43434263983826
Mudell event.crude_only.computed v1.2 · Marka tal-identità ea0ee21b118b20b122618e0943c72c4b994e8fedbf2be40dc100207e1f427504 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, ir-Rumanija) b’-1.4 c/l (firxa -2.2–-0.6); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’-16.0 c/l, u jibqa’ -14.6 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum. Fl-istess perjodu, il-crack spread tal-Istati Uniti (diżil), indikatur tas-suq tal-prodotti tal-Atlantiku u mhux marġni Ewropew, kiber b’12.6 $/bbl.
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
weeks
4
status
COMPUTED
country
Romania
fuel_type
DIESEL
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_RO_DIESEL
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
offset_weeks
4
proxy_product
DIESEL
proxy_to_date
2022-12-30
pass_through_k
3
proxy_from_date
2022-12-05
observation_date
2023-01-02
gap_eur_per_litre
-0.14564175106201893
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-12-05
actual_eur_per_litre
-0.15950999999999993
expected_eur_per_litre
-0.013868248937981005
proxy_volatility_units
2.948513147105371
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
12.594000000000001
pass_through_sample_start
2008-01-07
pass_through_window_label
FULL_SAMPLE
expected_low_eur_per_litre
-0.02203502856370654
expected_high_eur_per_litre
-0.005701469312255375
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
9.842624566455152
Limiti
source
docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
proxy_rule
the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
confidence_cap
MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
statement_weeks
[4,13]
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
weeks
4
status
COMPUTED
country
Romania
fuel_type
DIESEL
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_RO_DIESEL
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
offset_weeks
4
proxy_product
DIESEL
proxy_to_date
2022-12-30
pass_through_k
3
proxy_from_date
2022-12-05
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2023-01-02
gap_eur_per_litre
-0.14564175106201893
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-12-05
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
actual_eur_per_litre
-0.15950999999999993
expected_eur_per_litre
-0.013868248937981005
proxy_volatility_units
2.948513147105371
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
12.594000000000001
pass_through_sample_start
2008-01-07
pass_through_window_label
FULL_SAMPLE
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
expected_low_eur_per_litre
-0.02203502856370654
expected_high_eur_per_litre
-0.005701469312255375
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
9.842624566455152
Mudell event.crude_only.computed_with_proxy v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 647823c76983841a27317d1ed9a6972b13192265cca814a9604ece0f3577ac72 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 13-il ġimgħa wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, ir-Rumanija) b’+3.9 c/l (firxa +1.0–+6.7); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’-17.8 c/l, u jibqa’ -21.6 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
weeks
13
status
COMPUTED
country
Romania
fuel_type
DIESEL
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_RO_DIESEL
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
offset_weeks
13
proxy_product
DIESEL
proxy_to_date
2023-03-06
pass_through_k
3
proxy_from_date
2022-12-05
observation_date
2023-03-06
gap_eur_per_litre
-0.21620755928465335
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-12-05
actual_eur_per_litre
-0.17754000000000003
expected_eur_per_litre
0.03866755928465333
proxy_volatility_units
-1.6767707765260176
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
-7.161999999999999
pass_through_sample_start
2008-01-07
pass_through_window_label
FULL_SAMPLE
expected_low_eur_per_litre
0.0099394315796901
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.06739568698961686
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
9.842624566455152
Limiti
source
docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
proxy_rule
the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
confidence_cap
MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
statement_weeks
[4,13]
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
weeks
13
status
COMPUTED
country
Romania
fuel_type
DIESEL
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_RO_DIESEL
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
offset_weeks
13
proxy_product
DIESEL
proxy_to_date
2023-03-06
pass_through_k
3
proxy_from_date
2022-12-05
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2023-03-06
gap_eur_per_litre
-0.21620755928465335
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-12-05
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
actual_eur_per_litre
-0.17754000000000003
expected_eur_per_litre
0.03866755928465333
proxy_volatility_units
-1.6767707765260176
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
-7.161999999999999
pass_through_sample_start
2008-01-07
pass_through_window_label
FULL_SAMPLE
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
expected_low_eur_per_litre
0.0099394315796901
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.06739568698961686
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
9.842624566455152
Mudell event.crude_only.computed v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 1a5ab1be8f4597fdc44a1ae37178cea7e0147b7245332d14879a7fa1c072ed69 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Ir-Rumanija, Diċembru 2022: id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (żejt mhux maħdum) kienet moderata (0%–10%). Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: il-pajjiżi sħab ikkonċernati jesportaw kemm minn ġewwa kif ukoll minn barra l-Golf Persjan, u l-qsim għal kull perjodu mhux pubbliku.
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
band
moderate
unit
% of imported tonnes
period
2022-12
status
NO_OBSERVATION
country
Romania
commodity
crude
dimension
DIRECT_CRUDE
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
value_max_pct
10.25
value_min_pct
0
exposure_status
RANGE_ONLY
value_point_pct
null
observation_date
2022-12-01
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
band_applied_to
upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
dependence_limited_max_pct
10
dependence_moderate_max_pct
33
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
band
moderate
unit
% of imported tonnes
period
2022-12
status
NO_OBSERVATION
country
Romania
commodity
crude
dimension
DIRECT_CRUDE
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
value_max_pct
10.25
value_min_pct
0
exposure_status
RANGE_ONLY
statement_topic
hormuz
value_point_pct
null
observation_date
2022-12-01
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.dependence.range v1.2 · Marka tal-identità a2723052b340dabdc4cb82dd4bbe2b3fca2c9aae2fca19b2dde9bb8e7f83f225 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Ir-Rumanija, Diċembru 2022: id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (prodott raffinat) kienet limitata (0%–3%). Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: il-pajjiżi sħab ikkonċernati jesportaw kemm minn ġewwa kif ukoll minn barra l-Golf Persjan, u l-qsim għal kull perjodu mhux pubbliku.
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
band
limited
unit
% of imported tonnes
period
2022-12
status
NO_OBSERVATION
country
Romania
commodity
refined product
dimension
DIRECT_PRODUCT
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
value_max_pct
3.25581395348837
value_min_pct
0
exposure_status
PARTIAL
value_point_pct
null
observation_date
2022-12-01
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
band_applied_to
upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
dependence_limited_max_pct
10
dependence_moderate_max_pct
33
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
band
limited
unit
% of imported tonnes
period
2022-12
status
NO_OBSERVATION
country
Romania
commodity
refined product
dimension
DIRECT_PRODUCT
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
value_max_pct
3.25581395348837
value_min_pct
0
exposure_status
PARTIAL
statement_topic
hormuz
value_point_pct
null
observation_date
2022-12-01
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.dependence.range v1.2 · Marka tal-identità e4201fbd941693c413a60955676fd11cd6d0f52ce279ff90c2c423973c870022 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
L-evidenza disponibbli turi tnaqqis fiżiku fil-provvista: l-importazzjonijiet irrappurtati taż-żejt mhux maħdum (ir-Rumanija, Diċembru 2022) meta mqabbla mal-medja tax-xhur ta’ qabel (12): -11.1%.
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
unit
tonnes
month
2022-12
country
Romania
change_pct
-11.11111111111111
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
value_tonnes
648000
baseline_months
12
observation_date
2022-12-01
series_source_ids
["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
crude_imports_rule
crude_imports_total-1.1
baseline_mean_tonnes
729000
baseline_window_months
12
value_not_published_code
null
baseline_not_published_months
0
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no cut-off
min_baseline_months
6
baseline_months_used
12
supply_reduction_pct
-10
supply_baseline_months
12
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
unit
tonnes
month
2022-12
country
Romania
change_pct
-11.11111111111111
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
value_tonnes
648000
baseline_months
12
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-12-01
series_source_ids
["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
crude_imports_rule
crude_imports_total-1.1
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
baseline_mean_tonnes
729000
baseline_window_months
12
value_not_published_code
null
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
baseline_not_published_months
0
Mudell event.supply.reduction v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 526e4965d2c487535a9cd51693e79a86f733b9fb3dbf0c55344949a9e370ba1e · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Diċembru 2022: l-istokkijiet taż-żejt (ir-Rumanija) kienu 1.4% ogħla meta mqabbla mal-medja mobbli tagħhom (xhur: 12) — ġewwa l-faxxa ta’ 5% fuq kull naħa li dan is-sit jaqra bħala konformi magħha, jiem ta’ kopertura: 74.0 (kif ippubblikati).
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
unit
tonnes
month
2022-12
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
direction
above
siec_code
O4000
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
holder_type
STK_CL
series_code
INVENTORY_RO
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
days_of_cover
74
metric_status
COMPUTED
mom_change_pct
-4.292929292929293
observation_date
2022-12-01
series_source_ids
["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
total_stock_tonnes
2274000
days_of_cover_basis
as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
observation_gap_days
4
trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
2243583.3333333335
level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
1.3557181591947407
trailing_12m_observations
12
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no band
band_applied_to
the rounded figure printed in the sentence
days_of_cover_basis
as published (Eurostat nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); never stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
trailing_window_months
12
level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_raw
1.3557181591947407
level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_shown
1.4
inventory_material_deviation_pct
5
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
unit
tonnes
month
2022-12
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
direction
above
siec_code
O4000
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
holder_type
STK_CL
series_code
INVENTORY_RO
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
days_of_cover
74
metric_status
COMPUTED
mom_change_pct
-4.292929292929293
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-12-01
series_source_ids
["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
total_stock_tonnes
2274000
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
days_of_cover_basis
as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
4
trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
2243583.3333333335
level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
1.3557181591947407
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
trailing_12m_observations
12
Mudell event.inventory_level.in_line v1.2 · Marka tal-identità db8e4cb535b22f3e1b02753b6e02a60302e4297f7a7d92b32c45b70f86cee436 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Sommarju ta’ x’jista’ jiġi vverifikat hawn
Parti biss mill-katina tista’ tiġi vverifikata għal dan il-pajjiż (ir-Rumanija) madwar l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”: serje disponibbli: 4 minn 8 (prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdum, stokkijiet, prezz fil-pompa mingħajr taxxi u prezz fil-pompa bit-taxxi); mhux disponibbli: prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinati, marġni tar-raffinar, noli u prezzijiet bl-ingrossa. Kull dikjarazzjoni bbażata fuq ir-rabtiet neqsin ma tistax tiġi ttestjata hawn. Id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (żejt mhux maħdum) kienet moderata (0–10%) matul il-perjodu kopert. Din il-paġna tiddeskrivi x’għamlet kull serje madwar id-data tal-avveniment. Mhijiex sejba dwar kawża: l-ebda disinn kawżali mhu ppubblikat għal dan is-sit, u serje li ċċaqilqet fl-istess tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
country
Romania
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
dependence_band
moderate
dependence_range
0–10%
channels_available
["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
supply_template_id
event.supply.reduction
channels_unavailable
["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; the channel list is docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.3
channels_total
8
channels_available
4
verdict_partial_min_channels
3
verdict_assessable_min_channels
8
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
country
Romania
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
dependence_band
moderate
statement_topic
event
dependence_range
0–10%
channels_available
["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
supply_template_id
event.supply.reduction
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
channels_unavailable
["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.verdict.partial v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 6e81058cf1ee01b2d6b2c1dc3ef91bdca3443c365a6c765209f8235800494451 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’-6.4%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.4 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
78
status
OBSERVED
z_score
-3.919330167431879
t0_value
83.36
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
-6.429942418426104
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
offset_days
7
series_code
BRENT
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-12-12
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-1.424724765497578
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
-5.359999999999999
change_pct_from_t0
-6.429942418426104
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.513111987760301
change_in_volatility_units
-1.424724765497578
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
78
status
OBSERVED
z_score
-3.919330167431879
t0_value
83.36
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
-6.429942418426104
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
BRENT
statement_topic
event
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-12-12
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-1.424724765497578
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
-5.359999999999999
change_pct_from_t0
-6.429942418426104
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.513111987760301
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-1.424724765497578
Mudell event.benchmark_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità b54773c6d8ea729448e355679535649a28ea7e4cedc8813dfcf6f2802aab32bd · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’-9.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.1 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
75.31
status
OBSERVED
z_score
-4.677910199838048
t0_value
83.36
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
-9.65690978886756
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
offset_days
30
series_code
BRENT
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2023-01-04
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-2.1397452168387128
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
-8.049999999999997
change_pct_from_t0
-9.65690978886756
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.513111987760301
change_in_volatility_units
-2.1397452168387128
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
75.31
status
OBSERVED
z_score
-4.677910199838048
t0_value
83.36
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
-9.65690978886756
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
BRENT
statement_topic
event
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2023-01-04
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-2.1397452168387128
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
-8.049999999999997
change_pct_from_t0
-9.65690978886756
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.513111987760301
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-2.1397452168387128
Mudell event.benchmark_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità a66bdad4120941189e2864b65cefe96af6989d6c7dc9d9e481dad3f463e1452c · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’+2.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.6 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
85.74
status
OBSERVED
z_score
-1.7366500741888493
t0_value
83.36
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
2.855086372360839
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
offset_days
90
series_code
BRENT
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2023-03-03
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.6326203249784009
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
2.3799999999999955
change_pct_from_t0
2.855086372360839
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
4.513111987760301
change_in_volatility_units
0.6326203249784009
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
value
85.74
status
OBSERVED
z_score
-1.7366500741888493
t0_value
83.36
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
2.855086372360839
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
BRENT
statement_topic
event
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2023-03-03
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.6326203249784009
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
2.3799999999999955
change_pct_from_t0
2.855086372360839
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
4.513111987760301
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
0.6326203249784009
Mudell event.benchmark_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 95c15aae3aef102cb53ce9861989a6b3fd3d482e297b83dd1613ec9cd40b15cc · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Noli – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: in-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["freight rates"]
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
Limiti
source
CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
true
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["freight rates"]
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
statement_topic
event
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 81f14ddf9bdd5a846c68ffa6a0c2ac90cc0051c094198d9fc185147f886c0b88 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinati – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni. Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["refined-product benchmark"]
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
Limiti
source
CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
true
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["refined-product benchmark"]
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
statement_topic
event
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 91941020696deeb37b6bfcb5c4e321ba5865cedc68042d4a64d30524b6fb2549 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Prezzijiet bl-ingrossa – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["wholesale prices"]
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
Limiti
source
CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
true
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["wholesale prices"]
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
statement_topic
event
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità e638c4d7da43b662509013a365f2d13fca0fa20208646d67ade6d6d3b40790a0 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Marġni tar-raffinar – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: m’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["refining margin"]
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
reason_code
NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
Limiti
source
CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
true
Inputs
t0
2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["refining margin"]
event_name
EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
event_slug
eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
event_type
EMBARGO
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
statement_topic
event
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità e1f282615a660e84b280ecac2938abde9502c7d8209f04d500d682817c457aef · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

X’ma jurix dan

Ma jurix li l-avveniment kien fl-oriġini ta’ xi ħaġa. L-ebda disinn kawżali mhu ppubblikat għal dan is-sit, u serje li ċċaqilqet f’din it-tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.
Bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza, u lanqas punteġġ z ma hu. Ikejlu affarijiet differenti u mhumiex interkambjabbli.
Il-kanali mingħajr sors b’liċenzja għall-użu jew diġà mtella’ jintwerew bħala pannelli vojta, mhux bħala linji ċatti. “Ma nistgħux naraw dan” ma jfissirx “dan ma ċċaqlaqx”.
Xejn ma jiġi interpolat. Fejn diversi punti tat-tieqa jaqgħu fuq ċifra ppubblikata waħda, dak hu li stampa l-pubblikatur, u l-bidla meta mqabbla mad-data tal-avveniment hija żero: huwa l-istess numru.

Ir-Rumanija: provvista, raffineriji u prezzijiet fil-pompa →

Kif jinqraw it-tikketti

UffiċjaliIrrappurtat direttament minn awtorità uffiċjali.
IvverifikatIrrappurtat minn parti terza u vverifikat minna ma’ rekord primarju.
IkkalkulatIkkalkulat minna minn inputs irrappurtati. Il-metodu huwa ppubblikat fil-paġna tal-metodoloġija.
Inferit · kunfidenza għoljaMhux irrappurtat. Inferit minn mill-inqas żewġ rekords fiżiċi indipendenti.
Inferit · kunfidenza medjaMhux irrappurtat. Inferit minn evidenza indiretta qawwija, mingħajr konferma espliċita.
Inferit · kunfidenza baxxaMhux irrappurtat. Plawżibbli biss minn data dwar l-infrastruttura jew il-movimenti. Taqrahx bħala fatt.
Mhux magħrufL-ebda evidenza pubblika difendibbli ma tistabbilixxi dan. Ma nagħmlux suppożizzjonijiet, u dan mhuwiex kejl ta’ żero.

Europe Brent spot FOB

reported crude oil imports, all origins

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE

esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1

esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2

esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Mhux disponibbli: imblukkat mil-liċenzja

nol tat-tankers “dirty” mill-Golf Għarbi lejn il-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

L-avveniment “Projbizzjoni tal-UE fuq l-importazzjoni ta’ żejt mhux maħdum Russu li jinġarr bil-baħar (fis-seħħ: 5 ta’ Diċembru 2022)”: huwa tassew ir-raġuni?

X’għamel il-prezz fil-pompa madwar din id-data

Attwali kontra ż-żejt mhux maħdum biss: ir-Rumanija, petrol (Euro-super 95)

X’jappoġġaw in-numri, sentenza b’sentenza

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